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HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

July 2016

Study #16495 -- page 1


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Interviews: 1000 Registered Voters, including 450 respondents with a cell phone only and
44 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline.
Study #16495
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Date: July 9-13, 2016


47 Male
53 Female

Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.
The margin of error for 1000 interviews among Registered Voters is 3.10%
Unless otherwise noted by a +, ^, or ^^ all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults.
Q2a

For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are?
(IF REFUSED, ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) +
18-24 ................................................................
10
25-29 ................................................................
9
30-34 ................................................................
10
35-39 ................................................................
8
40-44 ................................................................
8
45-49 ................................................................
6
50-54 ................................................................
9
55-59 ................................................................
11
60-64 ................................................................
11
65-69 ................................................................
6
70-74 ................................................................
5
75 and over ..........................................................
7
Not sure/refused .................................................
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered
voters.

Q2b

To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic
or Spanish-speaking background? +
Yes, Hispanic ...................................................
10
No, not Hispanic ...............................................
90
Not sure/refused .............................................
-

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered


voters.

Q2c

And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? +
White ..............................................................75
Black ..............................................................12
Asian .............................................................. 2
Other .............................................................. 4
Hispanic (VOL) ............................................. 4
Not sure/refused ........................................... 3
White, Non-Hispanic.......................................70

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered


voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016
Q3

Study #16495 -- page 2


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Are you currently registered to vote [LANDLINE: at this address; CELL: in (STATE)]? +
Registered ........................................
100
Not registered ................................ Not sure ..........................................-

+ Results shown reflect responses among


registered voters.

Q4A

All in all, do you think that things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel that
1
things are off on the wrong track?

7/16+
Headed in the right direction ...... 18
Off on the wrong track ................ 73
Mixed (VOL) ............................. 6
Not sure ................................
3

6/16+
21
71
5
3

4/16+
24
70
4
2

1/16+
29
63
5
3

12/15
20
70
6
4

10/2529/15
27
64
5
4

10/1518/15
25
64
7
4

High
9/15
30
62
5
3

7/15
28
65
4
3

9/01
72
11
11
6

Low
10/1720/08+
12
78
7
3

10/812/14
+
25
65
6
4

9/14+
23
67
6
4

8/14
22
71
5
2

6/14
25
63
7
5

6/15
31
61
4
4

4/15
28
62
6
4

3/15
32
60
5
3

1/15
31
59
5
5

12/14
27
64
6
3

11/14
25
65
6
4

10/3011/1/1
4+
27
63
6
4

4/14
27
63
6
4

3/14
26
65
5
4

1/14
28
63
5
4

12/13
29
64
5
2

10/2528/13
22
70
4
4

10/7-9/13
14
78
4
4

9/13
30
62
5
3

7/13
29
61
6
4

6/13
32
59
6
3

4/13
31
61
5
3

2/13
32
59
6
3

1/13
35
57
4
4

12/12
41
53
3
3

10/12+
41
53
4
2

9/2630/12+
40
53
5
2

9/1216/12+
39
55
4
2

8/12+
32
61
4
3

7/12+
32
60
5
3

6/12
31
61
5
3

5/12
33
58
5
4

4/12
33
59
6
2

3/12
33
58
5
4

1/12
30
61
5
4

12/11
22
69
6
3

11/11
19
73
5
3

10/11
17
74
5
4

8/11
19
73
5
3

7/11
25
67
5
3

6/11
29
62
6
3

5/11
36
50
10
4

4/11
28
63
6
3

1/11
35
56
5
4

12/10
28
63
6
3

11/10
32
58
6
4

10/2830/10+
31
60
5
4

10/1418/10+
32
59
6
3

9/10
32
59
5
4

8/2630/10
30
61
6
3

8/59/10
32
58
6
4

6/10
29
62
5
4

5/611/10
34
56
6
4

3/10
33
59
5
3

1/23 25/10
32
58
7
3

1/1014/10
34
54
10
2

12/09
33
55
10
2

10/09
36
52
9
3

9/09
39
48
10
3

7/09
39
49
9
3

6/09
42
46
9
3

4/09
43
43
10
4

2/09
41
44
9
6

1/09
26
59
9
6

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.


1
The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016
Q4B

Study #16495 -- page 3


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

7/16+
Approve ................. 51
Disapprove ............. 46
Not sure ............... 3

6/16+
51
45
4

5/16+
51
46
3

4/16+
49
48
3

3/16+
49
46
5

2/16+
49
47
4

1/16+
47
49
4

12/15
43
51
6

High
4/09
61
30
9

Low
9/14+
40
54
6

10/2529/15
45
49
6

11/14
44
50
6

10/1518/15
46
49
5

9/15
47
47
6

7/15
45
50
5

6/15
48
48
4

4/15
48
47
5

3/15
46
50
4

1/15
46
48
6

12/14
45
50
5

10/3011/1/14+
42
52
6

10/812/14+
42
52
6

9/14+
40
54
6

8/14
40
54
6

6/14
41
53
6

4/14
44
50
6

3/14
41
54
5

1/14
43
51
6

12/13
43
54
3

10/2528/13
42
51
7

10/79/13
47
48
5

9/13
45
50
5

8/13
44
48
8

7/13
45
50
5

6/13
48
47
5

4/13
47
48
5

2/13
50
45
5

1/13
52
44
4

12/12
53
43
4

10/12+
49
48
3

9/2630/12+
49
48
3

9/1216/12+
50
48
2

8/12+
48
49
3

7/12+
49
48
3

6/12
47
48
5

5/12
48
46
6

4/12
49
46
5

3/12
50
45
5

1/12
48
46
6

12/11
46
48
6

11/11
44
51
5

10/11
44
51
5

8/11
44
51
5

7/11
47
48
5

6/11
49
46
5

5/11
52
41
7

4/11
49
45
6

2/11
48
46
6

1/11
53
41
6

12/10
45
48
7

11/10
47
47
6

10/2830/10+
45
50
5

10/1418/10+
47
49
4

9/10
46
49
5

8/2630/10
45
49
6

8/59/10
47
48
5

6/10
45
48
7

5/2023/10
48
45
7

5/611/10
50
44
6

3/10
48
47
5

1/2325/10
50
44
6

1/1014/10
48
43
9

12/09
47
46
7

10/09
51
42
7

9/09
51
41
8

8/09
51
40
9

7/09
53
40
7

6/09
56
34
10

4/09
61
30
9

2/09
60
26
14

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016
Q4B

Study #16495 -- page 4


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, groups and organizations, and I'd like you to
rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very
negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE EXCEPT BARACK OBAMA)

Barack Obama
July 2016+.....................................
June 2016+ ...................................
May 2016+ ....................................
April 2016+ ....................................
March 2016+ .................................
February 2016+.............................
January 2016+ ..............................
December 2015.............................
October 25-29, 2015 .....................
October 15-18, 2015 .....................
September 2015............................
July 2015.......................................
June 2015 .....................................
April 2015 ......................................
March 2015 ...................................
January 2015 ................................
December 2014.............................
November 2014.............................
Oct. 30 Nov. 1, 2014+ ................
October 8-12, 2014+ .....................
August 2014 ..................................
June 2014 .....................................
April 2014 ......................................
March 2014 ...................................
January 2014 ................................
December 2013.............................
October 7-9, 2013 .........................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ....................
April 2013 ......................................
January 2013 ................................
December 2012.............................
October 2012+ ..............................
September 26-30, 2012+ ..............
August 2012+ ................................
June 2012 .....................................
January 2012 ................................
August 2011 ..................................
April 2011 ......................................
January 2011 ................................
November 2010.............................
October 28-30, 2010+ ...................
June 2010 .....................................
May 20-23, 2010 ...........................
March 2010 ...................................
January 23-25, 2010 .....................
December 2009.............................
October 2009 ................................
February 2009 ...............................
January 2009 ................................
High
February 2009 ...............................
Presidential Term Low
August 2014 ..................................
All-time Obama Low
October 28-30, 2006+ ...................
1

