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MRP Phase II Review

October 8, 2014

Mid-Range Plan

Agenda

Executive Summary

Full Year FYE15 Forecast


Brief Overview/Phase I Recap
Market Overview
Competitor Analysis
Key Strategic Initiatives and Goals

Financials (Main Focus)


Financial Anatomy of the Business
MRP Assumptions
Financial Projections
Risk/Opportunities & Sensitivity Impact of Key Drivers
Potential Strategic Investments
2

Mid-Range Plan

Agenda

Executive Summary

Full Year FYE15 Forecast


Brief Overview/Phase I Recap
Market Overview
Competitor Analysis
Key Strategic Initiatives and Goals

Financials (Main Focus)


Financial Anatomy of the Business
MRP Assumptions
Financial Projections
Risk/Opportunities & Sensitivity Impact of Key Drivers
Potential Strategic Investments
3

Corporate Strategy

Vision
A Global Market Share Leader Powered
By The Industry's Best Creative Teams
And Delivering Maximum Profits

Key Strategic Priorities


Roadmap to Winning During Mid-Range Planning Period

Grow Market
Share

Expand and
Grow Digital
Revenue
Models

Maximize
Results
Across All
Our
International
Operations

Maximize
Opportunities
With Broader
Rights and
New Business

Reduce and
Control
Costs/
Maximize
Efficiencies

Aggressively
Pursue
One Sony
Initiatives
5

FYE15 Financial Results ($ In Millions)


September YTD
FYE14ACT FYE15ACT Vs. PY

Full Year
FYE15FC

Revenues

$1,286

$1,261

-$25M

$2,780

Operating
Income

$95

$107

+$12M

$240

Net Cash Flow


Before Financing

$42

$66

+$24M

$138

Full Year
Forecasted
Operating
Income and
Cash Flow
Expected to
be On or
Above
Business Plan

Strong Start to Fiscal Year, Well


Positioned Going In to Second Half
New and Developing Artist Success
6

Recent New and Developing Artist Success

MAGIC!

Meghan Trainor

Ella Henderson

Pharrell Williams

Calvin Harris

A Great Big World

Kid Ink

Sia

Rita Ora

Hozier

MKTO

Pentatonix

Fifth Harmony

Kongos

Bobby Shmurda

Future

Tyler Farr

George Ezra

Collabro

Juicy J

Becky G

Tinashe

Bleachers

G-Eazy
7

Strong Slate of Key Releases In Balance of Year

Barbra Streisand (Sep 14)

Kenny Chesney (Sep 14)

Jason Aldean (Oct 14)

Pentatonix (Nov 14)

Pink Floyd (Nov 14)

Pitbull (Nov 14)

One Direction (Nov 14)

Foo Fighters (Nov 14)

Calvin Harris (Nov 14)

Olly Murs (Nov 14)

Garth Brooks (Nov 14)

Usher (Dec 14)

Meghan Trainor (Dec 14)

AC/DC (Dec 14)

Miguel (Dec 14)

Carrie Underwood (Dec 14)

J. Cole (Feb 15)

Adele (Mar 15)

Kelly Clarkson (Mar 15)

Alicia Keys (Mar 15)

MRP Financial Highlights ($ In Millions)


SME Revenues
$2,820

$2,780

$2,735

$2,763

$2,896

CAGR
+0.4%

FYE12
Actual

FYE15
Forecast

FYE16
FYE17
FYE18
Mid-Range Planning Period

SME Operating Income


$240

$250

$260

$133

% Operating
Income Margin

$275

MRP Period Will


Continue to Deliver
Improved Profits
and Profit Margins
Operating Income
and Cash Flow
Targets Favorable
to Prior MRP

CAGR
+12.9%

FYE12
Actual

FYE15
Forecast

4.7%

8.6%

FYE16
FYE17
FYE18
Mid-Range Planning Period

9.1%

9.4%

9.5%

Mid-Range Plan

Agenda

Executive Summary

Full Year FYE15 Forecast


Brief Overview/Phase I Recap
Market Overview
Competitor Analysis
Key Strategic Initiatives and Goals

Financials (Main Focus)


Financial Anatomy of the Business
MRP Assumptions
Financial Projections
Risk/Opportunities & Sensitivity Impact of Key Drivers
Potential Strategic Investments
10

September YTD ($ In Millions)


$1,286

$1,183

$1,261

-$25M
Vs PY

+$78M
Vs BP

+$12M
Vs PY

+$77M
Vs BP

$107

$95
$30
FYE14ACT

FYE15BP

FYE15ACT

FYE14ACT

Revenues

Operating Income

Net Income
Net Cash Flow
Before Financing

$1,286 $1,183 $1,261


$95
$101
$42

$30
$18
$38

FYE15ACT

Operating Income

FYE14ACT FYE15BP FYE15ACT

Revenues

FYE15BP

$107
$57 *
$66

Vs PY

Vs BP

-$25M

+$78M

+$12M

+$77M

-$44M

+$24M

+$39M

+$28M

Highlights
Favorable Sales Due to:
Success of Michael Jackson and Pharrell Williams
Unbudgeted John Legend Carryover, Jack White and Future
Favorable Sales and Success of MAGIC!
Earlier Than budgeted Release of Sia and Kenny Chesney
Favorable Digital Track Sales of Meghan Trainor, DJ Snake and Calvin Harris
Favorable SoundExchange
Recognition of Digital Unearned Advances/Guarantees (SNEI and XBOX)
Partially Offset by: Slippage of Usher, Rita Ora, Maxwell and Miguel
Favorable Operating Income Due to:
Favorable Flow Through From Sales
Recognition of Beats Gain On Sale and Sale of Nashville Building
Favorable Syco International TV Format Revenues
Favorable Timing of Talent
Favorable Cash Flow Due to:
Higher Operating Results
Proceeds From Sale of Nashville Building and Proceeds From Sale of Beats
Investment
Partly Offset by Syco Dividend Payment to Simon Cowell and Timing of
Payments

* Net Income Significantly Unfavorable to Prior Year As Prior Year Included Favorable Tax Audit Settlement In Holland

11

September YTD Major Sellers (Revenues)

Michael Jackson*

Chris Brown

Sia

$13M

$29M

Pharrell Williams*

$7M

Miranda Lambert

$7M

$6M

Beyonc

$5M

($11M RTD)

($31M RTD)

John Legend

Barbra Streisand

$10M

Now 88

$9M

$6M

MAGIC!

$6M

$5M

Now 87

($22M RTD)

Calvin Harris (singles) ($7M RTD)


($47M RTD)
Michael Jackson Includes 10M In Additional Revenues Due to Sony Mobile Deal; Pharrell Williams Includes Sales of Both Album G I R L and Single Happy

$5M

($10M RTD)

12

Full Year FYE15 ($ In Millions)

Revenues
Operating
Income

FYE13ACT

FYE14ACT

FYE15FC

$2,790

$2,869

$2,780

$218

$238

Net Income

$192

(1)

$194

Net Cash
Flow Before
Financing

$162 (3)

$150

$240
(2)

$138

FYE15 Forecast
Expected to Be
On or Ahead of
Business Plan

$138

1) FYE13 Net Income Includes Reversal of Brazils Valuation Allowance


2) FYE14 Net Income Includes Reversal of Tax Provisions As A Result of Favorable Tax Audit Settlements In Holland
3) Includes $30M Benefit From Deferring NOW! Investment Into FYE14

13

FYE15 Worldwide Key Release Schedule


(Release Revenues In Millions)
Original BP
Slipped Within Year
Brought Forward
Unplanned Major Seller
Out of Year

Pink Floyd

$9

Garth Brooks

$10

AC/DC

$22

Calvin Harris (UK)

$12

T.I.

$6

Fifth Harmony

$3

Usher

$7

Tamar Braxton

$4

Miguel

$6

Carrie Underwood

$8

Susan Boyle

$5

Future

$3

$12

Jack White

$4

Sia

$8

Pitbull

Foster The People

$1

George Ezra

$6

Barbra Streisand

$5

Foo Fighters

$16

Pharrell Williams

$14

MAGIC!

