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SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA E HIDROLOGIA

DIRECCION REGIONAL DE LAMBAYEQUE


ESTACIN:
CATEGORA:
PARAMETRO:

PUENTE CHUNCHUCA
"CO"
PRECIPIT. MXIMA EN 24 HORAS (mm)

LATITUD:
LONGITUD:
ALTITUD:

5 56' 00 "S"
78 51' 00" "W"
580 msnm

DEPARTAMENTO:
PROVINCIA:
DISTRITO:

PERIODO: 1998- 2004


DATOS: PRECIPITACIN MAXIMA EN 24 HORAS

AO
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
N' DATOS

Ene.
21.20
24.00
19.60
14.10
16.50
1.00
45.80
10.00
7.20
31.70
10.00

Feb
30.50
35.60
26.00
18.30
8.50
30.00
46.90
20.00
56.50
9.50
10.00

Mar
67.00
24.20
29.40
32.00
9.00
40.20
30.00
35.30
22.80
67.00
10.00

Abr
17.50
21.00
41.40
20.00
40.50
25.40
13.20
40.00
20.60
17.50
10.00

May
18.50
10.00
15.80
16.80
16.70
12.50
14.20
58.00
1.20
18.50
10.00

Jun
20.00
18.60
4.20
26.00
3.70
21.00
0.00
20.50
22.00
20.00
10.00

Jul
4.80
6.00
3.80
3.50
2.40
6.30
7.90
8.50
0.00
4.30
10.00

Ago
0.00
11.20
0.00
0.00
0.70
5.00
0.00
11.00
13.40
0.00
10.00

Sep
5.50
7.40
4.60
4.00
3.70
3.20
0.00
0.00
8.00
5.50
10.00

Oct
2.20
24.80
22.00
23.50
28.50
43.50
23.20
54.60
17.00
2.20
10.00

Nov
23.30
43.10
19.70
70.00
20.00
10.00
24.90
48.50
24.82
23.30
10.00

Dic
17.90
27.60
29.80
51.50
29.50
19.50
50.00
12.20
30.42
17.90
10.00

Cajamarca
Jan
Jan

PRECIPITACIONES MAXIMAS EN 24 HORAS DE LA ESTACION DE CASCARILL

AO
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007

P(mm)
#REF!

ANALISIS ESTADISTIC
Media
Mediana
Desv. estnd
Mnimo
Mximo
Suma
Cuenta

histograma de precipitaciones maximas en 24h estacion Cascarilla.


12.00
10.00
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

ON DE CASCARILLA

NALISIS ESTADISTICA
#REF!
#REF!
#DIV/0!
#REF!
#REF!
#REF!
0.00

n Cascarilla.

DISTRIBUCIN DE LAS PRECIPITACIONES MAX. EN 24 HORAS

ANLISIS CON DISTRIBUCIN LOG - NORMAL


AO

PRECIP.

PREC. ORDENADAS

F(x)

#REF!

92.400
76.400
72.700
58.600
54.300
53.400
50.200
47.000
45.500
43.500
40.000
37.800

0.9862
0.8916
0.8441
0.5629
0.4594
0.4379
0.3632
0.2934
0.2629
0.2250
0.1668
0.1356

2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

55.983
16.528

MEDIA
DESV.EST.

HISTOGRAMA

0.030
0.025
0.020
0.015
0.010
0.005
0.000
40.000

60.000
80.000
precipitacion media

100.000

ANLISIS CON DISTRIBUCIN LOG - NORMAL DE 2 PARAMETROS:


AO
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

PRECIP.
#REF!

MEDIA
DESV.EST.
C.ASIMETRIA

PREC. ORDENADAS

92.400
76.400
72.700
58.600
54.300
53.400
50.200
47.000
45.500
43.500
40.000
37.800

y = ln (x)
4.5261
4.3360
4.2863
4.0707
3.9945
3.9778
3.9160
3.8501
3.8177
3.7728
3.6889
3.6323

3.989
0.273
0.708

1.600

LN2

1.400
1.200
1.000
0.800
0.600
0.400
0.200
0.000
3.60 3.80 4.00 4.20 4.40 4.60
Y=LnX

ANALISIS CON DISTRIBUCION LOG - NORMAL DE 3 PARAMETROS:


AO
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
MEDIA
DESV.EST.
a
C.ASIMETRIA

PRECIP.

PREC. ORDENADAS y = ln (x-a)

92.400
76.400
72.700
58.600
54.300
53.400
50.200
47.000
45.500
43.500
40.000
37.800

4.1336
3.8373
3.7542
3.3534
3.1905
3.1527
3.0057
2.8332
2.7408
2.6027
2.3026
2.0541

3.080
0.625
30.000
0.098

LN3

0.700
0.600
0.500
0.400
0.300
0.200
0.100
0.000
2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

0.100
0.000
2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

ANALISIS CON DISTRIBUCION GUMBEL:


AO

PRECIP.

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

Var. Reducida
PREC. ORDENADAS

y = (x - u)/a

92.400
76.400
72.700
58.600
54.300
53.400
50.200
47.000
45.500
43.500
40.000
37.800

2.67
1.72
1.50
0.66
0.40
0.35
0.16
0.03
0.12
0.24
0.45
0.58

x medio
desv. Est x (Sx)

55.983
16.528

n = nmero de dato12.000
0.504
yn medio =
0.983
Sn =
parmetros, segn n
16.808
a = Sx / Sn
47.520
u = x-yn*a
16.00
14.00
12.00
10.00
PRECIPITACION8.00
MEDIA
6.00
4.00
2.00
40.000 50.000 60.000 70.000 80.000 90.000 100.000

6.00
4.00
2.00
40.000 50.000 60.000 70.000 80.000 90.000 100.000
TIEPO DE RETORNO AOS

MAX. EN 24 HORAS

f(x)

0.0021
0.0113
0.0145
0.0238
0.0240
0.0238
0.0227
0.0208
0.0197
0.0181
0.0151
0.0132

100.000

METROS:
F(x)
0.9753
0.8977
0.8615
0.6174
0.5079
0.4835
0.3946
0.3056
0.2653
0.2144
0.1361
0.0959

f(x)
0.2120
0.6525
0.8081
1.3956
1.4590
1.4580
1.4080
1.2824
1.1989
1.0669
0.7984
0.6227

L DE 3 PARAMETROS:

F(x)
0.9541
0.8872
0.8596
0.6691
0.5701
0.5463
0.4526
0.3464
0.2936
0.2225
0.1067
0.0503

LN3

3.50

4.00

4.50

f(x)
0.1542
0.3064
0.3568
0.5801
0.6285
0.6340
0.6338
0.5904
0.2936
0.2225
0.1067
0.0503

3.50

4.00

4.50

ducida
Tr

14.95
6.09
4.99
2.48
2.05
1.98
1.74
1.55
1.48
1.39
1.26
1.20

.000 90.000 100.000

.000 90.000 100.000


AOS

BONDAD DE AJUSTE DE LAS PRECIPITACIONES

DATOS
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

Emprica
0.077
0.154
0.231
0.308
0.385
0.462
0.538
0.615
0.692
0.769
0.846
0.923

Probabilidad de excedencia F(x)


Normal
LN2
LN3
0.01378
0.02475
0.04593
0.10836
0.10226
0.11282
0.15590
0.13847
0.14037
0.43710
0.38264
0.33092
0.54056
0.49210
0.42989
0.56210
0.51649
0.45372
0.63680
0.60541
0.54737
0.70662
0.69438
0.65358
0.73705
0.73465
0.70637
0.77497
0.78564
0.77752
0.83324
0.86394
0.89326
0.86437
0.90407
0.94966

FORMULA:

K=1.36/
N: Numero de datos.

