Towards a low carbon future - the development and application of REAP tourism, a destination footprint and scenario tool, by Emma Rachel Whittlesea and Anne Owen. Article may be used for research, teaching, and private study purposes. Any substantial or systematic reproduction, redistribution, reselling, loan, systematic supply, or distribution in any form to anyone is expressly forbidden.
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Whittlesea & Owen - Towards a low carbon future - the development and application of REAP Tourism, a destination footprint and scenario tool.pdf
Towards a low carbon future - the development and application of REAP tourism, a destination footprint and scenario tool, by Emma Rachel Whittlesea and Anne Owen. Article may be used for research, teaching, and private study purposes. Any substantial or systematic reproduction, redistribution, reselling, loan, systematic supply, or distribution in any form to anyone is expressly forbidden.
Towards a low carbon future - the development and application of REAP tourism, a destination footprint and scenario tool, by Emma Rachel Whittlesea and Anne Owen. Article may be used for research, teaching, and private study purposes. Any substantial or systematic reproduction, redistribution, reselling, loan, systematic supply, or distribution in any form to anyone is expressly forbidden.
Publisher: Routledge Informa Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number: 1072954 Registered office: Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1T 3JH, UK Journal of Sustainable Tourism Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information: http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/rsus20 Towards a low carbon future the development and application of REAP Tourism, a destination footprint and scenario tool Emma Rachel Whittlesea a & Anne Owen b a Earth and Environmental Sciences, School of Geography, University of Plymouth, Plymouth, UK b Faculty of Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK Version of record first published: 08 May 2012. To cite this article: Emma Rachel Whittlesea & Anne Owen (2012): Towards a low carbon future the development and application of REAP Tourism, a destination footprint and scenario tool, Journal of Sustainable Tourism, 20:6, 845-865 To link to this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09669582.2012.680699 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Full terms and conditions of use: http://www.tandfonline.com/page/terms-and- conditions This article may be used for research, teaching, and private study purposes. Any substantial or systematic reproduction, redistribution, reselling, loan, sub-licensing, systematic supply, or distribution in any form to anyone is expressly forbidden. The publisher does not give any warranty express or implied or make any representation that the contents will be complete or accurate or up to date. The accuracy of any instructions, formulae, and drug doses should be independently verified with primary sources. The publisher shall not be liable for any loss, actions, claims, proceedings, demand, or costs or damages whatsoever or howsoever caused arising directly or indirectly in connection with or arising out of the use of this material. Journal of Sustainable Tourism Vol. 20, No. 6, July 2012, 845865 Towards a low carbon future the development and application of REAP Tourism, a destination footprint and scenario tool Emma Rachel Whittlesea a and Anne Owen b a Earth and Environmental Sciences, School of Geography, University of Plymouth, Plymouth, UK; b Faculty of Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK (Received 24 December 2010; nal version received 22 March 2012) This paper explores the development and application of a bespoke modelling and sce- nario tool to quantify the full greenhouse gas (CO 2 e) footprint associated with visitor activity and consumption. Designed for use by destination decision-makers, it helps understand the full CO 2 e impact of visitors, explores potential mitigation strategies and identies emissions reduction possibilities. REAP Tourism can calculate direct and indirect supply chain emissions related to accommodation, travel, food, shopping, ser- vices, attractions, activities and events. This paper demonstrates the tool at a range of different geographic levels in South West England. Initial results show overseas visitors to have an impact of 196 kg CO 2 e per day, domestic overnight visitors having 49 kg and day visitors 48 kg. Further exploration shows the tools ability to show the impact of different marketing/development scenarios on CO 2 e emissions including holidaying locally strategies, encouraging longer stays, buying local goods and encouraging low meat diets. Comparisons show that luxury weekend visitors have ve times the daily impact of family holiday visitors and ten times those of back-packers. The strengths and weaknesses of the tools methodologies and its range of outputs able to inform tourism policy and decision-making are discussed. Keywords: greenhouse gas; climate change; scenario analysis; policy-making; strategy planning; tourism destinations Introduction The tourism industrys success is measured primarily by economic and growth-related in- dicators including tourist arrivals, spend per head, employment levels and the monetary value of its services. This practice is present from global to local measurement and informs strategic frameworks for the tourism sector. However, the tourism economy and associated growth is heavily reliant on fossil fuels emitting greenhouse gases (GHGs), now increas- ingly important for countries to measure, manage and minimise in line with international reduction targets. Under the Kyoto Protocol (United Nations, 1998) these emissions have to be monitored and reported annually. The second International Conference on Climate Change and Tourism held in 2007 recognised the importance of this: the resulting Davos Declaration urged the entire tourism sector to progressively reduce its greenhouse gas emissions (UNWTO, 2007, p. 2). The tourism industry and its destinations were clearly identied as a key delivery and action agent for change.
