Page 1

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 1
Q1. Some people have said they would not vote in a new General Election for the Westminster Parliament while others have said they would vote. I would like to know
how certain it is that you would actually vote in a general election if it were held tomorrow. On a ten point scale if 10 would mean you would be absolutely certain
to vote and 1 would mean you would be certain not to vote how likely is it that you would cast your vote?
Base : All respondents

Gender

Age

Work status

Social grade

South

Male

Female

FT

PT

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

668
67%

351
74%

318
60%

36
43%

117
53%

112
59%

119
73%

111
81%

173
83%

260
64%

69
60%

80
68%

190
83%

69
51%

320
69%

348
64%

93
64%

77
62%

44
54%

89
65%

94
74%

93
70%

102
80%

76
59%

9

80
8%

33
7%

46
9%

5
6%

23
10%

18
9%

16
10%

6
4%

13
6%

37
9%

11
10%

9
7%

13
6%

9
7%

40
9%

40
7%

15
10%

10
8%

7
8%

9
6%

5
4%

7
5%

6
4%

22
17%

8

80
8%

35
7%

45
8%

17
20%

30
14%

10
5%

5
3%

10
7%

8
4%

31
8%

14
12%

4
4%

8
4%

23
17%

35
8%

45
8%

11
8%

9
8%

13
15%

5
4%

10
8%

13
10%

1
1%

17
13%

7

28
3%

10
2%

18
3%

6
7%

5
2%

12
6%

3
2%

2
2%

-

16
4%

2
1%

5
5%

*
*

5
3%

10
2%

18
3%

7
5%

5
4%

2
2%

7
5%

-

5
4%

-

2
2%

6

9
1%

4
1%

4
1%

1
2%

1
1%

3
2%

1
1%

-

1
1%

2
1%

1
1%

2
2%

1
1%

1
1%

4
1%

4
1%

1
1%

6
5%

-

1
1%

-

1
*

-

-

5

26
3%

9
2%

17
3%

2
3%

10
4%

4
2%

3
2%

1
1%

6
3%

5
1%

4
4%

3
2%

7
3%

7
5%

5
1%

22
4%

3
2%

4
3%

9
11%

1
1%

-

1
1%

6
4%

2
2%

4

12
1%

-

12
2%

-

10
4%

2
1%

-

-

1
*

5
1%

-

4
3%

1
*

2
2%

2
*

11
2%

-

1
1%

-

5
3%

-

2
2%

-

4
3%

3

16
2%

2
*

14
3%

4
5%

4
2%

3
2%

1
1%

2
2%

*
*

11
3%

3
3%

1
1%

*
*

-

4
1%

12
2%

3
2%

-

-

5
4%

8
6%

-

-

-

3

7
1%

3
1%

5
1%

1
1%

4
2%

2
1%

-

-

-

7
2%

-

-

-

-

3
1%

4
1%

1
1%

1
1%

-

3
2%

2
2%

-

-

-

1 - Certain not to vote

46
5%

20
4%

25
5%

5
6%

10
4%

16
8%

10
6%

2
1%

3
1%

18
4%

7
6%

7
6%

5
2%

9
7%

19
4%

27
5%

11
8%

6
4%

7
8%

6
4%

2
1%

4
3%

8
6%

3
2%

Don't know

24
2%

5
1%

18
3%

4
4%

7
3%

6
3%

3
2%

2
1%

2
1%

12
3%

4
3%

1
1%

3
1%

4
3%

15
3%

9
2%

1
1%

3
3%

1
1%

3
2%

3
2%

6
5%

6
5%

1
1%

7
1%

3
3%

-

3
2%

2
1%

1
*

-

-

2
2%

-

4
3%

3
1%

5
1%

-

1
1%

-

2
2%

3
2%

-

-

2
1%

Total

10 - Absolutely certain
to vote

Refused

8
1%

2
*

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

2
*

Retired

Glasgow

NE
Scotland

18 to
24

Central
Scotland

25 to
34

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

Not
working

West

Mean

8.82

9.12

8.55

7.96

8.31

8.35

9.04

9.47

9.51

8.69

8.63

8.72

9.47

8.34

9.05

8.63

8.57

8.72

8.24

8.55

9.04

9.15

9.13

9.04

Standard deviation

2.38

2.12

2.57

2.73

2.61

2.85

2.36

1.55

1.52

2.51

2.53

2.52

1.63

2.60

2.17

2.52

2.69

2.34

2.71

2.67

2.27

1.94

2.38

1.80

Standard error

0.08

0.09

0.12

0.40

0.23

0.24

0.16

0.11

0.10

0.13

0.25

0.28

0.10

0.26

0.09

0.13

0.20

0.17

0.31

0.22

0.26

0.16

0.29

0.18

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 2

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 1
Q1. Some people have said they would not vote in a new General Election for the Westminster Parliament while others have said they would vote. I would like to know
how certain it is that you would actually vote in a general election if it were held tomorrow. On a ten point scale if 10 would mean you would be absolutely certain
to vote and 1 would mean you would be certain not to vote how likely is it that you would cast your vote?
Base : All respondents

VI Westmister
Total

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

10 - Absolutely certain
to vote

668
67%

79
78%

162
88%

35
88%

273
77%

40
62%

28
60%

-

52
31%

85
87%

193
80%

80
72%

186
85%

14
94%

23
80%

58
26%

30
42%

77
82%

163
82%

42
90%

264
76%

36
66%

29
67%

9

80
8%

13
13%

9
5%

2
4%

19
5%

11
18%

4
9%

-

21
12%

10
10%

21
9%

13
12%

11
5%

1
6%

1
5%

13
6%

9
13%

9
10%

14
7%

2
3%

19
5%

11
21%

8

80
8%

5
5%

8
4%

1
2%

33
9%

6
9%

4
9%

-

24
14%

*
*

15
6%

7
7%

10
4%

-

1
4%

37
17%

9
12%

3
4%

12
6%

1
2%

31
9%

7

28
3%

1
1%

3
2%

1
3%

5
1%

3
5%

7
15%

-

8
5%

1
1%

4
2%

-

5
2%

-

*
2%

15
7%

4
5%

1
1%

5
3%

1
3%

6

9
1%

-

-

1
3%

3
1%

2
3%

-

-

2
1%

-

2
1%

1
1%

3
1%

-

-

2
1%

-

-

3
2%

1
3%

5

26
3%

2
2%

1
1%

-

13
4%

2
3%

1
1%

-

8
5%

-

1
*

3
3%

3
1%

-

-

16
7%

3
5%

2
2%

*
*

-

12
3%

4

12
1%

-

-

-

6
2%

1
1%

-

-

6
3%

-

-

-

1
*

-

-

6
3%

5
8%

-

-

-

3

16
2%

*
*

-

-

*
*

-

-

-

15
9%

-

-

3
3%

-

-

-

12
5%

1
1%

*
*

-

3

7
1%

1
1%

-

-

1
*

-

3
6%

-

2
1%

-

-

-

-

-

-

7
3%

-

1
1%

-

1
*

2
2%

1
*

-

2
7%

39
17%

1
2%

2
2%

3
1%

1
1%

-

-

1
2%

11
5%

-

-

-

-

-

-

6
3%

1 - Certain not to vote

46
5%

-

-

-

-

-

-

46
100%

-

Don't know

24
2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

24
14%

8
1%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

8
5%

Refused

3
6%

56
31%

4
8%

-

21
12%

3
6%

1
3%

-

28
15%

6
2%

1
2%

6
13%

-

9
5%

3
1%

-

-

-

1
1%

2
3%

1
1%

-

10
6%

7
2%

-

-

-

6
3%

-

*
*

-

-

1
3%

-

-

1
*

-

3
6%

-

2
1%

-

-

-

3
1%

1
2%

1
1%

36
88%

5
3%

7
10%

-

-

-

3
1%

-

-

-

21
12%

2
3%

-

-

-

-

-

-

1
3%

14
8%

7
4%

Mean

8.82

9.54

9.78

9.71

9.37

9.17

8.76

1.00

7.82

9.86

9.64

9.19

9.62

9.94

9.18

6.37

8.34

9.57

9.65

9.75

9.28

9.32

8.79

1.64

7.68

Standard deviation

2.38

1.26

0.72

0.90

1.43

1.39

2.08

0.00

2.52

0.43

0.99

1.88

1.12

0.24

2.37

3.44

2.27

1.28

0.87

0.84

1.66

1.49

2.33

2.26

2.69

Standard error

0.08

0.11

0.06

0.13

0.07

0.18

0.30

0.00

0.24

0.04

0.07

0.18

0.07

0.07

0.41

0.29

0.33

0.12

0.06

0.12

0.08

0.21

0.33

0.41

0.25

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 3

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 1
Q1. Some people have said they would not vote in a new General Election for the Westminster Parliament while others have said they would vote. I would like to know
how certain it is that you would actually vote in a general election if it were held tomorrow. On a ten point scale if 10 would mean you would be absolutely certain
to vote and 1 would mean you would be certain not to vote how likely is it that you would cast your vote?
Base : All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

668
67%

76
84%

153
82%

39
87%

245
75%

39
67%

52
71%

9

80
8%

10
11%

14
8%

3
6%

25
8%

9
15%

8

80
8%

2
3%

10
6%

1
2%

27
8%

7

28
3%

1
2%

4
2%

1
3%

6

9
1%

-

3
2%

5

26
3%

-

4

12
1%

3

16
2%

3

7
1%

Total

10 - Absolutely certain
to vote

3
6%

61
34%

82
88%

169
82%

48
86%

243
82%

10
75%

70
30%

45
44%

309
73%

343
70%

7
10%

9
32%

61
74%

131
85%

159
69%

313
66%

54
56%

142
70%

213
65%

5
7%

-

14
8%

7
8%

16
8%

3
5%

17
6%

1
7%

19
8%

15
15%

31
7%

46
9%

3
5%

-

9
11%

11
7%

16
7%

37
8%

11
11%

16
8%

27
8%

3
6%

5
6%

-

31
17%

1
1%

16
8%

4
8%

15
5%

-

35
15%

8
8%

33
8%

39
8%

4
6%

4
13%

6
7%

8
5%

17
7%

35
7%

11
11%

17
8%

28
8%

2
1%

2
4%

10
13%

-

7
4%

2
2%

2
1%

-

5
2%

*
4%

15
7%

3
3%

9
2%

12
2%

4
7%

3
11%

2
3%

2
1%

8
4%

11
2%

3
4%

5
3%

12
4%

-

2
1%

1
2%

-

-

2
1%

-

2
1%

-

3
1%

-

2
1%

1
1%

4
1%

2
*

3
4%

-

2
3%

-

1
*

7
1%

*
1%

1
*

1
*

1
1%

-

12
4%

3
5%

1
1%

-

10
5%

-

1
*

-

6
2%

-

11
5%

9
9%

10
2%

13
3%

3
4%

-

-

1
1%

1
*

16
3%

4
4%

5
3%

5
2%

-

-

-

7
2%

-

-

-

6
3%

-

-

-

1
*

-

4
2%

7
7%

6
1%

-

3
4%

4
13%

-

-

6
2%

6
1%

1
1%

-

7
2%

*
*

-

-

*
*

-

-

1
3%

14
8%

-

-

-

-

-

13
5%

3
3%

2
*

9
2%

6
9%

-

-

-

3
1%

11
2%

2
2%

-

5
2%

1
1%

-

-

4
1%

-

-

-

2
1%

-

-

-

-

-

7
3%

-

4
1%

1
*

2
4%

-

-

-

-

7
2%

-

-

-

36
88%

5
3%

-

1
1%

-

3
1%

2
14%

38
16%

2
2%

6
1%

14
3%

24
36%

1
4%

-

1
1%

12
5%

16
3%

8
8%

10
5%

20
6%

21
12%

*
1%

-

1
1%

2
1%

-

15
6%

5
5%

8
2%

6
1%

4
6%

5
19%

3
3%

-

9
4%

7
1%

1
1%

7
3%

10
3%

-

-

-

-

-

6
3%

2
2%

-

2
*

4
6%

2
8%

-

-

-

7
1%

2
2%

-

1 - Certain not to vote

46
5%

-

-

1
3%

2
1%

1
1%

1
1%

Don't know

24
2%

-

-

-

3
1%

-

-

-

8
1%

-

-

-

-

-

-

1
3%

Refused

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

7
4%

2
1%

Mean

8.82

9.66

9.64

9.56

9.25

9.16

9.29

1.64

7.72

9.83

9.62

9.79

9.54

8.58

6.71

8.11

9.22

9.10

4.19

7.64

9.55

9.70

8.88

8.78

8.38

9.05

8.73

Standard deviation

2.38

1.13

0.90

1.61

1.72

1.67

1.37

2.26

2.70

0.55

1.03

0.58

1.32

3.21

3.45

2.52

1.81

2.01

3.41

2.75

0.96

1.01

2.38

2.38

2.72

2.18

2.49

Standard error

0.08

0.10

0.07

0.22

0.09

0.23

0.15

0.41

0.25

0.05

0.07

0.07

0.07

0.60

0.28

0.31

0.09

0.09

0.54

0.62

0.10

0.09

0.16

0.11

0.27

0.16

0.14

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 4

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 2
Q2. The Scottish Conservatives, Scottish Labour, the Scottish Liberal Democrats, SNP, UKIP and other parties would fight a new election for the Westminster parliament
in your area. If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?
Base: All respondents

Gender

Total

Age

Work status

Male

Female

18 to
24

25 to
34

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

FT

PT

Not
working

Social grade
Retired

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Central
Scotland

Glasgow

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

NE
Scotland

South

West

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

Scottish Conservative

101
10%

56
12%

45
8%

3
3%

19
9%

14
7%

15
10%

15
11%

35
17%

46
11%

7
6%

3
3%

38
16%

8
6%

77
17%

24
4%

11
7%

14
11%

8
9%

11
8%

9
7%

16
12%

13
10%

19
15%

Scottish Labour

184
18%

108
23%

76
14%

12
14%

34
15%

29
15%

34
21%

28
21%

47
23%

79
19%

20
18%

13
11%

50
22%

22
16%

74
16%

110
20%

32
22%

26
21%

5
7%

25
18%

21
17%

20
16%

28
22%

26
20%

Scottish Liberal
Democrat

40
4%

20
4%

20
4%

4
5%

3
1%

5
3%

8
5%

10
7%

9
5%

13
3%

2
2%

10
9%

12
5%

2
1%

22
5%

17
3%

2
1%

3
3%

5
6%

9
6%

7
6%

3
2%

8
6%

3
2%

353
35%

177
37%

176
33%

30
35%

83
38%

56
29%

57
35%

52
38%

75
36%

142
35%

39
35%

44
37%

79
34%

48
36%

140
30%

213
39%

55
37%

41
33%

25
31%

36
27%

48
38%

49
37%

44
35%

54
42%

Scottish Green Party

39
4%

15
3%

23
4%

6
7%

12
6%

8
4%

5
3%

5
4%

2
1%

18
4%

5
5%

5
4%

4
2%

7
5%

24
5%

15
3%

3
2%

7
6%

3
4%

10
8%

6
5%

2
1%

4
3%

4
3%

UK Independence Party
(UKIP)

65
6%

40
8%

25
5%

4
5%

10
5%

18
10%

9
6%

7
5%

16
8%

24
6%

10
9%

11
9%

17
7%

3
2%

31
7%

34
6%

9
6%

9
7%

8
9%

5
4%

9
7%

9
7%

8
6%

7
6%

British National Party
(BNP)

6
1%

3
1%

3
1%

2
3%

3
1%

-

1
1%

-

-

3
1%

-

1
1%

-

2
2%

*
*

6
1%

1
1%

-

-

5
4%

-

-

-

-

Other

1
*

*
*

*
*

-

*
*

-

-

*
*

-

*
*

*
*

-

-

-

1
*

-

-

-

*
*

*
*

-

-

-

-

Will not vote

46
5%

20
4%

25
5%

5
6%

10
4%

16
8%

10
6%

2
1%

3
1%

18
4%

7
6%

7
6%

5
2%

9
7%

19
4%

27
5%

11
8%

6
4%

7
8%

6
4%

2
1%

4
3%

8
6%

3
2%

Don't know

153
15%

30
6%

124
23%

16
18%

47
21%

40
21%

20
12%

13
9%

18
9%

58
14%

22
20%

22
18%

21
9%

30
22%

64
14%

89
16%

23
16%

17
13%

18
22%

23
17%

19
15%

28
21%

14
11%

11
9%

17
2%

5
1%

12
2%

3
3%

-

5
3%

2
1%

5
3%

3
1%

5
1%

-

3
3%

5
2%

4
3%

9
2%

9
2%

-

2
2%

3
3%

4
3%

5
4%

-

1
1%

2
1%

Scottish National
Party/SNP

Refused

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 5

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 2
Q2. The Scottish Conservatives, Scottish Labour, the Scottish Liberal Democrats, SNP, UKIP and other parties would fight a new election for the Westminster parliament
in your area. If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?
Base: All respondents

VI Westmister

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

-

1
*

1
2%

-

-

2
1%

2
1%

-

2
5%

-

9
5%

-

-

-

1
*

Total

Scottish Conservative

101
10%

101
100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

66
68%

9
4%

7
6%

3
1%

-

*
1%

9
4%

6
9%

89
94%

Scottish Labour

184
18%

-

184
100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

4
4%

142
59%

15
13%

5
2%

-

7
25%

10
4%

1
2%

-

170
86%

1
1%

Scottish Liberal
Democrat

40
4%

-

-

40
100%

-

-

-

-

-

1
2%

-

31
28%

*
*

-

1
3%

6
3%

-

-

1
*

37
80%

1
*

353
35%

-

-

-

353
100%

-

-

-

-

5
5%

55
23%

27
24%

182
83%

-

8
27%

66
30%

11
15%

1
1%

6
3%

5
10%

325
93%

Scottish Green Party

39
4%

-

-

-

-

-

39
84%

-

-

1
1%

4
2%

9
8%

7
3%

1
5%

7
24%

9
4%

1
2%

-

1
*

1
2%

UK Independence Party
(UKIP)

65
6%

-

-

-

-

65
100%

-

-

-

13
13%

9
4%

1
1%

8
4%

14
95%

2
8%

15
7%

3
4%

3
3%

5
2%

British National Party
(BNP)

6
1%

-

-

-

-

-

6
14%

-

-

-

*
*

-

-

-

-

6
3%

-

1
1%

Other

1
*

-

-

-

-

-

1
2%

-

-

-

-

*
*

-

-

*
2%

-

-

Will not vote

46
5%

-

-

-

-

-

-

46
100%

-

-

1
*

2
2%

1
*

-

2
7%

39
17%

1
2%

Don't know

153
15%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

153
90%

21
9%

20
18%

13
6%

-

1
4%

56
25%

17
2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

17
10%

-

-

-

-

-

6
3%

Scottish National
Party/SNP

Refused

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

7
7%
-

8
4%

DK/Ref

1
2%

4
10%

1
3%

2
1%

-

30
69%

-

5
3%

-

2
1%

50
92%

-

-

5
3%

-

-

-

-

5
13%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

*
1%

-

*
*

-

-

-

3
1%

1
2%

1
1%

36
88%

5
3%

36
50%

*
1%

8
4%

3
6%

11
3%

1
2%

-

2
6%

127
71%

11
16%

-

-

-

-

-

1
3%

16
9%

-

10
6%

Page 6

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 2
Q2. The Scottish Conservatives, Scottish Labour, the Scottish Liberal Democrats, SNP, UKIP and other parties would fight a new election for the Westminster parliament
in your area. If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?
Base: All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

Total

Scottish Conservative

101
10%

82
90%

7
4%

3
6%

3
1%

3
4%

-

-

3
2%

73
78%

4
2%

1
3%

5
2%

*
3%

12
5%

5
5%

6
1%

91
19%

4
5%

-

Scottish Labour

184
18%

2
2%

157
85%

10
21%

2
1%

2
4%

4
6%

-

6
3%

2
2%

144
70%

7
12%

5
2%

-

20
9%

5
5%

26
6%

156
32%

1
1%

2
6%

Scottish Liberal
Democrat

40
4%

1
1%

2
1%

25
56%

1
*

-

4
6%

-

6
3%

1
1%

1
*

25
45%

2
1%

-

6
3%

4
4%

9
2%

30
6%

1
2%

353
35%

1
1%

6
3%

4
9%

299
91%

11
6%

1
1%

29
14%

7
13%

243
82%

*
4%

54
23%

17
17%

307
73%

37
8%

4
7%

10
3%

4
30%

12
5%

6
5%

15
4%

6
6%

Scottish National
Party/SNP

4
6%

27
36%

1
3%

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

1
1%

6
4%

20
9%

41
9%

15
16%

24
12%

35
11%

20
24%

120
78%

51
22%

106
22%

8
9%

19
9%

59
18%

-

-

-

8
4%

8
2%

5
6%

18
9%

14
4%

4
6%

5
16%

51
61%

4
3%

88
38%

166
35%

27
28%

72
35%

115
35%

17
3%

6
9%

1
5%

2
2%

2
1%

9
4%

21
4%

2
2%

7
3%

11
3%

14
3%

48
10%

2
4%

-

3
4%

6
4%

13
6%

26
5%

6
6%

20
10%

19
6%

Scottish Green Party

39
4%

-

-

-

3
1%

-

33
44%

-

3
2%

1
1%

4
2%

UK Independence Party
(UKIP)

65
6%

3
3%

3
2%

*
1%

3
1%

49
83%

1
1%

-

5
3%

13
14%

10
5%

*
*

16
5%

5
37%

15
7%

British National Party
(BNP)

6
1%

1
1%

-

-

3
1%

-

3
4%

-

-

-

-

-

1
*

*
3%

5
2%

-

5
1%

1
*

-

-

-

*
*

-

4
1%

2
3%

-

2
1%

Other

1
*

*
*

-

-

-

-

-

-

*
*

*
*

-

-

-

*
4%

-

-

-

1
*

-

-

-

-

-

*
*

*
*

-

*
*

Will not vote

46
5%

-

-

1
3%

2
1%

1
1%

1
1%

36
88%

5
3%

-

1
1%

-

3
1%

2
14%

38
16%

2
2%

6
1%

14
3%

24
36%

1
4%

-

1
1%

12
5%

16
3%

8
8%

10
5%

20
6%

Don't know

153
15%

11
6%

2
4%

10
3%

1
2%

1
2%

2
6%

125
69%

14
7%

11
20%

12
4%

1
7%

66
28%

46
45%

33
8%

85
17%

21
31%

14
49%

7
8%

14
9%

29
13%

73
15%

18
19%

33
16%

47
14%

-

-

1
3%

16
9%

-

-

-

6
3%

11
11%

-

7
2%

4
6%

6
20%

-

-

1
*

10
2%

5
5%

1
1%

6
2%

Refused

17
2%

1
1%
-

-

-

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

-

2
3%
-

-

Page 7

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 3
Data derived from:Q1. Some people have said they would not vote in a new General Election for the Westminster Parliament while others have said they would vote. I would like to know
how certain it is that you would actually vote in a general election if it were held tomorrow?
Q2. The Scottish Conservatives, Scottish Labour, the Scottish Liberal Democrats, SNP, UKIP and other parties would fight a new election for the Westminster parliament
in your area. If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?
Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (5%), don't know who they would vote for (15%) or refuse to answer (2%)
THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS

Gender

Age

Work status

Social grade

South

Total

Male

Female

FT

PT

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Unweighted base

763

431

331

24

89

98

163

170

219

315

72

56

251

69

479

284

138

153

51

112

67

108

54

81

Weighted base

691

380

311

41

132

116

120

108

175

285

70

74

189

73

336

355

100

85

41

87

96

91

95

96

Scottish Conservative

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

Retired

Glasgow

NE
Scotland

18 to
24

Central
Scotland

25 to
34

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

Not
working

West

92
13%

52
14%

40
13%

2
5%

16
12%

12
10%

14
12%

14
13%

33
19%

41
14%

6
9%

2
3%

36
19%

7
10%

70
21%

22
6%

10
10%

11
13%

6
15%

11
12%

8
9%

15
16%

13
14%

18
19%

Scottish Labour

175
25%

104
27%

71
23%

10
25%

31
23%

28
24%

33
27%

27
25%

47
27%

74
26%

19
27%

12
17%

50
26%

20
27%

71
21%

104
29%

29
29%

24
28%

5
11%

25
28%

21
22%

20
22%

28
29%

24
25%

Scottish Liberal
Democrat

36
5%

19
5%

16
5%

3
6%

3
2%

4
3%

7
6%

10
9%

9
5%

11
4%

2
3%

9
12%

12
6%

2
2%

20
6%

16
4%

2
2%

3
3%

5
12%

7
8%

7
7%

3
3%

8
8%

2
2%

301
44%

158
42%

143
46%

21
51%

64
49%

50
43%

51
43%

45
42%

70
40%

124
44%

29
42%

38
52%

73
39%

36
49%

126
37%

175
49%

51
51%

35
41%

18
44%

33
38%

44
46%

44
49%

35
36%

42
44%

Scottish Green Party

32
5%

13
3%

19
6%

3
6%

10
7%

8
7%

5
5%

5
5%

1
1%

15
5%

4
6%

5
6%

3
2%

5
7%

21
6%

11
3%

2
2%

5
6%

3
7%

7
8%

6
7%

2
2%

4
4%

3
4%

UK Independence Party
(UKIP)

52
8%

33
9%

19
6%

2
5%

7
6%

14
12%

8
7%

6
6%

14
8%

19
7%

9
13%

8
10%

15
8%

2
3%

27
8%

25
7%

6
6%

7
8%

4
11%

3
4%

9
9%

7
8%

8
9%

7
7%

British National Party
(BNP)

