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CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL

Before the Conventions: Insights into Trump and Clinton Voters


July 8-12, 2016
Q4. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and
Donald Trump, the Republican, and Gary Johnson, the Libertarian would you vote for Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump or
Gary Johnson?

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Other (Vol.)
Won't vote (Vol.)
Depends (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer

*** REGISTERED VOTERS ***


Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
40
7
81
28
40
79
7
40
4
3
2
7
7
6
4
12
1
1
1
1
7
3
6
11

Jun16b
%
43
37
5
6
1
8

Q12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

Approve
Disapprove
Don't know/No answer

** TOTAL RESPONDENTS **
53
17
83
51
41
79
15
41
5
4
2
8

Mar16d
53
41
6

Q13. Do you feel things in this country are generally going in the right direction or do you feel things have pretty
seriously gotten off on the wrong track?
Right direction
Wrong track
Don't know/No answer

26
69
5

7
90
3

44
49
6

23
71
6

33
63
4

Q14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling foreign policy?
Approve
Disapprove
Don't know/No answer

42
49
9

10
82
8

74
20
6

37
52
12

45
45
11

Q15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy?
Approve
Disapprove
Don't know/No answer

50
45
5

19
79
3

81
16
3

45
48
7

49
44
7

Q16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job?

Approve
Disapprove
Don't know/No answer

** TOTAL RESPONDENTS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
15
12
18
14
79
80
78
79
7
8
4
7

May16a
%
14
77
9

Q17. How would you rate the condition of the national economy these days? Is it very good, fairly good, fairly bad, or
very bad?

Very good
Fairly good
Fairly bad
Very bad
Don't know/No answer

4
45
32
18
1

2
30
41
26
1

5
64
18
12
1

3
40
36
18
2

Jun16b
5
46
26
21
2

Q18. Do you think the economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
Better
Worse
Same
Don't know/No answer

24
30
45
1

8
43
49
*

35
17
45
3

23
32
44
1

25
28
46
1

Q30. Which comes closest to your feelings about the way things are going in Washington enthusiastic, satisfied but not
enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not angry, or angry?

Enthusiastic
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
Dissatisfied but not angry
Angry
Don't know/No answer

*** REGISTERED VOTERS ***


2
*
3
3
13
7
20
10
51
51
55
47
33
39
22
37
2
2
1
3

May16a
2
16
51
28
2

Q31. Do you think the future of the next generation of Americans will be better, worse, or about the same as life today?

Better
Worse
Same
Don't know/No answer

23
48
25
4

16
57
21
6

30
37
31
2

22
51
23
5

Nov14c
25
43
27
5

Q32. Globalization is the increase of trade, communication, travel and other things among countries around the world.
In general, has the United States gained more or lost more because of globalization?

Gained
Lost
Both equal (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer

*** REGISTERED VOTERS ***


Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
35
22
50
32
55
69
42
57
2
2
1
3
8
7
7
8

Feb07b
%
36
50
1
13

Q33. Overall, would you say U.S. trade with other countries creates more jobs for the U.S., loses more jobs for the U.S.,
or does U.S. trade with other countries have no effect on U.S. jobs?

Creates jobs
Loses jobs
No effect
Don't know/No answer

19
60
14
7

16
70
10
5

24
53
18
5

18
60
13
9

Feb96a
39
42
10
10

Q34. Do you feel Americas values are generally changing in a way you agree with, changing in a way you disagree with,
or not changing much either way?

Changing in a way you agree with


Changing in a way you disagree with
Not changing much either way
Don't know/No answer

15
61
22
2

5
78
16
1

27
44
26
3

13
63
22
2

Jan16a*
17
57
22
4

*wording chg: Americans culture and values

Q35. Which comes closer to your view? In today's economy, everyone has a fair chance to get ahead in the long run or in
today's economy, it's mainly just a few people at the top who have a chance to get ahead?
Anyone can get ahead
Just a few people at top get ahead
Don't know/No answer

38
58
4

50
47
4

26
70
3

40
56
4

43
54
3

Q36. When it comes to the availability of good jobs for American workers, some say that America's best years are behind
us. Others say the best times are yet to come. What do you think?

Best behind
Yet to come
Don't know/No answer

47
47
6

52
41
7

42
54
4

47
46
7

May15c
46
48
6

Q37. Which of these statements best describes your opinion about the United States today? 1. The U.S. is the greatest
country in the world, OR 2. The U.S. is ONE OF the greatest countries in the world, OR 3. The U.S. is NOT one of the
greatest countries in the world.

US is greatest country
US is one of greatest countries
US is not one of greatest countries
Don't know/No answer

*** REGISTERED VOTERS ***


Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
45
59
37
42
48
38
55
49
6
4
7
7
1
*
1
2

Q42. Which comes closest to your view about ILLEGAL immigrants who are living in the U.S.? 1. They should be allowed
to stay in the U.S and eventually apply for citizenship, 2. They should be allowed to stay in the U.S. legally, but not be
allowed to apply for citizenship or 3. They should be required to leave the U.S.

Stay & apply for citizenship


Stay but not apply
Required to leave the U.S.
Don't know/No answer

60
12
24
4

41
13
40
5

80
8
10
2

56
15
24
5

Jan16a
52
14
30
4

Q43. Do you think ILLEGAL immigrants coming to this country today take jobs away from American citizens, or do they
mostly take jobs Americans don't want?

Take jobs away


Take jobs Americans don't want
Both
Don't know/No answer

30
61
5
4

36
52
6
6

20
74
3
3

33
57
6
4

Jul15e
29
62
5
4

Q44. Would you favor or oppose building a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border to try to stop illegal immigration?

Favor
Oppose
Don't know/No answer

39
57
4

68
27
5

15
83
2

39
56
5

Jan16a
47
48
5

Q45. Do you think the U.S. should temporarily ban Muslims from other countries from entering the United States, or
not?

Should ban
Should not ban
Don't know/No answer

35
59
6

56
38
6

15
80
5

38
57
6

Jun16d
32
61
7

Q46. In recent years, do you think too much has been made of the problems facing racial minorities, too little has been
made, or is it about right?

Too much
Too little
About right
Don't know/No answer

*** REGISTERED VOTERS ***


Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
32
49
15
35
32
16
48
29
32
29
34
31
5
6
3
6

Q47. Some experts predict that within the next 30 years, non-white Americans will make up the majority of the
population in this country. Do you think this will be a good thing for the country, a bad thing, or wont it make much
difference?
Good thing
Bad thing
No difference

14
16
65

6
26
6

25
9
3

11
16
4

Q48. How would you say things are going for the U.S. in its fight against the militant group ISIS? Would you say things
are going very well, somewhat well, somewhat badly, or very badly?

Very well
Somewhat well
Somewhat badly
Very badly
Don't know/No answer

2
26
30
36
5

*
16
31
48
4

4
39
31
21
5

Jan16a
2
24
32
37
5

3
23
28
40
6

Q66. When you think about your own personal finances over the next few months, do you feel very confident,
somewhat confident, somewhat uneasy, or very uneasy?

Very confident
Somewhat confident
Somewhat uneasy
Very uneasy
Don't know/No answer

24
36
26
13
1

23
33
28
16
1

24
41
25
9
1

May15c
23
34
27
15
1

24
35
25
14
1

Unweighted
1,600

Weighted

Total Respondents
Total Registered Voters

1,358

1,250

393
441
524

342
418
490

Republican Registered Voters


Democratic Registered Voters
Independent Registered Voters