ISSN 0966-9582 print / ISSN 1747-7646 online C 2012 Taylor & Francis http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09669582.2012.680699 http://www.tandfonline.com D o w n l o a d e d
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846 E.R. Whittlesea and A. Owen Tourisms contribution to global GHGs is calculated as between 5% and 14%, with transport generating around 75% of that share (UNWTO-UNEP-WMO, 2008). Numerous approaches and methodologies have been used to explore the potential contribution of tourism and tourist activity to GHGs internationally (Howitt, Revol, Smith, & Roger, 2010; Peeters &Dubois, 2010; Scott, Peeters, &G ossling, 2010), nationally (Becken &Patterson, 2006; Dwyer, Forsyth, Spurr, & Hoque, 2010; Jackson, Kotsovos, & Morissette, 2008; Jones & Munday, 2007; Patterson & McDonald, 2004), and at regional level (G ossling & Schumacher, 2010; Kelly & Williams, 2007; Konan & Chan, 2010; Kuo & Chen, 2009; Walz et al., 2008). Research into the relationship between emissions and tourismat regional and sub-regional levels is growing with input from both practitioners and academics. Most studies focus on the direct carbon dioxide emissions of the tourism industry, as data and methods are more readily available. A more comprehensive approach, which also aligns with international policy and targets (United Nations, 1998), considers the full GHGs associated with all visitor activity, including emissions from both the burning of fossil fuels and those embedded within supply chains. The rst challenge is quantifying and interpreting the destination baseline and under- standing the construction of the CO 2 e footprint. Once this has been examined the areas of highest impact can be identied and future scenarios can be explored to investigate how tourism emissions can be reduced. This can help regions and destinations inform their strategic plans and set realistic targets and actions to manage and minimise GHGs. This paper presents REAP Tourism (Resource Energy Analysis Programme for Tourism), a bespoke tourism footprinting and scenario tool designed and produced in 2009 by South West Tourism 1 in the UK in partnership with the Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI). It combines day and overnight visitor volume data with data on visitor ex- penditure, accommodation choices and recreational behaviour, multiplied by environmental impact conversion factors. The model was developed for use by regional and destination decision-makers to help understand the full CO 2 e impact of visitors. It can be used to ex- plore potential mitigation strategies and identify where to focus emissions reduction efforts in tourism at a regional and destination level. The model builds on work undertaken by G ossling (2002) and Becken and Simmons (2002) and responds to a research gap identied in a report for the UK government department DEFRA. 2 The report on mapping evidence and trends in sustainable tourism( SQWConsulting, 2007) suggested that a model be devel- oped to measure and investigate the environmental footprint of the UKs tourism industry, by different visitor types and sector components. The tool provides baseline emissions for a region and its subsequent administrative areas and has been designed to be user friendly, transparent and meaningful for use by tourism practitioners. In addition to quantifying the baseline, the tool can also prole scenarios, visitor types and events. This paper describes the methodology behind REAP Tourism and demonstrates its functionality using the South West region of the UK to explore the CO 2 e impact of tourism. REAP Tourism: its design and scope The open and complex nature of tourism means it is crucial to dene what we mean by tourismand the boundaries of impact for the REAP Tourismtool. G ossling (2009) reiterates the importance of transparency when describing system boundaries: boundary changes can play as much a part in the quantity of emissions as carbon reduction strategies. D o w n l o a d e d
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Journal of Sustainable Tourism 847 Dening visitor impact Initial tourism impact studies assigned visitors an impact equal to that of residents in the host country or their country of origin (Cole & Sinclair, 2002; Patterson, Niccolucci, & Bastianoni, 2007, Wackernagel and Rees, 1996) but limitations were recognised; visitors have a unique set of behaviours and demands that are different to residents and their activities need to be measured separately (G ossling, Borgstr omHansson, H orstmeier, &Saggel, 2002; Hunter, 2002). In attempting to measure visitors unique impacts, other studies measured the energy used by accommodation providers and tourist attractions (Becken, Simmons, & Frampton, 2003), converting energy use into CO 2 estimates (Becken, 2005; Dickinson, Robbins, & Lumsdon, 2010) and CO 2 e (Byrnes & Warnken, 2006; G ossling 2002; Konan &Chan, 2010). The most comprehensive work to date is presented in the WTO/UNEP 2008 Climate Change and Tourism report (UNWTO-UNEP-WMO, 2008), using 2005 data, the rst attempt to calculate global CO 2 emissions from the three main tourism sub-sectors. The measurement of emissions from direct energy use allows comparison of those activities that require energy but does not encompass the impacts associated with the production of goods and services consumed by visitors. For this study we followWeidmann and Minxs (2008) work on footprinting which uses a consumption accounting methodology that denes impact as the total set of greenhouse gas (CO 2 e) emissions caused by an organisation, event, product or person. By choosing a consumption approach and CO 2 e as REAP Tourisms measure of impact, the tool goes beyond the scope of other visitor impact studies where impact is often limited to the direct energy use of accommodation, activity providers and visitor travel (Becken 2005; Becken &Patterson, 2006). When accounting for emissions, REAP Tourisms CO 2 e Footprint not only measures the direct energy but also includes the indirect supply chain emissions involved in the production of food, consumable goods and services. The only other study found to date which accounts for a full CO 2 e footprint of visitors, including food and consumer items, is Konan and Chans (2010) study in Hawaii. Most footprint studies and models describe the impact of their given population over a year but this can restrict investigations. Becken and Patterson (2006) compared the energy uses of visitor types in New Zealand, and found that meaningful comparisons between visitor types are only possible when trip lengths are equivalent. Taking this into account, REAP Tourism allows measurement of visitors impact on a total and per visitor night metric as used by Becken and Simmons (2008). This means the volume of impact can be compared as well as a measure of impact intensity, and the user can prole the relative impacts of different holidays and choices. Cole and Sinclair (2002) highlight the importance of considering seasonality of impacts and REAP Tourism can be used to consider impact over timeframes shorter than a year so that the effects of events, peak season and public holidays can be explored. Measuring visitor activity or the tourism sector? There is a distinction between measuring the impact of the tourism sector and measuring the impact of tourists themselves. G ossling et al. (2005) measure the eco-efciency of the tourism sector in various locations and the comprehensive UNWTO-UNEP-WMO (2008) study attempts to measure global emissions from all tourism. One of the difculties associ- ated with measuring the impact of the tourismsector is accounting for services such as cater- ing and transportation which are used by tourists and local residents alike (Hunter, 2002). This issue is removed when impact is assigned to the tourists themselves. D o w n l o a d e d