2
*

1
*

1
*

1
2%

*
*

-

1
1%

-

-

1
*

-

*
1%

-

1
1%

*
*

2
*

*
*

-

-

2
2%

-

-

-

-

Other

1
*

*
*

*
*

-

*
*

-

-

*
*

-

*
*

*
1%

-

-

-

1
*

-

-

-

*
1%

*
1%

-

-

-

-

Will not vote

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Don't know

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Refused

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Scottish National
Party/SNP

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 8

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 3
Data derived from:Q1. Some people have said they would not vote in a new General Election for the Westminster Parliament while others have said they would vote. I would like to know
how certain it is that you would actually vote in a general election if it were held tomorrow?
Q2. The Scottish Conservatives, Scottish Labour, the Scottish Liberal Democrats, SNP, UKIP and other parties would fight a new election for the Westminster parliament
in your area. If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?
Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (5%), don't know who they would vote for (15%) or refuse to answer (2%)
THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS

VI Westmister

Will
not
vote

Total

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Unweighted base

763

118

160

46

345

53

41

-

Weighted base

691

92

175

36

301

52

35

Scottish Conservative

Recall Westminter
DK/Ref

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

-

128

205

95

251

12

29

33

11

110

167

48

334

42

43

1

19

-

-

90

213

86

198

14

25

49

15

86

178

40

284

44

33

1

26

-

1
*

1
2%

-

-

1
5%

1
1%

-

2
6%

-

9
33%

-

-

-

1
2%

1
3%

4
14%

1
100%

8
32%

-

25
74%

-

3
12%

-

-

3
13%

92
13%

92
100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

65
72%

9
4%

7
8%

3
2%

-

*
1%

3
6%

5
31%

82
95%

Scottish Labour

175
25%

-

175
100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

4
5%

139
65%

14
17%

5
3%

-

7
29%

5
9%

1
4%

-

162
91%

1
2%

Scottish Liberal
Democrat

36
5%

-

-

36
100%

-

-

-

-

-

1
2%

-

30
35%

*
*

-

1
3%

3
6%

-

-

1
*

33
84%

1
*

301
44%

-

-

-

301
100%

-

-

-

-

5
6%

53
25%

26
30%

176
89%

-

7
30%

27
55%

7
44%

1
1%

5
3%

5
12%

276
97%

Scottish Green Party

32
5%

-

-

-

-

-

32
92%

-

-

1
1%

4
2%

8
10%

7
3%

1
6%

6
26%

4
8%

1
9%

-

1
*

1
3%

2
1%

UK Independence Party
(UKIP)

52
8%

-

-

-

-

52
100%

-

-

-

13
14%

8
4%

1
1%

7
4%

14
94%

2
9%

6
12%

2
12%

3
4%

3
2%

-

1
*

42
95%

British National Party
(BNP)

2
*

-

-

-

-

-

2
6%

-

-

-

*
*

-

-

-

-

2
3%

-

*
1%

-

-

-

-

2
5%

-

-

Other

1
*

-

-

-

-

-

1
3%

-

-

-

-

*
*

-

-

*
2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

*
1%

-

*
2%

Will not vote

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Don't know

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Refused

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Scottish National
Party/SNP

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

7
4%

Page 9

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 3
Data derived from:Q1. Some people have said they would not vote in a new General Election for the Westminster Parliament while others have said they would vote. I would like to know
how certain it is that you would actually vote in a general election if it were held tomorrow?
Q2. The Scottish Conservatives, Scottish Labour, the Scottish Liberal Democrats, SNP, UKIP and other parties would fight a new election for the Westminster parliament
in your area. If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?
Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (5%), don't know who they would vote for (15%) or refuse to answer (2%)
THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Total

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

763

112

154

49

312

45

68

1

23

119

174

65

313

24

45

22

387

363

7

5

76

125

172

386

70

135

242

Weighted base

691

84

164

39

269

47

58

1

29

89

184

44

263

10

67

33

328

347

10

6

73

136

166

329

55

141

220

Scottish Conservative

Will
not
vote

92
13%

76
91%

6
4%

3
7%

3
1%

2
4%

-

-

2
7%

71
80%

4
2%

1
3%

5
2%

*
3%

Scottish Labour

175
25%

2
3%

151
92%

8
22%

2
1%

2
4%

3
6%

-

6
20%

2
2%

141
76%

7
15%

5
2%

Scottish Liberal
Democrat

36
5%

1
1%

1
1%

23
60%

1
1%

-

2
4%

-

6
22%

1
1%

1
1%

25
57%

2
1%

301
44%

1
1%

4
2%

4
11%

256
95%

3
7%

24
41%

1
100%

8
30%

1
1%

27
15%

7
16%

230
87%

Scottish National
Party/SNP

DK/Ref

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

6
9%

4
13%

6
2%

84
24%

2
21%

-

1
2%

6
4%

19
11%

37
11%

14
26%

22
15%

33
15%

-

15
23%

5
17%

24
7%

149
43%

1
7%

2
24%

18
25%

119
87%

49
29%

101
31%

8
15%

18
12%

57
26%

-

3
5%

4
12%

8
2%

27
8%

*
4%

-

-

-

6
4%

8
2%

5
8%

17
12%

11
5%

*
5%

25
37%

10
32%

265
81%

31
9%

1
15%

4
55%

49
68%

3
3%

76
46%

142
43%

22
39%

61
43%

97
44%

Scottish Green Party

32
5%

-

-

-

3
1%

-

27
46%

-

2
8%

1
1%

3
2%

4
9%

8
3%

4
36%

7
11%

5
16%

13
4%

14
4%

4
42%

1
21%

2
2%

2
2%

6
3%

18
5%

2
4%

7
5%

8
4%

UK Independence Party
(UKIP)

52
8%

3
4%

2
1%

*
1%

3
1%

40
86%

1
2%

-

4
13%

13
15%

9
5%

*
1%

13
5%

5
47%

9
13%

3
10%

11
3%

41
12%

1
10%

-

2
3%

5
4%

11
7%

22
7%

3
5%

17
12%

14
6%

British National Party
(BNP)

2
*

*
1%

-

-

*
*

-

1
2%

-

-

-

-

-

*
*

*
4%

1
2%

-

1
*

1
*

-

-

-

*
*

-

1
*

1
2%

-

1
*

Other

1
*

*
*

-

-

-

-

-

-

*
2%

*
*

-

-

-

*
5%

-

-

-

1
*

-

-

-

-

-

*
*

*
1%

-

*
*

Will not vote

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Don't know

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Refused

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 10

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Table 4
Published Vote Intention Figures - Westminster General Election
Percentages derived from the responses of 841 respondents
Total
Scottish Conservatives

13%

Scottish Labour

26%

Scottish Liberal
Democrats

6%

SNP

43%

Scottish Greens

4%

UKIP

7%

Other

-

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Col percents

Page 11

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 5
Q3/Q4. Could you tell me the party you actually voted for in the Westminter 2010 election? Was it Scottish Conservative, Scottish Labour, Scottish Liberal Democrats, SNP, UKIP or another party?
Base : All respondents

Gender

Total

Age

Work status

Social grade

Male

Female

18 to
24

25 to
34

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

FT

PT

Not
working

Retired

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Central
Scotland

Glasgow

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

NE
Scotland

South

West

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

Scottish Conservative

98
10%

61
13%

37
7%

-

12
5%

10
5%

19
12%

16
11%

42
20%

38
9%

8
7%

3
3%

45
19%

4
3%

68
15%

30
5%

11
8%

13
10%

7
8%

13
10%

7
5%

15
11%

16
12%

17
13%

Scottish Labour

241
24%

130
27%

111
21%

9
10%

44
20%

53
28%

46
28%

35
26%

54
26%

110
27%

25
22%

23
19%

57
25%

27
20%

107
23%

133
25%

46
31%

41
33%

6
7%

28
20%

31
24%

21
16%

32
25%

37
29%

Scottish Liberal
Democrat

111
11%

56
12%

55
10%

11
13%

27
12%

20
10%

19
12%

18
14%

14
7%

47
11%

8
7%

22
18%

19
8%

15
11%

52
11%

59
11%

7
5%

6
5%

15
19%

17
12%

23
19%

12
9%

22
17%

8
6%

Scottish National
Party/SNP

218
22%

116
24%

103
19%

10
11%

35
16%

36
19%

37
23%

36
26%

64
31%

83
20%

24
21%

16
13%

68
30%

27
20%

101
22%

117
22%

35
24%

25
20%

10
12%

21
15%

37
29%

43
32%

20
16%

28
22%

Green Party

11
1%

4
1%

8
1%

-

2
1%

2
1%

6
3%

1
1%

*
*

7
2%

*
*

3
2%

1
*

1
1%

6
1%

5
1%

1
1%

2
1%

1
1%

2
1%

*
*

3
2%

3
2%

-

UK Independence Party
(UKIP)

15
1%

8
2%

7
1%

-

-

6
3%

1
1%

2
1%

5
2%

4
1%

3
3%

3
3%

3
1%

1
1%

6
1%

9
2%

1
1%

*
*

2
2%

-

4
3%

2
1%

4
3%

2
1%

2
*

-

-

1
1%

-

-

*
*

-

1
*

-

-

*
*

-

2
*

-

*
*

-

-

1
1%

-

-

-

-

16
2%

9
2%

7
1%

2
3%

12
5%

*
*

*
*

-

1
1%

11
3%

1
1%

2
2%

1
*

1
1%

12
3%

4
1%

2
1%

1
1%

*
*

7
5%

-

2
2%

-

4
3%

223
22%

76
16%

146
28%

50
59%

68
31%

45
24%

30
18%

16
12%

14
7%

86
21%

34
30%

32
27%

16
7%

54
40%

78
17%

144
27%

33
22%

29
24%

29
35%

39
29%

17
13%

25
19%

23
18%

28
22%

71
7%

14
3%

57
11%

3
4%

20
9%

19
10%

4
3%

11
8%

14
7%

22
5%

11
10%

15
13%

19
8%

4
3%

29
6%

42
8%

10
7%

8
6%

12
15%

9
7%

7
6%

10
8%

9
7%

6
4%

British National Party
(BNP)
Other
Did not vote
Don't Know / Refused

2
*

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 12

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 5
Q3/Q4. Could you tell me the party you actually voted for in the Westminter 2010 election? Was it Scottish Conservative, Scottish Labour, Scottish Liberal Democrats, SNP, UKIP or another party?
Base : All respondents

VI Westmister

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

Total

Scottish Conservative

98
10%

66
66%

4
2%

Scottish Labour

241
24%

9
9%

142
77%

Scottish Liberal
Democrat

111
11%

7
7%

Scottish National
Party/SNP

218
22%

1
4%

5
2%

13
20%

1
3%

-

7
4%

98
100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

63
66%

10
5%

-

55
16%

9
13%

4
9%

1
2%

21
12%

-

241
100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

7
7%

146
74%

15
8%

31
77%

27
8%

1
1%

10
21%

2
4%

20
12%

-

-

111
100%

-

-

-

-

-

7
8%

3
3%

5
3%

*
1%

182
52%

8
13%

7
14%

1
2%

13
7%

-

-

-

218
100%

-

-

-

-

1
2%

1
1%

-

-

-

-

-

11
39%

-

-

1
3%

-

DK/Ref

6
2%

10
19%

1
2%

7
4%

-

55
16%

7
13%

6
14%

1
3%

19
10%

12
6%

37
79%

22
6%

1
1%

7
17%

2
4%

23
13%

3
3%

7
4%

1
2%

184
53%

8
14%

5
11%

-

11
6%

-

-

-

1
2%

-

-

8
20%

1
3%

1
1%

-

-

-

-

-

*
*

12
22%

1
2%

-

2
1%

Green Party

11
1%

-

-

1
2%

2
*

-

7
15%

UK Independence Party
(UKIP)

15
1%

-

-

-

-

14
21%

1
2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

15
100%

2
*

-

-

-

1
*

*
*

*
1%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

2
6%

-

-

-

-

-

1
*

*
*

-

-

*
*

16
2%

*
*

7
4%

-

5
1%

2
3%

-

1
2%

*
*

-

-

-

-

-

16
55%

-

-

*
*

7
3%

-

3
1%

3
5%

-

-

3
2%

British National Party
(BNP)
Other
Did not vote
Don't Know / Refused

223
22%

9
9%

10
5%

6
16%

66
19%

15
23%

15
33%

39
85%

62
36%

-

-

-

-

-

-

223
100%

-

9
9%

14
7%

6
14%

68
20%

10
19%

13
32%

37
90%

64
36%

71
7%

6
6%

1
1%

-

11
3%

3
4%

1
3%

1
2%

47
28%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

71
100%

6
7%

1
1%

-

10
3%

3
5%

1
3%

-

49
27%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 13

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 5
Q3/Q4. Could you tell me the party you actually voted for in the Westminter 2010 election? Was it Scottish Conservative, Scottish Labour, Scottish Liberal Democrats, SNP, UKIP or another party?
Base : All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

-

-

-

-

19
8%

41
9%

15
16%

23
11%

34
10%

83
100%

154
100%

63
27%

147
31%

9
9%

21
11%

72
22%

Total

Scottish Conservative

98
10%

63
69%

8
5%

3
7%

5
2%

12
20%

1
2%

Scottish Labour

241
24%

5
5%

137
74%

3
8%

57
17%

8
14%

11
15%

Scottish Liberal
Democrat

111
11%

7
7%

13
7%

26
59%

13
4%

1
2%

Scottish National
Party/SNP

218
22%

4
5%

4
2%

3
7%

177
54%

-

5
3%

79
84%

3
1%

2
4%

7
2%

*
3%

4
2%

3
3%

13
3%

85
17%

1
3%

19
10%

5
5%

187
90%

1
2%

29
10%

1
8%

7
3%

10
10%

83
20%

154
32%

2
3%

2
6%

18
25%

2
4%

31
17%

6
6%

9
4%

49
87%

19
7%

2
16%

7
3%

18
18%

40
10%

68
14%

2
3%

-

-

-

21
9%

40
9%

12
13%

37
18%

33
10%

8
13%

11
15%

-

11
6%

-

3
2%

1
1%

207
70%

-

3
1%

4
4%

174
41%

43
9%

1
2%

-

-

-

54
23%

95
20%

15
15%

55
27%

69
21%

1
3%

1
1%

-

*
*

1
1%

2
1%

3
23%

3
1%

2
2%

4
1%

2
*

3
5%

1
5%

-

-

1
1%

6
1%

1
1%

4
2%

2
1%

4
27%

5
2%

2
2%

4
1%

10
2%

-

-

-

-

2
1%

6
1%

-

7
3%

2
1%

-

-

1
*

1
*

-

-

-

-

*
*

*
*

1
1%

-

1
*

7
3%

3
3%

6
1%

10
2%

-

*
1%

-

-

7
3%

7
1%

2
2%

-

9
3%

Green Party

11
1%

-

-

-

1
*

-

8
10%

UK Independence Party
(UKIP)

15
1%

-

-

-

-

12
20%

1
2%

-

2
1%

*
*

-

-

4
1%

2
*

*
*

-

-

1
*

-

-

-

*
*

*
*

-

-

1
*

16
2%

*
*

5
3%

2
5%

5
1%

3
4%

1
1%

-

*
*

-

-

-

3
1%

2
18%

British National Party
(BNP)
Other
Did not vote
Don't Know / Refused

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

*
4%

223
22%

6
6%

17
9%

7
15%

60
18%

12
21%

21
28%

37
90%

62
35%

-

2
1%

1
1%

18
6%

-

186
79%

16
15%

86
20%

81
17%

56
84%

1
3%

-

-

50
22%

103
22%

30
31%

39
19%

80
24%

71
7%

6
7%

1
1%

-

9
3%

3
5%

1
2%

-

50
28%

3
3%

3
1%

2
4%

6
2%

-

12
5%

46
44%

11
3%

33
7%

2
2%

25
86%

-

-

15
6%

28
6%

11
11%

18
9%

26
8%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 14

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 6
Q5. Some people have said they would not vote in a new election to the Holyrood Scottish Parliament, while others have said they would vote. I would like to
know how certain it is that you would vote in the election to the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood if it were held tomorrow.
On a ten point scale if 10 would mean you would be absolutely certain to vote and 1 would mean you are certain not to vote, how likely is it that you would cast your vote?
Base : All respondents

Gender

Age

Work status

Social grade

South

Male

Female

FT

PT

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

658
66%

342
72%

317
60%

34
40%

116
52%

108
56%

120
73%

108
79%

174
84%

255
63%

65
58%

82
69%

189
83%

66
49%

321
70%

337
62%

94
64%

76
61%

43
53%

86
63%

95
76%

88
67%

95
74%

80
62%

9

92
9%

46
10%

47
9%

10
12%

28
13%

17
9%

17
11%

9
7%

11
5%

47
11%

13
11%

8
6%

12
5%

14
10%

43
9%

50
9%

12
8%

12
9%

11
13%

10
7%

6
5%

8
6%

11
8%

23
18%

8

75
7%

24
5%

51
10%

12
14%

27
12%

16
8%

3
2%

8
6%

9
4%

30
7%

13
12%

5
5%

9
4%

17
12%

23
5%

51
9%

11
8%

9
8%

5
7%

6
5%

6
5%

17
13%

5
4%

14
11%

7

29
3%

9
2%

20
4%

8
9%

7
3%

5
2%

3
2%

3
2%

3
2%

13
3%

1
1%

5
4%

5
2%

4
3%

8
2%

20
4%

5
3%

4
3%

2
2%

9
7%

-

2
1%

4
3%

3
2%

6

23
2%

14
3%

10
2%

4
4%

8
4%

6
3%

1
1%

2
2%

2
1%

14
3%

4
4%

-

4
2%

1
1%

20
4%

4
1%

2
1%

6
5%

4
5%

3
2%

5
4%

4
3%

-

-

5

22
2%

7
1%

15
3%

1
1%

10
4%

6
3%

2
1%

1
1%

3
1%

3
1%

1
1%

4
3%

3
1%

10
8%

6
1%

16
3%

5
4%

3
2%

8
10%

1
*

-

*
*

-

4
3%

4

6
1%

-

*
*

-

3
2%

-

2
2%

-

-

3

Total

10 - Certain to vote

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

Retired

Glasgow

NE
Scotland

18 to
24

Central
Scotland

25 to
34

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

Not
working

West

2
*

4
1%

-

2
1%

2
1%

1
1%

-

*
*

-

-

3
2%

*
*

2
2%

1
*

4
1%

11
1%

4
1%

8
1%

4
5%

2
1%

3
2%

-

1
1%

*
*

7
2%

1
1%

2
2%

*
*

-

1
*

10
2%

1
1%

-

-

3
2%

4
3%

1
1%

-

2
2%

2

10
1%

5
1%

5
1%

2
3%

4
2%

2
1%

-

1
1%

-

7
2%

1
1%

-

1
*

1
1%

5
1%

5
1%

2
1%

1
1%

-

4
3%

2
2%

1
*

-

-

1 - Certain not to vote

41
4%

18
4%

23
4%

4
4%

6
3%

18
10%

8
5%

1
1%

3
1%

16
4%

7
6%

6
5%

4
2%

9
7%

14
3%

27
5%

9
6%

8
7%

7
8%

5
4%

2
1%

-

8
6%

3
2%

Don't know

36
4%

7
1%

30
6%

6
7%

11
5%

9
5%

7
4%

2
2%

2
1%

15
4%

6
6%

4
3%

2
1%

9
7%

16
4%

20
4%

5
3%

4
4%

2
2%

7
5%

5
4%

8
6%

5
4%

-

-

-

1
*

-

-

1
1%

-

-

1
*

-

-

-

-

1
*

-

-

-

-

Refused

1
*

-

1
*

-

-

-

Mean

8.87

9.06

8.69

7.96

8.57

8.18

9.17

9.43

9.53

8.80

8.68

8.82

9.47

8.19

9.07

8.70

8.67

8.62

8.19

8.63

9.15

9.25

9.16

9.08

Standard deviation

2.29

2.15

2.40

2.68

2.29

2.98

2.17

1.56

1.44

2.33

2.46

2.44

1.57

2.72

2.08

2.44

2.58

2.54

2.75

2.55

2.11

1.50

2.24

1.80

Standard error

0.07

0.09

0.11

0.39

0.20

0.25

0.15

0.11

0.09

0.12

0.25

0.27

0.09

0.27

0.09

0.12

0.19

0.18

0.32

0.21

0.24

0.13

0.27

0.18

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 15

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 6
Q5. Some people have said they would not vote in a new election to the Holyrood Scottish Parliament, while others have said they would vote. I would like to
know how certain it is that you would vote in the election to the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood if it were held tomorrow.
On a ten point scale if 10 would mean you would be absolutely certain to vote and 1 would mean you are certain not to vote, how likely is it that you would cast your vote?
Base : All respondents

VI Westmister
Total

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

10 - Certain to vote

658
66%

80
79%

151
82%

33
82%

278
79%

39
61%

27
58%

2
4%

49
29%

83
85%

189
79%

72
65%

190
87%

13
87%

21
75%

59
26%

32
45%

77
82%

149
76%

41
87%

274
79%

36
68%

26
61%

-

55
30%

9

92
9%

10
10%

19
10%

2
4%

27
8%

9
14%

2
4%

1
3%

23
13%

5
5%

28
12%

14
13%

10
5%

2
13%

3
10%

22
10%

8
11%

8
8%

23
12%

2
3%

31
9%

9
16%

3
6%

-

18
10%

8

75
7%

5
5%

9
5%

3
8%

28
8%

4
6%

5
11%

-

19
11%

5
5%

12
5%

9
8%

14
6%

-

1
4%

30
13%

5
7%

4
4%

15
7%

3
7%

27
8%

1
2%

3
8%

-

21
12%

7

29
3%

1
1%

1
1%

1
3%

5
1%

4
6%

7
15%

-

10
6%

1
1%

6
2%

1
1%

-

-

*
2%

15
7%

5
8%

1
1%

5
2%

1
3%

3
1%

2
3%

7
16%

-

10
5%

6

23
2%

-

3
1%

1
3%

5
1%

5
9%

-

1
2%

-

2
1%

5
4%

2
1%

-

1
3%

12
5%

1
1%

-

3
2%

-

5
1%

6
11%

-

-

9
5%

5

22
2%

2
2%

*
*

-

2
1%

2
3%

3
7%

-

12
7%

3
3%

-

6
5%

1
1%

-

-

7
3%

5
7%

2
2%

3
1%

-

2
1%

-

1
1%

-

15
8%

4

6
1%

-

-

-

2
*

-

-

-

4
2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

2
1%

3
4%

-

-

-

2
*

-

-

-

4
2%

3

11
1%

1
1%

-

-

2
1%

-

-

-

8
4%

-

-

-

-

-

-

9
4%

2
3%

1
2%

-

-

2
1%

-

-

-

8
4%

2

10
1%

1
1%

-

-

1
*

-

3
6%

2
4%

3
2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

9
4%

1
1%

1
1%

-

-

2
1%

-

3
8%

-

3
2%

1 - Certain not to vote

41
4%

-

-

-

1
*

-

-

36
80%

4
2%

-

1
*

2
2%

-

-

1
4%

37
17%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

41
100%

-

Don't know

36
4%

1
1%

1
1%

-

2
1%

-

-

3
8%

29
17%

2
2%

3
1%

2
1%

1
1%

-

1
2%

20
9%

9
12%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

36
20%

1
*

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

1
1%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

1
*

Mean

8.87

9.48

9.71

9.59

9.51

9.04

8.48

1.78

7.71

9.68

9.63

9.08

9.75

9.87

9.29

6.57

8.32

9.48

9.53

9.76

9.52

9.27

8.63

1.00

7.87

Standard deviation

2.29

1.44

0.76

0.99

1.26

1.50

2.25

2.36

2.56

0.98

0.96

1.77

0.75

0.35

1.94

3.44

2.30

1.48

1.01

0.69

1.23

1.33

2.28

0.00

2.35

Standard error

0.07

0.13

0.06

0.14

0.06

0.19

0.33

0.41

0.24

0.08

0.06

0.17

0.05

0.10

0.33

0.29

0.34

0.14

0.07

0.10

0.06

0.19

0.33

0.00

0.23

Refused

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

8
5%

1
*

Page 16

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 6
Q5. Some people have said they would not vote in a new election to the Holyrood Scottish Parliament, while others have said they would vote. I would like to
know how certain it is that you would vote in the election to the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood if it were held tomorrow.
On a ten point scale if 10 would mean you would be absolutely certain to vote and 1 would mean you are certain not to vote, how likely is it that you would cast your vote?
Base : All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

