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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

South Carolina
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

1509 Registered Voters
November 15-19, 2015

±4.6%

1. Would you say things in this country today are...
Generally headed in the right direction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
Off on the wrong track . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%

2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in South Carolina?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .78%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Don’t know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%

3. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8%
Don’t know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina
4. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Republican Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Jeb Bush . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Chris Christie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Carly Fiorina . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Jim Gilmore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Lindsey Graham . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Mike Huckabee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Bobby Jindal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
George Pataki . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Rand Paul . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Rick Santorum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .0%

5.

Asked of Democratic primary voters

Held for future release
6. How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Enthusiastic about [Candidate Name] . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55%
Supporting [Candidate Name] but with some reservations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
Considering [Candidate Name] mainly because you dislike the other choices so
far . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina
7. Which of these is your favorite thing about Donald Trump right now?
Asked of Trump supporters

His outlook for America . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
He says things others are afraid to say . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
His personal success story . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
He’s not a typical politician . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
His faith and religious beliefs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%

8. Which of these is your favorite thing about Ben Carson right now?
Asked of Carson supporters

His outlook for America . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
He says things others are afraid to say . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
His personal success story . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
He’s not a typical politician . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
His faith and religious beliefs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%

9. Regardless of whether you’d personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you
feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ben Carson
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Jeb Bush

Ready
44%
52%
55%
49%
40%

Not ready
36%
35%
24%
30%
44%

Not sure
20%
12%
21%
21%
16%

10.

Asked of Democratic primary voters

Held for future release

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina
11. If [First Choice Candidate Name] wins the Presidency, how confident are you he/she could
actually do the things they’re talking about?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Very confident he/she could do them . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%
Somewhat confident, and would give him/her a chance to try . . . . . . . . . . . . 45%
Not confident yet, but electing him/her would at least send a message about the
direction we need . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%

12. How much have the terrorism attacks in Paris affected your decision about whom to
support for President in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Somewhat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
Not at all . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%

13. Do you favor or oppose sending US ground troops to the Middle East to fight ISIS?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Favor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina
14. Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements about Illegal immigrants?
Illegal immigrants...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Fill jobs Americans
won’t do
Drive down
Americans’ wages
Are generally
hard-working people
Have broken the law
and should be
penalized or
deported
Harm national
security

Agree

Disagree

55%

45%

77%

23%

75%

25%

90%

10%

83%

17%

15.

Asked of Democratic primary voters

Held for future release
16.

Asked of Democratic primary voters

Held for future release
17. On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on
which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Immigration
Matters of faith and
religion
Handling ISIS
Same sex marriage

Must agree with you
64%

Okay with some
differences
36%

42%
71%
54%

58%
29%
46%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina
18.

Asked of Democratic primary voters

Held for future release
19.

Asked of Democratic primary voters

Held for future release
20. Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Jeb Bush
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Invite
49%
60%
46%
50%
33%
34%
33%

Not Invite
51%
40%
54%
50%
67%
66%
67%

21. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?⇤
Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%

22. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?*
Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%

Questions marked with an asterisk are only asked for respondents who had not answered in previous waves.
Earlier responses were used where available.

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina
23. Thinking about politics these days, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?*
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Very Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%

24. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?
Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%

25. Are you male or female?
Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55%

26. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina
27. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?
White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%

28. What is the highest level of education you have completed?
HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina
1. Direction of country
Would you say things in this country today are...
Gender
Generally headed in the right direction
Off on the wrong track
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

29%
62%
9%

35%
57%
8%

24%
66%
11%

23%
60%
18%

30%
61%
9%

29%
63%
8%

30%
62%
8%

18%
74%
8%

58%
26%
16%





100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,506)

(677)

(830)

(210)

(387)

(623)

(286)

(1,096)

(374)

(18)

(18)

1

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in South Carolina?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Don’t know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

78%
9%
7%
2%
3%
1%

85%
5%
5%
1%
3%
2%

72%
11%
9%
3%
2%
2%

60%
9%
21%
4%
3%
2%

72%
9%
11%
4%
3%
1%

82%
9%
2%
1%
3%
3%

88%
6%
3%
1%
1%
0%

76%
9%
8%
3%
3%
1%

85%
8%
3%
0%
1%
2%











100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,508)

(679)

(829)

(209)

(387)

(625)

(286)

(1,098)

(374)

(16)

(18)

