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You are on page 1of 32

Macroeconomic Model

Chapter 5

Topics in Macroeconomics 2

Economics Division

University of Southampton

February 2010

Chapter 5

1/40

Topics in Macroeconomics

Competitive Equilibrium

Economic Efficiency

Using the Model

Introduction

Definition

Graphical Analysis

**Closing the Model
**

◮

**We have seen the optimal behavior of the representative
**

consumer and the representative firm

◮

We now want to impose consistent behavior

◮

**We will study a closed economy: markets are restricted to
**

a single country

◮

**We will impose market clearing in the country: resources
**

produced must be consumed by economic agents in the

model

◮

**Other market clearing condition: labour inputs into
**

production must be supplied by consumers

◮

The result will be our first model of the Macroeconomy

Chapter 5

3/40

Topics in Macroeconomics

Competitive Equilibrium

Economic Efficiency

Using the Model

Introduction

Definition

Graphical Analysis

From Chapter 4

◮

**The representative consumer faces a tradeoff between
**

consuming and working (work/leisure)

◮

**The consumer is paid labour income for hours worked, and
**

buys goods from the firm

◮

**The firm hires labour to produce output (consumption
**

goods) which it sells to the consumer

◮

Both markets (goods and labour) need to clear

Chapter 5

4/40

Topics in Macroeconomics

that is.Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Introduction Definition Graphical Analysis The Government Budget Constraint G=T ◮ G is the amount of government spending (these are consumption goods that also need to be produced) ◮ T is the total amount of taxes collected by the government (these are also consumption goods) ◮ The government budget constraint imposes that government spending be financed by taxes ◮ We will assume that G is exogenous. determined outside of the model ◮ Fiscal policy refers to the government’s choice over spending and taxes ◮ Other fiscal instruments: government debt and transfers Chapter 5 5/40 Topics in Macroeconomics .

z.Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Introduction Definition Graphical Analysis Endogenous and Exogenous Variables ◮ Exogenous variables are determined outside the model: they are taken as given ◮ Endogenous variables are determined by the model: we have to find those ◮ Exogenous variables in our model: G. Y . T . π and w Chapter 5 6/40 Topics in Macroeconomics . N s . N d . and K ◮ Endogenous variables in our model: C.

Markets clear: Labour market: N d = N s = N Goods market: C + G = Y Chapter 5 8/40 Topics in Macroeconomics . and Y ) and an endogenous real wage rate (w ) such that. N s ) maximizes the consumer’s utility subject to the budget constraint 2. T . and K ). Given (w . z. N s . the following conditions are satisfied: 1. Given (w . T and π). given exogenous variables (G. the labor demand (N d ) maximizes profits (π = Y − wN d is paid to consumers as dividend) 3.Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Introduction Definition Graphical Analysis Definition: Competitive Equilibrium A competitive equilibrium is a set of endogenous variables (C. z. N d . the bundle (C. The government budget constraint is satisfied (G = T ) 4. and K ).

Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Introduction Definition Graphical Analysis Redundance of One Market Clearing Condition If the labour market clears. so will the goods market! ◮ The consumer’s budget constraint has to hold: C = wN s + π − T ◮ But dividend income is the firm’s profits: π = Y − wN d ◮ If we replace profits in the consumer’s budget constraint: C = wN s + Y − wN d − T ◮ Since N d = N s = N. And since the government budget constraint holds. T = G ◮ It follows that C = Y − G or C + G = Y – our goods market clearing condition Chapter 5 9/40 Topics in Macroeconomics . these terms cancel out.

Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Introduction Definition Graphical Analysis Production Possibilities Frontier Chapter 5 11/40 ◮ This is our good old production function ◮ Notice that the maximum number of hours that firms can hire is h. 0) = 0 Topics in Macroeconomics . h) ◮ When no labour is used. nothing is produced F (K . where the firm produces Y ∗ = zF (K .

h − ℓ) ◮ The minimum number of hours of leisure (ℓ = 0) occurs when N = h. when no labour is used (ℓ = h). nothing is produced ◮ The slope is now equal to −MPN Topics in Macroeconomics . where the firm still produces Y ∗ ◮ As before.Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Introduction Definition Graphical Analysis Production Possibilities Frontier Chapter 5 12/40 ◮ We can change the horizontal axis from N to ℓ ◮ The production function can be written zF (K .

Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Introduction Definition Graphical Analysis Production Possibilities Frontier Chapter 5 13/40 ◮ We can change the vertical axis from Y to C since C = Y − G (NOT Y ∗ − G) ◮ The maximum amount of consumption is Y ∗ − G (point D) ◮ When nothing is produced. consumption is equal to −G ◮ The shaded area is the production possibilities set ◮ The arc DA is the production possibilities frontier Topics in Macroeconomics .

h − ℓ) − G ◮ The production possibilities frontier (PPF) describes what the economy can produce as a whole.C is the rate at which leisure can be converted into consumption goods ◮ So we have: MRTℓ.C = MPN = −slope of the PPF Chapter 5 14/40 Topics in Macroeconomics . in terms of production of consumption and leisure ◮ All points in the production possibilities set are technologically possible to produce ◮ The slope of the PPF (−MPN ) is also called the marginal rate of transformation (MRT ) ◮ MRTℓ.Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Introduction Definition Graphical Analysis Production Possibilities Frontier C = zF (K .

Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Introduction Definition Graphical Analysis Equilibrium Wage Rate Chapter 5 15/40 ◮ Recall that firms optimize when MRTℓ. i.e. then ADB is the budget constraint ◮ Recall that consumers optimize when the budget line is tangent to the indifference curve. then AD with slope −w is tangent to the PPF ◮ But if w is an equilibrium wage rate. when MRSℓ.C = MPN = w ◮ So if w is an equilibrium wage rate.C = w Topics in Macroeconomics .

h − ℓ∗ ) − w ∗ (h − ℓ∗ ) Chapter 5 16/40 ◮ Y ∗ = zF (K . which is equal to the wage bill w ∗ (h − ℓ∗ ) ◮ Subtracting w ∗ (h − ℓ∗ ) from Y ∗ give us profits: distance DH Topics in Macroeconomics . h − ℓ∗ ) = C ∗ + G ◮ At point J: C = A − w ∗ ℓ∗ At point D: C = A − w ∗ h ◮ The vertical distance between these two points is A − w ∗ ℓ∗ − (A − w ∗ h).Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Introduction Definition Graphical Analysis Equilibrium Profits: Firm’s Perspective π ∗ = zF (K .

Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Introduction Definition Graphical Analysis Equilibrium Profits: Consumer’s Perspective Chapter 5 17/40 ◮ Recall that at point D. the consumer does not work at all so consumption must equal π ∗ − T ◮ Since π ∗ − T = π ∗ − G. the distance DH is total profits again Topics in Macroeconomics .

N) G is given to the government Y − G is given to the consumer Chapter 5 19/40 Topics in Macroeconomics .Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Welfare Theorems Sources of Inefficiencies Pareto Optimality Definition An allocation is Pareto Optimal if there is no way to rearrange production or to re-allocate resources so that someone is made better off without making someone else worse off ◮ To find efficient allocations we use a benevolent Social Planner ◮ The Planner wants to make the representative consumer as well off as possible The Planner does not face markets – it chooses quantities: ◮ ◮ ◮ ◮ How many hours the consumer works ⇒ Y = zF (K .

C < MRSℓ.C > MRSℓ.C Could make the consumer better off by giving him more leisure (less work) and less consumption ◮ To the right of point B: MRTℓ.Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Welfare Theorems Sources of Inefficiencies Pareto Optimum Allocation Chapter 5 20/40 ◮ Point B is the Pareto optimum: MRSℓ.C = MPN ◮ To the left of point B: MRTℓ.C = MRTℓ.C Could make the consumer better off by giving him less leisure (more work) and more consumption Topics in Macroeconomics .

a Pareto optimal allocation can be decentralized as a competitive equilibrium How does this look on a graph? Chapter 5 21/40 Topics in Macroeconomics . under certain conditions. under certain conditions.Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Welfare Theorems Sources of Inefficiencies Welfare Theorems First Welfare Theorem The first fundamental theorem of welfare economics states that. a competitive equilibrium allocation is Pareto optimal Second Welfare Theorem The second fundamental theorem of welfare economics states that.