Neutral

Somewhat
Negative

Very
Negative

Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure

17
18
17
18
19
18
20
21
17
17
18
20
20
21
20
21
21
21
20
22
18
21
20
20
19
20
21
19
17
21
16
15
15
17
19
22
20
22
23
21
18
20
19
19
23
21
20
21
23

9
11
10
13
10
11
11
9
12
12
14
13
13
13
12
13
10
11
12
11
13
13
15
15
13
11
11
13
10
11
9
8
6
8
14
10
12
14
15
12
12
13
15
11
14
13
11
12
17

14
11
10
14
12
11
12
14
12
13
11
14
14
13
14
12
13
11
13
12
14
14
13
14
14
13
11
12
15
11
14
12
11
13
11
14
14
13
14
13
15
15
14
14
14
15
12
9
8

27
30
31
27
31
30
30
32
31
31
29
29
27
27
29
29
31
32
32
34
33
31
28
30
30
33
30
28
27
26
24
31
31
30
27
25
30
23
18
26
27
25
24
24
20
22
21
10
6

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
3

47

21

12

10

22

18

13

14

33

14

17

18

40

Very
Positive

Somewhat
Positive

33
30
32
28
28
30
27
23
27
27
28
24
25
26
24
24
24
24
23
21
22
20
24
21
23
22
26
28
30
31
37
34
37
31
29
28
24
28
29
28
29
27
28
31
29
29
36
47
43

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.


1
The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016
Q5 (cont'd)
Hillary Clinton
July 2016+ ......................................
June 2016+ ....................................
May 2016+ .....................................
April 2016+ .....................................
March 2016+ ..................................
February 2016+ ..............................
January 2016+ ...............................
December 2015 ..............................
October 25-29, 2015 ......................
October 15-18, 2015 ......................
September 2015 .............................
July 2015 ........................................
June 2015 ......................................
April 2015 .......................................
March 2015 ....................................
January 2015 .................................
November 2014 ..............................
September 2014+...........................
June 2014 ......................................
April 2014 .......................................
March 2014 ....................................
September 2013 .............................
May 30-June 2, 2013......................
April 2013 .......................................
January 2013 .................................
December 2012 ..............................
November 2011 ..............................
May 2011 .......................................
April 2011 .......................................
December 2010 ..............................
January 10-14, 2010 .....................
July 2009 ........................................
February 2009 ................................
January 2009 .................................
December 2008 ..............................
September 2008+...........................
August 2008+ .................................
June 2008+ ....................................
April 2008+ .....................................
March 24-25, 2008+ .......................
March 7-10, 2008+ .........................
January 2008 .................................
June 2007 ......................................
March 2007 ....................................
December 2006 ..............................
April 2006 .......................................
December 2004 ..............................
July 2003 ........................................
March 2001 ....................................
January 2001 .................................
High
February 2009 ................................
Low
April 2016+ .....................................
1

Study #16495 -- page 5


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Neutral

Somewhat
Negative

Very
Negative

Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure

16
18
18
19
20
20
24
21
23
20
25
22
23
23
23
25
19
22
21
25
21
25
20
24
22
24
22
29
27
28
27
27
27
29
26
24
25
28
22
20
23
23
24
23
22
19
21
21
19
22

10
12
12
12
11
13
11
15
12
12
13
14
15
14
19
17
16
16
18
19
20
17
18
14
19
14
22
23
21
18
22
15
18
14
20
15
16
14
14
15
11
11
15
17
17
19
14
20
15
13

13
12
13
14
12
11
12
13
12
13
13
15
11
10
13
14
15
15
14
11
12
12
13
14
12
16
12
12
11
11
13
15
11
15
14
17
18
17
19
21
14
11
16
15
12
13
11
13
18
12

43
43
41
42
39
39
37
35
35
35
34
33
29
32
23
23
25
26
23
21
22
19
18
15
13
12
10
9
11
16
12
16
11
14
12
20
23
22
25
27
29
30
26
28
26
28
29
27
31
24

1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
3
1
2

32

27

18

11

11

13

19

12

14

42

Very
Positive

Somewhat
Positive

18
15
16
13
18
17
16
16
17
19
14
15
21
19
21
20
24
21
23
23
23
26
29
32
34
34
33
26
29
26
25
26
32
27
27
23
17
18
20
17
22
24
18
16
21
19
24
16
16
27

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.


1
The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016
Q5 (cont'd)
Donald Trump
July 2016+ ......................................
June 2016+ ....................................
May 2016+ .....................................
April 2016+ .....................................
March 2016+ ..................................
February 2016+ ..............................
January 2016+ ...............................
December 2015 ..............................
October 25-29, 2015 ......................
October 15-18, 2015 ......................
September 2015 .............................
July 2015 ........................................
February 2011 ................................
May 2004+ .....................................
December 1999 ..............................
October 1999 .................................
July 1990 ........................................
Bernie Sanders
July 2016+ ......................................
June 2016+ ....................................
May 2016+ .....................................
April 2016+ .....................................
March 2016+ ..................................
February 2016+ ..............................
January 2016+ ...............................
December 2015 ..............................
October 25-29, 2015 ......................
October 15-18, 2015 ......................
September 2015 .............................
July 2015 ........................................
June 2015 ......................................

Neutral

Somewhat
Negative

Very
Negative

Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure

17
17
16
13
13
17
15
15
17
17
17
16
17
17
12
11
11

13
11
12
10
11
12
12
13
17
17
16
16
40
38
28
25
28

11
12
14
12
10
10
11
12
14
14
14
13
18
14
24
23
25

49
48
44
53
54
49
47
47
42
39
44
43
11
15
25
32
24

1
1
1
1
1
1
2
5
7
7
6
9

23
24
23
24
23
22
20
18
19
22
17
14
8

20
20
18
16
18
17
20
19
22
19
23
20
22

14
14
15
14
13
12
12
13
9
11
9
10
6

18
20
21
22
23
23
19
18
19
16
13
9
7

3
3
3
3
3
6
11
14
16
16
23
37
49

Very
Positive

Somewhat
Positive

10
12
13
11
12
11
14
12
10
13
8
10
9
9
4
3
3
22
19
20
21
20
20
18
18
15
16
15
10
8