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

3. 2016 Primary Turnout
In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Gender
Democratic
Republican
Neither
Don’t know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

38%
35%
8%
19%

36%
42%
8%
13%

39%
28%
9%
24%

38%
22%
16%
25%

38%
26%
8%
28%

40%
37%
8%
15%

34%
51%
4%
11%

23%
46%
9%
22%

84%
2%
4%
10%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,509)

(679)

(830)

(210)

(387)

(625)

(286)

(1,099)

(374)

(18)

(18)

3

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

4. First Choice Republican Candidate
Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

5%
19%
1%
13%
2%
0%
3%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
16%
1%
35%
0%

3%
16%
1%
15%
1%
0%
4%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
18%
1%
35%
0%

8%
23%
1%
10%
3%
0%
2%
2%
0%
3%
0%
1%
13%
0%
35%
0%

0%
26%
0%
8%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
7%
0%
0%
28%
5%
23%
0%

5%
19%
0%
15%
1%
0%
2%
1%
1%
3%
0%
1%
11%
0%
39%
1%

6%
21%
1%
12%
2%
0%
3%
2%
0%
1%
0%
1%
12%
1%
38%
0%

6%
15%
2%
13%
3%
0%
5%
2%
0%
2%
0%
0%
19%
0%
32%
0%

5%
19%
1%
13%
2%
0%
3%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
16%
1%
35%
0%














































100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(859)

(438)

(421)

(77)

(163)

(335)

(283)

(832)

(6)

(8)

(11)

5.

Asked of Democratic primary voters
Held for future release

4

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

6. Enthusiasm for First Choice
How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

55%
39%
6%

57%
37%
6%

52%
42%
6%

70%
22%
8%

49%
43%
8%

51%
44%
5%

58%
37%
5%

54%
40%
6%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(850)

(437)

(414)

(77)

(162)

(332)

(279)

(824)

(6)

(8)

(11)

5

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

7. Favorite Trump Characteristic
Which of these is your favorite thing about Donald Trump right now?
Asked of Trump supporters

Gender
His outlook for America
He says things others are afraid to say
His personal success story
He’s not a typical politician
His faith and religious beliefs
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

29%
43%
1%
26%
0%

23%
42%
0%
36%
0%

36%
45%
3%
16%
0%





34%
22%
5%
39%
0%

23%
49%
1%
28%
0%

36%
45%
0%
19%
0%

28%
44%
1%
27%
0%













100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(151)

(149)

100%

(299)

(63)

(129)

(89)

(288)

(18)

(1)

(5)

(5)

6

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

8. Favorite Carson Characteristic
Which of these is your favorite thing about Ben Carson right now?
Asked of Carson supporters

Gender
His outlook for America
He says things others are afraid to say
His personal success story
He’s not a typical politician
His faith and religious beliefs
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

24%
8%
2%
47%
19%

11%
8%
1%
54%
26%

34%
7%
3%
43%
13%









18%
13%
2%
34%
33%





25%
8%
2%
47%
19%













100%

100%

100%
(94)

100%

(70)

100%

(164)

(20)

(30)

(71)

(43)

(158)

(5)

(0)

(1)

7

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

9. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief – Ben Carson
Regardless of whether you’d personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

44%
36%
20%

37%
40%
23%

51%
31%
18%

44%
56%
0%

52%
25%
23%

43%
32%
26%

41%
42%
17%

44%
36%
20%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(835)

(420)

(415)

(74)

(161)

(335)

(265)

(809)

(6)

(8)

(11)

8

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

10. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief – Donald Trump
Regardless of whether you’d personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

52%
35%
12%

51%
37%
13%

53%
34%
12%

33%
67%
0%

55%
33%
12%

54%
31%
15%

53%
34%
13%

52%
36%
13%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(832)

(416)

(416)

(74)

(161)

(337)

(260)

(806)

(6)

(8)

(11)

9

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

11. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief – Ted Cruz
Regardless of whether you’d personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

55%
24%
21%

59%
22%
18%

51%
26%
24%

50%
19%
31%

55%
23%
22%

53%
26%
21%

60%
23%
17%

55%
24%
21%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(834)

(416)

(419)

(74)

(161)

(331)

(267)

(808)

(6)

(8)

(11)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

12. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief – Marco Rubio
Regardless of whether you’d personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

49%
30%
21%

54%
32%
15%

45%
29%
26%

70%
16%
13%

32%
37%
31%

47%
32%
21%

56%
28%
16%

49%
30%
21%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(838)

(418)

(420)

(74)

(161)

(336)

(266)

(811)

(6)

(8)

(11)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

13. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief – Jeb Bush
Regardless of whether you’d personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

40%
44%
16%

40%
46%
14%

40%
43%
17%

49%
47%
3%

22%
55%
22%

41%
40%
19%

47%
42%
11%

41%
43%
16%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(830)

(413)

(417)

(74)

(160)

(334)

(262)

(804)

(6)

(8)

(11)

14.

