Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Database
Base year
future
Trip Generation
Convert measures of urban activity to
fundamental unit of travel demand analysis
trips
City divided into zones; determine trips
produced from (home) and attracted to
(activity centers) in each zone
Study area
Urban level
river
1
3 4
railway
screen line
CBD
1
8
9
5
8
5=sector
56=zone
567=subzone
highway
External cordon line
Types of trips
External to external
External to internal
Internal to internal
Internal to external
Types of Trips
Home-based (HB) trip : home of the trip maker is either origin or destination
Nonhomebased (NHB) trip : neither end of the trip is home of the traveler
Trip production(p) : home end of an HB trip or origin of NHB trip
Trip attraction (a) : non home end of HB trip or destination of NHB trip
p
Home
Work
p
p
a
a
a
Work
a
p
Shop
Classification of trips
By trip purpose:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Work trips
Educational trips
Shopping trips
Social and recreational trips
Other trips
By Time of day:
1.
2.
By person type:
1.
2.
3.
Income level
Car ownership
Household size and structure
- Mandatory trips
- Optional trips
Trip Generation
Done using
Cross-classification analysis
Multiple linear regression
Trip Generation
Multiple Linear Regression
y = a + b1x1 + b2x2 +
Trip Generation
Take 2 mins
List variables that can affect trips made by
household
Share and discuss the list with person next to you
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
Household
Trips
Income
Autos
4,000
6,000
10
17,000
11,000
4,500
15
17,000
9,500
9,000
7,000
10
13
19,000
11
18,000
12
21,000
13
7,000
14
11
11,000
15
10
11,000
16
11
13,000
17
12
15,000
18
11,000
19
13,000
20
15,000
Trip Generation
Example
Source: http://ntl.bts.gov/DOCS/UT.html
Trip Generation
Source: http://ntl.bts.gov/DOCS/UT.html
Trip Generation
Source: http://ntl.bts.gov/DOCS/UT.html
Trip Generation
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.970717
R Square 0.942291
Adjusted R Square
0.935501
Standard Error
0.840696
Observations
20
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total
SS
MS
F
Significance F
2 196.1849 98.09245 138.7898
2.95525E-11
17 12.01509 0.70677
19
208.2
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value
Intercept
2.196989 0.50541 4.34694 0.000438
X Variable 1 0.000209 4.56E-05 4.583646 0.000264
X Variable 2 2.77446 0.243225 11.40699 2.18E-09
Lower 95%
1.130666021
0.000112739
2.261301423
Trip Generation
Trip attractions are calculated using above cross-classified model or using regression
techniques.
Finally, trip productions and attractions must be balanced.
Use the model with greater accuracy (usually trip production) and then ensure
attractions = productions
Trip Generation
Turn to your partner again and discuss
shortcomings of models, if any