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Study #16495 -- page 6


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016

Study #16495 -- page 7


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q5 (cont'd)
The Democratic Party
July 2016+ ......................................
June 2016+ ....................................
May 2016+ .....................................
April 2016+ .....................................
February 2016+ ..............................
October 25-29, 2015 ......................
September 2015 .............................
July 2015 ........................................
April 2015 .......................................
January 2015..................................
December 2014 ..............................
November 2014 ..............................
Oct. 30 Nov. 1, 2014+ .................
October 8-12, 2014+ ......................
September 2014+ ...........................
June 2014.......................................
April 2014 .......................................
March 2014 ....................................
January 2014..................................
December 2013 ..............................
October 25-28, 2013 ......................
October 7-9, 2013 ..........................
September 2013 .............................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ......................
February 2013 ................................
January 2013..................................
December 2012 ..............................
October 2012+................................
September 26-30, 2012+................
August 2012+ .................................
July 2012+ ......................................
June 2012.......................................
May 2012........................................
March 2012 ....................................
January 2012..................................
November 2011 ..............................
October 2011..................................
August 2011 ...................................
June 2011.......................................
May 2011........................................
April 2011 .......................................
January 2011..................................
December 2010 ..............................
November 2010 ..............................
October 28-30, 2010+ ....................
October 14-18, 2010+ ....................
September 2010 .............................
August 26-30, 2010 ........................
August 5-9, 2010 ............................
May 20-23, 2010 ............................
May 6-11, 2010 ..............................
March 2010 ....................................
January 10-14, 2010 ......................
December 2009 ..............................
High
January 2000..................................
Low
July 2006 ........................................
1

Very
Positive

Somewhat
Positive

Neutral

Somewhat
Negative

Very
Negative

Don't
Know
Name/
Not Sure

15
12
11
10
16
15
16
13
12
9
12
12
12
12
11
13
13
14
10
10
15
14
13
14
18
17
21
21
21
19
17
14
17
15
15
15
12
11
13
15
12
15
9
14
16
14
15
11
11
15
11
9
11
10

24
25
27
28
24
26
25
25
26
26
25
26
24
25
25
25
23
21
27
26
22
25
27
25
23
27
23
21
21
23
23
23
22
23
23
25
25
22
25
26
26
24
28
26
23
24
22
25
22
26
26
28
27
25

19
19
20
20
21
18
23
22
24
24
22
20
19
20
22
21
24
25
22
19
21
18
22
22
22
17
19
17
17
16
20
25
19
24
23
22
19
21
21
22
22
25
20
18
17
16
20
19
22
18
19
19
20
19

19
18
19
19
17
17
16
18
17
18
17
20
20
20
20
18
19
18
20
20
18
20
20
19
17
19
16
17
17
17
17
18
21
18
21
18
20
19
19
18
18
19
18
18
19
19
20
19
18
18
18
19
18
19

22
25
22
22
21
22
19
20
19
20
22
21
23
23
22
22
18
20
20
24
22
20
18
18
19
19
19
23
22
23
23
19
19
18
18
19
22
25
20
17
21
16
23
23
23
26
22
24
26
22
24
24
23
26

1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
2
3
2
1
2
1
1
3
2
1
1
2
3
2
1
1
2
1
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
2
1
1
2
1
1
1

20

30

23

15

10

25

27

22

17

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.


1
The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016
Q5 (cont'd)
The Republican Party
July 2016+ ......................................
June 2016+ ....................................
May 2016+ .....................................
April 2016+ .....................................
February 2016+ ..............................
October 25-29, 2015 ......................
September 2015 .............................
July 2015 ........................................
April 2015 .......................................
January 2015..................................
December 2014 ..............................
November 2014 ..............................
Oct. 30 Nov. 1, 2014+ .................
October 8-12, 2014+ ......................
September 2014+ ...........................
June 2014.......................................
April 2014 .......................................
March 2014 ....................................
January 2014..................................
December 2013 ..............................
October 25-28, 2013 ......................
October 7-9, 2013 ..........................
September 2013 .............................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ......................
February 2013 ................................
December 2012 ..............................
October 2012+................................
September 26-30, 2012+................
August 2012+ .................................
July 2012+ ......................................
May 2012........................................
March 2012 ....................................
January 2012..................................
November 2011 ..............................
October 2011..................................
August 2011 ...................................
May 2011........................................
April 2011 .......................................
January 2011..................................
December 2010 ..............................
November 2010 ..............................
October 28-30, 2010+ ....................
October 14-18, 2010+ ....................
September 2010 .............................
August 5-9, 2010 ............................
June 2010.......................................
May 20-23, 2010 ............................
March 2010 ....................................
January 23-25, 2010 ......................
January 10-14, 2010 ......................
December 2009 ..............................
June 2009.......................................
April 2009 .......................................
February 2009 ................................
High
December 2001 ..............................
Low
October 25-28, 2013 ......................
1

Study #16495 -- page 8


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Neutral

Somewhat
Negative

Very
Negative

Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure

21
21
19
20
23
22
21
21
22
19
23
23
22
21
22
23
19
20
19
20
16
17
21
24
21
21
21
24
24
23
23
24
23
21
22
24
24
24
27
27
23
22
23
23
18
24
23
25
25
23
23
19
22
19

21
23
25
21
21
26
24
26
26
27
24
23
23
21
26
24
29
27
28
22
24
21
27
26
24
23
20
18
18
22
23
23
24
23
21
21
22
24
24
23
24
24
25
25
28
26
26
24
27
27
27
29
25
24

24
25
24
23
23
20
21
22
20
23
22
18
23
25
20
22
22
21
22
26
23
24
23
18
20
18
18
18
16
18
19
19
19
18
18
23
21
22
21
17
20
18
19
21
24
23
21
20
18
24
24
23
22
25

27
23
24
28
23
24
24
22
23
23
23
25
24
25
21
23
22
24
25
25
30
29
21
23
26
27
25
25
29
25
24
24
25
26
26
23
23
22
19
20
19
23
23
22
22
19
19
23
20
18
19
21
22
22

1
1
2
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
1
2
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
3
2
1
2
1
2
2
3
1
2
1
2
2
1
2
3
1
2
2
2
3

21

36

18

13

16

24

23

30

Very
Positive

Somewhat
Positive

6
7
5
7
10
7
8
7
8
6
7
9
7
6
9
6
6
7
5
6
6
7
7
8
8
9
15
14
12
11
9
8
8
9
11
8
8
7
7
11
11
12
8
8
6
6
10
6
7
7
5
6
7
7

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.


1
The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016
Q5 (cont'd)
The Black Lives Matter
Movement
July 2016+ .......................................
September 2015 ..............................

Chris Christie
July 2016+* ......................................
January 2016+ .................................
July 2015 .........................................
November 2014 ...............................
January 2014 ...................................
October 25-28, 2013 ........................
May 30-June 2, 2013 .......................
February 2013 .................................
August 2012+ ..................................
June 2011 ........................................

Mitt Romney
July 2016+* ......................................
March 2016+....................................
January 2015 ...................................
September 2014+ ............................
December 2012 ...............................
October 2012+ .................................
September 26-30, 2012+ .................
September 12-16, 2012+ .................
August 2012+ ..................................
July 2012+ .......................................
June 2012 ........................................
May 2012 .........................................
April 2012 ........................................
March 2012......................................
January 2012 ...................................
December 2011 ...............................
November 2011 ...............................
October 2011 ...................................
August 2011 ....................................
June 2011 ........................................
February 2011 .................................
December 9-13, 2010 ......................
September 2010 ..............................
March 2010......................................
July 2009 .........................................
April 2008+ .....................................
January 2008 ...................................
December 2007 ...............................
November 2007 ...............................
September 2007 ..............................
June 2007 ........................................
March 2007......................................
December 2006 ...............................
Elizabeth Warren
July 2016+* ......................................
March 2015......................................
November 2014 ...............................

