CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL

Clinton Still Leads, Trump Seen as Toughest Challenge for Democrats
November 6-10, 2015
Q1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

Strongly approve
Somewhat approve
Somewhat disapprove
Strongly disapprove
Don't know/No answer

************* TOTAL RESPONDENTS **************
Total
Rep
Dem
Ind
Dem. Primary Voters
%
%
%
%
%
24
2
53
18
53
21
6
27
25
30
9
13
4
9
6
39
75
10
37
7
7
3
6
11
4

Q2. Do you feel things in this country are generally going in the right direction or do you feel things have pretty seriously gotten off
on the wrong track?

Right direction
Wrong track
Don't know/No answer

33
62
6

10
88
2

61
33
6

27
66
7

61
32
7

Oct15d
%
26
64
10

18
3
4
7
4
3
1
8
4
3
2
1
*
1
1
2
1
31
6

19
5
2
2
2
3
3
3
1
4
1
2
3
2
2
2
1
1
36
6

Q3. What do you think is the most important problem facing this country today?
Economy & jobs
Immigration/illegal immigrants
Health care/ coverage
Education/school loans
Poverty/homelessness
Miscellaneous government issues
Budget/national debt/deficit
Income gap/plight of middle class
Environment/global warming
Racism/race relations
Miscellaneous social issues
Foreign policy/foreign affairs
Barack Obama/the president
Religious values/prayer in schools
Moral values/family values
Crime/violence
Terrorism
Islamic Extremist groups/Isis
Other
Don't know/No answer

20
6
5
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
29
5

21
8
6
1
2
2
5
1
*
1
2
1
6
3
5
2
1
3
26
4

18
4
5
8
4
2
1
6
3
4
1
1
*
1
1
4
1
2
27
7

21
6
4
2
2
4
4
2
1
2
3
2
2
1
2
2
2
1
32
5

Q4. What do you think is the most important economic problem facing this country today?

Federal budget
Jobs and unemployment
Income inequality
Taxes
Other
Don't know/No answer

************* TOTAL RESPONDENTS **************
Total
Rep
Dem
Ind
Dem. Primary Voters
%
%
%
%
%
37
57
21
37
19
23
22
28
21
25
20
3
33
21
42
9
8
7
10
7
9
9
10
9
7
1
1
1
1
--

Q5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling foreign policy?

Approve
Disapprove
Don't know/No answer

33
52
15

6
84
10

61
23
16

30
52
18

61
23
16

Oct15a
%
36
53
11

80
18
2

47
48
5

Q6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy?
Approve
Disapprove
Don't know/No answer

44
51
5

13
85
3

78
20
2

38
54
8

Q7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the situation with ISIS militants in Iraq and Syria?

Approve
Disapprove
Don't know/No answer

31
54
14

11
80
8

55
30
16

27
56
17

54
31
16

Jul15e
34
52
14

Q8. In general, which comes closest to your feelings about the Obama presidency so far? Would you say you are very satisfied,
somewhat satisfied, somewhat disappointed or very disappointed?

Very satisfied
Somewhat satisfied
Somewhat disappointed
Very disappointed
Don't know/No answer

15
29
19
36
1

2
5
20
72
*

35
42
14
8
1

9
34
21
35
2

33
49
11
6
1

Sep14b
9
32
22
35
2

Q9. In general, is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable or not favorable?

Favorable
Not favorable
Don't know/No answer

************* TOTAL RESPONDENTS **************
Total
Rep
Dem
Ind
Dem. Primary Voters
%
%
%
%
%
45
8
89
38
89
45
86
8
46
8
10
6
3
16
3

Oct15a
%
40
52
8

Q10. Do you think the gap between rich and poor in this country is a problem that needs to be addressed now, a problem but one
that does not need to be addressed now, or not a problem?

Addressed now
Not addressed now
Not a problem
Don't know/No answer

68
12
17
3

45
18
33
4

86
8
5
1

69
11
17
3

89
8
3
1

May15c
65
16
17
3

Q11. Which comes closest to your feelings about the way things are going in Washington – enthusiastic, satisfied but not
enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not angry, or angry?

Enthusiastic
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not angry
Angry
Don't know/No answer

3
16
48
32
2

2
5
47
45
1

3
29
46
20
2

2
13
49
33
3

3
26
46
24
1

Oct15d
2
17
53
23
4

Q12. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much, or no attention so
far?