$8

Kenny Chesney

$8

A$AP Rocky

$6

$3

Chris Brown

$11

NOW 89 (UK)

$20

John Legend

One Direction (UK)

Shakira

$5

Kasabian (UK)

One Direction (UK)

$5

Michael Jackson

$22

The Script (UK)

Beyonc

$8

NOW 87 (UK)

$13

NOW 88 (UK)

Miley Cyrus

$4

Miranda Lambert

Carryover

1st Quarter

$9

$9
$13

Train

$7

2nd Quarter

$9

Il Divo (UK)
Olly Murs (UK)

$4
$12

Jamie Foxx

$4

3rd Quarter

Dave Matthews Band

$45

Kesha
Sara Bareilles

4th Quarter Release


Risk of Slipping Out of
the Year
Opportunity for
Earlier Release
Within the Year

Adele

$20

Meghan Trainor
Kelly Clarkson

$7
$11

Alicia Keys

$7

Rita Ora

$3

J. Cole

$8

Maxwell

$4

Andre 3000

$5

Future

$3

4th Quarter

19

$2

Adele Budgeted for Late

$5
$2

Ciara
John Mayer
Karmin
Miley Cyrus
Matre Gims (FRA)
Christina Aguilera

$3
$3
$3
$11
$3
$4 14

Mid-Range Plan

Agenda

Executive Summary

Full Year FYE15 Forecast


Brief Overview/Phase I Recap
Market Overview
Competitor Analysis
Key Strategic Initiatives and Goals

Financials (Main Focus)


Financial Anatomy of the Business
MRP Assumptions
Financial Projections
Risk/Opportunities & Sensitivity Impact of Key Drivers
Potential Strategic Investments
15

U.S. Industry Revenues RIAA Figures ($ In Millions)


1H 2013
Total Physical

1H 2014

B/(W)

$571

$482

-15.6%

$1,076

$956

-11.2%

Subscriptions (Paid)

151

204

+35.1%

Streaming (Ad-Supported)

105

165

+57.1%

Digital Radio

267

323

+21.0%

26

17

-34.6%

$1,625

$1,665

+2.5%

99

88

-11.1%

$2,295

$2,235

-2.6%

Downloads

Other
Total Digital
Sync
Total U.S. Industry

Strong Growth In Revenues


From Streaming Services
(Growth of 33% Y-O-Y) Helped
to Offset Continued Declines
In Physical and Downloads

Streaming Services Combined Contributed to 31% of


the Industry Revenues, Up From 23% In Prior Year
16

Worldwide iTunes Year-on-Year Growth (Industry Level)

7%
4%

3%

1%

1%

-4%

-5%
-7%

-6%
-11%
-13%

-14%

-14%
-16%

-17%
Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

2013

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

-15%

-14%

-15%

-17%

May

2014

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Fiscal 15
Budget
Assumption

17

Spotify & Pandora Active Monthly Users (In Millions)


+47%

48.2

Launch of Mobile Free Brings In


More Than 5M Users In the Month
of December, With 700K Paying

11.5

Paid Subscriptions
Active Users

7.0
1.0
6.0

12.0
3.0

31.0
15.0

May 2011 Jan 2012

20.0

25.0

5.0

Jun 2012

15.0

8.9

32.9

+26%
Aug From Jan
(11.5M Paid
Subscriptions)

9.1

8.2

36.7

4.0
11.0

9.0

Aug From Jan


(48.2M Total
Active Users)

16.8

22.1

Dec 2012 Nov 2013 Dec 2013

23.8

Jan 2014

Aug 2014

5.04 Billion Quarterly Listener Hours

71.1

76.4

54.5
36.1
21.0
10.0
QE Jun 2009

QE Jun 2010

QE Jun 2011

QE Jun 2012

QE Jun 2013

QE Jun 2014

18

Market Trends Recorded Music Only


(Trade Value, Excluding Japan, $ In Billions)

Actual

Forecast

-1.3%

$11.0

-4.4%

-2.7%

-0.8%

+3.6%

$10.5

$10.3

$10.1

$10.6

$5.9

$6.4

$5.7

$5.3

Digital
Physical
Total

FYE14
+8%
-10%
-1%

Mid-Range Planning Period

$4.6

$3.9

$7.1

$8.2

$3.0

$2.4

FYE15
FYE16
FYE17
MRP
MRP
+4% FYE15BP
+8% Prior
+12% Prior
+12%
+9%
+12%
MRP
MRP
-13% FYE15BP
-16% Prior
-21% Prior
-18%
-16%
-20%
-4%
-3%
-1%

Excludes New Business Revenues; Digital Figures Include Digital Radio

FYE18
+15%
-23%
+4%

19

Worldwide Digital Market Growth Projections (ex-Japan)


U.S. Vs. International ($ In Billions)

$5.9
$3.0

$2.9

FYE15
Forecast

$6.4
$3.4

$3.0

Total
CAGR

$8.2

+11%

$4.7

Intl
CAGR

$7.1
$3.9

+16%

$3.2

U.S.
CAGR

$3.5

+6%

FYE16
FYE17
FYE18
Mid-Range Planning Period
20

Worldwide Digital Market Growth Projections ($ In Millions)


100%
80%
60%

2%
7%
11%

1%
7%

7%

7%

13%

15%

14%

Other

27%

37%

Digital Radio

48%

59%

Video

40%
20%
0%

Audio Subs/Streaming
52%

Downloads

41%

21%

FYE16MRP
FYE16MRP

FYE17MRP
FYE17MRP

FYE18MRP
FYE18MRP

CAGR

$3,091

$2,606

$2,132

$1,705

-18%

1,614

2,372

3,416

4,782

+44%

Video

661

860

1,033

1,140

+20%

Digital Radio

412

468

513

538

+9%

Other

137

68

17

-69%

Total

$5,915

$6,374

$7,111

$8,169

+11%

Downloads
Audio Subs/Streaming

FYE15FC
FYE15FC

30%

21

Mid-Range Plan

Agenda

Executive Summary

Full Year FYE15 Forecast


Brief Overview/Phase I Recap
Market Overview
Competitor Analysis
Key Strategic Initiatives and Goals

Financials (Main Focus)


Financial Anatomy of the Business
MRP Assumptions
Financial Projections
Risk/Opportunities & Sensitivity Impact of Key Drivers
Potential Strategic Investments
22

Market Share Trends


Owned and Distributed Market Share Trends
Global Excluding Japan
2008

Indies

EMI Acquired
EMI
PLG
NOW!

Organic

2013

22.6%

+0.2%

+2.3%

25.1%

Now! Acquisition For $55M

30.6%

+7.8%

-3.4%

35.0%

EMI Acquisition For $1.9B,


Divested PLG and NOW!

15.4%

+2.3%

-3.1%

14.6%

PLG Acquisition For $765M

10.3%

21.1%

+4.2%

25.3%

Competitors Have Been Aggressive In Their Investment Strategies Over the Last Few Years
Source: IFPI For 2008 Through Proforma 2012. 2013 Based On Internal Estimates.

23

Calendar 2013 Market Share Breakdown by Territory


Universals Acquisition of EMI Has Increased Their Leadership Position In Most Key Markets

35.0%
25.1%
14.6%

Growth
Rank From 2012

U.S.
UK
Germany
France
Australia/NZ
Canada
ROW (incl. SA)
Asia (excl. Japan)
Latin America
WW (excl. Japan)

39.2%
32.2%
33.1%
32.5%
44.0%
42.0%
32.8%
16.2%
33.2%
35.0%

28.5%
23.9%
22.2%
22.0%
25.9%
21.6%
22.8%
12.2%
32.5%
25.1%

UNI +9.9% pts


Based On Internal Best Estimates

2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2

+0.5%
+2.7%
+0.9%
+4.3%
+0.2%
+0.3%
+2.1%
+0.6%
+0.5%
+1.2%

17.6%
15.1%
9.9%
14.5%
14.5%
14.5%
14.5%
7.6%
12.2%
14.6%

WMG -10.5% pts


24

Competitor Comparison Recorded Music


Most Recent 12 Months Available (Including Japan, $ In Millions)

Includes SMEJ

$5,467

$3,625
$644

SMEJ $774

$2,526
$414
$275

SMEJ $80

Digital
$2,251
Revenues EBITDA

ROS

12%

Digital
$1,273
(SME Only)

Digital
$1,090

Revenues EBITDA

Revenues EBITDA

11% incl. SMEJ


12% excl. SMEJ

11%

Revenues & EBITDA Amounts Shown for Comparative Purposes; Adjusted for One-Time and Other Items
UNI, SME & WMG 12 Months Ended June 30, 2014
UNI Includes EMI Acquisition From September 28, 2012; WMG Includes Parlophone Acquisition From July 1, 2013

25

Mid-Range Plan

Agenda

Executive Summary

Full Year FYE15 Forecast


Brief Overview/Phase I Recap
Market Overview
Competitor Analysis
Key Strategic Initiatives and Goals

Financials (Main Focus)


Financial Anatomy of the Business
MRP Assumptions
Financial Projections
Risk/Opportunities & Sensitivity Impact of Key Drivers
Potential Strategic Investments
26

Key Strategic Priorities


Roadmap to Winning During Mid-Range Planning Period

Grow Market
Share

Expand and
Grow Digital
Revenue
Models

Maximize
Results
Across All
Our
International
Operations

Maximize
Opportunities
With Broader
Rights and
New Business

Reduce and
Control
Costs/
Maximize
Efficiencies

Aggressively
Pursue
One Sony
Initiatives
27

Key Strategic Priorities

25.85%
25.60%
25.35%

25.10%

+0.25%
pts

+0.25%
pts

+0.25%
pts

Flat Growth

FYE15
Forecast

FYE16

FYE17

FYE18

Mid-Range Planning Period

Maximize New Talent Development Success Across


All Our Creative Repertoire Sources
Aggressively Invest In New Talent

Grow Market
Share

Expand Our Relationships With Independent Label


Sector
Look For Opportunities to Sign Established Talent
and Acquire Catalog
28

Maximize New Talent Development Success Across All Our


Creative Repertoire Centers
U.K.
Labels
Nashville

Core Labels

Classical

Catalog Artists
CMG

Indie Services
Salaam
Remi
ASTRONAUTS
WANTED
Wolfgang
Boss

Creative Partnerships

Asia
Latin Am.
Europe
Germany
France
Japan

Dr
Luke

Exclusive Producer
Local Talent Development
29

Aggressively Invest In New Talent

UK

Alex &
Sierra

Hozier

Rita
Ora

London
Grammar

MKTO

sgeir

Zhu

Kid
Ink

MAGIC!