658
66%

78
85%

143
77%

32
72%

256
78%

35
60%

52
71%

-

62
34%

81
86%

162
78%

49
86%

247
84%

9
70%

67
29%

43
42%

315
75%

327
67%

5
8%

11
38%

60
72%

127
83%

157
68%

310
66%

52
54%

139
69%

209
63%

9

92
9%

7
8%

25
13%

3
7%

28
9%

10
17%

6
8%

-

13
7%

8
9%

25
12%

3
5%

24
8%

1
11%

24
10%

8
8%

38
9%

51
10%

3
5%

*
1%

10
12%

17
11%

19
8%

44
9%

14
15%

15
8%

33
10%

8

75
7%

2
2%

10
5%

6
13%

25
8%

3
5%

8
10%

-

21
12%

3
4%

13
6%

4
8%

14
5%

*
1%

27
11%

13
12%

33
8%

35
7%

3
4%

4
12%

6
7%

5
3%

18
8%

36
8%

6
7%

15
7%

24
7%

7

29
3%

1
1%

3
2%

-

5
1%

4
7%

7
9%

-

10
5%

1
1%

4
2%

-

3
1%

*
4%

13
5%

7
7%

9
2%

14
3%

3
4%

2
8%

4
5%

2
1%

6
3%

14
3%

3
3%

5
2%

9
3%

6

23
2%

-

2
1%

1
3%

4
1%

7
11%

-

-

9
5%

-

1
1%

-

4
1%

-

11
5%

7
7%

2
*

16
3%

4
7%

1
3%

*
1%

2
1%

5
2%

11
2%

2
2%

6
3%

7
2%

5

22
2%

2
2%

3
1%

1
3%

2
1%

-

1
1%

-

14
8%

-

-

-

1
*

-

8
4%

12
12%

5
1%

16
3%

*
1%

-

-

-

3
1%

8
2%

6
6%

5
2%

9
3%

4

6
1%

-

-

-

2
*

-

-

-

4
2%

-

-

-

-

-

2
1%

3
3%

1
*

*
*

3
4%

2
5%

-

-

2
1%

3
1%

1
1%

-

2
1%

3

11
1%

1
2%

-

-

2
1%

-

-

-

8
4%

-

-

-

-

-

11
5%

-

-

2
*

7
10%

2
8%

-

-

1
*

9
2%

1
1%

-

2
1%

2

10
1%

1
1%

-

1
3%

4
1%

-

1
1%

-

3
2%

-

-

-

-

-

10
4%

-

4
1%

3
1%

2
4%

-

-

-

-

9
2%

1
2%

-

1
*

1 - Certain not to vote

41
4%

-

-

-

-

-

-

41
100%

-

-

1
1%

-

-

2
14%

37
16%

1
1%

4
1%

9
2%

28
42%

1
4%

-

1
1%

7
3%

17
4%

7
7%

10
5%

14
4%

Don't know

36
4%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

36
20%

*
1%

-

1
1%

2
1%

-

25
11%

8
8%

9
2%

13
3%

8
12%

5
19%

3
3%

-

14
6%

12
3%

3
3%

8
4%

17
5%

1
*

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

1
*

-

-

-

-

-

-

1
1%

-

-

-

1
2%

-

-

-

1
*

-

-

Total

10 - Certain to vote

Refused

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

-

Mean

8.87

9.56

9.60

9.19

9.47

9.07

9.33

1.00

7.96

9.82

9.62

9.79

9.71

8.52

6.63

8.17

9.41

9.09

3.70

7.70

9.56

9.68

9.12

8.82

8.29

8.98

8.87

Standard deviation

2.29

1.44

0.93

1.73

1.35

1.41

1.27

0.00

2.37

0.52

0.98

0.57

0.80

3.20

3.48

2.14

1.49

1.85

3.29

2.90

0.88

1.01

1.97

2.34

2.77

2.22

2.27

Standard error

0.07

0.13

0.07

0.23

0.07

0.19

0.14

0.00

0.22

0.05

0.07

0.07

0.04

0.59

0.29

0.27

0.07

0.09

0.53

0.63

0.10

0.08

0.14

0.11

0.28

0.17

0.13

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 17

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 7
Q6. In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. One of these is for a single person to represent your constituency in the parliament.
If the election for the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which party would you vote for in the constituency election? Would you vote Scottish Conservative,
Scottish Labour, Scottish Liberal Democrat, Scottish National Party (SNP) or for another party?
Base: All respondents

Gender

Age

Work status

Social grade

South

Male

Female

FT

PT

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

Total

Scottish Conservative

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

Retired

Glasgow

NE
Scotland

18 to
24

Central
Scotland

25 to
34

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

Not
working

West

95
9%

54
11%

41
8%

1
1%

17
8%

13
7%

18
11%

16
12%

30
14%

40
10%

7
6%

5
4%

35
15%

8
6%

73
16%

22
4%

10
7%

11
9%

7
9%

11
8%

9
7%

15
11%

15
12%

18
14%

Scottish Labour

198
20%

114
24%

83
16%

17
20%

31
14%

37
19%

33
20%

28
20%

52
25%

84
21%

19
17%

17
15%

54
24%

23
17%

82
18%

116
21%

36
25%

32
25%

5
6%

30
22%

18
15%

22
16%

25
19%

30
23%

Scottish Liberal
Democrat

47
5%

23
5%

23
4%

7
9%

7
3%

6
3%

9
5%

9
7%

9
4%

18
4%

2
2%

14
12%

10
4%

3
2%

22
5%

24
5%

3
2%

3
3%

6
7%

9
7%

12
9%

3
2%

8
6%

3
2%

348
35%

175
37%

172
33%

28
33%

84
38%

53
28%

56
35%

52
38%

75
36%

134
33%

44
39%

40
34%

79
35%

51
38%

144
31%

204
38%

54
37%

42
34%

25
30%

38
28%

45
36%

50
38%

42
33%

53
41%

Scottish Green Party

36
4%

13
3%

23
4%

6
7%

7
3%

8
4%

6
4%

6
5%

3
1%

18
4%

5
5%

6
5%

4
2%

2
2%

22
5%

15
3%

2
1%

8
6%

3
4%

10
7%

5
4%

3
2%

4
3%

1
1%

UK Independence Party
(UKIP)

54
5%

32
7%

22
4%

2
3%

10
5%

16
8%

7
4%

5
4%

13
6%

25
6%

9
8%

5
4%

12
5%

2
2%

28
6%

25
5%

5
4%

5
4%

7
8%

3
3%

11
9%

9
7%

7
5%

7
5%

British National Party
(BNP)

5
1%

3
1%

2
*

2
3%

3
1%

-

*
*

-

-

3
1%

-

-

-

2
2%

*
*

5
1%

-

-

-

5
4%

-

-

-

-

Other

1
*

1
*

*
*

-

-

-

-

1
1%

-

-

*
*

-

1
*

-

1
*

-

-

-

*
*

-

-

1
*

-

-

Will not vote

41
4%

18
4%

23
4%

4
4%

6
3%

18
10%

8
5%

1
1%

3
1%

16
4%

7
6%

6
5%

4
2%

9
7%

14
3%

27
5%

9
6%

8
7%

7
8%

5
4%

2
1%

-

8
6%

3
2%

Don't know

161
16%

35
7%

126
24%

17
20%

52
24%

38
20%

24
15%

13
10%

17
8%

67
16%

20
17%

22
18%

21
9%

31
23%

68
15%

93
17%

26
17%

15
12%

16
19%

21
16%

23
18%

30
23%

17
13%

14
11%

18
2%

5
1%

14
3%

-

3
1%

2
1%

2
1%

5
3%

7
3%

3
1%

-

3
3%

9
4%

3
2%

6
1%

12
2%

1
1%

1
1%

6
7%

3
2%

2
1%

-

4
3%

2
1%

Scottish National
Party/SNP

Refused

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 18

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 7
Q6. In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. One of these is for a single person to represent your constituency in the parliament.
If the election for the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which party would you vote for in the constituency election? Would you vote Scottish Conservative,
Scottish Labour, Scottish Liberal Democrat, Scottish National Party (SNP) or for another party?
Base: All respondents

VI Westmister
Total

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

-

1
*

3
5%

1
2%

-

*
*

63
64%

7
3%

7
6%

3
1%

-

*
1%

9
4%

6
9%

95
100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

1
2%

-

198
100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

Scottish Conservative

95
9%

89
88%

-

Scottish Labour

198
20%

8
8%

170
92%

1
1%

6
2%

5
7%

1
2%

-

8
5%

10
10%

146
61%

12
11%

7
3%

-

7
23%

14
6%

Scottish Liberal
Democrat

47
5%

-

1
*

37
94%

5
1%

-

1
2%

-

3
2%

1
2%

-

37
33%

1
*

-

1
3%

6
3%

-

-

-

47
100%

-

-

-

-

-

1
1%

2
1%

1
3%

325
92%

2
3%

2
5%

3
7%

11
7%

6
6%

55
23%

22
19%

184
84%

*
2%

4
14%

68
31%

10
14%

-

-

-

348
100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

1
1%

6
2%

7
6%

5
2%

1
5%

8
29%

8
3%

1
2%

-

-

-

-

-

36
85%

-

-

1
2%

1
1%

10
11%

7
3%

1
1%

8
3%

12
81%

3
11%

10
5%

3
4%

-

-

-

-

54
100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

*
*

-

-

-

-

5
2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

5
13%

-

-

1
1%

-

-

-

*
*

-

-

-

1
*

-

-

-

-

-

-

1
2%

-

-

-

1
*

2
2%

-

-

1
4%

37
17%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

41
100%

-

19
8%

20
18%

11
5%

2
12%

4
15%

64
29%

34
48%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

161
90%

-

3
3%

-

-

-

-

15
21%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

18
10%

Scottish National
Party/SNP

348
35%

Scottish Green Party

36
4%

-

2
1%

-

4
1%

-

30
64%

UK Independence Party
(UKIP)

54
5%

1
1%

-

-

1
*

50
77%

-

British National Party
(BNP)

5
1%

-

-

-

-

-

5
12%

Other

1
*

-

-

-

-

-

*
1%

Will not vote

41
4%

-

-

-

1
*

-

-

36
80%

4
2%

Don't know

161
16%

2
2%

9
5%

1
2%

7
2%

5
7%

5
11%

5
10%

128
75%

-

-

-

3
1%

-

-

-

15
9%

Refused

18
2%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

7
7%
-

Page 19

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 7
Q6. In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. One of these is for a single person to represent your constituency in the parliament.
If the election for the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which party would you vote for in the constituency election? Would you vote Scottish Conservative,
Scottish Labour, Scottish Liberal Democrat, Scottish National Party (SNP) or for another party?
Base: All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

Total

Scottish Conservative

95
9%

84
91%

2
1%

3
6%

1
*

3
5%

-

-

2
1%

72
77%

2
1%

1
2%

5
2%

-

10
4%

4
4%

5
1%

87
18%

2
3%

-

Scottish Labour

198
20%

4
5%

163
88%

9
19%

10
3%

4
6%

5
7%

-

3
2%

7
8%

147
71%

7
13%

6
2%

-

24
10%

6
6%

29
7%

162
33%

5
7%

2
6%

Scottish Liberal
Democrat

47
5%

1
1%

2
1%

28
63%

*
*

1
2%

5
7%

-

9
5%

1
1%

2
1%

30
53%

4
1%

-

6
3%

4
4%

15
4%

31
6%

1
2%

-

348
35%

1
1%

6
3%

3
6%

307
94%

3
5%

23
32%

-

5
3%

1
1%

27
13%

6
11%

248
84%

*
1%

53
22%

13
13%

308
73%

35
7%

3
5%

2
5%

49
59%

9
3%

4
32%

7
3%

5
5%

15
3%

15
3%

6
9%

1
5%

6
6%

12
3%

39
8%

2
4%

Scottish National
Party/SNP
Scottish Green Party

36
4%

-

1
*

-

2
1%

-

33
45%

-

-

1
1%

5
3%

4
8%

UK Independence Party
(UKIP)

54
5%

1
1%

-

*
1%

2
1%

48
82%

2
2%

-

-

10
10%

8
4%

*
*

14
5%

5
37%

11
5%

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

1
1%

5
3%

18
8%

39
8%

14
14%

24
12%

32
10%

26
31%

117
76%

56
24%

110
23%

11
11%

21
10%

67
20%

-

-

9
4%

9
2%

5
5%

23
12%

14
4%

6
4%

86
37%

170
36%

26
27%

67
33%

112
34%

1
2%

4
3%

5
2%

20
4%

3
3%

8
4%

8
2%

-

1
2%

6
4%

13
5%

20
4%

4
4%

18
9%

16
5%

British National Party
(BNP)

5
1%

-

-

-

3
1%

-

3
4%

-

-

-

-

-

-

*
3%

5
2%

-

5
1%

*
*

-

-

-

*
*

-

3
1%

2
3%

-

2
1%

Other

1
*

*
*

-

-

-

-

1
1%

-

-

*
*

-

-

-

-

1
*

-

1
*

*
*

-

-

-

-

-

-

1
1%

-

1
*

Will not vote

41
4%

-

-

-

-

-

-

41
100%

-

-

1
1%

-

-

2
14%

37
16%

1
1%

4
1%

9
2%

28
42%

1
4%

-

1
1%

7
3%

17
4%

7
7%

10
5%

14
4%

Don't know

161
16%

2
5%

1
*

-

2
3%

-

143
79%

14
7%

8
14%

9
3%

2
13%

81
34%

45
43%

25
6%

102
21%

19
29%

14
49%

4
5%

14
9%

36
16%

78
16%

21
22%

26
13%

57
17%

-

-

-

-

-

18
10%

-

-

-

-

18
18%

3
1%

6
1%

-

9
31%

-

-

1
*

8
2%

3
3%

7
3%

4
1%

Refused

18
2%

*
1%
-

12
6%
-

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

3
3%
-

-

Page 20

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 8
Data derived from:Q5. Some people have said they would not vote in a new election to the Holyrood Scottish Parliament, while others have said they would vote. I would like to
know how certain it is that you would vote in the election to the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood if it were held tomorrow.
Q6. In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. One of these is for a single person to represent your constituency in the parliament.
If the election for the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which party would you vote for in the constituency election?
Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (4%), don't know who they would vote for (16%) or refuse to answer (2%)
THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS

Gender

Age

Work status

Social grade

South

Total

Male

Female

FT

PT

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Unweighted base

760

430

330

26

86

98

164

169

217

312

75

57

248

68

476

285

138

152

51

114

66

108

51

80

Weighted base

681

372

309

44

128

113

116

106

173

275

73

76

187

70

331

350

98

85

42

88

95

91

87

95

Scottish Conservative

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

Retired

Glasgow

NE
Scotland

18 to
24

Central
Scotland

25 to
34

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

Not
working

West

86
13%

49
13%

36
12%

1
1%

15
12%

10
9%

16
14%

15
14%

29
17%

35
13%

6
8%

4
5%

34
18%

6
9%

65
20%

20
6%

10
10%

9
10%

6
14%

10
11%

8
8%

13
14%

14
17%

16
17%

Scottish Labour

176
26%

104
28%

72
23%

13
30%

26
20%

30
27%

31
26%

26
25%

50
29%

73
26%

18
25%

14
18%

53
28%

19
27%

72
22%

104
30%

31
31%

27
32%

5
12%

26
30%

18
19%

20
22%

24
28%

25
27%

Scottish Liberal
Democrat

40
6%

21
6%

20
6%

6
13%

7
5%

4
4%

8
7%

7
7%

8
5%

14
5%

2
3%

12
16%

10
5%

3
4%

20
6%

21
6%

2
2%

3
3%

6
14%

7
9%

12
12%

2
3%

6
7%

2
2%

304
45%

159
43%

145
47%

18
41%

67
53%

48
43%

51
43%

47
45%

72
42%

118
43%

35
47%

36
48%

76
41%

38
54%

130
39%

174
50%

49
50%

36
43%

17
41%

34
39%

42
44%

46
50%

35
41%

44
46%

Scottish Green Party

29
4%

11
3%

18
6%

4
10%

4
3%

8
7%

5
4%

6
5%

2
1%

15
5%

5
7%

4
5%

3
2%

2
3%

17
5%

11
3%

2
2%

6
7%

3
8%

6
7%

5
5%

3
3%

2
2%

1
1%

UK Independence Party
(UKIP)

44
7%

27
7%

17
6%

1
3%

9
7%

13
12%

6
5%

4
4%

10
6%

20
7%

7
9%

5
7%

11
6%

2
3%

25
8%

19
6%

5
5%

4
5%

4
10%

2
3%

10
11%

7
8%

5
6%

7
7%

British National Party
(BNP)

2
*

1
*

1
*

1
2%

*
*

-

*
*

-

-

1
*

-

-

-

1
1%

*
*

1
*

-

-

-

2
2%

-

-

-

-

Other

*
*

*
*

*
*

-

-

-

-

*
*

-

-

*
1%

-

*
*

-

*
*

-

-

-

*
1%

-

-

*
*

-

-

Scottish National
Party/SNP

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 21

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 8
Data derived from:Q5. Some people have said they would not vote in a new election to the Holyrood Scottish Parliament, while others have said they would vote. I would like to
know how certain it is that you would vote in the election to the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood if it were held tomorrow.
Q6. In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. One of these is for a single person to represent your constituency in the parliament.
If the election for the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which party would you vote for in the constituency election?
Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (4%), don't know who they would vote for (16%) or refuse to answer (2%)
THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS

VI Westmister

Will
not
vote

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Total

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Unweighted base

760

113

153

43

344

50

37

Weighted base

681

90

160

32

299

48

30

-

1
*

3
6%

1
3%

-

*
1%

60
69%

6
3%

7
8%

3
1%

-

*
1%

3
6%

5
35%

Scottish Conservative

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

3

18

123

207

90

253

10

25

41

12

109

168

48

352

43

41

-

-

3

20

88

211

79

201

11

17

59

16

86

176

40

304

44

31

-

-

86
100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

1
8%

-

176
100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

86
13%

81
90%

-

Scottish Labour

176
26%

7
8%

156
97%

1
2%

3
1%

3
5%

1
3%

-

6
32%

9
11%

140
66%

11
14%

5
3%

-

3
19%

6
10%

Scottish Liberal
Democrat

40
6%

-

1
*

31
96%

5
2%

-

1
4%

-

3
14%

1
2%

-

34
43%

1
*

-

1
4%

3
5%

-

-

-

40
100%

-

-

-

-

-

1
1%

1
1%

1
2%

285
95%

2
4%

2
8%

2
79%

10
48%

6
6%

53
25%

20
26%

180
89%

*
3%

3
20%

35
60%

7
42%

-

-

-

304
100%

-

-

-

-

-

22
75%

-

-

1
1%

5
2%

5
7%

5
2%

1
7%

7
39%

5
8%

1
4%

-

-

-

-

-

29
94%

-

-

-

1
19%

10
12%

7
3%

1
1%

7
4%

10
90%

3
16%

5
8%

2
10%

-

-

-

-

44
100%

-

-

-

Scottish National
Party/SNP

304
45%

Scottish Green Party

29
4%

-

2
1%

-

4
1%

UK Independence Party
(UKIP)

44
7%

1
1%

-

-

1
*

41
85%

1
5%

British National Party
(BNP)

2
*

-

-

-

-

-

2
5%

-

-

-

*
*

-

-

-

-

1
2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

2
5%

-

-

Other

*
*

-

-

-

-

-

*
1%

*
2%

-

-

-

*
*

-

-

-

*
*

-

-

-

-

-

-

*
1%

-

-

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 22

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 8
Data derived from:Q5. Some people have said they would not vote in a new election to the Holyrood Scottish Parliament, while others have said they would vote. I would like to
know how certain it is that you would vote in the election to the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood if it were held tomorrow.
Q6. In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. One of these is for a single person to represent your constituency in the parliament.
If the election for the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which party would you vote for in the constituency election?
Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (4%), don't know who they would vote for (16%) or refuse to answer (2%)
THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Total

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

760

111

155

46

325

45

66

-

12

118

179

67

326

22

34

14

398

354

7

2

78

126

171

387

69

134

240

Weighted base

681

84

160

35

285

47

57

-

14

89

186

48

279

9

49

21

342

328

9

2

74

134

163

326

53

139

216

Scottish Conservative

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

86
13%

77
91%

2
1%

3
7%

1
1%

2
5%

-

-

1
5%

70
79%

2
1%

1
2%

5
2%

-

4
7%

3
16%

5
1%

80
24%

1
7%

-

1
2%

5
4%

17
10%

36
11%

12
23%

21
15%

29
13%

Scottish Labour

176
26%

4
5%

150
94%

5
15%

7
2%

2
5%

4
7%

-

3
22%

7
8%

143
77%

7
15%

6
2%

-

10
21%

3
14%

26
8%

146
45%

3
34%

1
53%

22
30%

114
85%

50
30%

99
30%

10
18%

18
13%

59
27%

Scottish Liberal
Democrat

40
6%

1
1%

1
1%

26
74%

*
*

1
2%

4
6%

-

7
51%

1
1%

2
1%

29
61%

4
1%

-

3
6%

2
10%

14
4%

26
8%

*
5%

-

-

-

7
4%

8
2%

4
8%

21
15%

11
5%

304
45%

1
1%

5
3%

1
3%

271
95%

2
5%

20
36%

-

3
21%

1
1%

27
14%

6
13%

242
87%

*
2%

23
47%

6
30%

275
80%

28
8%

1
11%

*
15%

48
64%

5
4%

76
47%

150
46%

21
40%

56
41%

97
45%

9
3%

4
43%

3
6%

3
13%

13
4%

13
4%

2
27%

1
32%

1
2%

4
3%

3
2%

15
5%

3
5%

8
6%

6
3%

9
3%

34
10%

1
16%

-

1
2%

6
4%

11
7%

18
6%

2
4%

13
10%

13
6%

Scottish National
Party/SNP
Scottish Green Party

29
4%

-

1
1%

-

2
1%

-

26
45%

-

-

1
1%

5
2%

4
9%

UK Independence Party
(UKIP)

44
7%

1
1%

-

*
1%

2
1%

39
84%

2
3%

-

-

10
11%

8
4%

*
*

13
5%

5
51%

5
10%

4
17%

British National Party
(BNP)

2
*

-

-

-

*
*

-

1
2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

*
4%

1
2%

-

1
*

*
*

-

-

-

*
*

-

1
*

1
2%

-

1
*

Other

*
*

*
*

-

-

-

-

*
*

-

-

*
*

-

-

-

-

*
*

-

*
*

*
*

-

-

-

-

-

-

*
1%

-

*
*

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 23

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Table 9
Published Vote Intention Figures - Holyrood Constituency Vote
Percentages derived from the responses of 832 respondents
Total
Scottish Conservatives

12%

Scottish Labour

26%

Scottish Liberal
Democrats

6%

SNP

44%

Scottish Greens

4%

UKIP

6%

Other

1%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Col percents

Page 24

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 10
Q7. The other vote you have in a Scottish Parliament election is for a list of one or more candidates to represent your region of Scotland. You can use this to vote
for a different party to the one you gave your constituency vote - or for the same party. If the election to the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which
party's regional list would you you vote for - Scottish Conservative, Scottish Labour, Scottish Liberal Democrat, Scottish National Party (SNP), Scottish Green,
or for another party?
Base: All respondents

Gender

Total

Age

Work status

Social grade

Male

Female

18 to
24

25 to
34

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

FT

PT

Not
working

Retired

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Central
Scotland

Glasgow

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

NE
Scotland

South

West

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

Scottish Conservative

91
9%

51
11%

40
8%

1
1%

16
7%

11
6%

14
9%

15
11%

33
16%

35
9%

8
7%

4
3%

37
16%

8
6%

67
15%

25
5%

11
7%

12
9%

8
10%

11
8%

7
6%

12
9%

13
10%

18
14%

Scottish Labour

186
19%

109
23%

77
14%

7
8%

36
16%

34
18%

30
18%

28
20%

52
25%

78
19%

17
15%

17
14%

52
23%

22
16%

74
16%

111
21%

37
25%

27
21%

5
7%

21
16%

18
14%

18
14%

30
23%

29
23%

Scottish Liberal
Democrat

45
4%

23
5%

21
4%

8
9%

3
1%

6
3%

13
8%

6
4%

9
4%

17
4%

5
4%

4
4%

11
5%

7
5%

30
7%

15
3%

2
1%

4
3%

6
7%

9
7%

6
5%

9
7%

5
4%

4
3%

328
33%

164
35%

164
31%

26
31%

77
35%

54
28%

53
33%

47
35%

71
34%

137
34%

39
35%

33
28%

74
32%

44
33%

135
29%

193
35%

48
32%

40
32%

20
24%

36
26%

46
36%

47
36%

34
27%

59
45%

Scottish Green Party

67
7%

28
6%

39
7%

15
17%

17
8%

13
7%

8
5%

8
6%

6
3%

27
7%

8
7%

15
13%

10
4%

7
5%

35
8%

31
6%

7
5%

10
8%

9
11%

22
16%

5
4%

4
3%

9
7%

1
1%

UK Independence Party
(UKIP)

59
6%

36
8%

23
4%

5
6%

11
5%

13
7%

8
5%

6
5%

15
7%

23
6%

10
9%

8
7%

14
6%

4
3%

29
6%

30
6%

8
5%

6
5%

7
8%

5
4%

10
8%

10
8%

8
6%

4
3%

British National Party
(BNP)

4
*

*
*

4
1%

2
3%

1
1%

-

*
*

-

-

2
*

-

-

-

2
2%

2
*

2
*

-

-

-

3
2%

1
1%

-

-

-

Other

3
*

3
1%

-

-

-

-

2
1%

1
1%

*
*

-

*
*

2
1%

1
*

-

1
*

2
*

-

*
*

*
*

-

-

1
*

-

2
1%

Will not vote

41
4%

18
4%

23
4%

4
4%

6
3%

18
10%

8
5%

1
1%

3
1%

16
4%

7
6%

6
5%

4
2%

9
7%

14
3%

27
5%

9
6%

8
7%

7
8%

5
4%

2
1%

-

8
6%

3
2%

Don't know

163
16%

38
8%

125
24%

17
21%

50
23%

39
20%

24
15%

20
14%

13
6%

70
17%

20
17%

28
23%

18
8%

28
21%

67
15%

96
18%

26
18%

16
13%

14
17%

22
16%

29
23%

31
23%

18
14%

9
7%

18
2%

4
1%

14
3%

-

3
1%

2
1%

2
1%

5
3%

6
3%

3
1%

-

3
3%

8
4%

3
2%

6
1%

11
2%

-

1
1%

6
7%

3
2%

2
1%

-

4
3%

2
1%

Scottish National
Party/SNP

Refused

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 25

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 10
Q7. The other vote you have in a Scottish Parliament election is for a list of one or more candidates to represent your region of Scotland. You can use this to vote
for a different party to the one you gave your constituency vote - or for the same party. If the election to the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which
party's regional list would you you vote for - Scottish Conservative, Scottish Labour, Scottish Liberal Democrat, Scottish National Party (SNP), Scottish Green,
or for another party?
Base: All respondents

