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Markowitz framework

Susan Thomas

http://www.igidr.ac.in/˜susant

susant@mayin.org

IGIDR

Bombay

Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p. 1

Recap

The Markowitz question: If you lived in a world

with MVN assets, how would you allocate funds into

a portfolio?

Answer: Solve

min w0 Σw

such that

w0 r = r¯, and

X

wi = 1

Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p. 2

MVP. The portfolio with the smallest σ is called the minimum variance portfolio.Markowitz outcomes For different values of r¯. 3 . Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p. The set of all these r¯. we get a different w ∗ resulting in optimal portfolios for different values of σ. σ pairs make the efficient frontier.

The two–fund separation theorem Suppose we have two portfolios. P1 and P2 (defined by w¯1 and w¯2 ) that lie on the efficient frontier. Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p. 4 . A convex combination of P1 and P2 will also lie on the efficient frontier! αP1 + (1 − α)P2 ∀−∞<α<∞ The implication: Once we have found at least two efficient frontier portfolios. then we can re-create any one of the efficient portfolios using these two. we just need two at any randomly chosen pair of r¯. So we don’t have to find all the efficient portfolios.

Portfolios of risky and the risk-free asset Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p. 5 .

Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p. 0) is a point on the y-axis.Including the risk–free asset in the Markowitz model The previous optimisation included only risky assets. When we include the rf . (rf . 6 . the risk of portfolios can be pushed to even lower than that of the MVP. the efficient frontier now expands to include a portfolio that can have zero risk! Alternatively. The risk–free asset is one with zero risk – ie.

Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p. Therefore. If we invest α in the MVP and (1 − α) in rf . we have a new portfolio A with the following characteristics: r¯A = αrp + (1 − α)rf σA2 = α2 σp2 + (1 − α)2 σr2f + 2α(1 − α)σp. σp. let the MVP have expected returns rp and variance σp2 .Risk-free asset based efficient frontier For example.rf = α2 σp2 noindent since σrf . 7 .rf = 0 by default. there is a new frontier of investment opportunities which is drawn by linear combinations of r and the efficient portfolio frontier.

The frontier with the risk–free asset Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p. 8 .

PM . such that Q = αrf + (1 − α)PM Different values of α give us a new “frontier” of portfolios. with (E(r). We can construct a new portfolio Q.Calculating the frontier with rf A tangent line is dropped from rf to the efficient frontier of purely risky assets. Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p. σ) combinations that are different from those in a world with only risky assets. This portfolio on the efficient frontier is called the “tangent portfolio”. 9 .

So if α is the investment weight in rf . then the weight on rf is −α and that on the tangent portfolio is (1 + α). it covers all portfolios with E(r) > E(rPM ). When α < 1.Interpreting the new efficient frontier portfolios When 0 < α < 1. 10 . it covers all portfolios with E(r) between 0 and E(rPM ). Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p. These are leveraged portfolios which are created by borrowing money at rf and investing it into the tangent portfolio.

Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p. of risky assets such that any efficient portfolio can be constructed as a linear combination of the tangent portfolio and the risk–free asset. the tangent portfolio in this case is a specific portfolio. where any two efficient portfolios is sufficient. M . Unlike with the two-fund theorem. The “one–fund theorem” says that There exists a single portfolio. the efficient set is now the linear combination of rf and the tangent portfolio. 11 .The one–fund theorem The outcome of including the risk–free rate into the Markowitz framework is that when agents can borrow and lend at the risk–free rate.

Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p. all these agents will purchase the same risky fund (even though they may hold it in different proportion with rf – one fund theorem). 12 . There are no transactions costs in the market. With the same information set. All agents know the probability distribution of the n assets. All agents have the same risk-free rate of borrowing and lending.Interpreting the tangent portfolio Markowitz assumptions: All agents are mean–variance optimisers.

What is new is that the market porfolio is the one risky frontier portfolio that we need to know. 13 .Interpreting the tangent portfolio If all agents buy the same risky tangent portfolio. It can be shown that the market portfolio is a frontier portfolio (using only the Markowitz framework). Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p. The weights of the assets in this portfolio work out to be the market capitalisation weights of the assets with respect to the entire market. which is the combination of all the risky assets that exist. then that portfolio must be the market portfolio.

Asset pricing Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p. 14 .

The securities markets line The tangent line from rf to rm which is formed by the linear combinations between rf . then the SML becomes the efficient portfolio frontier. rm is called the Securities Market Line (SML). If the one-fund theorem is true. 15 . The SML states by how much the expected return of a portfolio increases with an increase in it’s σ: r¯m − rf r¯ = rf + σ σm Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p.

Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p. 16 . Ie.The link between SML and pricing assets r¯m −rf σm The slope of this line – .is called the “price of risk”. How much should you be paid for bearing the risk of this asset? The SML becomes the basis for the Capital Asset Pricing Model.

