Maurice Carroll, Director Quinnipiac University Polling Institute Rubenstein Associates, Inc.

, Public Relations Pat Smith (212) XXX-XXXX FOR RELEASE: DECEMBER 15, 2009

PATERSON APPROVAL UP, BUT DEMS BACK CUOMO ALMOST 3-1, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NEW YORK STATE POLL FINDS; THOMPSON TOPS GILLIBRAND IN DEM SENATE PRIMARY
New York Gov. David Paterson continues his climb out of the basement, as voters disapprove 49 – 40 percent of the job he is doing, up from 57 – 30 percent disapproval October 21 and his best overall score since a 45 – 41 percent approval February 17, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Attorney General Andrew Cuomo still leads Gov. David Paterson 60 – 23 percent among Democrats in a primary contest for the 2010 governor’s race. This compares to a 61 – 19 percent Cuomo lead in an October 21 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University. Cuomo leads 72 – 15 percent among white Democrats and ties Paterson 41 – 40 percent among black Democrats. New York State voters say 59 – 28 percent that Paterson does not deserve election to a full four-year term. Looking at possible general election matchups against former U.S. Rep. Rick Lazio, the only Republican contender at this point: • • Cuomo tops Lazio 62 – 22 percent; Paterson leads Lazio 41 – 37 percent. New York City Comptroller William Thompson leads incumbent U.S. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand 41 – 28 percent in a possible 2010 Democratic primary race. In a general election matchup, former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani tops Thompson 52 – 36 percent and Gillibrand 50 – 40 percent. “Gov. David Paterson’s tough talk on the state budget has boosted his job-approval numbers across the political board – with Democrats, Republicans and independent voters,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. -more-

Quinnipiac University Poll/December 15, 2009 – page 2 “Gov. Paterson’s new TV ads depict him as a probable 2010 candidate. But New Yorkers say 2-1 ‘fuhgeddaboutit,’” Carroll added. “He still trails State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo almost 3-1 in a Democratic primary. With Mayor Rudolph Giuliani out as a possible Republican candidate – and only former Congressman Rick Lazio in the field right now – Paterson is up a few points. Cuomo trounces the Republican almost 3-1. “If New York City Comptroller Bill Thompson can raise some money and get in the race, he has a double-digit lead over rookie U.S. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand. But Giuliani, who is pondering a Senate race, tops both of them.” New York State voters give Paterson a negative 38 – 44 percent favorability rating, his best favorability score since a February 17 Quinnipiac University poll. Cuomo gets a 74 – 12 percent approval rating, continuing a six-month streak of plus-70 scores. He gets a 57 – 14 percent favorability. Giuliani gets a 59 – 32 percent favorability. Gillibrand, Thompson and Lazio are largely unknown, as 58 to 67 percent of voters don’t know enough about them to form an opinion. The biggest jump in Paterson’s approval is among Republicans, who went from 60 percentage points negative October 21 to 40 points negative today. Democrats went from 8 points negative to 10 points positive while independent voters went from 31 points negative to 12 points negative. Obama, Schumer Approval New York State voters approve 59 – 36 percent of the job President Obama is doing, compared to 62 – 32 percent October 21. In today’s survey, Obama wins 87 – 10 percent approval from Democrats and 55 – 38 percent support from independent voters. Republicans disapprove 76 – 19 percent. U.S. Sen. Charles Schumer, facing reelection in 2010, has a 62 – 27 percent approval. From December 7 – 13, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,692 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. The survey includes 719 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research.
For more data or RSS feed– http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

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1. (If registered Democrat) If the 2010 Democratic primary for Governor were being held today and the candidates were David Paterson and Andrew Cuomo, for whom would you vote? REGISTERED DEMOCRATS........... Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Paterson Cuomo SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 23% 60 1 16 26% 62 1 11 21% 58 1 1 19 15% 72 1 12 40% 41 18

TREND: (If registered Democrat) If the 2010 Democratic primary for governor were being held today and the candidates were David Paterson and Andrew Cuomo, for whom would you vote? REGISTERED DEMOCRATS.................................. Dec 15 Oct 21 Aug 16 Jun 24 May 13 Apr 6 Feb 17 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 Paterson Cuomo SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 23 60 1 16 19 61 1 2 17 15 61 1 1 22 20 57 1 1 20 17 62 1 1 18 18 61 1 3 17 23 55 1 1 20