Bleachers

Sia

Tinashe

Pentatonix

G-Eazy

A Great
Big World

Fifth
Harmony

Kat
Dahlia

Meghan
Trainor

Kongos

Bobby
Shmurda

Future

Tyler
Farr

Casey
James

Steven Lee
Olsen

The
Henningsens

Jerrod
Neimann

Swon
Brothers

Josh
Dorr

George
Ezra

Laura
Doggett

Nothing
But Thieves

Lonely
The Brave

Rag N
Bone Man

Madeon

Jamie
Joseph

Ella
Henderson

Collabro

Jack
Pack

Etta
Bond

Marlon
Roudette

Ady
Suleiman

Kid
Arkade

Targeting
to Achieve
35% or
Greater
Share of
New Artist
Breakouts
During
MRP Period

Strengthen Our Focus On Country and EDM Genre. Recent Achievements Include Signing of
Garth Brooks, New JV Deal With Disruptor Records and Continued Alignment With Ultra.
30

Look For Opportunities to Sign Established Talent and


Acquire Catalog
Maximize Digital Revenue Opportunities Through Targeted Partner Driven
Initiatives
Aggressively Pursue Strategic Catalog Investments

FYE08
New
Music
63%

Catalog
37%

FYE14
New
Music
59%

Catalog
41%

Importance of Catalog Assets Continues As We Migrate More Towards Digital


31

Key Strategic Priorities

SME Digital Revenues

Total
CAGR

$1.9 B

$1.6 B
$1.3 B

$1.3 B

$1.4 B
$1,060
$868

$577

Expand and
Grow Digital
Revenue
Models

+13%
Considers Market &
Market Share Growth

Downloads
Streaming (Paid & Ad-Supported)
Video
Digital Radio
Other
Total

$636

$686

$701

FYE14A
$817
250
85
69
42
$1,263

FYE15FC
$704
375
120
90
26
$1,315

Intl
CAGR

+19%

$728

$706

$752

$830

FYE16MRP FYE17MRP FYE18MRP


$600
$496
$401
558
812
1,148
158
194
217
104
116
123
13
3
1
$1,433
$1,621
$1,890

U.S.
CAGR

+7%

CAGR
-17%
45%
22%
11%
-68%
13%

Estimated $0.6B Growth In Digital Revenues Over the MRP Period Driven by
Significant Growth In Paid Streaming
An Overall 44% Growth From FYE15
32

Global Revenues Continue Decline While Consumption


Reaches Record Highs
GLOBAL REVENUES EXPECTED TO
CONTRACT FURTHER

GLOBAL CONSUMPTION NUMBERS


ACROSS CHANNELS AT ALL TIME HIGH
PAID STREAMING
26M Paid Monthly Subscribers
520M music hours / month

$11.0 $10.5 $10.3 $10.1 $10.6

AD-SUPPORTED
WITHIN SUBSCRIBTION SERVICES
2013A

2014FC

2015MRP 2016MRP 2017MRP

45M monthly listeners


450M music hours / month

MUSIC CONSUMPTION HOWEVER


CONTINUES TO GROW

DIGITAL VIDEO
1BN monthly users
2.4BN music hours / month

OWNERSHIP + SUBSCIPTION (US)


98b

76M monthly listeners


1.6BN music hours / month

62b
581m

844m

1,070m

1,172m 1,271m 1,271m 1,336m


24b

588m

2006

501m

2007

428m

2008

382m

2009

1,259m

31b
20b
326m

331m

2010

2011

DIGITAL RADIO

OTHER CONSUMPTION

316m

289m

26M monthly listeners


1.6BN music hours / month

2012

2013

400M monthly listeners


33

Conversion into Paid Subscription Is Ultimate Goal


Subscription Will Be Leading Revenue Channel by 2016
AVERAGE REVENUE PER USER

$70
PAID SUBSCRIPTION

$48
DOWNLOADS

$19

$4

PHYSICAL

AD-SUPPORTED

Strategies to support growth and healthy


transition from ownership to access are critical
Continue to adjust ad-supported streaming
tiers to drive conversion to paid
Remove on-demand listening capability
in ad-supported tiers
Further limit ad-supported experience
through changes in functionality and
content availability
Developing policies to restrict/limit promotion
on free and ad-supported channels
Limit digital radio where possible to ensure
partners have incentive to drive paid tier
Develop higher-price premium tier to include
a higher price point for high-definition audio,
lyrics, audiovisual and family plans
34

Conversion into Paid Subscription Is Ultimate Goal (contd)


Promote Device Ubiquity and Focus on Car Access
Service to device ubiquity will
accelerate consumer adoption of paid
subscription
Need paid subscription to win the
battle for the car, against current
low/zero monetization options such
as terrestrial/ digital/ satellite radio
Consistency of experience on
mobile, car and home is key yet
currently missing for consumer and
will incentivize conversion
SME to provide necessary incentives
to high-revenue partners so that
they are able to compete against
current alternatives

35

Continue Developing Other Revenue Streams


Maximize monetization of video content
YouTube subscription has potential to be significant
contributor to growth
SME to re-evaluate/limit licensing terms for ad-supported
during MRP period currently only ad-supported platform
offering on-demand features on both mobile and desktop
Continue to invest and create significant value in VEVO
- Develop VEVO.com migrate traffic from YouTube
- Expand original programming and content
development
- Expand internationally in priority territories
- Develop subscription offering for service without ads
and for premium content
36

Continue Developing Other Revenue Streams (contd)


Dont abandon download customer
Download business still significantly material and
some customers will not make the switch
Casual buyer will not transition to higher ARPU of
subscription
Ownership still preferred within some
demographics
Enhance products including more visual element and
high definition audio
Download product continues to simply be an audio
file
Sound quality and audiovisual have been outlined
as key developments of interest by listeners
37

Key Strategic Priorities

Maximize
Results Across
All Our
International
Operations

Common International Initiatives


Across All Territories

Artist

Secure Global Artist


Breakthrough

Market

Continue to Aggressively
Pursue Opportunities to
Increase Repertoire Base
(Organically and by Acquisition)

Expansion

Aggressively Pursue
Opportunities to Exploit New
and Emerging Markets to
Secure No. 1 Position

38

Expanding Repertoire Base

Grow Market Share


A&R Joint Venture with
BLACK BUTTER

Negotiation with
COLDPLAY
Negotiation with
STROMAE
Possible Acquisition
with SME Classics:
HARMONIA MUNDI
Possible Label
Acquisition:
NAIVE

Negotiation with
LUIS MIGUEL
Negotiation with
ENRIQUE IGLESIAS

Exploring Acquisition
of TRADEMARK:
BRAVO
Label Acquisition:
PHONAG/TBA

Acquisition targets:
YMC /
CHROME/YEDANG

Exploring
Acquisition
with GDB:
BELIEVE

Negotiation with
major artist
KHALIL

Acquisition target:
RED FOO

MRP Initiative Aggressively Pursue Opportunities to increase


Repertoire base (Organically and by Acquisition)
39

Expanding Regionally
LATIN AMERICA
PERU:
Grow and exploit growing Peruvian
market through newly opened office
in Lima
CUBA:
Explore market entry.
Potential Acquisition of Catalogs, e.g.
EGREM for worldwide exploitation.
BRAZIL:
Further Explore Digital Opportunities
Explore opportunities around
Olympic Games 2016
TICKETING
Explore and build Ticketing Business
in Latin America
Overall Goal for Region
To Grow Profits by 40% to $50m

