Anderson Robbins Research (D) / Shaw & Company Research (R)

N = 801 SC likely primary voters (462 landline, 339 cellphone)

Interviews Conducted:
December 5-8, 2015

All results are for release after 6:00 P.M. ET Wednesday, December 9, 2015.

SOUTH CAROLINA

The Fox News Poll is conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and
Shaw & Company Research (R). The poll was conducted by telephone with live interviewers
December 5-8, 2015, among a random state sample of 801 South Carolina likely primary voters.
Results for the 364 likely Democratic primary voters have a margin of error of plus or minus 5
percentage points and results for the 437 likely Republican primary voters have a margin of error
of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.
Landline and cellphone numbers were randomly selected from a statewide voter file of registered
South Carolina voters using a probability proportionate to size method. This simply means that
phone numbers are proportionally representative to the number of voters in all regions across the
state of South Carolina. Respondents were screened to identify likely primary voters.
An asterisk (*) is used for percentages of less than one-half percent.
A dash (-) represents a value of zero.
Some results may not add to 100% due to rounding.

1.

How likely is it that you will vote in the South Carolina presidential primary scheduled
for February of 2016will you definitely vote in the primary, probably vote in the
primary, probably not vote, or definitely not vote? [IF DEFINITELY OR
PROBABLY] Will you vote in the Democratic or Republican primary?

5-8 Dec 15
2.

--Democratic---Republican-Definitely Probably Definitely Probably

73%
27
80
20

How satisfied are you with the way things are going in the country today -- are you very
satisfied, somewhat satisfied, not very satisfied or not at all satisfied?
-----Satisfied----Some
TOTAL Very
what
Likely Dem primary voters 59%
11
48
9%
1
8
Likely GOP primary voters

3.

-----Not Satisfied----Not
Not
TOTAL very
at all
42
25
17
89
24
65

(Dont
know)
*
1

For you and your family, does it feel like the economy is getting better or getting worse?

Likely Dem primary voters

Likely GOP primary voters

Getting better
53%
23%

Getting worse
31
61

(Staying the
same)
14
13

(Dont know)
2
2

[Q4 IF DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY IN Q1, N=364]

4.
Im going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Democratic nomination. If
the Democratic presidential primary were held today, which one of the following would
you support? [IF NOT SURE, ASK: Well, if you had to decide today, which one would
you choose?] [RANDOMIZE LIST]

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Martin OMalley
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Dont know)

5-8 Dec 2015

N=364
65%
21
3
1
7
3

[Q5-12 IF REPUBLICAN PRIMARY IN Q1, N=437]

5.
Im going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Republican nomination. If
the Republican presidential primary were held today, which one of the following would
you support? [IF NOT SURE, ASK: Well, if you had to decide today, which one would
you choose?] [RANDOMIZE LIST]
5-8 Dec 2015
N=437
Donald Trump
35%
Ben Carson
15
Ted Cruz
14
Marco Rubio
14
Jeb Bush
5
Chris Christie
2
Lindsey Graham
2
Rand Paul
2
Carly Fiorina
1
Mike Huckabee
1
John Kasich
1
Rick Santorum
1
Jim Gilmore
*
George Pataki
(Other)
*
(None of the above)
1
(Dont know)
5
[SKIP AND CODE AS DONT KNOW IF DONT KNOW IN Q5]
6.
And which Republican would be your second choice? [IF NOT SURE, ASK: Well, if
you had to decide today, which one would you choose?][ONLY READ LIST IF
REQUESTED. READ IN SAME ORDER AS Q5. DO NOT ACCEPT CHOICE FROM Q5.]

Donald Trump
Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Jeb Bush
Chris Christie
Lindsey Graham
Rand Paul
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rick Santorum
Jim Gilmore
George Pataki
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Dont know)

First choice Second choice Without Trump

35%
13%
N/A
15
16
23%
14
17
24
14
12
17
5
9
10
2
4
3
2
3
4
2
2
2
1
4
1
1
3
2
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
6
4
5
10
7

Without Carson
39%
N/A
16
16
7
2
3
2
1
2
1
1
1
*
1
6

7.

