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Regression Statistics

Multiple R
0.93082
R Square 0.866425
Adjusted R 0.85833
Standard E 4108.993
Observatio
36

Residuals

SUMMARY OUTPUT

df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
F
Significance F
2 3.6E+009 1.8E+009 107.0261 3.8E-015
33 5.6E+008 16883824
35 4.2E+009

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept
3996.678 6603.651 0.605223 0.549171 -9438.551 17431.91 -9438.551 17431.91
MachHrs(M 43.5364 3.589484 12.12887 1.0E-013 36.23354 50.83926 36.23354 50.83926
ProdRuns( 883.6179 82.25141 10.74289 2.6E-012 716.2762 1050.96 716.2762 1050.96

Residuals

ANOVA

Mach

10000
5000
0
1000
-5000
-10000
-15000

Prod

10000

5000
0

-5000 15 2
-10000
-15000

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
Predicted Overhead(Y)
Residuals
1 98391.35 1406.649
2 85522.33 2281.667
3 92723.6 957.4046
4 82428.09 -166.092
5 100227.9 6740.097
6 107869.4 55.60458
7 114933.5 2353.528
8 75117.13 1750.866
9 104910.4 1090.632
10 88553.83 184.1658
11 107350.1 -1520.116
12 96596.63 -7866.625
13 105066.8 -4442.757
14 99463.45 -606.4515
15 101603.3 1018.689
16 112800.2 -4741.189
17 111055.6 -1001.576
18 90940.05 951.9496
19 96712.63 1980.365
20 107725.9 2804.104
21 97610.85 -727.8524
22 95313.16 4279.844
23 97794.73 -3230.731
24 102930.3 2821.684
25 92070.55 1153.451
26 82713.38 -7315.381

27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

117634.2
96150.08
101277.6
98155.91
84741.83
95609.89
113279.1
109936.5
92022.15
112227.6

-4497.176
-10541.08
-2779.643
3647.088
3629.165
6809.112
3903.911
-2108.52
-3990.147
5715.36

Residuals
Residuals

MachHrs(M) Residual Plot

10000
5000
0
1000
-5000
-10000
-15000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

MachHrs(M)

ProdRuns(P) Residual Plot

10000

5000
0
-5000 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65
-10000
ProdRuns(P)
-15000

Month
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

MachHrs(M)
1539
1284
1490
1355
1500
1777
1716
1045
1364
1516
1623
1376
1327
1178
1491
1667
1769
1104
1196
1794
1379
1448
1505
1420
1475
1118
1433
1589
1585
1493
1124
1536
1678
1723
1413
1390

ProdRuns(P)
31
29
27
22
35
30
41
29
47
21
37
37
49
50
37
41
34
44
46
29
38
32
32
42
27
34
58
26
32
33
36
28
41
35
30
54

Overhead(Y)
99798
87804
93681
82262
106968
107925
117287
76868
106001
88738
105830
88730
100624
98857
102622
108059
110054
91892
98693
110530
96883
99593
94564
105752
93224
75398
113137
85609
98498
101803
88371
102419
117183
107828
88032
117943

Mach hrs Vs. Overhead


125000
120000

Overhead

115000
110000
105000
100000
95000
90000
85000
80000
75000
1000

1100

1200

1300

1400
MachHrs

1500

1600

1700

1800

1900

ProdRuns Vs. Overhead


125000
120000

Overhead

115000
110000
105000
100000
95000
90000
85000
80000
75000
15

20

25

30

35

40
ProdRuns

45

50

55

60

65

MachHrs Vs. ProdRuns


65
60

ProdRuns

55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

MachHrs

1600

1700

1800

1900

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.6318845251
R Square
0.399278053
Adjusted R Square
0.3816097605
Standard Error
8584.73935275
Observations
36
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
Mach Hrs

SS
1 1665463368.342
34 2505723491.658
35
4171186860

MS
F
1665463368.3416 22.5986
73697749.754659

Coefficients
Standard Error
48621.35463393 10725.33269582
34.7022364208
7.2999020967

t Stat
P-value
4.5333190133 7E-005
4.7537947716 4E-005

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17

Predicted Y
102028.0964855
93179.02619824
100327.6869009
95642.88498412
100674.7092651
110287.2287537
108170.392332
84885.19169367
95955.20511191
101229.9450479
104943.0843449
96371.63194896
94671.22236434
89500.58913764
100362.3891373
106469.9827474
110009.6108623

