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foreign exchange market and capital market and greater volatility in the
market condition with the emergence of an active debt market. Indian
commercial banks were under pressure to adopt the new approach of
asset liability management. Therefore, asset liability management has
recognized in India as strategic approach of making business decision in
more comprehensive and disciplined framework to control asset liabilities
mismatch with an eye on the risks that the banks are exposed to.
The actual concept of ALM is however much wider, and of greater
importance to banks' performance. Historically, ALM has evolved from
the early practice of managing liquidity on the bank's asset side, to a later
shift to the liability side, termed liability management, to a still later
realization of using both the assets as well as liabilities sides of the
balance sheet to achieve optimum resources management. But that was
till the 1970s.
In the 1980s, volatility of interest rates in USA and Europe caused the
focus to broaden to include the issue of interest rate risk. ALM began to
extend beyond the bank treasury to cover the loan and deposit
functions.The induction of credit risk into the issue of determining
adequacy of bank capital further enlarged the scope of ALM in later
1980s.
CONCEPT OF ASSET-LIABILITY MANAGEMENT
Asset liability management is an integrated strategic managerial
approach of total balance sheet dynamics having regard to its size and
quality in such a way that the net earnings from interest are maximized
with the overall risk preferences of bank. It is concerned with
management of net interest margin to ensure that its level and riskiness
are compatible with risk return objective of bank. This is done by
Liquidity risk,
Operational risk.
Asset Liability management (ALM) is a strategic management tool
to manage interest rate risk and liquidity risk faced by banks, other
financial services companies and corporations.
Uses of funds
Capital
Deposits
Investments
Borrowings
Advances
Fixed assets
Contingent liabilities
Other assets
Components of liabilities
Capital :
Capital represents the owners stake in the bank and it serves as a
cushion for depositor and creditor to fall back in case of losses. It is
considered to be a long term sources of funds. Minimum capital
requirement for the domestic and foreign bank is prescribed by Reserve
Bank of India.
Reserves and surplus
cheques mail transfers payable, pay slips, bankers cheques and other
miscellaneous items.
adjustments.
borrowings.
Others: All other liability items like provision for income tax, tax
Investments
A major asset item in the balance sheet of a bank is investments in
various kinds of securities. These include Government Securities,
Approved Securities, Shares, Debentures and Bonds, Subsidiaries and/or
Joint venture, other investments.
Advances
The most important of the asset items on the Banks balance sheet
are advances. These advances which represent the credit extended by the
Bank to its customers, forms a major part of the assets for all the banks.
Term loans:
All term loans extended by the bank are included here. These advances
also have a specific due date, but they will not become payable on
demand.
Bills purchased and discounted:
This item includes the bills discounted/purchased by banks from
the client irrespective of whether they are clean/documentary or
domestic/foreign.
Secured/unsecured advances:
Based on the underlying security, advances are classified into the
following categories:
Interest accrued: This will be the interest accrued, but not due on
of tax deducted at source on securities and the advance tax paid to the
extent that they are not set-off against relative tax provisions.
Others: Other items primarily include claims that are in the form of
Review the interest rate structure and compare the same to the
Examine the credit risk and contingency risk that may originate
the shifts in the ratio of owned funds to total funds. This fact assesses the
sustenance capacity of the bank.
Objectives of ALM
a)
in such a way as to maximize its net income and minimize the market
risk. This is to done by analyzing the current market risk profile of the
bank and its impact on the future risk profile. The manager has to choose
the best course of action depending on the risk preference of the
management.
(1)
Cash Management:
Cash management is a dynamic function that needs to
be dealt with effectively at various levels. Cash balances are the idle
assets of the bank; hence cash should be kept at a bare minimum level.
The banks need to manage their cash balances in order to meet their
customer requirements of their demand deposits.
(b)
any banks funds and the balance can be used for advances and other
income generating assets. The reduction in statutory liquidity ration helps
the banks to invest more resources in profitable avenues. The banks
should plan their requirements properly.