A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Don't know/No answer

************* REGISTERED VOTERS **************
44
54
41
39
42
34
33
34
36
32
16
10
18
18
21
6
4
6
7
5
*
1
-

43
34
14
7
1

Q13. Next year, are you more likely to vote in a Republican presidential primary or caucus, or a Democratic presidential primary or
caucus or aren't you likely to vote in a primary or caucus at all?
Republican primary
Democratic primary
Not likely to vote
Never vote (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

39
36
12
1
12

89
3
3
4

6
84
6
*
5

32
23
22
1
21

36
36
15
1
12

Q14. Which one of these candidates would you like to see the Democratic Party nominate for President in 2016?

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Martin O'Malley
Someone Else (vol.)
None of them (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS
%
52
33
5
1
3
6

Oct15a
%
56
32
1
5
3
4

Q15. Is your mind made up or is it still too early to say for sure?

Mind made up
Too early
Don't know/No answer

49
50
1

Sep15a1
43
56
1

Q16. Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2016, which one of these Democratic presidential candidates do you think has the best
chance of winning the general election in November 2016?

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone Else (vol.)
None of them (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

76
3
18
*
*
3

Oct15a
59
*
15
19
1
5

Q17. If Hillary Clinton became the 2016 Democratic nominee for President, would you enthusiastically support her, support her but
with reservations, support her only because she is the Democratic Party nominee, or not support her?
Enthusiastically support
Support with reservations
Support only because nominee
No support
Don't know/No answer

43
32
14
9
1

47
27
11
14
1

Q18. If Bernie Sanders became the 2016 Democratic nominee for President, would you enthusiastically support him, support him
but with reservations, support him only because he is the Democratic Party nominee, or not support him?
Enthusiastically support
Support with reservations
Support only because nominee
No support
Don't know/No answer

35
25
22
12
7

Q19. Which Republican presidential candidate do you think would be MOST difficult for the Democratic nominee to defeat in the
general election in November?

Donald Trump
Ben Carson
Jeb Bush
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Chris Christie
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Bobby Jindal
Rand Paul
Rick Santorum
None of them
Don't know/No answer

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS
%
31
15
13
13
3
2
2
1
1
*
*
*
*
5
13

Q20. We'd like to get your opinion of some public figures. For each of the following people, please say whether your opinion is
favorable, not favorable, undecided, or whether you haven't heard enough about him or her yet to have an opinion.
a. Bill Clinton

Favorable
Not favorable
Undecided
Haven't heard enough
Don't know/No answer

************* REGISTERED VOTERS ***************
Total
Rep
Dem
Ind
Dem. Primary Voters
%
%
%
%
%
50
21
75
50
77
34
63
8
34
9
9
9
9
10
7
6
5
6
6
6
1
2
1
1
1

Apr15d
%
50
27
14
7
2

35
48
13
4
*

6
83
9
2
-

73
13
10
3
*

27
52
17
5
*

72
14
12
3
*

Oct15a
33
53
11
3
*

27
25
16
30
1

6
46
21
25
1

44
11
12
32
1

29
22
16
32
1

53
7
12
27
*

26
28
13
31
2

b. Hillary Clinton
Favorable
Not favorable
Undecided
Haven't heard enough
Don't know/No answer
c. Bernie Sanders
Favorable
Not favorable
Undecided
Haven't heard enough
Don't know/No answer

Q21. Would you describe the Democratic Party today as united or divided?

United
Divided
Don't know/No answer

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS
%
59
37
5

Apr08b
%
42
56
2

Q22. How confident are you in Hillary Clinton's ability to make the right decisions about the economy -- are you very confident,
somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not too confident
Not at all confident
Don't know/No answer

39
45
8
8
*

Oct15a
51
33
8
9
*

Q23. How confident are you in Hillary Clinton's ability to make the right decisions about gun laws -- are you very confident,
somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not too confident
Not at all confident
Don't know/No answer

38
38
14
9
1

Q24. How confident are you in Hillary Clinton’s ability to help reduce the gap between the rich and the poor in the U.S. -- are you
very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not too confident
Not at all confident
Don't know/No answer

