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From: Peter Kareiva
To: John Ferguson; bob.bilby@weyerhaeuser.com; tebo@utk.edu; travis@neuro.fsu.edu
Cc: John Stein
Subject: RE: Request for additional FCRPS BiOp review by Dr. Lubchenco
Date: Wednesday, August 05, 2009 4:31:00 PM

like everyone else, i will do my best.

-----Original Message-----
From: John Ferguson [mailto:John.W.Ferguson@noaa.gov]
Sent: Wednesday, August 05, 2009 1:18 PM
To: bob.bilby@weyerhaeuser.com; tebo@utk.edu; travis@neuro.fsu.edu;
Peter Kareiva
Cc: John Stein
Subject: Request for additional FCRPS BiOp review by Dr. Lubchenco

Joe, Bob, Peter, and Dan:

I am writing on behalf of Dr. Lubchenco to ask whether you are able,


given your schedule, to review some brief documents that have been
prepared as part of an Adaptive Management Plan (Plan) for the Federal
Columbia River Power System Biological Opinion (BiOp). Since your review
of the BiOp early last month, NOAA and the Action Agencies have been
working to incorporate your suggestions into the BiOp. I can't go into
the specifics in an email, but in general, the Plan calls for additional
activities and steps to be added to the BiOp, which fall into four
categories: 1) immediate actions that will be implemented regardless of
salmon population trends, 2) formal triggers to provide improved "early
warnings" of possible changes in trends, 3) if a trigger is reached,
rapid responses are being formulated that can be implemented if needed,
and 4) if a trigger is met, additional contingency (long term) plans can
be implemented. All of the actions are to be guided and aided by
additional life-cycle modeling of pop trends, effects of climate, more
spatially explicit modeling and modeling of potential interactions among
variables affecting pop status and trends and among the various "H's"
and ESUs. Our main focus is to reduce the uncertainty you rightly
pointed out exists with some key assumptions, build formal triggers into
the BiOp implementation for early warning, and have additional actions
that could be implemented if needed.

Specifically, I am writing to see if you are able and willing to review


from 1 to 3, 2-page issue papers. These papers are being finalized and
will be sent to Dr. Lubchenco later today. She has asked to see if you
are able to review these brief documents. If so, I will send them to
you later today and ask that you send your input back to me by tomorrow,
if at all possible. Unfortunately, we are up against some hard court
filing deadlines here and haven't more time than that for your review.
If not, we understand.

Thank you for considering her request.

Regards,

John

NOAA Document page 000107

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