1 BritMart's Returns
Since its listing last year on the FTSE 100, the market value of BritMart rose
from 21 to 23.5. For each of the following cases calculate the rate of
return, distinguishing the dividend yield from the capital gain:
a) BritMart pays no dividend
b) BritMart decides to pay a dividend of 0.85 per share.
c) BritMart paid the dividend, but the total return to the shareholder is
separated into the dividend yield and the capital gain.
Assumptions
Share price, P1
Share price, P2
Dividend paid, D2
Value
21.00
23.50
0.00
11.905%
Value
21.00
23.50
0.85
15.952%
Return = ( D2 / P1 ) + ( P2 - P1 ) / P1
c. Assuming it did pay the dividend, separate the shareholder's total return
into its two components -- the dividend yield and the capital gain.
Dividend yield is D2 / P1
4.048%
11.905%
15.952%
Assumptions
Initial Share Price
Number of shares
Initial exchange rate (/)
Current Share Price
Current Exchange rate (/)
20
1000
0.8375
25.25
0.722
a. If Jennie sells her shares today, what percentage change in the share price would
she receive?
Change in share price
P2-P1/P1
26.25%
b. What is the percentage change in the value of the euro versus the pound over this same period?
Change in exchage rate
-13.79%
c. What is the total return that Jennie would earn on her shares if she sold them at these rates?
Total return
###
number of shares x (1 + % change in share price)
Assumptions
Initial Share Price
Number of shares
Initial exchange rate (/)
Current Share Price
Current Exchange rate (/)
20
1000
0.8375
35.00
0.722
20
1000
0.8375
35.00
0.75
1,750
###
Date
Sep-04
Sep-05
Sep-06
Sep-07
Sep-08
Sep-09
Closing
Share
Price
200.00
205.00
216.00
196.00
150.00
193.00
If
Dividend
Paid
Shareholder
Return
(without Div)
Shareholder
Return
(with Div)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
2.50%
5.37%
-9.26%
-23.47%
28.67%
2.75%
5.61%
-9.03%
-23.21%
29.00%
0.76%
1.02%
Value
100.00
120.00
1.50
21.50%
The price/earnings ratio (P/E) is one of the tools used to compare companies in the same sector. A high P/E ratio means that investors pay
more for each Swiss franc of net income, especially if they believe that it has future potential. Due to high research and development
expenses incurred by pharmaceutical firms, their P/E is usually higher than those of other industries.
SmallPhar and EuroPhar are hypothetical pharmaceutical firms registered on the Swiss Exchange in Zurich. EuroPhar is considering
acquiring SmallPhar to take advantage of its future growth and potential new drug production. The following table summarizes the financial
situation of both firms:
Market
Total
Number
value
Market
Company
P/E ratio
of shares
per share
Earnings
EPS
Value
SmallPhar
35
2,000,000
CHF 35.00
2,000,000
CHF 1.00
70,000,000
EuroPhar
20
10,000,000
CHF 30.00
15,000,000
CHF 1.50
300,000,000
EuroPhar wants to acquire SmallPhar. It offers 2,500,000 shares of EuroPhar, with a current market value of CHF75,000,000 and a 7.14%
premium on SmallPhars shares, for all of SmallPhars shares.
Rate of exchange -- Modern American shares offered:
2,500,000
a. What is the total number of outstanding shares that EuroPhar will have after acquiring SmallPhar?
10,000,000 + 2,500,000
12,500,000
SmallPhar's shares are worth CHF 35 per share, but Euro Phar also needs to pay a premium for gaining control of Small Phar, so it pays an
additional 7.14% over market.
b. Calculate the consolidated earnings after the acquisition.
SmallPar earnings + EuroPhar earnings
(CHF)
CHF
17,000,000
c. If the P/E ratio after the capitalization stays at 20, what would be the new market value of EuroPhar?
P/E x Consolidated earnings =
20 x 35000000
CHF
340,000,000
CHF 1.36
CHF
27.20
CHF
-2.80
-9.33%
g. Assume that the market takes a negative view of the acquisition and lowers EuroPhar's P/E ratio to 10.
