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# Assignment Problems

1. For the following data set, the dependent variable {response) is the first variable.
Choose the independent variables {predictors) as you judge appropriate. Use a
spreadsheet or a statistical package (e.g., SPSS or SYSTAT or MIN1TAB) to perform the
necessary regression calculations and to obtain the required graphs.
Consumer Prices, Capacity Utilization, and Money Supply (n = 41, k = 4)
Year
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000

ChgCPI
0.7
1.3
1.6
1.0
1.9
3.5
3.0
4.7
6.2
5.6
3.3
3.4
8.7
12.3
6.9
4.9
6.7
9.0
13.3
12.5
8.9
3.8
3.8
3.9
3.8
1.1
4.4
4.4
4.6
6.1
3.1
2.9
2.7
2.7
2.5
3.3
1.7
1.6
2.7
3.4
1.6

CapUtil
80.1
77.3
81.4
83.5
85.6
89.5
91.1
87.2
87.1
86.6
79.4
77.9
83.4
87.7
83.4
72.9
78.2
82.6
85.2
85.3
79.5
78.3
71.8
74.4
79.8
78.8
78.7
81.3
83.8
83.6
81.4
77.9
79.4
80.4
82.5
82.6
81.6
82.7
81.4
80.6
80.7

ChgM1
0.5
3.2
1.8
3.7
4.6
4.7
2.5
6.6
7.7
3.3
5.1
6.5
9.2
5.5
4.3
4.7
6.7
8.0
8.0
6.9
7.0
6.9
8.7
9.8
5.8
12.3
16.9
3.5
4.9
0.8
4.0
8.7
14.3
10.3
1.8
-2.1
-4.1
-0.7
2.2
2.5
-3.3

ChgM2
4.9
7.4
8.1
8.4
8.0
8.1
4.6
9.3
8.0
3.7
6.5
13.4
13.0
6.6
5.4
12.7
13.4
10.3
7.5
7.9
8.6
9.7
8.8
11.3
8.6
8.0
9.5
3.6
5.8
5.5
3.8
3.0
1.6
1.5
0.4
4.1
4.8
5.7
8.8
6.1
6.1

ChgM3
5.2
8.1
8.9
9.3
9.0
9.0
4.8
10.4
8.8
1.4
9.9
14.6
14.2
11.2
8.6
9.4
11.9
12.2
11.8
10.0
10.3
13.0
9.1
9.6
10.9
7.3
9.1
5.4
6.6
3.8
1.9
1.3
0.3
1.5
1.9
6.1
7.5
9.2
11.0
8.3
8.9

Variable Names: ChCPI = percent change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over