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848 E.R. Whittlesea and A. Owen Bearing this in mind we used the IPAT equation (Ehrlich & Holden, 1971) as a starting point to consider the impacts of tourism, which describes environmental impact (I) being directly related to a combination of population (P), afuence (A) and technology (T) I = PAT. To understand the full impact of tourism (I), we must therefore consider the volume of visitors (P), the activities they take part in and the products they consume (A) alongside the energy intensities of the tourism activities and the way the products are produced (T). With this framework in mind, a methodology and tool was developed which measures the impact of visitor activity rather than the impact of the tourism sector. Many authors (Becken & Patterson, 2006; Cole & Sinclair, 2002; G ossling et al., 2002; Hunter, 2002) recognise the importance of taking a visitor focus rather than an industry focus but there is variation in the literature about how wide a scope to take. Hunter and Shaw (2006) suggest that a calculation of net impact needs to be considered, recognising that when visitors are abroad, they are not generating impact in their own country. This is not relevant for REAP Tourism which has been designed to aid destination managers to investigate, manage and minimise the full impact of their tourism products and visitors to the destination itself. Dening visitors and visitor impacts REAP Tourism takes the recommendations from the UKs Department for Culture, Media and Sport (DCMS, 1998) dening a visitor as anyone on an irregular visit to the region spending more than three hours there. This means local residents can be day visitors, but if they are attending their regular place of work or making a regular shopping trip they are excluded. Overnight visitors are those staying overnight in the region in both paid for and free accommodation. There is much debate about what activities and spends to include in the visitor footprint. Becken et al. (2003) argue exclusion of the impact of air travel because the international ight becomes the centre of attention around which other holiday components are less signicant. In later work, discussing CO 2 assessments at the global scale, Becken and Patterson (2006) make the case for excluding air travel to reduce the risk of double counting; they drawa boundary of impact around national borders. Air travel is a contentious issue and is signicant in its exclusion from the Kyoto agreement, however, if it were excluded from the tool we would not be assessing the full impact of visitors travelling to the destination. We argue that a region should measure the air travel impact of its visitors because the choice of destination and transport mode are areas where a region has some inuence particularly in the way it markets itself. In addition, radiative forcing should be taken into account for air travel (UNWTO-UNEP-WMO, 2008) and REAP Tourism complies with this by increasing the impacts from air travel by a factor of 1.9 (DEFRA, 2010). Dening other spends is even more problematic. Clearly accommodation and tourist attraction impacts are part of visitor footprints, but supermarket shopping or holiday prod- ucts such as sun cream bought in the country of origin are not so clear (Hunter, 2002). REAP Tourisms approach is to only include spend by visitors whilst at their destination. This means the net impact, where reductions are made to account for a visitors absence of impact in their home country, is not considered. The impact visitors have by using government-provided services is absent from current value of tourism economic data sets but was seen as an important consideration for the tool. Converting the county of Cornwalls annual visitor nights into a metric equivalent to visitor years, yields a gure (528,000) that D o w n l o a d e d
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Journal of Sustainable Tourism 849 Table 1. Description of REAP Tourisms eight themes. Eight themes Description of what is included in the REAP Tourism CO 2 e footprint Accommodation The direct and indirect impact of the energy used in caravans, campsites, campuses, holiday villages, hostels, self catered properties, guest accommodation, hotels, inns, second homes and the homes of visitors friends and relatives Food The indirect supply chain impacts of food production for catered food from pubs, cafes, restaurants, takeaways and snack shops and non-catered food spend from supermarkets Travel The direct and indirect impacts of arrival and return travel and travel whilst staying in the region by different travel modes such as cars, motorbikes, trains, buses, coaches, planes, boats and by foot Shopping The indirect supply chain impacts of the production of various goods such as recreational items, clothing, furniture, household appliances, personal electronic equipment, jewellery and toys Activities The indirect supply chain impacts of a visit to take part in tourist activities such as exploring nature, powered and non-powered water sports, adventure sports and leisure activities Attractions The indirect supply chain impacts of trips to tourist attractions such as castles, gardens, churches, theme parks, museums, farms, zoos and views Events The indirect supply chain impacts of a visit to a tourist event such as a carnival, circus, sports or religious event, concert, festival, fete or conference Services The indirect supply chain impacts of services such as tourist information, insurance, vehicle hire, cleaning, emergency, breakdown and hospital services, car parking and communication is greater than Cornwalls resident population (524,000). The corresponding visitor de- mand on the hospital, local police, water supply, waste treatment, street cleansing, parking, beach cleaning and tourist information ofces will have an impact in the local area but will not show up on expenditure data. REAP Tourism attempts to quantify and recognise this impact under the category of services using a South West residents daily impact as a proxy (REAP, 2006). Table 1 describes what is included in the REAP Tourism visitor CO 2 e footprint categorised into eight broad themes of accommodation, food, travel, shopping, activities, attractions, events and services. The sub-categories are largely inuenced by existing data collection systems. Accom- modation breakdowns from the UK Tourism Survey (UKTS), the UNs COICOP (Clas- sication of Individual Consumption according to Purpose) classication of households food and goods expenditure and the classications used in the Visitor Attraction Survey (Visit Britain, 2007) are used. The activities sub-classication was inspired by Becken and Simmons (2002) classication system and informed by the existing structures of tourism data sets. Geographic boundaries REAP Tourism has the ability to model the visitor impact for any geographic area but to demonstrate the tool we explore the UKs South West Region, which attracts more UK visitors than any other English region (UKTS, 2009). The South West attracts around 23 million overnight visitors and 97 million day visitors per annum, contributing around 9.4 billion to the economy and supporting 198,000 FTE jobs (South West Tourism, 2010). D o w n l o a d e d
