Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Market Perspective
Asia
Insurance Market Report 2013
MARCH 2013
Contents
Foreword 1
Executive Summary
Korea...............................................9
Taiwan...........................................12
Hong Kong......................................6
Malaysia..........................................9
Thailand........................................12
Indonesia........................................7
Philippines....................................10
Vietnam.........................................13
Japan...............................................8
Singapore......................................11
Technology and
Telecommunications.....................23
Mining...........................................21
Foreword
Following the extremely destructive natural
catastrophes of 2011, the past year has been relatively
benign with few major events. Despite an active
typhoon season, including one of the most powerful
typhoons on record for the Philippines, insured losses
have been minimal.
The regional insurance markets quickly recovered after
the double hit from the Japan earthquake and tsunami
disaster, and the floods in Thailand. Capital, capacity,
and, more importantly, competition continued to
flow into the region as demand for insurance and the
growth aspirations of insurers remained unabated.
These conditions continue to benefit insurance buyers,
who have enjoyed a prolonged period of low rates
over the past decade.
With respect to buying styles and trends, clients across
the region continue to become more sophisticated.
There is an increased awareness around risk
management and demand for technical services is
on the rise. Heavy industry sectors, such as oil and
gas, power and utilities, and mining, are utilising risk
engineering services regularly, partly driven by insurer
requirements, but also by a proactive approach to
risk management.
Within the financial lines arena, 2012 proved that
Asia is not immune to the litigation culture that has
been so pervasive in the West for so long. Regulators
across the region have introduced a significant
amount of new legislation, increasing their oversight
and ability to take action against corporations and
directors more frequently.
The issue of data privacy and cyber liability has quickly
become a hot topic both in company boardrooms and
regulatory agencies in Asia. New legislation is being
introduced in many Asian countries. In Singapore,
for example, the Personal Data Protection Bill and
the Data Privacy Commission will be implemented
later this year, bringing a new level of regulation
and potential financial liabilities for companies
operating there.
Martin South
CEO, Asia-Pacific
Marsh, Inc.
Marsh 1
Executive Summary
Asia is a complex region, with markets
that range from extremely mature
to just emerging.
A countrys maturity affects the understanding of
risk management and take-up of insurance, with a
significant variance across the region. However, the
rate environment generally shows similar qualities
from market to market, with some minor differences in
particular classes of insurance.
Rates In Catastrophe-Stricken
Areas Remain Elevated
Thailand flood coverage on property insurance
policies continues to be severely restricted; rates
have increased by around 20%, and in some cases, by
more than 300%.
Insurance Markets by
Country
China
General Liability
Rates: Decrease 0% to 10%
General liability insurance rates remained stable, with a slight
decrease of about 5%. This trend is expected to continue in 2013.
Motor
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
During 2013, as de-tariffing is adopted in several cities, including
Shenzhen, motor insurance rates are expected to decrease.
Workers Compensation
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Workers compensation rates remained stable, with a slight decrease
of about 5%. This trend is expected to continue in 2013.
Property
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
The general rate increases triggered across the region by the
catastrophes in 2011 did not affect the Chinese market. Property
insurance rates remained stable, with a slight decline of about 5%
in the fourth quarter. Rate increases are not expected in 2013, while
renewals for insureds with a favourable loss record may attract rate
reductions in the order of 5% to 10%.
Environmental
Rates: N/A
As a relatively new product in China, environmental liability insurance
is offered by only a few insurers, with no reinsurance treaty capacity
in the local market.
Financial Institutions
Rates: Decrease 0% to 10%
Rates stabilised and many companies experienced reductions
of up to 5%. No change is expected in 2013.
Professional Liability
Rates: Decrease 0% to 10%
Rates stabilised, with many companies experiencing 5% reductions
from existing rates. No change is expected in 2013.
Marine Cargo
Rates: Decrease 0% to 10%
During the fourth quarter of 2012, rates decreased by around 10%.
With plenty of capacity available, the cargo insurance market is very
soft and is expected to remain soft in 2013.
Risk Trends
Stable Property Insurance Market
The Chinese property insurance market did not
experience the general rate increases that affected the
rest of the Asia region, triggered by the catastrophes of
2011. Rates remained stable or showed a slight decline.
Contact:
Steve Lundin
Head of China
+86 10 6533 4000
steve.lundin@marsh.com
Medical Malpractice
Rates: Decrease 0% to 10%
During the fourth quarter of 2012, rates decreased by about 5% due
to a favourable claims environment and ample capacity. During 2013,
reductions of 5% to 10% are expected.