And which of these candidates would you never support for the Republican nomination?
[ONLY READ LIST IF REQUESTED. ACCEPT MULTIPLE RESPONSES.
PROBE UNTIL NOT PRODUCTIVE:] Are there any others you would never support?
5-8 Dec 2015
N=437
(Trump)
24%
(Bush)
19
(Graham)
18
(Kasich)
10
(Paul)
10
(Christie)
9
(Cruz)
8
(Fiorina)
8
(Carson)
7
(Huckabee)
7
(Pataki)
7
(Gilmore)
7
(Rubio)
6
(Santorum)
5
(I would vote for any of
16
them/None/No one)
(Don't know)
10

8.

9.

Which one of the following will be MOST important in deciding your vote for the
Republican nominee? [IF ALL OR MIXED OR OTHER, ASK: Well, if you had
to pick one, which would it be?] [RANDOMIZE]
5-8 Dec 15
N=437
National security, such as ensuring a strong
military and Americas position in the world
39%
Economic issues, such as taxes and government
spending
24
Immigration issues, such as border security and
legalization
16
Social issues, such as abortion and gay marriage
6
(All / Mixed)
14
(Other)
1
(Dont know)
1
Which one of the following candidate qualities will matter most in deciding which
candidate to support in the Republican primary? That the candidate:
[RANDOMIZE]
5-8 Dec 15
N=437
Is a strong leader
26%
Is honest and trustworthy
22
Would shake things up in Washington
16
Has true conservative values
14
Can defeat the Democratic nominee
10
(All / Mixed)
10
(None / Other)
2
(Dont know)
1

10.

Regardless of how you plan to vote, which Republican presidential candidate do you
think is most qualified to handle the economy? [DO NOT READ LIST UNLESS
REQUESTED]
5-8 Dec 15
N=437
(Trump)
48%
(Bush
9
(Cruz)
9
(Rubio)
8
(Carson)
6
(Paul)
3
(Fiorina)
2
(Kasich)
2
(Christie)
1
(Graham)
1
(Pataki)
*
(Santorum)
*
(Gilmore)
*
(Huckabee)
(Other)
*
(All)
1
(Don't know)
10

11.

Regardless of how you plan to vote, which Republican presidential candidate do you
think is most qualified to handle national security? [DO NOT READ LIST UNLESS
REQUESTED]
5-8 Dec 15
N=437
(Trump)
25%
(Cruz)
18
(Rubio)
11
(Bush)
8
(Graham)
8
(Carson)
6
(Christie)
4
(Huckabee)
2
(Paul)
2
(Kasich)
1
(Santorum)
1
(Fiorina)
*
(Gilmore)
*
(Pataki)
(Other)
*
(All)
1
(Don't know)
14

12.

Regardless of how you plan to vote, which Republican presidential candidate do you
think would be most likely to beat Hillary Clinton in the presidential election? [DO NOT
READ LIST UNLESS REQUESTED]
5-8 Dec 15
N=437
(Trump)
42%
(Rubio)
14
(Cruz)
9
(Carson)
8
(Bush)
3
(Fiorina)
1
(Christie)
1
(Kasich)
1
(Paul)
1
(Graham)
1
(Huckabee)
*
(Pataki)
(Santorum)
(Gilmore)
(Other)
*
(All)
9
(Don't know)
9

POLITICAL IDENTIFICATION
When you think about politics, do you think of yourself as a Democrat or a Republican?
(Independent /
(Dont know /
Democrat
Republican
Other)
Refused)
5-8 Dec 15
38%
49
12
2

Fox News Poll -- Margin of Error for Subgroups

The Fox News Poll is conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R). The poll was conducted by telephone with live interviewers December 5-8, 2015
among a random state sample of 801 South Carolina likely primary voters.
Results for the 364 likely Democratic primary voters have a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage
points and results for the 437 likely Republican primary voters have a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5
percentage points.
Results among the attached subgroups have larger sampling errors:
Republican Primary Voters +/- 4.5%
+/- 6%
Men:
+/- 7%
Women:
--+/- 6%
College Degree:
+/- 7%
No College Degree:
--Top Issue To Vote
+/- 7.5%
National Security:
+/- 9.5%
Economy:
--Top Candidate Trait
+/- 9%
Strong Leader:
Honest & Trustworthy: +/- 10%
--+/- 8%
Under Age 45:
+/- 5.5%
Age 45+:
--+/- 9%
Income Under $50k:
+/- 6%
Income $50k+:
--+/- 6.5%
White Evangelical:
--+/- 7%
Very Conservative:
--+/- 9.5%
Tea Party:
--+/- 5%
Republican:

