x

y
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
30
238

X2
134
145
142
149
144
160
156
157
168
166
167
171
174
183
2216

Y2
16
36
64
100
144
196
256
324
400
484
576
676
784
900
4956

XY
17956
21025
20164
22201
20736
25600
24336
24649
28224
27556
27889
29241
30276
33489
353342

PRONOSTI
536
137.1714285714
870
140.4197802198
1136
143.6681318681
1490
146.9164835165
1728
150.1648351648
2240
153.4131868132
2496
156.6615384615
2826
159.9098901099
3360
163.1582417582
3652
166.4065934066
4008
169.6549450549
4446
172.9032967033
4872
176.1516483516
5490
179.4
39150
2216

Y-Y

(Y-Y)2
-3.1714285714
10.0579591837
4.5802197802
20.9784132351
-1.6681318681
2.7826639295
2.0835164835
4.3410409371
-6.1648351648
38.0051926096
6.5868131868
43.386107958
-0.6615384615
0.4376331361
-2.9098901099
8.4674604516
4.8417582418
23.4426228716
-0.4065934066
0.1653181983
-2.6549450549
7.0487332448
-1.9032967033
3.6225383408
-2.1516483516
4.6295906292
3.6
12.96
2.273736754E-013 180.3252747253

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado
Error tpico
Observaciones

0.9644323177
0.9301296954
0.92430717
3.8764811656
14

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Regresin
Residuos
Total

1
12
13
Coeficientes
130.6747252747
1.6241758242

Intercepcin
x

Anlisis de los residuales

Observacin
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14

Pronstico t
137.1714285714
140.4197802198
143.6681318681
146.9164835165
150.1648351648
153.4131868132
156.6615384615
159.9098901099
163.1582417582
166.4065934066
169.6549450549
172.9032967033
176.1516483516
179.4
2216.000

Suma de cuadrados
2400.5318681319
180.3252747253
2580.8571428572
Error tpico
2.4177902009
0.1285040993

Residuos
-3.1714285714
4.5802197802
-1.6681318681
2.0835164835
-6.1648351648
6.5868131868
-0.6615384615
-2.9098901099
4.8417582418
-0.4065934066
-2.6549450549
-1.9032967033
-2.1516483516
3.6
0.000

Promedio de los cuadrados

2400.5318681319
15.0271062271

F
159.7467823713

Estadstico t
Probabilidad
54.0471730046 1.05975114E-015
12.6390973717 2.70702256E-008

Residuos estndares
-0.8515267771
1.2297864196
-0.4478924628
0.559422997
-1.6552547538
1.768555614
-0.1776227026
-0.7813038482
1.3000093486
-0.1091700996
-0.7128512451
-0.511034088
-0.5777163651
0.9665979632
0.000

x Grfico de lo
10
Residuos

0
0

10

-10

Valor crtico de F
2.70702255668756E-008

x Curva de regre
Inferior 95%
125.4068129656
1.3441894439

Superior 95%200
135.9426375838
100
t
1.9041622045

Inferior 95.0%
125.4068129656
1.3441894439

0
0

10

15

20
x

Resultados de datos de probabilidad

Percentil

t
3.5714285714
10.7142857143
17.8571428571
25
32.1428571429
39.2857142857
46.4285714286
53.5714285714
60.7142857143
67.8571428571
75
82.1428571429
89.2857142857
96.4285714286

134
142
144
200
145
100
149
t
156
0
157
0
160
166
167
168
171
174
183

200

20

40

Muestra p

f(x) = 1.6241758242x + 130.67472527

R = 0.9301296954

150
Axis Title

Grfico de probab

100
50
0
0

10

15

20

Axis Title

25

0
0

10

15

20

Axis Title

25

Grfico de los residuales

10

15

20

25

30

35

rva de regresin ajustada

Superior 95.0%
135.9426375838
1.9041622045
10

15

20

25

t
Pronstico t
30

35

co de probabilidad normal

40

60

80

100

Muestra percentil

758242x + 130.6747252747
96954
y
Linear (y)

15

20

Axis Title

25

30

35

120

15

20

Axis Title

25

30

35

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado
Error tpico
Observaciones

0.9551417262
0.9122957172
0.9074232571
0.507688067
20

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Regresin
Residuos
Total

Intercepcin
x

1
18
19

Suma de cuadrados
48.2593258786
4.6394491214
52.898775

Coeficientes
2.3086200773
0.0088612185

Error tpico
0.4869039341
0.0006475895

Anlisis de los residuales

Observacin
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

Pronstico y
Residuos
10.3457452772
0.8542547228
10.5141084291
0.5358915709
6.7923966497
-0.3123966497
8.8747830024
0.3352169976
9.3001214915
0.1198785085
10.1862433438
-0.1062433438
10.0533250659
-0.6033250659
6.8278415238
-0.0978415238
6.9962046757
0.2437953243
6.0303318567
0.0896681433
8.3253874541
-0.6953874541
10.0356026289
-0.6056026289
10.4963859921
-1.0363859921
7.6873797204
-0.0473797204
6.3138908495
0.6061091505
8.7684483802
0.1815516198
9.3444275841
-0.0144275841
9.7874885103
0.4425114897
11.258450785
0.511549215
7.8114367798
-0.4014367798
175.75 7.105427357601E-015