Gumbel
0.067
0.164
0.200
0.404
0.487
0.506
0.574
0.644
0.676
0.719
0.791
0.832

Normal
0.063
0.045
0.075
0.129
0.156
0.101
0.098
0.091
0.045
0.006
0.013
0.059

Diferencia Delta D
LN2
0.052
0.052
0.092
0.075
0.107
0.055
0.067
0.079
0.042
0.016
0.018
0.019

0.15595

0.10749

Aceptada

Aceptada

0.39

USTE DE LAS PRECIPITACIONES

Diferencia Delta D
LN3
0.031
0.041
0.090
0.023
0.045
0.008
0.009
0.038
0.014
0.008
0.047
0.027

0.39

Gumbel
0.0100
0.0104
0.0304
0.0962
0.1027
0.0443
0.0352
0.0281
0.0161
0.0500
0.0554
0.0912

0.09040

0.10269

Aceptada

Aceptada

DISEO DE SUMIDERO TIPO SOLERA


se diseara un sumidero tipo solera para las pendientes menores a 3%
1 - TIPO VENTANA SIN DEPRESION
DATOS:
QD=

#REF!
#REF!
0.014
2.340
0.020

QD(=
n=
Sx=
So=

m3/s
lt/s

(maximo caudal calle iquitos)

Aplicando la frmula de Izzard

Q 0.375
S

Sx * n

#REF!

cm
#REF!
m
Yo=
determinacion de la longitud de la ventana
Yo=

valores de k:
Sx
k

8%

4%

2%

0.23

0.2

0.2

para nuestro caso K lo encontraremos extrapolando debido a que Sx= 10%; con la tabla anterior asi tenemos
k=

L=

0.245
0,6*Q
K*Ya*(Ya*A)^(1/2)

.(3)

reemplazando los valores en la ecuacion (3) tenemos:


L=

#REF!

OK

Q 0.375
S 01/ 2 y 8/3

Sx * n

x= 10%; con la tabla anterior asi tenemos:

ANALISISCONDISTRIBUCIONGUMBEL
Var.Reducida

AO

2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
0
0
0

#REF!

PORDENADOS
204.140
191.330
181.300
180.140
175.060
151.270
150.680
138.880
133.770
115.700

y = (x - u)/a

1.900
1.471
1.134
1.096
0.925
0.128
0.108
0.287
0.458
1.064

250
200
p150
(mm)

f(x) = 43.4089717239 ln(x) + 123.6998408677


R = 0.9733855672

100
50
0
1.00

Tr (AOS)

10.00

162.23
28.34

MEDIA
DES.ESTA
N
Yn=
Sn=

a=
u=
Tr
2
5
10
20
25
50
100

Pexc.(1/Tr)
0.500
0.200
0.100
0.050
0.040
0.020
0.010

0.4952
0.9496

10
0.4952
0.9496

29.84
147.45
Pnoexc.
0.500
0.800
0.900
0.950
0.960
0.980
0.990

ln(11/Tr)
0.693
0.223
0.105
0.051
0.041
0.020
0.010

e(y)
0.693
0.223
0.105
0.051
0.041
0.020
0.010

ALISISCONDISTRIBUCIONGUMBEL
Tr

7.20
4.87
3.64
3.52
3.06
1.71
1.69
1.36
1.26
1.06

8.00
7.00
6.00
5.00

23.6998408677

4.00

f(x) = 0.0636586253x - 7.392107


R = 0.8454814035

3.00
2.00
1.00

0.00
100.000120.000140.000160.000180.000200.

Tr (AOS)

10.00

y=(LN(e(y)))
0.367
1.500
2.250
2.970
3.199
3.902
4.600

x=u+a*y
158.387
192.208
214.600
236.079
242.893
263.882
284.716

ANALISIS CON DISTRIBUCION GUMBEL:


AO

Var. Reducida

PRECIP.

PREC. ORDENADAS

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

92.40
76.40
72.70
58.60
54.30
53.40
50.20
47.00
45.50
43.50
40.00
37.80
x medio
desv. Est x (Sx)

y = (x - u)/a

2.67
1.72
1.50
0.66
0.40
0.35
0.16
0.03
0.12
0.24
0.45
0.58

Tr

14.95
6.09
4.99
2.48
2.05
1.98
1.74
1.55
1.48
1.39
1.26
1.20

55.983
16.528

n = nmero de datos 12.000


0.504
yn medio =
0.983
Sn =
parmetros, segn n
16.808
a = Sx / Sn
47.520
u = x-yn*a
16.00
14.00
12.00
10.00
PRECIPITACION8.00
MEDIA
6.00
4.00
2.00
40.000 50.000 60.000 70.000 80.000 90.000 100.000
TIEPO DE RETORNO AOS

CALCULO DE LAS PRECIPITACIONES PARA CADA TIEMPO DE RETORNO


Tr
2
5
10
20
25
50
110
500

Pexc.(1/Tr)
0.500
0.200
0.100
0.050
0.040
0.020
0.009
0.002

Pno exc.
0.500
0.800
0.900
0.950
0.960
0.980
0.991
0.998

ln(1-1/Tr)
0.693
0.223
0.105
0.051
0.041
0.020
0.009
0.002

e(-y)
0.693
0.223
0.105
0.051
0.041
0.020
0.009
0.002

y=-(LN(e(-y)))
0.367
1.500
2.250
2.970
3.199
3.902
4.696
6.214

x=u+a*y
53.681
72.732
85.345
97.444
101.282
113.105
126.451
151.961

CURVAS IDF
ECUACIN DE DICK :
Pd P24 (

d
) 0.25
1440

DONDE:
Pd: Presipitacion total (mm)
P24 : Precipitacion maxima en 24 horas
d : duracin del aguacero en minutos.

Tr (Aos)
2
5
10
20
25
50
100

Pmx. 24horas
(mm)
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509

10
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509

20
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509

Promedio
Desv. Stand.
C.ASIMETRIA

Err:509
#DIV/0!
Err:509

Err:509
#DIV/0!
Err:509

Precipitaciones (Pd : mm)


Duracin de Lluvia, en minutos
30
40
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
#DIV/0!
Err:509

Err:509
#DIV/0!
Err:509

50
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
#DIV/0!
Err:509

RESUMEN DE PRECIPITACONES (mm)

Tr
2
5
10
20
25
50
100

10
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509

20
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509

Duracin de la lluvia en min.


