Top Line Results:

Federal vote intention

Q. If a federal election were held tomorrow, which party would you vote for?

50

40
31.0
29.0
30

20 15.5
11.3 10.3
10
2.8
0
CPC LPC NDP GP BQ Other
Other

Weekly tracking of federal vote intention

50

40

30

20

10

Other
Line
6
0
2008
Oct- Nov- Dec- Jan- Feb- Mar- Apr- May- Jun- Jul- Aug- Sep- Oct- Nov- Dec- Jan- Feb-
Election
08Results
08 08 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 10 10

Note: The data on federal vote intention are based on decided voters only.
Our survey also finds that 13.1% of Canadians are undecided/ineligible to vote.

Copyright 2010. No reproduction without permission BASE: Decided voters; most recent data point Feb. 3-9 (n=2632)

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Second choice
Q. Which party would be your second choice?

FIRST CHOICE
Second
SECOND CHOICE Choice CPC LPC NDP GP BQ Other
(overall)

9.3 -- 17.8 14.5 9.7 9.8 13.1

16.6 21.1 -- 37.4 26.1 15.6 10.9

18.5 12.5 34.7 -- 25.7 23.1 17.0

13.3 10.6 17.2 19.0 -- 20.0 22.6

2.8 2.1 2.9 3.0 6.4 -- 5.6

Other 2.2 2.1 1.3 3.3 2.1 1.5 --

No second choice 37.4 51.6 26.1 22.7 30.0 30.0 30.8

Copyright 2010. No reproduction without permission BASE: Eligible voters; Feb. 3-9 (n=2943)

Preferred timing of next election

Q. Which of the following do you think should be the most important issue for the next federal election: 1) social issues
like health and education, 2) issues related to the economy like economic growth and employment, 3) fiscal issues
like taxes and debt, 4) climate change and the environment, or 5) none of these?

100

80

60
43
40
24
20 13 11 9

0
As soon as In the next four Before the end of Not until the 4 DK/NR
possible months 2010 year term ends in
2012
Higher among: Higher among:
Youth (26%), Higher among: CPC (72%),
Higher among:
GP (22%), BQ LPC (35%), Alberta (59%),
LPC (15%)
(21%), NDP Ontario (27%) Prairies (59%),
(20%) Seniors (49%)

Copyright 2010. No reproduction without permission BASE: Eligible voters; Feb. 3-9 (n=2943)

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Direction of government
Q. All things considered, would you say the Government of Canada is moving in the right direction or the wrong
direction?

60 Wrong direction
Right direction
50

40

30

20

10

0
May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10

Copyright 2010. No reproduction without permission BASE: Canadians; most recent data point Feb. 3-9 (n=half sample)

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Methodology:

EKOS’ weekly tracking polls are conducted using Interactive Voice Recognition (IVR) technology,
which allows respondents to enter their preferences by punching the keypad on their phone,
rather than telling them to an operator.

In an effort to reduce the coverage bias of landline only RDD, we created a dual land-line/cell
phone RDD sampling frame for this research. As a result, we are able to reach those with both a
landline and cell phone, as well as cell phone only households and landline only households. This
dual frame yields a near perfect unweighted distribution on age group and gender, something
almost never seen with traditional landline RDD sample or interviewer-administered surveys.

The field dates for this survey are February 3 – February 9, 2010.1 In total, a random sample of
3,006 Canadians aged 18 and over responded to the survey (including a sub-sample of 2,632
decided voters). The margin of error associated with the total sample is +/-1.8 percentage
points, 19 times out of 20.

Please note that the margin of error increases when the results are sub-divided (i.e., error
margins for sub-groups such as region, sex, age, education). All the data have been statistically
weighted to ensure the samples composition reflects that of the actual population of Canada
according to Census data.

1
Please note that these dates are not inclusive of the weekends, as we do not survey on Saturday or Sunday.

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