Govt.

Dyal Singh College, Lahore

PAPER

STATISTICS B.Sc. IV year Send Up (Jan., 2014)

Total marks 100; Time allowed 3 Hours; Attempt 5 Questions at least two from each section; All Question Carry
Equal Marks

Section- I
1-a. Prove that Sum of deviations from mean are zero and squares of deviations from
mean are minimum.
1-b. Define A.M., G.M., and H. M.; and prove that for any two numbers a and b A.MG.M.
H. M.
2-a. Prove that for k sub groups of data consisting of N 1,N2, , Nk (Ni = N) observations
have respective means 1, 2, .., k and variances 12, 22, .., k2 then the variance 2of
2 =

combined observations is given by:

i= i
D

and

1
( 2i + D 2i ) , i=1,2,,k where

is the mean for all the data.

Expenses on items

Food
35%
150
140

Price (in Rs) in 2004

Price (in Rs) in 1995

Fuel
10%
25
20

2-b. Show that for any discrete distribution

Clothing
20%
75
50

Rent
15%
30
20

Misc.
20%
40
25

2>1.

3-a. An enquiry into the budgets of the middle class families in a certain city gave the
following information;
What is the cost of living index of 2004 as compared with 1995?
3-b. For the prices data given below calculate (1) Laspeyres Price Index, (2) Paasches
Price Index, (3) Fishers ideal index, (4)Marshall-Edgeworths Index

Item
1
2
3

2009
P0
2.7
0.8
1.3

Q0
12
50
20

2010
P1
2.9
0.8
1.3

Q1
10
52
23

2011
P2
3.1
0.9
1.3

Q2
11
57
25

2012
P3
3.2
0.9
1.4

Q3
11
60
29


4-a. Given P(A B) = 0.24, P(A)=0.6, P(B)=0.4, find P(B|A), P(A|B), P(AB), P(A| B )
, P ( B ) . What is the relation between A and B.
4-b. The odds that a book will be favourably reviewed by three independent critics are 3 to
2, 4 to 3, and 2 to 3 respectively. What is the probability that of three reviews a majority
will be favourable.
5-a. The contents of the two urns are as follows:
Urn A contains 3 red and 2 white balls
Urn B contains 2 red and 5 white balls
An urn is selected at random: a ball is drawn and put into the other urn; then a ball is
drawn from the second urn. Find the probability that both balls are of the same colour.
5-b. Three cooks A, B and C, bake a special kind of cake, and with respective probabilities
0.02, 0.03 and 0.05 it fail to rise. In the restaurant where they work, A bakes 50% of these
cakes, B bakes 30% of these cakes and C 20%. What proportion of failure is caused by A?
Section- II
6-ab. A college has made a study between leaving certificate results (X) and graduating
grades (Y). The joint probability is shown below, where the results have been combined
into five categories.
X = leaving certificate results; Y = grades at graduation,
X 1
2
3
4
Find
Y
(i)
P(X 3, Y > 2), (ii) P(X 3)
1
0.0 0
0
0
(ii)
Marginal distribution of X
5
(iii)
Marginal distribution of Y
2
0.1 0.0 0
0.0
(iv)
P(X 3, Y > 2)
0
4
1
(v)
Conditional distribution: P(X |Y=2)
3
0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
2
0
5
0
xy for the data provided in 6-ab above.
7-ab. Find
8-a. Derive the method of least-squares estimates population regression coefficient and
intercept .
8-b. Write down any two properties of regression line

Y^

=a +bX and derive the formula

of y.x
9-a. Obtain the seasonal indices by ratio to trend method and by fitting trend line to
annual averages.
years
Quarters
I
II
III

IV

2001
2002
2003
2004
9-b. Obtain the seasonal indices by
above.

71
89
71
90
73
91
76
97
link-relatives method to the data

106
108
111
122
provided in 9-a

78
79
81
89

10-a. The mean of a certain normal distribution is equal to S.E. of the mean of samples of
100 from that distribution. Find the probability that the mean of a sample of 25 from the
distribution will be negative.
10-b. A random samples of sizes n=100 is taken from a binomial distribution with
parameter p= 0.5 and n=40. Find, using central limit theorem, the approximate probability
that

is greater than 20.5; less than 19.3; and hence (iii) between 19.3 and 20.5.

