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CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL

The 2016 Presidential Race


April 30 May 3, 2015
Q1.-Q10 RELEASED SEPARATELY
Q11. Looking back, do you approve or disapprove of the job Hillary Clinton did as Secretary of State?

Approve
Disapprove
Don't know/No answer

TOTAL RESPONDENTS
Total
Rep
Dem
%
%
%
50
19
81
38
73
10
12
8
9

Ind
%
43
40
17

Q12. Is your opinion of Bill Clinton favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Bill Clinton yet to have
an opinion?

Favorable
Not favorable
Undecided
Haven't heard enough
Don't know/No answer

50
23
13
12
2

24
51
16
9
1

76
4
9
11
1

44
23
15
16
3

Oct12a
53
23
14
7
3

Q13. Is your opinion of George W. Bush favorable, not favorable, undecided, or havent you heard enough about George W. Bush yet
to have an opinion?

Favorable
Not favorable
Undecided
Haven't heard enough
Don't know/No answer

30
46
16
7
1

71
10
14
4
1

9
72
14
4
1

25
46
18
10
1

Apr10a
27
58
14
1
0

Q14. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Hillary Clinton yet to
have an opinion?

Favorable
Not favorable
Undecided
Haven't heard enough
Don't know/No answer

35
36
17
11
1

9
79
8
3
-

63
6
22
9
*

29
36
18
15
1

Mar15c
26
37
19
17
2

Q15. Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, not favorable, undecided, or havent you heard enough about Jeb Bush yet to have an
opinion?
Jun99a
Favorable
Not favorable
Undecided
Haven't heard enough
Don't know/No answer

9
28
18
43
2

15
16
22
47
*

7
38
14
41
1

8
27
18
43
3

9
5
12
73
1

Q16. Do you think the United States should or should not take the leading role among all other countries in the world in trying to
solve international conflicts?

Yes
No
Don't know/No answer

TOTAL RESPONDENTS
Total
Rep
Dem
Ind
%
%
%
%
41
53
41
36
54
42
54
61
4
5
5
3

Sep14b
%
42
54
5

Q17. From what you've heard or read, do you approve or disapprove of the health care law that was enacted in 2010?
(If Approve, ask:) Do you strongly approve or somewhat approve?
(If Disapprove, ask:) Do you somewhat disapprove or strongly disapprove?

Strongly approve
Somewhat approve
Somewhat disapprove
Strongly disapprove
Don't know/No answer

20
23
14
38
6

4
9
11
72
5

36
36
10
13
5

16
21
18
38
7

Feb15b
20
24
14
38
4

Q18. Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are living in the US? (They should be allowed to stay in the US
and eventually apply for citizenship), they should be allowed to stay in the US legally, but not be allowed to apply for citizenship or
(they should be required to leave the US).

Stay and apply for citizenship


Stay in the US legally, but not apply
Required to leave the US
Don't know/No answer

57
11
29
3

38
12
46
3

71
9
16
4

55
13
30
2

Jan15b
54
15
27
4

Q19. Do you think it should be legal or not legal for same sex couples to marry?

Yes, legal
No, not legal
Don't know/No answer

57
36
7

34
61
6

66
28
6

61
30
9

Feb15b
60
35
5

Q20. Do you think small business owners who provide wedding-related services (should be allowed to refuse services to same-sex
couples if same-sex marriage violates their religious beliefs), or do you think small business owners should be (required to provide
services regardless of a couples sexual orientation)?
Should be allowed to refuse
Should be required to provide services
Depends (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

51
42
3
5

69
24
4
3

36
58
2
4

52
40
2
6

Q21. Currently, groups not affiliated with a candidate are able to spend unlimited amounts of money on advertisements during a
political campaign. Do you think this kind of spending should (be limited by law), or should it (remain unlimited)?

Should be limited
Should remain unlimited
Don't know/No answer

REGISTERED VOTERS
Total
Rep
Dem
Ind
%
%
%
%
81
72
87
81
16
24
12
15
3
4
2
4

Oct14f
%
82
16
2

Q22. How would you say things are going for the U.S. in its fight against the militant group ISIS in Iraq and Syria? Would you say
things are going very well, somewhat well, somewhat badly, or very badly?