Secure No. 1 Position


AFRICA
KENYA/NIGERIA:
Grow and exploit West- and East
African digital markets through
newly opened office in Lagos and
Nairobi.
REPERTOIRE:
Target acquisition of local music
catalogue, e.g. Premier Music, Ivory
Music (African) or Melody, Rotana
(Arabic).
Target JV opportunities with
established players (Chocalate City,
DB Records)
DIGITAL EXPANSION:
Currently in Discussions with most
African Mobile Network Operators
e.g. MTN Nigeria, Etisalat, Airtel,
Huawei, Safaricom, Tigo, Vodafone,
IMI mobile.
Partnership with Digital Service
Provider NMusic in expansion to
Africa

ASIA
CHINA:
Expand Digital Business through
China Mobile Video deal and direct
online license deal with either
Tencent, Alibaba or CMC.
Increase Repertoire through
signing of major artists KHALIL from
Gold Typhoon (recent Warner
Acquisition) and MO MO WU from
Indie Dream China.
INDIA:
Grow Digital Business with new DSP
launches, e.g. Spotify, Google
Hungama, Eros, Rdio, Boinc (Sri
Lanka), Rockville (Pakistan).
Targeting Catalogue acquisitions:
Crescendo & Magnasound.
VIETNAM:
Explore market opportunities,
possibly open office

MRP Initiative Aggressively pursue opportunities to exploit new


and emerging markets to secure No.1 position
40

Key Strategic Priorities

MRP Assumes $261M Revenues


SME Global FYE15FC
New Business Revenues

Passive
Artist Rights
Participation

($ In Millions)

Other
Artist
Management
Merchandising

Brands/
Sponsorship

($33M Profit
From Syco TV JV)

$23

$26

$11
$6

Total
$261

$37

Live

Maximize
Opportunities
With Broader
Rights and New
Business

$70M Op. EBIT

$74

$84

TV/Film

Artist Services

Capture and Exploit Broader Rights From New Artist Signings


Continue to Maximize Exploitation of X Factor and Got Talent TV Formats
Develop New Formats and Visual Content From Syco and Astronauts Wanted
(Judy McGrath) JV
Seek to Extend Long Term Successful Relationship With Simon Cowell
41

Key Strategic Priorities

% Operating Income Margins


9.1%
8.3%

FYE14
Actual

Reduce and
Control Costs/
Maximize
Efficiencies

9.4%

9.5%

8.6%

FYE15
Forecast

FYE16
FYE17
FYE18
Mid-Range Planning Period

Targeting to Continue to Improve Operating Income


Margins Over MRP Period Through Initiatives In
Overhead, Marketing and Supply Chain

42

Overhead, Marketing Costs and Supply Chain


HC 8,000
$1,556M
HC 4,182
$954M

Overhead/
Headcount
2005

FYE15FC

Targeting $45M Gross Savings During MRP


Period to Partially Offset Inflation

FYE16

FYE17
FYE18
Mid-Range Planning Period

Overhead and Headcount Excludes Increases From Investment In Growth Areas and Emerging Markets

$560M

Marketing
Costs

15.3%

2005

$350M
15.3%

FYE15FC

$660M

Supply Chain
(Physical + Digital)

19.7%
% OF
NET SALES

2005

$280M

Targeting to Maintain Efficient Spending Rate


While Focusing On New Artist Development

FYE16

FYE17
FYE18
Mid-Range Planning Period

Targeting to Partly Offset Effects of Declining


Physical Pricing With Supply Chain Savings
(% of Net Sales Going From 12.4% to 8.4% Over MRP Period)

12.4%
FYE15FC

FYE16

FYE17
FYE18
Mid-Range Planning Period

43

Key Strategic Priorities

Japan
50%
25%

ELECTRONICS

Aggressively
Pursue
One Sony
Initiatives

Michael Jackson Xscape FYE15 Successful


One Sony Global Collaboration
Sony Music Partnered With Sony Mobile, Sony Electronics
and Sony Network Entertainment On A Global Co-Marketing
and Promotion Campaign

44

To Continue to Seek One Sony Opportunities


Pursue Joint Signing Opportunities When Feasible
Maximize Sync Opportunities With Sony Music Owned Masters and SATV Controlled Copyrights
Maximize Collaboration Around Industry Related Issues
Continued Shift of Warehousing and Distribution Service Requirements to DADC:
- Comprehensive Reintegration of Manufacturing and Distribution, In Australia, Hong Kong, UK, Iberia,
Mexico
- New Long Term Exclusive Manufacturing Deal In Europe
- Under Negotiation - to Appoint DADC In Brazil As Our New Partner For Manufacturing and Distribution
- Licensing Out to DADC In Hong Kong Under Review
Explore Potential Synergies Between The Orchard JV and DADC Digital Ops Group
James Bond 2015 One Sony Collaboration
Collaboration With Sony Music, Sony Pictures and Sony Mobile On Running With Music: Ghostbusters
Edition, A Ghostbusters Branded Mobile Game
Exploring Sales & Distribution Cooperation Opportunities With Sony Pictures (Mexico, Benelux, Nordics,
Turkey, India, Africa, Brazil and France)
Continue to Explore Cost Efficiencies Across All Support Areas
Collaboration With Syco JV On Film/TV Opportunities, Including Potential Investment

ELECTRONICS

SME Is Currently Exploring Numerous Hi-Res Audio, 4K, and SOMC collaborations:
- Creating A Global Hi-Res Album Bundle For Xperia, and Potential Hi-Res Offering On Xperia Through
Sprint In the U.S. In Q1 2015
- Working With the U.S. Hi-Res Audio Team On An October Hi-Res Walkman Listening Event
- Shooting Yahoo Live! Music Events In 4K to Build Up SELs 4K Library
- A 12-18 Month Partnership Between Sony and the Foo Fighters Which Would Integrate Hi-Res Audio,
4K and Potentially Other Divisions Around the Artists 2015 U.S. and Global Tour Schedule
- Working With SOMC to Provide On An Emerging Artist Platform and A Recurring Offer/Streaming
Solution For Xperia Users, Allowing the Customer to Stream A Selection of Music Every Month
- Successful Sony Jive Music App to Be Launched In Indonesia and Other Territories

45

Mid-Range Plan

Agenda

Executive Summary

Full Year FYE15 Forecast


Brief Overview/Phase I Recap
Market Overview
Competitor Analysis
Key Strategic Initiatives and Goals

Financials (Main Focus)


Financial Anatomy of the Business
MRP Assumptions
Financial Projections
Risk/Opportunities & Sensitivity Impact of Key Drivers
Potential Strategic Investments
46

Repertoire Center Profit Summary

Local
International
Repertoire

Columbia

25%
UK Syco
UK

(ex. Syco)

Nashville
Epic

75%

Major
Repertoire
Centers

RCA

Talent From Major Repertoire Centers (Primarily English Language) Account For 75% of Global
Profits Therefore Critical to Success
Talent From Local Repertoire Centers Account for 25% of Global Profits Therefore Also An
Important Part of Our Business and Potential Growth Area, Particularly In Emerging Markets
47

Impact of Talent Investment

60%

of
Revenues

Talent
Investment
$173M

Talent
Investment

Talent
Investment

Talent
Investment

New
Music

New
Music

New
Music

New
Music

New
Music

New Catalog

New Catalog
New Catalog

New Catalog
New Catalog
New Catalog

40%

of
Revenues

Existing
Catalog

Existing
Catalog

Existing
Catalog

Existing
Catalog

Existing
Catalog

FYE15

FYE16

FYE17

FYE18

FYE19

Catalog Highly Profitable Due to Upfront Investment In New Music (Talent and Marketing)
Reduction In Talent Spending Will Have A Positive Short-Term Impact On Profit, But A Negative Medium
and Long-Term Impact On Profit and Valuation
Reduced Talent Spend Would Negatively Impact SME Market Share
New Releases Become Part of Catalog 18 Months After Release

48

Market Share Importance


Market Share Enables Leveraging of Fixed Cost Structure Gains Has Been One
of the Contributing Factors to Profit Increases and Margin Improvements

SME Global
Owned &
Distributed
Market Share
Source: IFPI

25.1%
24.0%
+3.1% pts
Over 2
Years

22.0%

CY11

Market Share Influences Negotiations of


Rates/Terms/Advances/Minimum
Guarantees/Equity In DSPs

CY12

CY13

Market Share Is An Important Factor In Determining


Income From Digital Services and Public
Performance and Broadcast (Radio Play)
Industry International Public Performance and Broadcasting Income

$630M

SME PP&B
Revenues For
FYE14 $166M

$751M

5.2 PPB%
of Industry

6.2 PPB%
of Industry

2010

2013

PP&B Industry Revenues Have Grown 19% Over


the Last 3 Years
Is A Significant Revenue Source

49

Global Industry Breakdown Recorded Music Only


(FYE15FC, Trade Value, Excluding Japan, $ In Billions)

Total Global Industry

Physical
$4.6
44% $10.5B

Digital Breakdown
Subscriptions
$1.6
27%

Digital
$5.9
56%

Downloads
$3.1
52%

Digital
Breakdown

$5.9B
Video
$0.7
11%
Digital Radio
Ringtones/ $0.4
7%
Other
$0.1
3%

Streams Per $1 SME Revenue


(Global CY14 Jun YTD)

633

727

769

AdSupported
Stream

Digital
Radio

408
109
Paid
Subscription
Stream

AdSupported
Stream

Excludes New Business Revenues; Digital Figures Include Digital Radio

AdSupported
Stream

50

Top Physical and Digital Partners


Physical

U.S.