30
40
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509

50
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509

INTENSIDADES PARA CADA TIEMPO DE RETORNO (mm/h)

Tr
2
5
10
20
25
50
100

10
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509

20
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509

Duracin de la lluvia en min.


30
40
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509

50
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509

GRFICA DE LAS CURVAS IDF


12.00

10.00

8.00

TR= 2 A

TR= 5 A

TR= 10 A

6.00
INTENSIDAD (mm/h)

TR= 20 A

TR= 25 A
4.00

TR= 50 A

TR= 100
2.00

0.00
0

10

20

30
40
TIEMPO (minutos)

50

60

70

60
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
#DIV/0!
Err:509

60
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509

60
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509
Err:509

TR= 2 AOS
TR= 5 AOS
TR= 10 AOS
TR= 20 AOS
TR= 25 AOS
TR= 50 AOS
TR= 100 AOS

70

RESUMEN DEL ANALISIS DE REGRESION


Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple
0.927
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2
0.860
R^2 ajustado
0.854
Error tpico
0.087
Observaciones

46.000

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
2
43

S. de cuadrados
2.018
0.328

45

2.346

Intercepcin
Variable X 1

Coeficientes
2.067
0.178

Error tpico
0.053
0.018

Estadstico t
38.735
10.008

Probab.
0.00
0.00

Inferior 95%
1.959
0.142

Variable X 2

-0.473

0.037

-12.842

0.00

-0.547

Regresin
Residuos
Total

Prom. de los cuadrados


1.009
0.008

F
Valor crtico de F
132.26712 4.264440049E-019

Superior 95%
2.175
0.213
-0.399

Inferior 95.0% Superior 95.0%


1.959
2.175
0.142
0.213
-0.547

-0.399

DETERMINACION DE LAS INTENSIDADES MAXIMAS

T
aos
500
110
50
25
20
10
5
2

P.Max
24 horas
151.96
126.45
113.11
101.28
97.44
85.35
72.73
53.68

5
12.7
10.5
9.3
8.3
8.0
7.0
6.0
4.6

Cuadro : Lluvias mximas (mm)


Duracin en minutos
10
15
20
19.0
23.2
26.5
15.7
19.2
21.9
14.0
17.1
19.5
12.5
15.2
17.4
12.0
14.6
16.7
10.5
12.8
14.6
8.9
10.9
12.5
6.9
8.5
9.7

5
152.4
125.8
112.0
99.9
95.9
83.8
71.6
55.6

Intensidades mximas (mm/hora)


Duracin en minutos
10
15
20
114.1
93.0
79.5
94.2
76.8
65.7
83.8
68.3
58.5
74.7
60.9
52.1
71.8
58.5
50.1
62.7
51.1
43.7
53.6
43.7
37.4
41.6
33.9
29.0

Aplicando el Modelo de Bell

T
aos
500
110
50
25
20
10
5
2

P.Max
24 horas
151.96
126.45
113.11
101.28
97.44
85.35
72.73
53.68

Constante
Err. estndar de est.Y
R cuadrada

Cuadro : Resultado del Anlisis de Regresin:


2.067
Log K= 2.0671
0.087
0.854

Nm. de observaciones

46.000

Grado de libertad
Coeficiente(s) X
Error estndar de coef.

43.000

I=
Donde:

0.178

-0.473

0.018

0.037

T= aos
t= minutos

Y
log I
2.1830
2.0573
1.9685
1.9004
1.8000
1.6170
2.0997
1.9741
1.8854
1.8176
1.7168
1.5340
2.0492
1.9232
1.7672
1.6665
1.4829
1.9996
1.8733
1.7846
1.7168
1.6160
1.4330
1.9818
1.8561
1.7672
1.5988
1.9818
1.9232
1.7973
1.7084
1.6405
1.5403
1.3541
1.8549
1.7292
1.6405
1.5729
1.4728
1.2900
1.7451
1.6191
1.5302
1.4624

X1
LogT
2.6990
2.6990
2.6990
2.6990
2.6990
2.6990
2.0414
2.0414
2.0414
2.0414
2.0414
2.0414
1.6990
1.6990
1.6990
1.6990
1.6990
1.3979
1.3979
1.3979
1.3979
1.3979
1.3979
1.3010
1.3010
1.3010
1.3010
1.3010
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
0.6990
0.6990
0.6990
0.6990
0.6990
0.6990
0.3010
0.3010
0.3010
0.3010

X2
Logt
0.6990
1.0000
1.1761
1.3010
1.4771
1.7782
0.6990
1.0000
1.1761
1.3010
1.4771
1.7782
0.6990
1.0000
1.3010
1.4771
1.7782
0.6990
1.0000
1.1761
1.3010
1.4771
1.7782
0.6990
1.0000
1.1761
1.4771
1.7782
0.6990
1.0000
1.1761
1.3010
1.4771
1.7782
0.6990
1.0000
1.1761
1.3010
1.4771
1.7782
0.6990
1.0000
1.1761
1.3010

1.3617
1.1790

0.3010
0.3010

1.4771
1.7782

ES MAXIMAS

minutos
30
31.5
26.0
23.2
20.7
19.9
17.3
14.8
11.5

60
41.4
34.2
30.4
27.1
26.1
22.6
19.5
15.1

30
63.1
52.1
46.4
41.3
39.7
34.7
29.7
23.0

60
41.4
34.2
30.4
27.1
26.1
22.6
19.5
15.1

minutos

sin:
K= 116.70
m= 0.178
n= 0.473
116.70T0.178
t0.473

INTENSIDADES MAXIMAS (mm/h)

I=

K Tm
tn

K= 116.70
m= 0.178
n= 0.473

Duracin (t)
(minutos)
5
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
180
240
300

30
99.72
71.84
51.76
42.73
37.29
33.56
30.79
28.62
26.87
25.41
24.18
23.11
22.18
18.31
15.98
14.38

Perodo de Retorno
50
109.18
78.66
56.68
46.79
40.84
36.75
33.71
31.34
29.42
27.83
26.47
25.31
24.29
20.05
17.50
15.75

(T) en aos
110
500
125.59
164.33
90.49
118.40
65.19
85.30
53.82
70.42
46.97
61.46
42.27
55.30
38.77
50.73
36.05
47.17
33.84
44.28
32.01
41.88
30.45
39.85
29.11
38.09
27.94
36.55
23.06
30.18
20.13
26.34
18.11
23.70

CURVAS IDF

Curva Intensidad-Duracin-

Frecuencia

180
170
160
150
140
130
120
Intensidad
110 (mm/hora)
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0

50

100

150
Duracin en minutos

30

50

110

500

200

250

300

DADES MAXIMAS (mm/h)

CURVAS IDF

Duracin-

Frecuencia

150
Duracin en minutos
500

200

250

300

SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA E HIDROLOGIA


DIRECCION REGIONAL DE LAMBAYEQUE
ESTACIN:
CATEGORA:
PARAMETRO:

JAN
"CO"
PRECIPIT. MAXIMA EN 24 HORAS (mm)