Asked of Democratic primary voters
Held for future release

15.

Asked of Democratic primary voters
Held for future release

16.

Asked of Democratic primary voters
Held for future release

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

17. Confidence in Candidate Choice
If [First Choice Candidate Name] wins the Presidency, how confident are you he/she could actually do the things they’re talking about?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not confident yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

50%
45%
5%

49%
46%
4%

51%
44%
5%

69%
31%
0%

52%
44%
4%

47%
48%
5%

47%
48%
6%

50%
46%
5%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(855)

(436)

(419)

(77)

(162)

(334)

(282)

(829)

(6)

(8)

(11)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

18. Paris Attacks Effect on Vote
How much have the terrorism attacks in Paris affected your decision about whom to support for President in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
A lot
Somewhat
Not much
Not at all
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

20%
19%
27%
35%

17%
20%
26%
38%

22%
18%
29%
31%

13%
18%
40%
29%

24%
16%
24%
35%

19%
18%
28%
34%

19%
21%
24%
36%

19%
19%
28%
34%










100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(861)

(437)

(424)

(77)

(163)

(337)

(283)

(835)

(6)

(8)

(11)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

19. Troops to Fight ISIS
Do you favor or oppose sending US ground troops to the Middle East to fight ISIS?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Favor
Oppose
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

79%
21%

82%
18%

75%
25%

77%
23%

82%
18%

81%
19%

74%
26%

79%
21%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(851)

(435)

(416)

(77)

(163)

(329)

(281)

(825)

(6)

(8)

(11)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

20. Agree with each of the following statements about Illegal immigrants Illegal immigrants...
Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements about Illegal immigrants? Illegal immigrants...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Fill jobs Americans won’t do
Drive down Americans’ wages
Are generally hard-working people
Should be penalized/deported
Harm national security
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

55%
77%
75%
90%
83%

55%
76%
78%
88%
78%

53%
76%
69%
90%
87%

49%
79%
85%
94%
86%

61%
78%
84%
86%
81%

50%
77%
69%
90%
83%

56%
73%
70%
89%
81%

55%
76%
74%
89%
82%













(862)

(438)

(424)

(77)

(163)

(338)

(283)

(836)

(6)

(8)

(11)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

21. Disagree with each of the following statements about Illegal immigrants Illegal immigrants...
Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements about Illegal immigrants? Illegal immigrants...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Fill jobs Americans won’t do
Drive down Americans’ wages
Are generally hard-working people
Should be penalized/deported
Harm national security
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

45%
23%
25%
10%
17%

43%
23%
19%
12%
21%

45%
22%
30%
9%
12%

51%
21%
15%
6%
14%

38%
22%
16%
13%
18%

47%
21%
29%
10%
16%

42%
26%
27%
11%
17%

43%
23%
25%
10%
17%













(862)

(438)

(424)

(77)

(163)

(338)

(283)

(836)

(6)

(8)

(11)

22.

Asked of Democratic primary voters
Held for future release

23.

Asked of Democratic primary voters
Held for future release

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

24. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement – Immigration
On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

64%
36%

63%
37%

65%
35%

46%
54%

59%
41%

68%
32%

67%
33%

64%
36%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(852)

(437)

(415)

(77)

(160)

(336)

(278)

(826)

(6)

(8)

(11)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

25. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement – Matters of faith and religion
On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

42%
58%

44%
56%

40%
60%

31%
69%

52%
48%

43%
57%

38%
62%

41%
59%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(853)

(433)

(421)

(77)

(163)

(336)

(277)

(828)

(6)

(8)

(10)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

26. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement – Handling ISIS
On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

71%
29%

66%
34%

75%
25%

51%
49%

67%
33%

74%
26%

74%
26%

70%
30%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(849)

(434)

(415)

(77)

(160)

(335)

(276)

(823)

(6)

(8)

(11)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

27. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement – Same sex marriage
On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

54%
46%

56%
44%

52%
48%

42%
58%

60%
40%

54%
46%

54%
46%

54%
46%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(849)

(433)

(416)

(77)

(160)

(336)

(275)

(823)

(6)

(8)

(10)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

28.