Marsh 5
Hong Kong
General Liability
Rates: Decrease 0% to 10%
This market remains competitive for favourable risks, but rates are
likely to increase for those with a history of high claims.
Motor
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
The motor insurance market was stable during 2012 and is expected to
remain so in 2013.
Workers Compensation
Rates: Increase 20% to 30%
An ongoing deterioration in claims experience has seen employees
compensation insurance rates continue to increase by between
20% and 30%.
Property
Rates: Decrease 0% to 10%
Hong Kongs property insurance market remains fiercely competitive
with ample capacity. Rates decreased during 2012 by roughly 10% and
this trend is likely to continue into 2013.
Financial Institutions
Rates: Decrease 0% to 10%
During the fourth quarter of 2012, rates remained generally stable,
with some reductions of up to 5% for favourable risks. However, fund
managers experienced significant rate reductions as assets under
management decreased due to redemptions by customers. Claims
were relatively benign and capacity was unchanged. New regulations
relating to breaches around price-sensitive disclosures will increase
exposure for this segment.
Professional Liability
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Rates remained stable in 2012, with reductions of up to 5% common.
Cyber liability is still a new class of insurance and has been slow to
take hold despite some high-profile data privacy breaches and cyber
attacks. An increase in project professional indemnity is expected as
more contracts are awarded from the public and private sectors.
Medical Malpractice
Rates: Increase 10% to 20%
During 2012, rates increased by 10% to 20% due to a high volume
of claims. This is expected to remain a difficult class of insurance
moving into 2013.
Marine Cargo
Rates: Decrease 10% to 20%
Cargo insurance rates remained soft throughout 2012 mainly due
to increased market capacity and a decrease in trade and shipment
volumes. Rate reductions of 10% to 15% (or higher) were common for
insureds with meaningful revenue and good overall loss ratios. Some
more aggressive underwriters may offer even higher reductions. Rates
are expected to continue to remain soft in 2013.
Risk Trends
Slowing Economy
The Hong Kong economy has slowed, leading to
low take-up rates for new insurance coverage such
as cyber insurance. It has also led to delays in major
construction projects and a slowdown in financial
transactions such as mergers and acquisitions and
initial public offerings.
Contact:
David Jacob
Chief Executive Officer
+852 2301 7288
david.jacob@marsh.com
Indonesia
General Liability
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Insurers may expect strong demand to reduce premiums for 2013
renewals, reflecting reduced sales and capital expenditure as the
economy slows in 2013.
Motor
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
The motor market is predicted to remain stable and competitive, with
the exception of medium-to-heavy industry fleet (trucks, trailers), a
segment in which pricing may increase slightly due to unfavourable
claims in 2012.
Workers Compensation
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Workers compensation is not mandatory; demand is growing,
however, particularly in the oil and gas sector. Rates have remained
healthy as competition among insurers is not as fierce as in other lines,
providing room for rate reductions upon renewal.
Property
Rates: Increase 0% to 10%
For small and midsize businesses, the markets are expected to remain
competitive. For large and complex risks with significant catastrophic
exposure, rates are expected to increase by 5% to 10%. This increase is
likely to be higher for those risks with unfavourable claims records or
in high-risk sectors such as energy.
Environmental
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Demand for environmental liability insurance is increasing, albeit off
a small base, as the government imposes mandatory regulations on
companies engaged in the management and handling of hazardous
waste. Pricing is expected to remain stable.
Financial Institutions
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
As market penetration remains limited, some insurers are offering very
competitive premiums to attract and grow business in certain product
lines, including professional liability.
Professional Liability
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Insurers have adhered to very strict underwriting disciplines,
particularly for certain sectors such as engineering contractors,
medical practitioners, and law firms. This discipline is expected to
continue in 2013.
Medical Malpractice
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Marine Cargo
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Indonesias production of goods and services is expected to grow
through 2015, with raw materials, semi-finished goods, and finished
goods flowing in, out, and within the country. Consumer prices are
expected to increase by 16%, and the turnover volume of the marine
cargo insurance market is expected to grow by 10% to 16% in 2013.