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850 E.R. Whittlesea and A. Owen Visitor data are collected for the seven counties and former counties and other key local authority areas within the South West. The model utilises this and takes a consistent approach to measuring visitor impact at multiple scales, using the same methods and datasets, so that comparisons can be made between areas. Method of tool development and construction Visitor impact is a combination of the volume of visitors, their demands for activities and the conversion factors which convert the unit spend into CO 2 e. Conversion factors are required for both the direct emissions caused from burning fuel and the indirect emissions embedded in the goods and services supply chain. Indirect impact factors for spend on goods and services The indirect impacts associated with visitors are emissions released within the production supply chain of the product, goods or services consumed by visitors. This means that the sum of all the production stage emissions must be calculated and reallocated to the consumer. There are two main methods for allocating indirect impacts to the nal consumer: Process Life Cycle Analysis (PLCA) and Environmentally Extended Input Output Analysis (EEIO) (Weidmann, 2009). Process Life Cycle Analysis (PLCA) can be described as a bottom up approach that starts from a single product and attempts to measure impacts generated at each stage of the products supply chain. To measure the impacts associated with a visitors total consumption of all goods and services using the PLCA method would be extremely time-consuming and data intensive. There are far too many different products to examine and maintaining a consistent approach across all of them would be challenging. Calculating impacts embedded in the consumption of goods and services of a whole country or region is better suited to a top down approach provided by Environmentally Extended Input-Output (EEIO) methods (Miller & Blair, 2009). This is a macro-economic modelling technique that combines an economic modelling framework with data from environmental accounts. Appendix 1 shows the economic component as a matrix showing how industrial sectors buy from other industrial sectors (the appendices to this work can only be found in the online version of the paper, at www.tandfonline.com/JOST). Added to the base of this matrix is additional data about the total impacts associated with each sector of the economy. This can include the emissions reported in National Accounts, details about the resource use of each industry or employment numbers in each industry. Alongside the economic matrix is a column showing nal demand the amount of products bought from each sector. In its initial state, the model can demonstrate push through events such as how increases in production could make available more products. In the 1930s, the economist Leontief (1970) demonstrated that if the matrix was mathe- matically inverted it could be used to explore pull through events. Leontief showed how an increase in spend on products, reected in the nal demand column, alters the industrial sectors associated with the product and thus how employment in each sector would have to alter to meet this change in demand. This technique can be used to show how emissions change with a unit (one GBP) increase in spend on each product. This, in effect, is the conversion factor showing impact on CO 2 e per pound spent. This technique, described in detail by Minx et al. (2009), Weidmann (2009) and Wei- dmann, Minx, Barrett and Wackernagel (2006), underpins the Resource Energy Analysis Programme (REAP) suite of tools developed by the Stockholm Environment Institute D o w n l o a d e d
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Journal of Sustainable Tourism 851 (Dawkins, Owen, & Roelich, 2011; REAP, 2010). A similar Input-Output (IO) approach is also used by Konan and Chan (2010) to measure CO 2 e emissions of visitors to Hawaii. Appendix 2 gives examples of some of the indirect conversion factors used in the tool which are produced from the IO analysis. Direct and indirect impact factors for accommodation and travel The UKs DEFRA publishes emission conversion factors to convert existing data sources (e.g. utility bills, car mileage, refrigeration and fuel consumption) into CO 2 e emissions. These conversion factors include the emissions from both fuel burning and supply chain emissions associated with producing the fuel. For accommodation, we additionally need gas, oil and electricity usage per visitor night for different accommodation types. The data were provided by South West Tourism from business advisory visits carried out by environmental consultancies including the Green Tourism Business Scheme. For travel a CO 2 e per km travelled is assigned for various transport modes. Appendix 3 provides examples of the conversion factors (DEFRA, 2010). Visitor spends and demands The REAP Tourism model needs the conversion factors, volume of visitors and the spend and demand characteristics of visitors across the region. Appendix 4 summarises 3 what data was collected and where it was sourced from for each of the eight themes. Tool functions The tool is designed around a two-layered tab system. The top layer contains two tabs; one allows the user to view or enter data for a single area or year and the second allows graphical comparisons of each of the entries. The second layer of tabs corresponds to each of the eight data themes so that data can be viewed, entered and compared. REAP Tourism has four ways of investigating data about visitors: Baseline data on the impact by geographic area can be viewed and compared Future scenarios can be run on the baseline year Visitor proles can be created and compared Event proles can be created and compared. The input requirements, xed elements and outputs of these four pathways are sum- marised in Figure 1. When viewing the baseline section, users can select a geographic area of interest and view the input data by theme. The impact results are displayed at the base of the screen and can be changed from totals to per visitor day. The scenario section is based on the IPAT equation (Ehrlich & Holden, 1971), allowing the user to alter the volume of visitors, their expenditure or demands in relation to the eight themes and nally the impact intensity of the conversion factors. The visitor and event prole sections allow the user to describe the character of spends of particular visitor types and the impact of visitors, operations and staff involved in a particular event. D o w n l o a d e d
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852 E.R. Whittlesea and A. Owen Figure 1. A workow diagram of REAP Tourism. User engagement The conception stage of design identied that the model should be user-led and informed, to ensure appropriateness and accessibility for tourism practitioners involved in decision- making, strategy formulation and destination management. Once initial specications had been determined stakeholder workshops were held to gain feedback before and throughout the tools development. REAP Tourism (Version 1) was made available in July 2009 for 12 months testing and review by over 100 tourism professionals. Feedback was gained through workshops, direct application and user evaluation. Users particularly liked the ability to explore the impact of different tourism components, the exibility to add their own data, the localised reporting and district level comparisons. They also found it useful to apply the modelling to particular events and scenarios (see the potential effects of actions and changes and the variety of applications). The tool was well received and described as a very useful, well thought out tool. This paper uses Version 2 released in December 2010, with data and conversion factors from 2006 and incorporates improvements to the structure and functionality. Results Here we present the outputs from REAP Tourism, exploring the 2006 CO 2 e footprint of overseas, domestic and day visitors to the South West of England, and smaller geographies within the region. We demonstrate how the tool can help identify determinants of a high footprint and allow the user to explore these in more detail by interrogating the baseline D o w n l o a d e d