Asked of Democratic primary voters
Held for future release

29.

Asked of Democratic primary voters
Held for future release

30.

Asked of Democratic primary voters
Held for future release

31.

Asked of Democratic primary voters
Held for future release

32.

Asked of Democratic primary voters
Held for future release

33.

Asked of Democratic primary voters
Held for future release

34.

Asked of Democratic primary voters
Held for future release

35.

Asked of Democratic primary voters
Held for future release

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

36. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner – Donald Trump
Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

49%
51%

52%
48%

46%
54%

30%
70%

52%
48%

47%
53%

58%
42%

57%
43%

16%
84%



100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,221)

(597)

(624)

(124)

(264)

(503)

(330)

(955)

(245)

(9)

(10)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

37. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner – Ben Carson
Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

60%
40%

62%
38%

59%
41%

57%
43%

58%
42%

58%
42%

68%
32%

68%
32%

27%
73%



100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,227)

(592)

(636)

(128)

(270)

(500)

(329)

(969)

(238)

(9)

(10)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

38. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner – Ted Cruz
Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

46%
54%

49%
51%

43%
57%

42%
58%

41%
59%

42%
58%

59%
41%

55%
45%

11%
89%



100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,216)

(594)

(623)

(128)

(263)

(496)

(330)

(949)

(246)

(9)

(10)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

39. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner – Marco Rubio
Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

50%
50%

52%
48%

47%
53%

47%
53%

38%
62%

46%
54%

64%
36%

60%
40%

9%
91%



100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,227)

(598)

(629)

(128)

(261)

(507)

(332)

(964)

(243)

(9)

(10)

26

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

40. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner – Jeb Bush
Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

33%
67%

34%
66%

33%
67%

42%
58%

19%
81%

35%
65%

38%
62%

38%
62%

13%
87%



100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,209)

(588)

(621)

(127)

(263)

(493)

(326)

(945)

(243)

(9)

(10)

27

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

41. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner – Hillary Clinton
Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

34%
66%

32%
68%

36%
64%

31%
69%

42%
58%

37%
63%

25%
75%

19%
81%

91%
9%



100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,197)

(583)

(614)

(124)

(266)

(496)

(311)

(930)

(247)

(9)

(10)

28

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina

42. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner – Bernie Sanders
Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

Gender
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

33%
67%

37%
63%

30%
70%

44%
56%

33%
67%

36%
64%

26%
74%

27%
73%

59%
41%



100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,203)

(579)

(624)

(124)

(264)

(498)

(316)

(929)

(253)

(9)

(10)

29

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

862 Likely Republican Primary Voters
November 15-19, 2015

±5.4%

1. First Choice Republican Candidate
Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

5%
19%
1%
13%
2%
0%
3%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
16%
1%
35%
0%

7%
18%
0%
19%
1%
0%
2%
3%
0%
0%
0%
1%
9%
2%
39%
0%

5%
24%
1%
14%
3%
0%
3%
2%
0%
1%
0%
0%
19%
0%
28%
0%

3%
15%
1%
2%
3%
0%
9%
0%
0%
9%
0%
1%
16%
0%
40%
0%

2%
16%
1%
22%
3%
0%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
12%
0%
42%
0%

8%
20%
1%
7%
2%
0%
5%
2%
0%
4%
0%
1%
18%
1%
30%
0%

6%
25%
0%
15%
1%
0%
2%
3%
0%
1%
0%
0%
13%
1%
32%
0%

3%
8%
3%
10%
5%
0%
6%
0%
0%
5%
0%
2%
18%
0%
40%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(859)

(273)

(362)

(152)

(333)

(483)

(554)

(234)

Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

5%
19%
1%
13%
2%
0%

3%
16%
1%
15%
1%
0%

8%
23%
1%
10%
3%
0%

0%
26%
0%
8%
0%
0%

5%
19%
0%
15%
1%
0%

6%
21%
1%
12%
2%
0%

6%
15%
2%
13%
3%
0%

6%
21%
1%
12%
2%
0%

5%
18%
1%
17%
4%
0%

continued on the next page . . .

