NBC News/Marist Poll: Iowa September 2015; Page 1
Screener
REGISTERED VOTERSSeptember 2015July 2015February 2015 Approve404343Disapprove545050Unsure677Total100100100 RESIDENTSSeptember 2015July 2015February 2015 Approve404343Disapprove524949Unsure788Total100100100 POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATESeptember 2015July 2015February 2015Donald Trump2917NABen Carson2286Jeb Bush61216Carly Fiorina51NARand Paul557Scott Walker51915Ted Cruz442Marco Rubio446Bobby Jindal41NAMike Huckabee3717Chris Christie229John Kasich22NARick Santorum1<15George Pataki<1<1NARick Perry<134Jim Gilmore<1<1NALindsey Graham<111Undecided81414Total100100100
If the 2016 Republican presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are (including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate):September 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=390, MOE +/- 5.0%; July 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=342, MOE +/- 5.3%; February 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=320, MOE +/- 5.5%GENDER GUESSDo you consider your permanent home address to be in Iowa?September 2015: Registered voters: n=998, MOE +/- 3.1%; Residents: n=1129, MOE +/- 2.9%; July 2015: Registered voters: n=919, MOE +/- 3.2%; Residents: n=1042, MOE +/- 3.0%; February 2015: Registered voters: n=891, MOE +/- 3.3%; Residents: n=1012, MOE +/- 3.1%Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?NBC News/Marist Poll September 2015Iowa Questionnaire<Marist Poll Introduction> Are you 18 years of age or older? HH SELECTION – LANDLINE FRAME ONLY
NBC News/Marist Poll: Iowa September 2015; Page 2
POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCESeptember 2015Ben Carson21Donald Trump12Scott Walker11Jeb Bush9Carly Fiorina6Ted Cruz6Marco Rubio4Bobby Jindal4Mike Huckabee4John Kasich3Rand Paul3Rick Perry2Chris Christie2Rick Santorum2George Pataki1Lindsey Graham1Jim Gilmore0Undecided8Total100 POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATESeptember 2015July 2015Hillary Clinton4855Bernie Sanders3726Martin O'Malley44Jim Webb22Lincoln Chafee11Undecided813Total100100POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATESeptember 2015July 2015February 2015Hillary Clinton384968Bernie Sanders27257Joe Biden201012Martin O'Malley43<1Jim Webb211Lincoln Chafee1<1NAUndecided81112Total100100100
If the 2016 Democratic presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are (including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate and if Vice President Joe Biden enters the race):September 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=345, MOE +/- 5.3%; July 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=320, MOE +/- 5.5%; February 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=321, MOE +/- 5.5%If the 2016 Democratic presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are (including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate):September 2015: Potential Republican Electorate with a Candidate Preference: n=328, MOE +/- 5.4%Who is your second choice for the 2016 Republican presidential caucus in Iowa (including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate):September 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=345, MOE +/- 5.3%; July 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=320, MOE +/- 5.5%
NBC News/Marist Poll: Iowa September 2015; Page 3
POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATESeptember 2015July 2015Favorable6774Unfavorable2720Unsure 66Total100100 REGISTERED VOTERSSeptember 2015July 2015Favorable3237Unfavorable6156Unsure 77Total100100 RESIDENTSSeptember 2015July 2015Favorable3337Unfavorable6056Unsure 87Total100100POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATESeptember 2015Favorable74Unfavorable17Unsure 10Total100 REGISTERED VOTERSSeptember 2015Favorable42Unfavorable44Unsure 14Total100 RESIDENTSSeptember 2015Favorable41Unfavorable42Unsure 17Total100
Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Hillary Clinton?September 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=345, MOE +/- 5.3%, Registered voters: n=998, MOE +/- 3.1%; Residents: n=1129, MOE +/- 2.9%Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Joe Biden?September 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=345, MOE +/- 5.3%, Registered voters: n=998, MOE +/- 3.1%; Residents: n=1129, MOE +/- 2.9%; July 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=320, MOE +/- 5.5%; Registered voters: n=919, MOE +/- 3.2%; Residents: n=1042, MOE +/- 3.0%