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Journal of Sustainable Tourism 853 Table 2. South West visitor total and per visitor day CO 2 e footprint. 2006 Total annual CO 2 e (tonnes) CO 2 e per visitor day (kg) Overseas staying visitor 33,928,324 196.42 Domestic staying visitor 3,846,599 49.15 Day visitor 4,511,130 47.76 All visitors 12,286,053 63.75 South West residents a 85,144,585 45.52 a Source: REAP Model, SEI, 2006. dataset. Through the prole functions of the tool we provide examples of how the tool can be used to examine in detail the impacts of different visitors and scenarios. The visitor prole function is used to demonstrate the impacts of different visitor types and behaviours, for example the impact of buying local. The scenario prole function is used to examine different growth scenarios and consider the impact of actions to reduce emissions. We start with an interpretation of the baseline data outputs. Variation by visitor type Table 2 shows the total visitor CO 2 e impact in South West (SW) England to be 12.3 million tonnes CO 2 e set in a context of 85.1 million tonnes for SW residents. Overseas visitors account for 20% of the total visitor nights spent in the SW, yet are responsible for 51% of visitor emissions. The average impact of a SW visitor is 63.8 kg CO 2 e per day but this gure varies by visitor type. Thus the average overseas overnight visitor has a daily impact of 196.4 kg CO 2 e almost four times the impact of a domestic overnight visitor (49.2 kg CO 2 e). The impact of day visitors and domestic overnight visitors are closer in comparison to the average SW residents footprint of 45.52 kg CO 2 e per day. Variation by location Appendix 5 further explores the regions total CO 2 e impact by sub-region. In addition to information on visitor volume by sub-region, the accommodation choice, average dis- tance travelled by mode, the average number of visits to attractions and the total average expenditure of visitors to each sub-region are used as model inputs. The results illustrate differences between counties in terms of the size and constitution of their visitor CO 2 e footprints. Devon has the highest and Wiltshire the lowest total impact and this reects the volume and character of visitors, illustrating the need for destination level footprinting to inform local strategies and action plans. For example, the majority of Cornwalls visitor impact is from domestic visitors (53%), whereas in Avon County, the largest proportion of impact is from overseas visitors (50%). Reviewing the average footprint per visitor day (Figure 2) allows direct comparison of the visitor characteristics. Overseas visitors have consistently higher CO 2 e impacts, but on a per visitor day basis Somerset countys overseas visitors have almost twice the impact of those in Dorset. Closer investigation reveals that the origin of overseas visitors to Somerset tends to be further away than Dorsets and therefore the transport impact is considerably higher. There is less variation between domestic overnight and day visitor D o w n l o a d e d
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854 E.R. Whittlesea and A. Owen Figure 2. 2006 daily sub-regional visitor CO 2 e footprint for the South West. footprints. Understanding the relative footprint proles of the SWs sub-regions would allow investigation into disproportionate growth in certain areas. Variation by theme Figure 3 illustrates the contributions from each of the eight themes (combining activities, attractions and events) and provides an insight into why impacts vary in size between visitor types. The overseas per visitor day footprint is nearly four times the impact of a domestic overnight or day visitor to the region. Alarge proportion (82%) of the footprint is attributable to travel, followed by food (8%) and accommodation (4%). Many previous studies conrm that travel contributes the majority of the impact of an overseas visitor (Konan & Chan, 2010; Patterson et al., 2007; Peeters & Schouten, 2006; UNWTO-UNEP-WMO, 2008). For domestic overnight visitors the largest proportion of the footprint is food (36%), followed by transport (33%) and accommodation (16%). The balance for day visitors is quite different; most emissions link to food (57%) and shopping (17%), with travel at just 12%. More detailed survey data might reveal why day visitors have a higher impact per day on food and shopping than overnight visitors, for example the type and amount of products consumed. Currently we can only observe the differences. An average SW resident CO 2 e footprint (REAP, 2006) is slightly lower than the average domestic overnight and day visitor. Further exploration is needed but holidaying locally, rather than abroad, could be part of a national strategy to reduce CO 2 e. Bath and North East Somerset a transport case study The unitary authority of Bath and North East Somerset (BANES) has the largest average visitor CO 2 e footprint in the SW(122 kg CO 2 e) while rural East Dorset has the lowest (54 kg CO 2 e). Considering both the types of visitors and themes of impact (Appendix 6) helps D o w n l o a d e d
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Journal of Sustainable Tourism 855 Figure 3. Construction of the South West per visitor day CO 2 e footprint by theme. illustrate the variation, showing the travel impact of BANES overseas visitors to be the main cause of differing impact size. Table 3 reveals overseas visitors to BANES contribute 20% of visitor days spent but account for over 60% of emissions. When we isolate transport, BANES overseas visitors account for over 90% of emissions associated with transport. Looking in detail at the sub components of each theme can help further with mitigation and future planning. We discover that 88% of the kilometres travelled to and from the destination by all BANES visitors is by air. Appendix 3 shows the impact per passenger kilometre for international planes is not the highest conversion factor, so high impacts associated with overseas visitors is not necessarily a function of their travel mode, rather the volume of kilometres travelled. This type of analysis could inform future marketing strategy towards the domestic and short haul European markets rather than long haul abroad to help reduce absolute transport impact. Further strategies to reduce per visitor day transport impact could be to increase length of stay: the impact of this and other mitigation strategies can be investigated using the tool. Transport length of stay case study The average length of stay in 2006 in the SW was 8.97 days for overseas and 3.85 days for domestic visitors. Using the scenario function we explore the impact on transport emissions of increasing length of stay of overnight visitors. Table 3. Contribution to BANEs impact by visitor type. Overseas staying Domestic staying Day % of BANES total visitor days 20.1% 26.8% 53.1% % of BANES total impact of CO 2 e 51.1% 19.0% 29.9% % of BANES total travel impact 84.7% 9.0% 6.3% D o w n l o a d e d
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856 E.R. Whittlesea and A. Owen Figure 4. South West day visitor shopping proles showing the baseline, buying 100% local and buying 100% from abroad. The total distance travelled to and from the region is a function of the average distance travelled by each visitor and visitor numbers. If visitors stay longer, the total number of unique visitors will reduce due to the baseline number of visitor nights remaining constant. Overall, the total distance travelled by all visitors will drop by the same proportion as the number of unique visitors. If visitors stay for twice as long, the number of unique visitors and total distance associated with travelling to and from the destination is halved. The revised kilometres travelled (by mode) corresponding to a one and two day increase in length of stay was entered into REAP Tourism to examine the impact on emissions. Appendix 7 shows that increasing the average length of stay by one or two days reduces the transport component of the CO 2 e footprint for overnight visitors by 581,000 tonnes CO 2 e (13%) or 1 million tonnes CO 2 e (22%), respectively. Overseas visitors account for only 20% of those visitors staying overnight, but the absolute reduction in emissions is higher than domestic visitors by 21% for a one-day increase and 28% for two days. This is due to the much higher per visitor day transport footprint of 160.93 kg CO 2 e over the domestic 16.02 kg CO 2 e. This suggests that marketing strategies should encourage overnight visitors to stay longer to reduce impact, especially those travelling from overseas, and revised accommodation offers might assist that. Shopping buy local case study The shopping impact of day visitors to the SW is 7.98 kg CO 2 e per visitor day. Using the prole function of the tool we can compare shopping behaviours of visitors, between those who buy exactly the same goods, but are made locally, made in UK, or are imported. Figure 4 shows the impact could almost be halved if a day visitor bought entirely UK-made products. Whilst this switch to 100% buy local is a highly unrealistic scenario, it demonstrates the ability of REAP Tourism to not only calculate supply chain emissions from goods D o w n l o a d e d
