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Interviews with 1,001 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC

International on March 17 - 20, 2016. The margin of sampling error for


results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points.
The sample also includes 925 interviews among registered voters (plus or
minus 3 percentage points).
This sample includes 601 interviews among landline respondents and 400
interviews among cell phone respondents.

EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE:


Monday, March 21 at 8:00 p.m.

BASED ON 248 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND


149 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 397 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
14.

Who would you MOST like to see win the Republican nomination for president? [READ LIST]
(RANDOM ORDER)
March 17-20
2016
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Someone else (vol.)
None/no one (vol.)
No opinion

47%
31%
17%
3%
1%
1%
FOR COMPARISON

I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Republican primaries for president this year. After I read all the names,
please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president, or if
you would support someone else.

Trump
Cruz
Kasich
Rubio
Carson
Bush
Christie
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Pataki
Paul
Perry
Santorum
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one (vol.)
No opinion

POLL 5
3

Feb.
24-27
2016

Jan.
21-24
2016

Dec.
17-21
2015

Nov. 27Dec. 1
2015

Oct.
14-17
2015

Sept.
17-19
2015

Sept.
4-8
2015

Aug.
13-16
2015

July
22-25
2015

June
26-28
2015

49%
15%
6%
16%
10%
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
3%
1%
1%

41%
19%
1%
8%
6%
5%
4%
2%
*
NA
3%
NA
NA
3%
NA
*
NA
3%
1%
4%

39%
18%
2%
10%
10%
3%
5%
1%
*
1%
2%
NA
*
4%
NA
*
NA
3%
1%
1%

36%
16%
2%
12%
14%
3%
4%
3%
*
*
2%
NA
*
1%
NA
*
NA
1%
4%
2%

27%
4%
3%
8%
22%
8%
4%
4%
*
1%
5%
*
*
5%
NA
2%
NA
1%
2%
4%

24%
6%
2%
11%
14%
9%
3%
15%
*
*
6%
*
*
4%
NA
1%
*
*
1%
3%

32%
7%
2%
3%
19%
9%
2%
3%
*
1%
5%
1%
*
3%
*
1%
5%
3%
2%
2%

24%
5%
5%
8%
9%
13%
3%
5%
*
*
4%
*
*
6%
2%
1%
8%
4%
3%
1%

18%
7%
4%
6%
4%
15%
4%
1%
*
1%
5%
2%
1%
6%
3%
2%
10%
4%
4%
3%

12%
3%
3%
7%
8%
17%
3%
1%
NA
1%
5%
2%
*
8%
4%
4%
6%
5%
6%
3%

-2-

March 17-20, 2016

BASED ON 248 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND


149 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 397 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
15.

16.

Next I'm going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each of
them won the Republican presidential nomination. As I read each name, please tell me whether you
would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset if that person
were the Republican nominee? (RANDOM ORDER)
Enthusiastic

Satisfied but
not enthusiastic

Donald Trump
March 17-20, 2016
January 21-24, 2016
September 4-8, 2015

40%
40%
40%

26%
28%
27%

12%
12%
13%

21%
19%
19%

*
1%
*

Ted Cruz
March 17-20, 2016
January 21-24, 2016
September 4-8, 2015

28%
25%
21%

33%
43%
42%

24%
22%
22%

14%
9%
10%

*
1%
6%

John Kasich
March 17-20, 2016

19%

34%

29%

17%

1%

No
opinion

What's your best guess -- do you think the Republican Party is united, do you think it is divided now
but will be united by the presidential election in November, or do you think the Republican Party will
be seriously divided in November?

United now
Divided but will be united
Still divided in November
No opinion

POLL 5
3

Dissatisfied but
not upset
Upset

March 17-20
2016

Aug. 29-31
2008

Aug. 23-24
2008

June 4-5
2008

8%
45%
46%
1%

50%
36%
12%
2%

48%
33%
16%
3%

47%
30%
20%
4%

-3-

March 17-20, 2016

BASED ON 248 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND


149 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 397 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
16a.

If Donald Trump wins the Republican nomination for President, would you like to see another
Republican run for president as a third party candidate or not?
March 17-20
2016

Yes, want to see another Republican run


No, do not want to see another Republican run
No opinion
16a.
16b.

35%
65%
1%

If Donald Trump wins the Republican nomination for President, would you like to see another
Republican run for president as a third party candidate or not?
(IF NO:) Is that more because you think it would lead to a Democratic win in November, or more
because you would be comfortable with Trump as the Republican nominee?

QUESTION 16a AND 16b COMBINED


March 17-20
2016
Yes, want to see another Republican run
No, lead to Democrat win
No, comfortable with Trump
No, not sure why
No opinion

POLL 5
3

35%
31%
32%
1%
1%

-4-

March 17-20, 2016

BASED ON 248 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND


149 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 397 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5.0 PERCENTAGE PTS.
17.

Now, I have a few questions about the Republican Partys nomination process. As you may know, in
order to win the Republican Partys nomination for president, a candidate must win the support of a
majority of the delegates to the Partys national convention, which will be held in July. If no
candidate wins a majority of delegates through the primary and caucus process, as reflected in the
first round of voting at the convention, delegates will have additional rounds of voting until a single
candidate wins majority support.
If no candidate has won a majority of the delegates after the first round of voting, do you think the
delegates should vote for: [READ LIST] (RANDOM ORDER)
March 17-20
2016
The candidate with the most support in the
primaries and caucuses
The person they feel would be the best candidate
No opinion

18.

60%
38%
2%

John Kasich has not won enough delegates to be able to win a majority through the primary and
caucus process, and could only win the nomination if no one else wins a majority of delegates
through the primaries and caucuses. Do you think Kasich should remain in the race or drop out?
March 17-20
2016
Should remain in
Should drop out
No opinion

19.

27%
70%
3%

If none of the current Republican candidates wins a majority of the delegates before the convention,
would you rather see the Republican Party nominate one of the three remaining Republican
candidates or would you rather see the Party nominate someone else?
March 17-20
2016
One of the three remaining
Someone else
No opinion

POLL 5
3

84%
15%
1%

-5-

March 17-20, 2016

BASED ON 323 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND


155 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRATIC, FOR A
TOTAL OF 478 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
20.

Who would you MOST like to see win the Democratic nomination for president? [READ LIST]
(RANDOM ORDER)
March 17-20
2016
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else (vol.)
None/no one (vol.)
No opinion

51%
44%
2%
1%
2%
FOR COMPARISON

I'm going to read a list of people who are be running in the Democratic primaries for president this year. After I read all the
names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president,
or if you would support someone else.

