25 November 2004 Coverage England Theme Population and Migration

East Midlands population projected to continue to rise
The population for the East Midlands is projected to rise to 4.8 million (13.8 per cent increase) by 2028, according to population projections released today by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). These projections assume recent population trends continue and so do not reflect the impact of future development policies on the population of an area. Within the region, areas of projected high growth (over ten per cent at the end of the 25 year period) include the counties of Lincolnshire, Northamptonshire, Leicestershire and Derbyshire. Areas projected to have a lower growth rate (less than ten per cent at the end of the period) include the county of Nottinghamshire, and the unitary authorities of Derby and Leicester. The population in the Nottingham unitary authority is projected to remain relatively constant. The East Midlands population as a whole is projected to continue to age, with decreases in the younger age bands and increases in the older ages. This is in line with the patterns seen in the national projections. These new long-term subnational population projections are based on the 2003 mid year estimates and replace the 1996based population projections previously published by the ONS.

Issued by National Statistics 1 Drummond Gate London SW1V 2QQ Telephone Press Office 020 7533 5702 Email press.office@ons.gov.uk Public Enquiries 0845 601 3034 Statistician Richard Pereira 01329 813531 Email richard.pereira@ons.gov.uk Internet www.statistics.gov.uk

The subnational population projections for England are consistent with the interim official national population projections published by the Government Actuary's Department on 30 September.

Available free on the National Statistics website: http://www.statistics.gov.uk/StatBase/Product.asp?vlnk=997

News release: East Midlands population projected to rise

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Background Notes 1. The subnational population projections use historic demographic data to make assumptions on future demographic behaviour. They therefore do not take into account future housing or other policies for specific areas. 2. Care must be taken when interpreting the projections due to limitations in the methodology relating to disaggregation to smaller areas. Further information on this, as well as information about future plans to develop the statistics, can be found at http://www.statistics.gov.uk/Statbase/Product.asp?vlnk=997. 3. The Government Actuary's Department is responsible for the National Population Projections for England. They published interim 2003based projections on 30 September. These subnational population projections are produced by the ONS and are fully consistent with the official national projections in terms of population and components of change. 4. 2002-based subnational population projections for Scotland were published by the General Register Office for Scotland on 30 January 2004 and for Northern Ireland by the Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency on 11 August 2004. 2003-based subnational population projections for Wales are proposed but as yet no firm publication plans have been announced. 5. Details of the policy governing the release of new data are available from the press office. 6. National Statistics are produced to high professional standards set out in the National Statistics Code of Practice. They undergo regular quality assurance reviews to ensure that they meet customer needs. They are produced free from any political interference.  Crown copyright 2004.