Democratic Primary Voters +/- 5%

+/- 7.5%
Men:
+/- 7%
Women:
--+/- 8%
White:
+/- 7%
Black:
--+/- 7%
College Degree:
+/- 7%
No College Degree:
--+/- 7%
Under Age 45:
+/- 7%
Age 45+:
--Income Under $50k: +/- 8%
+/- 7.5%
Income $50k+:
--+/- 7%
Liberal:
+/- 8%
Conservative:
--+/- 5.5%
Democrat:

1. How likely is it that you will vote in the South Carolina presidential primary scheduled for February of 2016
- will you definitely vote in the primary, probably vote in the primary, probably not vote, or definitely not
vote?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS

Definitely vote in
Democratic primary
Probably vote in
Democratic primary
Definitely vote in
Republican primary
Probably vote in
Republican primary
Probably not vote in
primary
Definitely not vote in
primary
(Not sure)

Definitely vote in
Democratic primary
Probably vote in
Democratic primary
Definitely vote in
Republican primary
Probably vote in
Republican primary
Probably not vote in
primary
Definitely not vote in
primary
(Not sure)

Total
73%

Men
67%

Women
77%

White
71%

Black
73%

College
Degree
74%

No
Degree
72%

27%

33%

23%

29%

27%

26%

28%

Total
73%

Under
Age 45
71%

45+
75%

Under
$50k
70%

$50k+
74%

Lib
74%

Cons
71%

Dem
74%

27%

29%

25%

30%

26%

26%

29%

26%

1. How likely is it that you will vote in the South Carolina presidential primary scheduled for February of 2016
- will you definitely vote in the primary, probably vote in the primary, probably not vote, or definitely not
vote?
LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

Definitely vote in
Democratic primary
Probably vote in
Democratic primary
Definitely vote in
Republican primary
Probably vote in
Republican primary
Probably not vote in
primary
Definitely not vote in
primary
(Not sure)

Definitely vote in
Democratic primary
Probably vote in
Democratic primary
Definitely vote in
Republican primary
Probably vote in
Republican primary
Probably not vote in
primary
Definitely not vote in
primary
(Not sure)

Total

Men

Women

College
Degree

No
Degree

80%

80%

79%

20%

20%

Top Issue
Nat Sec

Econ

Strong
Leader

Honest

83%

75%

81%

75%

74%

76%

21%

17%

25%

19%

25%

26%

24%

Total
-

Under
Age 45
-

45+
-

Under
$50k
-

$50k+
-

White
Evan
-

Very
Cons
-

Tea
Party
-

Rep
-

80%

74%

83%

78%

80%

83%

88%

85%

82%

20%

26%

17%

22%

20%

17%

12%

15%

18%

2. How satisfied are you with the way things are going in the country today -- are you very satisfied, somewhat
satisfied, not very satisfied or not at all satisfied?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS

Very satisfied
Somewhat satisfied
Not very satisfied
Not at all satisfied
(Don't know)

Total
11%
48%
25%
17%
*%

Very satisfied
Somewhat satisfied
Not very satisfied
Not at all satisfied
(Don't know)

Total
11%
48%
25%
17%
*%

Men
12%
45%
24%
20%
1%

Women
10%
50%
26%
15%
-

Under
Age 45
10%
51%
22%
17%
*%

White
5%
35%
36%
23%
1%

45+
12%
44%
29%
16%
-

Black
14%
57%
18%
11%
Under
$50k
12%
43%
30%
15%
-

College
Degree
11%
50%
25%
15%
-

$50k+
10%
53%
18%
20%
-

No
Degree
10%
46%
25%
18%
*%

Lib
14%
51%
26%
10%
-

Cons
8%
44%
24%
24%
-

Dem
12%
53%
22%
12%
*%

2. How satisfied are you with the way things are going in the country today -- are you very satisfied, somewhat
satisfied, not very satisfied or not at all satisfied?
LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

Very satisfied
Somewhat satisfied
Not very satisfied
Not at all satisfied
(Don't know)

Total
1%
8%
24%
65%
1%

Very satisfied
Somewhat satisfied
Not very satisfied
Not at all satisfied
(Don't know)

