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I get the fourth thought in vain. Stock is right now at $29, then take out 5 each offer
in genuine cash for $24 current expense for $2.50 EPS or 10x.
$4.30 EPS in 4 years x 12 P/E different + $15 each offer in exchange = $67 in for
spendable mixture five years, so $29 to $67 is 17% disturbed advancement over 5
years.
I believe they can continue what they are doing as of right now. They have 20%
edges. $4.30 EPS- -4 years out.
Joel Greenblatt: eventually people (the mkt.) stirs the stock goes up more than 17%
consistently. The expense does not go up in a steady manner. 19% in one year
Base case for ANF without building up the business is paying $29 today with a 10 x
different for $2.40 EPS and ($29 - $5/sh cash). You have space for more than 100
ANF stores and 500 more Hollister stores. On the additional stores, ANF will procure
more $2.50. Work after capex. besides, new store capex. you are netting $2.00 each
offer and taking after five years you have an additional $10 each offer to add to the
$5.00 each offer in genuine cash. There are things you can do with the cash like buy
back stock (expanding the estimation of this circumstance).
Knotty returns: year 1 ANF goes up 19% to $48 then 9% annualized return for quite
a while.
For Margin of Safety: Leaving out other extraordinary things that can happen to ANF:
The edge of security: we overlooked all these changed potential results. We have
space for slip.
Essential: comp store bargains. Further impact their operations: better sourcing, et
cetera.
Divider Street focuses on the wrong estimations. Comp Store Sales and P/E
Multiples versus improvement of the business general versus comp. Store bargains.
ANF focused on edges. They take a strict unfriendly to constrained time position.
They haven't cut expenses. Mgt. might free for all and cut expenses when a thought
begins to age. They may offer items at a markdown.
Linda: Look at total frame out of stores. What will they make? Study each of their 3
extraordinary associations. Do an entire of the parts examination. KEY!
More clear to do a total frame out for quite a while, what are edges with additional
stores? Get the strategy instead of slapping a different on it.