1

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

continued from previous page
Age group

Gender
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

3%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
16%
1%
35%
0%

4%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
18%
1%
35%
0%

2%
2%
0%
3%
0%
1%
13%
0%
35%
0%

0%
3%
0%
7%
0%
0%
28%
5%
23%
0%

2%
1%
1%
3%
0%
1%
11%
0%
39%
1%

3%
2%
0%
1%
0%
1%
12%
1%
38%
0%

5%
2%
0%
2%
0%
0%
19%
0%
32%
0%

3%
2%
0%
2%
0%
0%
18%
1%
33%
0%

0%
1%
1%
2%
0%
2%
11%
0%
39%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(859)

(438)

(421)

(77)

(163)

(335)

(283)

(617)

(199)

2

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

2. Enthusiasm for First Choice
How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

55%
39%
6%

59%
37%
4%

58%
38%
4%

50%
39%
11%

64%
32%
4%

50%
44%
6%

58%
38%
4%

50%
43%
8%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(850)

(271)

(357)

(152)

(331)

(477)

(546)

(233)

Gender
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative

Tea Party

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

55%
39%
6%

57%
37%
6%

52%
42%
6%

70%
22%
8%

49%
43%
8%

51%
44%
5%

58%
37%
5%

54%
40%
6%

54%
41%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(850)

(437)

(414)

(77)

(162)

(332)

(279)

(613)

(195)

3

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

3. Favorite Trump Characteristic
Which of these is your favorite thing about Donald Trump right now?
Asked of Trump supporters

Ideology
His outlook for America
He says things others are afraid to say
His personal success story
He’s not a typical politician
His faith and religious beliefs
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

29%
43%
1%
26%
0%

36%
45%
0%
18%
0%

24%
42%
3%
31%
0%

22%
51%
2%
26%
0%

28%
50%
1%
21%
0%

33%
37%
2%
28%
0%

33%
41%
2%
24%
0%

28%
45%
1%
25%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(299)

(108)

(100)

(60)

(140)

(144)

(178)

(91)

Gender
His outlook for America
He says things others are afraid to say
His personal success story
He’s not a typical politician
His faith and religious beliefs
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

29%
43%
1%
26%
0%

23%
42%
0%
36%
0%

36%
45%
3%
16%
0%





34%
22%
5%
39%
0%

23%
49%
1%
28%
0%

36%
45%
0%
19%
0%

32%
37%
2%
29%
0%

23%
58%
0%
19%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(151)

(149)

100%

(299)

(63)

(129)

(89)

(202)

(78)

(18)

4

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

4. Favorite Carson Characteristic
Which of these is your favorite thing about Ben Carson right now?
Asked of Carson supporters

Ideology
His outlook for America
He says things others are afraid to say
His personal success story
He’s not a typical politician
His faith and religious beliefs
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

24%
8%
2%
47%
19%





24%
10%
1%
50%
15%





29%
17%
2%
35%
16%

22%
3%
2%
56%
16%

24%
6%
1%
48%
21%





100%

100%

100%

100%

(54)

(97)

(135)

100%
(164)

(48)

(86)

(21)

Gender
His outlook for America
He says things others are afraid to say
His personal success story
He’s not a typical politician
His faith and religious beliefs
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Age group

(19)

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

24%
8%
2%
47%
19%

11%
8%
1%
54%
26%

34%
7%
3%
43%
13%









18%
13%
2%
34%
33%





27%
6%
2%
48%
17%





100%

100%

100%
(94)

100%

(70)

100%

(164)

(20)

(30)

(71)

(43)

(125)

(35)

5

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

5. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief – Ben Carson
Regardless of whether you’d personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

44%
36%
20%

48%
27%
25%

47%
36%
17%

34%
48%
18%

50%
29%
21%

39%
40%
21%

50%
30%
20%

33%
48%
19%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(835)

(272)

(349)

(147)

(323)

(471)

(540)

(226)

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

44%
36%
20%

37%
40%
23%

51%
31%
18%

44%
56%
0%

52%
25%
23%

43%
32%
26%

41%
42%
17%

46%
33%
21%

41%
40%
19%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(835)

(420)

(415)

(74)

(161)

(335)

(265)

(602)

(190)

6

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

6. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief – Donald Trump
Regardless of whether you’d personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