Risk Trends
Cost Of Catastrophe Risk
International reinsurance capacity remains a dominant
factor in Indonesias domestic insurance market. A
number of reinsurers have ceased writing proportional
reinsurance in favour of excess of loss and continue
to adhere strictly to charging appropriate pricing to
reflect the cost of natural catastrophe risks. These
factors are translating into higher reinsurance costs
for local insurers, with many reporting increases at
renewals of around 10% to 15%, along with reduced
capacity. These higher costs are being passed on as
higher premiums for insureds.
Volume has been very limited, with few insurers offering this line
of business. However, this trend may change as legislative and
regulatory factors develop.
Marsh 7
Contact:
Jacob Kosasih
Chief Executive Officer
+62 21 5790 0110
jacob.kosasih@marsh.com
Japan
General Liability
Rates: Decrease 0% to 10%
Capacity has remained stable, with manufacturing errors and
omissions and products recall covers readily available with some
sublimits. Both Japanese and international insurers began to develop
liability insurance for cyber risks.
Motor
Rates: Increase 0% to 10%
The personal line motor (non-fleet) discount table will change in
October 2013. Owned damage natural catastrophe cover is not readily
available following the Tohoku earthquake.
Workers Compensation
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Rates remain stable. Due to the March 2011 earthquake, natural
disaster cover for workers compensation has not been available.
Environmental
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
The market remains stable.
Financial Institutions
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
The market for financial institutions is still limited, with little market
competition. Insurers focus has been on maintaining long-term
capacity at relatively stable prices. International participants continue
to lead the market. These trends are expected to continue in 2013.
Professional Liability
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Despite new insurers entering the market, competition is still very
limited and this is reflected in stable premium rates. International
participants continue to lead the market. These trends are expected to
continue in 2013.
Marine Cargo
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Despite large market losses caused by events such as the Tohoku
earthquake and Thailand floods, which affected Japanese markets in
2012, the marine cargo market has been stable. Japanese insurers
continued to dominate marine.
Risk Trends
Earthquake Exposures
Overall rates for all lines of insurance have remained
relatively stable, with the exception of earthquake
rates. Earthquake rates continue to be around 30% to
50% higher than they were prior to the 2011 Tohoku
event.
Growth of Market
Net written premiums increased during 2012, largely
driven by premium increases in the auto insurance
market. However, subdued investment returns and the
two notable loss events contributed to two of the mega
insurer groups reporting financial losses in the first
half of 2012.
Contact:
Hirofumi Shimoyama
Country Manager
+81 35 334 8207
hirofumi.shimoyama@marsh.com
Korea
General Liability
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Rates were stable during 2012 and are expected to remain so in 2013.
Motor
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Due to the increased foreign motor market share in Korea and higher
vehicle values, higher collision liability limits are recommended. This
additional limit has a relatively minor impact on premiums.
Workers Compensation
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
This program is overseen by government and no significant change is
expected in this segment.
Property
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
One insurer introduced a middle-market product for the total sum
insured between US$5 million and US$100 million. The rate is
competitive but only available in Korean policies.
Financial Institutions
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
No significant change is expected in this segment.
Professional Liability
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
No significant change is expected in this segment.
Medical Malpractice
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
No significant change is expected in this segment.
Marine Cargo
Rates: Decrease 0% to 10%
A slow economy coupled with abundant capacity has kept the marine
cargo market soft. No market change is expected in 2013.
Risk Trends
Personal Information Protection Act
The newly enacted Personal Information Protection
Act requires significant changes to the way companies
collect, keep, and transfer personal information.
These operational changes are expected to affect
Contact:
Sang H. Rhi
Chief Executive Officer
+82 2 2095 4777
sang.h.rhi@marsh.com
Malaysia
General Liability
Rates: Increase 0% to 10%
For insureds with no losses, rates remained flat or marginally
increased. In contrast, insureds with losses have witnessed
significant rate increases.
Motor
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
This is a tariff market. The regulator has announced a gradual rate
increase for 2013 but the details have yet to be released.
Workers Compensation
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
This coverage line is not prevalent in Malaysia as there is a state-run
social security program.
Property
Rates: Increase 0% to 10%
For insureds with no major losses, the rates remained stable. For
insureds with large losses, rates and deductibles were increased
substantially. This is expected to remain the case in 2013.