Very well
Somewhat well
Somewhat badly
Very badly
Don't know/No answer

TOTAL RESPONDENTS
2
2
25
16
34
34
33
38
30
48
15
8
4
12

3
24
32
33
8

Mar15c
2
26
34
31
8

Q26. Which will matter more in deciding how you vote for president next year (foreign policy issues) or (domestic issues)?

Foreign policy
Domestic
Both equal (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer

REGISTERED VOTERS
Total
Rep
Dem
%
%
%
14
17
13
73
65
80
11
17
5
2
1
2

Ind
%
13
72
12
3

Aug07a
%
21
60
17
2

Q27. Which one is more important to you in a presidential candidate -- having (the right experience), or having (fresh ideas)?

Right experience
Fresh ideas
Both equal (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer

52
35
11
3

60
27
12
1

52
38
8
1

46
37
12
5

Jan08c
44
42
11
3

Q28. Would you rather have a presidential candidate whose political experience (was mostly outside of Washington), or someone
whose experience (was mostly in the government in Washington)?

Outside Washington
In Washington government
Doesn't matter (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer

56
32
7
5

73
18
5
4

38
48
9
5

60
27
7
6

Jun99a
48
31
10
11

Q29. In general, do you think America is ready to elect a woman president, or not?
May08b
Yes
No
Don't know/No answer

78
20
2

61
35
4

89
10
1

78
20
2

60
36
4

Q30. In general, do you think America is ready to elect a Hispanic president, or not?

Yes
No
Don't know/No answer

REGISTERED VOTERS
Total
Rep
Dem
Ind
%
%
%
%
68
64
65
74
27
30
30
23
4
7
5
3

Q31. In general, what is the best age for a president of the United States in their 30s, in their 40s, in their 50s, in their 60s, or in
their 70s?
Feb08a
30s
40s
50s
60s
70s
Don't know/No answer

5
31
46
9
1
8

3
23
56
11
7

5
30
44
10
2
9

7
37
41
7
1
7

2
20
48
18
2
10

Q32. Is it possible you would ever vote for a candidate who does NOT share your views on the nations immigration system, or is this
issue so important that you could not vote for a candidate who disagrees with you?

Yes, would vote


No, would not vote
Depends (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer

52
42
3
3

48
46
3
3

57
37
3
3

51
44
2
3

Feb14c
45
50
1
4

Q33. Is it possible you would ever vote for a candidate who does NOT share your views on same-sex marriage, or is this issue so
important that you could not vote for a candidate who disagrees with you?
Yes, would vote
No, would not vote
Depends (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer

45
49
2
4

46
48
3
3

41
54
2
4

47
47
2
4

42
51
2
4

Q34. Is it possible you would ever vote for a candidate who does NOT share your views on the 2010 health care law, or is this issue
so important that you could not vote for a candidate who disagrees with you?
Yes, would vote
No, would not vote
Depends (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer

40
55
2
3

36
58
2
4

42
55
1
2

41
53
3
3

30
65
1
4

Q35. Is it possible you would ever vote for a candidate who does NOT share your views on dealing with the militant group ISIS, or is
this issue so important that you could not vote for a candidate who disagrees with you?
Yes, would vote
No, would not vote
Depends
Don't know/No answer

46
47
2
5

34
59
2
5

53
40
1
6

47
47
2
4

Q36. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much, or no attention so
far?

A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Don't know/No answer

REGISTERED VOTERS
Total
Rep
Dem
%
%
%
26
28
25
40
42
41
21
23
20
13
6
14
*
-

Ind
%
25
37
20
17
1

Mar14c
%
25
37
21
16
1

Q37. As you may know, several candidates have announced that they plan to run for president in 2016. Do you think this is (about
the right time) to start the presidential campaign, or do you think it's (too soon) to start the presidential campaign?
Right time
Too soon
Don't know/No answer

57
41
2

58
40
2

61
38
2

53
44
2

Q100a. Im going to read you a list of names. For each, please tell me if you would consider voting for this candidate if he or she ran
for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, would you not consider voting for this candidate, or dont you know enough to
say?
a. Jeb Bush