Promedio de los cuadrados

F
48.2593258786 187.23513139
0.2577471734

Estadstico t
Probabilidad
4.7414282691 0.0001629773
13.6833888853 5.933744E-011

Residuos estndares
1.7287451743
1.0844774309
-0.6321934034
0.6783746714
0.2425967191
-0.2150033976
-1.2209417968
-0.1980007339
0.493365713
0.1814603605
-1.4072473623
-1.225550874
-2.0973220686
-0.0958817796
1.2265759159
0.3674038647
-0.0291969313
0.8955052656
1.0352160933
-0.812382861

Valor crtico de F
5.93374381849178E-011

Inferior 95%

Superior 95% Inferior 95.0%

1.2856728708 3.3315672839 1.2856728708
0.0075006835 0.0102217535 0.0075006835

Resultados de datos de probabilidad

Percentil

y
2.5
7.5
12.5
17.5
22.5
27.5
32.5
37.5
42.5
47.5
52.5
57.5
62.5
67.5
72.5
77.5
82.5
87.5
92.5
97.5

6.12
6.48
6.73
6.92
7.24
7.41
7.63
7.64
8.95
9.21
9.33
9.42
9.43
9.45
9.46
10.08
10.23
11.05
11.2
11.77

x Grfico de los residuales

1
Residuos

0
300 20.00
400
-1
10.00
-2 y

x Curva de regresin ajusta

0.00
300

700
800
900
1000
11
Grfico
de probabilid

500

600

20
10
y400
500
0
0

x
600

700

x
20

800
40

900

1000

110

60

Muestra percent

Superior 95.0%
3.3315672839
0.0102217535

duales

resin ajustada

00 probabilidad
900
1000
1100
de
normal
y

Pronstico y
800
40

900

1000

1100

60
Muestra percentil

80

100

120

y
907
926
506
741
789
889
874
510
529
420
679
872
924
607
452
729
794
844
1010
621
14623
731.15

x2
11.20
822649
11.05
857476
6.48
256036
9.21
549081
9.42
622521
10.08
790321
9.45
763876
6.73
260100
7.24
279841
6.12
176400
7.63
461041
9.43
760384
9.46
853776
7.64
368449
6.92
204304
8.95
531441
9.33
630436
10.23
712336
11.77
1020100
7.41
385641
175.75 11306209.0
8.7875

y2
125.44
122.1025
41.9904
84.8241
88.7364
101.6064
89.3025
45.2929
52.4176
37.4544
58.2169
88.9249
89.4916
58.3696
47.8864
80.1025
87.0489
104.6529
138.5329
54.9081
1597.3019

xy
10158.4
10232.3
3278.88
6824.61
7432.38
8961.12
8259.3
3432.3
3829.96
2570.4
5180.77
8222.96
8741.04
4637.48
3127.84
6524.55
7408.02
8634.12
11887.7
4601.61
133945.74

y
14.00
12.00
10.00

f(x) = 0.0088612185x + 2.3086200773

R = 0.9122957172

8.00
Axis Title

6.00

Linear (y)

4.00
2.00
0.00
300

400

500

600

700

Axis Title

800

900 1000 1100

6200773

1000 1100

y
Linear (y)

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado
Error tpico
Observaciones

0.9999331976
0.9998663997
0.9998530397
1.9363084618
12

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Regresin
Residuos
Total

1
10
11
Coeficientes
-6.342225748
9.2085962526

Intercepcin
TEMPERATURA

Anlisis de los residuales

Observacin
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

Pronstico CONSUMO /1000

187.0382955576
214.6640843155
288.3328543367
426.4617981263
454.0875868843
536.9649531581
619.8423194319
675.0938969477
564.590741916
454.0875868843
371.2102206105
269.9156618314
5062.29

Suma de cuadrados
280597.392520406
37.4929045935
280634.885425

Promedio de los cuadrados

F
280597.392520406 74840.131903
3.7492904594

Error tpico
1.6620458889
0.0336609338

Estadstico t
Probabilidad
-3.8159149458 0.0033961765
273.5692451701 1.047519E-020

Residuos
-1.2482955576
-0.1940843155
-0.3028543367
-1.6217981263
0.4924131157
2.0650468419
1.7076805681
-0.0338969477
-2.510741916
-1.1575868843
-1.2602206105
4.0643381686
1.278976924368E-012