Study #16495 -- page 9


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Neutral

Somewhat
Negative

Very
Negative

Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure

21
14

19
21

11
13

23
16

9
18

6
4
4
7
7
9
12
12
11
10

15
20
20
22
15
24
29
24
17
13

22
28
23
24
28
24
22
20
21
19

23
21
22
18
18
10
8
10
10
7

20
15
15
11
11
7
4
2
9
7

14
12
16
18
21
26
25
32
32
44

7
5
8
12
12
24
19
18
18
13
9
10
10
6
6
4
5
6
5
7
6
10
6
7
10
9
7
9
4
6
5
4
3

20
17
19
21
23
19
22
20
20
22
24
24
23
22
25
20
21
21
19
20
19
18
15
20
18
19
21
16
18
18
16
11
8

27
32
29
25
21
12
14
18
17
23
22
23
26
28
26
30
32
30
32
30
30
30
29
29
30
31
24
26
27
26
23
24
22

25
25
22
19
18
15
14
16
15
16
17
19
18
20
21
21
17
17
18
16
13
10
20
16
12
17
19
16
17
14
13
11
7

17
19
18
20
26
29
30
27
29
24
22
19
18
19
15
11
13
12
11
10
12
10
10
9
8
11
13
11
12
11
7
6
4

4
2
4
4
1
1
1
1
2
6
5
6
5
7
14
12
14
15
17
20
22
20
19
22
13
16
22
22
25
36
44
56

15
11
12

11
11
11

20
20
21

8
6
8

17
9
9

29
43
39

Very
Positive

Somewhat
Positive

17
18

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).


+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016
Q5 (cont'd)
George W. Bush
July 2016+* ......................................
February 2016+ ................................
January 2016+ .................................
March 2015 ......................................
September 2014+.............................
July 2013 ..........................................
April 2013 .........................................
June 2012 ........................................
August 2011 .....................................
May 2011 .........................................
October 28-30, 2010+ ......................
August 26-30, 2010+ ........................
June 2010 ........................................
January 2010 ...................................
April 2009 .........................................
January 2009 ...................................
December 2008 ................................
October 17-20, 2008+ ......................
October 4-5, 2008+ ..........................
September 19-22, 2008+ .................
September 6-8, 2008+ .....................
August 2008+ ...................................
July 2008+ ........................................
March 24-25, 2008+ .........................
March 7-10, 2008+ ...........................
January 2008 ...................................
June 2007 ........................................
January 2007 ...................................
June 2006 ........................................
January 2006 ...................................
July 2005 ..........................................
January 2005 ...................................
June 2004+ ......................................
January 2004 ...................................
July 2003 ..........................................
January 2003 ...................................
June 2002 ........................................
January 2002 ...................................
June 2001 ........................................
January 2001 ...................................
High
December 2001 ................................
Low
April 2009 .........................................
1

Study #16495 -- page 10


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Neutral

Somewhat
Negative

Very
Negative

Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure

20
23
23
23
23
25
21
23
20
24
20
22
22
20
17
18
20
18
18
17
18
19
18
17
18
18
20
18
21
17
20
19
15
17
21
20
27
26
23
25

21
20
19
25
24
22
21
18
20
22
16
22
21
18
15
11
10
11
12
11
12
11
10
12
10
10
11
12
9
12
10
9
8
8
9
12
11
10
16
18

20
17
20
16
16
14
16
19
20
16
17
15
19
17
16
17
16
15
13
13
14
15
16
13
12
17
15
17
15
13
15
15
14
13
14
16
10
7
15
13

20
25
23
23
22
25
28
26
24
24
34
32
31
34
41
41
43
45
45
46
41
40
42
41
43
40
42
35
37
33
28
25
30
24
17
16
9
4
15
17

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
2

54

26

17

15

16

41

Very
Positive

Somewhat
Positive

18
14
14
12
14
13
14
13
15
13
12
8
7
10
9
13
11
11
12
13
15
15
14
16
16
14
12
17
18
24
27
32
33
38
38
36
43
53
30
25

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).


sh + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
1
The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016
Q5 (cont'd)
Newt Gingrich
July 2016+** ...................................
March 2012 ....................................
January 2012..................................
December 2011 ..............................
June 2011.......................................
April 2011 ......................................
September 2010 ............................
December 2006 .............................
June 2006 ......................................
October 1998+ ...............................
September 1998 ............................
July 1998 .......................................
June 1998 ......................................
April 1998 ......................................
February 1998 ...............................
January 1998 .................................
December 1997 .............................
October 1997 .................................
September 1997 ............................
July 1997 .......................................
June 1997 ......................................
April 1997 ......................................
March 1997 ...................................
January 1997 .................................
December 1996 .............................
October 1996+ ...............................
September 1996+ ..........................
August 2-6, 1996+ .........................
June 1996+ ...................................
May 1996+ ....................................
March 1996 ...................................
January 1996 .................................
December 1995 .............................
October 1995 .................................
September 1995 ............................
July 1995 .......................................
June 1995 ......................................
April 21-25, 1995 ...........................
April 3-4, 1995 ...............................
March 1995 ...................................
January 1995 .................................
December 1994 .............................
October 1994 .................................
October 1990+ ...............................
High
April 21-25, 1995 ............................
Low
June 2011.......................................

Study #16495 -- page 11


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Neutral

Somewhat
Negative

Very
Negative

Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure

18
16
17
18
13
18
15
17
12
19
24
18
18
18
20
17
17
18
14
14
15
15
15
16
13
12
19
17
15
15
16
16
18
19
19
18
17
20
18
17
19
13
8
8

25
21
19
23
23
24
27
23
29
24
25
28
27
28
31
26
24
24
20
22
18
21
19
18
22
17
16
19
21
18
21
17
16
21
19
19
18
18
20
17
20
17
14
10

14
20
18
17
21
15
16
15
13
19
18
18
21
20
18
21
18
21
21
25
25
22
23
24
21
17
18
21
19
21
18
20
18
17
16
17
17
13
14
17
13
13
7
6

19
33
30
23
27
22
19
20
20
27
20
23
23
23
19
25
29
27
33
29
30
31
33
31
29
39
33
30
32
33
33
34
33
26
27
25
21
23
25
24
18
19
9
6

16
7
7
13
13
15
14
16
20
3
4
6
4
6
6
5
5
6
7
6
6
5
5
5
7
6
6
5
6
6
6
6
6
8
11
10
17
15
14
15
21
32
59
69

11

20

18

13

23

15

13

23

21

27

13

Very
Positive

Somewhat
Positive

8
3
9
6
3
6
9
9
6
8
9
7
7
5
6
6
7
4
5
4
6
6
5
6
8
9
8
8
7
7
6
7
9
9
8
11
10
11
9
10
9
6
3
1

** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).


+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016
Q5 (cont'd)
Paul Ryan
July 2016+** ...................................
June 2016+ ....................................
May 2016+ .....................................
April 2016+ .....................................
October 25-29, 2015 ......................
October 15-18, 2015 ......................
December 2012 ..............................
October 2012+................................
September 26-30, 2012+................
August 2012+ .................................
June 2011.......................................
Bill Clinton
July 2016+** ...................................
April 2016+ .....................................
February 2016+ ..............................
January 2016+................................
March 2015 ....................................
September 2014+ ...........................
March 2014 ....................................
September 2013 .............................
December 2012 ..............................
August 2012+ .................................
August 2011 ...................................
September 2010 .............................
January 2009..................................
December 2008 .............................
August 2008+ .................................
June 2008+ ....................................
March 24-25, 2008+ .......................
January 2008..................................
November 2007 ..............................
March 2007 ....................................
April 2006 .......................................
June 2004+ ....................................
January 2002..................................
June 2001.......................................
January 2001..................................
High
January 1993..................................
Low
March 2001 ....................................
1

The Federal Bureau of


Investigation or FBI
July 2016+** ...................................
June 2016+ ....................................
December 2014 ..............................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ......................
June 2006 ......................................
June 2002.......................................
July 1995 ........................................

