You are on page 1of 5

Regression Summary for reg

11-05-2014
Variable
Probability

Mean Standard

Regression

15:45:51

Name

Deviation

Coefficient

Dependent

Factor 2

8066,6250

908,7383

Y-intercept

Constant

6482,4790

Standard

t value

Error

> |t|

23,6483

274,1201

0

5000 80.0000 R-square = 64.9923 R-adjusted = 0.6434 14.9921 0 .9551 0.1 Factor 1 Se = 24.6591 0.8402 76.

046 -43.728 -7.0459 -182.925 5095.8854 0.79 8790.620 -2.751 -47.253 8720.285 63.0188 0.8709 RTracking sqaure Signal -1 -0.473 MAPE (%) 1.115 -292.9508 7 6905 6935.146 1.839 -5.967 62.9126 0.383 5153.32 6219.7623 18 7645 7646.1409 0.4584 0.1836 0.363 1.26 11107.652 5038.189 5598.632 21 7951 7840.682 -57.5674 -167.3413 -383.309 60.0859 0.4086 1.032 63.134 -1.468 4973.023 -324.41 21.9026 0.636 133.5424 8 6952 6999.2122 0.4435 9 7086 7064.0525 0.2656 4 6621 6741.881 .387 96.968 59.2036 -60.023 -120.092 -30.6133 -139.361 5448.728 -235.5903 -223.803 80.9741 0.138 119.138 -119.772 6938.8879 0.715 5077.430 -2.318 110.84 9496.069 -4.6305 12 7355 7258.7151 0.950 -6.705 41.8535 0.7908 0.7207 11 7186 7193.917 -6.Forecast 11/05/2014 Actual by Forecast CFE MAD Month Data LR Error 1 6428 6547.953 5630.762 -2.709 -3.947 -7.433 69.774 55.0211 0.4559 0.899 62.778 -3.3851 0.456 -172.8637 0.6707 3 6565 6676.278 92.898 58.659 39.138 -119.7957 13 7280 7323.2116 1.0798 17 7524 7581.592 5172.0918 -197.98 -7.2949 -140.8613 -2.147 61.548 -3.063 22 7904 7904.8641 0.309 59.39 96.6872 0.910 -5.262 59.9111 0.1936 0.3643 -204.3884 0.5071 MSE 14193.757 5460.8761 0.0688 -228.38 4863.953 0.6816 -318.456 -111.8534 1.554 76.6821 -381.963 70.286 62.18 5319.364 -63.2863 23 8103 7969.2517 0.9771 -319.8749 0.2836 16 7397 7517.8275 6 6940 6870.751 -245.1284 0.677 -3.4455 0.721 -4.193 60.5595 1.726 10001.8357 0.3487 10 7125 7129.849 0.1377 2 6670 6611.004 4924.8672 0.148 7603.917 -2.3409 1.5786 0.775 -2.117 5334.796 58.5561 0.115 -120.2261 -237.2279 5 6861 6805.4746 1.3534 14 7429 7387.7 20 7815 7775.9921 15 7389 7452.3408 -428.530 -1.977 -0.341 -1.3638 -185.668 -3.957 -5.504 102.263 59.76 58.9341 88.711 88.35 19 7626 7711 -85 -468.

857 0.165 5992.6348 9456.883 0.8853 7.476 -73.7168 8616.886 40.995 0.4326 449.9512 9198.0285 9.8401 0.872 0.522 -21.4424 8422.8174 155.8656 0.5775 3.895 0.2803 5687.415 5746.8555 2.5912 9.78 5763.6293 5.8818 9586.8308 7.195 8098.8785 67.65 6325.158 -83.1429 1.9951 0.8377 64.2842 8551.84 204.873 0.2886 1.1582 224.2373 8228.8739 0.9316 114.63 10879.8684 0.0539 64.24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 8118 8139 8281 8313 8267 8437 8505 8530 8682 8611 8721 8847 8821 8781 8918 8883 8913 9237 9115 9194 9254 9266 9429 9550 9629 8034.4502 9133.7 10297.8673 0.7046 -102.089 9844.975 0.29 9068.0454 -62.861 0.04 10232.25 82.181 -121.848 6232.0017 4.4756 82.68 10491.886 0.914 0.868 0.8382 0.66 10685.995 0.8338 0.860 0.878 0.5469 -42.057 4.431 9780.72 6445.4551 586.02 10426.7959 596.023 6381.4127 7.649 5811.2084 -0.487 6571.3455 66.4565 64.8835 0.6273 -1.567 130.34 10556 10620.4092 193.870 0.794 -27.748 9909.499 103.5606 68.875 0.805 5524.2991 2.97 10814.453 28.6122 -0.966 0.924 0.9125 63.1924 8486.967 6421.38 10168.8877 0.379 0.870 0.135 -126.75 276.2456 4.962 0.32 10749.501 307.591 79.2266 444.8776 0.946 5891.942 0.3903 62.832 6359.1084 64.235 6301.8504 0.73 10103.7993 67.3867 55.962 6.863 -93.5974 66.992 .9922 8939.955 40.38 6408.7939 -71.3158 63.793 9262.173 5637.52 5607.817 -68.458 5705.29 63.0596 8810.954 0.932 -25.1381 68.1143 484.204 10.8455 0.2324 63.545 101.5692 65.4107 64.839 5661.0332 8357.862 0.873 0.295 83.407 9974.8885 0.439 5841.8621 0.0001 0.36 10362.4287 9521.983 0.864 0.4707 9004.8633 502.8541 0.88 0.997 0.0918 319.181 360.8821 0.875 0.84 -155.908 43.5566 63.9756 9327.112 42.4437 65.7275 139.8624 0.1494 8163.1539 68.9092 64.273 84.2748 69.7717 68.7718 6.272 5819.065 5725.484 5840.6526 67.135 -43.7843 3.881 5688.8705 0.613 117.5 9392.0059 9650.4902 8680.8572 0.0404 -0.8244 0.6325 0.8555 8874.5439 3.6045 8745.227 -5.5215 481.772 9715.842 -1.4093 64.066 10038.9648 8292.

11 12495.6590 .84 11978.52 11849.79 12366.842 0.47 12237.9923 a=6482.91 11396.18 11913.75 0.0059 67.54 11655.27 11137.2803 6232.Signal R-sqaure 10943.25 11331.5 12043.88 11590.93 11202.09 12689.61 11073.95 11008.16 12107.57 11461.379 0.22 11525.13 12301.479 b=64.81 12172.69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 CFE MAD MSE MAPE Trk.86 11784.43 12625.59 11267.0001 0.45 12431.77 12560.2 11719.