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Magnitude 4.4 - GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIFORNIA

2010 March 16 11:04:00 UTC
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Earthquake Details
Magnitude Date-Time 4.4 Tuesday, March 16, 2010 at 11:04:00 UTC Tuesday, March 16, 2010 at 04:04:00 AM at epicenter Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones 33.992N, 118.082W 18.9 km (11.7 miles) GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIFORNIA 1 km (0 miles) ENE (62) from Pico Rivera, CA 4 km (2 miles) SE (129) from Montebello, CA 5 km (3 miles) SSW (212) from Whittier Narrows Rec. Area, CA 8 km (5 miles) NE (37) from Downey, CA 17 km (10 miles) ESE (115) from Los Angeles Civic Center, CA horizontal +/- 0.3 km (0.2 miles); depth +/- 0.6 km (0.4 miles) Nph=177, Dmin=6 km, Rmss=0.39 sec, Gp= 22, M-type=local magnitude (ML), Version=4 California Integrated Seismic Net: USGS Caltech CGS UCB UCSD UNR ci14601172

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What are the chances of me sending an email to the Kabbalah centre describing the 4 "seasons of scarcity" as it relates to the 4 faces and 4 rings of the Merkabah (which is repeated 44 times in the Old Testament) on a day that a 4.4 earthquake occurred, at 4:04 AM localtime, with a 44 mile perimeter between all the points (Kabbalah centre, earthquake epicenter, and my residence)? I started exploring the idea roughly 8/1/2009 and the mailing occurred 3/16/2010 (difference = 227 days). So I potentially had a total of 227 opportunities to send the idea out, but chose the one day where this event occurred. However upon further thought I confirmed searching through my online web history (http://tinyurl.com/kab-web-history) that I first learned of the Zohar early 2/1/2010, reducing the possible time-frame to a window of coincidentally 44 days lettertime .
1
In[1]:=

lt 44 1

Out[1]=

44

What are the chances there would be an interesting number sequence for the earthquake? There are only two numbers that would peak my curiosity: 4.0 and 4.4, with 4.4 being the more intriguing of the two. Giving a
117 quakes 28 638 days 1 10

spread with 2 possibilities in the range.

However quakes are somewhat common in Southern CA. Tabulating SCEC data from 1932 to the present confirms 4.0's and 4.4's happen at slightly double the rate earthquakemagnitude
2
In[2]:=

range

emr 10 0.44

2.2

Out[2]=

The next logical question would be, "What's the likelihood that it would have been in the 4 - 4.9 range?" According to USGS (http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eqarchives/year/eqstats.php) there are approx. 1,444,469 earthquakes / yr. with nearly 13,000 ranging from 4 - 4.9 magnitude. earthquakemagnitude range likelihood
13 000
In[3]:=

emrl 1 444 469 1000

Out[3]=

111 113

Meaning the percentage chance the earthquake would occur in the 4's is about 1%. This is further offset by the 20 chance of it being an even 4 or 4.4 earthquakemagnitude probability .
In[4]:= Out[4]=

2.2

emp

emr

emrl

0.00395993

Next, what are the odds of this occurring at a time that would be synchronistic with all the other numerical sequences? In a 12 hour time-frame 4:44, 4:40, 4:04, and 4:00 would have potential tie-ins. Though the times 4:40 and 4:04 are the most interesting since the Merkabah is a conjunction of two 4's. There are 720 minutes / possibilities in a 12-hr period. earthquaketime

Odds-of-4.4-earthquake-Merkabah_v2.1.6.nb

4
In[5]:=

et 720 1

Out[5]=

180

Since the Merkabah is mentioned 44 times in the Bible what's the probability distribution of this sequence as compared to all the other unique word counts in the Old Testament? Downloading a copy of the Old Testament from Project Gutenberg (The Bible, Douay-Rheims; note there are a total of 593,493 to 809,297 [ 107902] words depending on translation & Books included with 809,297 for this particular sampling) and running the following unix command, cat oldtestament.txt | tr -sc '[A-Z][a-z]' '[\012*]' | perl -i -wpe "tr/[A-Z]/[a-z]/" | sort | uniq -c | sort -nr > sorted_oldtestament.txt reveals there are about 14,284 ( 5500) unique words including articles, pronouns, verbs, proper nouns, adjectives, adverbs, et cetera, though not consolidating and accounting for participles, plurals, contractions, and mispellings. It also exposes that there are 17 different words that have a frequency of 44 usages, with , at most, 14 additional words. The 30-43 and 45-60 frequency ranges show similar distributions. Interestingly there's only one word that repeats 444 times (gold) with perhaps 2 words if not for various data distortions. To increase the odds the error margins are factored in to be as pessimistic and skeptical as possible. biblerepetition
17
In[6]:=