VI Westmister
Total

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

Scottish Conservative

91
9%

82
81%

2
1%

1
2%

1
*

3
5%

1
3%

-

1
1%

63
64%

5
2%

7
6%

4
2%

-

1
2%

6
3%

6
9%

84
88%

4
2%

1
2%

1
*

1
2%

*
1%

-

*
*

Scottish Labour

186
19%

7
7%

157
85%

2
5%

6
2%

3
5%

-

-

11
6%

8
9%

137
57%

13
12%

4
2%

-

5
18%

17
8%

1
2%

2
2%

163
82%

2
5%

6
2%

-

1
2%

-

12
7%

Scottish Liberal
Democrat

45
4%

3
3%

10
5%

25
63%

4
1%

*
*

-

1
3%

2
1%

3
3%

3
1%

26
24%

3
1%

-

2
7%

7
3%

-

3
3%

9
4%

28
60%

3
1%

*
*

-

-

2
1%

328
33%

3
3%

2
1%

1
4%

299
85%

3
5%

6
13%

2
4%

10
6%

5
5%

57
24%

13
12%

177
81%

-

7
24%

60
27%

9
13%

1
2%

10
5%

*
*

307
88%

2
5%

5
12%

-

1
1%

-

1
1%

1
1%

9
4%

18
16%

10
5%

1
5%

8
29%

18
8%

1
2%

-

5
3%

5
11%

22
6%

-

33
77%

-

2
1%

12
12%

8
3%

1
1%

8
4%

12
81%

3
9%

12
6%

3
4%

3
3%

4
2%

1
2%

3
1%

48
90%

-

-

-

Scottish National
Party/SNP
Scottish Green Party

67
7%

-

4
2%

4
10%

24
7%

*
1%

33
71%

UK Independence Party
(UKIP)

59
6%

3
3%

2
1%

-

4
1%

49
75%

-

1
2%

1
1%

British National Party
(BNP)

4
*

-

-

-

1
*

-

3
6%

-

-

-

*
*

-

1
1%

-

-

2
1%

-

-

-

-

-

1
2%

3
7%

-

-

Other

3
*

-

-

-

2
*

1
1%

-

1
1%

-

-

2
1%

-

-

*
2%

*
1%

1
*

-

-

-

-

2
1%

*
*

1
1%

-

-

Will not vote

41
4%

-

-

-

1
*

-

-

36
80%

4
2%

-

1
*

2
2%

-

-

1
4%

37
17%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

41
100%

-

Don't know

163
16%

3
3%

6
3%

6
15%

9
2%

5
8%

3
7%

5
10%

126
74%

19
8%

27
25%

11
5%

2
12%

2
6%

62
28%

36
50%

2
2%

3
2%

5
2%

-

-

-

144
80%

-

-

-

2
1%

-

-

-

15
9%

-

3
3%

-

-

-

14
20%

-

-

-

-

-

-

18
10%

Refused

18
2%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

5
5%
-

-

9
19%
-

Page 26

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 10
Q7. The other vote you have in a Scottish Parliament election is for a list of one or more candidates to represent your region of Scotland. You can use this to vote
for a different party to the one you gave your constituency vote - or for the same party. If the election to the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which
party's regional list would you you vote for - Scottish Conservative, Scottish Labour, Scottish Liberal Democrat, Scottish National Party (SNP), Scottish Green,
or for another party?
Base: All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

Total

Scottish Conservative

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

91
9%

91
100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

71
75%

3
1%

2
4%

5
2%

-

9
4%

2
2%

6
1%

85
18%

*
1%

-

Scottish Labour

186
19%

-

186
100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

6
6%

140
67%

7
12%

7
3%

-

18
8%

8
8%

31
7%

150
31%

2
4%

2
6%

Scottish Liberal
Democrat

45
4%

-

-

45
100%

-

-

-

-

-

1
1%

3
2%

23
41%

3
1%

-

11
5%

2
2%

5
1%

39
8%

1
2%

-

328
33%

-

-

-

328
100%

-

-

-

-

1
1%

31
15%

4
6%

232
78%

*
2%

46
20%

14
14%

284
67%

37
8%

5
8%

Scottish Green Party

67
7%

-

-

-

-

-

67
91%

-

-

1
1%

9
4%

8
14%

22
7%

4
31%

18
8%

6
5%

37
9%

23
5%

UK Independence Party
(UKIP)

59
6%

-

-

-

-

59
100%

-

-

-

12
13%

8
4%

-

14
5%

5
35%

14
6%

6
6%

17
4%

39
8%

British National Party
(BNP)

4
*

-

-

-

-

-

4
6%

-

-

-

-

-

1
*

*
3%

2
1%

-

4
1%

Other

3
*

-

-

-

-

-

3
4%

-

-

-

-

-

2
1%

*
2%

1
*

-

Will not vote

41
4%

-

-

-

-

-

-

41
100%

-

-

1
1%

-

-

2
14%

37
16%

Don't know

163
16%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

163
90%

12
6%

13
23%

9
3%

2
13%

18
2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

18
10%

-

-

-

Scottish National
Party/SNP

Refused

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

3
3%
-

-

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

1
1%

4
2%

18
8%

38
8%

14
14%

21
11%

32
10%

20
24%

115
75%

49
21%

112
24%

7
8%

18
9%

56
17%

-

3
2%

7
3%

11
2%

9
9%

18
9%

16
5%

2
5%

48
58%

7
4%

88
38%

156
33%

21
22%

62
31%

109
33%

6
9%

1
5%

4
5%

5
3%

10
4%

37
8%

7
8%

12
6%

17
5%

2
4%

-

4
5%

4
3%

13
5%

23
5%

4
4%

19
10%

16
5%

*
*

-

-

-

*
*

-

2
*

2
3%

-

2
1%

2
1%

*
*

-

-

2
2%

-

2
1%

*
*

1
1%

-

2
1%

1
1%

4
1%

9
2%

28
42%

1
4%

-

1
1%

7
3%

17
4%

7
7%

10
5%

14
4%

78
33%

47
45%

28
7%

99
20%

21
32%

15
52%

4
5%

14
9%

37
16%

70
15%

21
22%

35
17%

58
18%

-

18
17%

3
1%

6
1%

-

8
28%

-

-

1
*

7
1%

3
3%

7
3%

4
1%

Page 27

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 11
Data derived from:Q5. Some people have said they would not vote in a new election to the Holyrood Scottish Parliament, while others have said they would vote. I would like to
know how certain it is that you would vote in the election to the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood if it were held tomorrow.
Q7. The other vote you have in a Scottish Parliament election is for a list of one or more candidates to represent your region of Scotland. You can use this to vote
for a different party to the one you gave your constituency vote - or for the same party. If the election to the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which
party's regional list would you you vote for?
Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (4%), don't know who they would vote for (16%) or refuse to answer (2%)
THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS

Gender

Age

Work status

Social grade

South

Total

Male

Female

FT

PT

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Unweighted base

757

430

327

25

85

97

164

167

219

311

74

55

250

68

473

284

138

150

53

113

64

109

51

79

Weighted base

678

373

305

43

126

113

116

102

178

273

72

70

191

72

330

348

98

85

44

87

90

91

88

96

Scottish Conservative

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

Retired

Glasgow

NE
Scotland

18 to
24

Central
Scotland

25 to
34

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

Not
working

West

84
12%

48
13%

37
12%

1
1%

14
12%

8
7%

14
12%

15
14%

33
18%

31
12%

7
9%

4
5%

37
19%

6
8%

62
19%

23
7%

10
10%

10
11%

8
17%

11
12%

7
7%

11
12%

13
15%

16
17%

Scottish Labour

167
25%

100
27%

67
22%

6
14%

28
22%

28
25%

29
25%

26
26%

50
28%

69
25%

16
22%

14
19%

51
27%

18
25%

67
20%

100
29%

32
32%

24
28%

5
12%

19
22%

18
20%

17
19%

29
33%

23
24%

Scottish Liberal
Democrat

36
5%

22
6%

14
5%

6
14%

1
1%

4
3%

11
9%

5
5%

9
5%

14
5%

3
4%

4
6%

11
6%

4
6%

24
7%

13
4%

1
1%

3
3%

5
11%

7
8%

6
7%

8
8%

5
5%

2
2%

286
42%

149
40%

138
45%

18
42%

59
47%

50
44%

47
41%

44
43%

68
38%

119
43%

32
44%

29
42%

71
37%

35
49%

123
37%

163
47%

44
45%

35
41%

15
34%

29
34%

42
47%

44
49%

28
32%

48
50%

Scottish Green Party

53
8%

23
6%

30
10%

8
19%

13
10%

12
11%

7
6%

7
6%

6
3%

22
8%

7
10%

11
16%

8
4%

4
6%

29
9%

24
7%

5
5%

8
10%

7
16%

16
19%

5
6%

4
4%

7
7%

1
1%

UK Independence Party
(UKIP)

47
7%

29
8%

17
6%

3
8%

9
7%

11
9%

6
6%

5
5%

12
7%

16
6%

7
10%

7
10%

13
7%

4
5%

24
7%

23
7%

7
7%

5
6%

4
8%

4
4%

10
11%

7
8%

6
7%

4
4%

British National Party
(BNP)

3
*

*
*

2
1%

1
2%

1
1%

-

*
*

-

-

2
1%

-

-

-

1
1%

2
1%

1
*

-

-

-

1
1%

1
1%

-

-

-

Other

2
*

2
1%

-

-

-

-

2
1%

*
*

*
*

-

*
*

2
2%

*
*

-

1
*

2
*

-

*
*

*
1%

-

-

*
*

-

2
2%

Scottish National
Party/SNP

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 28

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 11
Data derived from:Q5. Some people have said they would not vote in a new election to the Holyrood Scottish Parliament, while others have said they would vote. I would like to
know how certain it is that you would vote in the election to the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood if it were held tomorrow.
Q7. The other vote you have in a Scottish Parliament election is for a list of one or more candidates to represent your region of Scotland. You can use this to vote
for a different party to the one you gave your constituency vote - or for the same party. If the election to the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which
party's regional list would you you vote for?
Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (4%), don't know who they would vote for (16%) or refuse to answer (2%)
THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS

VI Westmister
Total

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Unweighted base

757

111

151

43

344

50

38

Weighted base

678

89

162

28

298

48

30

Scottish Conservative

Will
not
vote

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

3

19

124

204

89

254

10

25

40

11

107

165

45

347

43

41

-

9

3

19

89

211

73

201

11

18

60

15

85

173

33

301

44

31

-

11

84
12%

75
85%

2
1%

1
3%

1
*

3
6%

1
4%

-

1
3%

61
69%

5
2%

6
8%

4
2%

-

*
2%

2
4%

5
36%

77
90%

4
3%

1
3%

1
*

1
2%

*
1%

-

*
4%

Scottish Labour

167
25%

6
6%

148
91%

1
4%

5
2%

1
3%

-

-

7
35%

8
9%

132
63%

11
15%

4
2%

-

2
14%

8
14%

1
9%

2
2%

150
87%

1
4%

5
2%

-

1
3%

-

8
67%

Scottish Liberal
Democrat

36
5%

3
3%

6
3%

23
80%

4
1%

*
*

-

*
5%

1
4%

2
2%

3
2%

26
36%

2
1%

-

1
6%

2
4%

-

3
3%

5
3%

26
79%

1
*

*
1%

-

-

1
12%

286
42%

3
4%

2
1%

1
3%

262
88%

3
7%

3
11%

2
74%

9
46%

5
6%

54
25%

12
16%

174
86%

-

6
30%

30
51%

6
40%

1
2%

7
4%

*
1%

271
90%

2
6%

3
8%

-

1
11%

21
7%

*
1%

24
80%

-

1
7%

1
1%

8
4%

17
23%

9
5%

1
7%

6
34%

10
16%

1
4%

-

4
2%

4
11%

19
6%

-

26
83%

-

1
7%

39
81%

-

1
19%

1
5%

11
13%

7
3%

1
2%

8
4%

10
90%

2
13%

6
9%

2
10%

2
2%

2
1%

1
3%

2
1%

39
88%

-

-

-

Scottish National
Party/SNP
Scottish Green Party

53
8%

-

4
2%

2
8%

UK Independence Party
(UKIP)

47
7%

2
2%

1
1%

-

3
1%

British National Party
(BNP)

3
*

-

-

-

1
*

-

1
4%

-

-

-

*
*

-

1
1%

-

-

1
1%

-

-

-

-

-

1
3%

1
4%

-

-

Other

2
*

-

-

-

2
1%

1
1%

-

*
2%

-

-

2
1%

-

-

*
3%

*
1%

*
*

-

-

-

-

2
1%

*
1%

*
*

-

-

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 29

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 11
Data derived from:Q5. Some people have said they would not vote in a new election to the Holyrood Scottish Parliament, while others have said they would vote. I would like to
know how certain it is that you would vote in the election to the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood if it were held tomorrow.
Q7. The other vote you have in a Scottish Parliament election is for a list of one or more candidates to represent your region of Scotland. You can use this to vote
for a different party to the one you gave your constituency vote - or for the same party. If the election to the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which
party's regional list would you you vote for?
Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (4%), don't know who they would vote for (16%) or refuse to answer (2%)
THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Total

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

757

112

158

48

326

45

67

-

-

118

177

66

327

22

33

14

397

353

6

2

78

123

171

386

68

133

238

Weighted base

678

84

167

36

286

47

58

-

-

89

188

42

279

9

50

21

338

330

8

2

74

134

163

331

52

132

215

Scottish Conservative

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

DK/Ref

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

84
12%

84
100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

70
78%

3
2%

2
5%

5
2%

-

3
6%

2
8%

5
2%

79
24%

*
1%

-

1
2%

4
3%

17
11%

35
10%

12
24%

20
15%

30
14%

Scottish Labour

167
25%

-

167
100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

6
7%

136
72%

6
15%

7
3%

-

8
16%

4
20%

27
8%

138
42%

1
11%

1
53%

18
25%

113
84%

44
27%

98
30%

7
14%

18
13%

52
24%

Scottish Liberal
Democrat

36
5%

-

-

36
100%

-

-

-

-

-

1
1%

3
2%

23
54%

3
1%

-

4
9%

2
7%

5
1%

31
9%

*
6%

-

-

3
2%

7
4%

8
2%

6
11%

16
12%

13
6%

286
42%

-

-

-

286
100%

-

-

-

-

1
1%

30
16%

3
8%

226
81%

*
3%

19
39%

7
32%

252
74%

31
9%

3
36%

*
15%

45
61%

6
5%

77
48%

137
41%

18
35%

53
40%

96
44%

Scottish Green Party

53
8%

-

-

-

-

-

53
92%

-

-

1
1%

8
4%

8
18%

21
8%

4
41%

8
16%

3
14%

32
9%

18
5%

2
29%

1
32%

4
6%

4
3%

5
3%

31
9%

6
11%

11
8%

11
5%

UK Independence Party
(UKIP)

47
7%

-

-

-

-

47
100%

-

-

-

11
12%

8
4%

-

14
5%

4
49%

6
12%

4
18%

13
4%

32
10%

1
17%

-

3
5%

3
3%

10
6%

20
6%

2
3%

14
11%

12
6%

British National Party
(BNP)

3
*

-

-

-

-

-

3
4%

-

-

-

-

-

1
*

*
4%

1
2%

-

2
1%

*
*

-

-

-

*
*

-

2
1%

1
2%

-

1
*

Other

2
*

-

-

-

-

-

2
4%

-

-

-

-

-

2
1%

*
2%

*
*

-

2
1%

*
*

-

-

2
2%

-

2
1%

*
*

*
1%

-

2
1%

Scottish National
Party/SNP

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 30

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Table 12
Published Vote Intention Figures - Holyrood Regional Vote
Percentages derived from the responses of 832 respondents
Total
Scottish Conservatives

12%

Scottish Labour

25%

Scottish Liberal
Democrats

6%

SNP

42%

Scottish Greens

8%

UKIP

7%

Other

1%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Col percents

Page 31

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 13
Q9. In the May 2011 Scottish Parliament election you had two votes. Your first vote was for a single person to represent your constituency in the Parliament?
Can you remember, did you use your first vote to vote...
Base : All respondents

Gender

Total

Age

Work status

Male

Female

18 to
24

25 to
34

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

FT

PT

Not
working

Social grade
Retired

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Central
Scotland

Glasgow

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

NE
Scotland

South

West

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

Scottish Conservative

94
9%

56
12%

38
7%

1
1%

15
7%

8
4%

16
10%

18
13%

36
17%

38
9%

7
6%

3
3%

41
18%

4
3%

67
15%

26
5%

8
5%

10
8%

6
8%

14
10%

7
6%

11
9%

18
14%

18
14%

Scottish Labour

207
21%

117
25%

90
17%

11
13%

33
15%

40
21%

34
21%

32
23%

58
28%

86
21%

19
17%

19
16%

60
26%

23
17%

89
19%

118
22%

43
29%

32
25%

7
9%

23
17%

25
20%

18
14%

32
25%

28
21%

Scottish Liberal
Democrats

56
6%

30
6%

26
5%

4
5%

9
4%

10
5%

12
7%

11
8%

10
5%

19
5%

3
2%

16
14%

14
6%

4
3%

32
7%

24
4%

3
2%

4
3%

13
16%

9
6%

12
9%

9
7%

6
4%

1
1%

296
29%

163
34%

132
25%

15
17%

60
27%

51
27%

50
31%

44
32%

75
36%

114
28%

36
32%

34
29%

79
35%

32
24%

127
28%

168
31%

44
30%

37
30%

10
12%

32
24%

51
41%

50
38%

29
23%

42
32%

Other party

13
1%

8
2%

5
1%

-

1
1%

4
2%

3
2%

3
2%

2
1%

5
1%

*
*

*
*

3
1%

4
3%

6
1%

7
1%

1
1%

2
1%

2
3%

2
2%

1
1%

1
1%

3
2%

1
1%

Did not vote

235
23%

74
16%

161
30%

48
57%

72
33%

53
28%

32
20%

15
11%

14
7%

97
24%

34
30%

34
29%

13
6%

56
42%

95
21%

140
26%

31
21%

30
24%

28
34%

46
33%

20
16%

29
22%

26
20%

26
20%

Refused

17
2%

6
1%

11
2%

-

-

3
2%

2
1%

5
3%

7
3%

5
1%

-

3
3%

9
4%

-

8
2%

9
2%

2
2%

1
1%

3
3%

3
2%

2
1%

-

4
3%

2
1%

Don't know

87
9%

21
4%

66
12%

6
7%

30
13%

21
11%

14
9%

9
7%

6
3%

44
11%

15
13%

8
7%

10
4%

11
8%

37
8%

50
9%

14
10%

9
7%

12
15%

8
6%

8
6%

13
10%

11
9%

12
9%

Scottish National party
(SNP)

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 32

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 13
Q9. In the May 2011 Scottish Parliament election you had two votes. Your first vote was for a single person to represent your constituency in the Parliament?
Can you remember, did you use your first vote to vote...
Base : All respondents

VI Westmister

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

Total

Scottish Conservative

94
9%

73
72%

2
1%

1
2%

1
*

13
20%

1
3%

-

Scottish Labour

207
21%

4
4%

144
78%

1
3%

29
8%

10
15%

4
8%

Scottish Liberal
Democrats

56
6%

1
1%

7
4%

25
64%

7
2%

*
*

4
8%

296
29%

5
5%

5
3%

2
4%

243
69%

16
24%

Scottish National party
(SNP)

2
1%

79
81%

5
2%

6
5%

-

*
2%

*
1%

-

3
5%

72
76%

7
4%

1
1%

1
*

10
18%

1
3%

1
2%

14
8%

3
3%

187
78%

9
8%

3
1%

-

*
1%

2
1%

3
4%

2
2%

147
75%

2
4%

27
8%

8
15%

5
12%

1
3%

-

11
6%

2
2%

1
*

49
44%

1
*

-

1
3%

1
*

2
3%

1
1%

7
4%

30
63%

6
2%

*
*

4
10%

-

8
4%

11
23%

3
6%

12
7%

7
7%

29
12%

19
18%

207
95%

4
29%

6
20%

18
8%

6
8%

5
6%

6
3%

4
8%

248
71%

14
26%

9
22%

-

9
5%

*
*

1
*

2
2%

-

4
25%

6
21%

-

-

-

-

-

*
*

5
9%

5
11%

2
4%

2
1%

5
33%

11
38%

186
84%

12
17%

10
11%

24
12%

6
14%

53
15%

11
20%

13
30%

37
90%

81
45%

-

1
4%

-

16
22%

-

-

-

-

-

-

1
3%

16
9%

2
11%

4
13%

16
7%

30
42%

4
5%

6
3%

4
10%

13
4%

6
11%

5
12%

-

48
27%

Other party

13
1%

*
*

-

-

*
*

5
7%

5
10%

2
4%

1
1%

Did not vote

235
23%

12
12%

20
11%

6
16%

54
15%

15
24%

17
36%

38
82%

72
42%

4
4%

7
3%

7
6%

3
1%

Refused

17
2%

-

-

-

3
1%

-

-

1
2%

12
7%

-

-

-

-

Don't know

87
9%

5
5%

5
3%

4
11%

14
4%

6
12%

1
3%

45
27%

3
3%

10
4%

18
17%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

6
9%

4
2%

-

DK/Ref

3
2%
14
8%

Page 33

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 13
Q9. In the May 2011 Scottish Parliament election you had two votes. Your first vote was for a single person to represent your constituency in the Parliament?
Can you remember, did you use your first vote to vote...
Base : All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

-

-

2
3%

1
3%

Total

Scottish Conservative

94
9%

71
77%

6
3%

1
2%

1
*

12
20%

1
1%

Scottish Labour

207
21%

3
3%

140
75%

3
7%

31
9%

8
14%

9
12%

Scottish Liberal
Democrats

56
6%

2
2%

7
4%

23
52%

4
1%

-

296
29%

5
6%

7
4%

3
8%

232
71%

-

-

-

18
10%

Scottish National party
(SNP)
Other party

13
1%

Did not vote

235
23%

9
9%

3
1%

94
100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

7
2%

87
18%

1
3%

12
7%

-

207
100%

-

-

-

-

-

54
13%

150
31%

8
11%

-

13
7%

-

-

56
100%

-

-

-

-

18
4%

38
8%

-

-

14
24%

25
34%

-

9
5%

-

-

-

296
100%

-

-

-

240
57%

55
11%

1
2%

*
1%

26
31%

*
*

5
8%

5
6%

2
4%

2
1%

-

-

-

-

13
100%

-

-

2
1%

9
2%

2
3%

*
1%

11
25%

46
14%

14
24%

21
29%

37
90%

78
43%

-

-

-

-

-

235
100%

-

74
17%

103
21%

56
84%

2
8%

-

-

-

1
3%

16
9%

-

-

-

-

-

-

17
16%

-

6
1%

-

14
4%

6
10%

6
8%

-

49
27%

-

-

-

-

-

-

87
84%

27
7%

39
8%

5
8%

Refused

17
2%

-

-

-

Don't know

87
9%

2
2%

8
4%

2
6%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

-

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

2
3%

3
2%

19
8%

40
8%

11
11%

24
12%

30
9%

47
57%

137
89%

54
23%

126
27%

10
11%

17
8%

65
20%

1
1%

-

8
3%

13
3%

12
13%

23
11%

20
6%

3
2%

69
30%

144
30%

20
21%

62
31%

90
27%

*
*

1
1%

*
*

7
1%

1
1%

5
2%

1
*

3
3%

4
3%

54
23%

103
22%

34
36%

43
21%

88
27%

10
36%

-

-

2
1%

8
2%

3
3%

4
2%

5
2%

15
52%

3
4%

6
4%

25
11%

32
7%

5
5%

25
12%

29
9%

Page 34

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 14
Q10. And thinking back to the referendum on independence for Scotland on 18th September this year, did you vote Yes for Independence for Scotland, or No to
independence to Scotland?
Base : All respondents

Gender

Total

Age

Work status

Male

Female

18 to
24

25 to
34

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

FT

PT

Not
working

Social grade
Retired

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Central
Scotland

Glasgow

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

NE
Scotland

South

West

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

Yes

422
42%

202
43%

220
42%

34
40%

113
51%

75
39%

71
44%

54
40%

75
36%

175
43%

48
42%

59
50%

80
35%

60
44%

166
36%

255
47%

59
40%

55
44%

37
45%

55
40%

53
42%

57
43%

46
36%

60
46%

No

487
49%

243
51%

244
46%

31
37%

87
40%

87
46%

79
48%

75
55%

127
61%

196
48%

56
49%

39
33%

139
61%

57
42%

262
57%

225
41%

74
51%

54
44%

38
47%

68
50%

58
46%

64
49%

68
53%

63
49%

Did not vote

66
7%

22
5%

44
8%

19
23%

8
4%

25
13%

9
6%

1
1%

2
1%

29
7%

5
4%

13
11%

3
1%

16
12%

24
5%

43
8%

10
7%

11
9%

6
8%

11
8%

11
9%

6
4%

8
6%

3
3%

Don't know

15
2%

3
1%

13
2%

-

10
5%

3
1%

-

2
2%

-

5
1%

5
4%

4
3%

1
1%

-

6
1%

10
2%

1
*

2
2%

-

2
2%

3
2%

3
2%

3
3%

1
1%

Refused

14
1%

5
1%

9
2%

-

2
1%

1
1%

4
2%

4
3%

4
2%

2
1%

-

3
3%

6
3%

2
2%

4
1%

10
2%

3
2%

1
1%

*
1%

1
1%

2
1%

2
1%

2
2%

2
1%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 35

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 14
Q10. And thinking back to the referendum on independence for Scotland on 18th September this year, did you vote Yes for Independence for Scotland, or No to
independence to Scotland?
Base : All respondents