52%
35%
12%

62%
27%
11%

47%
38%
15%

46%
46%
8%

64%
25%
11%

44%
42%
14%

52%
34%
14%

53%
38%
8%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(832)

(271)

(344)

(146)

(324)

(466)

(534)

(228)

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

52%
35%
12%

51%
37%
13%

53%
34%
12%

33%
67%
0%

55%
33%
12%

54%
31%
15%

53%
34%
13%

51%
36%
13%

56%
32%
12%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(832)

(416)

(416)

(74)

(161)

(337)

(260)

(598)

(191)

7

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

7. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief – Ted Cruz
Regardless of whether you’d personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

55%
24%
21%

65%
17%
18%

61%
17%
22%

30%
48%
22%

81%
10%
9%

39%
33%
28%

58%
19%
22%

54%
31%
15%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(834)

(273)

(345)

(148)

(324)

(469)

(541)

(224)

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

55%
24%
21%

59%
22%
18%

51%
26%
24%

50%
19%
31%

55%
23%
22%

53%
26%
21%

60%
23%
17%

55%
19%
26%

60%
30%
10%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(834)

(416)

(419)

(74)

(161)

(331)

(267)

(599)

(192)

8

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

8. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief – Marco Rubio
Regardless of whether you’d personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

49%
30%
21%

42%
36%
22%

57%
22%
21%

43%
40%
18%

47%
34%
20%

50%
28%
22%

48%
30%
21%

51%
29%
20%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(838)

(272)

(346)

(151)

(322)

(473)

(539)

(230)

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

49%
30%
21%

54%
32%
15%

45%
29%
26%

70%
16%
13%

32%
37%
31%

47%
32%
21%

56%
28%
16%

52%
27%
21%

49%
31%
20%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(838)

(418)

(420)

(74)

(161)

(336)

(266)

(597)

(198)

9

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

9. Republicans Ready to Be Commander in Chief – Jeb Bush
Regardless of whether you’d personally vote for them, which of these candidates do you feel is ready to be Commander in Chief, if elected?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Ready
Not ready
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

40%
44%
16%

31%
50%
19%

46%
41%
13%

46%
43%
11%

26%
54%
20%

49%
38%
13%

38%
45%
17%

44%
42%
14%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(830)

(272)

(343)

(148)

(320)

(470)

(536)

(226)

Gender
Ready
Not ready
Not sure

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

40%
44%
16%

40%
46%
14%

40%
43%
17%

49%
47%
3%

22%
55%
22%

41%
40%
19%

47%
42%
11%

42%
40%
17%

35%
53%
12%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(830)

(413)

(417)

(74)

(160)

(334)

(262)

(593)

(195)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

10. Confidence in Candidate Choice
If [First Choice Candidate Name] wins the Presidency, how confident are you he/she could actually do the things they’re talking about?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not confident yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

50%
45%
5%

59%
38%
2%

48%
46%
5%

44%
49%
8%

62%
36%
2%

44%
50%
7%

54%
43%
3%

43%
50%
7%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(855)

(273)

(360)

(152)

(333)

(480)

(552)

(233)

Gender
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not confident yet

Tea Party

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

50%
45%
5%

49%
46%
4%

51%
44%
5%

69%
31%
0%

52%
44%
4%

47%
48%
5%

47%
48%
6%

51%
46%
3%

44%
48%
7%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(855)

(436)

(419)

(77)

(162)

(334)

(282)

(615)

(198)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

11. Paris Attacks Effect on Vote
How much have the terrorism attacks in Paris affected your decision about whom to support for President in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
A lot
Somewhat
Not much
Not at all
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

20%
19%
27%
34%

17%
15%
25%
43%

19%
24%
29%
28%

28%
18%
21%
34%

21%
18%
21%
40%

19%
20%
33%
28%

19%
16%
30%
35%

19%
27%
23%
31%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(861)

(275)

(363)

(152)

(334)

(485)

(556)

(234)

Gender
A lot
Somewhat
Not much
Not at all

Tea Party

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

20%
19%
27%
34%

17%
20%
26%
38%

22%
18%
29%
31%

13%
18%
40%
29%

24%
16%
24%
35%

19%
18%
28%
34%

19%
21%
24%
36%

17%
20%
29%
34%

25%
16%
25%
34%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(861)

(437)

(424)

(77)

(163)

(337)

(283)

(619)