Environmental
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Demand is not strong for environmental liability products and there
were few significant losses. A number of underwriters have expressed
interest in growing this market segment.
Financial Institutions
Rates: Increase 10% to 20%
Most financial institutions have experienced some form of loss in 2012.
This has caused rates to increase marginally.
Marsh 9
Professional Liability
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
There are no significant changes in this segment.
Medical Malpractice
Rates: Increase 0% to 10%
There have been some marginal increases for this class of insurance
during 2012. This is expected to continue in 2013.
Marine Cargo
Rates: Decrease 10% to 20%
Increased competition and market capacity have resulted in rate
decreases despite adverse claims experience.
Risk Trends
Firming Market
Malaysias insurance market firmed during
2012 following the previous years catastrophe
losses regionally.
Reduced Capacity
Workers Compensation
Rates: N/A
Workers compensation and employers liability are mandatory
insurances for both private sector and government employees. These
classes are provided exclusively by government agencies, to the
exclusion of private sector insurers.
Environmental
Rates: N/A
While sudden and accidental pollution cover is available locally, full
environmental impairment liability insurance is not.
Financial Institutions
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Contact:
CB Lim
Chief Executive Officer
+60 32 161 3455
cb.lim@marsh.com
Philippines
General Liability
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Capacity is expected to remain available, given the non-litigious
nature of the Philippines relative to markets such as the US.
Motor
Rates: Decrease 0% to 10%
Local auto rates are on a downward trend generally, but each premium
continues to be determined on a case-by-case loss history basis.
Motor fleet business has experienced a combination of high frequency
and severity losses due to poor motoring conditions in the country.
Professional Liability
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Marine Cargo
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Rates have fluctuated due to individual insureds loss profiles.
Cargo delay in start-up cover is increasingly difficult to place in the
local market.
Risk Trends
Construction Risks
The significant investment in infrastructure and
power generation industries in the Philippines, with a
particular focus on renewable energy such as biofuels
and wind turbines, has seen a substantial increase
in construction risks. Given the high level of foreign
and domestic funding required for these projects, the
full range of insurance protection is being sought,
including covers such as delay in start-up/advance
loss of profits.
Contracting Capacity
Capacity is contracting, especially for property
with exposure to natural catastrophes, and rates
continue to increase in response to the 2011 natural
catastrophe losses.
Contact:
Ramon Zandueta
Chief Executive Officer
+632 751 1067
ramon.zandueta@marsh.com
Financial Institutions
Rates: Decrease 0% to 10%
The financial institutions market in Singapore remains competitive,
with ample capacity from insurers. Claims experience remains
favourable, with the exception of employee infidelity for banks.
Professional liability claims are still not common. Underwriting
expertise is growing, resulting in enhanced policy wording
and coverage.
Professional Liability
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Professional liability remains stable, with ample capacity for most
traditional professions and service providers. New demand is largely
driven by contractual requirements, for example, in the life sciences
and technology industry segments. A gap remains in the underwriters
acceptance of the risk exposures endemic to these segments.
Medical Malpractice
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Despite losses affecting the private sector, the overall experience
remains favourable with stable rates. This trend is expected to
continue into 2013.
Singapore
General Liability
Rates: Decrease 0% to 10%
There were very few major losses in Singapore during the year.
Motor
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
After many years of losses, the local motor market is showing signs of
stabilising due to the improving loss experience.
Workers Compensation
Rates: Increase 0% to 10%
Although the loss experience has not deteriorated, most insurers
are increasing rates in anticipation of the expected increase in
statutory compensation benefits under the work injury legislation set
to be introduced.
Marine Cargo
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Loss experience remains favourable, keeping rates competitive.
Risk Trends
Broker Competition
Government-related businesses and agencies are
increasingly conscious of the procurement of
insurance products and services and are enforcing
tender processes for the selection of brokers and
products. This has resulted in fierce competition
between competing brokers.
Marsh 11
Financial Institutions
Rates: Decrease 10% to 20%
The financial institutions market has softened due to good loss ratios
and ample capacity. These conditions are expected to continue
into 2013.
Professional Liability
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Conditions are expected be flat in 2013.
Marine Cargo
Rates: Decrease 0% to 10%
A soft market is expected in 2013 for policies with good loss ratios.