Study #16495 -- page 12


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Neutral

Somewhat
Negative

Very
Negative

Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure

19
19
21
17
18
16
16
16
14
14
11

25
25
27
28
28
28
23
16
18
18
19

18
18
19
17
16
14
15
12
13
11
8

12
11
10
11
12
12
19
25
20
21
10

17
19
15
18
21
22
13
8
12
17
46

16
18
22
23
27
29
27
31
39
34
32
29
25
23
20
16
20
24
25
27
27
20
17
18
32

21
23
25
22
29
27
28
23
21
23
25
26
27
26
25
24
22
23
23
21
23
22
19
21
24

21
23
20
19
18
22
20
17
16
18
21
21
16
21
16
17
15
14
13
16
16
16
13
15
11

18
17
14
15
15
12
14
14
16
13
11
13
14
12
19
17
18
11
14
14
12
14
13
15
12

24
18
18
21
11
9
10
12
8
10
11
10
17
17
20
25
25
27
25
21
21
27
36
31
21

1
1
1
1
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
-

33

31

15

17

17

13

14

38

14
13
12
18
13
10
15

26
35
30
30
29
30
34

31
33
37
35
35
24
25

16
11
10
10
15
21
15

11
5
6
5
5
12
8

2
3
5
2
3
3
3

Very
Positive

Somewhat
Positive

9
8
8
9
5
8
14
23
23
19
6

** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).


+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016

Study #16495 -- page 13


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES BY D/S (POSITIVE NEGATIVE)


TOTAL
TOTAL
POSITIVE
NEGATIVE
Bernie Sanders ....................................................... 45
32
The Federal Bureau of Investigation or FBI ............ 40
27
Barack Obama ........................................................ 50
41
The Black Lives Matter Movement .......................... 38
34
Elizabeth Warren .................................................... 26
25
Paul Ryan ............................................................... 28
30
George W. Bush ..................................................... 38
40
The Democratic Party ............................................. 39
41
Bill Clinton ............................................................... 37
42
Newt Gingrich ......................................................... 26
33
Mitt Romney............................................................ 27
42
Chris Christie .......................................................... 21
43
Hillary Clinton .......................................................... 34
56
The Republican Party ............................................. 27
51
Donald Trump ......................................................... 27
60

D/S
13
13
9
4
1
-2
-2
-2
-5
-7
-15
-22
-22
-24
-33

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016

Study #16495 -- page 14


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Id like to ask you some questions about the November 2016 presidential election
Q6
Please tell me how interested you are in November's elections, using a scale from one to ten, on which a
"ten" means that you are very interested in November's elections and a "one" means that you are not at all
interested. You may choose any number from one to ten. (IF "NOT SURE," RECORD AS "DK.")
7/16+
10, very interested .......................
60
9 ..................................................
9
8 ..................................................
12
7 ..................................................
5
6 ..................................................
2
5 ..................................................
4
4 ..................................................
1
3 ..................................................
2
2 ..................................................
1
1, not at all interested ..................
3
Cannot rate................................
1

5/16+
60
9
11
6
3
6
1
2
2
-

2/16+
61
9
13
6
3
4
1
1
2
-

9/15+
56
8
13
9
3
5
1
1
1
2
1

4/15+
53
7
15
8
4
7
1
1
2
2
-

10/12+
69
8
9
4
2
5
1
2
-

9/2630/12+
65
8
10
5
3
5
1
1
2
-

9/1216/12+
64
8
12
6
2
4
1
1
1
1
-

8/12+
62
6
13
6
3
5
1
1
1
2
-

7/12+
62
6
11
7
4
5
1
1
3
-

6/12+
60
8
12
7
3
5
2
1
1
1
-

5/12+
62
7
12
6
4
5
1
1
1
1
-

4/12+
61
6
12
7
3
5
2
2
1
2
-

3/12+
48
11
14
9
5
6
2
1
1
2
1

1/12+
57
10
11
7
3
6
2
2
1
1
-

10/45/08+
72
7
10
4
1
3
1
2
-

9/1922/08+
70
8
9
5
2
3
1
1
1
-

9/68/08+
69
10
10
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
-

8/08+
65
8
11
5
2
3
1
1
1
3
-

7/08+
64
8
12
5
3
4
1
1
2
-

6/08+
67
7
11
5
2
4
1
1
2
-

4/08+
65
9
11
4
3
3
1
2
2
-

3/08+
67
8
10
5
2
3
1
1
2
1

1/08+
66
10
10
4
3
4
1
1
1
-

12/07+
65
8
12
5
2
4
1
1
2
-

10/04+
74
8
9
3
2
2
1
1
-

9/04+
71
7
9
5
2
4
1
1
-

8/04+
63
10
12
6
2
4
1
1
1
-

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

11/07+
62
9
11
6
3
5
1
1
2
-

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016
Q7

Study #16495 -- page 15


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now, putting aside for a moment the question of who each party's nominee might be, what is your
preference for the outcome of this years presidential electionthat a Democrat be elected president or that
a Republican be elected president? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) And do you strongly
prefer a (Democrat/Republican), or is your preference not that strong?
7/16+
Democrat
46
Strongly .......................
37
Not strongly .................
9
Republican
41
Not strongly .................
9
Strongly .......................
32
Other (VOL)...............
6
Not sure.....................
7

6/16+
45
35
10
42
10
32
6
7

5/16+
47
39
8
43
9
34
4
6

4/16+
46
36
10
45
9
36
4
5

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

8/08+
Democrat
46
Strongly ......................
36
Not strongly ................
10
Republican
37
Not strongly ................
13
Strongly ......................
24
Other (VOL) ..............
6
Not sure ....................
11

3/16+
46
37
9
42
7
35
4
8

2/16+
45
36
9
45
9
36
3
7

2008 Election Trend


3/77/08+ 6/08+ 10/08+ 11/07+
48
51
50
49
43
44
44
41
5
7
6
8
36
35
37
39
8
8
8
8
28
27
29
31
4
4
4
2
12
10
9
11

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

1/16+
46
33
13
43
10
33
5
6

9/07+
47
40
7
38
9
29
4
11

12/15+
44
34
10
44
12
32
5
7

6/07
52
42
10
31
8
23
5
12

4/07
49
39
10
31
6
25
6
14

10/2529/15+
43
33
10
44
9
35
6
7

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016
Q8

Study #16495 -- page 16


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

And, if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican
candidate, and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate for whom would you vote?
THIS NUMBER SHOULD BE REPORTED AS THE OFFICIAL NBC/WSJ POLL
PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT TEST
10/257/16+ 6/16+ 5/16+ 4/16+ 3/16+ 2/16+ 1/16+ 12/15+ 29/15+ 9/15+
Donald Trump ................... 41
41
43
39
38
40
41
40
42
39
Hillary Clinton .................... 46
46
46
50
51
50
51
50
50
49
Depends (VOL) .............. Neither (VOL) ................. 8
9
10
9
9
9
9
6
8
6
Other (VOL) ................... 1
2
Not sure ......................... 4
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
2
2

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

(ASKED IF NEITHER/OTHER ON Q8)


Q8A
While I know you prefer (neither candidate/a different candidate), if (ROTATE) Hillary Clinton and Donald
Trump were the ONLY candidates on the ballot and you had to make a choice today, for whom would you
vote?
7/16+
Among
Neither/Other Combined
on Q8
Q8-8A
Donald Trump .................................
27
44
Hillary Clinton..................................
32
49
Not sure ........................................
41
7

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

6/16+
Among
Neither/Other Combined
29
44
30
49
41
7

(ASK ALL)
Q9
And, if the next election for president were held today, with (ROTATE TOP TWO:) Donald Trump as the
Republican candidate, Hillary Clinton as the Democratic candidate, Gary Johnson the Libertarian candidate,
and Jill Stein the Green Party candidate for whom would you vote?
Donald Trump .................................
Hillary Clinton..................................
Gary Johnson .................................
Jill Stein ..........................................
Depends (VOL) ............................
None/Other (VOL) ........................
Not sure .......................................