(199)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

12. Troops to Fight ISIS
Do you favor or oppose sending US ground troops to the Middle East to fight ISIS?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Favor
Oppose
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

79%
21%

79%
21%

83%
17%

65%
35%

83%
17%

75%
25%

78%
22%

77%
23%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(851)

(269)

(362)

(150)

(332)

(477)

(549)

(232)

Gender
Favor
Oppose

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

79%
21%

82%
18%

75%
25%

77%
23%

82%
18%

81%
19%

74%
26%

81%
19%

76%
24%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(851)

(435)

(416)

(77)

(163)

(329)

(281)

(611)

(199)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

13. Agree with each of the following statements about Illegal immigrants Illegal immigrants...
Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements about Illegal immigrants? Illegal immigrants...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Fill jobs Americans won’t do
Drive down Americans’ wages
Are generally hard-working people
Should be penalized/deported
Harm national security
(Weighted N)

(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

55%
77%
75%
90%
83%

46%
88%
75%
94%
88%

58%
75%
70%
88%
86%

59%
59%
81%
81%
69%

45%
85%
72%
95%
90%

61%
70%
75%
84%
77%

54%
81%
76%
92%
86%

55%
63%
72%
81%
74%

(862)

(275)

(363)

(153)

(334)

(486)

(556)

(234)

Gender
Fill jobs Americans won’t do
Drive down Americans’ wages
Are generally hard-working people
Should be penalized/deported
Harm national security

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

55%
77%
75%
90%
83%

55%
76%
78%
88%
78%

53%
76%
69%
90%
87%

49%
79%
85%
94%
86%

61%
78%
84%
86%
81%

50%
77%
69%
90%
83%

56%
73%
70%
89%
81%

59%
79%
75%
90%
83%

41%
73%
71%
90%
84%

(862)

(438)

(424)

(77)

(163)

(338)

(283)

(620)

(199)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

14. Disagree with each of the following statements about Illegal immigrants Illegal immigrants...
Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements about Illegal immigrants? Illegal immigrants...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Fill jobs Americans won’t do
Drive down Americans’ wages
Are generally hard-working people
Should be penalized/deported
Harm national security
(Weighted N)

(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

45%
23%
25%
10%
17%

52%
11%
23%
6%
11%

40%
23%
28%
12%
13%

41%
40%
18%
16%
30%

52%
14%
25%
5%
9%

38%
29%
24%
15%
21%

44%
18%
23%
7%
13%

43%
36%
27%
19%
26%

(862)

(275)

(363)

(153)

(334)

(486)

(556)

(234)

Gender
Fill jobs Americans won’t do
Drive down Americans’ wages
Are generally hard-working people
Should be penalized/deported
Harm national security

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

45%
23%
25%
10%
17%

43%
23%
19%
12%
21%

45%
22%
30%
9%
12%

51%
21%
15%
6%
14%

38%
22%
16%
13%
18%

47%
21%
29%
10%
16%

42%
26%
27%
11%
17%

39%
20%
23%
9%
16%

58%
26%
28%
9%
15%

(862)

(438)

(424)

(77)

(163)

(338)

(283)

(620)

(199)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

15. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement – Immigration
On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

64%
36%

72%
28%

65%
35%

46%
54%

76%
24%

57%
43%

63%
37%

66%
34%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(852)

(273)

(359)

(149)

(334)

(476)

(549)

(231)

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

64%
36%

63%
37%

65%
35%

46%
54%

59%
41%

68%
32%

67%
33%

63%
37%

69%
31%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(852)

(437)

(415)

(77)

(160)

(336)

(278)

(615)

(194)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

16. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement – Matters of faith and religion
On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

42%
58%

56%
44%

42%
58%

18%
82%

44%
56%

41%
59%

54%
46%

18%
82%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(853)

(274)

(360)

(149)

(332)

(480)

(552)

(230)

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

42%
58%

44%
56%

40%
60%

31%
69%

52%
48%

43%
57%

38%
62%

45%
55%

35%
65%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(853)

(433)

(421)

(77)

(163)

(336)

(277)

(616)

(196)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

17. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement – Handling ISIS
On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

71%
29%

75%
25%

67%
33%

68%
32%

82%
18%

64%
36%

69%
31%

75%
25%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(849)

(275)

(358)

(146)

(333)

(475)

(550)

(228)

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

71%
29%

66%
34%

75%
25%

51%
49%

67%
33%

74%
26%

74%
26%

73%
27%

67%
33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(849)