Contact:
Alan Cheah
Chief Executive Officer
+65 6922 8388
alan.cheah@marsh.com
Taiwan
General Liability
Rates: Decrease 0% to 10%
General liability rates declined slightly during 2012. However, for
companies seeking higher limits or broader cover, or for those with
a poor loss ratio, rates increased in excess of 10%. Similar market
conditions are expected in 2013.
Motor
Rates: Increase 10% to 20%
Due to a poor loss ratio in 2011, optional third-party liability rates
increased during 2012, a trend that is expected to continue in 2013.
Workers Compensation
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Rates were stable in 2012 and are expected to remain stable in 2013.
Risk Trends
Commercial Property Damage
Insurance
Commercial property damage written premium has
grown by about 20% since July 2011 following the
implementation of a new catastrophe tariff model.
Contact:
Edwin Shih
Chief Executive Officer
+88 6 2 2518 9998
edwin.shih@marsh.com
Thailand
General Liability
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
The casualty classes of insurance have remained stable, with no
significant movement in rates.
Motor
Rates: Increase 0% to 10%
Motor insurance premiums are expected to increase, reflecting the
increase in repair costs for motor vehicles.
Workers Compensation
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Workers compensation is mandatory and managed through a
government program.
Contact:
Duncan Buchanan
Chief Executive Officer
+66 2 695 7103
duncan.buchanan@marsh.com
Financial Institutions
Rates: Increasing 0% to 10%
Rates for financial institutions have reflected risk profiles. Those
risks displaying adverse developments have incurred significant rate
increases.
Professional Liability
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Demand for professional indemnity is increasing, in particular for
single project professional indemnity insurance. Capacity remains very
limited, although it is likely more capacity will become available as
more underwriters offer products.
Marine Cargo
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Marine cargo premiums have remained stable.
Risk Trends
Flood Cover Restrictions
In response to the 2011 floods, flood coverage on
property insurance policies continues to be severely
restricted, while rates have increased by around 20%
and, in some cases, by more than 300%.
Reinsurance Rates
Reinsurance market treaty renewals are currently
being negotiated and natural catastrophe exposures
will again be closely reviewed. Rates are expected to
remain at post-flood levels, with some discounting
where clients have taken strong measures to mitigate
flood exposure. The casualty market should remain
fairly stable.
Infrastructure Investment
Government investment in infrastructure is expected
to increase substantially during 2013 and beyond,
Vietnam
General Liability
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Liability insurance can encounter wide premium swings dependent
on the risk appetite and claim experience from one carrier to another.
For companies with a good loss history, a 5% to 10% rate reduction
can be expected, although the decision to insure with a carrier should
not be based on premiums alone. As liability losses and claims can be
complex, the carriers experience and capability to support a claim
are also important elements to consider when making placement
decisions. Looking ahead, rates are expected to vary widely between
carriers; renewal rates will remain stable with a slight reduction
anticipated.
Motor
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Motor vehicle is a major class of insurance that represents more than
30% of the insurance industrys premium pool. While coverage is
standardised by market practices and rates are competitive, there will
be pressure to increase renewal rates as insurers grapple with runaway
claims cost, which is typical in this class of insurance.
Rates are expected to increase by 5% to 15% in 2013, unless the
insured can demonstrate good loss history.
Workers Compensation
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
A relatively small class of insurance in Vietnam, workers compensation
renewal terms and rates will remain stable with limited changes in 2013.
Marsh 13
Financial Institutions
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
Insurance for financial institutions is a fairly new class in Vietnam,
although the insurance products (for example, bankers blanket
bond) are well developed internationally. With modest uptake on
this class of insurance, the market is expected to be stable and
predominantly underwritten by the foreign and major local carriers.
Premiums are expected to be flat on renewal or experience a slight
decrease of around 5%.
Professional Liability
Rates: Stable -5% to +5%
The professional liability insurance market has remained stable
over the past year, with no major activity or losses affecting market
conditions. This market will remain stable, with pricing and terms
favourable for insurance buyers.
Medical Malpractice
Rates: Increase 0% to 10%
Local papers highlighted several incidents involving doctors in major
hospitals who were alleged to have made wrongful decisions when
treating patients. This publicity has led to an increased awareness
around the legal rights of patients, especially in relation to their
attending doctor(s) and the clinics/hospitals from which these
professionals operate. Looking ahead, rates are expected to be flat or
show an increase of up to 10%.