Clinton
Sanders
Biden
Chafee
Lessig
OMalley
Webb
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one (vol.)
No opinion

POLL 5
3

Feb.
24-27
2016

Jan.
21-24
2016

Dec.
17-21
2015

Nov. 27Dec. 1
2015

Oct.
14-17
2015

Sept.
17-19
2015

Sept.
4-8
2015

Aug.
13-16
2015

July
22-25
2015

June
26-28
2015

55%
38%
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
3%
2%
2%

52%
38%
NA
NA
NA
2%
NA
7%
1%
1%

50%
34%
NA
NA
NA
3%
NA
7%
4%
1%

58%
30%
NA
NA
NA
2%
NA
7%
2%
1%

45%
29%
18%
*
*
*
1%
2%
3%
2%

42%
24%
22%
*
NA
1%
*
2%
4%
2%

37%
27%
20%
*
NA
3%
2%
7%
4%
1%

47%
29%
14%
*
NA
2%
1%
4%
3%
*

56%
19%
15%
*
NA
*
1%
4%
3%
1%

58%
15%
17%
*
NA
1%
1%
2%
4%
1%

-6-

March 17-20, 2016

BASED ON 323 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND


155 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRATIC, FOR A
TOTAL OF 478 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
21.

Next Im going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each of
them won the Democratic presidential nomination. As I read each name, please tell me whether you
would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset or upset if that person
were the Democratic nominee?

Hillary Clinton
March 17-20, 2016
January 21-24, 2016
September 4-8, 2015
April 16-19, 2015
May 29-June 1, 2014
Apr. 28-30, 2008
Mar. 14-16, 2008
January 9-10, 2008
November 2-4, 2007

Enthusiastic

Satisfied but
not enthusiastic

Dissatisfied but
not upset
Upset

No
opinion

34%

45%

10%

11%

37%
43%
58%
41%
33%
38%
45%
39%

38%
35%
26%
42%
38%
37%
39%
39%

15%
13%
9%
10%
20%
17%
9%
13%

10%
9%
6%
5%
9%
8%
7%
8%

*
*
1%
1%
*
*
*
*

QUESTION WORDING in 2014: If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic nominee in 2016, would you feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied
but not upset or upset?
QUESTION WORDING MAR APR 2008: Please tell me whether you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset if
Hillary Clinton were the Democratic nominee?

Bernie Sanders
March 17-20, 2016
January 21-24, 2016
September 4-8, 2015
April 16-19, 2015

40%

41%

13%

6%

1%

33%
31%
11%

39%
35%
35%

16%
23%
33%

10%
7%
10%

2%
5%
12%

DATA SHOWN PRIOR TO SEPTEMBER 2015 IS FOR ALL DEMOCRATS NOT JUST REGISTERED DEMOCRATS

22.

What's your best guess -- do you think the Democratic Party is united, do you think it is divided now
but will be united by the presidential election in November, or do you think the Democratic Party will
be seriously divided in November?

United now
Divided but will be united
Still divided in November
No opinion

POLL 5
3

March 17-20
2016

Aug. 29-31
2008

Aug. 23-24
2008

June 4-5
2008

38%
44%
15%
2%

53%
33%
13%
1%

29%
47%
21%
3%

22%
55%
21%
1%

-7-

March 17-20, 2016

BASED ON 913 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 12 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 925 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.)
(QUESTIONS Q23/23a, Q24/24a, Q25/25a AND Q23s/23b, Q24s/24b, Q25s/25b ROTATED)
23.
23a.

If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican
Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for --? (RANDOM ORDER)
(IF NEITHER OR DONT KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward --?

March 17-20, 2016


Feb. 24-27, 2016
Jan. 21-24, 2016
Dec. 17-21, 2015
Nov. 27-Dec. 1, 2015
Oct. 14-17, 2015

Clinton

Trump

Other
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

53%
52%
48%
49%
49%
50%

41%
44%
47%
47%
46%
45%

2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%

4%
3%
4%
3%
3%
4%

*
*
*
*
*
*

FOR COMPARISON
For the next few questions, let's assume that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential
nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I
read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more
likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. (RANDOM ORDER)
Businessman Donald Trump
Registered Voters
Sept. 4-8, 2015
Aug. 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
June 26-28, 2015

POLL 5
3

Clinton

Trump

Other
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

48%
51%
56%
59%

48%
45%
40%
35%

*
*
*
*

3%
4%
4%
6%

*
*
*
*

-8-

March 17-20, 2016

BASED ON 913 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 12 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 925 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.)
24.
24A.

If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and John Kasich were the Republican
Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for --? (RANDOM ORDER)
(IF NEITHER OR DONT KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward --?

March 17-20, 2016


25.
25A.

Clinton

Kasich

Other
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

45%

51%

3%

1%

If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Ted Cruz were the Republican Party's
candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for --? (RANDOM ORDER)
(IF NEITHER OR DONT KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward --?

March 17-20, 2016


Feb. 24-27, 2016
Jan. 21-24, 2016
Dec. 17-21, 2015
Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015

Clinton

Cruz

Other
(vol.)

48%
48%
47%
46%
50%

48%
49%
50%
48%
47%

1%
1%
1%
1%
1%

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

3%
2%
2%
4%
2%

*
1%
*
*
*

FOR COMPARISON
For the next few questions, let's assume that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential
nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I
read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more
likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. (RANDOM ORDER)
Texas Senator Ted Cruz
All Adults
May 29-31, 2015
Apr. 16-19, 2015
Dec. 18-21, 2014

POLL 5
3

Clinton

Cruz

Other
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

52%
60%
60%

43%
36%
35%

*
*
1%

4%
3%
3%

1%
1%
1%

-9-

March 17-20, 2016

BASED ON 913 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 12 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 925 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.)
(QUESTIONS Q23S/23B, Q24S/24B, Q25S/25B ROTATED)
23S.
23B.

If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican
Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for --? (RANDOM ORDER)
(IF NEITHER OR DONT KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward --?

March 17-20, 2016


Feb. 24-27, 2016
Jan. 21-24, 2016
Oct. 14-17, 2015

Sanders

Trump

Other
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

58%
55%
50%
53%

38%
43%
47%
44%

1%
*
*
*

3%
1%
3%
3%

*
*
*
*

FOR COMPARISON
And now, lets assume Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. After I
read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more
likely to vote for Bernie Sanders. (RANDOM ORDER)
Businessman Donald Trump

Registered Voters
July 22-25, 2015

24S.
24B.

25B.

Other
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

59%

38%

3%

Sanders

Kasich

Other
(vol.)

51%

45%

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

3%

1%

If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate and Ted Cruz were the Republican Party's
candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for --? (RANDOM ORDER)
(IF NEITHER OR DONT KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward --?

March 17-20, 2016


Feb. 24-27, 2016
Jan. 21-24, 2016

POLL 5
3

Trump

If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate and John Kasich were the Republican
Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for --? (RANDOM ORDER)
(IF NEITHER OR DONT KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward --?

March 17-20, 2016


25S.

Sanders

Sanders

Cruz

Other
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

55%
57%
50%

42%
40%
47%

1%
*
*

2%
1%
3%

*
1%
*

-10-

March 17-20, 2016

METHODOLOGY
A total of 1,001 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones.
Among the entire sample, 30% described themselves as Democrats, 24% described themselves as Republicans, and 46% described
themselves as independents or members of another party.
All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national
Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage.
Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of
+/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the national population to produce crosstabs with
an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups, but results for groups with a sampling error
larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed and instead are denoted with "NA".