LATITUD:
LONGITUD:
ALTITUD:

5 40' 39 "S"
78 46' 46" "W"
632 msnm

DEPARTAMENTO:
PROVINCIA:
DISTRITO:

PERIODO: 1998 - 2012


DATOS: PRECIPITACIN MAXIMA EN 24 HORAS

AO
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009

Ene.
10.20
7.20
10.50
9.00
7.50
6.50
18.50
7.60
8.86
20.50

Feb
11.00
35.90
18.80
7.10
6.80
42.00
38.70
27.00
54.26
9.70

Mar
32.20
23.20
18.50
54.40
19.70
36.20
23.00
32.50
27.27
38.80

Abr
22.00
13.20
41.80
18.80
30.60
31.00
9.40
29.00
10.20
37.20

May
14.40
17.70
20.50
18.00
38.10
10.20
13.50
29.30
15.80
10.30

Jun
23.40
36.80
11.80
20.40
18.00
18.30
26.50
13.00
23.50
7.50

Jul
6.60
7.20
10.60
7.20
2.40
1.90
1.30
27.20
17.40
14.60

Ago
12.00
3.30
11.30
10.40
7.20
14.50
8.50
7.50
3.40
19.50

Sep
8.20
12.50
7.40
23.00
17.00
18.70
5.60
7.20
10.90
6.80

Oct
11.70
14.50
18.90
16.60
19.40
27.90
11.70
45.90
26.70
19.80

Nov
21.40
36.50
34.80
37.70
18.20
78.50
15.50
38.90
20.60
9.50

Dic
19.60
55.50
19.20
11.90
12.00
31.50
16.00
22.60
20.60
11.80

Cajamarca
Jan
Jan

SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA E HIDROLOGIA


DIRECCION REGIONAL DE LAMBAYEQUE
ESTACION : CHONTALI
CODIGO : 000250/ Chontali/ DRE-02
REGISTRO: Precipitacion(mm)

LATITUD : 0538'39 S
LONGITUD: 7905'25 W
ALTITUD : 1627 msnm

DEPARTAMENTO: Cajamarca
PROVINCIA
: Jan
DISTRITO
:Chontal

PERIODO: 1991 - 2009


DATOS: PRECIPITACIN MAXIMAS EN 24 HORAS

AO
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006

Ene.
11.60
70.50
27.20
30.90
46.60
34.40

Feb
34.30
13.30
18.20
24.60
7.80
47.30

Mar
92.50
21.70
17.40
22.60
33.10
41.90

25.80

24.60

44.20

Abr
30.60
31.90
24.70
32.00
52.20
66.30
42.00

May
31.20
13.30
21.50
23.90
17.80
25.80
15.70

Jun
24.60
4.70
6.00
30.50
12.30
15.00
34.10

Jul
12.80
11.00
20.30
10.80
7.80
4.30
5.30

Ago
6.00
6.60
1.70
3.10
5.60
5.80
3.20

Sep
27.00
30.00
15.30
9.20
15.50
29.10
3.50

Oct
22.80
13.40
28.80
48.00
50.30
23.80
28.00

Nov
29.80
43.30
29.00
28.70
20.30
32.60
45.60

Dic
35.00
20.50
19.90
22.20
24.80
33.30
21.90

AMENTO: Cajamarca

:Chontal

INFORMACIN PLUVIOMTRICA
PERIODO:
ESTACIN:

2000-2008
CHONTALI

LAT.:
LONG.:
ALT.:

05 38'37"
79 05'05"
1652 msnm

DPTO.: CAJAMARCA
PROV.: JAEN
DIST.: CHONTALI

PRECIPITACIN (mm)
MXIMA EN 24 HORAS (mm)
AO

ENE.

FEB.

MAR.

ABR.

MAY.

JUN.

JUL.

AGO.

SET.

OCT.

NOV.

DIC.

MAX

2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009

11.60
70.50
27.20
30.90
46.60
34.40

34.30
13.30
18.20
24.60
7.80
47.30

92.50
21.70
17.40
22.60
33.10
41.90

25.80
17.20

24.60
10.70

44.20
34.80

30.60
31.90
24.70
32.00
52.20
66.30
42.00

31.20
13.30
21.50
23.90
17.80
25.80
15.70

24.60
4.70
6.00
30.50
12.30
15.00
34.10

12.80
11.00
20.30
10.80
7.80
4.30
5.30

6.00
6.60
1.70
3.10
5.60
5.80
3.20

27.00
30.00
15.30
9.20
15.50
29.10
3.50

22.80
13.40
28.80
48.00
50.30
23.80
28.00

29.80
43.30
29.00
28.70
20.30
32.60
45.60

35.00
20.50
19.90
22.20
24.80
33.30
21.90

28.70

20.70

22.70

13.30

10.80

4.60

37.90

51.60

20.80

20.80
49.50

66.20
20.20

25.10
48.20

31.40
42.00

11.40
27.40

12.20
17.30

11.90
15.20

6.90
10.20

15.00
12.40

36.90
22.30

69.50
20.20

11.50
25.80

92.5
70.5
29
48
52.2
66.3
45.6
51.6
69.5
49.5

26.72

38.15

38.18

20.87

17.94

11.27

5.99

16.16

31.22

37.06

23.57

57.47

MAX

PROMEDIO

33.45

INFORMACIN PLUVIOMTRICA
ESTACIN:
CATEGORA:
PARAMETRO:

PUENTE CHUNCHUCA
"CO"
PRECIPIT. MXIMA EN 24 HORAS (mm)

LATITUD:
LONGITUD:
ALTITUD:

5 56' 00 "S"
78 51' 00" "W"
580 msnm

DEPARTAMENTO:
PROVINCIA:
DISTRITO:

PRECIPITACIN (mm)
MXIMA EN 24 HORAS (mm)
AO

ENERO

FEB.

MAR.

ABR.

MAY.

JUN.

JUL.

AGO.

SET.

OCT.

NOV.

DIC.

2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009

21.20
24.00
19.60
14.10
16.50
1.00
45.80
10.00
7.20
31.70

30.50
35.60
26.00
18.30
8.50
30.00
46.90
20.00
56.50
9.50

67.00
24.20
29.40
32.00
9.00
40.20
30.00
35.30
22.80
67.00

17.50
21.00
41.40
20.00
40.50
25.40
13.20
40.00
20.60
17.50

18.50
10.00
15.80
16.80
16.70
12.50
14.20
58.00
1.20
18.50

20.00
18.60
4.20
26.00
3.70
21.00
0.00
20.50
22.00
20.00

4.80
6.00
3.80
3.50
2.40
6.30
7.90
8.50
0.00
4.30

0.00
11.20
0.00
0.00
0.70
5.00
0.00
11.00
13.40
0.00

5.50
7.40
4.60
4.00
3.70
3.20
0.00
0.00
8.00
5.50

2.20
24.80
22.00
23.50
28.50
43.50
23.20
54.60
17.00
2.20

23.30
43.10
19.70
70.00
20.00
10.00
24.90
48.50
24.82
23.30

17.90
27.60
29.80
51.50
29.50
19.50
50.00
12.20
30.42
17.90

PROMEDIO

19.11

28.18

35.69

25.71

18.22

15.60

4.75

4.13

4.19

24.15

30.76

28.63

67.00
43.10
41.40
70.00
40.50
43.50
50.00
58.00
56.50
67.00
53.70

INFORMACIN PLUVIOMTRICA
PERIODO:
ESTACIN:

2000-2008
JAEN

LAT.:
LONG.:
ALT.:

05 4036"
78 46'27"
654
msnm

DPTO.: CAJAMARCA
PROV.: JAEN
DIST.: JAEN

PRECIPITACIN (mm)
MXIMA EN 24 HORAS
AO

ENE.