Marine
Rates: Decrease 0% to 10%
The marine class of insurance (hull and liability, protection and
indemnity, cargo) continues to attract willing carriers to the risk. This
traditional class of insurance in Vietnam is also a competitively soughtafter risk sector, so rate reduction pressure continues to be the order of
the day. The leading marine insurers are targeting to maintain stability
in their premium offerings by expanding coverage without sacrificing
on premium. In other cases, a decrease in premium charges may be
the plan to attract new vessels into the marine fleet. Expect rates to
continue to decrease, likely between 5% and 10% in 2013.
Aviation
Rates: N/A
The aviation class of insurance is not available in the local market;
this insurance risk is underwritten in the specialist aviation. Rates are
expected to remain flat or see a slight decrease of 5% in 2013.
Employee Benefits
Rates: Increase 0% to 10%
Health care medical costs and claims incidents have been increasing
steadily over the past years. With competitive pressure to keep
premium rates down and widen coverage, the major carriers have all
experienced high loss ratio, which they seek to amend by tightening
coverage and increasing premiums. Companies that can differentiate
their careful handling of risk and keep their loss ratio below the 60%plus mark will see a slight decrease in premium rates. However, a
large portion of insurance buyers in the Employee Health Insurance
program will face an increase in premium as avenues to transfer risk
cheaply become increasingly unavailable. Looking ahead on the
health front, rates will likely increase in 2013, especially for insureds
with a consistent high loss ratio over the past period that have few
risk mitigation solutions to control their declining risk profile. The
life insurance sector is expected to remain stable and no major
incidents can justify a dramatic increase in the personal accident class
of insurance other than inflationary pressure. This pressure will be
mitigated by competition, so a flat renewal or a slight increase in rates
for the personal accident line is expected for 2013.
Risk Trends
Fire Losses
Several major fire losses over the past four years
involving category 3 class of risk (that is, furniture
and wood work producers, paper, paint, plastic,
and garment factories) in Vietnam has changed
the risk appetite of the non-life insurance sector
towards insuring those risks. In the Vietnam property
insurance market, a hardening of premium rates and/
or a withdrawal of capacity/coverage is expected for
category 3 companies.
Contact:
Gary Leong
Chief Executive Officer
+84 8 3822 7455
gary.ch.leong@marsh.com
Insurance Markets by
Specialty and Industry
Aviation
Insurance Market Conditions
Market Commentary
The aviation market remains very soft, with most lead
insurers providing rate and premium reductions in
most cases. This current cycle is being driven by excess
market capacity and recent benign loss activity in the
airline market, which will result in the airline portfolio
still delivering a profit in 2012 to most underwriters,
despite falling premium levels. Aerospace business
(airport/product liability) and general aviation risks
are following a similar pattern to the airlines, with
premium reductions available to those insureds
that have gone clean and delivered a profit on their
account to the market. Barring any major losses, 2013
is expected to demonstrate similar conditions to 2012.
Capacity and competition for Asia aviation business
will continue, keeping rates low and ultimately
benefiting buyers.
Risk Trends
Capability Transfer to Singapore
Asia is still very much reliant on the London markets
for the major airline/manufacturing risks; however,
there is an increase in capacity and talent relocating
to Singapore. This trend has created a regional
hub, providing much better service and access to
underwriters within the region. This trend will
continue as regional and local markets continue to
increase their appetites instead of relying entirely on
the traditional markets in London. This is good news
for aviation insurance buyers.
Contact:
Tim Blakey
Region Head, Asia Aviation
+65 6922 8341
tim.blakey@marsh.com
Marsh 17
Risk Trends
Government Regulations
Governments have been introducing new legislation
and mandates with respect to medical insurance. For
example, China enacted the Interim Measures for
the Participation in Social Insurance of Foreigners
Employed in China, which requires that foreigners
legally employed in China maintain basic pension
insurance, basic medical insurance, work-related
injury insurance, unemployment insurance, and
maternity insurance. In Indonesia, health reforms
are also at play, where legislators are considering the
implementation of the Jaminan Sosial Nasional,
which is an improvement on the existing social security
program in Indonesia. This will mandate compulsory
cover for medical, work-related injury, pension, and
death for all Indonesians. Similar programs are also
underway in other emerging markets such as Malaysia,
Thailand, and Vietnam.