Total
1%
8%
24%
65%
1%

Men
2%
9%
24%
64%
1%

Women
1%
8%
24%
66%
*%

Under
Age 45
3%
10%
34%
52%
1%

College
Degree
1%
10%
26%
62%
*%

45+
1%
7%
19%
72%
1%

No
Degree
2%
6%
22%
68%
2%

Under
$50k
2%
10%
21%
68%
-

Top Issue
Nat Sec
1%
7%
25%
67%
1%

$50k+
1%
9%
25%
63%
1%

Econ
3%
19%
33%
43%
2%

White
Evan
1%
5%
22%
72%
-

Strong
Leader
3%
13%
25%
58%
1%

Very
Cons
2%
4%
16%
78%
1%

Honest
12%
33%
53%
2%

Tea
Party
1%
4%
17%
78%
-

Rep
1%
6%
25%
67%
1%

3. For you and your family, does it feel like the economy is getting better or getting worse?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS

Getting better
Getting worse
(Staying the same)
(Don't know)

Total
53%
31%
14%
2%

Getting better
Getting worse
(Staying the same)
(Don't know)

Total
53%
31%
14%
2%

Men
58%
26%
15%
1%

Women
50%
35%
13%
3%

Under
Age 45
61%
27%
12%
1%

White
47%
36%
16%
2%

45+
46%
35%
15%
4%

Black
57%
29%
12%
3%
Under
$50k
46%
39%
12%
3%

College
Degree
58%
27%
14%
1%

$50k+
62%
23%
15%
-

No
Degree
49%
35%
13%
3%

Lib
65%
23%
11%
1%

Cons
39%
42%
16%
4%

Dem
57%
26%
14%
3%

3. [LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS]For you and your family, does it feel like the economy is getting better or
getting worse?
LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

Getting better
Getting worse
(Staying the same)
(Don't know)

Total
23%
61%
13%
2%

Getting better
Getting worse
(Staying the same)
(Don't know)

Total
23%
61%
13%
2%

Men
23%
57%
17%
3%

Women
23%
67%
8%
2%

Under
Age 45
32%
51%
15%
1%

College
Degree
26%
59%
15%
*%

45+
18%
67%
12%
3%

No
Degree
21%
65%
10%
4%

Under
$50k
19%
66%
12%
2%

Top Issue
Nat Sec
26%
61%
11%
2%

$50k+
26%
58%
14%
2%

Econ
29%
52%
17%
2%

White
Evan
17%
69%
12%
1%

Strong
Leader
28%
53%
19%
1%

Very
Cons
14%
74%
10%
2%

Honest
28%
60%
10%
2%

Tea
Party
19%
70%
11%
-

Rep
21%
63%
13%
3%

4. I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Democratic nomination. If the Democratic
presidential primary were held today, which one of the following would you support?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Don't know)

Total
65%
3%
21%
1%
7%
3%

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Don't know)

Total
65%
3%
21%
1%
7%
3%

Men
54%
4%
27%
2%
10%
2%

Women
72%
2%
17%
6%
4%

Under
Age 45
61%
4%
28%
*%
5%
1%

White
39%
6%
37%
2%
14%
2%

45+
68%
2%
14%
1%
9%
5%

Black
82%
1%
11%
*%
2%
4%
Under
$50k
71%
4%
17%
1%
3%
5%

College
Degree
64%
1%
25%
1%
8%
1%

$50k+
59%
2%
28%
2%
9%
1%

No
Degree
65%
4%
17%
1%
7%
5%

Lib
66%
2%
29%
1%
2%
1%

Cons
63%
5%
14%
1%
14%
4%

Dem
75%
3%
18%
*%
1%
3%

5. I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Republican nomination. If the Republican
presidential primary were held today, which one of the following would you support?
LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Don't know)

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Don't know)

Total
5%
15%
2%
14%
1%
*%
2%
1%
1%
2%
14%
1%
35%
*%
1%
5%

Men
4%
11%
2%
16%
1%
3%
1%
1%
3%
15%
1%
37%
*%
*%
4%

Women
7%
18%
2%
11%
*%
1%
2%
1%
1%
*%
13%
1%
32%
1%
7%

Total

Under
Age 45

5%
15%
2%
14%
1%
*%
2%
1%
1%
2%
14%
1%
35%
*%
1%
5%

6%
20%
2%
14%
1%
1%
4%
2%
1%
3%
12%
2%
29%
1%
3%

College
Degree
4%
14%
3%
16%
1%
*%
2%
1%
2%
2%
17%
1%
32%
1%
4%
45+
5%
12%
2%
14%
1%
*%
1%
1%
1%
1%
16%
1%
38%
*%
*%
7%