2. (If registered Democrat) If the 2010 Democratic primary for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Kirsten Gillibrand and William Thompson, for whom would you vote? REGISTERED DEMOCRATS........... Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Gillibrand Thompson SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 28% 41 1 2 28 28% 42 1 4 25 28% 39 1 1 30 36% 28 1 3 31 11% 65 1 1 23

3. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were David Paterson the Democrat and Rick Lazio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Paterson Lazio SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 41% 37 3 4 16 Rep 9% 74 1 3 13 Dem 66% 18 1 3 12 Ind 34% 37 4 5 21 Men 42% 39 3 3 13 Sub 28% 41 4 4 22 Wom 39% 35 3 4 19 Wht 31% 46 2 4 16 Blk 72% 11 4 2 11 His 49% 22 2 1 25

UpState..... Urban Othr Paterson Lazio SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 48% 33 5 5 9 30% 45 3 4 18

UpState Total NYC 32% 44 3 4 17 58% 26 1 2 12

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TREND: If the 2010 election for governor were being held today and the candidates were David Paterson the Democrat and Rick Lazio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Dec 15 2009 Paterson Lazio SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 41 37 3 4 16 Oct 21 2009 38 38 2 6 16

4. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat and Rick Lazio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Cuomo Lazio SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 62% 22 1 1 14 Rep 26% 56 1 17 Dem 86% 5 1 7 Ind 58% 22 1 1 17 Men 57% 29 1 1 12 Sub 54% 27 1 1 17 Wom 66% 17 1 1 15 Wht 59% 26 1 1 13 Blk 74% 11 1 13 His 59% 20 3 1 18

UpState..... Urban Othr Cuomo Lazio SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 64% 19 1 2 13 57% 26 1 1 14

UpState Total NYC 58% 25 1 1 14 71% 16 1 11

TREND: If the 2010 election for governor were being held today and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat and Rick Lazio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Dec 15 2009 Cuomo Lazio SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 62 22 1 1 14 Oct 21 2009 61 22 2 2 13

5. Is your opinion of Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 57% 14 27 1 37% 31 29 3 71% 5 23 1 56% 13 29 1 54% 19 26 2 Sub 54% 20 25 1 59% 11 29 1 58% 16 24 2 51% 12 36 55% 6 39 -

UpState..... Urban Othr Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 56% 14 29 2 56% 14 28 2

UpState Total NYC 56% 14 28 2 60% 11 27 1

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TREND: Is your opinion of Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (*High also 63% Apr 2009 and Feb 2009) FAVORABLE..... High Low Dec 15 Oct 21 Aug 16 Jun 24 May 13 Jun 24 May 13 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009* 2009 Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 57 14 27 1 61 13 23 3 52 12 34 2 63 15 20 2 51 13 34 2 63 15 20 2 51 13 34 2

6. Is your opinion of David Paterson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 38% 44 15 3 Rep 22% 65 10 3 Dem 49% 32 16 3 Ind 36% 44 17 3 Men 42% 41 14 3 Sub 32% 50 14 4 Wom 34% 46 16 4 Wht 31% 53 13 3 Blk 60% 17 20 3 His 55% 28 15 2

UpState..... Urban Othr Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 35% 45 17 3 31% 52 13 3

UpState Total NYC 31% 52 14 3 49% 31 18 3

TREND: Is your opinion of David Paterson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Dec 15 Oct 21 Aug 16 Jun 24 May 13 Jan 26 May 13 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 38 44 15 3 28 52 15 5 26 53 18 3 28 54 14 4 24 55 18 3 48 25 24 3 24 55 18 3

7. Is your opinion of Rick Lazio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 19% 13 67 1 Rep 39% 2 58 1 Dem 8% 22 69 1 Ind 20% 11 68 1 Men 23% 15 61 1 Sub 27% 15 56 2 Wom 15% 12 72 1 Wht 21% 13 66 1 Blk 12% 12 76 His 23% 22 54 1