Residuals
Standard Residuals
-2230.09648555
-0.2635670424
-5375.02619824
-0.635254917
-6646.68690093
-0.7855478987
-13380.8849841
-1.5814384277
6293.290734865
0.7437812833
-2362.2287537
-0.2791832775
9116.607667972
1.077458906
-8017.19169367
-0.9475229061
10045.79488809
1.1872761848
-12491.9450479
-1.4763778299
886.9156551062
0.1048213553
-7641.63194896
-0.9031368574
5952.777635663
0.7035372709
9356.410862363
1.1058003787
2259.610862652
0.2670552399
1589.017252591
0.1878002052
44.3891376692
0.0052461917

18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

86932.6236425
90125.22939321
110877.1667729
96475.73865822
98870.19297125
100848.2204472
97898.53035147
99807.15335462
87418.45495239
98349.65942494
103763.2083066
103624.3993609
100431.7936102
87626.66837091
101923.9897763
106851.707348
108413.307987
97655.61469653
96857.46325885

4959.376357502
8567.770606788
-347.166772851
407.2613417818
722.8070287465
-6284.22044724
7853.469648529
-6583.15335462
-12020.4549524
14787.34057506
-18154.2083066
-5126.3993609
1371.20638981
744.3316290862
495.010223716
10331.29265196
-585.307986974
-9623.61469653
21085.53674115

0.5861307648
1.0125938376
-0.041030386
0.0481327458
0.08542595
-0.7427092988
0.9281731894
-0.7780390985
-1.4206541199
1.74766233
-2.1455802568
-0.6058706098
0.1620579266
0.0879698647
0.058503469
1.2210181335
-0.0691754352
-1.137380234
2.4920233684

X Variable 1 Residual Plot


Residuals

25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
0
1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900
-5000

Significance F
3.5742391E-005

-10000
-15000
-20000

Lower 95%
Upper 95%
26824.87047672 70417.83879
19.8670602157 49.53741263

-25000

X Variable 1

130000

X Variable 1 Line Fit Plot

120000
110000
100000
90000
80000
70000

Variable
1 1800 2000
1000 1200 X1400
1600

Normal P-P Plot of Regression

Dependent Variable: OVERHE


1.00

Normal P-P Plot of Regression

Dependent Variable: OVERHE


1.00

Expected Cum Prob

.75

.50

.25

0.00
0.00

.25

.50

Observed Cum Prob

.75

1.00

Plot

00 1600 1700 1800 1900

Plot

le 1 1800 2000
1600

P Plot of Regression Standardized Residual


Variable: OVERHEAD

P Plot of Regression Standardized Residual


Variable: OVERHEAD

.50

Prob

.75

1.00

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.52054
R Square
0.27097
Adjusted R Squa
0.24952
Standard Error 9457.23946
Observations
36.00000
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
1 1130247999.26
34 3040938860.74
35
4171186860

Coefficients Standard Error


75605.5157 6808.6106288
655.07066 184.274677859

Intercept
Prod Runs

MS
1130247999.26176
89439378.2570071

t Stat
P-value
11.1043970402 7E-013
3.5548598853 0.00114

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17

Predicted Y
95912.7062
94602.5649
93292.4235
90017.0702
98532.9888
95257.6355
102463.413
94602.5649
106393.837
89361.9996
99843.1301
99843.1301
107703.978
108359.049
99843.1301
102463.413
97877.9182

F
12.637

Residuals
Standard Residuals
3885.29381987
0.4168252748
-6798.5648597
-0.7293692054
388.576460662
0.0416875782
-7755.0702383
-0.8319857991
8435.01117908
0.9049317801
12667.3644801
1.3589905746
14823.5872179
1.5903162289
-17734.56486
-1.9026141173
-392.8367433
-0.0421446333
-623.99957815
-0.066944434
5986.86985868
0.6422882772
-11113.130141
-1.1922479328
-7079.9780637
-0.7595600073
-9502.0487239
-1.0194065763
2778.86985868
0.2981249929
5595.58721789
0.6003103724
12176.0818393
1.3062843878

18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

104428.625
105738.766
94602.5649
100498.201
96567.7768
96567.7768
103118.483
93292.4235
97877.9182
113599.614
92637.3529
96567.7768
97222.8475
99188.0595
93947.4942
102463.413
98532.9888
95257.6355
110979.331