VI Westmister

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

Total

DK/Ref

Yes

422
42%

6
6%

26
14%

9
22%

307
87%

14
22%

20
43%

6
14%

33
20%

13
13%

83
34%

40
36%

174
80%

4
29%

11
38%

86
38%

11
16%

5
5%

29
15%

15
32%

308
89%

12
23%

20
48%

4
10%

28
16%

No

487
49%

91
90%

156
85%

30
75%

37
11%

48
74%

19
41%

14
31%

92
54%

85
87%

154
64%

68
62%

43
20%

10
71%

13
45%

81
36%

33
47%

87
92%

162
82%

31
66%

35
10%

39
73%

15
36%

9
21%

109
61%

Did not vote

66
7%

4
4%

1
*

1
3%

4
1%

2
4%

6
12%

24
52%

25
15%

-

2
1%

2
2%

1
1%

-

3
12%

56
25%

2
2%

2
2%

5
2%

1
3%

3
1%

2
4%

6
13%

28
67%

19
11%

Don't know

15
2%

-

2
1%

-

-

-

1
3%

-

12
7%

-

2
1%

-

-

-

-

-

14
19%

-

2
1%

-

-

-

1
3%

-

12
7%

Refused

14
1%

-

-

-

5
1%

-

-

1
2%

8
5%

-

-

-

-

-

2
5%

1
*

11
16%

-

-

-

2
*

-

-

1
3%

11
6%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 36

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 14
Q10. And thinking back to the referendum on independence for Scotland on 18th September this year, did you vote Yes for Independence for Scotland, or No to
independence to Scotland?
Base : All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

Total

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

Yes

422
42%

6
6%

31
17%

5
11%

284
87%

17
29%

43
59%

4
10%

31
17%

7
7%

54
26%

18
32%

240
81%

2
16%

74
31%

27
26%

422
100%

-

-

-

83
100%

-

91
39%

210
44%

36
37%

84
42%

127
39%

No

487
49%

85
93%

150
81%

39
86%

37
11%

39
66%

23
32%

9
21%

105
58%

87
93%

150
72%

38
68%

55
18%

9
69%

103
44%

45
44%

-

487
100%

-

-

-

154
100%

123
53%

213
45%

52
54%

98
49%

175
53%

Did not vote

66
7%

*
*

2
1%

1
3%

5
2%

2
4%

6
8%

28
67%

21
12%

-

2
1%

-

1
*

2
14%

56
24%

5
5%

-

-

66
100%

-

-

-

12
5%

36
8%

8
8%

10
5%

20
6%

Don't know

15
2%

-

2
1%

-

-

-

1
2%

-

12
7%

-

1
*

-

-

-

2
1%

12
12%

-

-

-

15
53%

-

-

2
1%

6
1%

-

7
4%

2
1%

Refused

14
1%

-

-

-

2
*

-

-

1
3%

11
6%

-

-

-

*
*

*
1%

-

13
13%

-

-

-

14
47%

-

-

4
2%

7
1%

*
*

3
1%

4
1%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 37

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 15
QM1. If you had to choose between the two, would you rather describe yourself as...
Base : All respondents

Gender

Total

Age

Work status

Social grade

Male

Female

18 to
24

25 to
34

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

FT

PT

Not
working

Retired

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Central
Scotland

Glasgow

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

NE
Scotland

South

West

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

British

358
36%

183
39%

175
33%

35
41%

74
33%

66
35%

57
35%

42
31%

83
40%

149
36%

43
38%

37
31%

89
39%

40
30%

185
40%

173
32%

51
35%

40
32%

26
32%

56
41%

48
38%

48
37%

49
38%

39
30%

Scottish

579
58%

270
57%

308
58%

38
44%

126
57%

105
55%

99
61%

89
65%

122
59%

230
56%

68
60%

76
64%

135
59%

68
51%

244
53%

335
62%

90
62%

74
59%

44
54%

67
49%

74
59%

71
54%

72
56%

87
67%

Other

55
5%

19
4%

36
7%

11
13%

18
8%

16
8%

5
3%

3
2%

2
1%

21
5%

2
2%

5
5%

2
1%

24
18%

21
5%

34
6%

3
2%

9
7%

10
13%

12
9%

3
3%

10
7%

7
6%

-

Don't know

13
1%

2
*

11
2%

1
1%

2
1%

5
2%

1
1%

2
1%

1
1%

7
2%

-

-

2
1%

3
2%

11
2%

2
*

1
1%

2
1%

1
1%

1
1%

1
1%

3
3%

-

4
3%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 38

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 15
QM1. If you had to choose between the two, would you rather describe yourself as...
Base : All respondents

VI Westmister

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

Total

DK/Ref

British

358
36%

68
67%

97
53%

18
45%

31
9%

46
71%

22
47%

9
19%

67
40%

65
67%

102
42%

54
49%

29
13%

11
79%

15
51%

61
27%

20
29%

62
66%

115
58%

17
37%

29
8%

37
70%

21
48%

7
16%

70
39%

Scottish

579
58%

30
29%

81
44%

20
50%

309
88%

18
27%

18
40%

23
51%

79
46%

31
32%

131
55%

48
44%

187
86%

3
20%

9
32%

122
55%

47
66%

29
31%

77
39%

26
56%

306
88%

15
28%

16
37%

20
48%

88
49%

Other

55
5%

2
2%

4
2%

2
5%

10
3%

1
2%

4
9%

11
24%

21
12%

2
2%

3
1%

8
8%

1
*

*
2%

4
15%

35
16%

2
2%

2
2%

4
2%

3
7%

10
3%

1
2%

4
10%

12
30%

18
10%

Don't know

13
1%

1
1%

2
1%

-

-

2
4%

3
6%

3
2%

-

4
2%

-

1
1%

-

1
2%

5
2%

2
3%

1
1%

2
1%

-

2
4%

3
6%

3
2%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

2
1%

2
1%

-

Page 39

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 15
QM1. If you had to choose between the two, would you rather describe yourself as...
Base : All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

Total

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

British

358
36%

57
63%

97
52%

27
60%

34
10%

39
66%

28
38%

7
16%

69
38%

60
64%

108
52%

27
49%

38
13%

7
53%

74
32%

44
43%

55
13%

270
56%

22
33%

11
39%

15
18%

85
55%

81
35%

166
35%

39
40%

72
36%

120
37%

Scottish

579
58%

30
33%

83
45%

16
37%

283
86%

20
33%

37
50%

20
48%

90
50%

31
33%

95
46%

23
40%

255
86%

5
40%

122
52%

48
46%

349
83%

187
38%

27
41%

15
53%

66
80%

64
41%

129
55%

289
61%

51
53%

110
54%

179
55%

Other

55
5%

3
3%

4
2%

2
4%

9
3%

*
*

7
10%

12
30%

18
10%

3
3%

2
1%

6
11%

1
*

*
2%

34
15%

9
9%

14
3%

22
4%

17
26%

2
5%

-

3
2%

15
7%

16
3%

5
5%

19
9%

20
6%

Don't know

13
1%

1
1%

2
1%

-

2
1%

-

2
2%

3
6%

3
2%

-

3
2%

-

2
1%

1
4%

5
2%

2
2%

3
1%

8
2%

-

1
3%

2
2%

2
1%

7
3%

3
1%

2
2%

1
1%

9
3%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 40

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 16
QM2a. Do you know who this person is? Jim Murphy
Base : All respondents

Gender

Total

Age

Work status

Social grade

Male

Female

18 to
24

25 to
34

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

FT

PT

Not
working

Retired

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Central
Scotland

Glasgow

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

NE
Scotland

South

West

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

Yes

534
53%

303
64%

231
44%

26
31%

105
47%

79
41%

95
58%

81
59%

149
72%

199
49%

50
44%

68
57%

158
69%

59
44%

275
60%

260
48%

68
46%

73
59%

39
48%

75
55%

71
56%

61
46%

66
51%

82
64%

N0

470
47%

171
36%

298
56%

59
69%

116
53%

112
59%

68
42%

56
41%

59
28%

209
51%

64
56%

51
43%

71
31%

75
56%

186
40%

283
52%

79
54%

51
41%

42
52%

62
45%

56
44%

71
54%

63
49%

47
36%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 41

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 16
QM2a. Do you know who this person is? Jim Murphy
Base : All respondents

VI Westmister

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

Total

DK/Ref

Yes

534
53%

63
63%

112
61%

27
68%

208
59%

34
53%

23
51%

11
24%

55
32%

67
68%

151
63%

68
61%

131
60%

5
37%

14
49%

69
31%

29
40%

60
63%

121
61%

28
60%

207
60%

26
48%

23
53%

10
25%

60
33%

N0

470
47%

38
37%

72
39%

13
32%

144
41%

30
47%

23
49%

35
76%

115
68%

31
32%

89
37%

43
39%

87
40%

9
63%

15
51%

153
69%

43
60%

35
37%

77
39%

19
40%

141
40%

28
52%

20
47%

31
75%

120
67%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 42

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 16
QM2a. Do you know who this person is? Jim Murphy
Base : All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

Total

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

Yes

534
53%

59
65%

114
61%

23
52%

190
58%

30
51%

43
58%

10
25%

65
36%

63
67%

123
59%

41
73%

177
60%

9
72%

85
36%

37
35%

230
55%

278
57%

16
24%

10
36%

49
60%

101
66%

115
50%

268
57%

54
56%

97
48%

169
51%

N0

470
47%

32
35%

72
39%

21
48%

137
42%

29
49%

31
42%

31
75%

116
64%

31
33%

84
41%

15
27%

119
40%

4
28%

150
64%

67
65%

192
45%

209
43%

50
76%

19
64%

33
40%

53
34%

117
50%

205
43%

43
44%

105
52%

159
49%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 43

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 17
QM2b. Do you know who this person is? Alex Salmond
Base : All respondents

Gender

Total

Age

Work status

Social grade

Male

Female

18 to
24

25 to
34

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

FT

PT

Not
working

Retired

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Central
Scotland

Glasgow

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

NE
Scotland

South

West

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

Yes

943
94%

448
94%

495
93%

67
79%

201
91%

179
94%

159
98%

133
97%

204
98%

382
94%

109
96%

108
91%

225
98%

119
88%

439
95%

503
93%

137
94%

110
89%

71
87%

126
92%

118
94%

127
96%

127
99%

126
98%

N0

61
6%

27
6%

35
7%

18
21%

20
9%

12
6%

4
2%

4
3%

5
2%

26
6%

4
4%

10
9%

5
2%

16
12%

21
5%

40
7%

9
6%

14
11%

11
13%

11
8%

8
6%

5
4%

1
1%

3
2%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 44

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 17
QM2b. Do you know who this person is? Alex Salmond
Base : All respondents

VI Westmister

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

Total

DK/Ref

Yes

943
94%

93
92%

175
95%

37
93%

345
98%

63
98%

44
96%

40
87%

146
86%

93
95%

234
97%

104
94%

216
99%

14
98%

23
82%

199
89%

58
82%

89
94%

187
95%

43
92%

341
98%

53
98%

41
97%

36
86%

154
86%

N0

61
6%

8
8%

9
5%

3
7%

8
2%

1
2%

2
4%

6
13%

25
14%

5
5%

7
3%

6
6%

2
1%

*
2%

5
18%

23
11%

13
18%

6
6%

11
5%

4
8%

7
2%

1
2%

1
3%

6
14%

25
14%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 45

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 17
QM2b. Do you know who this person is? Alex Salmond
Base : All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

Total

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

Yes

943
94%

85
93%

176
95%

43
96%

319
97%

57
97%

72
98%

36
86%

155
86%

88
94%

197
95%

56
99%

291
98%

13
96%

211
90%

87
84%

406
96%

461
95%

50
75%

26
88%

80
97%

151
98%

218
94%

438
93%

93
97%

193
95%

311
95%

N0

61
6%

6
7%

10
5%

2
4%

9
3%

2
3%

1
2%

6
14%

25
14%

6
6%

10
5%

1
1%

5
2%

*
4%

24
10%

16
16%

16
4%

26
5%

17
25%

4
12%

2
3%

3
2%

15
6%

34
7%

3
3%

10
5%

18
5%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 46

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 18
QM2c. Do you know who this person is? Nicola Sturgeon
Base : All respondents

Gender

Total

Age

Work status

Social grade

Male

Female

18 to
24

25 to
34

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

FT

PT

Not
working

Retired

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Central
Scotland

Glasgow

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

NE
Scotland

South

West

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

Yes

844
84%

404
85%

440
83%

59
69%

177
80%

171
90%

145
89%

114
83%

178
86%

345
85%

102
90%

96
81%

195
85%

105
78%

402
87%

442
81%

129
89%

102
82%

65
79%

102
74%

113
90%

117
89%

94
73%

121
94%

N0

160
16%

71
15%

90
17%

26
31%

44
20%

20
10%

18
11%

23
17%

30
14%

63
15%

12
10%

22
19%

34
15%

29
22%

59
13%

101
19%

17
11%

22
18%

17
21%

35
26%

13
10%

15
11%

34
27%

8
6%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 47

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 18
QM2c. Do you know who this person is? Nicola Sturgeon
Base : All respondents

VI Westmister

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

Total

DK/Ref

Yes

844
84%

88
87%

158
86%

34
84%

322
91%

53
82%

37
80%

26
57%

126
74%

85
87%

210
87%

95
86%

199
91%

12
80%

17
60%

169
76%

57
80%

83
88%

167
84%

39
83%

321
92%

42
78%

33
78%

24
57%

135
76%

N0

160
16%

13
13%

26
14%

6
16%

31
9%

12
18%

9
20%

20
43%

44
26%

13
13%

31
13%

15
14%

20
9%

3
20%

11
40%

54
24%

14
20%

12
12%

31
16%

8
17%

27
8%

12
22%

9
22%

18
43%

44
24%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 48

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 18
QM2c. Do you know who this person is? Nicola Sturgeon
Base : All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

Total

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

Yes

844
84%

79
87%

163
88%

36
81%

296
90%

45
76%

62
84%

24
57%

139
77%

81
87%

176
85%

48
85%

276
93%

9
66%

173
74%

81
78%

366
87%

421
86%

38
57%

19
65%

70
84%

140
91%

198
85%

393
83%

80
83%

172
85%

278
85%

N0

160
16%

12
13%

23
12%

9
19%

32
10%

14
24%

12
16%

18
43%

41
23%

13
13%

31
15%

8
15%

20
7%

4
34%

62
26%

22
22%

56
13%

66
14%

29
43%

10
35%

13
16%

13
9%

35
15%

79
17%

16
17%

31
15%

51
15%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 49

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 19
QM2d. Do you know who this person is? Willie Rennie
Base : All respondents

Gender

Total

Age

Work status

Social grade

Male

Female

18 to
24

25 to
34

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

FT

PT

Not
working

Retired

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Central
Scotland

Glasgow

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

NE
Scotland

South

West

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

Yes

169
17%

111
23%

57
11%

8
9%

39
18%

20
11%

21
13%

22
16%

58
28%

55
14%

12
10%

18
15%

64
28%

20
15%

94
20%

74
14%

19
13%

18
15%

11
13%

22
16%

38
30%

14
11%

25
20%

21
16%

N0

835
83%

363
77%

472
89%

77
91%

182
82%

171
89%

141
87%

114
84%

151
72%

352
86%

102
90%

101
85%

165
72%

115
85%

367
80%

469
86%

127
87%

106
85%

71
87%

115
84%

88
70%

118
89%

103
80%

108
84%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 50

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 19
QM2d. Do you know who this person is? Willie Rennie
Base : All respondents

VI Westmister

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

Total

DK/Ref

Yes

169
17%

22
22%

28
15%

10
26%

73
21%

10
16%

5
11%

4
8%

16
9%

24
24%

43
18%

25
22%

49
22%

1
4%

1
4%

21
10%

5
8%

21
22%

29
15%

12
25%

77
22%

9
16%

5
11%

4
10%

12
7%

N0

835
83%

79
78%

156
85%

30
74%

280
79%

54
84%

41
89%

42
92%

154
91%

74
76%

198
82%

86
78%

169
78%

14
96%

27
96%

201
90%

66
92%

74
78%

168
85%

35
75%

271
78%

45
84%

38
89%

37
90%

167
93%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 51

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 19
QM2d. Do you know who this person is? Willie Rennie
Base : All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

Total

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

Yes

169
17%

22
24%

28
15%

8
18%

63
19%

9
16%

17
23%

4
10%

17
10%

23
24%

37
18%

16
29%

68
23%

1
10%

18
8%

5
5%

82
19%

79
16%

5
7%

3
10%

13
15%

30
20%

30
13%

83
18%

18
18%

38
19%

48
14%

N0

835
83%

69
76%

158
85%

37
82%

265
81%

50
84%

57
77%

37
90%

163
90%

71
76%

170
82%

40
71%

228
77%

12
90%

217
92%

98
95%

340
81%

408
84%

62
93%

26
90%

70
85%

124
80%

202
87%

389
82%

79
82%

165
81%

281
86%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 52

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 20
QM2e. Do you know who this person is? Ruth Davidson
Base : All respondents

Gender

Total

Age

Work status

Social grade

Male

Female

18 to
24

25 to
34

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

FT

PT

Not
working

Retired

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Central
Scotland

Glasgow

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

NE
Scotland

South

West

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

Yes

317
32%

177
37%

140
26%

21
25%

65
29%

50
26%

52
32%

44
32%

86
41%

110
27%

27
23%

43
36%

98
43%

40
30%

174
38%

143
26%

48
33%

50
40%

25
30%

51
37%

37
29%

34
26%

26
21%

47
36%

N0

687
68%

297
63%

389
74%

64
75%

156
71%

142
74%

111
68%

92
68%

122
59%

298
73%

87
77%

76
64%

132
57%

95
70%

287
62%

400
74%

98
67%

74
60%

57
70%

86
63%

89
71%

98
74%

102
79%

82
64%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 53

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 20
QM2e. Do you know who this person is? Ruth Davidson
Base : All respondents

VI Westmister

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

Total

DK/Ref

Yes

317
32%

45
44%

56
30%

10
25%

125
35%

23
35%

12
26%

6
14%

41
24%

53
54%

77
32%

39
35%

84
39%

1
4%

8
27%

45
20%

11
15%

41
44%

67
34%

13
27%

125
36%

17
31%

16
38%

7
17%

32
18%

N0

687
68%

56
56%

128
70%

30
75%

228
65%

42
65%

34
74%

39
86%

129
76%

45
46%

163
68%

72
65%

134
61%

14
96%

21
73%

178
80%

60
85%

53
56%

131
66%

34
73%

223
64%

37
69%

27
62%

34
83%

148
82%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 54

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 20
QM2e. Do you know who this person is? Ruth Davidson
Base : All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

Total

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

Yes

317
32%

40
44%

64
35%

13
28%

105
32%

19
32%

34
46%

7
17%

35
20%

45
48%

65
32%

26
46%

116
39%

7
50%

39
16%

20
20%

145
34%

156
32%

11
16%

6
22%

20
25%

57
37%

58
25%

170
36%

36
38%

52
26%

95
29%

N0

687
68%

51
56%

121
65%

32
72%

223
68%

40
68%

39
54%

34
83%

145
80%

48
52%

142
68%

30
54%

180
61%

7
50%

196
84%

83
80%

277
66%

331
68%

56
84%

23
78%

62
75%

97
63%

174
75%

302
64%

60
62%

151
74%

234
71%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 55

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 21
QM3a. This person is Jim Murphy, the newly elected leader of Scottish Labour. Do you think he will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?
Base : All respondents

Gender

Total

Age

Work status

Social grade

Male

Female

18 to
24

25 to
34

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

FT

PT

Not
working

Retired

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Central
Scotland

Glasgow

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

NE
Scotland

South

West

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

Good

319
32%

184
39%

135
25%

20
24%

58
26%

57
30%

51
31%

40
29%

93
45%

129
32%

21
18%

38
32%

100
44%

32
24%

175
38%

144
27%

39
27%

41
33%

22
27%

47
35%

40
32%

44
33%

40
32%

45
35%

Bad

199
20%

104
22%

95
18%

20
23%

46
21%

28
15%

43
26%

23
17%

39
19%

83
20%

24
21%

13
11%

41
18%

38
28%

96
21%

103
19%

28
19%

28
23%

16
20%

24
17%

34
27%

19
14%

23
18%

26
20%

Don't know

486
48%

186
39%

300
57%

45
53%

117
53%

106
56%

69
43%

73
54%

76
36%

196
48%

69
61%

68
57%

88
38%

65
48%

190
41%

296
54%

79
54%

55
45%

43
53%

66
48%

52
41%

69
52%

65
51%

57
45%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 56

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 21
QM3a. This person is Jim Murphy, the newly elected leader of Scottish Labour. Do you think he will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?
Base : All respondents

VI Westmister

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

Total

DK/Ref

Good

319
32%

55
55%

115
63%

20
51%

69
20%

22
35%

11
23%

3
7%

23
14%

47
48%

118
49%

46
42%

45
20%

7
45%

10
34%

32
15%

15
21%

51
54%

124
63%

24
51%

64
18%

19
36%

9
22%

1
2%

26
15%

Bad

199
20%

10
10%

4
2%

5
12%

149
42%

7
11%

8
17%

7
16%

8
5%

10
10%

25
10%

18
16%

93
43%

2
12%

4
12%

44
20%

3
5%

10
11%

4
2%

5
10%

154
44%

6
12%

7
17%

6
15%

7
4%

Don't know

486
48%

35
35%

65
35%

15
37%

134
38%

35
55%

28
60%

35
77%

139
82%

41
42%

97
40%

47
42%

81
37%

6
43%

15
53%

146
66%

53
74%

33
35%

69
35%

18
39%

130
37%

28
53%

26
61%

34
83%

146
82%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 57

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 21
QM3a. This person is Jim Murphy, the newly elected leader of Scottish Labour. Do you think he will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?
Base : All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

Total

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

Good

319
32%

51
56%

114
62%

22
50%

52
16%

19
33%

24
33%

1
2%

35
20%

50
53%

103
50%

35
63%

63
21%

5
35%

43
18%

21
20%

79
19%

228
47%

7
11%

5
18%

24
29%

93
60%

75
32%

144
30%

35
36%

66
32%

109
33%

Bad

199
20%

10
11%

1
1%

3
6%

146
45%

6
10%

19
25%

6
15%

8
4%

9
10%

17
8%

5
9%

122
41%

4
34%

36
15%

5
4%

155
37%

34
7%

9
14%

-

18
22%

5
3%

41
18%

97
21%

15
16%

45
22%

56
17%

Don't know

486
48%

30
33%

70
38%

20
44%

130
40%

34
58%

31
42%

34
83%

137
76%

35
37%

86
42%

16
28%

111
38%

4
31%

156
66%

78
75%

188
45%

225
46%

50
75%

24
82%

40
49%

56
36%

116
50%

231
49%

46
48%

93
46%

163
50%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 58

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Table 22
QM3b. This person is Alex Salmond, ex-leader of the SNP and now prospective Westminster parliamentary candidate for the SNP in the Aberdeenshire constituency of Gordon.
Do you think he will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?
Base : All respondents

Gender

Total

Age

Work status

Male

Female

18 to
24

25 to
34

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

FT

PT

Not
working

Social grade
Retired

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Central
Scotland

Glasgow

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

NE
Scotland

South

West

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

Good

530
53%

253
53%

277
52%

49
58%

127
58%

96
50%

85
52%

71
52%

102
49%

206
51%

66
59%

74
62%

109
48%

74
55%

205
45%

325
60%

75
52%

63
50%

41
51%

68
50%

73
58%

71
54%

60
47%

79
61%

Bad

299
30%

159
33%

141
27%

18
21%

34
16%

62
33%

56
35%

47
34%

82
39%

131
32%

23
20%

28
24%

93
40%

25
18%

178
39%

122
22%

43
29%

36
29%

20
25%

51
37%

29
23%

40
30%

53
41%

27
21%

Don't know

175
17%

63
13%

112
21%

18
21%

59
27%

33
17%

21
13%

19
14%

24
12%

70
17%

24
21%

16
14%

28
12%

36
27%

78
17%

97
18%

28
19%

26
21%

20
24%

18
13%

24
19%

21
16%

15
12%

23
18%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Absolutes/col percents

Page 59

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 22
QM3b. This person is Alex Salmond, ex-leader of the SNP and now prospective Westminster parliamentary candidate for the SNP in the Aberdeenshire constituency of Gordon.
Do you think he will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?
Base : All respondents