UpState..... Urban Othr Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 16% 8 74 2 17% 8 75 1

UpState Total NYC 17% 8 75 1 15% 18 65 1

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TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Lazio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Dec 15 2009 Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 19 13 67 1 Oct 21 2009 15 13 70 2

8. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Kirsten Gillibrand the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Gillibrand Giuliani SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 40% 50 1 1 8 Rep 4% 92 3 Dem 68% 23 1 1 7 Ind 32% 57 1 1 9 Men 40% 53 1 1 5 Sub 31% 61 1 1 6 Wom 40% 48 1 1 10 Wht 32% 58 1 1 7 Blk 70% 17 1 2 9 His 44% 47 2 7

UpState..... Urban Othr Gillibrand Giuliani SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 32% 56 1 4 7 33% 57 1 1 8

UpState Total NYC 33% 57 1 2 8 54% 36 1 1 8

9. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were William Thompson the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Thompson Giuliani SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 36% 52 1 2 9 Rep 3% 92 4 Dem 63% 25 1 3 8 Ind 28% 60 1 2 10 Men 35% 56 1 2 6 Sub 27% 62 1 3 7 Wom 37% 49 1 3 11 Wht 25% 63 2 10 Blk 76% 15 1 1 8 His 47% 42 3 2 6

UpState..... Urban Othr Thompson Giuliani SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 22% 55 1 4 17 22% 64 1 2 11

UpState Total NYC 22% 63 1 2 12 58% 34 1 7

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10. Is your opinion of Kirsten Gillibrand favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 26% 15 58 1 12% 26 61 1 34% 7 58 1 27% 16 56 1 28% 17 54 1 Sub 16% 17 66 1 25% 13 61 1 28% 17 54 1 23% 7 70 29% 8 63 -

UpState..... Urban Othr Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 27% 18 55 35% 17 47 2

UpState Total NYC 34% 17 48 1 24% 11 64 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Kirsten Gillibrand favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Dec 15 Jun 24 Apr 6 Feb 17 Jan 26 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 26 15 58 1 25 10 63 2 24 11 64 1 24 9 65 1 25 10 63 1

11. Is your opinion of William Thompson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 25% 10 64 1 6% 15 78 45% 6 49 19% 11 69 1 27% 13 61 Sub 13% 15 72 24% 8 67 1 14% 12 73 1 68% 2 29 1 39% 10 51 -

UpState..... Urban Othr Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 12% 3 85 8% 5 87 1

UpState Total NYC 8% 5 86 1 52% 13 34 1

12. Is your opinion of Rudy Giuliani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 59% 32 7 2 91% 5 3 1 36% 52 9 3 67% 27 5 1 61% 34 4 1 Sub 69% 29 1 1 57% 31 9 2 67% 25 7 1 27% 62 6 5 63% 30 5 2

UpState..... Urban Othr Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 62% 18 18 2 69% 19 10 2

UpState Total NYC 68% 19 11 2 43% 50 5 3

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TREND: Is your opinion of Rudy Giuliani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Dec 15 Dec 17 2009 2007 59 32 7 2 41 40 16 3

Dec 15 2009 Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 59 32 7 2

Oct 21 2009 57 32 8 2

Aug 16 2009 53 33 11 4

Jun 24 2009 55 36 6 3

May 13 2009 56 32 10 2

13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way David Paterson is handling his job as Governor? Tot Approve Disapprove DK/NA 40% 49 11 Rep 27% 67 6 Dem 49% 39 12 Ind 38% 50 12 Men 44% 47 8 Sub 34% 57 9 Wom 36% 51 13 Wht 34% 58 8 Blk 55% 27 18 His 52% 34 14

UpState..... Urban Othr Approve Disapprove DK/NA 38% 53 9 35% 57 8

UpState Total NYC 35% 57 8 49% 36 15

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way David Paterson is handling his job as governor? (*Low App also 28% Apr 2009 & May 2009 / ** High Dis also 61% May 2009) APPROVE....... High Low Aug 6 Jun 24 2008 2009* 64 14 22 28 61 12 DIS... High Jun 24 2009** 28 61 12

