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MARKING SCHEME

PEPERIKSAAN PERCUBAAN PENGGAL 2 TAHUN 2014


SMK BUKIT MERTAJAM
MATHEMATICS M ( PAPER 2)
NO
1.
[8]

SCHEME
a)
Time
0 x 120
120 x 180
180 x 240
240 x 300
300 x 360
360 x 600

MARKS

Frequency

Width

Midpoint

1
9
15
17
13
5

120
60
60
60
60
240

60
150
210
270
330
480

Frequency
density
0.5
9
15
17
13
1.25

M1(width)
M1
(frequency
density)

D1(Label &
scale)
D1(All
correct)

b) Mean =
=

1 60 9 150 15 210 17 270 13 330 5 480


60

15840
60

M1

A1

= 264
c) Standard deviation =

4674600
264 2
60

= 90.6
2.
[6]

a)

M1
A1

0.1
0.5
P( B)

M1

P(B) = 0.2
A1
b)
c)

P ( B A) P ( B )

A and B are not independent

0.1
0.25
P ( A)

B1

P(A) = 0.4
P ( A B ' ) P ( A) P ( A B)

M1

= 0.4 0.1
= 0.3

M1

3.
[6]

ai) r measure the strength of the relationship between x and y.

A1
B1

ii) 1 r 1
r = 1 mean a perfect positive relationship between x and y.

B1
B1

b) r

26520
( 24479

423(470)
8

( 423) 2
( 470) 2
)(29450
8
8

= 0.847
There have a strong positive correlation between variable x and y.

4.
[7]

a) p+0.25+2p+0.3+0.15=1
3p+0.7=1

M1

A1
B1
M1

P=0.1

A1

b) E(x)=5.7
0(0.1)+2(0.25)+5(0.2)+n(0.3)+12(0.15) = 5.7
3.3+0.3n = 5.7
n=8
c) E(X2) = 02(0.1)+22(0.25)+52(0.2)+82(0.3)+122(0.15)
= 46.8
Var (X) = 46.8-5.72
= 14.31

M1
A1
M1
M1
A1

5. a)
[10]
Year

Quarter

Time
column
,t

Number
of tourist

1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

22.0
12.0
110.0
31.0
21.0
26.0
150.0
70.0
50.0
36.0
146.0
110.0

2011

2012

2013

4-quarter
moving
average

Centred
4-quarter
moving
average

Deviation

43.75
43.5
47
57
66.75
74
76.5
75.5
85.5

43.63
45.25
52.00
61.88
70.38
75.25
76.00
80.50

66.38
-14.25
-31.00
-35.88
79.63
-5.25
-26.00
-44.50

M1 (4quarter
moving
average)
A1 (Centred
4-quarter
moving
average)

b)
Year
2011
2012
2013
Unadjusted
seasonal
variation
Correction
factor
Seasonal
variation

Q1

Q2

-31.00
-26.00
-28.50

-35.88
-44.50
-40.19

Q3
66.38
79.63

Q4
-14.25
-5.25

73.00

-9.75

-1.359

-1.359

-1.359

-1.359

-27.14

-38.83

74.36

-8.39

Quarter

Coded

Number

quarter, t

of
tourist, y

Seasonal

Deseaso

t^2

tT

1
4
9
16
25
36

49.14
101.66
106.92
157.56
240.70
388.97

nalised,
variation

T=y-S

,S

2011

2012

1
2
3
4
1
2

1
2
3
4
5
6

22.0
12.0
110.0
31.0
21.0
26.0

-27.14
-38.83
74.36
-8.39
-27.14
-38.83

49.14
50.83
35.64
39.39
48.14
64.83

M1

A1

c)
Year

M1

2013

3
4
1

7
8
9

150.0
70.0
50.0

74.36
-8.39
-27.14

75.64
78.39
77.14

49
64
81

529.48
627.13
694.27

10

36.0

-38.83

74.83

100

748.28

11

146.0

74.36

71.64

121

788.05

12

110.0

-8.39

118.39

144

1420.69

Total

78

784.0

784.00

650

5852.84

(78)(784)
12
2
78
650
12

M1

5852.84

= 5.293
a

M1

M1

784
78
5.293( )
12
12

= 30.93
T 30.93 5.293t
T1 30.93 5.293(13)

M1

= 99.74
F1 = 99.74+(-27.14)
= 72.6
The predict number of tourist fot 1st quarter 2014=72.6X1000=72600
6.
[8]

A1

a) Simple aggregate price index


120=

M1

3 12 a 14 6
X 100
2.5 10 6 12 5

120

35 a
X 100
35.5

A1

A=7.60
b) L p
=

3( 20) 12(10) 7.6(10) 14(15) 6(5)


X 100
2.5(20) 10(10) 6(10) 12(15) 5(5)

M1

496
X 100
415

= 119.5
From January to July, the familys expenditure on daily food has increased by
19.5%

A1
B1

c) Pq
=

3(10) 12(8) 7.6(9) 14(10) 6(4)


X 100
20(3) 10(2) 10(7.6) 15(14) 5(6)

M1

358.4
X 100
496

= 72.26
From January to July, there is a drop of 27.74% in the quantity of daily food
bought by the family.

A1
B1

7. a) p=0.6 , q = 0.4
[15]
P ( X 3)
i)
8 C 3 ( 0 .6 ) 3 ( 0 .4 ) 5

A1

=0.124
ii)

P( X 2) 1 P ( X 0) P ( X 1)

1 8 C 0 (0.6) 0 (0.4) 8 8 C1 (0.6)1 (0.4) 7

= 1- 0.000655-0.00786
= 0.9914
iii)

iv)

M1

A1

E(X) = 8X0.4
= 3.2
=3

A1

P ( X x 1) (n x) p

P ( X x)
( x 1)q

If P(X = x+1) > P(X = x)


(n-x)p > (x+1)q
(8-x)(0.6) > (x+1)(0.4)
x < 4.4
Hence, P(X=5) > P(X=4) > . >P(X=0)
If P(X = x) > P(X = x+1)
Then x > 4.4
Hence, P(X=5) > P(X=6) > . >P(X=8)
P(X=5) has the highest probability, Hence, number of students that most
likely to pass is 5.

M1
A1
B1

B1
B1

b) P ( X 1) 0.99
1 P(X=0) > 0.99
P(X=0) < 0.1
n

M1

C 0 (0.6) 0 (0.4) n 0.01

0.4 n 0.01

M1

n log 0.4 log 0.01

log 0.01
log 0.4

n 5.02

n=6
c)

np 150(0.6) 90 and npq 150(0.6)(0.4) 36 or

npq 6

A1

X ~ N (90, 36)

P( X> 85) = P ( X 85.5)

M1

85.5 90
)
6
= P ( Z 0.75)
= 1 P ( Z 0.75)

= P(Z

M1

= 1-0.2266
= 0.7734

A1
8. . a)
[15]

Boys

9 6
9 8 6 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 1 0
7 5 3 0 0 0

Key: 6 2 means

Stem

Girls

0
1
2
3
4
5

8
6
4 5
1 2 4 4
0 0 0 2 4 5 7 8 8
0
Key: 08 means 8 hours

hours

D1
D1

B1

B1
b) The distribution for the boys is almost symmetrical while the girls is negatively B1
skewed.

M1
A1A1

c) Boys: IQR

Girls: IQR

M1M1

d)
Boys:

Girls:

M1M1
mean

hours

mean

hours

A1A1
A1

number of hours
e)

number of hours

The dispersion of distribution is larger for the girls.