What would be the new market price per share of stock? What would be its percentage loss?
35,000,000 x 10
New market price per share = total market value / shares outstanding =
Percentage loss to original Modern American shareholders = ($38.71 - $40.00)/ ($40.00)
CHF
10
170,000,000
CHF 13.60
-54.67%
Company
Small Phar
Euro Phar
P/E ratio
Number
of shares
Market
value
per share
Earnings
EPS
Total
Market
Value
35
20
2,000,000
10,000,000
CHF 35.00
CHF 30.00
20,000,000
10,000,000
CHF 1.00
CHF 1.50
70,000,000
300,000,000
If earnings were lowered to CHF 10,000,000 could Euro Phar still do the deal?
Small Phar need to be paid their market value plus a premium of 7.14% which is in CHF =
74,998,000
At new market rates for Modern American, this would require the offer of (CHF74,9998,000/CHF30 per share)
2,499,933
shares
Yehti Manufacturing
Long-term debt
Retained earnings
Paid-in common stock: 1 million A-shares
Paid-in common stock: 4 million B-shares
Total long-term capital
Local Currency
(millions)
200
300
100
400
1,000
Total Votes
10.00
1.00
1,000
400
1,400
a. What proportion of the total long-term capital has been raised by A-shares?
A-shares / Total long-term capital
100 / 1,000
10.00%
1,000 / 1,400
71.43%
20.00%
Yehti Manufacturing
Long-term debt
Retained earnings
Paid-in common stock: 1 million A-shares
Paid-in common stock: 4 million B-shares
Total long-term capital
Local Currency
(millions)
200
300
100
400
1,000
Total Votes
1.00
1.00
100
400
500
a. What proportion of the total long-term capital has been raised by A-shares?
A-shares / Total long-term capital
100 / 1,000
10.00%
100 / 500
20.00%
20.00%
2013
2014
2015
###
###
###
50%
45%
44%
1E+006 1E+006 1E+006
100
102
105
10000 10368 10476
2008
12,000,000
12.3
2009
12,000,000
12.1
2010
12,000,000
11.4
977,199
994,200
1,057,269
The analysis of debt service payments on the Japanese yen-denominated long-term loan indicates that for the past two
years the effective cost of repaying the loan, in Hong Kong dollars, has been steadily rising as the Hong Kong dollar has
fallen in value against the Japanese yen. In fact, the Japanese yen debt has not proven to be as cheap as thought.
(thousands of US$)
Europe
Latin America
Canada
Asia Pacific
Total International
United States
Sales Adjustments
Total Net Sales
2001
Sales ($)
933,450
471,301
155,791
119,749
1,680,291
3,392,284
(384,651)
4,687,924
Region
Europe
Latin America
Canada
Asia Pacific
2002
Sales ($)
1,126,177
466,349
161,469
136,944
1,890,939
3,422,405
(428,004)
4,885,340
2003
Sales ($)
1,356,131
462,167
185,831
171,580
2,175,709
3,203,814
(419,423)
4,960,100
2004
Sales ($)
1,410,525
524,481
197,655
203,575
2,336,236
3,209,862
(443,312)
5,102,786
(thousands of US$)
Europe
Latin America
Canada
Asia Pacific
Total International
United States
Sales Adjustments
Total Net Sales
(thousands of US$)
Europe
Latin America
Canada
Asia Pacific
Total International
United States
Sales Adjustments
Total Net Sales
2002
Sales ($)
1,126,177
466,349
161,469
136,944
1,890,939
3,422,405
(428,004)
4,885,340
2003
Sales ($)
1,356,131
462,167
185,831
171,580
2,175,709
3,203,814
(419,423)
4,960,100
2003
Sales ($)
1,356,131
462,167
185,831
171,580
2,175,709
3,203,814
(419,423)
4,960,100
(1)
Percent
Change in
Gross Sales
20.4%
-0.9%
15.1%
25.3%
15.1%
-6.4%
-2.0%
1.5%
(2)
Impact of
Change in
Currency Rates
15.0%
-6.0%
11.0%
13.0%
(3)
Net
Change in
Sales
5.4%
5.1%
4.1%
12.3%
2004
Sales ($)
1,410,525
524,481
197,655
203,575
2,336,236
3,209,862
(443,312)
5,102,786
(1)
Percent
Change in
Gross Sales
4.0%
13.5%
6.4%
18.6%
7.4%
0.2%
5.7%
2.9%
(2)
Impact of
Change in
Currency Rates
8.0%
-2.0%
5.0%
6.0%
(3)
Net
Change in
Sales
-4.0%
15.5%
1.4%
12.6%
Note: The "net change in sales" by global region is determined by netting the change in currency rates from the calcualted
percent change in gross sales. Column (3) = Column (1) + Column (2).