No
Degree
7%
15%
1%
11%
1%
3%
2%
1%
2%
10%
1%
38%
1%
1%
7%

Top Issue
Nat Sec
6%
16%
3%
16%
2%
1%
1%
1%
16%
1%
32%
1%
4%

Under
$50k

$50k+

7%
10%
10%
2%
4%
2%
3%
12%
3%
43%
4%

5%
17%
4%
15%
1%
2%
1%
2%
1%
14%
32%
*%
*%
6%

Econ
6%
12%
2%
12%
2%
6%
3%
4%
14%
2%
32%
1%
5%

White
Evan
4%
18%
2%
15%
1%
2%
2%
2%
12%
*%
34%
*%
7%

Strong
Leader
9%
11%
4%
13%
1%
1%
4%
3%
2%
12%
1%
36%
1%
4%

Honest
9%
20%
12%
1%
3%
4%
2%
1%
13%
2%
24%
1%
6%

Very
Cons

Tea
Party

Rep

4%
20%
2%
20%
1%
1%
1%
2%
10%
2%
34%
1%
4%

3%
19%
24%
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
4%
38%
1%
3%

5%
15%
3%
13%
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
15%
1%
36%
*%
1%
5%

6. And which Republican would be your second choice?

LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Don't know)

Total
9%
16%
4%
17%
4%
*%
3%
3%
1%
2%
12%
*%
13%
*%
6%
10%

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Don't know)

Total
9%
16%
4%
17%
4%
*%
3%
3%
1%
2%
12%
*%
13%
*%
6%
10%

Men
11%
15%
3%
20%
3%
3%
3%
1%
2%
11%
13%
*%
6%
8%

Women
7%
17%
4%
14%
5%
*%
2%
3%
1%
1%
13%
1%
12%
6%
12%

Under
Age 45
6%
18%
5%
15%
4%
1%
3%
6%
1%
3%
12%
1%
14%
6%
6%

College
Degree
9%
15%
5%
16%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
13%
13%
6%
8%
45+
11%
15%
3%
18%
4%
3%
1%
2%
1%
12%
12%
*%
6%
12%

No
Degree
10%
17%
2%
18%
3%
1%
2%
3%
1%
2%
11%
1%
13%
1%
6%
12%

Under
$50k
8%
22%
2%
17%
3%
3%
2%
2%
13%
2%
13%
3%
10%

Top Issue
Nat Sec
8%
17%
5%
18%
4%
4%
2%
2%
2%
12%
1%
15%
5%
7%

$50k+
9%
14%
5%
17%
4%
*%
2%
3%
2%
2%
11%
12%
*%
7%
10%

Econ
13%
12%
6%
8%
4%
1%
3%
4%
2%
3%
14%
9%
11%
11%

White
Evan
7%
18%
2%
20%
3%
2%
4%
2%
2%
12%
1%
14%
*%
2%
11%

Strong
Leader
8%
16%
5%
16%
3%
4%
3%
3%
4%
15%
1%
9%
4%
10%

Very
Cons
7%
15%
2%
24%
3%
2%
5%
1%
14%
17%
3%
7%

Honest
10%
16%
4%
15%
3%
2%
3%
2%
2%
11%
14%
6%
10%

Tea
Party
5%
12%
2%
23%
4%
6%
3%
19%
1%
17%
3%
6%

Rep
9%
15%
3%
18%
4%
*%
2%
3%
1%
2%
12%
1%
14%
*%
5%
9%

7. And which of these candidates would you never support for the Republican nomination? (MULTIPLE RESPONSE)
LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

(I would vote for any of

them/None/No one)
(Trump)
(Carson)
(Cruz)
(Rubio)
(Bush)
(Fiorina)
(Huckabee)
(Christie)
(Kasich)
(Pataki)
(Paul)
(Santorum)
(Graham)
(Gilmore)
(Don't know)

(I would vote for any of

them/None/No one)
(Trump)
(Carson)
(Cruz)
(Rubio)
(Bush)
(Fiorina)
(Huckabee)
(Christie)
(Kasich)
(Pataki)
(Paul)
(Santorum)
(Graham)
(Gilmore)
(Don't know)

