Professional Documents
Culture Documents
每日交投策略
MARKET DATELINE
2010 年 5 月 24 日
市场技术解读
强力支撑转为阻力线(support-turn-resistance level)位于 1,300 点…
本地股市的交投指引∶
♦ 整体交投情绪也维持看淡,即使大部分区域指数于午盘稍微复苏。这是因为有报道指出美国参议院于周四晚间已通过金融改
革法案,而欧元也同样回弹。
♦ 惟在欧洲市场持续走低下,本地股市于上周五的卖压也同样维持强劲。
技术解读∶
♦ 诚 如 所 料 , 富 时 综 指 在 开 盘 后 便 在 1,300 点 主 要 心 理 大 关 以 下 向 下 跳 空 开 低 , 更 一 度 下 探 至 1,280.63 点 低 点
(-23.53 点),然后才稍微回弹,以另一根利淡阴烛挂收。
Page 1 of 6
2010 年 5 月 24 日
每日交投策略∶
♦ 虽然如此,从道指于上周五所创下三位数涨势看来,它料将会在趁低吸购活动下于今日稍微回弹。
♦ 不过,我们仍旧保持看淡整体的大市走向,鉴于我们相信,即使出现任何反弹也好,这料将不会持久,而它将会面对 1,300
点强力支撑转为阻力线(support-turn-resistance level)的阻力。
♦ 随着市场已步入回档格局,我们预计投资者料将会趁机“逢高卖出”。
表 1 ∶每日统计 表 2∶主要海外指数及原产品
5月 5月 5月 5月 5月 变动 变动
收盘
股市摘要 17 日 18 日 19 日 20 日 21 日 本地主要指数 (点) (%)
上升股 富时大马综合指数 1,285.73 -18.43 -1.4
187 336 135 250 145
下跌股 富时大马 100 指数 8,407.18 -124.10 -1.5
557 295 689 449 678
平盘 富时大马创业板 3,836.73 -89.38 -2.3
194 287 175 274 169
无交易 各大海外指数
439 460 379 405 384
道琼斯工商指数 10,193.39 125.38 1.2
市场资本 纳斯达克指数 2,229.04 25.03 1.1
总成交量 标准与普尔 500 1,087.69 16.10 1.5
(百万股) 633 691 782 765 886 伦敦金融时报指数 5,062.93 -10.20 -0.2
总成交值 恒生指数 19,545.83 休市 休市
(百万令吉) 1,009 1,144 1,403 1,415 1,764 雅加达综合指数 2,623.22 -71.03 -2.6
东京日经 225 指数 9,784.54 -245.77 -2.5
外汇 首尔综合指数 1,600.18 休市 休市
令吉兑美元 3.2265 3.2100 3.2510 3.2720 3.3180 上海综合指数 2,583.52 27.58 1.1
曼谷综合指数 765.54 休市 休市
资料来源∶RHBInvest &彭博社( Bloomberg) 富时新加坡海峡时报指
数 2,701.20 -52.31 -1.9
台湾加权指数 7,237.71 -186.72 -2.5
印度 Sensex 指数 16,445.61 -74.07 -0.4
主要原产品
纽约商品交易所
(NYMEX)原油期货
(每桶/美元) 70.04 -0.76 -1.1
MDEX 原棕油 – 第 3
个月 (每公吨/令吉) 2,491.00 15.00 0.6
美国利率 目前 最新
10 年 4 月
隔夜联邦基金利率 0-0.25% 无变动
27 日-28 日
下个联邦公开市场操作
2010 年 6 月 22 日-23 日
委员会(FOMC)会议
Page 2 of 6
2010 年 5 月 24 日
图 3∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)(日线图) 图 4∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)(单日线图)
技术解读∶
♦ 鉴于隔夜美国股市的狂跌引发了全面性的惊慌抛售,这导致吉隆坡期货市场在周五的延伸性调整局势下宣告失守 1,300 点心
理关卡。
♦ 在图表上,它划出一根潜在的“启明星型态”(morning star),反映出今日有望出现一轮技术反弹。
♦ 加上短期动力解读也持续受到压抑,我们认为,当前的利淡交投情绪极难出现转折点。
每日交投策略∶
表 3∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)收盘
FKLI (月份) 变动
合约 开盘 最高 最低 收盘 (点) 结算 成交量 未平仓宗数
10 年 5 月 1282.00 1292.50 1277.00 1286.50 -17.00 1286.50 12256 20866
10 年 6 月 1287.00 1291.00 1276.00 1284.00 -18.50 1284.00 2155 2061
10 年 9 月 1284.00 1290.00 1275.50 1283.00 -21.00 1282.00 190 322
10 年 12 月 1286.00 1290.00 1277.00 1285.00 -19.50 1285.00 85 214
Page 3 of 6
2010 年 5 月 24 日
图 5∶美国道琼斯工商指数(DJIA)(日线图) 图 6∶美国纳斯达克指数(Nasdaq)(日线图)
美国股市的交投指引∶
♦ 此外,有关德国国会已通过该国对希腊和其它负债欧元区成员国的财务援助的消息,也缓和了市场对欧债问题的忧虑。
♦ 不过,有关涉足成立一个消费者保护机构和限制银行从事自营交易(proprietary trading)的金融改革法案,必须和众议
院在 12 月所批准的措施进行协调,以让奥巴马总统能够在 7 月 4 日前签署立法。
技术解读∶
♦ 随着它在 4 个交易日来首次形成一根阳烛,加上随机指标也稍微发出一个新“买入”讯号,因此若买盘活动能够在今日延续
的话,那么该指数将有望扩大反弹走势。
Page 4 of 6
2010 年 5 月 24 日
每日技术焦点∶
图 7∶ 海鸥企业( HaiO)(日线图) 图 8∶ 海鸥企业(单日线图)
来周的卖压动力持续…
♦ 随后,该股便一直沿着上升趋势线和 10 日与 40 日移动平均线以上往上攀高。
技术解读∶
Page 5 of 6
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES
This report has been prepared by RHB Research Institute Sdn Bhd (RHBRI) and is for private circulation only to clients of RHBRI and RHB Investment Bank Berhad
(previously known as RHB Sakura Merchant Bankers Berhad). It is for distribution only under such circumstances as may be permitted by applicable law. The
opinions and information contained herein are based on generally available data believed to be reliable and are subject to change without notice, and may differ or
be contrary to opinions expressed by other business units within the RHB Group as a result of using different assumptions and criteria. This report is not to be
construed as an offer, invitation or solicitation to buy or sell the securities covered herein. RHBRI does not warrant the accuracy of anything stated herein in any
manner whatsoever and no reliance upon such statement by anyone shall give rise to any claim whatsoever against RHBRI. RHBRI and/or its associated persons