On Average, >70% of Physical Revenues Come


From Only Top 5 Customers In Key Markets

Physical Projection of
-20% CAGR of 3 Yr MRP
Other
25%

Anconnect/
Anderson
30%

Concentration of Top Accounts Means Exit of


One Retailer Can Have Significant Impact On
Revenues

TransWorld
4%

Amazon
14%

Target
13%
Alliance
14%

Top 5 = 75%

Digital
Digital Projection of
+11% CAGR of 3 Yr MRP

Top 10 Global Digital Partners


Downloads,
Streaming (Beats),
Radio

53%

Streaming

11%

Downloads,
Streaming

Downloads

4%

Top 10 Global Digital Partners


Account For 89% of Total

3%

Mix of Top Partners Will Change


As We Move Towards More of
A Streaming Model
Risk of Cricket Exit

Radio

5%

Streaming

2%

Video

4%

Streaming

2%

Video

4%

Streaming

1%

Top 10 = 89%

Concentration of Major
Accounts to Be Spread Across A
Greater Number of Partners Is
Dependent On Partners Ability
to Achieve Financially Profitable
Business Models (See Spotify
and Pandora Example On Next
Page)
51

Spotify and Pandora Financial Data and Future


Profitability ($ In Millions)

Spotify First Launched


In Oct 2008 In Sweden
and EBITDA For 2013
Was A Loss of $109M

Pandora First
Launched In Jan 2000

Forecast Years Per Morgan Stanley

52

Album to Track Market


Albums

49%

51%

FYE14A

54%

46%

FYE15FC

61%

39%

Tracks

The Migration of the Music Market From


Physical and Downloads to Streaming
Reduces the Relevance of the Album
SME to Continue to Migrate Artist
Contracts and Operating Practices to
Support the Business Evolution Away From
Albums and Towards Track Consumption

70%

30%

77%

23%

FYE16MRP FYE17MRP FYE18MRP

Changes Could Include:


- Artist Contract Migration Towards Track
Focus
- Track Based Marketing As Opposed to
Traditional Album Based Marketing
- More EP Releases and Less Full LPs
- Ensuring Cost Efficiencies Around Lower
Volume of Recordings As Focus Is Not
On Releasing Albums With 10+ Number
of Songs
- Reverse Order of Release Planning Tracks to EPs to LPs
- Maximize Our Physical Business Where
Possible (Such As Consignment Based
Sales For Physical, Exclusive Product
Offerings, Digital/Physical Offerings)
53

Mid-Range Plan

Agenda

Executive Summary

Full Year FYE15 Forecast


Brief Overview/Phase I Recap
Market Overview
Competitor Analysis
Key Strategic Initiatives and Goals

Financials (Main Focus)


Financial Anatomy of the Business
MRP Assumptions
Financial Projections
Risk/Opportunities & Sensitivity Impact of Key Drivers
Potential Strategic Investments
54

Key Assumptions
Forecast
FYE15

Mid-Range Planning Period


FYE16
FYE17
FYE18

Comments

Physical Market

-13%

-16%

-21%

-23%

Accelerated decline in Physical Market

Digital Market

+4%

+8%

+12%

+15%

More aggressive growth expected during


later MRP years

Market Share

25.10%

To
25.35%

To
25.60%

To
25.85%

Increase of 0.75% pt during MRP period

Talent Costs

$173M

Flat

$180M

$210M

Investments to drive A&R/market share


growth & investments in emerging
markets

Inflation

-$20M

$20M

$20M

$20M

Savings

$20M

$15M

$15M

$15M

Real Estate

Flat

Flat

$12M

Flat

Reflects increased rent related to


relocation into new corp. headquarters

Investment In Emerging
Markets & Other Growth
Areas

$0M

$0M

$6M

$20M

Targeting emerging markets and growth


areas

-$23M

$20M
23

$20M

$20M

Overhead Vs. PY:


(Net After Inflation)

Restructuring

Offset inflation through targeted


savings initiatives

55

Mid-Range Plan

Agenda

Executive Summary

Full Year FYE15 Forecast


Brief Overview/Phase I Recap
Market Overview
Competitor Analysis
Key Strategic Initiatives and Goals

Financials (Main Focus)


Financial Anatomy of the Business
MRP Assumptions
Financial Projections
Risk/Opportunities & Sensitivity Impact of Key Drivers
Potential Strategic Investments
56

Comparison Vs. Prior MRP ($ In Millions)


Forecast
FYE15

Revenues

Operating Income

Net Cash Flow


Before Financing

Mid-Range Planning Period


FYE16
FYE17
FYE18

Prior MRP

$2,766

$2,831

$2,904

Forecast/MRP

$2,780

$2,735

$2,763

Inc/(Dec)

$14

($96)

($141)

Prior MRP

$230

$240

$250

Forecast/MRP

$240

$250

$260

Improvement

$10

$10

$10

Prior MRP

$130

$130

$135

Forecast/MRP

$138

$140*

$150

Improvement

$8

$10

$15

$2,896

$275

$160

MRP Op. Income Favorable From Prior Year MRP Despite Declining Revenues
* Assumes No Capital Payment Associated With NY Headquarters Relocation

57

Projected Improvement In All Profit Measures ($ In Millions)


FYE15
Bus. Plan Forecast

Mid-Range Planning Period


FYE16
FYE17
FYE18

$2,768

$2,780

$2,735

$2,763

$2,896

Operating Income

$240

$240

$250

$260

$275

Margin %

8.7%

8.6%

9.1%

9.4%

9.5%

Net Income

$138

$138

$150

$158

$168

Operating Cash Flow

$285

$292

$320

$330

$344

Net Cash Flow Before Financing

$138

$138

$140

$150

$160

Return On Equity

11.5%

11.3%

11.3%

11.2%

11.5%

EBITDA

$348

$341

$350

$367

$389

EBITDA Margins

12.6%

12.3%

12.8%

13.3%

13.4%

Revenues

MRP Reflects
Continued
Improvement In
Operating Income
Margins

58

Reconciliation
FYE14 Actual to FYE15 Forecast ($ In Millions)

Revenues
$2,869

Total Digital $53


+3.8%

+$21
Breakage +21

+$125

+$34

+$22
-$16

-$143

+$12

$2,780

Other
(New Business)

FYE15
4Q
Actual
Forecast

-$33

-$112

FYE14
FYE14
Actual
Actual

One Time Items

Physical Mkt
Decline -13%

Audio Subs/
Streaming
+50%

Downloads
-14%

Digital Video
+40%

Digital Radio
+32%

Other
-39%

Syco

Operating Income
Total Digital $31

$238

+$24
Breakage +14
Beats Gain +7
Other Gains +3

+$76

+$20

+$18
-$9

-$35

+$10
-$20

-$20

Orchard +6
NOW! +4

VEVO

Equity
Income

+$12
OH Inflation
OH Savings
Talent
New Business

$240

-20
+20
Flat
+12

-$74

FYE14
FYE15
Actual

One Time Items

Physical Mkt
Decline -13%

Downloads
-14%

Audio Subs/
Streaming
+50%

Digital Video
+40%

Digital Radio
+32%

Other
-39%

Syco

Costs/
Other/New
Business

FYE15
FYE16
Forecast
59

Reconciliation
FYE15 Forecast to FYE16 Target ($ In Millions)

Revenues

Total Digital $102


+7.8%

$2,780

$2,759
-$21

+$25

$2,735

Market Share
Gain +0.25% pt

FYE16
4QTarget
Actual

+$13

+$37

+$176

-$13

Breakage -21

-$151
-$111
FYE15
FYE14
Forecast
Actual

One Time Items

Adj. FYE15
Forecast

Physical Mkt
Decline -16%

Downloads
-16%

Audio Subs/
Streaming
+47%

Digital Video
+31%

Digital Radio
+14%

Other
-50%

Operating Income
Total Digital $64

$240

$216

+$105

+$20

-$44

One Time Items

Adj. FYE15
Forecast

Physical Mkt
Decline -16%

Downloads
-16%

$250

Biggest Risk Is Streaming Growth


47% Assumed Incremental
Growth Contributes $105M to
Profit If Only 30% Growth, Profit
Impacted Negatively by ~$39M