Total
16%

Men
17%

Women
15%

College
Degree
15%

No
Degree
16%

24%
7%
8%
6%
19%
8%
7%
9%
10%
7%
10%
5%
18%
7%
10%

20%
7%
9%
7%
21%
8%
7%
11%
11%
8%
10%
7%
20%
8%
9%

30%
7%
6%
4%
18%
8%
7%
6%
9%
5%
9%
4%
16%
5%
11%

27%
9%
12%
7%
20%
10%
10%
9%
10%
8%
10%
5%
17%
8%
8%

21%
5%
2%
4%
19%
5%
4%
9%
10%
5%
10%
6%
19%
5%
13%

Top Issue
Nat Sec
19%

Econ
16%

Strong
Leader
17%

Honest
13%

32%
10%
15%
6%
17%
8%
10%
7%
9%
6%
5%
3%
12%
6%
11%

27%
7%
9%
7%
22%
7%
11%
9%
14%
7%
11%
6%
17%
8%
6%

38%
9%
8%
7%
15%
7%
5%
7%
8%
8%
9%
5%
19%
8%
11%

21%
5%
5%
6%
16%
8%
6%
9%
10%
6%
12%
5%
22%
8%
6%

Total
16%

Under
Age 45
15%

45+
16%

Under
$50k
21%

$50k+
14%

White
Evan
16%

Very
Cons
13%

Tea
Party
18%

Rep
16%

24%
7%
8%
6%
19%
8%
7%
9%
10%
7%
10%
5%
18%
7%
10%

30%
9%
8%
5%
19%
10%
8%
9%
11%
8%
10%
5%
17%
6%
10%

21%
6%
7%
6%
20%
7%
6%
9%
9%
6%
10%
6%
18%
7%
11%

21%
7%
5%
8%
18%
7%
6%
8%
9%
5%
9%
4%
19%
4%
11%

24%
8%
9%
5%
20%
8%
8%
9%
10%
7%
10%
6%
19%
8%
9%

22%
6%
3%
4%
20%
7%
6%
9%
11%
6%
10%
5%
21%
6%
10%

20%
5%
6%
6%
22%
9%
8%
13%
16%
9%
13%
6%
26%
7%
10%

15%
8%
4%
8%
28%
7%
10%
14%
15%
9%
11%
6%
28%
6%
6%

23%
8%
5%
5%
18%
7%
7%
9%
10%
7%
10%
6%
18%
7%
11%

8. Which one of the following will be MOST important in deciding your vote for the Republican nominee?
LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

Economic issues, such as

taxes and government
spending
National security, such
as ensuring a strong
military and America's
position in the world
Immigration issues, such
as border security and
legalization
Social issues, such as
abortion and gay
marriage
(All/Mixed)
(Other)
(Don't know)

Economic issues, such as

taxes and government
spending
National security, such
as ensuring a strong
military and America's
position in the world
Immigration issues, such
as border security and
legalization
Social issues, such as
abortion and gay
marriage
(All/Mixed)
(Other)
(Don't know)

Total
24%

Men
28%

Women
19%

College
Degree
27%

No
Degree
20%

39%

38%

40%

37%

41%

16%

15%

16%

17%

6%

5%

7%

14%
1%
1%

11%
2%
*%

16%
*%
1%

Top Issue
Nat Sec
-

Econ
100%

Strong
Leader
24%

Honest
28%

100%

50%

41%

13%

8%

11%

4%

8%

4%

7%

12%
2%
1%

16%
1%
-

10%
3%
1%

10%
2%
1%

Total
24%

Under
Age 45
34%

45+
18%

Under
$50k
20%

$50k+
25%

White
Evan
16%

Very
Cons
16%

Tea
Party
20%

Rep
21%

39%

37%

40%

40%

39%

42%

35%

32%

41%

16%

12%

17%

15%

16%

15%

20%

23%

17%

6%

6%

6%

6%

6%

8%

11%

8%

6%

14%
1%
1%

10%
1%
-

16%
2%
1%

18%
2%
-

11%
1%
1%

17%
*%
1%

16%
1%
1%

17%
1%
-

14%
1%
1%

9. Which one of the following candidate qualities will matter most in deciding which candidate to support in the
Republican primary? That the candidate:
LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

Is a strong leader
Has true conservative
values
Is honest and
trustworthy
Can defeat the
Democratic nominee
Would shake things up in
Washington
(All/Mixed)
(None/Other)
(Don't know)

Is a strong leader
Has true conservative
values
Is honest and
trustworthy
Can defeat the
Democratic nominee
Would shake things up in
Washington
(All/Mixed)
(None/Other)
(Don't know)