POLL 5
3

-11-

March 17-20, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- March 17 to 20, 2016


Question 14
Who would you MOST like to see win the Republican nomination for president?
Base = Registered Republicans

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------31%
30%
32%
31%
17%
15%
19%
17%
47%
50%
44%
48%
3%
4%
2%
4%
1%
1%
*
*
1%
*
1%
1%
+/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----31%
17%
47%
3%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----36%
16%
43%
4%
1%
*
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------29%
19%
46%
4%
1%
1%
+/-6.5

65+
----22%
25%
47%
3%
1%
2%
+/-8.0

College
Grad
------35%
32%
29%
3%
1%
*
+/-8.0

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----31%
17%
47%
3%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----31%
17%
47%
3%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----31%
17%
47%
3%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Non
Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump
----- ----- ----- ------ ----31%
*
N/A
N/A
61%
17%
*
N/A
N/A
32%
47%
100%
N/A
N/A
*
3%
*
N/A
N/A
7%
1%
*
N/A
N/A
*
1%
*
N/A
N/A
*
+/-5.0 +/-7.5
+/-6.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----30%
13%
51%
5%
*
1%
+/-8.0

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----32%
18%
45%
3%
1%
1%
+/-6.0
South
----32%
11%
52%
4%
1%
*
+/-8.0

Under
55
----34%
11%
51%
2%
1%
1%
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----27%
23%
43%
5%
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------30%
11%
54%
4%
1%
1%
+/-6.5

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----21%
23%
51%
2%
1%
2%
+/-8.5

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Clinton Sanders
------- ------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----31%
17%
47%
3%
1%
1%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------37%
13%
45%
4%
1%
*
+/-6.5

Suburban
----33%
16%
45%
5%
*
1%
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----35%
29%
12%
20%
47%
47%
5%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
+/-7.5 +/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 5
3

-12-

March 17-20, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- March 17 to 20, 2016


Question 15A
Next I'm going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each
of them won the Republican presidential nomination. As I read each name, please tell me whether
you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset
if that person were the Republican nominee?
A. Donald Trump
Base = Registered Republicans

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------40%
39%
41%
42%
26%
33%
18%
26%
12%
15%
9%
12%
21%
13%
31%
20%
*
*
1%
*
+/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----40%
26%
12%
21%
*
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----35%
30%
14%
19%
1%
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------40%
23%
13%
24%
1%
+/-6.5

65+
----37%
27%
12%
23%
*
+/-8.0

College
Grad
------23%
27%
16%
33%
*
+/-8.0

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----40%
26%
12%
21%
*
+/-5.0

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----40%
26%
12%
21%
*
+/-5.0

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----40%
26%
12%
21%
*
+/-5.0

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Non
Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump
----- ----- ----- ------ ----40%
75%
N/A
N/A
8%
26%
22%
N/A
N/A
28%
12%
2%
N/A
N/A
22%
21%
1%
N/A
N/A
41%
*
*
N/A
N/A
1%
+/-5.0 +/-7.5
+/-6.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----44%
26%
12%
18%
*
+/-8.0

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----37%
26%
12%
24%
1%
+/-6.0
South
----46%
26%
12%
16%
*
+/-8.0

Under
55
----43%
25%
11%
21%
*
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----35%
28%
14%
22%
1%
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------46%
26%
11%
17%
*
+/-6.5

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----41%
20%
11%
28%
*
+/-8.5

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Clinton Sanders
------- ------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----40%
26%
12%
21%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------39%
29%
13%
18%
1%
+/-6.5

Suburban
----41%
22%
15%
22%
*
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----40%
39%
25%
27%
16%
10%
18%
24%
1%
*
+/-7.5 +/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 5
3

-13-

March 17-20, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- March 17 to 20, 2016


Question 15B
Next I'm going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each
of them won the Republican presidential nomination. As I read each name, please tell me whether
you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset
if that person were the Republican nominee?
B. Ted Cruz
Base = Registered Republicans

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------28%
28%
27%
28%
33%
36%
30%
33%
24%
22%
27%
25%
14%
13%
15%
14%
*
*
1%
1%
+/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----28%
33%
24%
14%
*
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----32%
37%
20%
9%
1%
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------27%
35%
24%
14%
1%
+/-6.5

65+
----23%
43%
20%
13%
1%
+/-8.0

College
Grad
------29%
32%
22%
16%
*
+/-8.0

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----28%
33%
24%
14%
*
+/-5.0

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----28%
33%
24%
14%
*
+/-5.0

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----28%
33%
24%
14%
*
+/-5.0

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Non
Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump
----- ----- ----- ------ ----28%
10%
N/A
N/A
45%
33%
37%
N/A
N/A
29%
24%
32%
N/A
N/A
17%
14%
20%
N/A
N/A
8%
*
*
N/A
N/A
1%
+/-5.0 +/-7.5
+/-6.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----25%
33%
29%
12%
*
+/-8.0

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----30%
34%
21%
15%
1%
+/-6.0
South
----35%
27%
23%
14%
*
+/-8.0

Under
55
----29%
27%
27%
16%
*
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----26%
41%
21%
11%
1%
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------27%
34%
25%
13%
1%
+/-6.5

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----10%
33%
35%
22%
*
+/-8.5

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Clinton Sanders
------- ------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----28%
33%
24%
14%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------37%
34%
19%
9%
1%
+/-6.5

Suburban
----30%
38%
20%
13%
*
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----29%
28%
40%
28%
19%
28%
11%
16%
1%
*
+/-7.5 +/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 5
3

-14-

March 17-20, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- March 17 to 20, 2016


Question 15C
Next I'm going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each
of them won the Republican presidential nomination. As I read each name, please tell me whether
you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset
if that person were the Republican nominee?
C. John Kasich
Base = Registered Republicans

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------19%
20%
19%
19%
34%
32%
37%
35%
29%
30%
27%
27%
17%
18%
16%
18%
1%
*
2%
1%
+/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----19%
34%
29%
17%
1%
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----20%
38%
24%
17%
1%
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------23%
33%
27%
16%
1%
+/-6.5

65+
----20%
52%
15%
11%
2%
+/-8.0

College
Grad
------28%
36%
25%
10%
*
+/-8.0

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----19%
34%
29%
17%
1%
+/-5.0

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----19%
34%
29%
17%
1%
+/-5.0

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----19%
34%
29%
17%
1%
+/-5.0

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Non
Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump
----- ----- ----- ------ ----19%
10%
N/A
N/A
29%
34%
35%
N/A
N/A
33%
29%
33%
N/A
N/A
24%
17%
23%
N/A
N/A
12%
1%
*
N/A
N/A
2%
+/-5.0 +/-7.5
+/-6.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----17%
32%
29%
21%
1%
+/-8.0

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----21%
35%
29%
14%
1%
+/-6.0
South
----16%
34%
29%
19%
1%
+/-8.0