-$64
FYE15
FYE14
Forecast
Actual

+$2
OH Inflation
-20
OH Savings
+15
Other Cost Savings +6

-$8

-$24
Breakage
-14
Beats Gain -7
Other Gains -3

+$12

+$11

Audio Subs/
Streaming
+47%

Digital Video
+31%

Digital Radio
+14%

Other
-50%

Market Share
Gain +0.25% pt

Costs

FYE16
4Q
Target

Actual

60

Reconciliation
FYE16 Target to FYE17 Target ($ In Millions)

Revenues

Total Digital $168


+11.5%

$2,735

+$245

+$33

+$10

+$27

$2,763

Market Share Gain


+0.25% pt

4QTarget
Actual

-$10
-$167
-$110
FYE16

FYE14
Actual
Target

Physical Mkt
Decline -21%

Downloads
-18%

Audio Subs/
Streaming
+44%

Digital Video
+21%

Digital Radio
+10%

Other
-75%

FYE17

Operating Income
Total Digital $82

+$136

$250

+$12

+$9
-$7

-$54
-$70
FYE16
FYE15
Target

+$14

Physical Mkt Downloads


Decline -21%
-18%

$260
-$12

-$6

-$7

Inflation -20
Savings +15

Biggest Risk Is Streaming Growth


44% Assumed Incremental
Growth Contributes $136M to
Profit If Only 30% Growth, Profit
Impacted Negatively by ~$46M
Audio Subs/
Digital Video Digital Radio
Streaming
+21%
+10%
+44%

Other
-75%

-$5

Market
Share Gain
+0.25% pt

Real Estate

Emerging
Market
Investment

Talent
Investment

Costs

FYE17
FYE16
Target
61

Reconciliation
FYE17 Target to FYE18 Target ($ In Millions)

Revenues

Total Digital $251


+14.9%

$2,763

+$6

+$21

+$325

+$24

$2,896

Market Share Gain


+0.25% pt

FYE18
Target
4Q Actual

-$2
-$142
-$99

FYE17
Target
FYE14 Actual

Physical Mkt
Decline -23%

Audio Subs/
Streaming
+40%

Downloads
-20%

Operating Income

Digital Video
+11%

+$7

+$13

+$4

$260

-$1
-$48

Downloads
-20%

-$20

$275
-$30

Audio Subs/
Streaming
+40%

Digital Video
+11%

Digital Radio
+5%

Other
-75%

-$9
Inflation -20
Savings +15
Other
-4

Biggest Risk Is Streaming Growth


40% Assumed Incremental
Growth Contributes $162M to
Profit If Only 30% Growth, Profit
Impacted Negatively by ~$46M

-$63

Physical Mkt
Decline -23%

Other
-75%

Total Digital $109

+$162

FYE17
FYE15
Target

Digital Radio
+5%

Market
Share Gain
+0.25% pt

Emerging
Market
Investment

Talent
Investment

Costs/Other

FYE18
FYE16
Target
62

Cash Flow ($ In Millions)

Actual

Forecast

FYE14

FYE15

FYE16

FYE17

FYE18

$215

$215

$225

$235

$250

Depreciation/Amortization

83

78

80

87

94

Working Capital

(2)

(1)

15

$320

$330

$344

Earnings Before Interest & Taxes

Cash Flow From Operations

$296

$292

Mid-Range Planning Period

Capital Expenditures

(22)

(25)

(29)

(26)

(25)

Strategic Investments

(67)

(60)

(60)

(60)

(60)

$231

$244

$259

Proceeds From Disposal of Assets


EBIT Cash Flow

29 (1)

1
$208

$236
(2)

Interest & Taxes

(34)

(70)

(75)

(77)

(81)

Minority Interest Payments (3)

(24)

(28)

(16)

(17)

(18)

Net Cash Flow Before Financing

$150

1) Includes Proceeds From Sale of Beats ($17M) and Sale of Nashville Building ($12M)
2) Includes Receipt From SCA On Prior Year Taxes
3) FYE14 and FYE15 Reflects Dividends Paid to Simon Cowell and Benefit of X Factor U.S.

$138

$140

$150

$160

63

Mid-Range Plan

Agenda

Executive Summary

Full Year FYE15 Forecast


Brief Overview/Phase I Recap
Market Overview
Competitor Analysis
Key Strategic Initiatives and Goals

Financials (Main Focus)


Financial Anatomy of the Business
MRP Assumptions
Financial Projections
Risk/Opportunities & Sensitivity Impact of Key Drivers
Potential Strategic Investments
64

Risks During the MRP Period


Aggressive Market Assumptions

MRP Assumes 44% CAGR for Streaming and 20% CAGR for Video
Physical Decline Could Accelerate and Cause Accounts to Exiting Music Cliff Event

Unsustainable Profit From Syco TV


and Syco Music

MRP Assumes Extension of SC deal At Existing Terms


MRP Assumes Success With New Formats ($46M Profit From New Formats Over 3 Year MRP)

Higher Artist Royalty Cost

Pressure On Artist Royalty Rate For Digital Particularly Streaming


MRP Assumes Some Slow Rate Creep Could Be Faster and Higher

Talent Exposure On Superstar Artist


Deals and JVs

Key Superstar Talent Assumed to Perform Consistent With Historical Sales and No Additional
Advance Exposure
JVs Expected to Perform Develop New Talent and Turn Profitable

Unable to Generate Overhead


Savings to Offset Inflation

MRP Assumes $15M Savings Initiatives Per Year ($45M Total) All Currently Unidentified
Mitigated by Restructuring Provisions

Higher VEVO Funding Needed to


Drive Strategy

MRP Assumes $20M Per Year For Funding of VEVO Operations Which Is Only the Current Run Rate

Universals Aggressive Practices


Further Negatively Impacts Business
Economics

Drives Up Costs For Key Artist Renegotiations and New Artist Signings
Pricing Decisions Will Force Us to Follow Suit to Maintain Sales and Positioning

Potential Unfavorable Result From


Online Rate Hearing

Negative Impacts For Recorded Music From By-Product of DOJ Review of Publisher Issues

Negative Impact of the Orchard Exit


Provision

If Forced to Sell Lower Operating Income and Market Share/Influence


Mitigated by One Time Gain On Sale

Contingency Plans
to Mitigate Risks
Would Include:

Further Overhead Reductions


Reduction In New Talent Investment
Reduction In New Releases and Rosters
Potential Wholesale Changes In the Way We Do Business
- Exclusives/Windowing
- 3rd Party Artist Financing
65

Opportunities During the MRP Period


Purchase of Controlling Interest In
the Orchard

Consolidation of Earnings (51% to 100%)


Recognition of Gain From Revaluing Existing 51%
Interest

Sale of Spotify Equity

Potential Sale of Warrants and Equity Totaling ~7%


Interest
Approximately $4B Valuation

Liquidation of Other Equity


Investments

Deezer (5%)
VEVO (37.7%)

Higher Growth In Emerging Markets

Digital Business Provides Opportunity to Grow


Legitimate Music In Emerging Markets

Potential For Favorable Result From


Online Rate Hearing

U.S. Copyright Review Hearing On Online Radio


Rates to Take Place Calendar Year 2015

Recognition of Breakage

Unearned Advances
Minimum Guarantees
Flats From Digital Service Providers
66

Physical Market Sensitivity Operating Income ($ In Millions)


1% pt Growth/Decline In Physical Impacts
Profitability by Approximately $3M
High Case and Low Case Exclude the
Potential Offsetting Effect of Digital Market
Movements

Lower Case
CAGR

$289

$273

$259

$275

-16%
Base Case
CAGR

-20%

$260

Higher Case

$263

$250

CAGR

-24%

$248

$240
$241

FYE15
Forecast

FYE16

FYE17
Mid-Range Planning Period

FYE18

67

Digital Market Sensitivity Operating Income ($ In Millions)


1% pt Growth/Decline In Digital Impacts
Profitability by Approximately $8M (FYE16)
High Case and Low Case Exclude the
Potential Offsetting Effect of Physical
Market Movements

Higher Case

$395

CAGR

+15%
$333
Base Case

$284
$240

$250

$260

$275

+11%

$216

Lower Case

$190

CAGR

$164
FYE15
Forecast

FYE16

CAGR

FYE17
Mid-Range Planning Period

+7%

FYE18

68

Mid-Range Plan

Agenda

Executive Summary

Full Year FYE15 Forecast


Brief Overview/Phase I Recap
Market Overview
Competitor Analysis
Key Strategic Initiatives and Goals