Total
26%
14%

Men
24%
16%

Women
27%
11%

College
Degree
25%
14%

No
Degree
26%
13%

22%

21%

24%

21%

24%

10%

10%

10%

12%

16%

18%

13%

10%
2%
1%

9%
2%
*%

11%
2%
1%

Top Issue
Nat Sec
33%
15%

Econ
26%
12%

Strong
Leader
100%
-

Honest
-

24%

26%

100%

8%

11%

10%

17%

14%

11%

20%

8%
2%
*%

12%
2%
1%

6%
1%
1%

1%
4%
1%

Total
26%
14%

Under
Age 45
26%
14%

45+
26%
13%

Under
$50k
27%
9%

$50k+
25%
15%

White
Evan
25%
17%

Very
Cons
22%
22%

Tea
Party
24%
22%

Rep
25%
14%

22%

29%

19%

28%

21%

22%

19%

21%

22%

10%

9%

11%

7%

11%

9%

9%

12%

11%

16%

14%

17%

14%

17%

14%

14%

13%

16%

10%
2%
1%

5%
2%
1%

12%
2%
1%

10%
3%
2%

9%
1%
*%

11%
1%
*%

11%
2%
1%

8%
1%

10%
1%
1%

10. Regardless of how you plan to vote, which Republican presidential candidate do you think is most qualified
to handle the economy?
LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

(Trump)
(Carson)
(Cruz)
(Rubio)
(Bush)
(Fiorina)
(Huckabee)
(Christie)
(Kasich)
(Pataki)
(Paul)
(Santorum)
(Graham)
(Gilmore)
(Other)
(All)
(Don't know)

Total
48%
6%
9%
8%
9%
2%
1%
2%
*%
3%
*%
1%
*%
*%
1%
10%

(Trump)
(Carson)
(Cruz)
(Rubio)
(Bush)
(Fiorina)
(Huckabee)
(Christie)
(Kasich)
(Pataki)
(Paul)
(Santorum)
(Graham)
(Gilmore)
(Other)
(All)
(Don't know)

Total
48%
6%
9%
8%
9%
2%
1%
2%
*%
3%
*%
1%
*%
*%
1%
10%

Men
51%
4%
9%
8%
9%
*%
1%
3%
*%
4%
1%
*%
*%
2%
7%

Women
43%
8%
8%
9%
9%
3%
2%
2%
1%
2%
*%
13%

Under
Age 45
45%
8%
10%
6%
6%
1%
1%
1%
1%
6%
1%
2%
1%
11%

College
Degree
46%
6%
9%
9%
8%
2%
1%
3%
*%
3%
*%
*%
1%
9%

45+
49%
4%
8%
10%
10%
2%
2%
3%
1%
1%
*%
*%
1%
9%

No
Degree
50%
5%
8%
8%
10%
1%
2%
1%
2%
1%
2%
1%
1%
10%

Under
$50k
52%
3%
7%
8%
8%
2%
1%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
12%

Top Issue
Nat Sec
48%
6%
12%
11%
8%
2%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
7%

$50k+
46%
6%
10%
8%
9%
2%
2%
3%
*%
3%
1%
1%
9%

Econ
36%
6%
10%
9%
12%
2%
2%
5%
1%
8%
3%
1%
1%
7%

White
Evan
52%
7%
10%
5%
6%
2%
2%
1%
2%
1%
*%
1%
10%

Strong
Leader
46%
5%
8%
7%
9%
2%
2%
5%
1%
3%
3%
10%

Very
Cons
52%
8%
13%
5%
7%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
8%

Honest
41%
6%
9%
8%
10%
1%
1%
2%
4%
2%
2%
1%
1%
11%

Tea
Party
61%
4%
15%
3%
6%
1%
3%
1%
6%

Rep
49%
6%
9%
9%
8%
1%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
*%
1%
9%

11. Regardless of how you plan to vote, which Republican presidential candidate do you think is most qualified
to handle national security?
LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

(Trump)
(Carson)
(Cruz)
(Rubio)
(Bush)
(Fiorina)
(Huckabee)
(Christie)
(Kasich)
(Pataki)
(Paul)
(Santorum)
(Graham)
(Gilmore)
(Other)
(All)
(Don't know)

Total
25%
6%
18%
11%
8%
*%
2%
4%
1%
2%
1%
8%
*%
*%
1%
14%

(Trump)
(Carson)
(Cruz)
(Rubio)
(Bush)
(Fiorina)
(Huckabee)
(Christie)
(Kasich)
(Pataki)
(Paul)
(Santorum)
(Graham)
(Gilmore)
(Other)
(All)
(Don't know)