VI Westmister

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

Total

DK/Ref

Good

530
53%

18
18%

49
27%

13
33%

331
94%

21
32%

25
54%

14
30%

60
35%

17
18%

107
44%

53
48%

188
86%

6
44%

15
51%

119
53%

26
36%

16
17%

57
29%

20
43%

325
93%

18
34%

26
60%

8
20%

60
34%

Bad

299
30%

71
70%

101
55%

24
60%

5
1%

32
50%

9
20%

14
30%

43
25%

70
71%

97
40%

43
39%

14
6%

5
37%

6
22%

48
21%

17
24%

67
71%

107
54%

24
52%

5
2%

24
45%

8
20%

13
31%

50
28%

Don't know

175
17%

12
12%

33
18%

3
6%

17
5%

12
18%

12
26%

18
39%

67
40%

11
11%

37
15%

15
14%

17
8%

3
19%

8
27%

56
25%

28
40%

11
12%

34
17%

3
5%

18
5%

11
21%

9
20%

20
50%

69
39%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 60

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 22
QM3b. This person is Alex Salmond, ex-leader of the SNP and now prospective Westminster parliamentary candidate for the SNP in the Aberdeenshire constituency of Gordon.
Do you think he will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?
Base : All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

Total

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

Good

530
53%

14
15%

55
30%

14
32%

305
93%

22
38%

46
63%

8
20%

65
36%

12
13%

75
36%

24
43%

263
89%

2
16%

114
49%

39
38%

361
86%

129
27%

28
43%

11
38%

68
82%

38
25%

132
57%

249
53%

55
57%

94
46%

186
57%

Bad

299
30%

66
72%

101
54%

26
57%

9
3%

24
41%

14
20%

13
31%

46
26%

70
75%

101
49%

31
55%

13
5%

6
45%

57
24%

22
21%

21
5%

269
55%

8
13%

1
3%

8
9%

87
56%

74
32%

134
28%

26
28%

64
32%

101
31%

Don't know

175
17%

12
13%

30
16%

5
11%

14
4%

12
21%

13
17%

20
50%

69
38%

11
12%

31
15%

1
2%

19
7%

5
40%

63
27%

43
41%

39
9%

89
18%

30
45%

17
59%

7
9%

29
19%

26
11%

89
19%

15
16%

45
22%

41
13%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 61

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 23
QM3c. This person is Nicola Sturgeon, the new First Minister of Scotland and the Leader of the Scottish National Party.
Do you think she will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?
Base : All respondents

Gender

Total

Age

Work status

Male

Female

18 to
24

25 to
34

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

FT

PT

Not
working

Social grade
Retired

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Central
Scotland

Glasgow

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

NE
Scotland

South

West

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

Good

512
51%

246
52%

266
50%

45
53%

112
51%

96
50%

79
48%

74
54%

106
51%

206
51%

61
54%

63
53%

111
49%

71
52%

218
47%

293
54%

77
53%

64
52%

49
60%

67
49%

57
46%

68
51%

57
44%

72
55%

Bad

258
26%

143
30%

115
22%

18
21%

40
18%

48
25%

41
25%

38
28%

73
35%

106
26%

19
17%

25
21%

78
34%

30
22%

142
31%

116
21%

38
26%

34
27%

18
22%

38
28%

24
19%

37
28%

41
32%

27
21%

Don't know

234
23%

85
18%

149
28%

22
25%

68
31%

47
25%

43
26%

25
18%

30
14%

96
23%

34
30%

31
26%

40
17%

34
26%

101
22%

133
25%

31
21%

26
21%

14
18%

31
23%

45
36%

27
20%

30
24%

30
24%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 62

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 23
QM3c. This person is Nicola Sturgeon, the new First Minister of Scotland and the Leader of the Scottish National Party.
Do you think she will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?
Base : All respondents

VI Westmister

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

Total

DK/Ref

Good

512
51%

11
11%

52
28%

12
29%

321
91%

27
41%

19
41%

15
33%

55
32%

14
14%

112
47%

42
38%

184
84%

10
67%

15
53%

108
48%

28
39%

8
9%

65
33%

13
27%

323
93%

20
37%

19
45%

9
23%

54
30%

Bad

258
26%

66
65%

96
52%

20
50%

6
2%

21
33%

10
21%

9
20%

31
18%

64
65%

83
34%

35
31%

11
5%

3
19%

7
26%

34
15%

22
31%

63
67%

97
49%

20
43%

6
2%

18
34%

8
19%

8
19%

38
21%

Don't know

234
23%

24
24%

36
19%

8
21%

25
7%

17
26%

18
38%

21
47%

85
50%

20
21%

46
19%

34
31%

24
11%

2
14%

6
21%

81
36%

21
30%

24
25%

36
18%

14
29%

19
6%

16
29%

16
36%

24
58%

87
49%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 63

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 23
QM3c. This person is Nicola Sturgeon, the new First Minister of Scotland and the Leader of the Scottish National Party.
Do you think she will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?
Base : All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

Total

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

Good

512
51%

7
8%

60
33%

12
28%

298
91%

19
32%

47
63%

9
23%

59
33%

7
7%

83
40%

17
30%

261
88%

3
26%

103
44%

38
37%

348
82%

131
27%

22
33%

12
40%

68
82%

44
29%

118
51%

246
52%

50
52%

97
48%

169
51%

Bad

258
26%

63
69%

89
48%

21
48%

8
2%

22
37%

13
17%

8
19%

35
19%

64
68%

86
41%

23
42%

12
4%

8
60%

45
19%

21
20%

20
5%

226
46%

9
13%

4
13%

6
7%

74
48%

67
29%

115
24%

24
25%

52
26%

91
28%

Don't know

234
23%

22
24%

37
20%

11
24%

22
7%

18
31%

14
20%

24
58%

87
48%

23
25%

39
19%

16
28%

23
8%

2
13%

88
37%

45
43%

54
13%

130
27%

36
54%

14
47%

9
11%

36
23%

47
20%

111
24%

22
23%

54
27%

69
21%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 64

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 24
QM3d. This person is Willie Rennie, current leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats.
Do you think he will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?
Base : All respondents

Gender

Total

Age

Work status

Male

Female

18 to
24

25 to
34

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

FT

PT

Not
working

Social grade
Retired

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Central
Scotland

Glasgow

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

NE
Scotland

South

West

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

Good

124
12%

74
16%

50
9%

12
15%

24
11%

14
7%

18
11%

14
10%

41
20%

40
10%

6
5%

22
18%

45
20%

11
8%

58
13%

66
12%

10
7%

13
11%

10
12%

31
23%

23
18%

13
10%

10
8%

13
10%

Bad

258
26%

155
33%

103
19%

25
30%

41
19%

45
23%

53
32%

36
27%

58
28%

108
27%

20
18%

29
24%

64
28%

37
27%

118
26%

140
26%

33
23%

32
26%

29
36%

30
22%

32
25%

31
23%

46
36%

25
19%

Don't know

622
62%

245
52%

377
71%

47
56%

155
70%

132
69%

92
57%

86
63%

109
52%

259
64%

87
77%

68
58%

120
52%

87
65%

285
62%

337
62%

103
71%

79
63%

43
52%

75
55%

71
57%

88
67%

72
56%

91
71%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 65

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 24
QM3d. This person is Willie Rennie, current leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats.
Do you think he will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?
Base : All respondents

VI Westmister

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

Total

DK/Ref

Good

124
12%

19
19%

33
18%

22
56%

30
8%

3
5%

1
2%

2
5%

14
8%

19
20%

34
14%

29
27%

14
6%

-

5
18%

13
6%

8
12%

15
16%

41
21%

29
63%

22
6%

3
5%

1
2%

2
6%

10
6%

Bad

258
26%

21
21%

41
23%

2
6%

132
37%

21
32%

15
33%

12
27%

14
8%

25
26%

61
25%

15
14%

84
38%

5
31%

8
27%

55
25%

6
9%

21
22%

43
22%

4
9%

132
38%

16
29%

14
32%

9
21%

20
11%

Don't know

622
62%

61
61%

110
60%

15
38%

191
54%

41
63%

30
66%

31
68%

143
84%

53
55%

145
60%

66
60%

121
55%

10
69%

16
55%

154
69%

57
80%

59
62%

114
57%

13
29%

194
56%

35
66%

28
66%

30
73%

149
83%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 66

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 24
QM3d. This person is Willie Rennie, current leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats.
Do you think he will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?
Base : All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

Total

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

Good

124
12%

17
18%

35
19%

21
47%

24
7%

4
6%

5
7%

2
6%

16
9%

19
20%

34
16%

25
44%

22
7%

*
3%

19
8%

6
6%

39
9%

75
15%

5
8%

5
17%

9
11%

24
16%

32
14%

46
10%

19
19%

27
13%

51
15%

Bad

258
26%

19
21%

40
22%

3
7%

122
37%

18
31%

27
36%

9
21%

21
12%

25
27%

52
25%

3
5%

111
38%

5
35%

45
19%

18
17%

145
34%

93
19%

16
24%

5
16%

24
29%

36
23%

54
23%

125
26%

22
23%

58
29%

75
23%

Don't know

622
62%

56
61%

111
60%

21
46%

182
56%

37
63%

42
57%

30
73%

143
79%

50
53%

121
59%

29
51%

163
55%

8
62%

172
73%

79
77%

238
57%

319
66%

45
68%

19
66%

50
60%

94
61%

147
63%

302
64%

56
58%

118
58%

203
62%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 67

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 25
QM3e. This person is Ruth Davidson, current leader of the Scottish Conservatives.
Do you think she will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?
Base : All respondents

Gender

Total

Age

Work status

Male

Female

18 to
24

25 to
34

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

FT

PT

Not
working

Social grade
Retired

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Central
Scotland

Glasgow

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

NE
Scotland

South

West

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

Good

212
21%

115
24%

97
18%

8
9%

37
17%

31
16%

39
24%

28
21%

69
33%

90
22%

11
10%

17
15%

76
33%

18
13%

141
31%

72
13%

31
21%

26
21%

19
24%

33
24%

20
16%

27
20%

25
19%

30
24%

Bad

375
37%

192
40%

183
34%

42
50%

74
33%

67
35%

67
41%

47
34%

78
37%

138
34%

38
33%

51
43%

83
36%

66
49%

145
31%

230
42%

54
37%

52
42%

37
45%

54
39%

46
36%

48
36%

39
31%

45
35%

Don't know

417
42%

167
35%

250
47%

35
41%

110
50%

93
48%

57
35%

61
45%

61
29%

180
44%

65
57%

50
42%

70
31%

52
38%

176
38%

241
44%

62
42%

46
37%

26
31%

50
36%

60
47%

57
43%

64
50%

53
41%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 68

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 25
QM3e. This person is Ruth Davidson, current leader of the Scottish Conservatives.
Do you think she will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?
Base : All respondents

VI Westmister

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

Total

DK/Ref

Good

212
21%

73
72%

45
24%

13
34%

28
8%

14
21%

3
6%

1
2%

37
22%

67
69%

54
23%

24
21%

27
12%

2
12%

3
10%

21
9%

15
21%

68
72%

58
29%

13
29%

26
7%

10
19%

4
9%

1
2%

32
18%

Bad

375
37%

5
5%

65
35%

11
29%

224
63%

19
29%

16
35%

15
34%

19
11%

8
9%

101
42%

36
33%

125
57%

3
19%

10
36%

83
37%

8
12%

2
3%

64
32%

16
34%

223
64%

18
33%

18
41%

12
29%

22
12%

Don't know

417
42%

23
23%

74
40%

15
38%

101
29%

32
50%

27
59%

29
64%

115
67%

22
22%

85
36%

51
46%

67
31%

10
69%

16
55%

119
53%

48
67%

25
26%

76
38%

17
37%

99
29%

25
47%

21
50%

28
69%

125
70%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 69

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 25
QM3e. This person is Ruth Davidson, current leader of the Scottish Conservatives.
Do you think she will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?
Base : All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

Total

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

Good

212
21%

67
74%

57
30%

16
37%

26
8%

11
18%

5
7%

1
2%

30
16%

69
74%

46
22%

19
33%

33
11%

2
19%

28
12%

15
15%

32
7%

173
36%

6
9%

2
6%

6
7%

48
31%

54
23%

92
19%

32
34%

34
17%

86
26%

Bad

375
37%

2
3%

57
31%

18
41%

203
62%

18
31%

45
61%

12
29%

19
11%

4
4%

79
38%

13
24%

174
59%

4
29%

78
33%

23
22%

251
60%

100
20%

17
26%

7
23%

47
56%

52
34%

87
37%

178
38%

34
36%

75
37%

121
37%

Don't know

417
42%

22
24%

72
39%

10
23%

99
30%

29
50%

24
33%

28
69%

132
73%

21
22%

82
40%

24
43%

89
30%

7
52%

129
55%

66
64%

139
33%

214
44%

43
65%

21
71%

30
36%

54
35%

91
39%

202
43%

30
31%

94
46%

121
37%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 70

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 26
QM4. You may have seen or heard about the Smith commission proposals for further devolution, including extensive new powers over income tax.
From what you've seen or heard, do you think these:
Base : All respondents

Gender

Total

Age

Work status

Male

Female

18 to
24

25 to
34

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

FT

PT

Not
working

Social grade
Retired

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Central
Scotland

Glasgow

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

NE
Scotland

South

West

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

Go too far

126
13%

67
14%

58
11%

8
9%

9
4%

18
9%

25
15%

25
18%

41
20%

47
11%

8
7%

10
9%

47
21%

14
10%

75
16%

51
9%

13
9%

12
9%

9
12%

22
16%

15
12%

16
12%

25
19%

13
10%

Are about right

260
26%

159
34%

100
19%

24
28%

55
25%

36
19%

40
25%

38
28%

67
32%

113
28%

24
22%

34
29%

68
30%

21
15%

139
30%

120
22%

41
28%

36
29%

16
20%

37
27%

29
23%

32
24%

29
23%

38
29%

Do not go far enough

305
30%

168
35%

138
26%

16
19%

66
30%

52
27%

59
36%

38
28%

74
35%

124
30%

24
21%

35
30%

83
36%

39
29%

137
30%

168
31%

37
25%

48
39%

21
25%

43
32%

41
33%

36
27%

34
27%

44
34%

Don't know

313
31%

80
17%

233
44%

37
44%

91
41%

85
45%

39
24%

35
26%

26
13%

124
30%

57
51%

39
33%

31
14%

61
46%

109
24%

204
38%

55
37%

28
23%

35
43%

34
25%

41
32%

47
36%

40
31%

33
26%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 71

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 26
QM4. You may have seen or heard about the Smith commission proposals for further devolution, including extensive new powers over income tax.
From what you've seen or heard, do you think these:
Base : All respondents

VI Westmister

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

Total

DK/Ref

Go too far

126
13%

34
33%

38
21%

10
26%

8
2%

14
21%

4
9%

5
10%

14
8%

37
38%

35
15%

15
14%

11
5%

1
9%

3
11%

18
8%

5
8%

32
34%

39
20%

12
25%

7
2%

13
24%

4
9%

5
11%

13
7%

Are about right

260
26%

52
52%

65
35%

20
51%

54
15%

24
37%

6
14%

8
17%

30
18%

41
42%

71
30%

46
42%

33
15%

7
50%

8
28%

47
21%

5
8%

47
50%

80
40%

24
51%

46
13%

20
37%

7
17%

6
13%

30
17%

Do not go far enough

305
30%

3
3%

29
16%

3
8%

219
62%

6
10%

16
35%

10
21%

19
11%

6
6%

70
29%

26
23%

131
60%

1
9%

6
23%

53
24%

12
16%

3
3%

26
13%

5
11%

221
64%

5
10%

13
32%

7
18%

23
13%

Don't know

313
31%

12
12%

53
29%

6
15%

72
20%

21
32%

20
43%

24
52%

107
63%

14
14%

64
27%

23
21%

43
20%

5
32%

11
39%

104
47%

49
68%

12
13%

52
27%

6
13%

73
21%

16
30%

18
43%

24
57%

112
63%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 72

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 26
QM4. You may have seen or heard about the Smith commission proposals for further devolution, including extensive new powers over income tax.
From what you've seen or heard, do you think these:
Base : All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

Total

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

Go too far

126
13%

31
33%

38
20%

8
17%

7
2%

17
28%

7
10%

5
11%

14
8%

35
37%

41
20%

8
13%

12
4%

3
22%

20
9%

7
7%

18
4%

106
22%

2
3%

-

4
4%

30
19%

34
15%

56
12%

9
9%

28
14%

43
13%

Are about right

260
26%

45
49%

65
35%

25
56%

53
16%

18
31%

10
14%

6
13%

38
21%

47
50%

63
30%

31
55%

47
16%

4
27%

48
21%

20
20%

52
12%

186
38%

16
24%

5
18%

16
19%

53
35%

59
25%

120
25%

27
28%

55
27%

86
26%

Do not go far enough

305
30%

3
4%

31
17%

5
12%

200
61%

9
15%

32
43%

7
18%

18
10%

3
3%

51
25%

9
15%

179
60%

4
33%

52
22%

8
7%

244
58%

45
9%

11
17%

5
18%

52
63%

18
12%

56
24%

175
37%

28
29%

46
23%

84
26%

Don't know

313
31%

13
14%

51
28%

7
15%

69
21%

15
25%

25
33%

24
57%

111
61%

9
10%

52
25%

9
16%

58
20%

2
18%

115
49%

68
66%

108
26%

150
31%

37
57%

18
63%

11
14%

53
34%

84
36%

122
26%

32
33%

75
37%

116
35%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 73

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 27
QM5. Under the Smith Commision plans, Scotland will have extensive control over income tax, but London will remain in charge of corporation tax.
Do you think Scotland should be able to set its own corporation tax rate?
Base : All respondents

Gender

Total

Age

Work status

Male

Female

18 to
24

25 to
34

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

FT

PT

Not
working

Social grade
Retired

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Central
Scotland

Glasgow

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

NE
Scotland

South

West

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

Yes

532
53%

264
56%

268
51%

52
61%

118
54%

100
52%

87
54%

72
53%

103
49%

220
54%

59
52%

67
57%

113
49%

73
54%

233
50%

300
55%

70
48%

76
61%

45
55%

75
55%

75
60%

68
52%

56
44%

66
51%

No

235
23%

131
28%

104
20%

7
8%

33
15%

46
24%

41
25%

35
26%

74
35%

97
24%

18
16%

23
19%

79
35%

18
13%

137
30%

98
18%

33
22%

20
16%

19
23%

39
28%

24
19%

35
27%

36
28%

30
23%

Don't know

236
24%

79
17%

157
30%

26
31%

69
31%

45
24%

34
21%

29
22%

32
15%

90
22%

36
32%

29
24%

37
16%

44
32%

91
20%

145
27%

43
29%

28
23%

18
22%

23
17%

27
21%

29
22%

36
28%

33
26%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 74

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 27
QM5. Under the Smith Commision plans, Scotland will have extensive control over income tax, but London will remain in charge of corporation tax.
Do you think Scotland should be able to set its own corporation tax rate?
Base : All respondents

VI Westmister

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

Total

DK/Ref

Yes

532
53%

18
18%

61
33%

8
20%

314
89%

26
40%

29
62%

19
43%

57
34%

18
19%

119
50%

54
48%

179
82%

5
32%

17
61%

110
49%

30
43%

17
17%

60
31%

15
33%

312
90%

20
37%

28
65%

18
44%

62
35%

No

235
23%

62
61%

70
38%

21
52%

8
2%

23
36%

6
14%

10
23%

34
20%

63
64%

61
25%

31
28%

17
8%

8
54%

5
19%

38
17%

12
17%

61
65%

75
38%

21
45%

9
3%

19
36%

6
15%

9
23%

35
19%

Don't know

236
24%

21
20%

53
29%

11
28%

31
9%

15
24%

11
24%

16
35%

79
46%

17
17%

60
25%

27
24%

22
10%

2
14%

6
20%

74
33%

29
40%

17
18%

62
32%

10
22%

27
8%

15
27%

9
20%

14
33%

83
46%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 75

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 27
QM5. Under the Smith Commision plans, Scotland will have extensive control over income tax, but London will remain in charge of corporation tax.
Do you think Scotland should be able to set its own corporation tax rate?
Base : All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

Total

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

Yes

532
53%

15
16%

59
32%

15
33%

291
89%

22
38%

52
71%

18
44%

60
33%

15
16%

86
41%

18
33%

255
86%

3
20%

103
44%

52
51%

347
82%

140
29%

29
43%

17
57%

64
77%

53
35%

119
51%

266
56%

47
49%

100
49%

166
51%

No

235
23%

61
66%

67
36%

24
53%

7
2%

21
35%

12
16%

9
23%

36
20%

62
66%

61
29%

26
46%

14
5%

5
42%

53
23%

13
13%

24
6%

200
41%

11
16%

1
3%

8
9%

54
35%

63
27%

94
20%

31
32%

47
23%

94
29%

Don't know

236
24%

16
18%

60
32%

6
13%

30
9%

16
27%

9
13%

14
33%

85
47%

17
18%

60
29%

12
21%

26
9%

5
38%

79
33%

38
37%

51
12%

147
30%

27
40%

12
40%

11
13%

47
30%

51
22%

112
24%

18
19%

55
27%

69
21%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 76

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 28
QM6. Scotland is set to get more power over both the taxes that its citizens pay, and the money that is spent over its public services and benefits. Do you think:
Base : All respondents

Gender

Total

Age

Work status

Social grade

Male

Female

18 to
24

25 to
34

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

FT

PT

Not
working

Retired

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Central
Scotland

Glasgow

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

NE
Scotland

South

West

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

Overall taxes should be
raised to fund better
public services for
Scotland

259
26%

144
30%

115
22%

24
28%

47
22%

37
19%

47
29%

46
34%

58
28%

102
25%

19
16%

42
36%

68
30%

28
21%

120
26%

139
26%

37
25%

35
28%

18
21%

43
31%

31
24%

34
26%

29
23%

33
25%

The current balance
between taxes and
public spending is
about right

409
41%

211
45%

198
37%

33
39%

75
34%

71
37%

74
45%

51
37%

105
50%

182
45%

37
32%

35
30%

105
46%

50
37%

211
46%

198
36%

53
36%

54
43%

30
37%

56
41%

46
36%

53
40%

56
44%

61
47%

Public expenditure in
Scotland should be
reduced to allow for
lower taxes

126
13%

59
12%

68
13%

6
7%

32
15%

30
16%

18
11%

15
11%

25
12%

48
12%

17
15%

19
16%

29
13%

13
10%

51
11%

75
14%

18
13%

14
11%

21
25%

23
17%

14
11%

13
10%

9
7%

14
11%

Don't know

210
21%

61
13%

149
28%

22
25%

66
30%

53
28%

24
15%

25
18%

20
10%

76
19%

41
36%

22
19%

27
12%

44
32%

79
17%

131
24%

38
26%

21
17%

13
16%

15
11%

35
28%

31
24%

34
27%

21
17%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 77

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 28
QM6. Scotland is set to get more power over both the taxes that its citizens pay, and the money that is spent over its public services and benefits. Do you think:
Base : All respondents

VI Westmister

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

Total

DK/Ref

Overall taxes should be
raised to fund better
public services for
Scotland

259
26%

10
10%

46
25%

12
31%

145
41%

8
12%

16
36%

7
16%

14
8%

8
8%

66
27%

31
28%

89
41%

1
7%

7
25%

48
22%

10
13%

10
11%

42
21%

12
25%

147
42%

9
17%

16
38%

3
7%

20
11%

The current balance
between taxes and
public spending is
about right

409
41%

65
65%

85
46%

18
44%

121
34%

33
50%

12
27%

10
21%

65
38%

62
63%

102
42%

53
48%

79
36%

10
70%

13
44%

69
31%

21
29%

56
59%

104
53%

25
54%

115
33%

28
52%

13
30%

11
26%

57
32%

Public expenditure in
Scotland should be
reduced to allow for
lower taxes

126
13%

20
20%

14
8%

5
12%

31
9%

18
27%

6
13%

13
28%

20
12%

23
23%

18
8%

9
8%

25
11%

3
21%

6
20%

33
15%

10
14%

24
26%

12
6%

5
10%

31
9%

10
18%

3
7%

15
37%

26
15%

Don't know

210
21%

5
5%

39
21%

5
13%

55
16%

7
10%

11
24%

16
35%

71
42%

5
5%

55
23%

18
16%

25
12%

*
2%

3
11%

72
33%

31
43%

4
4%

38
19%

5
11%

55
16%

7
12%

11
26%

12
29%

77
43%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 78

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 28
QM6. Scotland is set to get more power over both the taxes that its citizens pay, and the money that is spent over its public services and benefits. Do you think:
Base : All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

Total

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

Overall taxes should be
raised to fund better
public services for
Scotland

259
26%

9
10%

44
24%

10
22%

124
38%

8
13%

40
55%

3
7%

21
11%

8
9%

53
26%

12
21%

118
40%

2
15%

47
20%

18
17%

153
36%

91
19%

11
17%

4
13%

22
27%

44
28%

73
31%

129
27%

20
21%

37
18%

93
28%

The current balance
between taxes and
public spending is
about right

409
41%

58
63%

86
46%

28
62%

117
36%

31
52%

21
29%

11
26%

58
32%

60
65%

90
44%

32
56%

107
36%

9
71%

80
34%

30
29%

141
33%

233
48%

23
34%

12
42%

39
47%

59
38%

87
37%

192
41%

47
49%

83
41%

134
41%

Public expenditure in
Scotland should be
reduced to allow for
lower taxes

126
13%

20
22%

13
7%

5
11%

34
10%

14
23%

2
3%

15
37%

23
13%

22
23%

18
8%

5
9%

33
11%

*
4%

31
13%

17
16%

46
11%

66
14%

12
18%

2
9%

6
7%

12
8%

27
12%

51
11%

14
14%

34
17%

41
12%

Don't know

210
21%

4
4%

43
23%

2
4%

54
16%

7
11%

10
14%

12
29%

79
44%

3
3%

46
22%

7
13%

38
13%

1
10%

76
32%

39
37%

82
19%

97
20%

21
31%

11
36%

16
19%

39
25%

46
20%

101
21%

15
16%

48
24%

61
19%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 79

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 29
QM7. Trident, the United KingdomÂ’s nuclear weapons system, is based in Scottish waters. Would you rather it was:
Base : All respondents