Answer to c)
Over the 2001 to 2004 period, Mattel benefited greatly from the change in exchange rates. Only in the case of Latin America,
where exchange rate changes were actually negative in impact on sales levels for the entire period, did the exchange rate changes
not positively impact regional sales.
Original/Current
$880,000.00
4.0%
$844,800.00
20.0%
$168,960.00
Revaluation?
Future?
$189,235.20
8.28
1,398,988.80
12.0%
7.39
1,398,988.80
$20,275.20
$865,075.20
a. The revaluation of the Chinese yuan by 12% would completely nullify all of the cost reduction benefits achieved via
the six sigma/lean manufacturing initiatives recently completed.
b. The percentage change in the cost of the total hydraulic system can be calculated by multiplying the percentage
increase in the exchange rate times the percent of total cost made up by the hydraulic tubing:
Hydraulic tubing, % of total
Percent revaluation of the yuan
Total system cost impact, percent
New total system cost ($)
Old total system cost ($)
Percent change
20.0%
12.0%
2.40%
$865,075.20
$844,800.00
2.40%
Which period shown had the highest total returns? The lowest?
Which decade had the highest dividend returns? When were dividends clearly not a priority for publicly traded companies?
The 1990s was a boom period for U.S. equity returns. How did firm's react in terms of their dividend distributions?
How has the 2000s period fared? How do you think publicly traded companies have started changing their dividend distribution habits as a result?
1930s
-5.3%
5.4%
0.1%
1940s
3.0%
6.0%
9.0%
1950s
13.6%
5.1%
18.7%
1960s
4.4%
3.3%
7.7%
1970s
1.6%
4.2%
5.8%
1980s
12.6%
4.4%
17.0%
1990s
15.3%
2.5%
17.8%
2000s
-2.7%
1.8%
-0.9%
1926 to
2014
5.9%
4.0%
9.9%
a. Which period shown had the highest total returns? The lowest?
The 1950s -- somewhat surprisingly -- had the highest total returns. The lowest were the 2000s.
b. Which decade had the highest dividend returns? When were dividends clearly not a priority for publicly traded companies?
Dividend returns were the highest in the 1940s. Since 2000 dividend yields have clearly been a lower priority.
c. The 1990s was a boom period for U.S. equity returns. How did firm's react in terms of their dividend distributions?
Dividend distributions/yields were clearly down during this era.
d. How has the 2000s period fared? How do you think publicly traded companies have started changing their dividend distribution habits as a result?
A negative return for 2000s shows pretty awful performance! Companies are increasing dividends -- now --- finally -- as a result.
1930s
-5.3%
5.4%
0.1%
1940s
3.0%
6.0%
9.0%
1950s
13.6%
5.1%
18.7%
1960s
4.4%
3.3%
7.7%
Source: Data drawn from "JP Morgan Guide to the Markets, 2015," JP Morgan Asset Management.
1970s
1.6%
4.2%
5.8%
1980s
12.6%
4.4%
17.0%
1990s
15.3%
2.5%
17.8%
2000s
-2.7%
1.8%
-0.9%
1926 to
2014
5.9%
4.0%
9.9%