Residuos estndares
-0.6761440399
-0.1051265082
-0.1640422042
-0.8784531279
0.2667174383
1.1185404818
0.9249716794
-0.0183604107
-1.359952915
-0.6270113418
-0.6826032902
2.2014642384
6.92779167366098E-013

Valor crtico de F
1.04751900558264E-020

Inferior 95%
-10.0454947667
9.1335950182

Superior 95%
Inferior 95.0%
-2.6389567292 -10.0454947667
9.283597487 9.1335950182

Resultados de datos de probabilidad

Percentil
4.1666666667
12.5
20.8333333333
29.1666666667
37.5
45.8333333333
54.1666666667
62.5
70.8333333333
79.1666666667
87.5
95.8333333333

CONSUMO /1000
185.79
214.47
273.98
288.03
369.95
424.84
452.93
454.58
539.03
562.08
621.55
675.06

TEMPERATURA Grfico de los residuales

5
TEMPERATURA
Curva de regresin
Residuos

0
10

20

-5 CONSUMO /1000

1000
30
500

Grfico
de probabilid
40
50
60
70 CONS

Pron
1000

1000

0 TEMPERATURA
500
CONSUMO10/1000
20 30 40 50 60 70 80
0
TEMPERATURA
0

20

40
Muestra

Superior 95.0%
-2.6389567292
9.283597487

os residuales

de regresin ajustada

de probabilidad
normal
/1000
60
70 CONSUMO
80
Pronstico CONSUMO /
1000
50 60 70 80

TURA
20

40

60

Muestra percentil

80

100

120

MES
ENERO
FEBRERO
MARZO
ABRIL
MAYO
JUNIO
JULIO
AGOSTO
SEPTIEMBRE
OCTUBRE
NOVIEMBRE
DICIEMBRE

TEMPERATURA

CONSUMO /1000
X2
21
185.79
24
214.47
32
288.03
47
424.84
50
454.58
59
539.03
68
621.55
74
675.06
62
562.03
50
452.93
41
369.95
30
273.98
558
5062.24

Y2
441 34517.9241
576 45997.3809
1024 82961.2809
2209 180489.026
2500 206642.976
3481 290553.341
4624 386324.403
5476 455706.004
3844 315877.721
2500 205145.585
1681 136863.003
900 75065.0404
29256 2416143.68

XY
3901.59
5147.28
9216.96
19967.48
22729
31802.77
42265.4
49954.44
34845.86
22646.5
15167.95
8219.4
265864.63

piezas x

precio y

50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
150
1550

x2
1000
950
800
740
700
650
605
585
510
430
400
320
300
280
200
150
120
8740

y2
2500
3025
3600
4225
4900
5625
6400
7225
8100
9025
10000
11025
12100
13225
14400
15625
22500
153500

xy
1000000
902500
640000
547600
490000
422500
366025
342225
260100
184900
160000
102400
90000
78400
40000
22500
14400
5663550

50000
52250
48000
48100
49000
48750
48400
49725
45900
40850
40000
33600
33000
32200
24000
18750
18000
680525

precio y
1200
1000
f(x) = - 9.5559178744x + 1385.3925120773
R = 0.9502116223

800

Axis Title

600
400
200
0
40

60

80

100
Axis Title

120

140

160

precio y
Linear (precio y)

140

160

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple
0.97478799
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2
0.95021162
R^2 ajustado
0.9468924
Error tpico
62.3219897
Observaciones
17
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados
1 1111901.31 1111901.31
15 58260.4559 3884.03039
16 1170161.76

Regresin
Residuos
Total

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t

1385.39251 53.6673717 25.8144282
-9.55591787 0.56478168 -16.919667

Intercepcin
piezas x

Anlisis de los residuales

Observacin

Pronstico precio yResiduos

Residuos estndares
1 907.596618 92.4033816 1.53130224
2 859.817029 90.182971 1.49450575
3 812.03744 -12.0374396 -0.19948359
4 764.25785 -24.2578502 -0.40199936
5 716.478261 -16.4782609 -0.27307656
6 668.698671 -18.6986715 -0.30987305
7 620.919082 -15.9190821 -0.26380989
8 573.139493 11.8605072 0.19655148
9 525.359903 -15.3599034 -0.25454322
10 477.580314 -47.580314 -0.78849756
11 429.800725 -29.8007246 -0.49385548
12 382.021135 -62.0211353 -1.02780982
13 334.241546 -34.2415459 -0.56744845
14 286.461957 -6.46195652 -0.10708708
15 238.682367 -38.6823671 -0.64104142
16 190.902778 -40.9027778 -0.67783791
17 -47.9951691 167.995169 2.78400394
8740 2.6148E-012 4.3521E-014