(c)
Credit Management:
A major portion of banks income is derived from
Liability Management:
The liability management includes the following:
(a)
Owned Funds:
The banks owned fund are capital and reserve and
Deposits:
A major source of asset creation of a bank is
Borrowings:
Whenever there is a shortage of funds, banks can
Floating Funds:
Management of Risk:
The first step in ALM is to decide or measure the risk. The
RSA
RSL
Where
2)
RSG =
RSL =
RSL =
3)
Management of Risk:
The third stage in the ALM is effective management of
managing the assets-liability and as a spin off earning better profit. The
management should also focus on products and services, that are made
available to branches which have special advantage. The policies and
strategies of the bank need to be reviewed from time to time keeping in
view the banks liquidity exercise and development in the business.
(2)
historical trends and based on this bank should classify the deposits into
volatile and core portions.
(3)
NPA, netof provision should be shown under the two to five ywar
Excess balance over the required CRR and SLR should be shown
the appropriate bucket which, refers to the repricing date while for the
zero coupouns, it should be distributed to the maturity bucket relating to
matter of April and October, since the re-price is done only when RBI
changes rates.
Asset Liability Management in Indian Context
The post-reform banking scenario in India was marked by interest
rate deregulation, entry of new private banks, and gamut of new products
along with greater use of information technology. To cope with these
pressures banks were required to evolve strategies rather than ad hoc
solutions. Recognizing the need of Asset Liability management to
develop a strong and sound banking system, the RBI has come out with
ALM guidelines for banks and FIs in April 1999.
The Indian ALM framework rests on three pillars: ALM Organisation (ALCO)
The ALCO or the Asset Liability Management Committee
consisting of the banks senior management including the CEO should be
responsible for adhering to the limits set by the board as well as for
deciding the business strategy of the bank in line with the banks budget
and decided risk management objectives. ALCO is a decision-making
unit responsible for balance sheet planning from a risk return perspective
including strategic management of interest and liquidity risk. The banks
may also authorize their Asset-Liability Management Committee (ALCO)
to fix interest rates on Deposits and Advances, subject to their reporting
to the Board immediately thereafter. The banks should also fix maximum
spread over the PLR with the approval of the ALCO/Board for all
advances other than consumer credit.
ALM Information System
The ALM Information System is required for the collection of
information accurately, adequately and expeditiously. Information is the
key to the ALM process. A good information system gives the bank
management a complete picture of the bank's balance sheet.
ALM Process
The basic ALM processes involving identification, measurement
and management of risk parameter .The RBI in its guidelines has asked
Indian banks to use traditional techniques like Gap Analysis for
monitoring interest rate and liquidity risk. However RBI is expecting
Indian banks to move towards sophisticated techniques like Duration,
Simulation, and VaR in the future. For the accrued portfolio, most Indian
Private Sector banks use Gap analysis, but are gradually moving towards
duration analysis. Most of the foreign banks use duration analysis and are
expected to move towards advanced methods like Value at Risk for the
entire balance sheet. Some foreign banks are already using VaR for the
entire balance sheet.
Before proceeding to understand asset liability management and
its approaches, it is necessary to become familier with the components of
assets and liabiltities in a banks balance sheet. Understanding if such
components will enable a better understanding of various aspects of
Assets Liability Management detailed in this and the subsequent chapters.
Emerging issues in the Indian context
With the onset of liberalization, Indian banks are now more exposed to
uncertainty and to global competition. This makes it imperative to have
proper asset-liability management systems in place. The following points
bring out the reasons as to why asset-liability management is necessary in
the Indian context. In the context of a bank, asset-liability management
refers to the process of managing the net interest margin (NIM) within a
given level of risk.
NIM = Net Interest Income/Average Earning Assets = NII/AEA
Since NII equals interest income minus interest expenses,
Sin key (1992) suggests that NIM can be viewed as the spread on earning
assets and uses the term spread management. As the basic objective of
banks is to maximize income while reducing their exposure to risk,
efficient management of net interest margin becomes essential. . Several
banks have inadequate and inefficient management systems that have to
be altered so as to ensure that the banks are sufficiently liquid.
Indian banks are now more exposed to the vagaries of the international
markets, than ever before because of the removal of restrictions,
especially with respect to forex transactions.