14 5500

br 14 284 31

Out[6]=

8784
In[7]:= Out[7]=

N br 0.00352914

Or ~.4% odds this would occur. What are the chances out of all the unique number sequences that occur in the Old Testament we would hit on one that revolves around 4 and 4? Meaning we're interested in all Biblical quantities that are a series of 4 (i.e. 444) with 44 being the most interesting. In Psalm's there are 150 chapters and chapter 119 has 176 verses. The word "hundred" occurs 655 times and "thousand" 552 with most having numerical antecedents. The word "million" occurs once and there are 15 instances of "infinite" and "infinity." To account for possible duplication and overlap 70% of the 655 "thousand" and 552 "hundred" are culled from the calculation biblenumber quantity
In[8]:= Out[8]=

bnq 540

Floor 176

655

.3

552

.3

Giving a range with a floor of 540 up to 1,385 unique numerical sequences in the bible ( 200). To increase the probability of the event the lowest values are selected. biblenumber

Odds-of-4.4-earthquake-Merkabah_v2.1.6.nb

3
In[9]:=

bn bnq 1

Out[9]=

180

Last, what are the chances there would be an earthquake that would generate a perimeter of 44 miles between the 3 points of interest. Factoring in that if the earthquake wasn't in the vicinity I would have never heard about it to make the connection? So it had to been less than say 100 miles in any direction. Also it has to correspond to a numeric sequence that would inspire further investigation. This includes a perimeter 4 and 44 miles. distanceperimeter
2
In[10]:=

dp 100 1

Out[10]=

50

Since my apartment and the Kabbalah building are the secondary points of interest two separate ellipses can then be formed using either of these locations as locus points to arrive at a 44 mile perimeter, increasing the likelihood of finding a 44 mile border. To account for this the odds are multiplied by a factor of 2.
In[11]:=

dp 1

dp

Out[11]=

25

It's worth noting that with only one fixed locus point there are an

series of points inside the area of lo 2

l1 2

44 2 , 2

centered

on the invariant locus point (the quake epicenter), that will result in a 44 mile perimeter. The values lo and l1 indicate the lengths of the two shorter lines rather than the normal point-based quadratic form x2 y2 r2 . The smaller the distance between the fixed locus point and the second mark the more the perimeter can vary. So the chance of all these events having the same 44 synchronicity (Synchronicityodds is ...
In[12]:= Out[12]=

So

lt

emp 10

et
13

bn

br

dp

3.9212

or roughly,
1 2 550 236 901 677

Meaning the percentage chance of this occurring was: .00000000003(9212) % For comparison the odds to win the Mega Million lotto are:
1
In[13]:=

Lo 175 711 536 1

Out[13]=

175 711 536

Odds-of-4.4-earthquake-Merkabah_v2.1.6.nb

In[14]:= Out[14]=

N Lo 5.69115 10
9

Indicating the percentage chance of winning the jackpot is ... .0000005(69115) % Comparing the two shows,
Lo
In[15]:=

N So 14 513.8

Out[15]=

the odds were 14,513 times better to win the Mega Million lottery than for this event to have occurred the way it did. Even removing the bible repetition factor br , the most controversial term with the lowest odds,
In[16]:=

br 31

Out[16]=

8784

strictly only measuring the chances that out of all these sequences in the Old Testament that one of the three synchronistic numbers (4, 44 and 444) would repeatedly come up, even then we get:
In[17]:= Out[17]=

So2

lt

emp 10

et
10

bn

dp

1.11109 Lo N So2 51.2212

In[18]:=

Out[18]=

Telling us the chances, still, would be 51 times in favor of winning the Mega Million jackpot. As an interesting conclusion to this whole affair ... The last, or now second to last, Mega Million lottery was won Friday 3/12/2010. I wrote the email late 3/15 into the early morning hours of the 16th, finishing around 3 to 6 A.M., and sent it later the same day. So the first draw date for the big $266 million pot started on Tuesday 3/16 (the date of the 4.4). The jackpot then came to conclusion on Tuesday 5/4, the same day I physically traveled to the Kabbalah centre to present the paperwork (http://tinyurl.com/kab-rcpt), and amazingly the winner bought the ticket in Pico Rivera where the earthquake had originally occurred. (http://www.myfoxla.com/dpp/news/local/mega-millions-lotteryticket-sold-in-pico-rivera-20100505) How fitting is it that an event that was 51 times less likely to happen than winning the multi-state Mega Million grand-prize happened at the start of what's now the 5th biggest jackpot ever won by a single Mega Million ticket; and then a month and a half later coincides with a person from Pico Rivera, CA, 4 th of a mile from the epicenter, winning the entirety of the jackpot on the same night I handed the information to the people at the Kabbalah centre? I genuinely wish there was more empirical data to work with so I could attempt a calculation, but as there isn't I'm left contemplating, "What are the odds?"
1