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Journal of Sustainable Tourism 857 Table 4. Information used to compare three different visitor proles. Theme Back-packer Luxury break Family holiday Initial Information Visits Cornwall for 14 days Visits Bath for 3 days Visits Dorset for 7 days Accommodation Spends 7 nights camping and 7 nights in a hostel 3 nights in a hotel 7 nights self-catering Food Meals in pub and caf es. Buys groceries for self-catering a Meals in pubs, restaurants and cafes b Buys groceries for self-catering c Travel Travels to Cornwall from Yorkshire by train. Once there, walks and cycles around 10 miles per day d Flies to Bristol from Edinburgh. Once there, uses public transport and taxis to get around Bath e Uses their own car to travel to Dorset from Wales. Once there, travels about 20 km a day on excursions f Shopping Buys a few t-shirts and some soap g Buys jewellery and art h Buys a surf board and some beach toys i Activities Goes to the beach most days Goes climbing Days out to the beach and nature reserves Attractions Two trips to the cinema Two art galleries Gardens, the zoo, historic houses, a fort, a theme park Events A concert A football match The fair a Assume total spends of 20 on pub food, 20 on caf e food, 10 on meat, 10 on fruit and vegetables, 5 on dairy, 5 on cereals and pasta, 5 on non-alcoholic drinks and 5 on alcoholic drinks. b Assume total spends of 10 on pub food, 10 on caf e food and 60 on restaurant food. c Assume total spends of, 5 on meat, 5 on fruit and vegetables, 3 on dairy, 3 on cereals and pasta, 3 on non-alcoholic drinks and 3 on alcoholic drinks. d Assume total train distance of 1000 km. e Assume total domestic plane distance of 1000 km, local bus distance of 20 km and taxi distance of 40 km. f Assume total car distance of 820 km. g Assume total spends of 20 on clothes and shoes and 5 on medicine and personal care. h Assume total spends of 300 on jewellery and 200 on art. i Assume total spends of 200 on large recreational items and 20 on toys. produced in the UK and elsewhere, but also the usefulness of the prole function in exploring visitor behaviour and choice. Similar investigations can show the impacts of buying local food or of visitors choosing a low meat diet. Proling different visitor types The visitor prole function can also demonstrate the impact of different visitor typologies. Consider three visitors on three very different types of holiday: a back-packer, a visitor on a luxury weekend break and a visitor on a family holiday. Table 4 shows key information on how long visitors stay, what accommodation, travel, activity and spending choices they make, and examples of the data that could be entered into the tool to compare the visitors relative impacts. Appendix 8 demonstrates the modelled results of the three visitor proles, revealing the luxury weekend visitor to have ve times the daily impact of a family holiday visitor and ten times that of a back-packer. This type of visitor proling could enable market research to understand, predict and interpret visitor behaviour, and inform the development of low carbon tourism products, campaigns and target marketing. D o w n l o a d e d
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858 E.R. Whittlesea and A. Owen Proling an event The event prole function can be used to demonstrate and explore the emissions impact of visitors to an event as well as the operations of the event itself. Data is entered into the tool on visitor and staff numbers, length of stay, spending, accommodation and travel behaviour. Alongside this, operational data can be entered which includes the waste produced, and the water and fuel used. Investigation of the Bournemouth Air Show (Air Festival Symposium, 2010) and Corn- walls Boardmasters Festival (Cornwall Development Company, 2011) shows the impact of operations to be small (less than 5%) in relation to the overall impact of the visitors and staff attending the event. This function of the tool can help event organisers identify areas of high impact, which can be reviewed annually, as well as assisting destination managers with strategy development. Proling growth and changes in visitor numbers REAP Tourism can also explore different growth scenarios. To demonstrate, a future increase in visitor arrivals is considered; a reasonable assumption in light of international and national trend reports (UNWTO, 2001). The Visit England Strategic Framework for Tourism(Visit England, 2010) and the Principles for Success for tourismin the South West (South West Tourism Alliance, 2011) set out a headline ambition of 3% (plus ination) annual growth in value to 2020. This example assumes growth is achieved through a corresponding increase in visitor nights, with no change to the baseline spend per day, behaviour or conversion factors. Appendix 9 presents four different growth scenarios based on an exponential growth rate of visitor nights per annum. Scenario 1 applies a growth rate to visitor nights of 3% per annum for all visitor types in line with the Visit England forecasts. Scenario 2 applies a lower growth rate of 1.5% per annum. Scenario 3 applies a higher growth rate of 4.4% to overseas visitor nights and a reduced rate of 2.6% for domestic visitor nights reecting the associated changes in spend forecast by Deloitte (Deloitte and Oxford Economics, 2010). A3%growth rate is applied to day visitors. Scenario 4 applies a 3%growth rate to domestic and day visitor nights and replaces the 3%overseas growth with equivalent domestic market growth. Overseas visitor nights remain at 2006 levels in this scenario. The increase in nights was calculated from the 2006 baseline through to 2020. Figure 5 presents the results. Unsurprisingly halving the forecast level of growth has the biggest reduction in emissions but changing the proportions of visitor types also has an effect. Scenario 4 retains the same visitor night growth levels as Scenario 1 but CO 2 e is 8% lower due to the increase in overseas visitors being shifted to domestic. The results present signicant challenges to destination managers seeking to grow business and reduce CO 2 e emissions. REAP Tourism can also explore growth scenarios alongside the impact of different mitigation policies, allowing for a more considered and informed approach to reducing emissions. Discussion Strengths of the tool At the time of writing, REAP Tourism appears to be the only visitor impact tool available with preloaded data and scenario functionality for use by tourism practitioners at a regional D o w n l o a d e d