Financials (Main Focus)


Financial Anatomy of the Business
MRP Assumptions
Financial Projections
Risk/Opportunities & Sensitivity Impact of Key Drivers
Potential Strategic Investments
69

Strategic Investments Summary


Similar to Prior Years, the FYE15 and MRP Includes $60M Per Year For Strategic Investments This Is to Fund Investments and Artist Renegotiations Which
Are Not Major or Individually Not In Excess of $25M
VEVO Funding Up to $20M Per Year Is Covered Within the FYE and MRP
Additionally, A $50M Provisions For Investments In Talent Acquisitions In Emerging Markets Have Been Assumed In the MRP Split Across FYE17 and FYE18

Summary of Potentially Major Strategic Investments Individually Over $25M and Not Included In the MRP Requiring Additional Capital
Investment
Opportunity

Investment Type

Strategic
Priority

Acquisition of
German Compilation
Brand

MEDIUM

Acquisition of 50%
of Syco JV

$3M

$5M

$4M

$3M
(6 Years)

MRP Assumes Our Relationship


With Simon Cowell Extends
Beyond the 12/31/15 Term of
Current Syco Venture
If This Is Not the Case, Our MRP
Profits In Year 2 + Year 3 Could Be
Negatively Impacted by $10M or
More Per Year

HIGH

Strengthens Position In Country Music


A Growing Genre
Provides Key Executive Talent
Provides Opportunity to Consolidate
Operations (Cost Synergies)

FYE15
or
FYE16

$100M+

$10M

$20M

$10M

$15M

HIGH

Preserves Market Share (~3.5%)


Gives SME Control and Allows
Consolidation
Provides Connection to Indie Label
Sector
EBIT Accretive
Transaction Could Result In Significant
One-Time Gain (~$100M+)

FYE15
or
FYE16

$175M $300M

$15M

$20M

$20M

$25M

FYE15
or
FYE16

$40M
(Not All
Upfront)

$2M

$6M

$2M

$4M
(2 Years)

Acquisition of
Remaining 49%
Interest

COLDPLAY

$30M

Annual
Impact
Thereafter

$100M+

(Taylor Swift)

Operating Talent
Investment In
Global Rock Band

Extends Relationship With Simon


Cowell
Key Global Repertoire Source
TV Formats Contribute Profits/Talent

FYE15

Potential Incremental MRP


Annual Profit Impact
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3

FYE15
or
FYE16

HIGH

Acquisition of
Country Music
Label/Key Executive

Strategic Rationale
~2% Local Market Share
EBIT Accretive

Potential
Potential Investment
Timing
$s

MEDIUM

Gives Us Relationship With One of the


Top Bands In the World
Helps Build Market Share

70

Strategic Investments Summary


Investment
Opportunity

Investment Type

Strategic
Priority

Acquisition of 80%
Shares In Kontor
Records

MEDIUM

Acquisition of Cuban
Record Label

MEDIUM

Acquisition of Key
European Digital
Distribution Company

Acquisition In Razor &


Tie Record Label

Potential Incremental MRP


Annual
Annual Profit Impact
Impact
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Thereafter

$52M

TBD

TBD

TBD

TBD

Important Cuban Music Catalog and


Would Put SME As Leader In This
Important Latin Genre

FYE15 FYE16

~$25M

TBD

TBD

TBD

TBD

MEDIUM

Believe Digital Is A Direct Competitor of


The Orchard With Significant Presence In
Central Europe
Opportunity Exists to Achieve Synergistic
Value With The Orchard

FYE16 FYE18

$75M $150M

TBD

TBD

TBD

TBD

MEDIUM

Razor & Tie Are Creators of Popular Kidz


Bop Franchise and Diverse Artist Roster
(0.5% U.S. Market Share)
SME and Razor & Tie Have Had
Longstanding Distribution Relationship

FYE16 FYE18

TBD

TBD

TBD

TBD

TBD

FYE16 FYE18

TBD

TBD

TBD

TBD

TBD

FYE16 FYE19

TBD

TBD

TBD

TBD

TBD

HIGH

VEVO Is Expected to Continue to


Experience Positive Revenue Growth and
Will Require Additional Funding to
Continue to Expand Their Business, Cover
Working Capital and Other Operational
Cash Expenses

TBD

TBD

TBD

TBD

TBD

TBD

HIGH

To Renegotiate Our Deal With Beyonc


and Other Superstar Artists
As Well As Look At Other Potential New
Superstar Signings
Help Grow Market Share

TBD

TBD

TBD

TBD

TBD

TBD

Buyout of Dr. Lukes


Interest In JV At End of
Term

MEDIUM

Retain Kemosabe Label and Relationship


With A&R Executive

Buyout of Patrick
Moxeys Interest In JV
At End of Term

MEDIUM

Retain Ultra Label and Relationship With


A&R Executive

Operating Talent
Investment In Global
Superstars

Potential
Investment
$s

FYE15 FYE16

Continued Operational
Funding of VEVO JV

BEYONC
/Others

Strategic Rationale
Strengthens Position of SME In Germany
Increases Digital Market Share In
Germany by 7%-8% pts
Strong Partner In Dance Music

Potential
Timing

71

Bravo

Strategic
Priority

MEDIUM

Germany acquisition of BRAVO Hits compilation series


Overview/
Long Term
Strategic Value

The BRAVO Hits compilation series is by far the biggest selling compilations product series
in GSA
Until 2013, SME GSA was part of a JV with UMG licensing the brand from Bauer Verlag
Given their market power after EMI acquisition, UMG pushed SME out of the JV contract
and licensed directly from Bauer, resulting in profit loss of $4.6M for SME
Acquiring the trademark gives SME chance to get back into this important compilation brand
Bravo represents in total 2% of market share
In acquiring brand and then forming a JV with UMG would increase SMEs Market share by
roughly 1% (and reduce UMGs respectively)

Estimated cost

~$30M

Timing

F2015

Expected IRR

~11-12%

Incremental
Profit

EBIT of $37M over 10 years

72

Big Machine/Taylor Swift

Strategic
Priority

HIGH

Acquisition of indie label Big Machine


Overview/
Long Term
Strategic Value

Addition of Big Machine label to our Country division and Taylor Swift, the top female
country artist, to our roster
Big Machine founder/owner, Scott Borchetta potential Sony executive
Synergy opportunities in integrating Big Machine with Sony Music Nashville
Position Sony Music as leader in Country music genre

Estimated cost

$100M+

Timing

F2015 - F2016

Expected IRR

TBD

73

Syco

Strategic
Priority

Key Initiative

HIGH

Extension of Simon Cowell Services Current Deal Expires 12/31/15


Simon Cowell Is:
- One of the Most Prominent and Successful TV Personalities
- The Most Successful A&R Executive In the Industry Over the Last 15 Years
- Proven Developer of Highly Successful TV Formats
Simon Cowell and Sony Music: A 24 Year Relationship
Potential New Deal Framework
- Purchase of All or Part of SCs Interest In the Syco JV, Excluding Music
(Est. $60M - $100M)
- Enhance Music Relationship Possible Converting Override Arrangement to JV
Arrangement (Estimated Profit Advance TBD)
- Extend SCs Services On TV and Music For An Additional 5 Years (Annual Salary TBD)
- Discussions Underway With SPE TV
- Timing Expected During FYE15 or FYE16
- IRR Range 10%-20%

Syco JV (Primarily TV Format Income)


$102.3M

$95.8M

Syco Artists

$99.0M

$62.2M

$61.7M

$48.7M

Revenues

Profit

FYE12ACT

$67.8M
$42.8M

Revenues

Profit

FYE13ACT

Revenues

Profit

FYE14ACT

Revenues

Profit

FYE15FC

Total Syco JV Post-Tax Dividends FYE11-FYE14 $146M


- Sonys Share $105M; SCs Share $41M
- Sony Allocated $64M Higher Than SC Due to Contract Terms Which
Protect/Recovered Sonys Initial Investment
MRP Assumes Flat From FYE15FC

74

The Orchard

Strategic
Priority

HIGH

Current equity investment with 51% non-controlling ownership stake. Negotiating with
Dimensional about potential purchase of remaining 49% interest.
Overview/
Long Term
Strategic Value

SMEs investment in the Orchard has created significant value since Mar12. Our $25M cash
investment has generated $14M of equity income to date for a net investment value of
$38M. Orchards CY14 EBITDA is forecasted to be $25M.
Purchase of remaining 49% of the Orchard gives SME full control and allows us to consolidate
Orchard financials. Based upon Orchards 3 year MRP, EBITDA is projected to grow from
$25M to $47M by CY17.
Given current net investment value on our books, purchase of the remainder of company at a
valuation of $350M-$660M could result in significant one time P&L gain due ($144M+)
Preserve Market Share: Based on our agreement we have the last right to match any binding
third party offer to buy Orchard. If we elect not to buy the remaining 49% at the third party
valuation we would be forced to sell our 51% interest. This would result in a loss of over 3.5%
pts in global digital market share.