Asset-liability management becomes essential as it enables the
bank to maintain its exposure to foreign currency fluctuations given the
level of risk it can handle. . An increasing proportion of investments by
banks is being recorded on a marked-to-market basis and as such large
portion of the investment portfolio is exposed to market risks. Countering
the adverse impact of these changes is possible only through efficient
asset-liability management techniques. . As the focus on net interest
margin has increased over the years, there is an increasing possibility that
the risk arising out of exposure to interest rate volatility will be built into
the capital adequacy norms specified by the regulatory authorities. This,
in turn will require efficient asset-liability management practices.
PRE-REQUISITES TO THE EFFECTIVENESS OF ALM:
ALM as on approach of managing assets-liability can help a bank
in achieving the desired result if the following conditions are fulfilled:
1)
action.
3)
5)
The bank must develop human resource and craft a well thought
Liquidity Management
Investment/Security Management
Loan Management
Liability Management
Capital Management
Stage 2
Income-Expense Function
Profit= Interest Income- Interest Expense Provision For Loan
Loss + Noninterest Revenue-Non Interest Expense-Taxes. Banks are
required to formulate policies to achieve following objectives of Asset
Liability Management,
Spread management
Loan quality
Tax management
Capital adequacy
Sources of funds
must carefully weigh the full return on liquid assets (yield plus liquidity
value) against the higher return associated with less liquid assets. Income
derived from higher yielding assets may be offset if a forced sale, at less
than book value, is necessary because of adverse balance sheet
fluctuations.
Seasonal, cyclical, or other factors may cause aggregate outstanding loans
and deposits to move in opposite directions and result in loan demand,
which exceeds available deposit funds. A bank relying strictly on asset
management would restrict loan growth to that which could be supported
by available deposits. The decision whether or not to use liability sources
should be based on a complete analysis of seasonal, cyclical, and other
factors, and the costs involved. In addition to supplementing asset
liquidity, liability sources of liquidity may serve as an alternative even
when asset sources are available.
C. Liability Management:Liquidity needs can be met through the discretionary acquisition of
funds on the basis of interest rate competition. This does not preclude the
option of selling assets to meet funding needs, and conceptually, the
availability of asset and liability options should result in a lower liquidity
maintenance cost. The alternative costs of available discretionary
liabilities can be compared to the opportunity cost of selling various
assets. The major difference between liquidity in larger banks and in
smaller banks is that larger banks are better able to control the level and
composition of their liabilities and assets.
When funds are required, larger banks have a wider variety of
options from which to select the least costly method of generating funds.
The ability to obtain additional liabilities represents liquidity potential.
The marginal cost of liquidity and the cost of incremental funds acquired
are of paramount importance in evaluating liability sources of liquidity.
Consideration must be given to such factors as the frequency with which
the banks must regularly refinance maturing purchased liabilities, as well
as an evaluation of the bank's ongoing ability to obtain funds under
normal market conditions. The obvious difficulty in estimating the latter
is that, until the bank goes to the market to borrow, it cannot determine
with complete certainty that funds will be available and/or at a price,
which will maintain a positive yield spread.
Changes in money market conditions may cause a rapid
deterioration in a bank's capacity to borrow at a favorable rate. In this
context, liquidity represents the ability to attract funds in the market when
needed, at a reasonable cost vis--vis asset yield. The access to
discretionary funding sources for a bank is always a function of its
position and reputation in the money markets.
Although the acquisition of funds at a competitive cost has enabled many
banks to meet expanding customer loan demand, misuse or improper
implementation of liability management can have severe consequences.
Further, liability management is not riskless. This is because
concentrations in funding sources increase liquidity risk. For example, a
bank relying heavily on foreign interbank deposits will experience
funding problems if overseas markets perceive instability in U.S. banks
or the economy.
Also if rate competition develops in the money market, a bank may
incur a high cost of funds and may elect to lower credit standards to book
higher yielding loans and securities. If a bank is purchasing liabilities to
support assets, which are already on its books, the higher cost of
purchased funds may result in a negative yield spread.