FEB.

MAR.

ABR.

MAY.

JUN.

JUL.

AGO.

SET.

OCT.

NOV.

DIC.

2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009

10.20
7.20
10.50
9.00
7.50
6.50
18.50
7.60
8.86
20.50

11.00
35.90
18.80
7.10
6.80
42.00
38.70
27.00
54.26
9.70

32.20
23.20
18.50
54.40
19.70
36.20
23.00
32.50
27.27
38.80

22.00
13.20
41.80
18.80
30.60
31.00
9.40
29.00
10.20
37.20

14.40
17.70
20.50
18.00
38.10
10.20
13.50
29.30
15.80
10.30

23.40
36.80
11.80
20.40
18.00
18.30
26.50
13.00
23.50
7.50

6.60
7.20
10.60
7.20
2.40
1.90
1.30
27.20
17.40
14.60

12.00
3.30
11.30
10.40
7.20
14.50
8.50
7.50
3.40
19.50

8.20
12.50
7.40
23.00
17.00
18.70
5.60
7.20
10.90
6.80

11.70
14.50
18.90
16.60
19.40
27.90
11.70
45.90
26.70
19.80

21.40
36.50
34.80
37.70
18.20
78.50
15.50
38.90
20.60
9.50

19.60
55.50
19.20
11.90
12.00
31.50
16.00
22.60
20.60
11.80

10.64

PROMEDIO

25.13

30.58

24.32

18.78

19.92

9.64

9.76

11.73

21.31

31.16

MAX

32.20
55.50
41.80
54.40
38.10
78.50
38.70
45.90
54.26
38.80

22.07

47.82

PRECIPITACION MEDIA CALCULADA POR EL TRIANGULO DE THIESSEN


AREA 1 =
AREA2=
AREA3=

2888129
3393475
1972199

ESTACION CHONTALI
ESTACION PUENTE CHUNCHUCA
ESTACION JAEN

AREA CUENCA=

8253803 m2

PRECIPITACION MEDIA MAXIMA EN 24 HORAS GENERADAS EN LA CUENCA AMOJU


DPTO.:
PROV.:
DIST.:

LAMBAYEQUE
LAMBAYEQUE
CHOCHOPE

AO

Ene

Feb

Mar

Abr

May

Jun

Jul

Ago

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dic

Mx

2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007

15.21
36.26
20.08
18.76
24.88
14.00
32.28
11.95

27.17
27.87
21.55
17.83
7.85
38.92
37.14
18.42

67.61
23.09
22.60
34.06
19.99
39.84
33.30
34.46

23.16
22.95
35.65
23.91
42.23
41.05
22.37
33.42

21.96
12.99
18.92
19.57
22.20
16.60
14.56
38.09

22.42
18.08
6.65
26.24
10.13
18.26
18.26
19.48

8.03
8.04
11.20
6.94
4.29
4.55
5.41
14.65

4.97
7.70
3.29
3.57
3.97
7.55
3.15
10.09

13.67
16.53
9.01
10.36
11.01
15.97
2.56
3.33

11.68
18.35
23.64
30.42
33.95
32.88
22.13
46.68

25.12
41.59
26.56
47.83
19.67
34.28
29.90
47.29

24.29
31.78
23.80
31.79
23.67
27.20
32.04
17.69

67.61
41.59
35.65
47.83
42.23
41.05
37.14
47.29

2008
2009

12.36
42.96

59.36
16.27

24.67
55.11

21.89
32.99

8.26
24.13

18.93
18.29

Precipitacion max. 24horas generada


AO
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009

PMAX 24h (mm)


67.61
41.59
35.65
47.83
42.23
41.05
37.14
47.29
59.36
55.11

8.32
11.19

8.74
6.45

11.14
9.86

26.28
14.91

39.45
21.34

21.45
22.90

59.36
55.11

Cajamarca
Jan
Jan

RELLENO DE DATOS FALTANTES PP TOTAL MENSUAL

Estacin:
Ao
PROM. SIN 2008
PRECIP. 2008
PROM. SIN 2010
PRECIP. 2010
PROM. SIN 2011
PRECIP. 2011
PROM. SIN 2012
PRECIP. 2012

Estacin:
Ao
PROM. SIN 2008
PRECIP. 2008
PROM. SIN 2010
PRECIP. 2010
PROM. SIN 2011
PRECIP. 2011
PROM. SIN 2012
PRECIP. 2012

Estacin:
Ao
PROM. SIN 2008
PRECIP. 2008
PROM. SIN 2010
PRECIP. 2010
PROM. SIN 2011
PRECIP. 2011
PROM. SIN 2012
PRECIP. 2012

CHONTALI
Ene

Feb

Mar

Abr

May

Jun

Jul

Ago

127.36
121.10
125.78
149.50
127.34
121.50
117.78
293.50

129.15
206.40
137.99
47.20
123.77
303.30
133.09
135.40

159.05
278.40
163.94
190.40
165.46
163.00
162.86
209.90

158.49
141.80
157.34
162.50
157.07
167.40
156.82
171.80

102.30
104.20
101.39
120.50
104.54
63.90
102.03
109.00

60.47
75.10
59.61
90.70
61.04
64.90
60.74
70.20

43.66
8.40
41.22
52.30
39.99
74.30
39.97
74.80

24.44
11.70
21.98
56.00
22.64
44.00
23.47
29.10

Ene

Feb

Mar

Abr

May

Jun

Jul

Ago

52.79

92.00

88.28

99.09
15.90
92.73
105.00
89.88
144.90
93.38
95.90

70.54
33.55
71.13
25.20
66.18
94.50
71.42
21.20

41.20
33.70
42.36
17.40
42.33
17.90
41.56
28.60

Abr

May

Jun

Jul

Ago

87.83
31.00
83.21
95.70
82.63
103.80
80.94
127.40

65.74
5.60
62.26
54.40
65.56
8.20
64.96
16.60

33.05
62.00
37.72
1.20
35.11
37.26
7.20

92.98
0.00
85.82
92.44
6.40
85.82
-

10.82
13.40
11.73
1.50
11.68
2.20
11.00
-

JAN

55.33 95.17 93.96


19.80 50.90 14.50
50.45 93.13 87.43
83.20 77.40 99.40
50.97 93.40 89.07
76.50 73.80 78.00

32.90 15.09
17.35
5.35
33.31 14.03
11.60 20.30
30.48 15.05
51.20
6.00
32.77 14.40
19.10 15.10

PUENTE CHUNCHUCA
Ene

Feb

Mar

65.17 82.02 95.55


36.60 130.50 79.70
66.66 82.76 96.09
15.70 120.10 72.20
65.75 84.44 96.80
28.50 96.60 62.20
54.24 84.92 91.78
189.60 89.90 132.50

RELLENO DE DATOS FALTANTES DE LA ESTACION JAEN.