Total
25%
6%
18%
11%
8%
*%
2%
4%
1%
2%
1%
8%
*%
*%
1%
14%

Men
27%
6%
22%
11%
5%
1%
5%
1%
3%
1%
8%
1%
9%

Women
24%
6%
13%
12%
10%
*%
2%
2%
*%
1%
*%
7%
*%
1%
19%

Under
Age 45
23%
8%
19%
7%
8%
1%
4%
2%
1%
3%
1%
10%
1%
1%
13%

College
Degree
23%
5%
19%
13%
5%
2%
5%
2%
2%
*%
11%
*%
*%
13%

45+
27%
5%
17%
14%
7%
*%
5%
1%
1%
*%
6%
*%
1%
14%

No
Degree
29%
8%
16%
10%
11%
1%
2%
2%
2%
1%
4%
1%
1%
1%
15%

Under
$50k
30%
4%
12%
13%
8%
2%
1%
2%
2%
8%
1%
2%
16%

Top Issue
Nat Sec
28%
5%
20%
11%
9%
2%
5%
1%
1%
1%
5%
12%

$50k+
24%
7%
21%
11%
6%
*%
1%
4%
1%
2%
*%
7%
1%
13%

Econ
17%
9%
13%
13%
6%
1%
1%
4%
2%
5%
14%
1%
2%
12%

White
Evan
28%
5%
23%
10%
5%
3%
3%
*%
1%
*%
5%
*%
1%
15%

Strong
Leader
25%
7%
12%
9%
7%
2%
4%
2%
2%
12%
1%
18%

Very
Cons
26%
7%
27%
11%
3%
1%
4%
1%
1%
6%
1%
1%
10%

Honest
20%
8%
18%
11%
11%
1%
3%
2%
1%
2%
8%
1%
1%
11%

Tea
Party
27%
5%
33%
7%
6%
3%
2%
2%
1%
3%
2%
10%

Rep
27%
6%
18%
12%
7%
*%
2%
4%
1%
1%
1%
7%
*%
1%
1%
12%

12. Regardless of how you plan to vote, which Republican presidential candidate do you think would be most
likely to beat Hillary Clinton in the presidential election?
LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

(Trump)
(Carson)
(Cruz)
(Rubio)
(Bush)
(Fiorina)
(Huckabee)
(Christie)
(Kasich)
(Pataki)
(Paul)
(Santorum)
(Graham)
(Gilmore)
(Other)
(All)
(Don't know)

Total
42%
8%
9%
14%
3%
1%
*%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*%
9%
9%

(Trump)
(Carson)
(Cruz)
(Rubio)
(Bush)
(Fiorina)
(Huckabee)
(Christie)
(Kasich)
(Pataki)
(Paul)
(Santorum)
(Graham)
(Gilmore)
(Other)
(All)
(Don't know)

Total
42%
8%
9%
14%
3%
1%
*%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*%
9%
9%

Men
40%
8%
9%
16%
2%
1%
*%
*%
1%
1%
*%
11%
9%

Women
44%
8%
8%
12%
5%
*%
2%
*%
2%
*%
6%
10%

Under
Age 45
37%
12%
11%
10%
3%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
12%
9%

College
Degree
40%
8%
9%
18%
2%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
9%
9%

45+
44%
6%
7%
17%
4%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
7%
10%

No
Degree
45%
9%
9%
9%
5%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
10%
10%

Under
$50k
51%
6%
8%
10%
6%
1%
1%
2%
1%
5%
10%

Top Issue
Nat Sec
42%
8%
12%
14%
4%
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
10%
6%

$50k+
39%
9%
10%
15%
2%
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
10%
9%

Econ
35%
7%
6%
22%
5%
1%
2%
2%
2%
3%
7%
10%

White
Evan
45%
8%
13%
10%
3%
1%
1%
1%
1%
10%
7%

Strong
Leader
45%
6%
6%
12%
2%
1%
2%
2%
2%
2%
11%
10%

Very
Cons
47%
9%
12%
11%
2%
1%
1%
1%
10%
6%

Honest
37%
12%
12%
13%
7%
1%
2%
6%
9%

Tea
Party
42%
10%
18%
8%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
12%
6%

Rep
42%
8%
10%
14%
3%
1%
1%
1%
*%
1%
1%
*%
9%
9%