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ETH Zurich
International Relations and Security

This Week at the ISN

Our Weekly Content Roundup

18 January 22 January 2016

JUMP TO Editorial Plan | Security Watch | Blog | Video

// Security Watch

This week, our first Security Watch (SW) series focuses on the objectives Germany should pursue as the OSCEs chair in
2016; the information warfare being practiced by the Russia Today news service; Chinas vision of hybrid warfare; the
future of economic coercion; and the changing face of globalization. Then, in our second SW series, we look at how the
Syrian Civil War has impacted Hezbollah; the cracks in the Russian-Iranian coalition in Syria; what Star Wars teaches us
about hybrid warfare; how Irans approach to hybrid warfare differs or compares with Russias approach; and how Recep
Erdoans neo-Ottoman vision may be working at cross purposes with Xi Jinpings Silk Road dream.

Trust and Realpolitik: The OSCE in 2016

18 January 2016

As the chair of the OSCE in 2016, what should Germany do to facilitate the organization's near-term effectiveness?
According to Petri Hakkarainen and Christian Nnlist, Berlin needs to focus on rebuilding internal trust and confidence;
simultaneously maintain external unity within NATO and the EU; and promote inclusive Track 2 diplomacy. More

The Syrian Civil War and its Consequences for Hezbollah

18 January 2016

According to Benedetta Berti, Hezbollahs participation in the Syrian Civil War has been highly consequential for the
group. Its involvement has redefined its relations with traditional allies; partially altered its strategic calculus with old foes;
and pushed it towards what may turn out to be a debilitating future. More

Measuring RTs Impact on YouTube

19 January 2016

How Deep are the Cracks in the Russian-Iranian Coalition in Syria?

19 January 2016

According to Zvi Magen, Udi Dekel, and Sarah Fainberg, over the last four months military-political antagonisms and
conflicts of interest have arisen between those who support the Assad regime in Syria (Russia, Iran, the Syrian Army,
Hezbollah, and Shiite militias). Heres what has gone wrong. More

Hybrid Warfare with Chinese Characteristics

20 January 2016

Taiwan was once the principal target of Chinas hybrid warfare activities. Not any more, says Michael Raska. Members of
the European Union have also become the focus of Beijings strategic influence operations, especially those countries that
are part of Chinas 16+1 regional cooperation formula. More

From Droid Armies to Luke Skywalker: What Star Wars Teaches Us About Hybrid Warfare
20 January 2016

Indeed, what do Imperial Probe Droids and clone mercenaries tell us about the above type of war? The answer, according
to Justin Bauman, is that hybrid threats represent nothing more than recent advances in technology advances that
permit various actors to network and operate more efficiently on the battlefield. More

Diminishing Returns? The Future of Economic Coercion

21 January 2016

Well, are US financial sanctions powerful, easily imposed, and relatively painless? Further, have they become gamechangers in key disputes? According to Peter Feaver and Eric Lorber, Washington has enjoyed recent success with

Hybrid Warfare: Iranian and Russian Versions of Little Green Men and Contemporary Conflict
21 January 2016

As Hall Gardner sees it, Russias and Irans approaches to non-linear or hybrid warfare have much in common. On the
most fundamental level, one can characterize their strategies as acts of preclusive imperialism that are designed to
establish new spheres of influence and regional security. More

The Changing Face of Globalization

22 January 2016

What impact will globalization have over the next twenty years? According to Mathew Burrows and Alexander Dynkin, it will
inevitably create a new international order. In today's extract, they speculate on how violence in its various guises may
define this order for both good and ill. More

Erdoans Neo-Ottoman Vision Meets Xis Silk Road Dream In the Middle East
22 January 2016

As Christina Lin sees it, Recep Erdoan's desire to protect Turkey's energy interests in its near-abroad may disrupt the
Middle East segment of China's One Belt, One Road (OBOR) Initiative. To avoid this burgeoning problem, Ankara will
have to tread cautiously and operate within a conciliatory "multiple modernities" framework. More

// Blog
Artillery Returns to the Battlefield in the War against ISIL
18 January 2016

Why has Russia quietly provided artillery to the Assad regime? As James Quinlivan sees it, Moscow wants to shift its
client from an Iranian model of war to a Russian one. That means revitalizing the use of combined arms to provide
continuous presence; regain battlefield maneuver; and exploit other offensively-minded advantages. More

An Interview with Nadim Shehadi

19 January 2016

Are the monsters we are dealing with in Iraq now the products of the 1980-1988 Iran-Iraq War? What are the lessons we
can learn from the war in Syria? Does the US actually have a strategy in the Middle East? See todays interview with
Nadim Shehadi for the answers to these questions and others. More

In the Fight Against Violent Extremism, Why Is Prevention Elusive?

20 January 2016

Why has the countering violent extremism (CVE) concept, which stresses the prevention of violence, not succeeded thus
far in the Mediterranean and Sahel-Sahara regions of Africa? Youssef Mahmoud argues that with the exception of one or
two countries, CVE efforts have remained too state-centric and security-driven for their own good. More

What (else) to Expect in Africa in 2016?

21 January 2016

Whats in store for Africa this year? Liesl Louw-Vaudran believes the crisis in Burundi and the war in South Sudan are the
continents most pressing issues, but she also stresses the importance of upcoming elections in Uganda and the DRC, the
potential for instability in Zimbabwe and other possible surprises. More

For Lasting Peace, Exceptions Must Become Rule: Q&A with Sverine Autesserre
22 January 2016

Do many international peacebuilders remain disconnected from the communities they supposedly serve? Do those who
work in the peacebuilding field agree this pathology exists, but that it doesn't apply to themselves or their organizations?
Here's what Sverine Autesserre thinks. More

// Video

Jihadist Movements in 2016

In this video, Stratfors Fred Burton and Scott Stewart discuss the evolving jihadist landscape and what lies ahead in 2016.


Tunisias Jasmine Revolution: On 5th Anniversary, Whats Next?

In this video, a mix of experts and practitioners take stock of Tunisias socio-political and economic well-being five years
after the Jasmine Revolution. More

Deputy Defense Secretary Robert Work Remarks on National Security

In this video, US Deputy Secretary of Defense Robert Work discusses his department's efforts to correct and redirect its
programs and to extend its military, technological and operational edge well into the future. Work additionally focuses his
attention on offset strategies, cyber warfare, "technological overmatch" and much more.

// Multimedia Content
Here is a selection of this week's additions to the ISN Digital

Publications More
// Overlapping Maritime Claims in the East China Sea between China and Japan: More than Meets the Eye? More
// The Syrian Civil War and its Consequences for Hezbollah
// Provincial Governors in Afghan Politics More
// The Crisis of the Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces Treaty in the Global Context More
// How Deep are the Cracks in the Russian-Iranian Coalition in Syria?
// Norway, the Joint Strike Fighter Program and its Implications for Transatlantic Defense Industrial Cooperation More

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