Preoccupation with obtaining funds at the lowest possible cost,
without considering maturity distribution, greatly intensifies a bank's
exposure to the risk of interest rate fluctuations. That is why banks that
particularly rely on wholesale funding sources, management must
constantly be aware of the composition, characteristics, and
diversification of its funding sources.
Reasons for growing significance of ALM
1.
Volatility
Deregulation of financial system changed the dynamics of
Product innovation
The second reason for the growing importance of
ALM is the rapid innovations take place in the financial products of the
bank. While there were some innovations that came in passing fads,
others hae received tremendous response.
In several cases, the same product has been reapeted with certain
differences and offered by various banks. Whatever may be the features
of the products, most of them have an impact on the risk profile of the
bank thereby enhancing the need for ALM for e.g. Flexi-deposit facility.
3.
Regulatory Enviornment
Management Recognition
All the above-mentioned aspects forced bank
a bank could have all of its liabilities as floating interest rate bonds, but
assets in fixed rate instruments.
Asset-liability mismatches are also important to insurance companies and
various pension plans, which may have long-term liabilities (promises to
pay the insured or pension plan participants) that must be backed by
assets. Choosing assets that are appropriately matched to their financial
obligations is therefore an important part of their long-term strategy.
Few companies or financial institutions have perfect matches between
their assets and liabilities. In particular, the mismatch between the
maturities of banks' deposits and loans has been offered as an explanation
of bank runs. On the other hand, 'controlled' mismatch, such as between
short-term deposits and somewhat longer-term, higher-interest loans to
customers is central to many financial institutions' business model.
Asset-liability mismatches can be controlled, mitigated or hedged by
entering into derivative contracts like swaps.
Risks involved in asset liability management
Risk in a way can be defined as the chance or the probability of
loss or damage. In the case of banks, these include credit risk, capital risk,
market risk, interest rate risk, and liquidity risk. These categories of
financial risk require focus, since financial institutions like banks do have
complexities and rapid changes in their operating environments.
Credit risk:
The risk of counter party failure in meeting the payment obligation on the
specific date is known as credit risk. Credit risk management is an
important challenge for financial institutions and failure on this front may
lead to failure of banks. The recent failure of many Japanese banks and
failure of savings and loan associations in the 1980s in the USA are
Capital risk:
One of the sound aspects of the banking practice is the maintenance of
adequate capital on a continuous basis. There are attempts to bring in
global norms in this field in order To bring in commonality and
standardization in international practices. Capital adequacy also focuses
on the weighted average risk of lending and to that extent; banks are in a
position to realign their portfolios between more risky and less risky
assets.
Market risk:
Market risk is related to the financial condition, which results from
adverse movement in market prices. This will be more pronounced when
financial information has to be provided on a marked-to-market basis
since significant fluctuations in asset holdings could adversely affect the
balance sheet of banks. In the Indian context, the problem is accentuated
because many financial institutions acquire bonds and hold it till maturity.
When there is a significant increase in the term structure of interest rates,
or violent fluctuations in the rate structure, one finds substantial erosion
of the value of the securities held.
Liquidity risk:
The final major category of financial risk is liquidity risk.the
liquidity risk arises from funding of long term assets by short term
liabilities or resources, thereby making the liabilities subject to rollover or
refinancing risk. Those banks that fud their domestic assets with foreign
country deposits with them may be particularly susceptible to liquidity
risk when sharp fluctuations in exchange rates and market turbulence
make it difficult to retain sources of financing.
Interest rate risk
Interest rate risk is the risk (variability in value) borne by an
interest-bearing asset, such as a loan or a bond, due to variability of
interest rates. In general, as rates rise, the price of a fixed rate bond will
fall, and vice versa. Interest rate risk is commonly measured by the bond's
duration.
A more precise measure of interest rate risk is Duration which
measures the impact of changes in interest rates on the expected
maturities of both assets and liabilities. In essence, duration takes the gap
report data and converts that information into present-value worth of
deposits and loans, which is more meaningful in estimating maturities
and the probability that either assets or liabilities will re-price during the
period under review. Besides financial institutions, nonfinancial
companies also employ asset-liability management, mainly through the
use of derivative contracts to minimize their exposures on the liability
side of the balance sheet.
