CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL

The Republican Nomination: Trump Maintains His Lead but Carson Gains
September 9-13, 2015
Q1. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much, or no attention so
far?
************** REGISTERED VOTERS *************
Total
Rep
Dem
Ind
Rep. Primary Voters
Jul15e
%
%
%
%
%
%
A lot
36
44
30
35
48
30
Some
35
35
35
35
36
41
Not much
17
12
22
15
9
20
No attention so far
12
8
12
15
6
9
Don’t know/No answer
1
1
1
0
*
-Q2. Next year, are you more likely to vote in a (Republican presidential primary) or caucus, or a (Democratic presidential primary) or
caucus or aren't you likely to vote in a primary or caucus at all?
Republican primary
Democratic primary
Not likely to vote
Never vote
Don’t know/No answer

36
33
17
*
14

87
1
6
6

4
76
10
10

22
20
32
1
24

Q3. (Which one of these candidates would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President in 2016?

Donald Trump
Ben Carson
Jeb Bush
Mike Huckabee
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Scott Walker
Chris Christie
Rick Perry
Rick Santorum
Lindsey Graham
Bobby Jindal
George Pataki
Jim Gilmore
Someone Else (vol.)
None of them (vol.)
Don’t know/No answer
*Less than 0.5%

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS
%
27
23
6
6
6
5
4
3
3
2
1
1
1
*
*
*
*
4
9

Jul15e
%
24
6
13
8
6
6
*
1
4
10
3
2
1
*
2
1
1
1
3
9

Q4. Is your mind made up or is it still too early to say for sure?

Mind made up
Too early
Don’t know/No answer

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS WHO CHOOSE A CANDIDATE
%
37
63
*

Q5. Who would be your second choice for the Republican nomination for president?
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS
%

Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Jeb Bush
Marco Rubio
Carly Fiorina
Scott Walker
Chris Christie
Mike Huckabee
Rand Paul
John Kasich
Bobby Jindal
Rick Perry
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
George Pataki
Rick Santorum
Someone Else (vol.)
None of them (vol.)
Don’t know/No answer
*Less than 0.5%

19
12
12
9
7
6
4
4
4
3
2
1
1
1
*
*
2
5
8

Jul15e
%

10
8
6
10
11
5
8
3
7
8
4
3
4
*
1
*
2
*
2
9

Q6. What is the main reason you would like to see the Republican Party nominate Donald Trump as its 2016 presidential
candidate?
TRUMP IS 1st or 2nd CHOICE
%

Outspoken/says what he believes
Not a politicians/outsider
Strong leader
Patriot/make America great
Successful businessman
Honest/trustworthy
Need for change/will bring change
Bold/has guts/not a pushover
Agree on the issues
Don’t like the other candidates
Stance on the economy
Stance on immigration
Best candidate for the job
New/fresh ideas
Smart/intelligent
Other
Don’t know/No answer

15
13
10
9
8
7
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
11
1

Q7. Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2016, which one of these Republican presidential candidates would you be
most dissatisfied with as the Republican nominee?
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS
%

Donald Trump
Jeb Bush
Chris Christie
Lindsey Graham
Rand Paul
Mike Huckabee
Ben Carson
John Kasich
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Jim Gilmore
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Bobby Jindal
George Pataki
Scott Walker
Someone Else (vol.)
None of them (vol.)
Don’t know/No answer
*Less than 0.5%

23
15
11
8
7
4
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
12

Jul15e
%

27
18
10
6
17
2
1
*
3
3
2
1
3
1
1
1
1
*
2
9

Q8. Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2016, which one of these Republican presidential candidates do you think
has the best chance of winning the general election in November 2016?
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS
%

Donald Trump
Ben Carson
Jeb Bush
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
Chris Christie
John Kasich
Scott Walker
Mike Huckabee
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
George Pataki
Rick Santorum
Bobby Jindal
Jim Gilmore
Someone Else (vol.)
None of them (vol.)
Don’t know/No answer

39
18
11
5
4
2
2
2
1
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
14

Jul15e
%

26
1
23
4
4
2
1
8
4
5
2
-*
-1
*
1
*
1
16

*Less than 0.5%

Q9. If Donald Trump became the 2016 Republican nominee for President, would you enthusiastically support him,
support him but with reservations, support him only because he is the Republican Party nominee, or not support him?
Enthusiastically support
Support with reservations
Support only because nominee
No support
Don’t know/No answer

35
36
12
15
2

Q10. Thinking about the Republican party's nominee for president in 2016, which is more important to you -- a nominee
who (agrees with your position on most issues), or a nominee who (can win the general election in November)?
Agrees on issues
Can win in November
Don’t know/No answer