Country
Expected
Change in
2012 General 2012 Medical Medical
Premiums
Inflation
Inflation
Australia
2.5%
5% to 7%
3% to 7%
China
3.3%
9% to 12%
10% to 12%
Hong Kong
4.5%
4.3%
8% to 12%
India
8.6%
15% to 20%
15% to 20%
Indonesia
6.5%
10% to 11%
9% to 12%
Focus on Wellness
Japan
-0.5%
0%
Not applicable
Malaysia
3.5%
10% to 15%
10%
10%
10%
Philippines
2.9%
8% to 10%
10% to 12%
Singapore
2.9%
3% to 5%
4% to 8%
6%
10%
Taiwan
2.5%
4% to 5%
4% to 6%
Thailand
3.5%
20% to 25%
25% to 35%
Vietnam
12.1%
12% to 25%
15% to 20%
Focus on SMEs
The introduction of custom SME insurance package
plans by insurers has enabled them to compete more
effectively with MNCs, which have traditionally been
seen as more attractive, given their deeper pockets for
benefits spend. This trend will help SMEs continue
to grow, as they are the economic and employment
backbone of most countries in Asia.
Contact:
Joan Collar
Employee Health & Benefits Regional Leader Asia
Mercer Marsh Benefits
+65 6922 8146
joan.a.collar@marsh.com
Marsh 19
Marine Hull
Insurance Market Conditions
Market Commentary
The shipping industry remains extremely challenging.
Ship owners are managing record low charter rates,
reflecting decreased global trading volumes, while
the number of ships has increased. During 2013, the
general hull insurance environment is expected to
remain stable but all eyes will be on the reinsurance
costs for protection and indemnity (P&I) insurance,
for which the market is predicting some heavy
increases. In many cases, these will get passed directly
onto owners when they can least afford it.
Risk Trends
Iran Sanctions
The Iran sanctions directly affect the shipping
industry. Breaches of these sanctions have serious
regulatory, financial, and reputational implications,
and insurance is becoming pivotal to their
implementation and enforcement. This situation has
thrown the spotlight on the critical importance of
due diligence that ship owners must undertake when
chartering their vessels.
Rate Changes
For the P&I market, the February 2011 renewal
season was soft, with P&I clubs securing marginal rate
increases. However, when clubs analysed their claims
records at the six-month point, it became clear the
benign claims environment was no longer prevailing.
From late November 2011 through February 2012,
there was an unforeseen resolution to squeeze ship
owners to ensure that the increases achieved were as
close to the publicly announced figures as possible.
As a result, 2012 saw some large losses that hit
reinsurance, and claims costs have continued to inflate,
causing higher attritional losses for many clubs for
their retained accounts. Compounding this problem,
clubs continue to rate new tonnage very competitively.
While some clubs have recognised the tough trading
environment and are looking to use their reserves to
cover some of the deficit, other clubs are insistent on
maintaining financial stability and are seeking doubledigit increases in 2013.
Contact:
James Addington-Smith
Marine Hull Leader Asia
+65 6922 8068
james.addington-smith@marsh.com
Mining
Insurance Market Conditions
Market Commentary
Although mining is still a difficult class of business
for most underwriters, premium rates in the sector
should remain flat after some significant increases
during 2012.
Contact:
John Holmes
Mining Practice Leader Asia
+852 2301 7310
john.holmes@marsh.com
Risk Trends
Frontier Markets in Focus
2012 will be remembered by the mining industry as
the year of Mongolia and Myanmar, with a flurry of
international activity in these two emerging markets.
International insurers are becoming more comfortable
with underwriting risks in Mongolia; the sophisticated
level of risk management and safety precautions
exhibited at the local mine sets a good example for
similar enterprises seeking to buy insurance.
Mongolias mining boom is not news; during the
year, however, the government passed new foreign
investment laws in an attempt to restrict the influence
over and ownership of its natural resource assets. Such
resource nationalism is a key global risk for miners
and project developers and has dampened foreign
investors view of Mongolias previous open for
business position.
Myanmar is developing as the next frontier for the
mining sector. The lifting of international sanctions
will allow international insurers to start assessing
and writing business there for indigenous companies
and foreign investors.