25
42
23
10
*

Q25. How confident are you in Hillary Clinton’s ability to handle an international crisis -- are you very confident, somewhat
confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not too confident
Not at all confident
Don't know/No answer

53
30
10
7
-

57
24
6
10
1

Q26. How confident are you in Hillary Clinton’s ability to make the right decisions when it comes to regulating large banks and
financial institutions -- are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not too confident
Not at all confident
Don't know/No answer

30
40
16
11
2

37
39
8
14
2

Q27. How confident are you in Bernie Sanders’ ability to make the right decisions about the economy -- are you very confident,
somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not too confident
Not at all confident
Don't know/No answer

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS
%
32
36
17
9
6

Oct15a
%
34
29
12
16
9

Q28. How confident are you in Bernie Sanders’ ability to make the right decisions about gun laws -- are you very confident,
somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not too confident
Not at all confident
Don't know/No answer

22
35
19
15
9

Q29. How confident are you in Bernie Sander’s ability to help reduce the gap between the rich and the poor in the U.S. -- are you
very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not too confident
Not at all confident
Don't know/No answer

30
34
19
11
5

Q30. How confident are you in Bernie Sanders’ ability to handle an international crisis - are you very confident, somewhat confident,
not too confident, or not at all confident?
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not too confident
Not at all confident
Don't know/No answer

16
41
23
12
8

21
36
17
18
8

Q31. How confident are you in Bernie Sanders’ ability to make the right decisions when it comes to regulating large banks and
financial institutions - are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not too confident
Not at all confident
Don't know/No answer

29
36
17
11
6

34
29
13
17
7

Q32. Which one of these candidate qualities is most important to you in deciding who to support for the Democratic nomination for
president in 2016?

Can bring about needed change
Is honest and trustworthy
Is a strong leader
Has the right experience
Cares about people like me
Don't know/No answer

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS
%
25
22
19
15
14
3

Q33. Thinking about the Democratic party's nominee for President in 2016, which is more important to you -- a nominee who agrees
with your position on most issues, or a nominee who can win the general election in November?

Agrees on issues
Can win in November
Don't know/No answer

62
36
2

Sep15a1
62
35
4

Q34. Would you rather have a Democratic nominee for President who is willing to compromise some of their positions with
Republicans in Congress in order to get things done, or will stick to their positions even if it means not getting as much done?

Compromise
Stick to positions
Don't know/No answer

76
21
2

Q35. Would you rather see the next Democratic presidential nominee generally continue Barack Obama's policies, or mostly change
to different policies?
Continue Barack Obama's policies
Change to different policies
Don't know/No answer

60
35
5

Q36. Do you think Hillary Clinton says what she believes most of the time, or does she say what she thinks people want to hear?

Yes, says what she believes
No, says what people want
Don't know/No answer

52
46
3

May08a
45
50
5

Q37. If she were elected President, do you think Hillary Clinton could bring about real change in the way things are done in
Washington, or couldn't she do that?

Could
Could not
Don't know/No answer

62
35
3

Feb08a
60
32
8

Q.38. If she were elected president, how likely is it that Hillary Clinton will be able to get her policies enacted – very likely, somewhat
likely, not very likely, or not at all likely?

Very likely
Somewhat likely
Not very likely
Not at all likely
Don't know/No answer

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS
%
24
57
14
3
1

Q39. If she were elected President, do you think Hillary Clinton would raise taxes on people like yourself, or wouldn't she do that?
Would
Would not
Don't know/No answer

30
64
6

Q40. How much influence do you think special interests have on Hillary Clinton -- a lot, some, not much or none at all?

A lot
Some
Not much
None at all
Don't know/No answer

34
50
11
2
2

Apr08a
%
38
47
8
3
4

Q41. Do you think Bernie Sanders says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?
Yes, says what he believes
No, says what people want
Don't know/No answer

62
28
10

Q42. If he were elected President, do you think Bernie Sanders could bring about real change in the way things are done in
Washington, or couldn't he do that?
Could
Could not
Don't know/No answer

51
41
9

Q43. If he were elected president, how likely is it that Bernie Sanders will be able to get his policies enacted – very likely, somewhat
likely, not very likely, or not at all likely?
Very likely
Somewhat likely
Not very likely
Not at all likely
Don't know/No answer

8
63
18
6
5

Q44. If he were elected President, do you think Bernie Sanders would raise taxes on people like yourself, or wouldn't he do that?