60
35
5

Q11. Would you prefer the Republican nominee for president be someone whose experience has been mostly (in politics
and government), or someone whose experience has been mostly in the business or private sector, or doesn't it matter
to you?
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS
%

Mostly politics & government
Mostly business
Doesn't matter
Don’t know/No answer

9
48
41
2

Q12. Do you think Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy, or not?
************* REGISTERED VOTERS **************
Total
Rep
Dem
Ind
Rep. Primary Voters
%
%
%
%
%

Honest and trustworthy
Not honest and trustworthy
Don’t know/no answer

35
55
11

53
32
15

18
74
7

34
56
10

55
32
12

Q13. Do you think Donald Trump has strong qualities of leadership, or not?
Yes, strong qualities of leadership
56
No, does not have strong qualities of leadership 41
Don’t know/no answer
3

80
16
3

35
63
2

54
43
4

81
17
2

Q14. Do you think Donald Trump’s views on most issues are too conservative for you, not conservative enough, or just
about right?
Too conservative
Not conservative enough
Just about right
Don’t know/no answer

9
28
56
7

Q15. Do you think Ben Carson is honest and trustworthy, or not?
************* REGISTERED VOTERS **************
Total
Rep
Dem
Ind
Rep. Primary Voters
%
%
%
%
%

Honest and trustworthy
Not honest and trustworthy
Don’t know/no answer

49
16
36

73
5
22

27
26
47

48
16
36

79
4
16

35
29
36

64
15
22

Q16. Do you think Ben Carson has strong qualities of leadership, or not?
Yes, strong qualities of leadership
38
No, does not have strong qualities of leadership 25
Don’t know/no answer
37

59
15
26

21
31
48

Q17. Do you think Ben Carson’s views on most issues are too conservative for you, not conservative enough, or just
about right?

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS
%

Too conservative
Not conservative enough
Just about right
Don’t know/no answer

8
8
66
18

Q18. Do you think Jeb Bush is honest and trustworthy, or not?
************* REGISTERED VOTERS **************
Total
Rep
Dem
Ind
Rep. Primary Voters
%
%
%
%
%

Honest and trustworthy
Not honest and trustworthy
Don’t know/no answer

48
35
17

71
15
14

32
51
17

43
39
19

72
16
13

41
43
16

58
32
10

Q19. Do you think Jeb Bush has strong qualities of leadership, or not?
Yes, strong qualities of leadership
44
No, does not have strong qualities of leadership 42
Don’t know/no answer
14

57
31
11

37
50
13

Q20. Do you think Jeb Bush’s views on most issues are too conservative for you, not conservative enough, or just about
right?
Too conservative
Not conservative enough
Just about right
Don’t know/no answer

12
40
39
9

8
42
41
9

49
5
22
25

22
36
36
7

12
40
39
9

Q21-Q31 SEPARATE RELEASE
Q32. Do you think it should be legal or not legal for same sex couples to marry?

Legal
Not legal
Don’t know/no answer

Total
%

Rep
%

Dem
%

Ind
%

Rep. Primary Voters
%

55
37
8

36
58
6

67
26
7

57
32
11

35
59
7

Jun15b
%

57
35
8

Q33. Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are living in the U.S.? 1. (They should be allowed to
stay in the U.S and eventually apply for citizenship), 2. They should be allowed to stay in the U.S. legally, but not be
allowed to apply for citizenship or 3. (They should be required to leave the U.S.)

Stay and apply for citizenship
Stay in the US legally, but not apply
Required to leave the US
Don’t know/no answer

************* TOTAL RESPONDENTS **************
Total
Rep
Dem
Ind
Rep. Primary Voters
%
%
%
%
%

Jul15e
%

58
10
27
5

61
9
29
5

38
12
45
4

72
7
18
3

59
10
24
8

35
11
49
5

Q34. Would you favor or oppose a policy where all people who are in this country illegally would be sent back to the
country they came from, but some could legally be allowed back into the U.S. on a faster track than other immigrants?
************* TOTAL RESPONDENTS **************
Total
Rep
Dem
Ind
Rep. Primary Voters
%
%
%
%
%

Favor
Oppose
Don’t know/no answer

Total Respondents
Total Registered voters
Total Republican Primary Voters

45
45
9

Unweighted
1,261
1,021
376

52
39
9

42
48
10

Weighted
926
331

44
48
8

Margin of error
3 pts.
4 pts.
6 pts.

54
37
9