Marsh 21
Operational
Market Commentary
Thailand Floods
Construction
Risk Trends
Construction
Soft Market Continues
Contact:
Philippe Du Four
Chairman Global Power Practice
+65 6922 8126
philippe.dufour@marsh.com
Technology and
Telecommunications
Insurance Market Conditions
Market Commentary
The technology and telecommunication industry in
Asia continues to feel the effects of sluggish global
economic growth. Demand issues from Europe
continue to weigh on the profitability of technology
companies, where margins are already wafer thin.
The market for semiconductors in particular
experienced a slowdown in growth in 2012 as a result
of macroeconomic conditions affecting the global
electronics supply chain. There are clear differences
in approach being seen from local, regional, and
international markets. International insurers,
still wary from the natural catastrophe losses, are
still putting an emphasis on contingent business
interruption exposures. The local and regional
insurers, however, continue to offer competitive
terms. The large domestic Chinese insurers in
particular are very competitive, and are increasingly
participating on global programs.
Contact:
Sirikit Oh
Technology Practice Leader Asia
+65 6922 8129
sirikit.oh@marsh.com
Risk Trends
Catastrophe Rates Stabilise
From a catastrophe insurance perspective, rates
have stabilised after the severe market dislocation
caused by the Japanese earthquake/tsunami disaster
and Thailand floods, which affected the technology
sector in particular. After sudden rate increases in
2011 and the beginning of 2012, the environment
has stabilised. 2013 is expected to bring more of the
same conditions, barring any large catastrophes in
technology-heavy markets like China, Taiwan, Japan,
Korea, and Thailand.
In China, rates will remain competitive given strong
local treaty capacity and reinsurance support. In
Taiwan, most insureds experienced rate increases last
year, particularly on catastrophe exposures following
implementation of the Taiwan Tariff Regulation. Rates
are expected to stablise or slightly increase in 2013 in
situations where some local carriers might continue to
be conservative when writing primary layers; this will
increase the demand for international market capacity
and drive up the overall cost structure, especially for
catastrophe exposures. In Korea, rate movement is
quite stable supported by local treaty capacity. In other
markets, such as Southeast Asia, rates are expected
to remain stable, with sufficient capacity offered
by local carriers.
Marsh 23
Trade Credit
Insurance Market Conditions
Market Commentary
Looking ahead to 2013, the trade credit insurance
market will continue to be driven by the global,
regional, and local economic and insolvency trends. As
more companies in Asia become concerned about the
ability of their customers to pay, trade credit insurance
will continue to enjoy strong demand. Underwriters
will continue to carefully assess the situation and
adjust pricing according to their underwriting criteria,
portfolio exposure, and economic data.
Risk Trends
Euro zone Crisis Spurs Demand
Demand for trade credit insurance, which companies
buy to protect themselves from the risk of default
by trading partners, is up by at least 20% across the
region, amid worries that the weak global economy
will continue to affect the ability of customers to pay.
Interest is coming from industries such as consumer
electronics, chip, and auto part manufacturers, all of
which are core sectors in Asia and all of which are
highly sensitive to global economic demand cycles.
Using insurance instruments to enhance loans and
accounts-receivable purchasing remains a popular
approach with financial institutions.
Rising Rates
Since there is a direct correlation between trade credit
insurance premium rates and the country where
the buyers are domiciled, underwriters are charging
much higher rates and offering much lower credit
limits for risks based in high-risk countries such as
Spain, Italy, and other euro zone countries. Some
trade credit insurers have withdrawn cover completely
for buyers based in particularly troublesome
countries such as Greece.
Contact:
Raffy Rios
Trade Credit Practice Leader Asia
+65 6922 8135
raffy.rios@marsh.com
Contact:
Richard Green
Political Risk, Structured Credit and Surety Practice Leader Asia
+65 6922 8136
richard.d.green@marsh.com
Risk Trends
Rise in Structured Trade Credit Demand
As the euro zone debt crisis combines with Basel III
capital requirements to increase pressure on balance
sheets, banks are looking to innovative ways to
maintain market share in emerging markets. Structured
trade credit insurance covers the risk of non-payment
from a buyer for goods and services or a borrower for
trade related loans. It covers transactions with a credit
risk exposure of between one and seven years, and
many European jurisdictions allow banks to count it
as tier-one regulatory capital under Basel III rules that
provide capital relief for banks.
Marsh 25
Contact:
Market Commentary
Rohan Bhappu
Private Equity and M&A Services Practice Leader Asia-Pacific
rohan.r.bhappu@marsh.com
Notes
Marsh 27
Notes
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