Gender

Total

Age

Work status

Social grade

Male

Female

18 to
24

25 to
34

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

FT

PT

Not
working

Retired

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Central
Scotland

Glasgow

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

NE
Scotland

South

West

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

Scrapped

432
43%

218
46%

214
40%

43
50%

85
39%

83
43%

77
47%

68
50%

77
37%

162
40%

55
49%

66
55%

89
39%

61
45%

191
41%

242
45%

62
42%

59
48%

35
43%

58
42%

64
51%

52
40%

43
34%

59
46%

Maintained

370
37%

201
42%

169
32%

28
33%

70
32%

60
31%

61
37%

48
35%

103
50%

160
39%

25
22%

36
30%

109
48%

39
29%

180
39%

190
35%

52
36%

41
33%

28
35%

65
48%

37
29%

47
36%

58
45%

41
32%

Don't know

202
20%

55
12%

146
28%

14
17%

66
30%

49
25%

25
15%

21
15%

28
13%

86
21%

33
29%

17
14%

31
14%

35
26%

90
20%

112
21%

32
22%

24
19%

18
22%

14
10%

25
20%

32
25%

27
21%

29
22%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 80

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 29
QM7. Trident, the United KingdomÂ’s nuclear weapons system, is based in Scottish waters. Would you rather it was:
Base : All respondents

VI Westmister

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

Total

DK/Ref

Scrapped

432
43%

8
8%

40
22%

14
35%

271
77%

15
24%

30
64%

17
38%

36
21%

8
8%

90
37%

48
43%

156
72%

2
14%

15
53%

94
42%

19
27%

9
10%

45
23%

17
37%

270
77%

11
20%

27
64%

19
45%

34
19%

Maintained

370
37%

77
77%

106
58%

19
47%

44
12%

37
57%

10
23%

15
33%

62
36%

81
82%

100
42%

38
34%

40
18%

13
86%

10
34%

68
30%

21
29%

72
76%

113
57%

22
48%

42
12%

33
61%

11
25%

11
26%

66
37%

Don't know

202
20%

15
15%

38
20%

7
18%

38
11%

12
19%

6
13%

13
29%

72
42%

9
9%

50
21%

25
23%

22
10%

-

4
13%

61
27%

31
44%

13
14%

39
20%

7
15%

36
10%

10
19%

5
11%

12
29%

79
44%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 81

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 29
QM7. Trident, the United KingdomÂ’s nuclear weapons system, is based in Scottish waters. Would you rather it was:
Base : All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

Total

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

Scrapped

432
43%

10
11%

41
22%

10
22%

248
76%

13
23%

54
74%

19
45%

37
20%

8
8%

62
30%

25
45%

217
74%

5
40%

81
35%

33
32%

303
72%

92
19%

29
43%

9
30%

60
72%

29
19%

90
39%

218
46%

32
33%

93
46%

122
37%

Maintained

370
37%

69
76%

106
57%

32
72%

41
12%

37
63%

16
22%

11
26%

58
32%

76
81%

98
47%

26
45%

50
17%

6
50%

90
38%

23
22%

58
14%

288
59%

20
31%

4
15%

12
14%

87
57%

88
38%

170
36%

48
50%

65
32%

135
41%

Don't know

202
20%

12
13%

38
21%

3
6%

39
12%

8
14%

3
4%

12
29%

86
48%

10
11%

46
22%

6
10%

28
9%

1
10%

63
27%

47
46%

61
15%

107
22%

17
26%

16
55%

11
14%

37
24%

54
23%

85
18%

17
17%

45
22%

71
22%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 82

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 30
Work status
Base : All respondents

Gender

Total

Age

Work status

Social grade

Male

Female

18 to
24

25 to
34

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

FT

PT

Not
working

Retired

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Central
Scotland

Glasgow

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

NE
Scotland

South

West

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

Working full time working 30 hours per
week or more

408
41%

229
48%

179
34%

33
39%

114
52%

124
65%

81
50%

48
35%

8
4%

408
100%

-

-

-

-

263
57%

145
27%

57
39%

65
53%

29
35%

56
41%

47
37%

54
41%

42
33%

58
45%

Working part time working between 8 and
29 hours per week

113
11%

28
6%

85
16%

6
7%

33
15%

24
13%

22
13%

17
13%

12
6%

-

113
100%

-

-

-

39
8%

75
14%

20
14%

10
8%

9
11%

16
12%

13
10%

17
13%

13
11%

14
11%

Not working but seeking
work or temporarily
unemployed or sick

61
6%

30
6%

31
6%

10
12%

14
7%

12
6%

19
11%

6
4%

-

-

-

61
52%

-

-

9
2%

52
10%

15
10%

10
8%

1
1%

13
10%

4
3%

5
4%

7
6%

6
5%

Not working and not
seeking work

57
6%

19
4%

38
7%

-

14
6%

13
7%

14
9%

16
11%

-

-

-

57
48%

-

-

2
*

55
10%

10
7%

4
3%

7
9%

7
5%

11
9%

8
6%

7
6%

3
3%

Retired on a state
pension only

95
10%

53
11%

42
8%

-

-

-

-

5
4%

90
43%

-

-

-

95
42%

-

4
1%

91
17%

6
4%

5
4%

14
17%

13
9%

14
11%

3
2%

26
20%

14
11%

134
13%

83
18%

50
10%

-

-

-

2
1%

35
26%

97
47%

-

-

-

134
58%

-

99
22%

35
6%

13
9%

11
9%

6
7%

19
14%

24
19%

20
15%

22
18%

18
14%

Student

49
5%

24
5%

25
5%

35
42%

12
5%

*
*

1
*

1
*

-

-

-

-

-

49
36%

24
5%

24
4%

5
3%

9
7%

8
9%

10
7%

7
5%

8
6%

-

3
2%

House person,
housewife,
househusband, etc.

86
9%

8
2%

78
15%

-

34
15%

17
9%

25
15%

9
7%

1
1%

-

-

-

-

86
64%

20
4%

66
12%

19
13%

9
7%

7
9%

3
2%

7
6%

17
13%

10
8%

13
10%

Retired with a private
pension

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 83

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 30
Work status
Base : All respondents

VI Westmister

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

Total

DK/Ref

Working full time working 30 hours per
week or more

408
41%

46
45%

79
43%

13
33%

142
40%

24
38%

21
47%

18
39%

63
37%

38
39%

110
46%

47
42%

83
38%

4
29%

19
66%

86
39%

22
30%

40
42%

84
43%

18
38%

134
38%

25
47%

21
50%

16
38%

70
39%

Working part time working between 8 and
29 hours per week

113
11%

7
7%

20
11%

2
5%

39
11%

10
15%

6
13%

7
15%

22
13%

8
8%

25
10%

8
7%

24
11%

3
21%

1
3%

34
15%

11
15%

7
8%

19
10%

2
4%

44
13%

9
17%

6
13%

7
16%

20
11%

Not working but seeking
work or temporarily
unemployed or sick

61
6%

1
1%

4
2%

6
15%

25
7%

8
13%

3
7%

3
7%

10
6%

1
1%

11
5%

11
10%

7
3%

3
21%

-

20
9%

8
11%

3
3%

7
3%

6
14%

23
7%

4
8%

2
5%

4
10%

11
6%

Not working and not
seeking work

57
6%

2
2%

9
5%

5
12%

18
5%

3
4%

3
6%

4
8%

15
9%

2
2%

11
5%

11
10%

8
4%

-

5
18%

12
5%

7
10%

2
2%

11
5%

8
16%

17
5%

1
1%

4
10%

1
3%

14
8%

Retired on a state
pension only

95
10%

8
8%

27
15%

1
2%

37
10%

6
10%

*
1%

3
6%

14
8%

12
12%

33
14%

4
3%

27
12%

-

1
5%

10
4%

9
13%

8
9%

27
14%

1
2%

35
10%

5
9%

*
1%

3
7%

16
9%

134
13%

30
30%

23
13%

11
29%

42
12%

10
16%

3
8%

2
4%

12
7%

33
33%

24
10%

15
14%

42
19%

3
22%

*
1%

7
3%

10
14%

27
28%

27
14%

9
20%

44
13%

7
13%

4
10%

1
3%

14
8%

Student

49
5%

1
1%

10
6%

1
2%

13
4%

-

9
20%

4
10%

9
6%

-

9
4%

5
5%

4
2%

-

*
1%

30
14%

-

1
1%

10
5%

1
2%

17
5%

-

4
9%

3
7%

12
7%

House person,
housewife,
househusband, etc.

86
9%

7
7%

12
6%

1
2%

35
10%

3
4%

-

5
11%

25
15%

18
8%

10
9%

23
11%

1
7%

2
6%

24
11%

4
6%

7
7%

12
6%

2
4%

34
10%

2
4%

1
1%

6
15%

22
12%

Retired with a private
pension

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

4
4%

Page 84

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 30
Work status
Base : All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

Total

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

Working full time working 30 hours per
week or more

408
41%

35
38%

78
42%

17
39%

137
42%

23
39%

29
39%

16
38%

74
41%

38
41%

86
41%

19
33%

114
39%

5
38%

97
41%

48
47%

175
41%

196
40%

29
44%

8
27%

44
53%

63
41%

108
46%

186
39%

38
39%

76
38%

145
44%

Working part time working between 8 and
29 hours per week

113
11%

8
8%

17
9%

5
10%

39
12%

10
17%

8
11%

7
16%

20
11%

7
8%

19
9%

3
5%

36
12%

*
3%

34
14%

15
14%

48
11%

56
11%

5
7%

5
16%

5
7%

19
13%

30
13%

48
10%

11
11%

25
12%

41
12%

Not working but seeking
work or temporarily
unemployed or sick

61
6%

2
2%

6
3%

2
6%

17
5%

7
12%

12
16%

4
10%

11
6%

1
1%

9
4%

3
6%

23
8%

*
2%

20
8%

6
6%

32
8%

18
4%

7
10%

4
12%

8
9%

4
2%

11
5%

38
8%

4
4%

8
4%

15
5%

Not working and not
seeking work

57
6%

2
2%

11
6%

2
4%

16
5%

1
1%

5
7%

1
3%

20
11%

2
2%

11
5%

13
23%

11
4%

*
1%

15
6%

5
5%

27
6%

21
4%

6
9%

3
12%

4
5%

7
5%

12
5%

23
5%

5
5%

17
9%

17
5%

Retired on a state
pension only

95
10%

8
9%

27
14%

1
2%

37
11%

5
8%

4
5%

3
7%

11
6%

11
12%

35
17%

1
1%

34
12%

1
10%

6
3%

7
6%

39
9%

51
10%

2
3%

4
13%

8
10%

24
15%

17
7%

60
13%

7
8%

11
5%

25
7%

134
13%

29
32%

26
14%

11
24%

37
11%

10
16%

7
9%

1
3%

14
8%

30
32%

25
12%

13
23%

45
15%

2
15%

6
3%

13
12%

41
10%

88
18%

1
2%

4
12%

4
5%

20
13%

28
12%

57
12%

16
16%

33
16%

43
13%

Student

49
5%

1
1%

7
4%

4
8%

11
3%

-

9
12%

3
7%

13
7%

-

8
4%

2
4%

6
2%

*
2%

32
14%

-

20
5%

21
4%

8
11%

-

1
2%

7
5%

14
6%

22
5%

6
6%

7
3%

20
6%

House person,
housewife,
househusband, etc.

86
9%

7
7%

15
8%

3
8%

33
10%

4
6%

1
1%

6
15%

18
10%

4
4%

15
7%

2
4%

26
9%

4
29%

25
10%

11
10%

40
9%

36
7%

8
13%

2
7%

8
9%

10
7%

13
6%

38
8%

10
10%

26
13%

23
7%

Retired with a private
pension

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 85

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 31
Gender
Base : All respondents

Gender

Total

Age

Work status

Social grade

Male

Female

18 to
24

25 to
34

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

FT

PT

Not
working

Retired

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Central
Scotland

Glasgow

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

NE
Scotland

South

West

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

Male

474
47%

474
100%

-

37
43%

67
30%

77
40%

86
53%

78
57%

129
62%

229
56%

28
25%

49
41%

136
60%

32
24%

236
51%

239
44%

63
43%

64
51%

40
49%

68
49%

55
44%

56
43%

64
50%

64
50%

Female

530
53%

-

530
100%

48
57%

153
70%

114
60%

77
47%

58
43%

79
38%

179
44%

85
75%

70
59%

93
40%

103
76%

225
49%

304
56%

83
57%

60
49%

42
51%

69
51%

71
56%

76
57%

64
50%

65
50%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 86

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 31
Gender
Base : All respondents

VI Westmister

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

Total

DK/Ref

Male

474
47%

56
56%

108
59%

20
50%

177
50%

40
62%

19
41%

20
44%

35
20%

61
62%

130
54%

56
50%

116
53%

8
55%

14
48%

76
34%

14
20%

54
57%

114
58%

23
50%

175
50%

32
60%

17
39%

18
43%

40
22%

Female

530
53%

45
44%

76
41%

20
50%

176
50%

25
38%

27
59%

25
56%

136
80%

37
38%

111
46%

55
50%

103
47%

7
45%

15
52%

146
66%

57
80%

41
43%

83
42%

23
50%

172
50%

22
40%

26
61%

23
57%

139
78%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 87

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 31
Gender
Base : All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

Total

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

Male

474
47%

51
56%

109
59%

23
52%

164
50%

36
62%

31
42%

18
43%

42
23%

56
59%

117
56%

30
54%

163
55%

8
60%

74
31%

27
26%

202
48%

243
50%

22
34%

7
25%

42
51%

85
55%

92
40%

243
51%

50
52%

89
44%

142
43%

Female

530
53%

40
44%

77
41%

21
48%

164
50%

23
38%

43
58%

23
57%

139
77%

38
41%

90
44%

26
46%

132
45%

5
40%

161
69%

77
74%

220
52%

244
50%

44
66%

22
75%

41
49%

69
45%

141
60%

229
49%

46
48%

114
56%

186
57%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 88

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 32
Region
Base : All respondents

Gender

Total

Age

Work status

Social grade

Male

Female

18 to
24

25 to
34

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

FT

PT

Not
working

Retired

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Central
Scotland

Glasgow

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

NE
Scotland

South

West

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

Central Scotland

146
15%

63
13%

83
16%

7
9%

43
20%

32
17%

28
17%

18
13%

18
9%

57
14%

20
18%

25
21%

20
9%

24
18%

61
13%

85
16%

146
100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Glasgow

124
12%

64
13%

60
11%

16
19%

34
15%

31
16%

17
11%

11
8%

15
7%

65
16%

10
9%

14
12%

17
7%

18
13%

64
14%

60
11%

-

124
100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

82
8%

40
8%

42
8%

10
12%

11
5%

16
8%

14
8%

10
7%

21
10%

29
7%

9
8%

9
7%

20
9%

15
11%

29
6%

53
10%

-

-

82
100%

-

-

-

-

-

Lothians

137
14%

68
14%

69
13%

19
22%

31
14%

20
10%

22
13%

19
14%

26
12%

56
14%

16
14%

20
17%

32
14%

12
9%

71
15%

66
12%

-

-

-

137
100%

-

-

-

-

Mid Scotland & Fife

126
13%

55
12%

71
13%

12
14%

27
12%

27
14%

11
7%

17
12%

32
15%

47
11%

13
12%

15
12%

37
16%

14
11%

62
13%

65
12%

-

-

-

-

126
100%

-

-

-

North East Scotland

132
13%

56
12%

76
14%

16
19%

26
12%

25
13%

27
16%

18
14%

20
10%

54
13%

17
15%

12
10%

23
10%

26
19%

74
16%

58
11%

-

-

-

-

-

132
100%

-

-

South of Scotland

128
13%

64
14%

64
12%

4
5%

20
9%

12
6%

19
11%

29
21%

44
21%

42
10%

13
12%

14
12%

48
21%

10
8%

43
9%

85
16%

-

-

-

-

-

-

128
100%

-

West of Scotland

129
13%

64
14%

65
12%

-

28
13%

29
15%

26
16%

14
10%

32
16%

58
14%

14
13%

9
8%

32
14%

15
11%

58
13%

71
13%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

129
100%

Highlands & Islands

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 89

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 32
Region
Base : All respondents

VI Westmister

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

Total

DK/Ref

Central Scotland

146
15%

11
10%

32
17%

2
5%

55
16%

9
14%

4
8%

11
25%

23
13%

11
12%

46
19%

7
6%

35
16%

1
8%

3
12%

33
15%

10
14%

10
11%

36
18%

3
7%

54
15%

5
10%

2
5%

9
22%

26
15%

Glasgow

124
12%

14
13%

26
14%

3
8%

41
12%

9
13%

7
15%

6
12%

19
11%

13
13%

41
17%

6
6%

25
11%

*
2%

3
10%

29
13%

8
11%

11
11%

32
16%

3
7%

42
12%

5
10%

8
19%

8
20%

16
9%

82
8%

8
8%

5
3%

5
12%

25
7%

8
12%

3
7%

7
14%

21
12%

7
7%

6
2%

15
14%

10
5%

2
11%

1
4%

29
13%

12
17%

7
7%

5
3%

6
13%

25
7%

7
13%

4
9%

7
16%

22
12%

Lothians

137
14%

11
11%

25
14%

9
22%

36
10%

5
8%

16
35%

6
13%

28
16%

13
14%

28
12%

17
15%

21
10%

-

10
34%

39
18%

9
13%

11
11%

30
15%

9
20%

38
11%

3
6%

15
35%

5
12%

25
14%

Mid Scotland & Fife

126
13%

9
9%

21
12%

7
18%

48
14%

9
15%

6
14%

2
4%

23
14%

7
7%

31
13%

23
21%

37
17%

4
27%

*
1%

17
7%

7
10%

9
9%

18
9%

12
25%

45
13%

11
20%

5
12%

2
5%

25
14%

North East Scotland

132
13%

16
16%

20
11%

3
8%

49
14%

9
14%

2
3%

4
9%

28
16%

15
15%

21
9%

12
11%

43
20%

2
12%

5
18%

25
11%

10
14%

15
16%

22
11%

3
5%

50
14%

9
17%

4
9%

-

30
17%

South of Scotland

128
13%

13
13%

28
15%

8
20%

44
13%

8
13%

4
9%

8
17%

15
9%

16
16%

32
13%

22
20%

20
9%

4
29%

3
9%

23
10%

9
13%

15
16%

25
12%

8
17%

42
12%

7
12%

4
9%

8
19%

21
12%

West of Scotland

129
13%

19
19%

26
14%

3
8%

54
15%

7
12%

4
9%

3
6%

13
8%

17
17%

37
15%

8
7%

28
13%

2
11%

4
12%

28
13%

6
8%

18
18%

30
15%

3
7%

53
15%

7
12%

1
3%

3
6%

15
9%

Highlands & Islands

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 90

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 32
Region
Base : All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

Total

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

Central Scotland

146
15%

11
12%

37
20%

2
4%

48
15%

8
13%

7
9%

9
22%

26
14%

8
8%

43
21%

3
5%

44
15%

1
8%

31
13%

16
16%

59
14%

74
15%

10
15%

4
12%

14
17%

32
21%

49
21%

83
17%

8
9%

6
3%

58
18%

Glasgow

124
12%

12
13%

27
14%

4
9%

40
12%

6
11%

11
15%

8
20%

17
9%

10
11%

32
15%

4
8%

37
12%

2
12%

30
13%

10
10%

55
13%

54
11%

11
17%

4
13%

14
17%

23
15%

-

122
26%

*
1%

1
1%

*
*

82
8%

8
9%

5
3%

6
13%

20
6%

7
12%

9
12%

7
16%

20
11%

6
7%

7
3%

13
23%

10
3%

2
18%

28
12%

15
14%

37
9%

38
8%

6
10%

*
2%

3
4%

3
2%

-

-

42
43%

40
20%

42
13%

Lothians

137
14%

11
12%

21
12%

9
20%

36
11%

5
9%

24
33%

5
12%

25
14%

14
14%

23
11%

9
15%

32
11%

2
17%

46
19%

12
11%

55
13%

68
14%

11
16%

4
13%

9
11%

19
12%

48
21%

73
16%

13
14%

1
1%

62
19%

Mid Scotland & Fife

126
13%

7
8%

18
10%

6
13%

46
14%

10
18%

6
9%

2
5%

30
17%

7
8%

25
12%

12
21%

51
17%

1
9%

20
8%

9
9%

53
13%

58
12%

11
17%

4
15%

10
12%

21
14%

11
5%

73
15%

-

42
21%

11
3%

North East Scotland

132
13%

12
13%

18
10%

9
21%

47
14%

10
17%

5
7%

-

31
17%

11
12%

18
9%

9
17%

50
17%

1
6%

29
12%

13
13%

57
14%

64
13%

6
9%

5
17%

6
7%

15
10%

63
27%

1
*

16
16%

53
26%

79
24%

South of Scotland

128
13%

13
15%

30
16%

5
10%

34
10%

8
14%

9
12%

8
19%

22
12%

18
20%

32
15%

6
10%

29
10%

3
22%

26
11%

15
14%

46
11%

68
14%

8
12%

6
20%

8
9%

24
16%

-

72
15%

-

56
27%

-

West of Scotland

129
13%

18
19%

29
16%

4
8%

59
18%

4
7%

3
4%

3
6%

10
6%

18
20%

28
13%

1
2%

42
14%

1
6%

26
11%

13
13%

60
14%

63
13%

3
5%

3
9%

19
23%

17
11%

61
26%

48
10%

16
17%

4
2%

77
23%

Highlands & Islands

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 91

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 33
Age
Base : All respondents

Gender

Total

Age

Work status

Social grade

Male

Female

18 to
24

25 to
34

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

FT

PT

Not
working

Retired

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Central
Scotland

Glasgow

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

NE
Scotland

South

West

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

18 to 34

305
30%

104
22%

201
38%

85
100%

221
100%

-

-

-

-

148
36%

39
34%

38
32%

-

81
60%

142
31%

164
30%

51
35%

50
40%

21
26%

50
37%

39
31%

42
32%

25
19%

28
22%

35 to 44

191
19%

77
16%

114
22%

-

-

191
100%

-

-

-

124
30%

24
21%

26
22%

-

17
13%

98
21%

93
17%

32
22%

31
25%

16
20%

20
15%

27
22%

25
19%

12
9%

29
22%

45 to 54

163
16%

86
18%

77
15%

-

-

-

163
100%

-

-

81
20%

22
19%

33
28%

2
1%

26
19%

69
15%

94
17%

28
19%

17
14%

14
17%

22
16%

11
9%

27
20%

19
14%

26
20%

55 to 64

136
14%

78
16%

58
11%

-

-

-

-

136
100%

-

48
12%

17
15%

22
18%

40
18%

10
7%

64
14%

72
13%

18
12%

11
9%

10
12%

19
14%

17
13%

18
14%

29
22%

14
11%

65 plus

208
21%

129
27%

79
15%

-

-

-

-

-

208
100%

8
2%

12
10%

-

187
82%

1
1%

88
19%

121
22%

18
12%

15
12%

21
25%

26
19%

32
25%

20
15%

44
35%

32
25%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 92

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 33
Age
Base : All respondents

VI Westmister

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

Total

DK/Ref

18 to 34

305
30%

22
22%

45
25%

7
18%

113
32%

14
22%

24
52%

15
32%

65
38%

12
12%

52
22%

38
35%

44
20%

-

18
62%

118
53%

23
33%

18
19%

48
24%

14
30%

112
32%

13
24%

18
42%

10
25%

72
40%

35 to 44

191
19%

14
14%

29
16%

5
12%

56
16%

18
29%

8
17%

16
34%

46
27%

10
10%

53
22%

20
18%

36
17%

6
44%

2
7%

45
20%

19
26%

13
14%

37
19%

6
13%

53
15%

16
29%

8
19%

18
45%

40
23%

45 to 54

163
16%

15
15%

34
19%

8
21%

57
16%

9
14%

7
15%

10
22%

21
13%

19
19%

46
19%

19
18%

37
17%

1
9%

6
21%

30
13%

4
6%

18
19%

33
17%

9
19%

56
16%

7
13%

6
15%

8
20%

25
14%

55 to 64

136
14%

15
15%

28
15%

10
26%

52
15%

7
11%

5
12%

2
4%

17
10%

16
16%

35
15%

18
17%

36
17%

2
13%

2
5%

16
7%

11
16%

16
17%

28
14%

9
19%

52
15%

5
10%

7
17%

1
3%

17
10%

65 plus

208
21%

35
35%

47
26%

9
24%

75
21%

16
25%

2
4%

3
7%

21
12%

42
43%

54
23%

14
13%

64
29%

5
34%

1
4%

14
6%

14
19%

30
31%

52
26%

9
19%

75
22%

13
25%

3
7%

3
8%

24
13%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 93

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 33
Age
Base : All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