Asset liability management is a common name for the complete set
of techniques used to manage risk within a general enterprise risk
management framework.
specific way. Duration is a stress test where the yield curve shift is
parallel
Offered Rate (LIBOR) versus the U.S. prime rate. In some circumstances
different bases will move at different rates or in different directions,
which can cause erratic changes in revenues and expenses.
2. Yield curve risk is the risk presented by differences between short-term
and long-term interest rates. Short-term rates are normally lower than
long-term rates, and banks earn profits by borrowing short-term money
(at lower rates) and investing in long-term assets (at higher rates). But the
relationship between short-term and long-term rates can shift quickly and
dramatically, which can cause erratic changes in revenues and expenses.
3. Re-pricing risk is the risk presented by assets and liabilities that reprice at different times and rates. For instance, a loan with a variable rate
will generate more interest income when rates rise and less interest
income when rates fall. If the loan is funded with fixed rated deposits, the
bank's interest margin will fluctuate.
4. Option risk is presented by optionality that is embedded in some assets
and liabilities. For instance, mortgage loans present significant option risk
due to prepayment speeds that change dramatically when interest rates
rise and fall. Falling interest rates will cause many borrowers to refinance
and repay their loans, leaving the bank with un invested cash when
interest rates have declined. Alternately, rising interest rates cause
mortgage borrowers to repay slower, leaving the bank with relatively
more loans based on prior, lower interest rates. Option risk is difficult to
measure and control.
dollar appreciates), the Indian firm has to pay more domestic currency to
get the required amount of foreign currency.
The advent of the floating exchange rate regime, since the early
1970s, has heightened the interest of MNCs in developing techniques and
strategies for foreign exchange exposure management. The primary goal
is to protect corporate profits from the negative impact of exchange rate
fluctuations.
However, the goals and techniques of management vary depending on
whether the focus is on accounting exposure or economic exposure.
Foreign exchange risks, therefore, pose one of the greatest
challenges to a multinational company. These risks arise because
multinational corporations operate in multiple currencies.
Infact, many times firms who have a diversified portfolio find that the
negative effect of exchange rate changes on one currency are offset by
gains in others i.e. - exchange risk is diversifiable.
Types of Exposure
There are mainly three types of foreign exchange exposures:
1. Translation exposure
2. Transaction exposure
3. Economic Exposure
Translation Exposure
It is the degree to which a firms foreign currency denominated financial
statements are affected by exchange rate changes. All financial statements
of a foreign subsidiary have to be translated into the home currency for
the purpose of finalizing the accounts for any given period.
If a firm has subsidiaries in many countries, the fluctuations in
exchange rate will make the assets valuation different in different periods.
the net income of the reporting company. Instead these adjustments are
accumulated and reported in a separate account shown in the shareholders
equity section of the balance sheet, where they remain until the equity is
disposed off.
Measurement of Translation exposure
Translation exposure = (Exposed assets Exposed liabilities)
(change in the exchange rate)
The various steps involved in measuring translation exposure are:
First, Determine functional currency.
Second, Translate using temporal method recording gains/ losses in the
income statement as realized.
Forward contract
Future contract
Option contract
Currency contract
The most frequently used financial instruments by companies in
India and abroad for hedging the exchange risk are discussed below.
These instruments are available at varying costs to the company. Two
criterions have been used to contrast the different tools. First, there are
different tools that serve practically the same purpose differing only in
2. Futures contracts:
Futures is the same as a forward contract except that it is
standardized in terms of contract size is traded on future exchanges and is
settled daily. In practice, futures differ from forwards in 3 important
ways.
First, forwards could be for any amount while futures are for
standard amount with each contract being much smaller than the average
forward transaction. Also, futures are also standardized in terms of
delivery dates while forwards are agreements that can specify any
delivery date that the parties choose. Second, forwards are traded by
phone and letters - while futures are traded in organized exchanges, such
as
SIMEX in Singapore, IMM in Chicago. Third, in a forward
contract, transfer of funds takes place only once - i.e. at maturity while in
a futures contract, cash transactions take place practically every day
-during the life or the contract.
