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M*E*M*O*R*A*N*D*U*M  

 
TO:       House  Majority  PAC,  VA-­‐10  
FROM:   Donna  Victoria,  Victoria  Research  &  Consulting  
DATE:     September  30,  2014  
 
This  closely  watched  race  in  the  suburbs  of  Washington  DC  features  County  Supervisor  John  Foust  against  hill  
staffer/lobbyist/political  consultant/delegate  Barbara  Comstock.  Victoria  Research  &  Consulting  (VRC)  has  
conducted  two  polls  for  House  Majority  PAC  in  this  district,  and  we  are  pleased  to  report  that  John  Foust  has  
surged  to  close  the  gap  between  himself  and  Comstock,  while  her  momentum  has  been  at  a  standstill  for  the  last  
6  weeks.    
 
• The  initial  trial  heat  in  this  district  is  now  essentially  tied:  39%  for  John  Foust,  41%  for  Barbara  Comstock,  
and  16%  undecided  (3  minor  party  candidates  garner  4-­‐5%).  While  this  lead  is  just  barely  within  the  margin  
of  error,  everything  in  this  poll  indicates  that  as  voters  become  acquainted  with  Barbara  Comstock,  they  
don’t  like  what  they  see.      
 
• We  have  seen  a  sizable  spike  in  Comstock’s  negative  feeling  thermometer  rating  over  just  the  past  6  
weeks  –  she  has  gone  from  22%  overall  unfavorability,  to  over  30%.  A  large  portion  of  this  spike  can  be  
attributed  to  increased  negative  views  of  Comstock  by  women  both  young  and  old  as  a  result  of  Comstock’s  
radical  views  on  women’s  reproductive  health  issues.      
 
We  already  know  that  our  opponent  and  her  allies  will  spend  whatever  it  takes  to  try  to  push  Barbara  Comstock  
across  the  finish  line,  and  we  will  have  to  fight  this  campaign  right  down  to  the  wire  on  November  4th.    But  thus  
far,  the  more  voters  get  to  know  about  Barbara  Comstock,  the  more  they  find  to  dislike.    
 
 
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This  memorandum  reports  on  the  findings  of  a  poll  taken  among  registered,  likely  2014  voters  in  the  10  Congressional  District  of  Virginia  
September  24-­‐28,  2014.    Four  hundred  interviews  were  conducted  via  hand-­‐dialed,  live  interview  calling.  Eleven  percent  of  the  interviews  
were  conducted  with  respondents  who  were  on  mobile  phones;  however  31%  of  our  sample  reported  that  they  are  either  cell  only  or  use  
their  cell  as  their  primary  phone.  The  poll  was  designed  to  track  the  progress  of  the  congressional  campaign  of  John  Foust  in  this  open  seat  
race.    All  questions  about  this  memo  or  its  contents  should  be  referred  to  Donna  Victoria  (donnaV@victoriaresearch.com).