may from time to time have an interest in the securities mentioned by this report.
This report does not provide individually tailored investment advice. It has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives
of persons who receive it. The securities discussed in this report may not be suitable for all investors. RHBRI recommends that investors independently evaluate
particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. The appropriateness of a particular investment or
strategy will depend on an investor’s individual circumstances and objectives. Neither RHBRI, RHB Group nor any of its affiliates, employees or agents accepts
any liability for any loss or damage arising out of the use of all or any part of this report.
RHBRI and the Connected Persons (the “RHB Group”) are engaged in securities trading, securities brokerage, banking and financing activities as well as providing
investment banking and financial advisory services. In the ordinary course of its trading, brokerage, banking and financing activities, any member of the RHB
Group may at any time hold positions, and may trade or otherwise effect transactions, for its own account or the accounts of customers, in debt or equity
securities or loans of any company that may be involved in this transaction.
“Connected Persons” means any holding company of RHBRI, the subsidiaries and subsidiary undertaking of such a holding company and the respective directors,
officers, employees and agents of each of them. Investors should assume that the “Connected Persons” are seeking or will seek investment banking or other
services from the companies in which the securities have been discussed/covered by RHBRI in this report or in RHBRI’s previous reports.
This report has been prepared by the research personnel of RHBRI. Facts and views presented in this report have not been reviewed by, and may not reflect
information known to, professionals in other business areas of the “Connected Persons,” including investment banking personnel.
The research analysts, economists or research associates principally responsible for the preparation of this research report have received compensation based
upon various factors, including quality of research, investor client feedback, stock picking, competitive factors and firm revenues.
Technical Recommendation:
Trading Buy = Short-term positive opportunity spotted. It is an aggressive trading recommendation with a book to sellers’ price for short-term technical upside.
Bargain Buy = Short-term positive but technical signals have yet to trigger a rally. Traders can park and queue for their desired entry level within a small range.
Buy on Weakness = Short- to Medium-term positiveness anticipated, but technical readings are still negative. Traders can pick-up the stock for future rally.
Sell on Strength = Short-term momentum still positive, Traders are advice to lock in profit base on current strength.
Take Profit = Short-term target achieved. Traders are advice to exit before the technical readings turn bearish.
Avoid = Risky situation in the short-term and high volatility expected on the share price. Traders’ best strategy is staying away until it stabilises.
Technical recommendations are generally short-term in nature and may differ from RHBRI’s equity fundamental view and recommendation on the same company.
RHBRI is a participant of the CMDF-Bursa Research Scheme and will receive compensation for the participation. Additional information on recommended
securities, subject to the duties of confidentiality, will be made available upon request.
This report may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, without the written permission of RHBRI and RHBRI accepts no liability whatsoever for the
actions of third parties in this respect.
Page 6 of 6