ℓ∗ ) is Pareto optimal since moving away from point B makes the consumer worse off ◮ The Pareto efficient allocation can be decentralized as a competitive equilibrium under price w ∗ .Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Welfare Theorems Sources of Inefficiencies Welfare Theorems Chapter 5 22/40 ◮ The competitive equilibrium allocation (C ∗ . the slope of the line that is tangent to the indifference curve and the PPF Topics in Macroeconomics .

a proportional labour income tax – consumers and firms do not face the same price (the competitive equilibrium will have MRSℓ. as they know they can influence them.C and is therefore not Pareto optimal) ◮ Firms may have market power Firms with market power do not take price as given.C < MRTℓ.Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Welfare Theorems Sources of Inefficiencies Sources of Inefficiencies ◮ Externalities Whereas the Planner would take externalities into account. individuals and firms DO NOT ◮ Distortionary taxes For example. which typically leads to under-production Chapter 5 24/40 Topics in Macroeconomics .

Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Making use of the Welfare Theorems Effects of a Change in Government Spending Effects of a Change in TFP Working with the Planner’s Problem Chapter 5 ◮ Since the welfare theorems hold. we can either work with the CE concept or the Planner’s problem ◮ In general. the Planner’s problem is considerably easier to work with than the CE since we need not worry about prices ◮ Efficiency dictates having a point of tangency between the indifference curve and the PPF (point B) ◮ We can always find prices to decentralize the allocation as a CE 26/40 Topics in Macroeconomics .

the PPF shifts down from PPF1 to PPF2 (same vertical distance everywhere) ◮ Note that at each ℓ the slope of the PPF is the same as before ◮ Since G = T . we should expect both C and ℓ to decrease Topics in Macroeconomics .Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Making use of the Welfare Theorems Effects of a Change in Government Spending Effects of a Change in TFP Increase in G Chapter 5 28/40 ◮ With G2 > G1 . an increase in G means an increase in taxes for consumers ◮ This part is exactly like a pure (negative) income change: since goods are normal.

or N2 > N1 ◮ Production must increase (∆Y = Y2 − Y1 > 0) ◮ Since C1 = Y1 − G1 and C2 = Y2 − G2 . or ∆C = ∆Y − ∆G ◮ Since ∆Y > 0 we must have ∆C > −∆G (AE vs AD) ◮ Consumption is crowded out by government spending. C2 − C1 = Y2 − G2 − (Y1 − G1 ).Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Making use of the Welfare Theorems Effects of a Change in Government Spending Effects of a Change in TFP Increase in G: Crowding Out Chapter 5 29/40 ◮ Notice that ℓ2 < ℓ1 . but not completely Topics in Macroeconomics .

so w2 < w1 ◮ But individuals still want less ℓ (even if it is cheaper) because the pure income effect from higher taxes dominates Exercise: Decompose the total effect into an income and a substitution effect Chapter 5 30/40 Topics in Macroeconomics .Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Making use of the Welfare Theorems Effects of a Change in Government Spending Effects of a Change in TFP Increase in G: Equilibrium Effect ◮ How can we make firms hire more labour? ◮ The real wage rate must fall ◮ As N increases. the MPN decreases.

an increase in government spending: Key business cycles comovements (from Chap.Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Making use of the Welfare Theorems Effects of a Change in Government Spending Effects of a Change in TFP Increase in G: Predictions of the Model In the model. 3): ◮ Increases employment ◮ Employment is pro-cyclical ◮ Increases output ◮ ◮ Decreases consumption (counter-cyclical) Consumption is pro-cyclical ◮ Real wage rate is ‘pro-cyclical’ ◮ Decreases the real wage rate (counter-cyclical) We conclude that business cycles are not likely to be the result of government spending fluctuations Chapter 5 31/40 Topics in Macroeconomics .

Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Making use of the Welfare Theorems Effects of a Change in Government Spending Effects of a Change in TFP Increase in z and the Production Function Chapter 5 33/40 ◮ With z2 > z1 . h)) is higher with z2 than with z1 ◮ The amount of output produced with no labour is zero regardless of the value of z Topics in Macroeconomics . the production function shifts up ◮ An increase in z also increases MPN at each quantity of labour input ◮ Notice that the maximum amount of output (zF (K .

the PPF is steeper under z2 than under z1 ◮ The equilibrium (or efficient) allocation moves from F to H Topics in Macroeconomics . the PPF shifts outward from BA to DA ◮ More consumption can be produced at any level of leisure ◮ Since MPN is higher.Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Making use of the Welfare Theorems Effects of a Change in Government Spending Effects of a Change in TFP Increase in z and the PPF Chapter 5 34/40 ◮ With z2 > z1 .

Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Making use of the Welfare Theorems Effects of a Change in Government Spending Effects of a Change in TFP Increase in z: Total Effect Chapter 5 35/40 ◮ Consumption increases from C1 to C2 ◮ Leisure could increase. decrease. or stay the same – here it remains ℓ1 ◮ Production increases by the same amount as C (G did not change) ◮ The wage rate increases to w2 (N did not change and MPN is higher at all levels of N) → That will to be true in general Topics in Macroeconomics .

4. this is taking away consumption (or income) away from the consumer in order to concentrate on the substitution effect ◮ Notice that PPF3 implies the same wage rate as PPF2 (same MPN ) Topics in Macroeconomics .Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Making use of the Welfare Theorems Effects of a Change in Government Spending Effects of a Change in TFP Increase in z: Substitution Effect Chapter 5 36/40 ◮ We can construct an artificial PPF3 such that it is tangent to the original indifference curve I1 ◮ Just like we did in chap.

the efficient allocation is given by D ◮ The substitution effect is the move from A to D ◮ Consumption increases from A to D ◮ Leisure decreases from A to D ◮ This is just like an increase in the wage rate in Chap.Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Making use of the Welfare Theorems Effects of a Change in Government Spending Effects of a Change in TFP Increase in z: Substitution Effect Chapter 5 37/40 ◮ With PPF3 . 4 Topics in Macroeconomics .

Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Making use of the Welfare Theorems Effects of a Change in Government Spending Effects of a Change in TFP Increase in z: Income Effect ◮ The income effect is the move from D to B ◮ Consumption increases from D to B ◮ Leisure increases from D to B ◮ This is just like an increase in dividend income in Chap. 4 ◮ Total effect: Consumption: must go up Leisure: uncertain Chapter 5 38/40 Topics in Macroeconomics .

the model is consistent with technological innovations having been key to changes in these variables Chapter 5 39/40 Topics in Macroeconomics . we have observed: ◮ Increase output ◮ A rise in output ◮ Increase consumption ◮ A rise in consumption ◮ Increase the real wage rate ◮ A rise in the real wage rate ◮ Have an ambiguous effect on hours worked ◮ Roughly constant hours worked We conclude that if the income and substitution effects roughly cancel each other out over the long run.Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Making use of the Welfare Theorems Effects of a Change in Government Spending Effects of a Change in TFP Increase in z: Long-Run Predictions of the Model In the model. increases in TFP: Since WWII.

Competitive Equilibrium Economic Efficiency Using the Model Making use of the Welfare Theorems Effects of a Change in Government Spending Effects of a Change in TFP Increase in z: Short-Run Predictions of the Model In the model. an increase in TFP: Key business cycles comovements (from Chap. 3): ◮ Increases output ◮ Employment is pro-cyclical ◮ Increases consumption (pro-cyclical) ◮ Consumption is pro-cyclical ◮ Increases the real wage rate (pro-cyclical) ◮ Real wage rate is ‘pro-cyclical’ ◮ Has an ambiguous effect on hours worked (?) We conclude that fluctuations in TFP may be the primary cause of business cycles if in the short run the substitution effect dominates the income effect (Real Business Cycle Theory) Chapter 5 40/40 Topics in Macroeconomics .

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