Rep. Reg. Voters


Mar15c
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Don't know/No answer

46
23
28
2

23
47
30
*

53
29
17
1

33
15
51
2

15
22
63
*

26
15
58
1

27
42
29
2

26
48
26
*

28
43
29
1

40
17
41
2

21
36
42
1

39
22
39
1

b. Ben Carson
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Don't know/No answer
c. Chris Christie
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Don't know/No answer
d. Ted Cruz
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Don't know/No answer

e. Mike Huckabee

Would consider voting for


Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Don't know/No answer

REGISTERED VOTERS
Rep
Ind
%
%

Rep. Reg. Voters


Mar15c
%

47
26
26
2

22
45
32
*

42
27
30
1

24
21
54
2

11
26
63
*

22
17
61
1

35
33
31
2

33
35
32
*

39
25
35
2

39
25
34
2

14
40
46
*

37
27
41
1

48
17
33
2

29
27
44
*

40
15
44
1

27
24
48
2

14
43
42
1

29
26
44
1

32
13
53
2

18
27
55
*

37
8
53
1

f. Bobby Jindal
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Don't know/No answer
h. Rand Paul
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Don't know/No answer
i. Rick Perry
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Don't know/No answer
j. Marco Rubio
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Don't know/No answer
k. Rick Santorum
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Don't know/No answer
m. Scott Walker
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Don't know/No answer

n. Lindsey Graham

Would consider voting for


Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Don't know/No answer

REGISTERED VOTERS
Rep
Ind
%
%

Rep. Reg. Voters


Mar15c
%

12
32
55
2

8
38
54
*

11
34
55
1

11
18
69
2

10
20
68
2

15
17
66
2

8
16
75
*

o. Carly Fiorina
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Don't know/No answer
p. John Kasich
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Don't know/No answer

Q101. Do you think the Tea Party movement has too much influence, too little influence, or the right amount of influence in the
Republican Party?
Too much
Too little
Right amount
Don't know/No answer

26
25
43
7

37
24
26
13

23
28
39
10

Q100b. Im going to read you a list of names. For each, please tell me if you would consider voting for this candidate if he or she ran
for the Democratic nomination for president in 2016, would you not consider voting for this candidate, or dont you know enough to
say?
a. Joe Biden

Would consider voting for


Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Don't know/No answer

Dem
%

Ind
%

Dem. Reg. Voters


Mar15c
%

53
35
12
*

27
54
18
*

49
27
23
1

85
9
5
*

46
43
9
2

83
10
6
2

b. Hillary Clinton
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Don't know/No answer

c. Martin O'Malley

REGISTERED VOTERS
Dem Ind
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Don't know/No answer

Dem. Reg. Voters


Mar15c

%
11
17
72
*

%
6
18
75
1

%
12
18
70
1

23
16
61
-

13
23
64
*

13
18
67
1

10
16
73
*

12
14
73
*

10
14
75
2

36
14
50
-

24
24
52
*

34
17
49
1

3
16
82
-

6
13
80
1

d. Bernie Sanders
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Don't know/No answer
e. Jim Webb
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Don't know/No answer
f. Elizabeth Warren
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Don't know/No answer

g. Lincoln Chafee
Would consider voting for
Would NOT consider voting for
Don't know enough to say
Don't know/No answer

Q38. Which of these possibilities would you prefer to see next year: 1. Hillary Clinton running for the Democratic presidential
nomination along with strong competition from other Democrats, OR 2. Hillary Clinton running for the Democratic nomination
without much competition from other Democrats; OR 3. Hillary Clinton not running for the Democratic nomination at all.
Clinton running with competition
Clinton running without competition
Hillary not running at all
Don't know/No answer

69
21
7
2

53
14
30
3

65
21
11
2

Q39. Do you think Jeb Bush has the right kind of experience to be a good president, or not?

REGISTERED VOTERS
Rep
Ind
Yes
No
Don't know/No answer

%
59
24
18

%
37
44
19

Q40. Do you think Jeb Bushs views on most issues are too conservative for you, not conservative enough, or just about right?
Too conservative
Not conservative enough
About right
Don't know/No answer

6
22
49
23

30
18
25
27

Q41. Do you think Marco Rubio has the right kind of experience to be a good president, or not?
Yes
No
Don't know/No answer

44
24
32

26
40
34

Q42. Do you think Marco Rubios views on most issues are too conservative for you, not conservative enough, or just about right?
Too conservative
Not conservative enough
About right
Don't know/No answer

4
15
51
30

20
8
35
37

Q43. Do you think Scott Walker has the right kind of experience to be a good president, or not?
Yes
No
Don't know/No answer

39
21
40

21
39
40

Q44. Do you think Scott Walkers views on most issues are too conservative for you, not conservative enough, or just about right?
Too conservative
Not conservative enough
About right
Don't know/No answer

7
10
42
42

22
7
26
45

Q45. Do you think Hillary Clinton shares the values most Americans try to live by, or doesn't she?