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Journal of Sustainable Tourism 859 Figure 5. Total CO 2 e footprint for the four alternative 2020 growth scenarios. level, so comparison with other tools is difcult. REAPTourismprovides baseline emissions for overseas, domestic and day visitors, for the region and its administrative areas, and can contribute to understanding and developing low carbon tourism development. The relative comparison to a residents footprint is only possible because of the consistent methodological approach used by the REAP tool for residents in the UK and the REAP Tourism tool. In addition the tool explores a wider scope of visitor activities than other studies and attempts a consistent methodological approach at different spatial scales. Konan and Chan (2010) identify their treatment of imports as one of the limitations in their approach to measuring visitor impact; they use a single region IO table which does not consider the composition and differing energy intensity of production practices abroad. REAP methodology can attribute different impact to products sourced in the UK and elsewhere. Several authors have modelled future tourism CO 2 e scenarios (Dickinson et al., 2010; G ossling & Hall, 2008; G ossling et al., 2005; Peeters & Dubois, 2010; UNWTO-UNEP- WMO, 2008) but REAP Tourism appears to be the rst to provide a consistent modelling framework for scenario development for different geographic levels. The scenario function allows the user to run basic investigations into how future tourism impacts might change. To model a change in behaviour, the user must manipulate the demands (spends) on food and goods or kilometres travelled by mode. Future scenarios also need to take into account technology improvements; this can be modelled by adjusting the intensity of the conversion factor to the desired setting. The REAP Tourism tool also calculates ecological, direct waste and direct water use footprints which should also be considered alongside social and economic indicators for broader investigations into sustainable tourism. D o w n l o a d e d
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860 E.R. Whittlesea and A. Owen Weaknesses Data uncertainty Because REAP Tourism explores a wider scope of visitor activities than other studies and attempts a consistent methodological approach at different spatial scales, it is inevitable that some data types, timeframes and sources will be more accurate and robust than others. The REAPTourismmetadata document (REAP, 2010) identies data sources and spatial resolution and attempts to provide transparency about the reliability of both the demand (spend) data and the conversion factor for each variable. Many of the reliability issues in REAP Tourism occur from assumptions made in disaggregation of high level spends to lower level categories. For example, food and shopping spends by district are proportioned to meat or clothing based on an average UK residents expenditure prole, assuming no differences in resident and visitors consumption. Similarly, total kilometres travelled by mode is available at county level and is proportioned to district level based on visitor numbers rather than investigating the unique travel behaviours present in smaller areas. Improvements would need detailed visitor survey data at destination level, perhaps through travel diaries. A user could easily update the baseline spend data with improved gures. It is difcult to ascertain the impact of changes in technology on average emissions, and the use of national conversion factors cannot pick up on variation locally, for example in local transport vehicles (the SW has no electric trains) and the local energy mix. DEFRA (2010) have reported the limitations and assumptions made with the fuel and transport conversion factors but these are the best available to date. Furthermore, Defras indirect emissions associated with fuel burning and transport are based on data from the JEC Well-To-Wheels study (DEFRA, 2010) and include emissions associated with extraction and transporting of primary fuels, as well as the rening, distribution storage and retail of nished fuels. This is a different methodology to the EEIO approach used for the food, goods and services conversion factors. Weidmann et al. (2006) have detailed the assumptions and limitations behind Input- Output methodology, which include assigning a global average impact to imported goods and lack of details within certain product groups. However, given the nature of the demand (spend) data it would be very difcult to distinguish what proportion of goods bought by visitors were sourced from China rather than India. In REAP Tourism, many of the data categories, such as art and furnishing have the same conversion factor because art and furnishing were part of the same category in the input-output model. Their separation in this tool is in anticipation of IO models one day being able to distinguish the impacts of more categories. Tool and modelling limitations REAP Tourism is a snapshot of 2006; it could now be updated with 2008 data sets and conversion factors. Care should be taken using data and conversion factors for forecasting and scenario development that are more than two to three years in age. Current climate change literature works with cumulative carbon budgets detailing the global allowance of CO 2 e between now and 2050 (Meinshausen et al., 2009). At present, measuring cumulative impact within REAP Tourism is problematic because impact is shown per year rather than over longer time periods such as decades. REAP Tourism assigns environmental impact to visitors demand for food, goods and services based on visitor spends. This approach makes the assumption that for the same product type, a higher-priced version has greater impact. In fact, buying higher costing, D o w n l o a d e d
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Journal of Sustainable Tourism 861 higher quality items may mean that the consumer has less disposable income available and buys fewer items. Moving towards measuring impact per unit or impact per kilogram of product would help with this issue, but IO tables based on physical units are still in early stages of development (Girod & de Haan, 2009). User error is a consideration surrounding the wider use and application of REAP Tourism by a range of practitioners. Although training and support can help minimise this, there could still be potential for misinterpretation of data, and / or mistakes in data entry. Opportunities for improvement The REAP Tourism approach could be rolled out to all regions of the UK and can be extended to other world regions if spend and emissions data is available. This would allow tourisms full contribution to the Global CO 2 e budget debate to be explored consistently at all levels worldwide. It could also assist destinations with ambitions to become carbon neutral to explore and develop strategies to achieve the three step approach proposed by G ossling and Schumacher (2010). This research has identied priority areas of underlying data, conversion factors and functionality that could be improved: Visitor surveys to better understand the difference in visitor consumption Visitor surveys to gain insight into the travel behaviour at the local scale Develop a new set of conversion factor intensities linked to future energy policy scenarios Measure demand for goods in terms of their weight rather than price. The more the tool is used and applied by practitioners in the eld, the more information can be gleaned for its improvement to ensure it is relevant, robust and easy to use. Interpreting visitor CO 2 e impacts There are distinct differences between geographic areas in terms of the size and constitution of their visitor CO 2 e footprints, whether looking at absolute or relative values, type of visitors or by thematic components of the footprint. Absolute values are helpful for scenario planning and exploring overall reductions in emissions, but the relative per day values are crucial in understanding the makeup of the footprints and the variation in visitor impact for different areas. The breakdown of the footprints thematic prole can inform mitigation policy and allow investigation of impact and areas for priority. Different visitor types may require different mitigation policies and strategies. For example, the largest proportion of the overseas footprint is attributable to travel (82%), for domestic overnight visitors it is food (36%), followed by travel (33%), and for day visitors the most emissions are caused by food (57%) and shopping (17%). The latest climate change literature attempts to quantify a carbon budget between now and 2050 and discusses the most appropriate means of allocating budgets to world regions (Meinshausen et al., 2009). The next step of this type of research will be to gather more detailed data on visitor consumption and the impacts of different visitor proles and holidays, to understand the relative impacts of different holiday practices such as slow travel (Dickinson et al., 2010). Further work needs to be done to identify those visitors and products that are high value but low CO 2 e impact and to explore whether people can D o w n l o a d e d