-12536.624763
-7045.7660831
15927.4351403
-3615.2008015
3025.22315967
-2003.7768403
2633.51655769
-68.423539338
-22479.918161
-462.61400548
-7028.3528791
1930.22315967
4580.15249947
-10817.059481
8471.50580046
14719.5872179
9295.01117908
-7225.6355199
6963.66863531

-1.3449644491
-0.7558896495
1.7087401461
-0.3878489343
0.3245544696
-0.2149708287
0.282531081
-0.0073406702
-2.411708998
-0.0496305348
-0.7540215119
0.2070797825
0.491371673
-1.1604846377
0.908847026
1.5791588157
0.9971950047
-0.7751865498
0.7470820039

X Variable 1 Residual Plot

Residuals

20000
15000
10000
5000
0
Significance F
0.0011354842

-5000

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

55

-10000
-15000
-20000

Lower 95%
Upper 95%
61768.7632409 89442.26819
280.579704026 1029.561616

X Variable 1

-25000

X Variable 1 Line Fit Plot

125000
115000

105000
95000
85000
75000
65000
20

25

30

35
40 145
X Variable

50

Normal P-P Plot of Regression St

Dependent Variable: OVERHEAD


1.00

Normal P-P Plot of Regression St

Dependent Variable: OVERHEAD


1.00

Expected Cum Prob

.75

.50

.25

0.00
0.00

.25

.50

Observed Cum Prob

.75

1.00

ual Plot

40

45

50

55

60

55

60

able 1

Fit Plot

40 145
riable

50

Plot of Regression Standardized Residual

ariable: OVERHEAD

Plot of Regression Standardized Residual

ariable: OVERHEAD

ob

.75

1.00

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.9308
R Square
0.8664
Adjusted R Square
0.8583
Standard Error
4108.9931
Observations
36
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
Mach Hrs
Prod Runs

2
33
35

SS
3614020660.90309
557166199.096909
4171186860

MS
1807010330.45155
16883824.2150579

Coefficients
3996.6782085
43.536398116
883.61792524

Standard Error
6603.6509323114
3.5894836996
82.2514075303

t Stat
0.6052225124
12.1288747238
10.7428912377

Predicted Y
98391.350591
85522.333221
92723.595383
82428.092011
100227.90277
107869.39542
114933.47231
75117.134072
104910.36772
88553.834182
107350.11558
96596.62525
105066.75685
99463.451451
101603.31103
112800.1888

Residuals
Standard Residuals
1406.6494087829
0.3525555122
2281.6667787817
0.571865452
957.4046174311
0.2399590639
-166.0920107239
-0.0416284637
6740.0972343185
1.6893039717
55.6045824847
0.0139364521
2353.5276898553
0.5898763083
1750.86592844
0.4388282044
1090.632275124
0.273350572
184.1658178888
0.0461583916
-1520.1155844046
-0.3809941021
-7866.6252498205
-1.9716512709
-4442.756845083
-1.113510165
-606.4514510844
-0.1519979326
1018.6889668711
0.2553190641
-4741.1888024742
-1.1883076454

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16

17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

111055.57593
-1001.5759335672
90940.050439
951.9495609459
96712.634916
1980.3650838103
107725.89626
2804.1037397618
97610.852369
-727.8523694121
95313.156288
4279.8437120695
97794.730981
-3230.7309805269
102930.31639
2821.6836068655
92070.549411
1153.450589167
82713.38076
-7315.3807602301
117634.17637
-4497.1763725497
96150.080871 -10541.0808707813
101277.64283
-2779.6428297849
98155.912128
3647.0878716174
84741.834999
3629.1650005867
95609.887621
6809.1123788633
113279.08918
3903.9108182528
109936.51955
-2108.5195454883
92022.146503
-3990.1465033913
112227.63955
5715.3604474042

-0.2510299397
0.238591836
0.496348715
0.7028064166
-0.1824252464
1.0726784391
-0.8097341162
0.7072125458
0.2890950373
-1.8334901327
-1.1271496009
-2.641963337
-0.6966756575
0.9140877071
0.9095956091
1.7066015794
0.978456515
-0.5284687029
-1.0000701921
1.4324691125

Residuals V
8000

Residuals

6000

F
Significance F
107.02612793 3.753742E-015

4000
2000
0
70000
-2000

80000

90000

10

-4000

P-value
Lower 95% Upper 95%
0.5491709487 -9438.5612843 17431.918
1.04645E-013 36.2335328289 50.839263
2.61140E-012 716.276045712 1050.9598