Dec 15 2009 Approve Disapprove DK/NA 40 49 11

Oct 21 2009 30 57 14

Aug 16 2009 30 59 12

Jun 24 2009 28 61 12

14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator? Tot Approve Disapprove DK/NA 40% 21 39 Rep 22% 37 40 Dem 50% 12 38 Ind 40% 20 40 Men 39% 26 35 Sub 29% 20 51 Wom 41% 16 42 Wht 38% 25 37 Blk 52% 10 38 His 38% 11 51

UpState..... Urban Othr Approve Disapprove DK/NA 39% 29 33 46% 25 29

UpState Total NYC 45% 25 29 41% 16 43

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TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator? Dec 15 2009 Approve Disapprove DK/NA 40 21 39 Oct 21 2009 32 20 48 Aug 16 2009 33 19 48 Jun 24 2009 37 15 48 Apr 6 2009 33 13 54 Feb 17 2009 28 10 62

15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator? Tot Approve Disapprove DK/NA 62% 27 11 Rep 41% 46 13 Dem 81% 12 6 Ind 57% 32 11 Men 59% 35 6 Sub 56% 35 9 Wom 64% 21 15 Wht 60% 30 10 Blk 77% 11 12 His 54% 33 13

UpState..... Urban Othr Approve Disapprove DK/NA 64% 24 12 55% 32 13

UpState Total NYC 56% 31 13 72% 19 9

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator? (*High app also 69% Oct 2001) APPROVE....... High Low Dec 8 Apr 15 2004* 1999 69 16 15 51 22 28 DIS... High Jan 20 2006 58 28 14

Dec 15 2009 Approve Disapprove DK/NA 62 27 11

Oct 21 2009 62 24 14

Aug 16 2009 58 27 15

Jun 24 2009 63 23 14

16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Tot Approve Disapprove DK/NA 59% 36 5 Rep 19% 76 5 Dem 87% 10 3 Ind 55% 38 6 Men 55% 40 5 Wom 62% 33 5 Wht 50% 44 5 Blk 88% 7 5 His 74% 23 4

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Dec 15 Oct 21 Aug 16 Jun 24 Apr 6 Feb 19 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 Approve Disapprove DK/NA 59 36 5 62 32 6 60 35 6 67 26 7 71 21 7 72 17 10

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18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as State Attorney General? Tot Approve Disapprove DK/NA 74% 12 14 Rep 61% 25 14 Dem 82% 6 11 Ind 76% 9 15 Men 73% 15 12 Sub 72% 16 12 Wom 74% 9 16 Wht 75% 12 13 Blk 67% 17 15 His 77% 7 15

UpState..... Urban Othr Approve Disapprove DK/NA 76% 10 14 73% 13 15

UpState Total NYC 73% 12 14 75% 9 15

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as State Attorney General? APPROVE....... High Low Feb 17 Feb 13 2009 2007 76 11 13 42 16 42 DIS... High Jul 31 2007 68 19 14

Dec 15 2009 Approve Disapprove DK/NA 74 12 14

Oct 21 2009 71 11 18

Aug 16 2009 74 10 17

Jun 24 2009 73 12 14

20. Looking ahead to the 2010 election for Governor, do you feel that David Paterson deserves to be elected to a full 4-year term, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be elected to a full 4-year term? Tot Yes/deserves No/does not DK/NA 28% 59 13 Rep 14% 78 8 Dem 39% 47 14 Ind 26% 60 15 Men 29% 60 11 Sub 18% 69 13 Wom 27% 58 15 Wht 22% 67 11 Blk 51% 35 14 His 32% 52 16

UpState..... Urban Othr Yes/deserves No/does not DK/NA 29% 64 6 26% 63 11

UpState Total NYC 26% 63 11 37% 47 16

TREND: Looking ahead to the 2010 election for governor, do you feel that David Paterson deserves to be elected to a full 4-year term, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be elected to a full 4-year term? Dec 15 2009 Yes/deserves No/does not DK/NA 28 59 13 Oct 21 2009 23 63 13 Aug 16 2009 20 67 13 Jun 24 2009 22 64 13 May 13 2009 21 64 15 Apr 6 2009 22 63 16

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