PX
PX

1
N

PA
PB
PC
P

... N
PA
PB
PC
PN

Los datos fueron rellenados utilizando la formula anterior del recuadro, utilizando diferentes datos
a continuacion se detallan:
PX : Dato faltante que se calcular posteriormente.
PX : Promedio de la precipitacion sin el dato de la estacion del ao faltante
PA : Dato de la Precipitacion de la estacion y ao completo.
PA : Promedio de la precipitacion sin el dato de la estacion del ao faltante

PX : Dato faltante que se calcular posteriormente.


PX : Promedio de la precipitacion sin el dato de la estacion del ao faltante
PA : Dato de la Precipitacion de la estacion y ao completo.
PA : Promedio de la precipitacion sin el dato de la estacion del ao faltante
PB : Dato de la Precipitacion de la estacion y ao completo.
PB : Promedio de la precipitacion sin el dato de la estacion del ao faltante
N : Numero de Estaciones con datos completos.
Ao
2008 JAEN

Ene

Feb

39.92

Mar

Abr

146.71 114.08 15.90

May

Jun

Jul

Ago

33.55

33.70

17.35

5.35

RELLENO DE DATOS FALTANTES DE LA ESTACION PUENTE CHUNCHUCA.


PX
PX

1
N

PA
PB
PC
P

... N
PA
PB
PC
PN

PX : Dato faltante que se calcular posteriormente.


PX : Promedio de la precipitacion sin el dato de la estacion del ao faltante
PA : Dato de la Precipitacion de la estacion y ao completo.
PA : Promedio de la precipitacion sin el dato de la estacion del ao faltante
PB : Dato de la Precipitacion de la estacion y ao completo.
PB : Promedio de la precipitacion sin el dato de la estacion del ao faltante
N : Numero de Estaciones con datos completos.

Los datos completados son los resaltados, se calcul utilizando hoja de Calculo Microsoft Excel 201

2008
2010
2011
2012

Ao
CHUNCHUCA
CHUNCHUCA
CHUNCHUCA
CHUNCHUCA

Ene

Feb

Mar

36.60 130.50 79.70


15.70 120.10 72.20
28.50 96.60 62.20
189.60 89.90 132.50

Abr

May

31.00
5.60
95.70 54.40
103.80 8.20
127.40 16.60

Jun

Jul

Ago

62.00
0.00
13.40
1.20
69.40
1.50
26.09
6.40
2.20
7.20 105.32 12.59

AL MENSUAL

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dic

45.38
40.30
46.38
22.30
44.86
49.70
45.16
44.20

100.82
128.40
99.30
155.80
98.82
164.50
104.12
69.00

129.03
116.40
118.65
303.30
122.45
234.90
129.91
100.70

115.66
202.10
121.86
90.40
124.24
47.60
119.60
131.10

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dic

28.55
18.35
28.55
18.30
29.39
6.60
28.88
13.70

75.11
41.90
73.16
69.10
74.09
56.10
71.71
89.40

69.50
35.20
69.29
38.10
65.74
87.90
65.54
90.70

65.99
21.50
63.53
55.90
58.52
126.00
62.56
69.50

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dic

22.94
16.00
23.98
2.50
22.98
15.40
22.44
-

95.41
61.40
93.51
88.00
95.89
54.60
91.10
121.70

72.86 75.36
74.52 78.05
51.30 40.40
75.39 67.34
40.00 179.60
73.01 74.11
71.00 91.60

izando diferentes datos que

Sep

Oct

18.35 41.90

Nov

DIC

35.20

21.50

UENTE CHUNCHUCA.

culo Microsoft Excel 2010.


Sep

Oct

16.00
2.50
15.40
16.31

61.40
88.00
54.60
121.70

Nov

DIC

51.32 78.12
51.30 40.40
40.00 179.60
71.00 91.60

RELLENO DE DATOS FALTANTES PP MAXIMA EN 24 HORAS

Estacin:

CHONTALI

Ao
PROM. SIN 2008
PRECIP. 2008
PROM. SIN 2010
PRECIP. 2010
PROM. SIN 2011
PRECIP. 2011
PROM. SIN 2012
PRECIP. 2012

Ene

Feb

Mar

Abr

May

Jun

Jul

Ago

33.61
34.40
34.57
17.20
34.37
20.80
32.77
49.50

24.35
47.30
26.38
10.70
23.30
66.20
25.86
20.20

31.83
41.90
32.22
34.80
32.76
25.10
31.48
48.20

34.69
66.30
36.78
28.70
36.63
31.40
36.04
42.00

20.42
25.80
20.71
20.70
21.22
11.40
20.33
27.40

16.47
15.00
16.04
22.70
16.62
12.20
16.34
17.30

10.77
4.30
10.27
13.30
10.34
11.90
10.16
15.20

6.81
5.80
6.53
10.80
6.74
6.90
6.56
10.20

Estacin:

JAN
Ene

Feb

Mar

Abr

May

Jun

Jul

Ago

13.22

26.11

27.65

12.94
16.60
12.20
25.50
12.34
23.80

25.55
32.80
24.99
39.50
25.57
32.60

29.50
5.50
27.07
34.70
28.08
22.50

27.19
10.20
24.78
41.50
24.92
39.80
25.86
27.50

21.92
15.80
22.17
12.50
17.70
70.60
22.67
6.00

17.40
23.50
18.44
10.00
18.86
4.50
18.21
13.00

9.37
17.40
10.45
3.40
9.03
21.80
10.22
6.40

10.96
3.40
9.82
18.30
10.98
3.20
10.70
6.80

Jul

Ago

Ao
PROM. SIN 2008
PRECIP. 2008
PROM. SIN 2010
PRECIP. 2010
PROM. SIN 2011
PRECIP. 2011
PROM. SIN 2012
PRECIP. 2012

Estacin:
Ao
PROM. SIN 2008
PRECIP. 2008
PROM. SIN 2010
PRECIP. 2010
PROM. SIN 2011
PRECIP. 2011
PROM. SIN 2012
PRECIP. 2012

PUENTE CHUNCHUCA
Ene

Feb

Mar

Abr

May

Jun

22.71
7.20
22.94
4.00
22.30
13.00
17.92
74.30

25.51
56.50
27.54
28.20
28.09
20.50
28.09
20.50

34.75
22.80
34.20
30.50
34.33
28.70
33.49
40.50

30.68
20.60
31.54
8.60
27.02
71.80
28.88
45.80

17.88
1.20
16.63
18.70
17.59
5.20 17.59
5.20

13.83
22.00
15.43
1.20 14.41
15.22
4.00 -

5.76
0.00
5.32

4.32
13.40
5.23
1.50
5.19
2.00
4.96

5.46
3.60
5.32
-

RELLENO DE DATOS FALTANTES DE LA ESTACION JAEN.


