Virginia Veterans
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
March 9, 2016
March 7, 2016
TO: Interested Parties
FR: Marc Silverman
RE: Polling in West Virginias Democratic Primary Election
Presidential Primary Vote
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton leads U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders by 13 points while
West Virginia trial lawyer Paul Farrell, Jr. and Keith Judd, who received over 40% of the vote in
the 2012 Democratic primary against President Barack Obama, are both in single digits (44%
Clinton / 31% Sanders / 6% Farrell / 1% Judd / 7% another candidate / 11% undecided).
Sanders has an overwhelming lead with Democratic primary voters who are 18-39 years of age
(18% Clinton / 65% Sanders), while Clinton leads with voters 40 and older (48% Clinton / 26%
Sanders).
Clinton leads Sanders by 20 points among women (49% Clinton / 29% Sanders), but only has a
seven-point lead among men (39% Clinton / 32% Sanders).
However, in the eastern panhandle of West Virginia, only 37% of Democratic primary voters
believe there is a war on coal, while 55% do not believe it exists.
Democratic primary voters are evenly split as to what is behind the decline of the coal industry
with 44% believing it is the policies of the Obama Administration and the federal government
while 44% blame it on natural changes to the energy market.
Once again, Democratic primary voters in the eastern panhandle view the issues surrounding
coal differently from the rest of the state as only 29% blame the policies of the Obama
Administration for the decline of the coal industry while a clear majority (57%) believe it has
been caused by natural changes to the energy market.
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Political Environment
Democratic primary voters are very unhappy with the direction that the United States is moving
(30% right / 59% wrong / 11% mixed), and with the direction that West Virginia is moving (20%
right / 73% wrong / 7% mixed).
While Democratic primary voters are unhappy with the direction that their state is moving,
Democratic Governor Earl Ray Tomblin remains very popular with these voters (76% favorable /
20% unfavorable / 4% dont know).
Exactly one-half (50%) of Democratic primary voters give the Republican-controlled West
Virginia State Legislature a poor rating and an overall job rating of 20% positive / 78% negative.
Nearly two-thirds (60%) of Democratic primary voters believe the economy and jobs is the most
important issue facing West Virginia with another 10% stating it is the decline of the coal
industry.
Over three-fourths (76%) of Democratic primary voters believe that the federal government is
spending too little on veterans programs and services compared to 2% who believe the federal
government is spending too much and 16% the right amount.
Thirty-Ninth Street Strategies conducted N=600 interviews with likely 2016 Democratic primary election voters
in West Virginia. Interviews were conducted March 2-6, 2016. Respondents were selected at random, with
interviews apportioned geographically based on past voter turnout. Expected margin of sampling error for these
results is +3.9% with a 95% confidence level. The poll was commissioned by West Virginia Veterans, Inc.