17 .From Markowitz to Sharpe In Markowitz’s setup. Sharpe was about the nature of the equilibrium. one agent has a problem: what should that agent do to solve her problem? The next leap was “suppose we lived in an economy where lots of people obeyed rules designed by Markowitz. What would that economy behave like?” – William Sharpe Markowitz was about decision rules for one rational agent. Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p. In this economy. there was no interest in how the economy works .it takes the behaviour of the economy as given.

the market portfolio: r¯ = αri + (1 − α)rm 2 σ 2 = α2 σi2 + (1 − α)2 σm + 2α(1 − α)σi. We can calculate the return and risk of any linear combination of i and m. 18 .m Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p.The SML to CAPM The setup: We want to find E(ri ) for an asset i.

Calculate d¯ rα /dσα at α = 0. we get the above as: rm − rf ) r¯ = rf + βi (¯ Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p.m r¯ = rf + 2 σm 2 If we set σi. When we set it to the slope of the SML. at α = 0. we get: r¯m − rf σi.m /σm = βi .From Markowitz to CAPM We know that the slope of the convex combinations between i and m will be the same as the SML. 19 .

the expected return r¯i of any asset i can be written as: E(¯ ri − rf ) = βi E(¯ rm − rf ). where σi.M βi = 2 σM Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p. 20 .Pricing model: CAPM Capital Asset Pricing Model: If the market portfolio M is an efficient frontier portfolio.

Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p.Pricing assets E(¯ ri − rf ) is called the expected excess rate of return of i. 21 . Interpretation: The CAPM implies that if β = 0. r¯i = rf . The risk that is relevant for pricing the asset (or predicting the return on the asset) is only in how much the asset returns are correlated with the market returns. where the return is measured as excess of the risk–free rate. This doesn’t mean that σi = 0. but we are not getting any premium for holding the asset if the β = 0.

Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p. The second is called unsystematic risk and is specific to the asset.Risk in the CAPM framework Re-interpreting the notion of risk using CAPM: ri = rf + βi (rM − rf ) + i r¯i = rf + βi (¯ rM − rf ) 2 σi2 = βi2 σM + σ2 The risk of i has been broken into two parts: the first is called systematic risk and is measured as a function of the market risk. 22 .

In a portfolio with w1 . 2: rp = rf + (w1 β1 + (1 − w1 )β2 )(rM − rf ) + w1 1 + (1 − r¯p = rf + (w1 β1 + (1 − w1 )β2 )(¯ rM − rf ) 2 + w12 σ21 + (1 − w1 )2 σ22 + σp2 = (w12 β12 + (1 − w1 )2 β22 )σM 2w1 (1 − w1 )cov(1 .Risk in the CAPM world Unsystematic risk can be removed by diversification. i ) = 0 Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p. 2 ) Note: cov(rM − rf . (1 − w1 ) on 1. 23 .

cov(ri . and CAPM risk. This is a straight line. and is called the security market line. Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p. rM ) or βi on the x–axis. Any asset that carries nonsystematic risk falls below the capital market line. Any asset that falls on the capital market line.Understanding the diversification of efficient portfolios The CAPM relationship is graphed as E(ri ) on the y–axis. 24 . This is another way of saying that the portfolios on the capital market line are fully diversified. carries only systematic risk.

the higher the E(r). There are two components to the total risk of the asset: systematic and unsystematic risk. the higher the risk. The higher the β of the asset. Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p.CAPM as an asset pricing theorem In CAPM. 25 . β becomes the measure of risk. Unsystematic risk is not priced. SML is the relation between return-risk of the asset. The higher the β of the asset.

Leverage is borrowing at rf and investing in the market portfolio. then (1 − wf ) > 1. When wf < 0. Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p. How do you make β > 1? Leverage.Getting higher β – leverage You can increase E(r) by increasing the β of your portfolio. 26 . The β of the market portfolio is one.

or P¯i. where the discounting is done at rf + βi (¯ This is called the risk–adjusted interest rate. 27 .Pricing assets using CAPM The price of an asset with payoff P¯i.t+1 Pi.t (1 + rf + βi (¯ P¯i.t+1 = Pi.t+1 is given by: P¯i.t+1 = Pi. rM − rf ). Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p.t (1 + E(ri )) rM − rf )).t = 1 + rf + βi (¯ rM − rf ) This is like the discounted value of a future cashflow.

t+1 + P2.t P2.t Where.t + P2. β1+2 P1.t+1 = 1 + rf + β2 (¯ rM − r f ) Then. the following is true: P1. Therefore.t+1 = 1 + rf + β1 (¯ rM − r f ) P2. 28 .t P1. P1.Linearity of pricing The CAPM implies that the price of the sum of two assets is the sum of their prices.t+1 = 1 + rf + β1+2 (¯ rM − r f ) = β1 + β2 Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p.

supplemented by the risk–free asset. Session 10: Lessons from the Markowitz framework – p.) Mutual funds implment the market portfolio as an index fund. The market portfolio becomes a benchmark for performance evaluation for alternative investment portfolios. 29 . which is a subset of the most liquid stocks in the country. real estate is rarely part of a market portfolio. The market portfolio is typically implemented a portfolio of assets that are traded on securities markets. (For example.Using the CAPM The CAPM assumes that the solution to the investment decision problem is to find and invest in the market portfolio.

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