Under
55
----16%
27%
37%
20%
*
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----24%
42%
19%
13%
2%
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------16%
33%
30%
19%
1%
+/-6.5

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----19%
34%
36%
10%
*
+/-8.5

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Clinton Sanders
------- ------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----19%
34%
29%
17%
1%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------20%
34%
25%
20%
1%
+/-6.5

Suburban
----20%
34%
34%
12%
*
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----12%
25%
39%
30%
29%
28%
17%
17%
2%
*
+/-7.5 +/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 5
3

-15-

March 17-20, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- March 17 to 20, 2016


Question 16
What's your best guess -- do you think the Republican Party is united, do you think it is divided
now but will be united by the presidential election in November, or do you think the Republican
party will be seriously divided in November?
Base = Registered Republicans

United now
Divided but will be united
Still divided in November
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------8%
9%
5%
8%
45%
46%
44%
44%
46%
44%
49%
47%
1%
*
2%
1%
+/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

United now
Divided but will be united
Still divided in November
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----8%
45%
46%
1%
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----7%
39%
53%
1%
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------6%
46%
47%
1%
+/-6.5

65+
----5%
52%
41%
3%
+/-8.0

College
Grad
------5%
46%
49%
*
+/-8.0

United now
Divided but will be united
Still divided in November
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----8%
45%
46%
1%
+/-5.0

United now
Divided but will be united
Still divided in November
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----8%
45%
46%
1%
+/-5.0

United now
Divided but will be united
Still divided in November
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----8%
45%
46%
1%
+/-5.0

United now
Divided but will be united
Still divided in November
No opinion
Sampling Error

Non
Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump
----- ----- ----- ------ ----8%
10%
N/A
N/A
5%
45%
51%
N/A
N/A
41%
46%
39%
N/A
N/A
52%
1%
*
N/A
N/A
2%
+/-5.0 +/-7.5
+/-6.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----3%
42%
54%
1%
+/-8.0

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----10%
47%
42%
1%
+/-6.0
South
----7%
41%
51%
*
+/-8.0

Under
55
----9%
48%
44%
*
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----6%
42%
50%
2%
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------9%
45%
45%
1%
+/-6.5

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----4%
48%
47%
1%
+/-8.5

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Clinton Sanders
------- ------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----8%
45%
46%
1%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------10%
44%
45%
1%
+/-6.5

Suburban
----11%
47%
41%
1%
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----13%
3%
45%
45%
40%
51%
1%
1%
+/-7.5 +/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 5
3

-16-

March 17-20, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- March 17 to 20, 2016


Question 16A
If Donald Trump wins the Republican nomination for president, would you like to see another
Republican run for president as a third party candidate or not?
Base = Registered Republicans

Want to see another GOP run


Not want to see another GOP
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------35%
28%
43%
34%
65%
72%
56%
65%
1%
*
2%
1%
+/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Want to see another GOP run


Not want to see another GOP
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
65%
1%
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----40%
59%
1%
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------32%
67%
1%
+/-6.5

65+
----27%
72%
1%
+/-8.0

College
Grad
------35%
64%
1%
+/-8.0

Want to see another GOP run


Not want to see another GOP
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
65%
1%
+/-5.0

Want to see another GOP run


Not want to see another GOP
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
65%
1%
+/-5.0

Want to see another GOP run


Not want to see another GOP
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
65%
1%
+/-5.0

Want to see another GOP run


Not want to see another GOP
No opinion
Sampling Error

Non
Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump
----- ----- ----- ------ ----35%
18%
N/A
N/A
51%
65%
82%
N/A
N/A
48%
1%
*
N/A
N/A
1%
+/-5.0 +/-7.5
+/-6.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----26%
74%
1%
+/-8.0

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----40%
59%
1%
+/-6.0
South
----30%
70%
*
+/-8.0

Under
55
----38%
62%
*
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----30%
68%
2%
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------34%
65%
1%
+/-6.5

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----45%
55%
*
+/-8.5

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Clinton Sanders
------- ------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----35%
65%
1%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------28%
71%
1%
+/-6.5

Suburban
----37%
63%
*
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----29%
39%
70%
61%
1%
*
+/-7.5 +/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 5
3

-17-

March 17-20, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- March 17 to 20, 2016


Question 16A/16B
Q16A. If Donald Trump wins the Republican nomination for president, would you like to see another
Republican run for president as a third party candidate or not?
Q16B. Is that more because you think it would lead to a Democratic win in November, or more because you
would be comfortable with Trump as the Republican nominee?
Base = Registered Republicans

Want to see another GOP run


No, lead to Dem win
No, comfortable with Trump
No, not sure why
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------35%
28%
43%
34%
31%
40%
22%
32%
32%
31%
34%
32%
1%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
2%
1%
+/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Want to see another GOP run


No, lead to Dem win
No, comfortable with Trump
No, not sure why
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
31%
32%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----40%
32%
27%
*
1%
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------32%
33%
33%
1%
1%
+/-6.5

65+
----27%
37%
33%
2%
1%
+/-8.0

College
Grad
------35%
43%
19%
1%
1%
+/-8.0

Want to see another GOP run


No, lead to Dem win
No, comfortable with Trump
No, not sure why
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
31%
32%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Want to see another GOP run


No, lead to Dem win
No, comfortable with Trump
No, not sure why
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
31%
32%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Want to see another GOP run


No, lead to Dem win
No, comfortable with Trump
No, not sure why
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
31%
32%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Want to see another GOP run


No, lead to Dem win
No, comfortable with Trump
No, not sure why
No opinion
Sampling Error

Non
Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump
----- ----- ----- ------ ----35%
18%
N/A
N/A
51%
31%
26%
N/A
N/A
38%
32%
56%
N/A
N/A
10%
1%
1%
N/A
N/A
1%
1%
*
N/A
N/A
1%
+/-5.0 +/-7.5
+/-6.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----26%
36%
37%
1%
1%
+/-8.0

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----40%
29%
30%
1%
1%
+/-6.0
South
----30%
31%
38%
1%
*
+/-8.0

Under
55
----38%
29%
33%
*
*
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----30%
35%
32%
1%
2%
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------34%
27%
38%
*
1%
+/-6.5

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----45%
22%
32%
1%
*
+/-8.5

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Clinton Sanders
------- ------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----35%
31%
32%
1%
1%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------28%
38%
32%
1%
1%
+/-6.5

Suburban
----37%
32%
31%
*
*
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----29%
39%
37%
27%
32%
33%
1%
1%
1%
*
+/-7.5 +/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 5
3

-18-

March 17-20, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- March 17 to 20, 2016


Question 17
Now, I have a few questions about the Republican Party's nomination process. As you may know, in
order to win the Republican Party's nomination for president, a candidate must win the support of
a majority of the delegates to the Party's national convention, which will be held in July. If no
candidate wins a majority of delegates through the primary and caucus process, as reflected in the
first round of voting at the convention, delegates will have additional rounds of voting until a
single candidate wins majority support. If no candidate has won a majority of the delegates after
the first round of voting, do you think the delegates should vote for:
Base = Registered Republicans