Would
Would not
Don't know/No answer

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS
%
34
52
13

Q45. How much influence do you think special interests have on Bernie Sanders -- a lot, some, not much or none at all?
A lot
Some
Not much
None at all
Don't know/No answer

13
32
29
18
7

Q46. Which Democratic candidate do you think is running a more negative campaign – Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders?
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both
Neither
Don't know/No answer

33
27
1
22
17

Q47. If a candidate for president supports (INSERT ITEM), would that make you more likely to vote for the candidate, would it make
you less likely, or would the candidate's support of (INSERT ITEM) not make much difference in your vote?
a. legalizing the use of marijuana
More likely
Less likely
Not much difference
Don't know/No answer

29
17
53
1

b. stricter laws covering the sale of guns
More likely
Less likely
Not much difference
Don't know/No answer

58
14
28
*

c. the death penalty
More likely
Less likely
Not much difference
Don't know/No answer

13
33
52
3

Q48. Currently, groups not directly controlled by a candidate are allowed to accept contributions of any amount to spend on political
campaigns. Do you think these kinds of contributions should be limited by law or should they remain unlimited?

Should be limited
Remain unlimited
Don't know/No answer

************* TOTAL RESPONDENTS **************
Total
Rep
Dem
Ind
Dem. Primary Voters
%
%
%
%
%
72
68
78
70
78
22
23
20
22
21
6
9
2
8
1

Q49. If a candidate is supported by one of these groups that accepts contributions of any amount to spend on campaigns, would
that make you more likely to vote for the candidate, less likely to vote for the candidate, or wouldn’t it affect your vote?
More likely
Less likely
Won't affect vote
Don't know/No answer

4
32
61
4

3
31
64
2

5
31
61
3

3
32
59
5

4
36
59
2

Q50. Do you have a positive or negative view of socialism?

Positive
Negative
Don't know/No answer

32
52
16

13
76
11

52
32
16

29
52
19

56
29
15

Jan12b
%
33
49
18

Q51. Do you think the United States should or should not take the leading role among all other countries in the world in trying to
solve international conflicts?

U.S. should take lead
U.S. should not take lead
Don't know/No answer

40
53
7

47
44
9

41
52
7

36
58
5

42
52
6

Apr15d
41
54
4

Q52. How would you say things are going for the U.S. in its fight against the militant group ISIS in Iraq and Syria? Would you say
things are going very well, somewhat well, somewhat badly, or very badly?

Very well
Somewhat well
Somewhat badly
Very badly
Don't know/No answer

2
19
36
36
7

1
10
29
54
6

2
29
42
22
5

2
17
36
36
9

2
27
49
20
2

Jul15e
2
26
36
28
8

Q53. In general, would you favor or oppose increasing taxes on wealthy Americans and large corporations in order to help reduce
income inequality in the U.S.?
Favor
Oppose
Don't know/No answer

63
31
6

38
55
7

84
12
4

63
31
7

86
10
3

Q54. Do you favor or oppose the death penalty for persons convicted of murder?

Favor
Oppose
Don't know/No answer

************* TOTAL RESPONDENTS **************
Total
Rep
Dem
Ind
Dem. Primary Voters
%
%
%
%
%
52
71
39
51
39
39
20
51
41
53
9
9
10
8
8

Sep15a
%
59
31
10

Q55. Would you favor or oppose a ban on the sale of all handguns, except those that are issued to law enforcement officers?

Favor
Oppose
Don't know/No answer

27
71
2

16
82
2

40
58
2

24
74
2

36
63
1

Jan11a
32
65
3

Q58. Currently, there are a total of six Democratic presidential debates scheduled between now and mid-March. Would you like to
see more Democratic presidential debates, fewer debates or is the number of debates about right?
More debates
Fewer debates
About right
Don't know/No answer

Total respondents
Total registered voters

13
19
61
7

10
26
56
9

16
14
67
2

Unweighted
1,495
1,259

14
19
59
8

18
13
68
2

Weighted
1,185

Total Republicans
Total Democrats
Total independents

398
426
671

365
438
692

Total Democratic primary voters

418

431