7/16+
35
41
11
6
1
2
4

6/16+
38
39
10
6
3
4

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016

Study #16495 -- page 17


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

(ASKED OF DEMOCRATIC AND LEAN DEMOCRATIC REGISTERED VOTERS)


Q10
Are you satisfied that Hillary Clinton is the Democratic nominee, or would you have preferred that the
Democratic Party nominated someone else?
7/16+1
Satisfied that Clinton is the nominee..........
54
Would have preferred someone else...........
45
Not sure.....................................................
1

6/16+1
52
45
3

+1 Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say


they are Democratic or Lean Democratic

(ASKED OF REPUBLICAN AND LEAN REPUBLICAN REGISTERED VOTERS)


Q11
Are you satisfied that Donald Trump is the Republican nominee, or would you have preferred that the
Republican Party nominated someone else?
7/16+2
Satisfied that Trump is the nominee.............
38
Would have preferred someone else............
60
Not sure......................................................
2

6/16+2
45
52
3

+2 Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say


they are Republican or Lean Republican.

(ASKED OF REPUBLICAN AND LEAN REPUBLICAN REGISTERED VOTERS)


Q12
Many Republican elected officials and leaders have said they cannot support Donald Trump for president.
Overall, do you think it would be better for the Republican Party if these elected officials and leaders were to
(ROTATE) publicly endorse Trump or continue to oppose Trumps candidacy, or does it not make a
2
difference either way? +
Better for Party to publicly endorse .....................
Better for Party to continue to oppose .................
No difference either way .....................................
Not sure ............................................................

61
14
25
-

+2 Results shown reflect responses among registered voters


who say they are Republican or Lean Republican.

(ASKED OF DEMOCRATIC AND LEAN DEMOCRATIC REGISTERED VOTERS)


Q13
Regardless of how you feel today, during the Democratic nominating contest earlier this year would you
have described yourself as a supporter of (ROTATE:) Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders, or did you have
no strong preference between the two?
Supporter of Hillary Clinton ........................
Supporter of Bernie Sanders......................
No strong preference .................................
Both (VOL) ...............................................
Neither (VOL) ...........................................
Not sure ...................................................

7/16+1
39
38
22
1
-

6/16+1
34
40
25
1
-

+1 Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say


they are Democratic or Lean Democratic

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016
Q14

Study #16495 -- page 18


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

In thinking about the next president that well be electing, which of the following two statements comes
closer to your point of view? (IF "BOTH," ASK:) I understand that you feel that they are both important, but if
you had to choose the ONE statement that comes closer to your point of view, which would you choose?
Statement A: Someone who will bring major changes to the way government operates even if it is not
possible to predict what the changes may be
Statement B: Someone who will bring a steady approach to the way government operates even if it means
fewer changes to how things are now
Statement A/bring major changes.....................................
Statement B/bring a steady approach...............................
Neither (VOL) ..................................................................
Not sure ...........................................................................
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

7/16+
56
41
1
2

5/16+
53
43
2
2

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016

Study #16495 -- page 19


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Moving on
Q15
Now, which of the following best describes how you would feel if (READ ITEM) were elected president
(ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM/BOTTOM TO TOP) optimistic and confident that (he/she) would do a good job,
satisfied and hopeful that (he/she) would do a good job, uncertain and wondering whether (he/she) would do
a good job, or pessimistic and worried that (he/she) would do a bad job?
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY
OPTIMISTIC AND CONFIDENT OR SATISFIED AND HOPEFUL

Optimistic
And
Confident

Satisfied
And
Hopeful

Uncertain
And
Wondering

Pessimistic
And
Worried

Not
Sure

23
22
19
29
30
24
23

17
14
13
15
21
19
22

41
43
43
35
24
28
32

1
1
1
1
1
1

21
19
15

18
15
17

48
52
50

1
1

Optimistic
And
Confident

Satisfied
And
Hopeful

Uncertain
And
Wondering

Pessimistic
And
Worried

Not Sure

27
23
20
23

23
27
29
23

13
11
16
14

37
39
34
40

1
-

22
18
15
13

25
24
28
24

21
24
29
35

31
34
27
21

1
1
7

Optimistic
And
Confident

Satisfied
And
Hopeful

Uncertain
And
Wondering

Pessimistic
And
Worried

Not Sure

16

28

26

29

27

29

21

22

Hillary Clinton
July 2016+ ................................
18
February 2016+ ................................21
October 2015+ ................................ 24
June 2015+ ................................
20
August 2011+ ................................ 24
March 2008+ ................................ 28
1
April 2006+ ................................
22
Donald Trump
July 2016+ ................................
12
February 2016+ ................................14
October 2015+ ................................ 17

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.


1
In April 2006, the question read Which of the following best describes your feeling about how Hillary Clinton
would do as president

Barack Obama
October 2012+..........................
August 2012+ ...........................
April 2012+ ...............................
August 2011+ ...........................
Mitt Romney
October 2012+..........................
August 2012+ ...........................
April 2012+ ...............................
August 2011+ ...........................

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

John McCain
October 2008+ ..........................
Barack Obama
October 2008+ ..........................

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016
Q16

Study #16495 -- page 20


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Which candidate do you think has the right judgment to make a good president (ROTATE FIRST
TWO)...Only Hillary Clinton, only Donald Trump, both of them, or neither of them? +
Only Hillary Clinton ....................................
Only Donald Trump ....................................
Both of them...............................................
Neither of them ..........................................
Not sure ...................................................

37
25
5
32
1

2008 National Election Pool Exit Poll Trend

Which candidate do you think has the right judgment to make a


good president?...Only Barack Obama, only John McCain,
both of them, or neither of them?
Only Barack Obama ........................................................
43
Only John McCain ...........................................................
36
Both of them ....................................................................
13
Neither of them ................................................................
6
Dont know .....................................................................
2
Thinking about something else
Q17
When it comes to the [READ AND ROTATE ITEMS] and the 2016 general election, would you say that it is
very unified, fairly unified, just somewhat unified, or not unified?

Democratic Party
July 2016+ .................................
August 2008+ ...........................
June 2008+ ...............................
Republican Party
July 2016+ .................................
August 2008+ ............................
June 2008+ ...............................

