Bloomberg Politics Poll

Conducted by Purple Strategies
GOP Southern Super Tuesday Primary Voter Survey Topline
February 2016
METHODOLOGY
Purple Strategies conducted a poll of 1,254 Republican primary voters in Southern Super Tuesday (March
1) primary states (Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, and Virginia) from Feb. 2224, 2016. The poll was conducted online, using an opt-in nationally representative panel. Margin of error
is +/-2.8 percentage points.
FAVORABILITY
The following is a list of people and organizations. For each one, please indicate
whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable,
or very unfavorable opinion of them. If you have never heard of the person, please
say so. Showing Total Favorable / Total Unfavorable

GOP Primary
Voters

The Republican Party

81 / 19

Marco Rubio

65 / 28

Ben Carson

65 / 30

Donald Trump

60 / 37

Ted Cruz

57 / 40

Pope Francis

54 / 35

The Tea Party movement

52 / 34

John Kasich

41 / 30

Michael Bloomberg

18 / 56

The Democratic Party

8 / 90

GOP Southern Super Tuesday Primary Poll: February 2016

1

PRIMARY ELECTION
If the 2016 Republican presidential primary
were held today and the candidates were: Ted
Cruz, Ben Carson, Marco Rubio, Donald Trump
and John Kasich for whom would you vote?
Who would be your second choice?

GOP Primary Voters
First Choice

Second Choice

First + Second
(Combined)

Trump
Rubio

37
20

13
22

50
42

Cruz
Carson

20
8

19
13

39
21

Kasich
Someone else

6
1

11
2

18
--

None of the above
Not sure

1
7

7
14

---

When it comes to your support of your first-choice candidate, would you say
your mind is made up, or could you be persuaded to support another
candidate as your first choice?

GOP Primary
Voters

Mind made up

46

Could still be persuaded

53

Don’t know

2

Now, if you had to choose between only Donald Trump and Ted Cruz in the
Republican primary for president, for whom would you vote?

GOP Primary
Voters

Donald Trump

49

Ted Cruz

40

Not sure

10

Now, if you had to choose between only Donald Trump and Marco Rubio in
the Republican primary for president, for whom would you vote?

GOP Primary
Voters

Donald Trump

48

Marco Rubio

44

Not sure

8

GOP Southern Super Tuesday Primary Poll: February 2016

2

Now, if you had to choose between only Donald Trump and John Kasich in the
Republican primary for president, for whom would you vote?

GOP Primary
Voters

Donald Trump

57

John Kasich

31

Not sure

12
GOP Primary
Voters

Now, if you had to choose between only Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio in the
Republican primary for president, for whom would you vote?

Ted Cruz

40

Marco Rubio

45

Not sure

15

Here’s a list of the candidates who are not your
first or second choice. For each, please indicate if
you think you could ever support the person for
president or could never support the person for
president.

GOP Primary Voters
Ever

Never

Not Sure

1st or 2nd
Choice

Donald Trump

16

20

14

50

John Kasich

30

17

36

18

Ted Cruz

27

17

18

39

Ben Carson

44

16

19

21

Marco Rubio

28

10

20

42

If Donald Trump is the Republican nominee and Hillary Clinton is the
Democratic nominee in the general election, would you…?

GOP Primary
Voters

Vote for Donald Trump for President

66

Vote for Hillary Clinton for President

9

Vote for a different candidate for President

14

I wouldn’t vote in the general election

4

Don’t know

6

GOP Southern Super Tuesday Primary Poll: February 2016

3

Below you will see a phrase people
sometimes use to describe candidates.
Please tell me how well you think that
phrase describes each candidate. Do you
think it describes each candidate very well,
pretty well, not too well, or not well at all?

Would protect our country against
terrorist threats
Will protect your second amendment gun
rights
Is authentic – what you see is what you
get
Would be able to win the November
general election
Has a positive vision for the future
Is qualified to be President
Shares your values
Cares about people like you
Is conservative
Is a committed Christian

GOP Primary Voters

Trump

Cruz

Rubio

Very well

58

35

29

Net well/Not too well

79/13

73/15

70/15

Very well

55

47

31

Net well/Not too well

79/10

74/11

66/13

Very well

55

22

18

Net well/Not too well

77/20

56/34

61/26

Very well

47

21

23

Net well/Not too well

77/16

61/29

62/26

Very well

47

35

34

Net well/Not too well

74/21

72/19

74/14

Very well

31

31

27

Net well/Not too well

60/35

68/23

69/20

Very well

27

25

22

Net well/Not too well

59/34

64/26

66/19

Very well

27

26

25

Net well/Not too well

58/34

63/26

67/19

Very well

20

46

28

Net well/Not too well

58/34

80/10

74/14

Very well

12

39

30

Net well/Not too well

35/40

68/10

64/8

As you may know, the recent death of Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia
leaves a vacancy on the Supreme Court. President Obama has said that he will
nominate a replacement. Do you think Republicans in the Senate should…?
Hold hearings and then hold a vote on the nominee
Take no action on the nominee, to ensure the next President will name the
replacement
Neither/Not sure

GOP Southern Super Tuesday Primary Poll: February 2016

GOP Primary
Voters
40
51
9

4

Which of the remaining GOP candidates would you trust most to appoint
Justice Scalia’s replacement?

GOP Primary
Voters

Donald Trump

24

Ted Cruz

22

Marco Rubio

15

Ben Carson

13

John Kasich

9

None of the above

4

Don’t know

13

Is the next President’s role in choosing Supreme Court justices a factor in
deciding whom to vote for in the Republican primary?

GOP Primary
Voters

Yes, it is a major factor in deciding my vote

20

Yes, but only a minor factor in deciding my vote

36

No, the issue doesn’t affect my vote

40

Not sure

4

Pope Francis and Donald Trump recently exchanged comments about Mexico,
religion and politics. Based on what you’ve heard, who do you agree with
more?

GOP Primary
Voters

Pope Francis

15

Donald Trump

48

Neither

22

Not sure

16

Below are the comments exchanged between Pope Francis and Donald Trump.
Pope Francis: “A person who thinks only about building walls, wherever they may be, and not building
bridges, is not Christian."
Donald Trump: “For a religious leader to question a person’s faith is disgraceful. I am proud to be a
Christian and as President I will not allow Christianity to be consistently attacked and weakened.”

Having read more about the exchange, whom do you agree with more?

GOP Primary
Voters

Pope Francis

15

Donald Trump

64

Neither

16

GOP Southern Super Tuesday Primary Poll: February 2016

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