Thus, the default risk is largely avoided in a futures contract.
Despite the above mentioned advantages, futures contract also entails
some limitations since the futures trade only in standardized amounts,
flexibility is missing and thus the hedges are not always perfect. Also,
many big companies tend to prefer futures because of their adaptability.
3. Option Contract:
An option contract is one where customer has the right but not the
obligation to contract on maturity date. Options have an advantage as
fall due (2) Can only be met at an uneconomic price (3) Can be namespecific or systemic.
o
Causes of Liquidity Risk
Liquidity risk' arises from situations in which a party interested in
trading an asset cannot do it because nobody in the market wants to trade
that asset. Liquidity risk becomes particularly important to parties who
are about to hold or currently hold an asset, since it affects their ability to
trade.
Manifestation of liquidity risk is very different from a drop of price to
zero. In case of a drop of an asset's price to zero, the market is saying that
the asset is worthless. However, if one party cannot find another party
interested in trading the asset, this can potentially be only a problem of
the market participants with finding each other. This is why liquidity risk
is usually found higher in emerging markets or low-volume markets.
Liquidity risk is financial risk due to uncertain liquidity. An institution
might lose liquidity if its credit rating falls, it experiences sudden
unexpected cash outflows, or some other event causes counterparties to
avoid trading with or lending to the institution. A firm is also exposed to
liquidity risk if markets on which it depends are subject to loss of
liquidity.
Liquidity risk tends to compound other risks. If a trading organization has
a position in an illiquid asset, its limited ability to liquidate that position
at short notice will compound its market risk. Suppose a firm has
offsetting cash flows with two different counterparties on a given day. If
the counterparty that owes it a payment defaults, the firm will have to
raise cash from other sources to make its payment. Should it be unable to
do so, it too will default. Here, liquidity risk is compounding credit risk.
A position can be hedged against market risk but still entail liquidity risk.
This is true in the above credit risk examplethe two payments are
offsetting, so they entail credit risk but not market risk.
Accordingly, liquidity risk has to be managed in addition to market, credit
and other risks. Because of its tendency to compound other risks, it is
difficult or impossible to isolate liquidity risk. In all but the most simple
of circumstances, comprehensive metrics of liquidity risk do not exist.
Certain techniques of asset-liability management can be applied to
assessing liquidity risk. A simple test for liquidity risk is to look at future
net cash flows on a day-by-day basis. Any day that has a sizeable
negative net cash flow is of concern. Such an analysis can be
supplemented with stress testing. Look at net cash flows on a day-to-day
basis assuming that an important counterparty defaults.
Analyses such as these cannot easily take into account contingent cash
flows, such as cash flows from derivatives or mortgage-backed securities.
If an organization's cash flows are largely contingent, liquidity risk may
be assessed using some form of scenario analysis.
A general approach using scenario analysis might entail the following
high-level steps:
useful concept. In its most basic form, gap analysis assesses how close a
portfolio is to being cash matched. Here is how it works.
Considering a portfolio with only fixed cash flowsthat is, the
timing and amount of all cash flows is known. The portfolio contains no
floaters, no options and no bond with embedded options. Gap analysis
doesnt consider credit risk, so assume all cash flows will occur.
Gap analysis comprises aggregating cash flows into maturity
buckets and checking if cash flows in each bucket net to 0. Different
bucketing schemes might be used. As a simple example, consider a
portfolio whose cash flows all mature in less than three years.
Bank aggregate maturities into five buckets:
0 - 3 months
3 - 6 months
6 - 12 months
12 - 24 months
24 - 36 months
An interest rate gap is simply a positive or negative net cash flow
for one of the buckets. Example 2 illustrates a gap analysis using our
buckets and some hypothetical cash flows.
Example:GapAnalysis
Bucketed cash flows in USD millions. A gap is any net cash flow for
a bucket, so there is a USD 100MM gap for the 3 - 6 month bucket. There
is a negative gap of USD 30MM for the 12 - 24 month bucket.
