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From: John W. Ferguson
To: Joseph Travis
Subject: Re: Request for additional FCRPS BiOp review by Dr. Lubchenco
Date: Wednesday, August 05, 2009 9:39:47 PM
Attachments: Triggers Document 080509 415pm.pdf
Immediate Action climate change.pdf
Immediate Additional Actions Reintroductions-1.docx
Immediate Actions Life-Cycle Modeling.pdf

Hello Joe!  Attached are 3, 2-pagers that address additional (immediate)

actions that have been added to the BiOp on climate change, life cycle
modeling in general (where I captured Peter's comment about needing
additional spatially explicit modeling) and reintroductions.  In
addition, I have attached a document developed that addresses and
explains the new triggers that have been added to the BiOp per the
panel's recommendations. Any time you have for these and your thoughts
would be well appreciated.


Joseph Travis wrote:

> John,
> I can try but I can't promise I could do all of them well.  I'm
> leaving town Friday for a week and frantically trying to tie things up
> before I go so all I can do is try.
> Joe
> At 04:17 PM 8/5/2009, John Ferguson wrote:
>> Joe, Bob, Peter, and Dan:
>> I am writing on behalf of Dr. Lubchenco to ask whether you are able,
>> given your schedule, to review some brief documents that have been
>> prepared as part of an Adaptive Management Plan (Plan) for the
>> Federal Columbia River Power System Biological Opinion (BiOp). Since
>> your review of the BiOp early last month, NOAA and the Action
>> Agencies have been working to incorporate your suggestions into the
>> BiOp.  I can't go into the specifics in an email, but in general, the
>> Plan calls for additional activities and steps to be added to the
>> BiOp, which fall into four categories:  1) immediate actions that
>> will be implemented regardless of salmon population trends, 2) formal
>> triggers to provide improved "early warnings" of possible changes in
>> trends, 3) if a trigger is reached, rapid responses are being
>> formulated that can be implemented if needed, and 4) if a trigger is
>> met, additional contingency (long term) plans can be implemented. All
>> of the actions are to be guided and aided by additional life-cycle
>> modeling of pop trends, effects of climate, more spatially explicit
>> modeling and modeling of potential interactions among variables
>> affecting pop status and trends and among the various "H's" and
>> ESUs.  Our main focus is to reduce the uncertainty you rightly
>> pointed out exists with some key assumptions, build formal triggers
>> into the BiOp implementation for early warning, and have additional
>> actions that could be implemented if needed.
>> Specifically, I am writing to see if you are able and willing to
>> review from 1 to 3, 2-page issue papers.  These papers are being
>> finalized and will be sent to Dr. Lubchenco later today.  She has
>> asked to see if you are able to review these brief documents.  If so,

NOAA Document page 000108

>> I will send them to you later today and ask that you send your input
>> back to me by tomorrow, if at all possible.  Unfortunately, we are up
>> against some hard court filing deadlines here and haven't more time
>> than that for your review.
>> If not, we understand.
>> Thank you for considering her request.
>> Regards,
>> John
> Joseph Travis
> Dean, College of Arts and Sciences
> and Robert O. Lawton Distinguished Professor of Biological Science
> Florida State University
> Tallahassee, FL 32306-1280
> Dean's Office Phone 850-644-4404
> Dean's Office Fax 850-644-8029
> Email:

John Ferguson, Ph.D.
Director, Fish Ecology Division
Northwest Fisheries Science Center
Seattle, WA 98112

P 206.860.3287
C 206.321.2075
F 206.860.3267

NOAA Document page 000109

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