Very
Unified

Fairly
Unified

Just
Somewhat
Unified

Not That
Unified

Not
Sure

20
11
11

29
23
22

33
37
36

15
26
26

3
3
5

3
13
16

10
30
25

35
37
32

50
16
19

2
4
8

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Q18

When it comes to (his/her) approaches to issues, would you say that [INSERT ITEM] is in the mainstream of
most Americans' thinking, or is out of step with most Americans' thinking? (RANDOMIZE)
(REPUBLICAN AND DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES FOR CONGRESS ASKED LAST AND ROTATE)
And, now thinking about some groupsWhen it comes to their approaches to issues, would you say that
[INSERT ITEM] are generally in the mainstream of most Americans' thinking, or are generally out of step
with most Americans' thinking? (ROTATE)
THIS TABLE RANKED BY IN THE MAINSTREAM

Barack Obama
July 2016+.................................................
August 2012+ ............................................
July 2008+.................................................
Hillary Clinton
July 2016+.................................................
Democratic candidates for Congress
July 2016+.................................................
August 2012+ ............................................
Donald Trump
July 2016+.................................................
Republican candidates for Congress
July 2016+.................................................
August 2012+ ............................................

In The
Mainstream

Out
Of Step

Not
Sure

52
54
60

45
44
29

3
3
11

50

47

48
45

42
48

10
7

40

57

31
38

59
54

10
8

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016

Study #16495 -- page 21


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

(Q19A & Q19B ROTATED)


Q19A (And,) Thinking about the Democratic Party in general, in which ONE or TWO, if any, of the following areas
do you believe the Democratic Party is most out of the mainstream and where it needs to make changes in
their positions (RANDOMIZE :1-8) OR do you not believe the Democratic Party needs to make changes in
their positions in any of these areas? +
THIS TABLE RANKED BY THE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE
Fiscal issues, such as taxing and spending ................
30
Guns............................................................................
26
Immigration .................................................................
17
Trade ...........................................................................
10
Racial Issues ...............................................................
10
Abortion .......................................................................
9
Same-sex marriage .....................................................
8
Climate change ...........................................................
5
None of these areas ....................................................
13
All of these (VOL) .....................................................
8
Other (VOL) ..............................................................
1
Not sure.....................................................................
5
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Q19B

(And,) Thinking about the Republican Party in general, in which ONE or TWO, if any, of the following areas
do you believe the Republican Party is most out of the mainstream and where it needs to make changes in
their positions (RANDOMIZE :1-8) OR do you not believe the Republican Party needs to make changes in
their positions in any of these areas? +
THIS TABLE RANKED BY THE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE
Guns............................................................................
24
Racial Issues ...............................................................
18
Immigration .................................................................
17
Fiscal issues, such as taxing and spending ................
17
Abortion .......................................................................
16
Same-sex marriage .....................................................
14
Climate change ...........................................................
12
Trade ...........................................................................
6
None of these areas ....................................................
12
All of these (VOL) .....................................................
9
Other (VOL) ..............................................................
1
Not sure.....................................................................
4
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Now, turning to the economy...


Q20
Which of these best describes your view of the economy during Barack Obama's presidency? (ROTATE TOP
TO BOTTOM/BOTTOM TO TOP)
7/16+
The economy has improved, and I give Barack Obama some credit for it .................... 49
The economy has improved, but I do not give Barack Obama much credit for it .......... 15
The economy has not really improved........................................................................... 36
Not sure....................................................................................................................... + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

BILL CLINTON TREND


The economy has improved, and I give Bill Clinton some credit for it ...................
The economy has improved, but I do not give Bill Clinton much credit for it.........
The economy has not really improved ...................................................................
Not sure ................................................................................................................

1/96
28
23
47
2

6/15
45
17
37
1

3/15
47
21
31
-

4/2125/95
38
22
38
2

4/14
41
17
42
-

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016

Study #16495 -- page 22


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now, switching topics


Q21
Would you say that immigration helps the United States more than it hurts it, OR immigration hurts the
United States more than it helps it?
Helps more than it hurts ............
Hurts more than it helps ............
A little of both (VOL) ...............
Not sure ..................................

7/16+
56
35
3
6

2/16+
53
38
4
5

12/15
49
43
4
4

7/15
47
43
3
7

12/14
48
42
5
5

6/14
47
42
5
6

6/12
47
39
8
6

5/2023/10
43
45
NA
12

5/611/10
37
53
NA
10

12/07
39
52
NA
9

6/07
46
44
NA
10

7/06
45
42
NA
10

6/06
44
45
NA
11

4/06
45
45
NA
10

12/05
37
53
NA
10

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Hispanic/Latino Oversample
Helps more than it hurts ............
Hurts more than it helps ............
A little of both (VOL) ...............
Not sure ..................................

7/16+
79
14
4
3

2/16+
71
20
4
5

7/15
66
24
3
7

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Q22

12/14
67
25
5
3

6/14
62
30
4
4

6/12
63
26
7
5

5/2023/10
60
30
NA
10

5/611/10
58
32
NA
10

6/07
69
21
NA
10

4/06
62
28
NA
10

And, asking a different question about the topic of immigration, which of the following concerns that some
people have about immigration concerns you more (ROTATE:) immigration holds down wages and strains
government assistance programs or immigration changes our traditional American culture and values -- or
do neither of these statements concern you? +

Registered
Voters
Immigration holds down wages and strains government assistance programs .......... 33
Immigration changes our traditional American culture and values ............................. 13
Neither ....................................................................................................................... 46
Both equally (VOL) ................................................................................................
6
Not sure ...................................................................................................................
2
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Among
Hurt on Q21
50
18
18
12
2

Hispanic
Oversample
28
13
48
7
4

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016

Study #16495 -- page 23


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now, switching topics


Q23
Which of the following statements comes closer to what you think(ROTATE)

Statement A: I think free trade with foreign countries is good for America because it opens up new markets
and we cannot avoid the fact that it is a global economy

Statement B: I think free trade with foreign countries is bad for America because it has hurt manufacturing
and other key industries and there is no proof more trade creates better jobs
Statement A: Free trade is good ...........................................................
Statement B: Free trade is bad .............................................................
Mixed/Some of Both (VOL) ................................................................
Neither (VOL) .....................................................................................
Not sure ..............................................................................................
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

7/16+
55
38
2
1
4

12/15+
51
41
3
1
4

Moving on
Q24
In general, do you think race relations in the United States are (ROTATE) very good, fairly good, fairly bad,
or very bad?

Very good ..........


Fairly good ........
Fairly bad ..........
Very bad ............
Mixed (VOL) ...
Not sure ..........

7/16+
3
21
42
32
1
1

12/14
5
35
34
23
1
2

7/13
4
48
28
16
2
2

11/11
7
64
18
8
NA
3

1/10
8
64
16
7
NA
5

All Adults
9/09
13
59
14
8
4
2

1/09
7
70
16
5
NA
2

4/07
4
54
28
10
NA
4

9/05
8
55
20
10
5
2

10/95
2
32
41
20
4
1

9/94
4
45
31
15
4
1

Very good ..........


Fairly good ........
Fairly bad ..........
Very bad ............
Mixed (VOL) ...
Not sure ..........

7/16+
2
21
44
31
1
1

12/14
4
36
37
21
1
1

7/13
3
49
32
13
1
2

11/11
7
68
17
5
NA
3

1/10
7
65
17
7
NA
4

Whites
9/09
12
63
13
6
4
2

1/09
6
73
16
4
NA
1

4/07
3
56
28
8
NA
5

9/05
9
58
19
7
5
2

10/95
1
33
42
18
5
1

9/94
4
45
32
13
5
1

Very good ..........


Fairly good ........
Fairly bad ..........
Very bad ............
Mixed (VOL) ...
Not sure ..........