Total

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

18 to 34

305
30%

17
19%

42
23%

11
25%

103
32%

16
27%

35
48%

10
25%

71
39%

16
17%

44
21%

13
24%

75
25%

1
11%

120
51%

36
35%

147
35%

119
24%

28
42%

12
41%

20
24%

30
19%

73
31%

148
31%

25
26%

60
29%

98
30%

35 to 44

191
19%

11
13%

34
18%

6
14%

54
16%

13
22%

13
18%

18
45%

41
23%

8
9%

40
19%

10
18%

51
17%

4
31%

53
23%

25
24%

75
18%

87
18%

25
38%

4
13%

24
30%

29
19%

58
25%

87
18%

19
20%

26
13%

77
24%

45 to 54

163
16%

14
16%

30
16%

13
28%

53
16%

8
14%

10
14%

8
20%

26
14%

16
17%

34
16%

12
21%

50
17%

3
24%

32
14%

16
16%

71
17%

79
16%

9
14%

4
12%

15
18%

31
20%

36
16%

70
15%

18
18%

39
19%

54
16%

55 to 64

136
14%

15
17%

28
15%

6
12%

47
14%

6
11%

8
12%

1
3%

24
13%

18
19%

32
15%

11
20%

44
15%

3
21%

15
6%

14
13%

54
13%

75
15%

1
2%

6
21%

11
14%

23
15%

24
10%

65
14%

11
12%

36
18%

35
11%

65 plus

208
21%

33
36%

52
28%

9
21%

71
22%

15
25%

7
9%

3
8%

19
10%

36
38%

58
28%

10
18%

75
25%

2
13%

14
6%

13
13%

75
18%

127
26%

2
4%

4
13%

12
14%

42
27%

41
18%

102
22%

23
24%

42
21%

64
20%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 94

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 34
Social grade
Base : All respondents

Gender

Total

Age

Work status

Social grade

Male

Female

18 to
24

25 to
34

35 to
44

45 to
54

55 to
64

65
plus

FT

PT

Not
working

Retired

Other

ABC1

C2DE

Central
Scotland

Glasgow

Highlands
& Islands

Region
Mid
ScotLoth- land &
ians
Fife

NE
Scotland

South

West

Unweighted base

1004

520

484

50

135

148

210

210

251

411

102

87

294

110

602

402

182

200

78

151

80

147

69

97

Weighted base

1004

474

530

85

221

191

163

136

208

408

113

119

229

135

461

543

146

124

82

137

126

132

128

129

AB

190
19%

103
22%

86
16%

8
10%

29
13%

46
24%

27
17%

33
24%

46
22%

100
25%

14
12%

2
2%

57
25%

16
12%

190
41%

-

20
14%

24
19%

9
11%

32
24%

25
20%

29
22%

24
18%

26
20%

C1

271
27%

132
28%

139
26%

28
33%

76
35%

52
27%

42
26%

31
23%

42
20%

163
40%

25
22%

9
8%

46
20%

28
21%

271
59%

-

41
28%

40
32%

19
24%

39
28%

37
29%

45
34%

19
15%

31
24%

C2

153
15%

76
16%

78
15%

21
24%

36
17%

35
18%

29
18%

17
13%

15
7%

72
18%

27
24%

7
6%

15
6%

32
24%

-

153
28%

18
12%

19
16%

18
22%

18
13%

16
12%

21
16%

22
17%

21
16%

DE

390
39%

163
34%

227
43%

28
33%

79
36%

58
30%

65
40%

55
40%

106
51%

72
18%

48
42%

100
85%

111
48%

59
43%

-

390
72%

67
46%

41
33%

35
43%

47
35%

49
39%

37
28%

64
50%

50
39%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 95

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 34
Social grade
Base : All respondents

VI Westmister

Recall Westminter

VI Holyrood - Single Person

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

Unweighted base

1004

127

168

49

382

61

48

35

134

137

230

114

268

12

35

155

53

119

184

52

384

49

49

31

136

Weighted base

1004

101

184

40

353

65

46

46

170

98

241

111

218

15

28

223

71

95

198

47

348

54

43

41

179

Total

DK/Ref

AB

190
19%

37
37%

34
19%

13
32%

57
16%

10
15%

9
19%

7
15%

22
13%

35
36%

45
19%

24
22%

47
22%

1
4%

5
18%

21
10%

11
15%

36
38%

37
19%

13
27%

58
17%

10
20%

7
17%

4
9%

24
13%

C1

271
27%

40
39%

40
22%

10
25%

83
24%

21
32%

16
36%

12
26%

50
29%

33
33%

62
26%

27
25%

54
25%

5
37%

14
50%

57
26%

18
26%

36
38%

45
23%

10
21%

86
25%

18
33%

15
36%

11
26%

50
28%

C2

153
15%

10
10%

36
20%

2
4%

58
16%

6
9%

5
10%

3
6%

34
20%

12
12%

37
15%

24
22%

31
14%

-

2
7%

35
16%

13
18%

10
10%

37
19%

5
11%

55
16%

5
9%

2
5%

4
10%

35
20%

DE

390
39%

14
14%

73
40%

16
39%

155
44%

28
44%

16
35%

24
52%

64
38%

18
18%

96
40%

35
32%

87
40%

9
60%

7
25%

109
49%

29
41%

12
13%

79
40%

19
41%

149
43%

21
38%

18
41%

23
56%

69
39%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 96

SCOTLAND POLL DECEMBER 2014
Fieldwork : 16th-18th December 2014

Absolutes/col percents

Table 34
Social grade
Base : All respondents

VI Holyrood - List Of Candidates

Recall Holyrood

Lab 2010
Voters IndyRef

Recall IndyRef

Constituency target
Lab >
LD >
SNP
SNP
over
under
25
25
Other
points points seats

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

UKIP

Other

Will
not
vote

DK/Ref

Con

Lab

LD

SNP

Other

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

DNV

DK/Ref

Yes

No

Lab >
SNP
under
25
points

Unweighted base

1004

120

172

55

353

54

79

31

140

125

195

78

343

29

164

70

458

475

46

25

85

141

219

501

104

180

323

Weighted base

1004

91

186

45

328

59

73

41

181

94

207

56

296

13

235

103

422

487

66

29

83

154

232

472

96

203

329

Total

NET:
SNP
target
<25
points

AB

190
19%

34
37%

32
17%

16
36%

52
16%

11
19%

13
18%

4
9%

28
15%

34
37%

37
18%

19
34%

58
20%

2
16%

26
11%

13
13%

62
15%

116
24%

7
10%

5
16%

11
13%

34
22%

42
18%

84
18%

23
24%

41
20%

64
20%

C1

271
27%

33
36%

42
23%

14
31%

84
25%

17
30%

25
34%

11
26%

45
25%

33
35%

52
25%

13
22%

69
23%

4
31%

69
29%

32
31%

104
25%

146
30%

17
25%

5
16%

22
26%

40
26%

69
30%

122
26%

31
32%

49
24%

100
30%

C2

153
15%

11
12%

36
19%

6
13%

49
15%

6
10%

6
8%

4
10%

36
20%

11
12%

33
16%

7
13%

43
15%

*
1%

37
16%

22
21%

57
13%

82
17%

9
13%

6
20%

10
11%

27
17%

43
18%

63
13%

13
14%

34
17%

56
17%

DE

390
39%

14
15%

76
41%

9
20%

143
44%

24
41%

30
41%

23
56%

72
40%

15
16%

85
41%

17
30%

125
42%

7
52%

103
44%

37
36%

199
47%

143
29%

34
52%

14
48%

41
49%

53
34%

79
34%

203
43%

29
30%

79
39%

108
33%

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 1

Page

Table

Title

Base Description

Base

1

1

Q1. Some people have said they would not vote in a new General Election for the Westminster Parliament while others have said they would vote. I would like to know
how certain it is that you would actually vote in a general election if it were held tomorrow. On a ten point scale if 10 would mean you would be absolutely certain
to vote and 1 would mean you would be certain not to vote how likely is it that you would cast your vote?

Base : All respondents

1004

2

1

Q1. Some people have said they would not vote in a new General Election for the Westminster Parliament while others have said they would vote. I would like to know
how certain it is that you would actually vote in a general election if it were held tomorrow. On a ten point scale if 10 would mean you would be absolutely certain
to vote and 1 would mean you would be certain not to vote how likely is it that you would cast your vote?

Base : All respondents

1004

3

1

Q1. Some people have said they would not vote in a new General Election for the Westminster Parliament while others have said they would vote. I would like to know
how certain it is that you would actually vote in a general election if it were held tomorrow. On a ten point scale if 10 would mean you would be absolutely certain
to vote and 1 would mean you would be certain not to vote how likely is it that you would cast your vote?

Base : All respondents

1004

4

2

Q2. The Scottish Conservatives, Scottish Labour, the Scottish Liberal Democrats, SNP, UKIP and other parties would fight a new election for the Westminster parliament
in your area. If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?

Base: All respondents

1004

5

2

Q2. The Scottish Conservatives, Scottish Labour, the Scottish Liberal Democrats, SNP, UKIP and other parties would fight a new election for the Westminster parliament
in your area. If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?

Base: All respondents

1004

6

2

Q2. The Scottish Conservatives, Scottish Labour, the Scottish Liberal Democrats, SNP, UKIP and other parties would fight a new election for the Westminster parliament
in your area. If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?

Base: All respondents

1004

7

3

Data derived from:Q1. Some people have said they would not vote in a new General Election for the Westminster Parliament while others have said they would vote. I would like to know
how certain it is that you would actually vote in a general election if it were held tomorrow?
Q2. The Scottish Conservatives, Scottish Labour, the Scottish Liberal Democrats, SNP, UKIP and other parties would fight a new election for the Westminster parliament
in your area. If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?
Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (5%), don't know who they would vote for (15%) or refuse to answer (2%)
THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS

Page 2

Page

Table

Title

8

3

Data derived from:Q1. Some people have said they would not vote in a new General Election for the Westminster Parliament while others have said they would vote. I would like to know
how certain it is that you would actually vote in a general election if it were held tomorrow?
Q2. The Scottish Conservatives, Scottish Labour, the Scottish Liberal Democrats, SNP, UKIP and other parties would fight a new election for the Westminster parliament
in your area. If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?
Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (5%), don't know who they would vote for (15%) or refuse to answer (2%)
THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS

Base Description

Base

9

3

Data derived from:Q1. Some people have said they would not vote in a new General Election for the Westminster Parliament while others have said they would vote. I would like to know
how certain it is that you would actually vote in a general election if it were held tomorrow?
Q2. The Scottish Conservatives, Scottish Labour, the Scottish Liberal Democrats, SNP, UKIP and other parties would fight a new election for the Westminster parliament
in your area. If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?
Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (5%), don't know who they would vote for (15%) or refuse to answer (2%)
THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS

10

4

Published Vote Intention Figures - Westminster General Election
Percentages derived from the responses of 841 respondents

11

5

Q3/Q4. Could you tell me the party you actually voted for in the Westminter 2010 election? Was it Scottish Conservative, Scottish Labour, Scottish Liberal Democrats, SNP, UKIP or another party?

Base : All respondents

1004

12
13

5

Q3/Q4. Could you tell me the party you actually voted for in the Westminter 2010 election? Was it Scottish Conservative, Scottish Labour, Scottish Liberal Democrats, SNP, UKIP or another party?

Base : All respondents

1004

5

Q3/Q4. Could you tell me the party you actually voted for in the Westminter 2010 election? Was it Scottish Conservative, Scottish Labour, Scottish Liberal Democrats, SNP, UKIP or another party?

Base : All respondents

1004

14

6

Q5. Some people have said they would not vote in a new election to the Holyrood Scottish Parliament, while others have said they would vote. I would like to
know how certain it is that you would vote in the election to the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood if it were held tomorrow.
On a ten point scale if 10 would mean you would be absolutely certain to vote and 1 would mean you are certain not to vote, how likely is it that you would cast your vote?

Base : All respondents

1004

Page 3

Page

Table

Title

Base Description

Base

15

6

Q5. Some people have said they would not vote in a new election to the Holyrood Scottish Parliament, while others have said they would vote. I would like to
know how certain it is that you would vote in the election to the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood if it were held tomorrow.
On a ten point scale if 10 would mean you would be absolutely certain to vote and 1 would mean you are certain not to vote, how likely is it that you would cast your vote?

Base : All respondents

1004

16

6

Q5. Some people have said they would not vote in a new election to the Holyrood Scottish Parliament, while others have said they would vote. I would like to
know how certain it is that you would vote in the election to the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood if it were held tomorrow.
On a ten point scale if 10 would mean you would be absolutely certain to vote and 1 would mean you are certain not to vote, how likely is it that you would cast your vote?

Base : All respondents

1004

17

7

Q6. In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. One of these is for a single person to represent your constituency in the parliament.
If the election for the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which party would you vote for in the constituency election? Would you vote Scottish Conservative,
Scottish Labour, Scottish Liberal Democrat, Scottish National Party (SNP) or for another party?

Base: All respondents

1004

18

7

Q6. In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. One of these is for a single person to represent your constituency in the parliament.
If the election for the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which party would you vote for in the constituency election? Would you vote Scottish Conservative,
Scottish Labour, Scottish Liberal Democrat, Scottish National Party (SNP) or for another party?

Base: All respondents

1004

19

7

Q6. In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. One of these is for a single person to represent your constituency in the parliament.
If the election for the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which party would you vote for in the constituency election? Would you vote Scottish Conservative,
Scottish Labour, Scottish Liberal Democrat, Scottish National Party (SNP) or for another party?

Base: All respondents

1004

20

8

Data derived from:Q5. Some people have said they would not vote in a new election to the Holyrood Scottish Parliament, while others have said they would vote. I would like to
know how certain it is that you would vote in the election to the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood if it were held tomorrow.
Q6. In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. One of these is for a single person to represent your constituency in the parliament.
If the election for the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which party would you vote for in the constituency election?
Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (4%), don't know who they would vote for (16%) or refuse to answer (2%)
THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS

Page 4

Page

Table

Title

21

8

Data derived from:Q5. Some people have said they would not vote in a new election to the Holyrood Scottish Parliament, while others have said they would vote. I would like to
know how certain it is that you would vote in the election to the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood if it were held tomorrow.
Q6. In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. One of these is for a single person to represent your constituency in the parliament.
If the election for the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which party would you vote for in the constituency election?
Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (4%), don't know who they would vote for (16%) or refuse to answer (2%)
THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS

Base Description

Base

22

8

Data derived from:Q5. Some people have said they would not vote in a new election to the Holyrood Scottish Parliament, while others have said they would vote. I would like to
know how certain it is that you would vote in the election to the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood if it were held tomorrow.
Q6. In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. One of these is for a single person to represent your constituency in the parliament.
If the election for the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which party would you vote for in the constituency election?
Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (4%), don't know who they would vote for (16%) or refuse to answer (2%)
THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS

23

9

Published Vote Intention Figures - Holyrood Constituency Vote
Percentages derived from the responses of 832 respondents

24

10

Q7. The other vote you have in a Scottish Parliament election is for a list of one or more candidates to represent your region of Scotland. You can use this to vote
for a different party to the one you gave your constituency vote - or for the same party. If the election to the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which
party's regional list would you you vote for - Scottish Conservative, Scottish Labour, Scottish Liberal Democrat, Scottish National Party (SNP), Scottish Green,
or for another party?

Base: All respondents

1004

25

10

Q7. The other vote you have in a Scottish Parliament election is for a list of one or more candidates to represent your region of Scotland. You can use this to vote
for a different party to the one you gave your constituency vote - or for the same party. If the election to the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which
party's regional list would you you vote for - Scottish Conservative, Scottish Labour, Scottish Liberal Democrat, Scottish National Party (SNP), Scottish Green,
or for another party?

Base: All respondents

1004

Page 5

Page

Table

Title

Base Description

Base

26

10

Q7. The other vote you have in a Scottish Parliament election is for a list of one or more candidates to represent your region of Scotland. You can use this to vote
for a different party to the one you gave your constituency vote - or for the same party. If the election to the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which
party's regional list would you you vote for - Scottish Conservative, Scottish Labour, Scottish Liberal Democrat, Scottish National Party (SNP), Scottish Green,
or for another party?

Base: All respondents

1004

27

11

Data derived from:Q5. Some people have said they would not vote in a new election to the Holyrood Scottish Parliament, while others have said they would vote. I would like to
know how certain it is that you would vote in the election to the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood if it were held tomorrow.
Q7. The other vote you have in a Scottish Parliament election is for a list of one or more candidates to represent your region of Scotland. You can use this to vote
for a different party to the one you gave your constituency vote - or for the same party. If the election to the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which
party's regional list would you you vote for?
Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (4%), don't know who they would vote for (16%) or refuse to answer (2%)
THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS

28

11

Data derived from:Q5. Some people have said they would not vote in a new election to the Holyrood Scottish Parliament, while others have said they would vote. I would like to
know how certain it is that you would vote in the election to the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood if it were held tomorrow.
Q7. The other vote you have in a Scottish Parliament election is for a list of one or more candidates to represent your region of Scotland. You can use this to vote
for a different party to the one you gave your constituency vote - or for the same party. If the election to the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which
party's regional list would you you vote for?
Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (4%), don't know who they would vote for (16%) or refuse to answer (2%)
THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS

Page 6

Page

Table

Title

29

11

Data derived from:Q5. Some people have said they would not vote in a new election to the Holyrood Scottish Parliament, while others have said they would vote. I would like to
know how certain it is that you would vote in the election to the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood if it were held tomorrow.
Q7. The other vote you have in a Scottish Parliament election is for a list of one or more candidates to represent your region of Scotland. You can use this to vote
for a different party to the one you gave your constituency vote - or for the same party. If the election to the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which
party's regional list would you you vote for?
Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (4%), don't know who they would vote for (16%) or refuse to answer (2%)
THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS

Base Description

Base

30

12

Published Vote Intention Figures - Holyrood Regional Vote
Percentages derived from the responses of 832 respondents

31

13

Q9. In the May 2011 Scottish Parliament election you had two votes. Your first vote was for a single person to represent your constituency in the Parliament?
Can you remember, did you use your first vote to vote...

Base : All respondents

1004

32

13

Q9. In the May 2011 Scottish Parliament election you had two votes. Your first vote was for a single person to represent your constituency in the Parliament?
Can you remember, did you use your first vote to vote...

Base : All respondents

1004

33

13

Q9. In the May 2011 Scottish Parliament election you had two votes. Your first vote was for a single person to represent your constituency in the Parliament?
Can you remember, did you use your first vote to vote...

Base : All respondents

1004

34

14

Q10. And thinking back to the referendum on independence for Scotland on 18th September this year, did you vote Yes for Independence for Scotland, or No to
independence to Scotland?

Base : All respondents

1004

35

14

Q10. And thinking back to the referendum on independence for Scotland on 18th September this year, did you vote Yes for Independence for Scotland, or No to
independence to Scotland?

Base : All respondents

1004

36

14

Q10. And thinking back to the referendum on independence for Scotland on 18th September this year, did you vote Yes for Independence for Scotland, or No to
independence to Scotland?

Base : All respondents

1004

37

15

QM1. If you had to choose between the two, would you rather describe yourself as...

Base : All respondents

1004

38

15

QM1. If you had to choose between the two, would you rather describe yourself as...

Base : All respondents

1004

Page 7

Page

Table

Title

Base Description

Base

39

15

QM1. If you had to choose between the two, would you rather describe yourself as...

Base : All respondents

1004

40

16

QM2a. Do you know who this person is? Jim Murphy

Base : All respondents

1004

41

16

QM2a. Do you know who this person is? Jim Murphy

Base : All respondents

1004

42

16

QM2a. Do you know who this person is? Jim Murphy

Base : All respondents

1004

43

17

QM2b. Do you know who this person is? Alex Salmond

Base : All respondents

1004

44

17

QM2b. Do you know who this person is? Alex Salmond

Base : All respondents

1004

45

17

QM2b. Do you know who this person is? Alex Salmond

Base : All respondents

1004

46

18

QM2c. Do you know who this person is? Nicola Sturgeon

Base : All respondents

1004

47

18

QM2c. Do you know who this person is? Nicola Sturgeon

Base : All respondents

1004

48

18

QM2c. Do you know who this person is? Nicola Sturgeon

Base : All respondents

1004

49

19

QM2d. Do you know who this person is? Willie Rennie

Base : All respondents

1004

50

19

QM2d. Do you know who this person is? Willie Rennie

Base : All respondents

1004

51

19

QM2d. Do you know who this person is? Willie Rennie

Base : All respondents

1004

52

20

QM2e. Do you know who this person is? Ruth Davidson

Base : All respondents

1004

53

20

QM2e. Do you know who this person is? Ruth Davidson

Base : All respondents

1004

54

20

QM2e. Do you know who this person is? Ruth Davidson

Base : All respondents

1004

55

21

QM3a. This person is Jim Murphy, the newly elected leader of Scottish Labour. Do you think he will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?

Base : All respondents

1004

56

21

QM3a. This person is Jim Murphy, the newly elected leader of Scottish Labour. Do you think he will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?

Base : All respondents

1004

57

21

QM3a. This person is Jim Murphy, the newly elected leader of Scottish Labour. Do you think he will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?

Base : All respondents

1004

58

22

QM3b. This person is Alex Salmond, ex-leader of the SNP and now prospective Westminster parliamentary candidate for the SNP in the Aberdeenshire constituency of Gordon.
Do you think he will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?

Base : All respondents

1004

Page 8

Page

Table

Title

Base Description

Base

59

22

QM3b. This person is Alex Salmond, ex-leader of the SNP and now prospective Westminster parliamentary candidate for the SNP in the Aberdeenshire constituency of Gordon.
Do you think he will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?

Base : All respondents

1004

60

22

QM3b. This person is Alex Salmond, ex-leader of the SNP and now prospective Westminster parliamentary candidate for the SNP in the Aberdeenshire constituency of Gordon.
Do you think he will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?

Base : All respondents

1004

61

23

QM3c. This person is Nicola Sturgeon, the new First Minister of Scotland and the Leader of the Scottish National Party.
Do you think she will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?

Base : All respondents

1004

62

23

QM3c. This person is Nicola Sturgeon, the new First Minister of Scotland and the Leader of the Scottish National Party.
Do you think she will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?

Base : All respondents

1004

63

23

QM3c. This person is Nicola Sturgeon, the new First Minister of Scotland and the Leader of the Scottish National Party.
Do you think she will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?

Base : All respondents

1004

64

24

QM3d. This person is Willie Rennie, current leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats.
Do you think he will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?

Base : All respondents

1004

65

24

QM3d. This person is Willie Rennie, current leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats.
Do you think he will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?

Base : All respondents

1004

66

24

QM3d. This person is Willie Rennie, current leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats.
Do you think he will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?

Base : All respondents

1004

67

25

QM3e. This person is Ruth Davidson, current leader of the Scottish Conservatives.
Do you think she will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?

Base : All respondents

1004

68

25

QM3e. This person is Ruth Davidson, current leader of the Scottish Conservatives.
Do you think she will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?

Base : All respondents

1004

69

25

QM3e. This person is Ruth Davidson, current leader of the Scottish Conservatives.
Do you think she will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?

Base : All respondents

1004

70

26

QM4. You may have seen or heard about the Smith commission proposals for further devolution, including extensive new powers over income tax.
From what you've seen or heard, do you think these:

Base : All respondents

1004

71

26

QM4. You may have seen or heard about the Smith commission proposals for further devolution, including extensive new powers over income tax.
From what you've seen or heard, do you think these:

Base : All respondents

1004

Page 9

Page

Table

Title

Base Description

Base

72

26

QM4. You may have seen or heard about the Smith commission proposals for further devolution, including extensive new powers over income tax.
From what you've seen or heard, do you think these:

Base : All respondents

1004

73

27

QM5. Under the Smith Commision plans, Scotland will have extensive control over income tax, but London will remain in charge of corporation tax.
Do you think Scotland should be able to set its own corporation tax rate?

Base : All respondents

1004

74

27

QM5. Under the Smith Commision plans, Scotland will have extensive control over income tax, but London will remain in charge of corporation tax.
Do you think Scotland should be able to set its own corporation tax rate?

Base : All respondents

1004

75

27

QM5. Under the Smith Commision plans, Scotland will have extensive control over income tax, but London will remain in charge of corporation tax.
Do you think Scotland should be able to set its own corporation tax rate?

Base : All respondents

1004

76

28

QM6. Scotland is set to get more power over both the taxes that its citizens pay, and the money that is spent over its public services and benefits. Do you think:

Base : All respondents

1004

77

28

QM6. Scotland is set to get more power over both the taxes that its citizens pay, and the money that is spent over its public services and benefits. Do you think:

Base : All respondents

1004

78

28

QM6. Scotland is set to get more power over both the taxes that its citizens pay, and the money that is spent over its public services and benefits. Do you think:

Base : All respondents

1004

79

29

QM7. Trident, the United KingdomÂ’s nuclear weapons system, is based in Scottish waters. Would you rather it was:

Base : All respondents

1004

80

29

QM7. Trident, the United KingdomÂ’s nuclear weapons system, is based in Scottish waters. Would you rather it was:

Base : All respondents

1004

81

29

QM7. Trident, the United KingdomÂ’s nuclear weapons system, is based in Scottish waters. Would you rather it was:

Base : All respondents

1004

82

30

Work status

Base : All respondents

1004

83

30

Work status

Base : All respondents

1004

84

30

Work status

Base : All respondents

1004

85

31

Gender

Base : All respondents

1004

86

31

Gender

Base : All respondents

1004

87

31

Gender

Base : All respondents

1004

Page 10

Page

Table

Title

Base Description

Base

88

32

Region

Base : All respondents

1004

89

32

Region

Base : All respondents

1004

90

32

Region

Base : All respondents

1004

91

33

Age

Base : All respondents

1004

92

33

Age

Base : All respondents

1004

93

33

Age

Base : All respondents

1004

94

34

Social grade

Base : All respondents

1004

95

34

Social grade

Base : All respondents

1004

96

34

Social grade

Base : All respondents

1004