This portfolio is exposed to tilts in the term structure of interest
rates. If rates for the 3 - 6 month bucket rise and rates for the 12 - 24
month bucket decline, the portfolio will incur a mark-to-market loss on
both gaps. This exposure would not be identified by duration. If you
calculate the Macaulay duration of the portfolio, it is about 0.
Now let's add floating rate instruments to the portfolio. These
generally are not bucketed according to their maturity but according to
their next reset date. Consider a USD 100MM floating rate note (FRN)
that pays 3-month Libor flat. Its last reset was a month ago at 2.8%. It
will pay USD 0.7MM in two months, and then the rate will be reset
again.
From a market value standpoint, the FRN is equivalent to a fixed
cash payment of USD 100.7MM to be received in two months.
Accordingly, that is how we bucket itwe bucket the entire FRN as a
single USD 100.7MM cash flow in the 0 - 3 month bucket.
Because of how floaters are treated, buckets are often called repricing buckets as opposed to maturity bucketsinstruments are
bucketed according to their next re-pricing date as opposed to their
maturity date. We are moving away from cash matching and towards repricing date matching. From this standpoint, interest rate gaps are
sometimes called re-pricing gaps.
This is all about the use of gap analysis for assessing interest rate
risk. It can also be used to assess liquidity risk. Cash flows are bucketed
as above. The only difference is that cash flows from floaters are
bucketed according to their maturity.
The actual values of floating rate cash flows will not be known,
but estimated values may be used. The idea of liquidity gap analysis is to
anticipate periods when a portfolio will have large cash out-flow. Such
buckets are called liquidity gaps.
A shortcoming of gap analysisboth interest rate and liquidity gap
analysisis the fact that it does not identify mismatches within buckets.
An even more significant shortcoming is the fact that it cannot handle
options in a meaningful way. In today's markets, options proliferate.
Fixed income portfolios routinely hold caps, floors, swaptions, mortgagebacked securities, callable bonds, etc. Options have cash flows whose
magnitudesand sometimes timingis highly uncertain. Those
uncertain cash flows cannot be bucketed. For this reason, gap analysis has
largely fallen out of use. Today, gap analysis is most useful as a
theoretical tool for communicating issues related to interest rate and
liquidity risk.
RBI GUIDELINES
Asset - Liability Management (ALM) System in banks
Guidelines
1. Over the last few years the Indian financial markets have witnessed
wide ranging changes at fast Pace. Intense competition for business
involving both the assets and liabilities, together with increasing volatility
in the domestic interest rates as well as foreign exchange rates, has
brought Pressure on the management of banks to maintain a good balance
among spreads, profitability and Long-term viability. These pressures call
for structured and comprehensive measures and not just Ad hoc action.
The Management of banks has to base their business decisions on a
dynamic and Integrated risk management system and process, driven by
corporate strategy. Banks are exposed To several major risks in the course
of their business - credit risk, interest rate risk, foreign Exchange risk,
equity / commodity price risk, liquidity risk and operational risks.
2. This note lays down broad guidelines in respect of interest rate and
liquidity risks management systems in banks which form part of the
Asset-Liability Management (ALM) function. The initial focus of the
ALM function would be to enforce the risk management discipline viz.
managing business after assessing the risks involved. The objective of
good risk management programmes should be that these programmes will
evolve into a strategic tool for bank management.
3. The ALM process rests on three pillars:
ALM organisation
ALM process
responsible for analysing, monitoring and reporting the risk profiles to the
ALCO. The staff should also prepare forecasts (simulations) showing the
effects of various possible changes in market conditions related to the
balance sheet and recommend the action needed to adhere to bank's
internal limits.
The ALCO is a decision making unit responsible for balance sheet
planning from risk -return perspective including the strategic
management of interest rate and liquidity risks. Each bank will have to
decide on the role of its ALCO, its responsibility as also the decisions to
be taken by it. The business and risk management strategy of the bank
should ensure that the bank operates within the limits / parameters set by
the Board. The business issues that an ALCO would consider, inter alia,
will include product pricing for both deposits and advances, desired
maturity profile and mix of the incremental assets and liabilities, etc. In
addition to monitoring the risk levels of the bank, the ALCO should
review the results of and progress in implementation of the decisions
made in the previous meetings. The ALCO would also articulate the
current interest rate view of the bank and base its decisions for future
business strategy on this view. In respect of the funding policy, for
instance, its responsibility would be to decide on source and mix of
ii.
iii.
iv.
v.
vi.