7/16+
3
20
34
42
1
-

12/14
7
28
27
36
1
1

7/13
6
32
25
33
2
2

11/11
8
49
23
18
NA
2

African Americans
1/10
9/09
1/09
8
6
7
58
44
57
20
22
18
8
16
12
NA
7
NA
6
5
6

4/07
3
37
34
24
NA
2

9/05
3
45
28
19
3
2

10/95
3
28
35
30
3
1

9/94
5
39
26
26
3
1

Very good ..........


Fairly good ........
Fairly bad ..........
Very bad ............
Mixed (VOL) ...
Not sure ..........

7/16+
4
19
40
30
6
1

12/14
14
37
26
17
2
4

7/13
3
57
22
13
2
3

11/11
10
52
27
7
NA
4

4/07
11
44
32
10
NA
3

9/05
8
49
17
19
7
-

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Hispanics
1/10
11
57
13
10
NA
9

9/09
15
57
13
12
2
1

1/09
13
63
17
6
NA
1

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016
Q25

Study #16495 -- page 24


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now thinking specifically about relations between blacks and whites, do you think that relations between
blacks and whites will always be a problem for the United States, or that a solution will eventually be worked
out? +
Will always be a problem ..............................
A solution will eventually be worked out........
Not sure ......................................................

All Reg
Voters
33
64
3

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Whites
30
68
2

GALLUP TREND DATA - ADULTS


July 2015 .....................................................
July 2013 .....................................................
August 2011 ................................................
October 2009 ..............................................
November 2008...........................................
July 2008 .....................................................
May 2008 ....................................................
June 2007 ...................................................
June 2006 ...................................................
June 2005 ...................................................
June 2004 ...................................................
February 2003 .............................................
May 2001 ....................................................
November 1999...........................................
October 1998 ..............................................
February 1997 .............................................
October 19-22, 1995 ...................................
October 5-7, 1995 .......................................
August 1993 ................................................
December 1963...........................................
Q26

Always a
Problem
41
40
46
40
30
38
42
43
42
46
45
47
47
52
56
55
68
54
53
42

African
Americans
50
47
3

Eventually
Worked Out
58
58
52
56
67
58
54
54
54
50
51
50
48
44
41
42
29
41
44
55

Hispanics
38
56
6

No
Opinion
1
3
2
4
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
3
5
4
3
3
3
5
3
3

Which candidate do you think would be better on dealing with the racial problems between police and
African Americans (ROTATE FIRST TWO)...Only Hillary Clinton, only Donald Trump, both of them, or
neither of them? +
All Reg
Voters
Whites
Only Hillary Clinton ................................
41
37
Only Donald Trump ................................
19
22
Both of them................................ 7
7
Neither of them ................................33
33
Not sure ........................................................
1

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

African
Americans
57
5
8
29
1

Hispanics
68
6
4
20
2

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016

Study #16495 -- page 25


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Thinking about something else


Q27
Now, thinking about what you have seen, read, or heard about Hillary Clintons use of a private email server
during her time as Secretary of State, would you say it IS or it is NOT an important factor in your deciding
whether to vote for her as president. If you do not know enough about this issue to have an opinion, please
just say so. (IF CHOICE, THEN ASK) Do you feel that way strongly or not so strongly?
7/16+
TOTAL IS IMPORTANT
55
Is important Strongly ................................49
Is important Not so strongly......................6
TOTAL IS NOT IMPORTANT
35
Is not important Not so strongly................8
Is not important Strongly ..........................27
Dont know enough ................................
10
Not sure ......................................................-

10/2529/15
42
37
5
48
15
33
9
1

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Q28

10/1518/15
47
40
7
44
12
32
8
1

The FBI has conducted an investigation into Hillary Clintons use of a private email server during her time as
Secretary of State. From what you have seen, read, or heard, would this investigation be better described as
being (ROTATE) fair and impartial or unfair and too partisan? If you do not know enough about this issue to
have an opinion, please say so. +*
Fair and impartial ..............................
Unfair and too partisan .....................
Dont know enough ...........................
Not sure ..........................................

37
43
17
3

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).


+ Results shown reflect responses among
registered voters.

Q29

Based on what you have heard or learned about the FBI investigation into Hillary Clinton's use of a private
email server during her time as Secretary of State, do you believe she has the right judgment to make a
good president or not? If you do not know enough about this issue to have an opinion, please say so. +**
Has the right judgment ........................................................
33
Does NOT have the right judgment ................................
50
Dont know enough..............................................................
15
Not sure................................................................2
** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered
voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016

Study #16495 -- page 26


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only.
QF1b/c A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November
2012 election for president? (IF YES, ASK:) For whom did you voteBarack Obama, Mitt Romney, or
someone else? +
Voted for Barack Obama ...............................
Voted for Mitt Romney ...................................
Voted for someone else .................................
Not sure .........................................................
No, Did Not Vote ............................................
Not sure .......................................................

43
33
8
1
14
1

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

QF1d

And did you happen to vote in the 2014 election for U.S. Congress? +
Yes, voted ...............................................................
No, did not vote .......................................................
Not sure ..................................................................

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

QF2

61
34
5

Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do?
(RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-athome mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? +
Currently Employed
Professional, manager ............................
White-collar worker .................................
Blue-collar worker ...................................
Farmer, rancher ......................................
Not Currently Employed
Student ....................................................
Stay at home mom/dad ...........................
Retired ....................................................
Unemployed, looking for work .................
Other .......................................................
Not sure ................................................

27
15
18
4
5
25
5
1

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered


voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016
QF3

Study #16495 -- page 27


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) +
Grade school ...........................................................
Some high school ....................................................
High school graduate ..............................................
Some college, no degree.........................................
Vocational training/School ......................................
2-year college degree ..............................................
4-year college/bachelor's degree.............................
Some postgraduate work, no degree ......................
2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree.........
Doctoral/law degree ................................................
Not sure/refused ....................................................

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

QF4

Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something


else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican)
or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG
DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the
Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF
"NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") +
Strong Democrat ...............................
Not very strong Democrat .................
Independent/lean Democrat ..............
Strictly Independent...........................
Independent/lean Republican ............
Not very strong Republican ...............
Strong Republican .............................
Other (VOL).....................................
Not sure...........................................

+ Results shown reflect responses among


registered voters.

QF5

1
4
22
19
2
11
21
3
12
4
1

24
9
10
15
10
8
17
4
3

Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or
conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very
(liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? +
Very liberal .........................................................
Somewhat liberal ...............................................
Moderate ............................................................
Somewhat conservative .....................................
Very conservative ..............................................
Not sure ...........................................................

14
15
34
19
15
3

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES


July 2016

Study #16495 -- page 28


NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR
"NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? +
Labor union member ........................................
Union household ..............................................
Non-union household .......................................
Not sure ..........................................................

13
6
80
1

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

QF7

Are you married, widowed, separated, divorced, single and never been married, or are you unmarried and
living with a partner? +
Married .............................................................
Widowed ...........................................................
Separated ........................................................
Divorced ...........................................................
Single/never been married ................................
Unmarried and living with a partner ..................
Refused ..........................................................

53
7
2
9
22
6
1

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

QF8

If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year,
would the total be less than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousand
dollars, between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars and
forty thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousand
dollars and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousand
dollars, or would the total be more than that? +
Less than $10,000 ...............................................
Between $10,000 and $20,000 ...........................
Between $20,000 and $30,000 ...........................
Between $30,000 and $40,000 ...........................
Between $40,000 and $50,000 ...........................
Between $50,000 and $75,000 ...........................
Between $75,000 and $100,000 .........................
More than $100,000 ............................................
Not sure/refused .................................................

5
6
8
9
10
16
14
24
8

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.