PX
PX

1
N

PA
PB
PC
P

... N
PA
PB
PC
PN

Los datos fueron rellenados utilizando la formula anterior del recuadro, utilizando diferentes datos
a continuacion se detallan:
PX : Dato faltante que se calcular posteriormente.
PX : Promedio de la precipitacion sin el dato de la estacion del ao faltante
PA : Dato de la Precipitacion de la estacion y ao completo.
PA : Promedio de la precipitacion sin el dato de la estacion del ao faltante

PX : Dato faltante que se calcular posteriormente.


PX : Promedio de la precipitacion sin el dato de la estacion del ao faltante
PA : Dato de la Precipitacion de la estacion y ao completo.
PA : Promedio de la precipitacion sin el dato de la estacion del ao faltante
PB : Dato de la Precipitacion de la estacion y ao completo.
PB : Promedio de la precipitacion sin el dato de la estacion del ao faltante
N : Numero de Estaciones con datos completos.

Los datos completados son los resaltados, se calcul utilizando hoja de Calculo Microsoft Excel 201
Ao
2008 JAEN

Ene

Feb

Mar

Abr

May

Jun

Jul

Ago

8.86

54.26

27.27

15.90

33.55

33.70

17.35

5.35

RELLENO DE DATOS FALTANTES DE LA ESTACION PUENTE CHUNCHUCA.


PX
PX

1
N

PA
PB
PC
P

... N
PA
PB
PC
PN

Donde N es el Numero de Estaciones con Datos completos para este caso ser 2

2008
2010
2011
2012

Ao
CHUNCHUCA
CHUNCHUCA
CHUNCHUCA
CHUNCHUCA

Ene

Feb

Mar

Abr

36.60 130.50 79.70 31.00


15.70 120.10 72.20 95.70
28.50 96.60 62.20 103.80
189.60 89.90 132.50 127.40

May

Jun

Jul

Ago

5.60
54.40
8.20
16.60

62.00
1.20
7.01
7.20

0.00
4.31
6.40
5.64

13.40
1.50
2.20
5.44

A EN 24 HORAS

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dic

19.14
29.10
20.51
4.60
19.93
15.00
20.07
12.40

29.41
23.80
28.62
37.90
28.68
36.90
29.49
22.30

31.43
32.60
30.37
51.60
29.38
69.50
32.12
20.20

25.42
33.30
26.11
20.80
26.63
11.50
25.83
25.80

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dic

11.48
10.90
11.85
6.20
12.13
2.50
11.92
5.20

20.17
26.70
20.61
21.00
20.24
25.80
20.53
22.00

28.02
20.60
28.70
11.80
27.80
23.50
27.82
23.20

21.38
20.60
21.38
20.60
20.91
26.70
22.08
11.50

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dic

29.48
17.00 25.91
67.00
28.32
33.20
29.04
23.20

28.01

26.76

4.96
8.00
5.38
2.50
4.92
8.50
5.18
-

ando diferentes datos que

28.82
17.40
29.07
14.20
28.22
25.20

27.55
16.50
25.31
45.60
28.02
10.30

ulo Microsoft Excel 2010.


Sep

Oct

Nov

DIC

18.35

41.90

35.20

21.50

ENTE CHUNCHUCA.

Sep

Oct

Nov

DIC

16.00
2.50
15.40
2.73

61.40
88.00
54.60
121.70

24.82
51.30
40.00
71.00

30.42
40.40
179.60
91.60

Precipitacion max. 24horas generada


AO
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009

P(mm)
67.61
41.59
35.65
47.83
42.23
41.05
37.14
47.29
59.36
55.11

Histograma de Precipitaciones Max.24 h. anuales

80
70
60
50

P(mm)

40
30
20
10
0
2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

Aos

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

10
0
2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

Aos

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

VALORES GUMBEL
Media reducida Yn
n
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100

0
0.4952
0.5230
0.5362
0.5436
0.5485
0.5521
0.5548
0.5569
0.5586
0.5600

1
0.4996
0.5252
0.5371
0.5442
0.5489
0.5524
0.5550
0.5570
0.5587

2
0.5035
0.5268
0.5380
0.5448
0.5493
0.5527
0.5552
0.5572
0.5589

3
0.5070
0.5283
0.5388
0.5453
0.5497
0.5530
0.5555
0.5574
0.5591

4
0.5100
0.5296
0.5396
0.5458
0.5501
0.5533
0.5557
0.5576
0.5592

5
0.5128
0.5309
0.5402
0.5463
0.5504
0.5535
0.5559
0.5578
0.5593

6
0.5157
0.5320
0.5410
0.5468
0.5508
0.5538
0.5561
0.5580
0.5595

7
0.5181
0.5332
0.5418
0.5473
0.5511
0.5540
0.5563
0.5581
0.5596

8
0.5202
0.5343
0.5424
0.5477
0.5515
0.5543
0.5565
0.5583
0.5598

3
0.9971
1.0811
1.2260
1.1480
1.1658
1.1782
1.1881
1.1959
1.2026

4
1.0095
1.0864
1.1255
1.1499
1.1667
1.1793
1.1890
1.1967
1.2032

5
1.0206
1.0915
1.1285
1.1519
1.1681
1.1803
1.1898
1.1973
1.2038

6
1.0316
1.0961
1.1313
1.1538
1.1696
1.1814
1.1906
1.1980
1.2044

7
1.0411
1.1004
1.1339
1.1557
1.1708
1.1824
1.1915
1.1987
1.2049

8
1.0493
1.1047
1.1363
1.1574
1.1721
1.1834
1.1923
1.1994
1.2055

Desviacin tipica reducida Sn


n
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100

0
0.9496
1.0628
1.1124
1.1413
1.1607
1.1747
1.1854
1.1938
1.2007
1.2065

1
0.9676
1.0696
1.1159
1.1430
1.1623
1.1759
1.1863
1.1945
1.2013

2
0.9833
1.0754
1.1193
1.1458
1.1638
1.1770
1.1873
1.1953
1.2020

VALORES GUMBEL

9
0.5220
0.5353
0.5430
0.5481
0.5518
0.5545
0.5567
0.5585
0.5599

9
1.0565
1.1086
1.3880
1.1590
1.1734
1.1844
1.1930
1.2001
1.2060

DISTRIBUCIN DE LAS PRECIPITACIONES MAX. EN 24 HORAS

ANLISIS CON DISTRIBUCIN LOG - NORMAL


AO

PRECIP.

PREC. ORDENADAS

F(x)

2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009

67.61

67.61

41.59

59.36

35.65

55.11

47.83

47.83

42.23

47.29

41.05

42.23

37.14

41.59

47.29

41.05

59.36

37.14

55.11

35.65

0.9746
0.8755
0.7704
0.5133
0.4924
0.3049
0.2836
0.2661
0.1576
0.1253

MEDIA

47.49

DESV.EST.