-6000
-8000
-10000
-12000

98391.3505912
85522.3332212
92723.5953826
82428.0920107
100227.902766
107869.395418
114933.47231
75117.1340716
104910.367725
88553.8341821
107350.115584
96596.6252498
105066.756845
99463.4514511
101603.311033
112800.188802

1406.6494
2281.6668
957.40462
-166.09201
6740.0972
55.604582
2353.5277
1750.8659
1090.6323
184.16582
-1520.1156
-7866.6252
-4442.7568
-606.45145
1018.689
-4741.1888

Normal P-P Plot of

Dependent Variable
1.00

.75

Expected Cum Prob

Observed Y
99798
87804
93681
82262
106968
107925
117287
76868
106001
88738
105830
88730
100624
98857
102622
108059

Obse

.50

.25

0.00
0.00

.25

.50

Observed Cum Prob

-1001.5759
951.94956
1980.3651
2804.1037
-727.85237
4279.8437
-3230.731
2821.6836
1153.4506
-7315.3808
-4497.1764
-10541.081
-2779.6428
3647.0879
3629.165
6809.1124
3903.9108
-2108.5195
-3990.1465
5715.3604

Expected Cum P

111055.575934
90940.0504391
96712.6349162
107725.89626
97610.8523694
95313.1562879
97794.7309805
102930.316393
92070.5494108
82713.3807602
117634.176373
96150.0808708
101277.64283
98155.9121284
84741.8349994
95609.8876211
113279.089182
109936.519545
92022.1465034
112227.639553

.25

0.00
0.00

.25

.50

Observed Cum Prob

Fitted Vs. Obser


130000
Fitted Y

110054
91892
98693
110530
96883
99593
94564
105752
93224
75398
113137
85609
98498
101803
88371
102419
117183
107828
88032
117943

.50

120000
110000
100000
90000
80000
70000
70000

80000

90000

1000
Observ

Residuals Vs. Y

80000

90000

100000

110000

120000

130000

Observed Y

ormal P-P Plot of Regression Standardized Residual

ependent Variable: OVERHEAD

.25

.50

served Cum Prob

.75

1.00

.25

.50

.75

1.00

served Cum Prob

000

Fitted Vs. Observed Y

90000

100000
Observed Y

110000

120000

130000

Residuals

X Variable 1 Residual Plot


8000
6000
4000
2000
0
-20001000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900
-4000
-6000
-8000
-10000
-12000
X Variable 1

Residuals

8000

X Variable 2 Residual Plot

6000
4000
2000
0
-2000 20

25

30

35

40

45

-4000
-6000
-8000
-10000
-12000

X Variable 2

50

55

60

Month
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

MachHrs(M)
1539
1284
1490
1355
1500
1777
1716
1045
1364
1516
1623
1376
1327
1178
1491
1667
1769
1104
1196
1794
1379
1448
1505
1420
1475
1118
1433
1589
1585
1493
1124
1536
1678
1723
1413
1390

ProdRuns(P) Overhead(Y)
31
99798
29
87804
27
93681
22
82262
35
106968
30
107925
41
117287
29
76868
47
106001
21
88738
37
105830
37
88730
49
100624
50
98857
37
102622
41
108059
34
110054
44
91892
46
98693
29
110530
38
96883
32
99593
32
94564
42
105752
27
93224
34
75398
58
113137
26
85609
32
98498
33
101803
36
88371
28
102419
41
117183
35
107828
30
88032
54
117943

Yhat w/ M
102028.1
93179.026
100327.69
95642.885
100674.71
110287.23
108170.39
84885.192
95955.205
101229.95
104943.08
96371.632
94671.222
89500.589
100362.39
106470
110009.61
86932.624
90125.229
110877.17
96475.739
98870.193
100848.22
97898.53
99807.153
87418.455
98349.659
103763.21
103624.4
100431.79
87626.668
101924
106851.71
108413.31
97655.615
96857.463

Res Y
-2230.1
-5375
-6646.7
-13381
6293.29
-2362.2
9116.61
-8017.2
10045.8
-12492
886.916
-7641.6
5952.78
9356.41
2259.61
1589.02
44.3891
4959.38
8567.77
-347.17
407.261
722.807
-6284.2
7853.47
-6583.2
-12020
14787.3
-18154
-5126.4
1371.21
744.332
495.01
10331.3
-585.31
-9623.6
21085.5