Candidate with most support


They feel is best candidate
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------60%
67%
52%
60%
38%
33%
43%
37%
2%
*
5%
3%
+/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Candidate with most support


They feel is best candidate
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----60%
38%
2%
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----62%
35%
3%
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------64%
33%
3%
+/-6.5

65+
----51%
43%
6%
+/-8.0

College
Grad
------53%
46%
1%
+/-8.0

Candidate with most support


They feel is best candidate
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----60%
38%
2%
+/-5.0

Candidate with most support


They feel is best candidate
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----60%
38%
2%
+/-5.0

Candidate with most support


They feel is best candidate
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----60%
38%
2%
+/-5.0

Candidate with most support


They feel is best candidate
No opinion
Sampling Error

Non
Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump
----- ----- ----- ------ ----60%
82%
N/A
N/A
40%
38%
16%
N/A
N/A
57%
2%
2%
N/A
N/A
3%
+/-5.0 +/-7.5
+/-6.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----67%
32%
1%
+/-8.0

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----56%
41%
3%
+/-6.0
South
----67%
33%
1%
+/-8.0

Under
55
----62%
37%
1%
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----57%
38%
4%
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------63%
34%
3%
+/-6.5

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----56%
43%
1%
+/-8.5

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Clinton Sanders
------- ------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----60%
38%
2%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------63%
35%
2%
+/-6.5

Suburban
----61%
38%
1%
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----61%
59%
35%
39%
4%
1%
+/-7.5 +/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 5
3

-19-

March 17-20, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- March 17 to 20, 2016


Question 18
John Kasich has not won enough delegates to be able to win a majority through the primary and
caucus process, and could only win the nomination if no one else wins a majority of delegates
through the primaries and caucuses. Do you think Kasich should remain in the race or drop out?
Base = Registered Republicans

Should remain in
Should drop out
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------27%
25%
29%
27%
70%
74%
67%
71%
3%
2%
4%
2%
+/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Should remain in
Should drop out
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----27%
70%
3%
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----22%
76%
3%
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------30%
69%
2%
+/-6.5

65+
----40%
55%
5%
+/-8.0

College
Grad
------37%
57%
6%
+/-8.0

Should remain in
Should drop out
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----27%
70%
3%
+/-5.0

Should remain in
Should drop out
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----27%
70%
3%
+/-5.0

Should remain in
Should drop out
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----27%
70%
3%
+/-5.0

Should remain in
Should drop out
No opinion
Sampling Error

Non
Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump
----- ----- ----- ------ ----27%
15%
N/A
N/A
39%
70%
84%
N/A
N/A
58%
3%
1%
N/A
N/A
4%
+/-5.0 +/-7.5
+/-6.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----21%
77%
2%
+/-8.0

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----30%
67%
3%
+/-6.0
South
----18%
80%
2%
+/-8.0

Under
55
----22%
77%
1%
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----33%
63%
4%
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------23%
75%
2%
+/-6.5

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----34%
64%
2%
+/-8.5

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Clinton Sanders
------- ------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----27%
70%
3%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------23%
75%
2%
+/-6.5

Suburban
----28%
72%
*
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----24%
30%
75%
67%
2%
3%
+/-7.5 +/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 5
3

-20-

March 17-20, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- March 17 to 20, 2016


Question 19
If none of the current Republican candidates wins a majority of the delegates before the convention,
would you rather see the Republican Party nominate one of the three remaining Republican candidates
or would you rather see the Party nominate someone else?
Base = Registered Republicans

One of the three remaining


Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------84%
88%
80%
85%
15%
12%
18%
13%
1%
*
2%
1%
+/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

One of the three remaining


Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----84%
15%
1%
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----88%
12%
*
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------84%
15%
1%
+/-6.5

65+
----86%
11%
3%
+/-8.0

College
Grad
------85%
14%
1%
+/-8.0

One of the three remaining


Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----84%
15%
1%
+/-5.0

One of the three remaining


Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----84%
15%
1%
+/-5.0

One of the three remaining


Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----84%
15%
1%
+/-5.0

One of the three remaining


Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Non
Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump
----- ----- ----- ------ ----84%
89%
N/A
N/A
80%
15%
11%
N/A
N/A
18%
1%
*
N/A
N/A
2%
+/-5.0 +/-7.5
+/-6.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----86%
13%
1%
+/-8.0

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----83%
16%
1%
+/-6.0
South
----85%
14%
1%
+/-8.0

Under
55
----83%
17%
*
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----86%
12%
2%
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------84%
15%
1%
+/-6.5

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----78%
21%
1%
+/-8.5

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Clinton Sanders
------- ------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----84%
15%
1%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------90%
10%
*
+/-6.5

Suburban
----83%
17%
*
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----90%
80%
9%
19%
1%
1%
+/-7.5 +/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 5
3

-21-

March 17-20, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- March 17 to 20, 2016


Question 20
Who would you MOST like to see win the Democratic nomination for president?
Base = Registered Democrats

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------51%
56%
48%
47%
44%
40%
47%
47%
2%
3%
2%
3%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
*
3%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.5

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----51%
44%
2%
1%
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------51%
45%
44%
49%
2%
3%
1%
1%
2%
3%
+/-4.5 +/-7.5

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----51%
44%
2%
1%
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----51%
44%
2%
1%
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----51%
44%
2%
1%
2%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----55%
40%
2%
1%
1%
+/-5.5
North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----64%
30%
1%
1%
4%
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------55%
42%
2%
1%
1%
+/-6.0

65+
----65%
24%
4%
3%
4%
+/-7.0

College
Grad
------56%
43%
*
*
2%
+/-6.5

Independent
-----46%
50%
1%
*
3%
+/-8.0
Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------57%
41%
1%
*
1%
+/-8.0

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----61%
36%
2%
1%
*
+/-8.5

Non
Trump Cruz Kasich Trump
----- ----- ------ ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----45%
53%
2%
*
*
+/-7.0

55 and
Older
-----62%
27%
3%
2%
5%
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------49%
45%
3%
1%
2%
+/-6.5

Lean
Democrat
-----51%
44%
2%
1%
2%
+/-4.5

Liberal
----42%
56%
1%
*
1%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----60%
37%
1%
*
2%
+/-7.0

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----47%
51%
*
1%
1%
+/-7.5

Clinton Sanders
------- ------100%
*
*
100%
*
*
*
*
*
*
+/-6.0 +/-7.5

Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Suburban
----55%
39%
3%
1%
3%
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----N/A
52%
N/A
45%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 5
3

-22-

March 17-20, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- March 17 to 20, 2016


Question 21A
Next I'm going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each
of them won the Democratic presidential nomination. As I read each name, please tell me whether
you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset
if that person were the Democratic nominee?
A. Hillary Clinton
Base = Registered Democrats

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------34%
31%
35%
28%
45%
43%
46%
49%
10%
12%
9%
13%
11%
13%
9%
10%
*
*
1%
*
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.5