Yes
No
Don't know/No answer
*among registered voters

Total
%
52
39
10

TOTAL RESPONDENTS
Rep
Dem
Ind
%
%
%
20
82
45
78
8
41
2
10
13

May08b*
%
58
35
7

Q46. Do you think Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy, or not?

Honest and trustworthy


Not honest and trustworthy
Don't know/No answer

48
45
7

15
80
4

81
12
7

40
51
8

Mar15c
42
47
11

Q47. Do you think Hillary Clinton has strong qualities of leadership, or not?
Yes
No
Don't know/No answer

65
31
4

33
66
*

90
7
3

62
32
6

57
38
5

Q48. From 1989 to 2009, a member of the Bush or Clinton family was President of the United States. In general, how do you feel
about another member of one of these two families as the next president --it would be a good thing for the country, or it would be a
bad thing for the country, or wouldnt it really make much difference?

Good thing
Bad thing
Doesn't make difference
Depends
Don't know/No answer

13
33
47
4
3

REGISTERED VOTERS
15
18
7
30
26
40
47
47
47
3
6
2
5
2
3

Q49. If Jeb Bush becomes President, how much influence do you think George W. Bush will have on the decisions Jeb Bush makes as
President a great deal, some, not much or none at all?
Great deal
Some
Not much
None at all
Don't know/No answer

23
32
25
16
5

17
36
25
18
4

28
29
25
13
5

24
31
24
16
5

Q50. If Hillary Clinton becomes President, how much influence do you think Bill Clinton will have on the decisions Hillary Clinton
makes as President a great deal, some, not much or none at all?
Great deal
Some
Not much
None at all
Don't know/No answer

30
36
21
12
1

40
22
18
20
*

27
43
24
6
1

28
38
20
11
3

Q51. If Hillary Clinton were elected president, do you think she WOULD generally continue Barack Obamas policies, or not?

Continue
Not continue
Don't know/No answer

REGISTERED VOTERS
Total
Rep
Dem
%
%
%
61
64
60
31
30
32
7
5
9

Ind
%
61
32
7

Q52. How much have you heard or read about the Clinton Foundation, the non-profit organization started by Bill Clinton after he left
office a lot, some, or not much?

A lot
Some
Not much
Nothing at all
Don't know/No answer

14
34
47
5
*

TOTAL RESPONDENTS
22
10
13
29
38
33
47
48
47
2
4
7
*
*

Q53. From what you know, do you think the Clinton Foundations purpose is (mostly charitable in that it raises and spends money to
provide help for those in need), or is (it mostly political in that it raises and spends money to further the interests of the Clinton
family), or is it both charitable and political or dont you know enough to say?
Charitable
Political
Both charitable and political
Dont know enough
Don't know/No answer
Heard nothing about

11
17
25
40
1
5

2
36
22
36
1
2

21
2
30
43
1
4

9
17
24
41
2
7

Q54. Do you think foreign donations to the Clinton Foundation affected Hillary Clintons decisions when she was Secretary of State,
or dont you think foreign donations affected her decisions, or dont you know enough to say? If YES, ASK: How much do you think
foreign donations to the Clinton Foundation affected Hillary Clintons decisions as Secretary of State a lot, some, or not much?
Yes, a lot
Yes, some
Yes, not much
No
Don't know enough
Don't know/No answer
Heard nothing about

16
9
1
16
53
*
5

36
14
*
7
40
*
2

3
5
1
29
58
*
4

15
9
2
11
55
1
7

Total Respondents

Unweighted
1,027

Weighted

Total Republicans
Total Democrats
Total independents

249
345
433

231
336
460

Registered Voters

868

804

Registered Republicans
Registered Democrats
Registered independents

227
305
336

209
280
315

(23%)
(33%)
(45%)

(26%)
(35%)
(39%)