piezas x G
200
Residuos

100
0
-100

F
Valor crtico de F
286.275131 3.5066E-011

Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%

Superior 95.0%
7.6061E-014 1271.00322 1499.78181 1271.00322 1499.78181
3.5066E-011 -10.7597215 -8.35211423 -10.7597215 -8.35211423

os estndares

Resultados de datos de probabilidad

Percentil
2.94117647
8.82352941
14.7058824
20.5882353
26.4705882
32.3529412
38.2352941
44.1176471
50
55.8823529
61.7647059
67.6470588
73.5294118
79.4117647
85.2941176
91.1764706
97.0588235

precio y
120
150
200
280
300
320
400
430
510
585
605
650
700
740
800
950
1000

40

piezas x Grfico de los residuales

200
Residuos

100

piezas x Curva de regresin ajustada

0
40
precio y
-100

2000
1000
60
0

Grfico de probabilidad normal

80
2000

100

piezas
x100
40
601000
80
precio y
-1000
0 piezas x
0
20

120
120

140
140

40

precio y
160
Pronstico precio y

160

60

Muestra percentil

80

100

120

tada

d normal

io y

nstico precio y

til

80

100

120

y
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
150
1550

1000
950
800
740
700
650
605
585
510
430
400
320
300
280
200
150
120
8740

2500
3025
3600
4225
4900
5625
6400
7225
8100
9025
10000
11025
12100
13225
14400
15625
22500
153500

1000000
902500
640000
547600
490000
422500
366025
342225
260100
184900
160000
102400
90000
78400
40000
22500
14400
5663550

Char
1200
1000
800
Axis Title

f(x) = - 9.555917
R = 0.95021162

600
400
200
0
40

60

80

100

Axis Titl

Chart Title
1200
1000
800

f(x) = - 9.5559178744x + 1385.3925120773

Column B
R = 0.9502116223
Linear (Column B)

600
400
200
0
40

60

80

100

Axis Title

120

140

160

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado
Error tpico
Observaciones

0.9747879884
0.9502116223
0.9468923971
62.3219896547
17

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Regresin
Residuos
Total

Intercepcin
x

1
15
16

Suma de cuadrados
1111901.30878801
58260.4559178744
1170161.76470588

Coeficientes
1385.3925120773
-9.5559178744

Error tpico
53.6673717462
0.564781676

Anlisis de los residuales

Observacin
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17

Pronstico y
Residuos
907.5966183575
92.4033816425
859.8170289855
90.1829710145
812.0374396135
-12.0374396135
764.2578502415
-24.2578502415
716.4782608696
-16.4782608696
668.6986714976
-18.6986714976
620.9190821256
-15.9190821256
573.1394927536
11.8605072464
525.3599033816
-15.3599033816
477.5803140097
-47.5803140097
429.8007246377
-29.8007246377
382.0211352657
-62.0211352657
334.2415458937
-34.2415458937
286.4619565217
-6.4619565217
238.6823671498
-38.6823671498
190.9027777778
-40.9027777778
-47.9951690821
167.9951690821
8740 2.614797267597E-012

Promedio de los cuadrados

F
1111901.30878801 286.275130688
3884.030394525

Estadstico t
Probabilidad
25.8144281525 7.606124E-014
-16.9196669792 3.506562E-011

Residuos estndares
1.5313022374
1.4945057511
-0.1994835891
-0.4019993607
-0.2730765616
-0.3098730478
-0.2638098914
0.1965514785
-0.2545432212
-0.7884975636
-0.4938554791
-1.0278098216
-0.5674484516
-0.1070870817
-0.6410414241
-0.6778379104
2.784003937
4.35207425653061E-014

Valor crtico de F
3.50656182541778E-011

Inferior 95%
Superior 95%
Inferior 95.0%
1271.0032169575 1499.7818072 1271.00321696
-10.7597215211 -8.3521142277 -10.7597215211

Resultados de datos de probabilidad

Percentil

y
2.9411764706
8.8235294118
14.7058823529
20.5882352941
26.4705882353
32.3529411765
38.2352941176
44.1176470588
50
55.8823529412
61.7647058824
67.6470588235
73.5294117647
79.4117647059
85.2941176471
91.1764705882
97.0588235294
850

120
150
200
280
300
320
400
430
510
585
605
650
700
740
800
950
1000
8740

x Grfico de los residuales

200
Residuos

100
0

x Curva de regresin ajustada

1200

2000

1000
60
800

40 1000
y
-100
0
-1000

40

80

600 60

100
80

400

100

120
120

140
140

160

160

200
0
0

Superior 95.0%
1499.78181
-8.35211423

20

40

60

80

duales

resin ajustada
120
120

40

140
140

60

160

y
Pronstico y

160

80

100

120