Phat w/ M
35.11574482
37.66516258
35.60563293
36.95532469
35.50565577
32.73628824
33.34614896
40.05461687
36.86534524
35.3456923
34.27593661
36.74537264
37.23526076
38.72492055
35.59563522
33.83603708
32.81626997
39.46475158
38.54496165
32.56632705
36.71537949
36.02553704
35.45566718
36.3054731
35.75559868
39.32478355
36.17550279
34.61585898
34.65584985
35.57563978
39.26479725
35.14573797
33.72606219
33.27616494
36.37545712
36.6054046

Res P
-4.1157
-8.6652
-8.6056
-14.955
-0.5057
-2.7363
7.65385
-11.055
10.1347
-14.346
2.72406
0.25463
11.7647
11.2751
1.40436
7.16396
1.18373
4.53525
7.45504
-3.5663
1.28462
-4.0255
-3.4557
5.69453
-8.7556
-5.3248
21.8245
-8.6159
-2.6558
-2.5756
-3.2648
-7.1457
7.27394
1.72384
-6.3755
17.3946

Res M
56.93269352
-208.566442
-13.0655769
-174.313415
38.93096393
289.6831259
286.4283695
-447.566442
-34.0742248
-18.5629825
172.4300991
-74.5699009
-60.5750896
-204.325522
40.43009914
237.4283695
302.6813963
-309.822928
-207.323792
301.4335583
-66.3203333
-28.8177389
28.18226113
-4.32206286
-28.0655769
-348.318604
92.67101877
80.68485552
108.1822611
21.43182873
-331.819468
38.18399072
248.4283695
261.9309639
-74.3168741
28.67274837

R2(Y,MP)
0.86643
Part Corr(Y,P) Squared R2(Y,M) Sum
0.6834815049 0.467147 0.39928 0.86643
Partial Corr(Y,P)
0.8818404531 0.777643
0.777643

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.8818404531
R Square
0.7776425847
Adjusted R Square
0.7711026607
Standard Error
4048.115753027
Observations
36
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
Res P

SS
MS
F
1 1948557292.562 2E+009 118.907
34 557166199.0969 2E+007
35 2505723491.658

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value
-8.672857E-012 674.6859588379 -1E-014
1
883.6179252444 81.0328007922 10.9044 1E-012

Significance F
1.21369E-012

Lower 95% Upper 95%


-1371.1259343 1371.12593
718.93956899 1048.29628

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.229093
R Square
0.052484
Adjusted R Squar 0.024616
Standard Error
8.56747
Observations
36
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
MachHrs(M)

SS
MS
F
Significance F
1 138.2362 138.2362 1.883287 0.178947
34 2495.653 73.40155
35 2633.889

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
50.50223 10.70376 4.718178 4.0E-005 28.74959 72.25487 28.74959 72.25487
-0.009998 0.007285 -1.372329 0.178947 -0.024803 0.004808 -0.024803 0.004808

Upper 95.0%

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.229093
R Square 0.052484
Adjusted R 0.024616
Standard E 196.3197
Observatio
36
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

1
34
35

SS
MS
F
Significance F
72584.6 72584.6 1.883287 0.178947
1310409 38541.44
1382994

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept
1644.804 141.3377 11.6374 2.1E-013 1357.571 1932.037 1357.571 1932.037
ProdRuns( -5.249568 3.825298 -1.372329 0.178947 -13.02351 2.524373 -13.02351 2.524373

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
Predicted MachHrs(M)
Residuals
1 1482.067 56.93269
2 1492.566 -208.5664
3 1503.066 -13.06558
4 1529.313 -174.3134
5 1461.069 38.93096
6 1487.317 289.6831
7 1429.572 286.4284
8 1492.566 -447.5664
9 1398.074 -34.07422
10 1534.563 -18.56298
11 1450.57 172.4301
12 1450.57 -74.5699
13 1387.575 -60.57509
14 1382.326 -204.3255
15 1450.57 40.4301
16 1429.572 237.4284
17 1466.319 302.6814
18 1413.823 -309.8229
19 1403.324 -207.3238
20 1492.566 301.4336
21 1445.32 -66.32033
22 1476.818 -28.81774
23 1476.818 28.18226
24 1424.322 -4.322063
25 1503.066 -28.06558
26 1466.319 -348.3186
27 1340.329 92.67102

28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

1508.315
1476.818
1471.568
1455.819
1497.816
1429.572
1461.069
1487.317
1361.327

80.68486
108.1823
21.43183
-331.8195
38.18399
248.4284
261.931
-74.31687
28.67275