10.30

HISTOGRAMA

0.048
0.043
0.038
0.033
0.028
0.023
0.018
0.013
0.008
20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

precipitacion media

60.00

70.00

ANLISIS CON DISTRIBUCIN LOG - NORMAL DE 2 PARAMETROS:


AO
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009

PRECIP.
67.61
41.59
35.65
47.83
42.23
41.05
37.14
47.29
59.36
55.11

PREC. ORDENADAS

67.61
59.36
55.11
47.83
47.29
42.23
41.59
41.05
37.14
35.65

MEDIA
DESV.EST.
C.ASIMETRIA

y = ln (x)
4.2137
4.0836
4.0093
3.8677
3.8563
3.7431
3.7279
3.7148
3.6146
3.5738
3.840
0.208
0.564

LN2

2.300
2.100
1.900
1.700
1.500
1.300
1.100
0.900
0.700
0.500
3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00
Y=LnX

ANALISIS CON DISTRIBUCION LOG - NORMAL DE 3 PARAMETROS:


AO
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009

PRECIP.
67.61
41.59
35.65
47.83
42.23
41.05
37.14
47.29
59.36
55.11

MEDIA
DESV.EST.
a
C.ASIMETRIA

PREC. ORDENADAS y = ln (x-a)

67.608
59.360
55.110
47.831
47.291
42.228
41.593
41.050
37.138
35.652

3.7520
3.5369
3.4049
3.1281
3.1042
2.8466
2.8090
2.7757
2.4963
2.3657
3.095
0.407
25.000
0.272

Axis Title

1.200
1.000
0.800
0.600
0.400
0.200
0.000
2.0002.5003.0003.5004.0004.5005.000

ANALISIS CON DISTRIBUCION GUMBEL:


AO

PRECIP.

2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009

67.61
41.59
35.65
47.83
42.23
41.05
37.14
47.29
59.36
55.11

Var. Reducida
PREC. ORDENADAS

y = (x - u)/a

67.608
59.360
55.110
47.831
47.291
42.228
41.593
41.050
37.138
35.652

2.35
1.59
1.20
0.53
0.48
0.01
0.05
0.10
0.46
0.60

x medio
desv. Est x (Sx)

47.486
10.301

n = nmero de dato10.000
0.4952
yn medio =
0.9496
Sn =
parmetros, segn n
10.848
a = Sx / Sn
42.114
u = x-yn*a

12.00
10.00
8.00
6.00
TIEMPO DE RETORNO EN AOS
4.00
2.00
30.000

40.000
50.000
60.000
PRECIPITACIN

70.000

MAX. EN 24 HORAS

f(x)

0.0057
0.0199
0.0294
0.0387
0.0387
0.0340
0.0329
0.0319
0.0234
0.0200

70.00

METROS:
F(x)
0.9639
0.8792
0.7919
0.5521
0.5304
0.3195
0.2939
0.2724
0.1383
0.0995

f(x)
0.3819
0.9680
1.3805
1.9050
1.9158
1.7212
1.6588
1.5996
1.0633
0.8421

L DE 3 PARAMETROS:

5005.000

F(x)
0.9466
0.8610
0.7766
0.5325
0.5091
0.2711
0.2415
0.2167
0.0709
0.0368

f(x)
0.2666
0.5436
0.7330
0.9759
0.9789
0.8132
0.7655
0.7204
0.0709
0.0368

ducida

60.000

Tr

10.99
5.42
3.84
2.24
2.16
1.59
1.54
1.50
1.26
1.19

70.000

BONDAD DE AJUSTE DE LAS PRECIPITACIONES

AOS
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009

DATOS
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

Emprica
0.091
0.182
0.273
0.364
0.455
0.545
0.636
0.727
0.818
0.909

Probabilidad de excedencia F(x)


Normal
LN2
LN3
0.02539
0.03612
0.05338
0.12453
0.12081
0.13898
0.22962
0.20806
0.22336
0.48666
0.44793
0.46747
0.50755
0.46962
0.49086
0.69510
0.68049
0.72886
0.71636
0.70613
0.75854
0.73395
0.72756
0.78328
0.84244
0.86166
0.92909
0.87467
0.90050
0.96323

Diferencia
Gumbel
0.091
0.185
0.261
0.446
0.462
0.628
0.650
0.668
0.794
0.837

Normal
0.066
0.057
0.043
0.123
0.053
0.150
0.080
0.007
0.024
0.034

0.14965
Aceptada

FORMULA:

K=1.36/
N: Numero de datos.

0.43

NDAD DE AJUSTE DE LAS PRECIPITACIONES

Diferencia Delta D
LN2
LN3
0.055
0.038
0.061
0.043
0.065
0.049
0.084
0.104
0.015
0.036
0.135
0.183
0.070
0.122
0.000
0.056
0.043
0.111
0.009
0.054

Gumbel
0.0001
0.0027
0.0122
0.0823
0.0078
0.0828
0.0134
0.0591
0.0237
0.0721

0.13504

0.18340

0.08278

Aceptada

Aceptada

Aceptada

0.43

ANALISIS CON DISTRIBUCION GUMBEL:


AO

PRECIP.

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

67.61
41.59
35.65
47.83
42.23
41.05
37.14
47.29
59.36
55.11

Var. Reducida
PREC. ORDENADAS

y = (x - u)/a

67.61
59.36
55.11
47.83
47.29
42.23
41.59
41.05
37.14
35.65

2.35
1.59
1.20
0.53
0.48
0.01
0.05
0.10
0.46
0.60

x medio
desv. Est x (Sx)

47.486
10.301

n = nmero de datos 10.000


0.4952
yn medio =
0.9496
Sn =
parmetros, segn n
10.848
a = Sx / Sn
42.114
u = x-yn*a
12.00
10.00
8.00
6.00
TIEMPO DE RETORNO EN AOS
4.00
2.00
30.000

40.000
50.000
PRECIPITACIN

60.000

70.000

CALCULO DE LAS PRECIPITACIONES PARA CADA TIEMPO DE RETORNO


Tr
2
5
10
20
25
50
100
200

Pexc.(1/Tr)
0.500
0.200
0.100
0.050
0.040
0.020
0.010
0.005

Pno exc.
0.500
0.800
0.900
0.950
0.960
0.980
0.990
0.995

ln(1-1/Tr)
0.693
0.223
0.105
0.051
0.041
0.020
0.010
0.005

e(-y)
0.693
0.223
0.105
0.051
0.041
0.020
0.010
0.005

500

0.002

0.998

0.002

0.002

UMBEL:

ucida
Tr

10.99
5.42
3.84
2.24
2.16
1.59
1.54
1.50
1.26
1.19

70.000

TIEMPO DE RETORNO
y=-(LN(e(-y)))
0.367
1.500
2.250
2.970
3.199
3.902
4.600
5.296

x=u+a*y
46.09
58.39
66.53
74.34
76.81
84.44
92.02
99.56

6.214

109.52

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