(434)

(415)

(77)

(160)

(335)

(276)

(614)

(193)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

18. Republican Candidate Policy Agreement – Same sex marriage
On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

54%
46%

72%
28%

54%
46%

25%
75%

60%
40%

50%
50%

67%
33%

28%
72%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(849)

(273)

(356)

(149)

(331)

(476)

(548)

(230)

Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

54%
46%

56%
44%

52%
48%

42%
58%

60%
40%

54%
46%

54%
46%

57%
43%

48%
52%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(849)

(433)

(416)

(77)

(160)

(336)

(275)

(613)

(194)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

19. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner – Donald Trump
Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

66%
34%

73%
27%

63%
37%

63%
37%

76%
24%

61%
39%

66%
34%

67%
33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(821)

(269)

(340)

(143)

(320)

(460)

(533)

(222)

Gender
Invite
Not Invite

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

66%
34%

69%
31%

64%
36%

48%
52%

68%
32%

67%
33%

70%
30%

66%
34%

69%
31%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(821)

(422)

(399)

(74)

(158)

(327)

(263)

(591)

(188)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

20. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner – Ben Carson
Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

80%
20%

83%
17%

85%
15%

65%
35%

89%
11%

73%
27%

83%
17%

72%
28%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(834)

(267)

(353)

(144)

(324)

(468)

(537)

(227)

Gender
Invite
Not Invite

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

80%
20%

80%
20%

80%
20%

79%
21%

79%
21%

78%
22%

83%
17%

82%
18%

80%
20%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(834)

(423)

(411)

(77)

(163)

(332)

(262)

(600)

(191)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

21. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner – Ted Cruz
Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

66%
34%

78%
22%

70%
30%

39%
61%

83%
17%

54%
46%

69%
31%

60%
40%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(816)

(271)

(343)

(140)

(316)

(458)

(526)

(219)

Gender
Invite
Not Invite

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

66%
34%

69%
31%

62%
38%

63%
37%

63%
37%

62%
38%

72%
28%

68%
32%

68%
32%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(816)

(419)

(397)

(77)

(158)

(317)

(264)

(583)

(189)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

22. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner – Marco Rubio
Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

67%
33%

64%
36%

75%
25%

51%
49%

65%
35%

68%
32%

66%
34%

69%
31%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(831)

(269)

(349)

(144)

(319)

(471)

(536)

(226)

Gender
Invite
Not Invite

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

67%
33%

68%
32%

66%
34%

72%
28%

48%
52%

68%
32%

77%
23%

70%
30%

68%
32%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(831)

(425)

(406)

(77)

(156)

(331)

(267)

(593)

(195)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

23. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner – Jeb Bush
Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

41%
59%

40%
60%

44%
56%

37%
63%

34%
66%

45%
55%

40%
60%

42%
58%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(809)

(265)

(343)

(140)

(310)

(459)

(515)

(224)

Gender
Invite
Not Invite

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

41%
59%

41%
59%

42%
58%

44%
56%

26%
74%

46%
54%

44%
56%

47%
53%

29%
71%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(809)

(411)

(398)

(77)

(158)

(317)

(258)

(580)

(186)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

24. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner – Hillary Clinton
Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

7%
93%

3%
97%

6%
94%

18%
82%

3%
97%

10%
90%

5%
95%

12%
88%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(792)

(265)

(331)

(140)

(301)

(451)

(510)

(214)

Gender
Invite
Not Invite

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

7%
93%

8%
92%

6%
94%

1%
99%

10%
90%

5%
95%

10%
90%

5%
95%

9%
91%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(792)

(405)

(387)

(74)

(158)

(315)

(245)

(562)

(187)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina Likely Republican Voters

25. Invite to Thanksgiving Dinner – Bernie Sanders
Which of these candidates would you invite to Thanksgiving dinner, if you could?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Invite
Not Invite
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

14%
86%

7%
93%

12%
88%

33%
67%

5%
95%

20%
80%

12%
88%

18%
82%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(791)

(261)

(330)

(138)

(297)

(453)

(505)

(218)

Gender
Invite
Not Invite

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

14%
86%

19%
81%

10%
90%

12%
88%

12%
88%

15%
85%

15%
85%

13%
87%

14%
86%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(791)

(400)

(391)

(74)

(157)

(316)

(243)

(562)

(187)

26