1 to 14 days
ii.
15 to 28 days
iii.
iv.
v.
vi.
vii.
keeping all necessary factors in view and further refined with experience
gained in Liquidity Management.
In order to enable the banks to monitor their short-term liquidity on a
dynamic basis over a time horizon spanning from 1-90 days, banks may
estimate their short-term liquidity profiles on the basis of business
projections and other commitments for planning purposes. An indicative
format (Annexure III ) for estimating Short-term Dynamic Liquidity is
enclosed.
Currency Risk
Floating exchange rate arrangement has brought in its wake
pronounced volatility adding a new dimension to the risk profile of banks'
balance sheets. The increased capital flows across free economies
following deregulation have contributed to increase in the volume of
transactions. Large cross border flows together with the volatility has
rendered the banks' balance sheets vulnerable to exchange rate
movements.
Dealing in different currencies brings opportunities as also risks. If
the liabilities in one currency exceed the level of assets in the same
currency, then the currency mismatch can add value or erode value
depending upon the currency movements. The simplest way to avoid
currency risk is to ensure that mismatches, if any, are reduced to zero or
near zero. Banks undertake operations in foreign exchange like accepting
deposits, making loans and advances and quoting prices for foreign
exchange transactions. Irrespective of the strategies adopted, it may not
be possible to eliminate currency mismatches altogether. Besides, some
of the institutions may take proprietary trading positions as a conscious
business strategy.
earnings (i.e. reported profits) by changing its Net Interest Income (NII).
A long-term impact of changing interest rates is on bank's Market Value
of Equity (MVE) or Net Worth as the economic value of bank's assets,
liabilities and off-balance sheet positions get affected due to variation in
market interest rates. The interest rate risk when viewed from these two
perspectives is known as 'earnings perspective' and 'economic value'
perspective, respectively. The risk from the earnings perspective can be
measured as changes in the Net Interest Income (NII) or Net Interest
Margin (NIM). There are many analytical techniques for measurement
and management of Interest Rate Risk. In the context of poor MIS, slow
pace of computerisation in banks and the absence of total deregulation,
the traditional Gap analysis is considered as a suitable method to measure
the Interest Rate Risk in the first place. It is the intention of RBI to move
over to the modern techniques of Interest Rate Risk measurement like
Duration Gap Analysis, Simulation and Value at Risk over time when
banks acquire sufficient expertise and sophistication in acquiring and
handling MIS.
The Gap or Mismatch risk can be measured by calculating Gaps
over different time intervals as at a given date. Gap analysis measures
mismatches between rate sensitive liabilities and rate sensitive assets
(including off-balance sheet positions). An asset or liability is normally
classified as rate sensitive if:
RBI changes the interest rates (i.e. interest rates on Savings Bank
maturities.
1-28 days
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
Over 5 years
8.
Non-sensitive
The various items of rate sensitive assets and liabilities and off-
the Reporting Format for interest rate sensitive assets and liabilities is
given in Annexure II
The Gap is the difference between Rate Sensitive Assets (RSA) and Rate
Sensitive Liabilities (RSL) for each time bucket. The positive Gap
indicates that it has more RSAs than RSLs whereas the negative Gap
indicates that it has more RSLs. The Gap reports indicate whether the
institution is in a position to benefit from rising interest rates by having a
positive Gap (RSA > RSL) or whether it is in a position to benefit from
declining interest rates by a negative Gap (RSL > RSA). The Gap can,
therefore, be used as a measure of interest rate sensitivity.
Each bank should set prudential limits on individual Gaps with the
approval of the Board/Management Committee. The prudential limits
should have a bearing on the Total Assets, Earning Assets or Equity. The
banks may work out Earnings at Risk (EaR) or Net Interest Margin
(NIM) based on their views on interest rate movements and fix a prudent
level with the approval of the Board/Management Committee.
RBI will also introduce capital adequacy for market risks in due
course.