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----34%
45%
10%
11%
*
+/-4.5

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------34%
28%
45%
46%
10%
10%
11%
16%
*
1%
+/-4.5 +/-7.5

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----34%
45%
10%
11%
*
+/-4.5

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----34%
45%
10%
11%
*
+/-4.5

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----34%
45%
10%
11%
*
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----42%
43%
7%
8%
1%
+/-5.5
North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----36%
48%
12%
4%
*
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------38%
43%
11%
8%
*
+/-6.0

65+
----46%
39%
8%
7%
*
+/-7.0

College
Grad
------40%
44%
5%
10%
*
+/-6.5

Independent
-----21%
48%
15%
16%
*
+/-8.0
Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------42%
39%
6%
12%
1%
+/-8.0

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----37%
40%
5%
16%
1%
+/-8.5

Non
Trump Cruz Kasich Trump
----- ----- ------ ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----28%
48%
10%
14%
1%
+/-7.0

55 and
Older
-----44%
40%
11%
5%
*
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------30%
46%
13%
11%
1%
+/-6.5

Lean
Democrat
-----34%
45%
10%
11%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----36%
46%
7%
11%
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----28%
47%
12%
13%
*
+/-7.0

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----39%
42%
9%
10%
*
+/-7.5

Clinton Sanders
------- ------55%
12%
44%
47%
1%
19%
1%
22%
*
*
+/-6.0 +/-7.5

Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Suburban
----29%
48%
13%
9%
1%
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----N/A
36%
N/A
44%
N/A
10%
N/A
11%
N/A
*
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 5
3

-23-

March 17-20, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- March 17 to 20, 2016


Question 21B
Next I'm going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each
of them won the Democratic presidential nomination. As I read each name, please tell me whether
you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset
if that person were the Democratic nominee?
B. Bernie Sanders
Base = Registered Democrats

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------40%
37%
42%
43%
41%
39%
43%
42%
13%
18%
8%
10%
6%
6%
6%
5%
1%
*
1%
*
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.5

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----40%
41%
13%
6%
1%
+/-4.5

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------40%
39%
41%
45%
13%
10%
6%
6%
1%
1%
+/-4.5 +/-7.5

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----40%
41%
13%
6%
1%
+/-4.5

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----40%
41%
13%
6%
1%
+/-4.5

Enthusiastic
Satisfied not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not upset
Upset
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----40%
41%
13%
6%
1%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----41%
36%
15%
7%
1%
+/-5.5
North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----31%
47%
17%
5%
*
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------43%
38%
15%
5%
*
+/-6.0

65+
----22%
52%
16%
9%
1%
+/-7.0

College
Grad
------49%
37%
9%
5%
*
+/-6.5

Independent
-----38%
49%
9%
4%
*
+/-8.0
Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------37%
40%
16%
6%
1%
+/-8.0

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----38%
35%
17%
9%
1%
+/-8.5

Non
Trump Cruz Kasich Trump
----- ----- ------ ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----47%
36%
11%
5%
1%
+/-7.0

55 and
Older
-----28%
51%
15%
6%
1%
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------35%
43%
15%
6%
1%
+/-6.5

Lean
Democrat
-----40%
41%
13%
6%
1%
+/-4.5

Liberal
----59%
33%
5%
3%
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----27%
48%
18%
8%
*
+/-7.0

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----45%
40%
9%
6%
*
+/-7.5

Clinton Sanders
------- ------15%
72%
52%
27%
21%
1%
10%
*
*
*
+/-6.0 +/-7.5

Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Suburban
----37%
44%
12%
6%
1%
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----N/A
43%
N/A
39%
N/A
13%
N/A
5%
N/A
1%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 5
3

-24-

March 17-20, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- March 17 to 20, 2016


Question 22
What's your best guess -- do you think the Democratic Party is united, do you think it is divided
now but will be united by the presidential election in November, or do you think the Democratic
Party will be seriously divided in November?
Base = Registered Democrats

United now
Divided but will be united
Still divided in November
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------38%
39%
38%
36%
44%
45%
44%
47%
15%
14%
16%
15%
2%
2%
2%
1%
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.5

United now
Divided but will be united
Still divided in November
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
44%
15%
2%
+/-4.5

United now
Divided but will be united
Still divided in November
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------38%
41%
44%
34%
15%
22%
2%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.5

United now
Divided but will be united
Still divided in November
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
44%
15%
2%
+/-4.5

United now
Divided but will be united
Still divided in November
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
44%
15%
2%
+/-4.5

United now
Divided but will be united
Still divided in November
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
44%
15%
2%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----41%
45%
12%
3%
+/-5.5
North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----51%
38%
9%
3%
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------39%
49%
10%
2%
+/-6.0

65+
----44%
41%
11%
4%
+/-7.0

College
Grad
------42%
49%
9%
1%
+/-6.5

Independent
-----35%
44%
20%
1%
+/-8.0
Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------42%
40%
15%
3%
+/-8.0

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----46%
31%
21%
1%
+/-8.5

Non
Trump Cruz Kasich Trump
----- ----- ------ ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----32%
49%
18%
2%
+/-7.0

55 and
Older
-----51%
36%
11%
3%
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------37%
42%
19%
2%
+/-6.5

Lean
Democrat
-----38%
44%
15%
2%
+/-4.5

Liberal
----44%
43%
13%
1%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----36%
45%
18%
1%
+/-7.0

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----32%
45%
20%
4%
+/-7.5

Clinton Sanders
------- ------45%
29%
47%
43%
5%
26%
3%
1%
+/-6.0 +/-7.5

Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Suburban
----43%
44%
12%
1%
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----N/A
40%
N/A
43%
N/A
15%
N/A
2%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 5
3

-25-

March 17-20, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- March 17 to 20, 2016


Question 23/23A
Q23. If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican
Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- ?
Q23A. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ?
Base = Registered Voters

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------53%
45%
60%
44%
41%
50%
33%
48%
2%
2%
3%
3%
4%
3%
5%
4%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----53%
41%
2%
4%
*
+/-3.0

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------53%
52%
41%
40%
2%
3%
4%
4%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----53%
41%
2%
4%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----93%
6%
1%
*
*
+/-5.5

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----53%
41%
2%
4%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----60%
35%
3%
2%
*
+/-7.0

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Non
Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump
----- ----- ----- ------ ----53%
1%
N/A
N/A
17%
41%
99%
N/A
N/A
68%
2%
*
N/A
N/A
4%
4%
*
N/A
N/A
12%
*
*
N/A
N/A
*
+/-3.0 +/-7.5
+/-6.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----54%
42%
1%
2%
*
+/-7.5

5064
----48%
43%
3%
6%
*
+/-6.0

$50K
or more
------53%
40%
2%
4%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----51%
44%
1%
4%
*
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------65%
28%
2%
6%
*
+/-5.0