11-a. Two random samples of size

n1

= 40 and

n2

= 45 are drawn from a binomial

population with p = 0.60. What is the probability that -0.15 <

^
p1 -

^
p2 < +.15?

11-b. A candidate for mayor in a large city believes that he appeals to at least 10% more
of the women voters than the men voters. He hires the services of poll taking organization,
and they find that 62 out of 100 woman interviewed support the candidate, and 69 0f 150
men support him. At the 0.05 significance level, test the candidates belief.
11-c Also construct 99% confidence interval for the difference in proportions.
12-a Let X1,X2, , Xn be a random sample from a normal population with parameters
and 2, find MLE for:
(i) , when population variance 2 is known, (ii) 2, when population mean is known, (iii)
and 2 simultaneously.
12-b Outline six step procedure testing the hypothesis about mean of a non normal
population when sample size is large.
13-a. In a certain experiment to compare two type of sheep food A and B, the following
results of increase in weights were observed.
Sheep no. 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Food A
49
53
51
52
47
50
52
53
Food B
52
55
52
53
50
54
54
53
(i) Assuming that the two samples of sheep are independent, can we conclude that food B
is better than food A.
(ii) Examine the conclusion in (i) when the same set of eight sheep were used in both the
foods.
13-b. Construct 90% confidence interval when two samples are independent and when
the same set of eight sheep were used in both the foods in question 13-a.

14-a A random sample of 28 pairs from a bivariate normal population showed a

correlation coefficient of 0.7. Is this value consistent with assumption that the correlation
coefficient in the population is 0.5?
14-b Using the data of question14-a, construct a 95% confidence intervals for population
correlation coefficient in the
15-a The marks in statistics(y) are expressed as a function of marks in mathematics(X 1)
economics(X2) and intelligence tests(X3). For a random samples of 60 students, the
multiple correlation coefficient Ry.123 was found to be 0.582. Test the hypothesis that the
multiple correlation coefficient in the population is zero. Let =0.05.
15-b In a linear regression problem, the following sums are computed from a random
sample of 8 observations.
X= 10.8, Y=240, X2 =18.36, XY= 385.5, and Y2=8500.
Test the hypothesis that the population regression coefficient, is greater than 18. Let
=0.05.
16-a Using the data of question15-b construct a 95% confidence intervals for the mean
value y.x When X0=3.0 and for individual predicted value

Y^0

when X0=4.0.

16-b Tor the mean value found in 16-a for the data of question 15-b, test the hypothesis
that the population mean value y.x=60 against the alternative y.x 60.
17-a Using the data of question15-b construct a 95% confidence intervals of intercept
coefficient of population regression , and test the hypothesis that the is greater than
10.
17-b Using the data of question15-b construct a 95% confidence intervals of intercept
coefficient of population regression , and test the hypothesis that the is greater than
10.
18-a Find the least value of r in the sample of 18 pairs from a bivariate normal population
that is significant at 5% level of significance i.e. t 0.025,(16) =2.12.
18-b How many pairs of observations must be included in the sample in order that an
observed correlation coefficient of value 0.47 shall have a calculated value of t>2.12?
19-a A researcher wishes to estimate the mean of a population using sample sufficiently
large that the probability will be 95% that the sample mean will not differ from the true
mean by more than 25% of the S.D. How large a sample be taken if the sampling is done
(i) with replacement (ii) without replacement?

19-b In a random sample of 75 axle shafts, 12 have rough

surface than allowed. How large sample be taken if we
want to be 95% that the error in using

^p

to estimate p is

less than 0.05?

20-a Perform the analysis of variance on the following
data, test the significance between treatment and between
blocks.

Treatment
s
Blocks
1
2
3
4

1
1
3
2

3
4
6
3

6
4
7
2

20-b Perform the analysis of variance and test significance between treatment on the
data in 20-a considering blocks as replicates.