Estimated cost

$175M - $330M (based on overall valuation of $350M - $660M) Based on offer received from
3rd party
Any deal could include significant earn out component

Timing

3 - 12 months

Current Status

Given current gap between Dimensional and SMEs valuation, Dimensional will explore
potential third party interest to acquire its 49% share.
SME will make a decision on exercising its right to match at the appropriate time

Expected IRR

10%-20%
75

Coldplay

Strategic
Priority

MEDIUM

Signing iconic band Coldplay (currently have one album remaining with WMG) in a
distribution deal & license agreement
Overview/
Long Term
Strategic Value

Coldplays recent albums sold over 6M units each worldwide

Estimated cost

Maximum commitment $40M

Timing

Signing in F2015, effective F2016


Payments spread over contract term (per album)

Expected IRR

~20%

Profit Impact

Profit contribution of $18M over 3 albums

Will increase our artist roster with an iconic band, long-term deal with 3 firm albums,
creation of catalog product

76

Kontor Records (Germany)

Strategic
Priority

MEDIUM

Acquisition of 80% shares in Kontor Records, a local German EDM music label
Overview/
Long Term
Strategic Value

Acquisition in artists, repertoire and brands which immediately increases local digital market
share by 7%-8% pts and strengthen significantly the position of SME in GSA
Acquisition of a very strong partner in dance music with existing brands and license income
Strong digital repertoire securing the future business

Estimated cost

Investment for SME Germany: purchase price = 52M USD for 80% of Kontor Records shares
Payment in cash, due dates to be discussed

Timing

TBD, could be FY2015

Expected IRR

TBD, based upon financial review and analysis

77

Egrem (Cuban/Latin America)

Strategic
Priority

MEDIUM

Acquisition of Cuban record label Egrem


Overview/
Long Term
Strategic Value

Cuban music is a very important genre in the Latin region and is so far not exploited
Internationally

Estimated cost

May be up to or below $25M

Timing

Within the next year

Expected IRR

N/A

Acquisition of this important Cuban music catalog would put us ahead of the game and
ensure Sony Music holds a significant market share in this important genre

78

Believe Digital

Strategic
Priority

MEDIUM

Potential acquisition of Believe Digital, a competitor to the Orchard with a significant


presence in Continental Europe
Overview/
Long Term
Strategic Value

While The Orchards organic growth prospects continue to be strong, opportunity exists to
achieve synergistic value through this acquisition (as evidenced by the integration of The
Orchard & IODA)
International strength presents a much more attractive acquisition target as it completes the
Orchards global market share profile
Believes distribution fees are in line with the Orchard which should enable a high label
retention rate

Estimated cost

$75M - $150M (based on 100% acquisition)

Timing

1-3 years

Expected IRR

10%-20%

79

Razor & Tie

Strategic
Priority

MEDIUM

Potential acquisition/investment in Razor & Tie record label


Overview/
Long Term
Strategic Value

Longstanding distribution relationship with proven track record. Creator of popular Kidz Bop
franchise, as well as a diverse artist roster specializing in metal, rock. R&T had 0.5% U.S.
market share CY13
Depending on deal structure, potentially allows us to consolidate Razor & Tie financials (FY14
recorded music revenue through SME of $20M + additional ancillary revenue streams)
R&Ts specialty compliments SMEs catalogue and distribution business

Estimated cost

TBD

Timing

1-3 years

Expected IRR

TBD

80

Kemosabe/Dr. Luke

Strategic
Priority

MEDIUM

Sony Entered Into A 50/50 JV With Dr. Luke In January 2012


- Start Up Label Therefore We Expected Ramp Up Time to Be Up to 2 Years With Limited Releases In 3rd Year (F15), We Are Expecting
Several Releases
Relationship With Dr Luke Brought the Ten Label Deal to Sony and Helped Us Secure An Extension With Shakira
Under Exclusive Producer Arrangement Dr. Luke Produced Tracks For Most JV Artist As Well As Several Non-JV Artist (Britney Spears, Pitbull,
One Direction, Avril, Cher Lloyd, Adam Lambert)
Potential Buyout
- Contractual Option to Buy Dr. Lukes Interest In JV At End of Term (December 2017)
- Potential Timing F17 or F18
- Potential Purchase Price and IRR TBD

$33.8M
$7.6M

Juicy J
Miley Cyrus
Smurfs OST

Kesha

$6.5M

Profit

Revenues

Profit

JV Year 1

JV Year 2

15 Months Ending March 31, 2013

12 Months Ending March 31, 2014

Releases Expected During the Next 12 Months


Kesha
Juicy J
Christian Burghardt
Everything Everything
Zara Larsson

Kesha

G.R.L.
Sophia Black
Becky G
Miley Cyrus

Juicy J

Industrys Most Successful Producer


of the Last 5 Years
Tracks Produced Have Sold Over 50
Million Units

Dr. Luke

Has Written/Produced Hit Songs for Kelly


Clarkson, P!nk, Avril Lavigne, Katy Perry, Britney
Spears, Miley Cyrus, Kesha

-$2.3M
Revenues

Song Writer, Record Producer,


Remixer

Elliphant
Lil Bibby
J Mike
Doja Cat

Miley Cyrus

Yelle
Young Yawn
Saint Johns
Rock City
Dallas K

Smurfs OST

Relaunched Mileys Career As An


Adult Performer

Album Bangerz Debuted At No. 1


On the Billboard 200, Selling 270,000
Copies In Its First Week in the U.S.
Wrecking Ball Became Cyrus' First
Single to Reach Number 1 On The
Billboard Hot 100

Miley Cyrus

Fastest Growing Video On VEVO With Wrecking Ball


At No. 1, Logging Over 100 Millions Views In Just Six
Days

G.R.L.

Becky G

81

Ultra Records/Patrick Moxey

Strategic
Priority

MEDIUM

Sony Acquired 50% Interest In An Established Label, Ultra, In December 2012 Increasing Sonys
Footprint In EM (Dance)
- An Established and Profitable Label Therefore No Startup Period Immediate Profit
Patrick Moxey Also Serves As Head of EM For Sony Music International
- Providing Support to All International Affiliates In EM A&R and Marketing Activities
- Several International EM Acts Have Been Signed, Including Mr. Probz, With Patricks Oversight and Format Credibility
Potential Buyout
- Contractual Option to Buy Patrick Moxeys Interest In JV At End of Term (December 2017)
- Potential Timing F17 or F18
- Potential Purchase Price and IRR TBD

$28.8M
$23.0M

$7.0M

Revenues

Profit

Sonys Share
$3.5M
P. Moxey Share $1.0M

$4.5M
Revenues

2012 (Pre-JV)

Profit

JV Year 1

Annual Profit Allocation Protects Sonys Investment


From Declining Profits
- 1st - Sony receives $3.5M profit each year,
- 2nd - PM receives next $3.5M profit,
- 3rd - Sony receives shortfall on $3.5M/year, if any
- 4th - 50%/50

15 Months Ending March 31, 2014

Ultras Yr 1 Profits Declined From Historical Level Due to Fewer Big Hits Than Prior Years
- Deals Expired and Not Renewed On A Few Established Acts
- Universal Aggressively Overpaid For Several EM Acts After Losing Bid to Acquire Ultra

Mr. Probz

Steve Aoki

Benny Benassi

Kaskade

Carnage

Project 46

82

VEVO

Strategic
Priority

HIGH

Continued funding of VEVO JV


Overview/
Long Term
Strategic Value

VEVOs business performing better than forecasted with revenue growing 57% yoy in 1st half
of year. SMEs license revenue from VEVO is forecasted at $85M for FYE15. Overall, net
income to SME from VEVO is positive as net profits from content fees after artist royalties is
forecasted to exceed SMEs equity losses by $31M for FYE15.
While VEVO is expected to continue to experience positive revenue growth, VEVO will
require additional capital funding to continue to expand their business, cover working capital
and other operational cash expenses over the MRP period. Growth in VEVO can be achieved
through investment in original content, launch of a subscription service and International
expansion.
Majority Shareholders (Universal / SME) believe significant value growth can be achieved and
will therefore continue to invest in building of the business. As a result, no outside
investment from 3rd parties is likely during Mid Range Plan.
Exception could be made for investment by Warner Music if antitrust requirements can be
met

Estimated cost

$60M of funding

Timing

Throughout MRP Period

Expected IRR

N/A

83

MRP Phase II Review

October 8, 2014

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