Independent
-----49%
42%
3%
5%
*
+/-5.0
Midwest
----53%
39%
2%
6%
*
+/-7.0

Non-White
--------74%
22%
*
4%
*
+/-7.0

Republican
-----9%
81%
3%
7%
*
+/-6.0
South
----44%
49%
3%
4%
*
+/-5.5

Under
55
----55%
38%
3%
4%
*
+/-5.0

55 and
Older
-----49%
45%
1%
5%
*
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------47%
47%
3%
3%
*
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----90%
7%
2%
1%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----86%
10%
2%
1%
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----61%
34%
2%
3%
*
+/-5.5

West
----59%
34%
2%
5%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----68%
29%
1%
3%
*
+/-5.5

Lean
Republican
-----9%
83%
2%
6%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------21%
71%
1%
7%
*
+/-5.5

Suburban
----50%
42%
4%
5%
*
+/-5.0

Rural
----37%
56%
3%
4%
*
+/-7.0

White
All
Clinton Sanders Evang. Others
------- ------- ----- -----97%
83%
28%
61%
3%
10%
66%
32%
*
4%
1%
3%
*
3%
5%
4%
*
*
*
*
+/-6.0 +/-7.5 +/-6.0 +/-4.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 5
3

-26-

March 17-20, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- March 17 to 20, 2016


Question 24/24A
Q24. If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and John Kasich were the Republican
Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- ?
Q24A. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ?
Base = Registered Voters

Hillary Clinton
John Kasich
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------45%
39%
51%
35%
51%
58%
44%
61%
*
*
*
*
3%
2%
4%
3%
1%
1%
*
1%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Hillary Clinton
John Kasich
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----45%
51%
*
3%
1%
+/-3.0

Hillary Clinton
John Kasich
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------45%
51%
51%
44%
*
*
3%
6%
1%
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

Hillary Clinton
John Kasich
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----45%
51%
*
3%
1%
+/-3.0

Democrat
----88%
11%
1%
1%
*
+/-5.5

Hillary Clinton
John Kasich
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----45%
51%
*
3%
1%
+/-3.0

North
east
----54%
44%
*
1%
1%
+/-7.0

Hillary Clinton
John Kasich
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Non
Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump
----- ----- ----- ------ ----45%
4%
N/A
N/A
8%
51%
91%
N/A
N/A
90%
*
*
N/A
N/A
*
3%
4%
N/A
N/A
1%
1%
1%
N/A
N/A
1%
+/-3.0 +/-7.5
+/-6.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----46%
51%
*
2%
1%
+/-7.5

5064
----46%
49%
1%
3%
1%
+/-6.0

$50K
or more
------42%
56%
1%
1%
1%
+/-4.5

65+
----45%
52%
*
3%
*
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------53%
43%
1%
2%
1%
+/-5.0

Independent
-----36%
57%
*
5%
2%
+/-5.0
Midwest
----47%
49%
*
3%
2%
+/-7.0

Non-White
--------71%
26%
*
2%
*
+/-7.0

Republican
-----9%
89%
*
2%
*
+/-6.0
South
----40%
56%
*
3%
*
+/-5.5

Under
55
----46%
49%
*
3%
1%
+/-5.0

55 and
Older
-----44%
53%
*
3%
*
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------42%
54%
*
3%
1%
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----78%
20%
*
1%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----79%
19%
1%
2%
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----47%
50%
*
2%
*
+/-5.5

West
----44%
51%
1%
4%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----61%
37%
1%
1%
*
+/-5.5

Lean
Republican
-----7%
90%
*
3%
1%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------21%
75%
*
3%
1%
+/-5.5

Suburban
----39%
56%
*
4%
*
+/-5.0

Rural
----34%
62%
*
2%
1%
+/-7.0

White
All
Clinton Sanders Evang. Others
------- ------- ----- -----90%
66%
20%
54%
10%
30%
76%
42%
*
1%
*
*
*
3%
3%
3%
*
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0 +/-7.5 +/-6.0 +/-4.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 5
3

-27-

March 17-20, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- March 17 to 20, 2016


Question 25/25A
Q25. If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Ted Cruz were the Republican
Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- ?
Q25A. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ?
Base = Registered Voters

Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------48%
40%
55%
40%
48%
56%
40%
55%
1%
2%
1%
2%
3%
2%
4%
3%
*
1%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----48%
48%
1%
3%
*
+/-3.0

Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------48%
48%
48%
44%
1%
2%
3%
6%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----48%
48%
1%
3%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----89%
9%
1%
1%
*
+/-5.5

Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----48%
48%
1%
3%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----56%
40%
3%
1%
*
+/-7.0

Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Non
Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump
----- ----- ----- ------ ----48%
7%
N/A
N/A
8%
48%
87%
N/A
N/A
91%
1%
*
N/A
N/A
1%
3%
5%
N/A
N/A
1%
*
*
N/A
N/A
*
+/-3.0 +/-7.5
+/-6.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----48%
49%
2%
2%
*
+/-7.5

5064
----48%
48%
1%
4%
*
+/-6.0

$50K
or more
------47%
51%
1%
1%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----52%
45%
*
2%
*
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------61%
35%
2%
3%
*
+/-5.0

Independent
-----42%
51%
2%
4%
1%
+/-5.0
Midwest
----49%
46%
1%
4%
1%
+/-7.0

Non-White
--------67%
31%
*
2%
*
+/-7.0

Republican
-----7%
89%
1%
4%
*
+/-6.0
South
----40%
56%
1%
3%
*
+/-5.5

Under
55
----46%
48%
2%
3%
*
+/-5.0

55 and
Older
-----49%
48%
*
3%
*
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------41%
54%
1%
3%
*
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----83%
13%
2%
1%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----79%
18%
2%
2%
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----52%
43%
2%
3%
*
+/-5.5

West
----51%
43%
2%
4%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----61%
37%
1%
1%
*
+/-5.5

Lean
Republican
-----8%
89%
1%
3%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------21%
76%
1%
2%
1%
+/-5.5

Suburban
----43%
51%
2%
3%
*
+/-5.0

Rural
----37%
60%
*
4%
*
+/-7.0

White
All
Clinton Sanders Evang. Others
------- ------- ----- -----96%
70%
23%
56%
4%
23%
73%
39%
*
5%
1%
2%
*
2%
3%
3%
*
*
*
*
+/-6.0 +/-7.5 +/-6.0 +/-4.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 5
3

-28-

March 17-20, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- March 17 to 20, 2016


Question 23S/23B
Q23S. If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican
Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- ?
Q23B. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ?
Base = Registered Voters

Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------58%
50%
66%
50%
38%
47%
29%
47%
1%
*
1%
1%
3%
2%
4%
3%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----58%
38%
1%
3%
*
+/-3.0

Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------58%
63%
38%
35%
1%
1%
3%
2%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----58%
38%
1%
3%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----94%
6%
*
*
*
+/-5.5

Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----58%
38%
1%
3%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----64%
34%
1%
1%
*
+/-7.0

Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Non
Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump
----- ----- ----- ------ ----58%
2%
N/A
N/A
28%
38%
98%
N/A
N/A
61%
1%
*
N/A
N/A
2%
3%
*
N/A
N/A
8%
*
*
N/A
N/A
*
+/-3.0 +/-7.5
+/-6.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----54%
41%
1%
4%
*
+/-7.5

5064
----54%
42%
1%
3%
*
+/-6.0

$50K
or more
------56%
39%
1%
4%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----52%
43%
1%
3%
1%
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------67%
27%
1%
5%
*
+/-5.0

Independent
-----57%
38%
1%
4%
*
+/-5.0
Midwest
----59%
38%
*
3%
*
+/-7.0

Non-White
--------80%
15%
1%
3%
*
+/-7.0

Republican
-----18%
76%
1%
5%
*
+/-6.0
South
----50%
45%
1%
3%
*
+/-5.5

Under
55
----63%
34%
1%
3%
*
+/-5.0

55 and
Older
-----51%
44%
1%
3%
*
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------54%
43%
1%
2%
*
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----92%
7%
1%
1%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----94%
6%
*
*
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----64%
31%
2%
3%
*
+/-5.5

West
----65%
31%
*
4%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----71%
27%
*
2%
*
+/-5.5

Lean
Republican
-----16%
78%
1%
4%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------27%
68%
*
4%
*
+/-5.5

Suburban
----56%
40%
1%
3%
*
+/-5.0

Rural
----46%
52%
*
2%
*
+/-7.0

White
All
Clinton Sanders Evang. Others
------- ------- ----- -----90%
98%
32%
68%
8%
2%
64%
29%
*
*
1%
1%
2%
*
3%
3%
*
*
1%
*
+/-6.0 +/-7.5 +/-6.0 +/-4.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 5
3

-29-

March 17-20, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- March 17 to 20, 2016


Question 24S/24B
Q24s. If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate and John Kasich were the Republican
Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- ?
Q24B. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ?
Base = Registered Voters

Bernie Sanders
John Kasich
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------51%
45%
57%
41%
45%
50%
39%
54%
*
*
*
*
3%
3%
4%
4%
1%
1%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Bernie Sanders
John Kasich
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----51%
45%
*
3%
1%
+/-3.0

Bernie Sanders
John Kasich
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------51%
61%
45%
33%
*
*
3%
5%
1%
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

Bernie Sanders
John Kasich
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----51%
45%
*
3%
1%
+/-3.0

Democrat
----87%
11%
*
1%
*
+/-5.5

Bernie Sanders
John Kasich
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----51%
45%
*
3%
1%
+/-3.0

North
east
----55%
42%
*
3%
*
+/-7.0

Bernie Sanders
John Kasich
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Non
Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump
----- ----- ----- ------ ----51%
16%
N/A
N/A
13%
45%
78%
N/A
N/A
84%
*
*
N/A
N/A
*
3%
6%
N/A
N/A
2%
1%
*
N/A
N/A
*
+/-3.0 +/-7.5
+/-6.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----47%
50%
*
3%
*
+/-7.5

5064
----50%
46%
*
3%
*
+/-6.0

$50K
or more
------45%
52%
*
3%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----41%
54%
*
3%
1%
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------52%
45%
1%
2%
*
+/-5.0

Independent
-----48%
45%
*
5%
1%
+/-5.0
Midwest
----48%
48%
*
3%
1%
+/-7.0

Non-White
--------76%
21%
*
2%
*
+/-7.0

Republican
-----13%
84%
*
3%
*
+/-6.0
South
----49%
46%
*
5%
*
+/-5.5

Under
55
----57%
39%
*
3%
*
+/-5.0

55 and
Older
-----42%
54%
*
4%
1%
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------51%
44%
*
4%
1%
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----82%
17%
*
1%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----90%
9%
*
*
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----50%
46%
*
3%
1%
+/-5.5

West
----54%
42%
*
3%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----67%
31%
*
1%
*
+/-5.5

Lean
Republican
-----15%
81%
*
4%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------26%
68%
*
5%
1%
+/-5.5

Suburban
----45%
50%
*
4%
*
+/-5.0

Rural
----40%
55%
*
5%
*
+/-7.0

White
All
Clinton Sanders Evang. Others
------- ------- ----- -----73%
94%
24%
61%
25%
6%
71%
35%
*
*
*
*
2%
*
5%
3%
*
*
*
1%
+/-6.0 +/-7.5 +/-6.0 +/-4.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 5
3

-30-

March 17-20, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- March 17 to 20, 2016


Question 25S/25B
Q25S. If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate and Ted Cruz were the Republican
Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- ?
Q25B. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ?
Base = Registered Voters

Bernie Sanders
Ted Cruz
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------55%
50%
60%
49%
42%
47%
36%
48%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
2%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Bernie Sanders
Ted Cruz
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----55%
42%
1%
2%
*
+/-3.0

Bernie Sanders
Ted Cruz
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------55%
60%
42%
37%
1%
1%
2%
2%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

Bernie Sanders
Ted Cruz
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----55%
42%
1%
2%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----89%
9%
*
1%
*
+/-5.5

Bernie Sanders
Ted Cruz
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----55%
42%
1%
2%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----63%
33%
3%
1%
*
+/-7.0

Bernie Sanders
Ted Cruz
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Non
Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump
----- ----- ----- ------ ----55%
20%
N/A
N/A
15%
42%
76%
N/A
N/A
83%
1%
*
N/A
N/A
1%
2%
4%
N/A
N/A
1%
*
*
N/A
N/A
*
+/-3.0 +/-7.5
+/-6.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----50%
45%
2%
3%
*
+/-7.5

5064
----52%
45%
1%
3%
*
+/-6.0

$50K
or more
------53%
44%
1%
2%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----53%
42%
1%
4%
1%
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------62%
33%
1%
3%
*
+/-5.0

Independent
-----54%
41%
2%
3%
*
+/-5.0
Midwest
----57%
40%
*
3%
*
+/-7.0

Non-White
--------71%
26%
1%
2%
*
+/-7.0

Republican
-----16%
81%
*
3%
*
+/-6.0
South
----47%
52%
*
1%
*
+/-5.5

Under
55
----58%
40%
1%
2%
*
+/-5.0

55 and
Older
-----51%
44%
1%
3%
*
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------51%
46%
1%
2%
*
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----85%
12%
1%
1%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----90%
9%
*
*
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----58%
36%
2%
4%
*
+/-5.5

West
----60%
35%
*
4%
1%
+/-7.0

Urban
----65%
33%
1%
1%
*
+/-5.5

Lean
Republican
-----18%
79%
*
2%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------26%
71%
*
2%
*
+/-5.5

Suburban
----54%
43%
1%
2%
*
+/-5.0

Rural
----44%
53%
*
3%
*
+/-7.0

White
All
Clinton Sanders Evang. Others
------- ------- ----- -----84%
89%
31%
64%
14%
10%
66%
33%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
*
3%
2%
*
*
*
*
+/-6.0 +/-7.5 +/-6.0 +/-4.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 5
3

-31-

March 17-20, 2016