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862 E.R. Whittlesea and A. Owen be more indulgent on holiday if sufcient CO 2 e savings are being made elsewhere in their lifestyle. Reducing the CO 2 e impact of tourism is an environmental, technical, management and governance challenge, and a social and behavioural change issue. Visitor choices on travel, eating out, accommodation and activities all directly affect the size of the CO 2 e footprint. These are complex and major questions. Understanding successful emissions reduction will in part depend on CO 2 e measurement and monitoring and how this can be used to improve tourism policy and strategic decision-making, and to inuence visitor behaviour. Further considerations There are further complexities. A reduction in long haul visitors to the South West does not necessarily mean a global CO 2 e reduction if they are displaced to another destination. A focus on local and domestic visitor markets to reduce CO 2 e in the South West may have the co-benet of reducing visitor impacts in other countries if UK residents choose domestic holidays. Tourism growth targets can be in conict with CO 2 e reduction targets, but the scenario planning function could help decouple projected growth from rising CO 2 e impacts. CO 2 e reductions can also improve resilience to increasing fuel costs which are predicted to double by 2020 (Smithers, 2010). This is an area for further investigation, to analyse growth scenarios alongside mitigation strategies and to consider the relationship between the economic impact and CO 2 e footprint of different combinations. Delivering a reduction in CO 2 e requires investment of time, resources and innovation across the tourism sector, and needs clear leadership from government identifying who is responsible for delivery and accountability. At the time of writing, the UK has no national tourism CO 2 e measurement, reporting or reduction targets that sit alongside economic measures for the sector. Measuring, managing and minimising CO 2 e should form a key part of tourism strategy at macro, meso and micro scales but this requires both easy access to the data and tools, and effective governance systems. The South West Tourism Alliance (2011) Principles for Success was produced to help guide the tourism industry in the region. It promotes an overarching commitment to sustainable low carbon growth and REAP Tourism was used to model and explore the carbon impacts. The document includes carbon emissions as a core indicator alongside visitor expenditure, setting an emissions reduction target for tourism to support the national 2020 target set out in the Climate Change Act (Crown, 2008). There is recognition that there will need to be signicant changes in both the visit characteristics and the tourism offer to achieve low carbon growth (South West Tourism Alliance, 2011, p. 10). Conclusion This study shows it is possible to develop a model that produces baseline emissions data for visitors at multiple scales and in a consistent way. It allows the user to measure but also investigate the data and has the potential to help sub-regional destinations manage and minimise emissions by exploring a low carbon future for tourism. The next steps should explore further the impact of mitigation policies and seek feedback and empirical evidence from destinations to demonstrate the tools value, and if it can or has led to changes in policy or planning at destination level. There is a clear need to engage tourism managers and decision-makers in understand- ing the relationship between growth (in revenue and/or visitor numbers) and CO 2 e so government targets for both indicators can be fully understood and aligned, and supporting D o w n l o a d e d
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Journal of Sustainable Tourism 863 mitigation policies and actions developed to facilitate low carbon growth. The development of REAP Tourism as an accessible modelling tool for tourism decision-makers will hope- fully enable this to happen and encourage regular monitoring, reporting and management. Full information on the tool and its availability can be had at http://www.resource- accounting.org.uk/. Acknowledgements The authors thank their employers for allowing themto work on this project and paper and specically thank South West Tourism for funding and supporting the development of REAP Tourism. They are also very grateful to their colleagues who have provided data, feedback and support to enable them to produce and distribute the tool. Thanks are also due to Martin Mowforth, Ian Bailey, Katy Roelich, Neil Warren and Paul Haydon for their support and constructive comments on the paper. Notes 1. South West Tourism was the state funded regional tourist board for South West England: abol- ished in March 2011, its work is carried on by the South West Tourism Alliance http://www. swtourismalliance.org.uk/ 2. Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs 3. The full detail is available in the REAP Tourism metadata document which can be downloaded from http://resource-accounting.org.uk/reap-tourism Notes on contributors Emma Whittlesea was a Sustainability Strategist for South West Tourism and worked in the Low Carbon Team for the Cornwall Development Company. She chaired the Climate South West Tourism Group and is undertaking PhD research at the University of Plymouth, UK. Her research explores the relationship between tourism and climate change and has a particular focus on the CO 2 e impact of visitors. Anne Owen was a Research Associate at the Stockholm Environment Institute, University of York, specialising in Sustainable Consumption and Production. She is undertaking PhD research at the University of Leeds, UK. Annes areas of interest include the development of new methods and tools to help bridge science and policy and the provision of robust evidence to support communities, local government and businesses in moving towards sustainable futures. References Air Festival Symposium. (2010, June). Executive Summary: Air Festival Symposium Bournemouth. Becken, S. (2005). Harmonising climate change adaptation and mitigation: The case of tourist resorts in Fiji. Global Environmental Change, 15(4), 381393. Becken, S., & Patterson, M. (2006). Measuring national carbon dioxide emissions from tourism as a key step towards achieving sustainable tourism. Journal of Sustainable Tourism, 14 (4), 323338. Becken, S., & Simmons, D.G. (2002). Understanding energy consumption patterns of tourist attrac- tions and activities in New Zealand. Tourism Management, 23(4), 343354. Becken, S., &Simmons, D. (2008). Using the concept of yield to assess the sustainability of difference tourist types. Ecological Economics, 67(3), 420429. Becken, S., Simmons, D.G., & Frampton, C. (2003). Energy use associated with different travel choices. Tourism Management, 24(3), 267277. Byrnes, T.A., & Warnken, T.A. (2006). Greenhouse gas emissions from marine tours: A case study of Australian tour boat operators. Journal of Sustainable Tourism, 14(3), 255270. Cole, V., & Sinclair, A.J. (2002). Measuring the ecological footprint of a Himalayan tourist centre. Mountain Research and Development, 22(2), 132141. Cornwall Development Company. (2011). VisitCornwall joins forces with Rainforest Charity to green up Summer Events. Press Release 9th August 2011. Crown. (2008). Climate change act 2008. UK: The Stationary Ofce Limited. D o w n l o a d e d
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