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DEPARTMENT OF

ENERGY

Energy Insights: The New


Administrations Energy Plan
Atty. Richie Ramos-Pilares
DOE Spokesperson
25 August 2016

Outline
Philippine Energy Mix

Philippine Power Mix


Philippine Generation Mix

Initiatives for the Power Sector


Strategic Direction 2016-2030

DEPARTMENT OF

ENERGY

PRIMARY ENERGY MIX


2014

Biomass
15.44%

Solar/Wind
0.03%

2015
Biofuels
0.80%

Biomass
14.36%

Solar/Wind
0.15%

Oil
31.63%
Geothermal
18.61%

Oil
34.14%

Geothermal
18.34%

Natural Gas
6.37%
Hydro
4.77%

Total Energy: 47.6 MTOE


RE: 39.7%
RE + Natgas: 46%

Biofuels
0.84%

Coal
22.34%

DEPARTMENT OF

ENERGY

Hydro
4.17%

Total Energy: 51.8 MTOE


RE: 37.9%
RE + Natgas: 43.4%

Natural Gas
5.57%
Coal
22.44%

FUEL INPUT MIX FOR POWER GENERATION


2014
Other RE
0.39%

2015

Oil
5.82%
Natural Gas
12.03%

Other RE
0.88%

Coal
36.69%

Coal
34.74%

Total Input: 23.7 MTOE


RE: 47.4%

DEPARTMENT OF

ENERGY

Natural Gas
10.68%

Geothermal
37.61%

Geothermal
37.43%

Hydro
9.60%

Oil
5.60%

Hydro
8.54%

Total Input: 25.2 MTOE


RE: 47.0%

2015 POWER GENERATION MIX


PHILIPPINES

PHL Generation
82.4 TWh

PHL RE =
25.4%

- Interconnection
Source: DOE Power Statistics 2015

CAPACITY MIX
PHILIPPINES

FUEL TYPE
Coal
Oil Based
Natural Gas
RE
Geothermal
Hydro
Wind
Biomass
Solar
TOTAL
Coal
Oil Based
Natural Gas
RE
Geothermal
Hydro
Wind
Biomass
Solar

TOTAL
Coal
Oil Based
Natural Gas
RE
Geothermal
Hydro
Wind
Biomass
Solar

PHILIPPINES
Capacity (MW)
Percent Share (%)
Installed Dependable Installed Dependable
6,666
6,264
33
35
3,646
3,003
18
17
2,872
2,780
14
16
6,870
5,878
34
33
1,917
1,694
10
9
3,609
3,120
18
17
427
383
2
2
233
157
1
1
684
524
3
3
20,055
17,925
100
100
LUZON
5,247
4,928
37
38
2,133
1,785
15
14
2,871
2,780
20
21
4,098
3,616
29
28
844
2,537
337
95
284

14,348
769
685
1
1,509
965
11
90
101
341

TOTAL

2,965

Coal
Oil Based
Natural Gas
RE

650
828
0
1,264

Geothermal
Hydro
Wind
Biomass
Solar

TOTAL

777
2,271
293
71
204

6
18
2
1
2

13,109
100
VISAYAS
761
26
469
23
0
0
1,268
51
813
11
90
77
278

33
0
3
3
12

2,498
100
MINDANAO
575
24
749
30
0
0
994
46

6
17
2
1
2

100
30
19
0
51
33
0
4
3
11

100
25
32
0
43

108
1,061
0
36
59

104
837
0
10
43

4
39
0
1
2

5
36
0
0
2

2,742

2,318

100

100

Source: DOE List of Existing Power Plants, 30 June 2016

2016 1ST HALF CAPACITY MIX

PHL Installed Capacity


20.06 GW

PHILIPPINES
Wind
2.13%

Solar
3.41%

Biomass
1.16%

Hydro
18.00%

Coal
33.24%

Geothermal
9.56%

Natural Gas
14.32%
- Interconnection
Source: DOE List of Existing Power Plants, 30 June 2016

PHL RE =
34.3%

Oil Based
18.18%

CAPACITY MIX
LUZON
LUZON
FUEL TYPE
Coal
Oil Based
Diesel
Oil Thermal
Gas Turbine

Natural Gas
Geothermal
Hydro
Wind
Biomass
Solar
TOTAL

Capacity (MW)
Installed Dependable
5,247
4,928
2,133
1,785
763
650
720

645
600
540

2,871
844
2,537
337
95
284
14,348

2,780
777
2,271
293
71
204
13,109

Percent Share (%)


Installed Dependable
36.6
37.6
14.9
13.6
5.3
4.5
5.0

4.9
4.6
4.1

20.0
5.9
17.7
2.3
0.7
2.0
100.0

21.2
5.9
17.3
2.2
0.5
1.6
100.0

Dependable Capacity
Wind
2%

Biomass
0%

Solar
2%

Hydro
17%

Coal
38%

Geothermal
6%

Natural Gas
21%
Oil Based
14%

Source: DOE List of Existing Power Plants, 30 June 2016

CAPACITY MIX
VISAYAS
VISAYAS
FUEL TYPE
Coal
Oil Based
Diesel
Gas Turbine

Natural Gas
Geothermal
Hydro
Wind
Biomass
Solar
TOTAL

Capacity (MW)
Installed Dependable
769
761
685
469
630
55

469
0

1
965
11
90
101
341
2,965

0
813
11
90
77
278
2,498

Percent Share (%)


Installed Dependable
26.0
30.5
23.1
18.8
21.3
1.9

0.0
32.5
0.4
3.0
3.4
11.5
100.0

Dependable Capacity

18.8
0.0

0.0
Biomass
32.5 Wind 3%
0.4 4%
3.6 Hydro
3.1
0%
11.1
100.0

Solar
11%
Coal
30%

Geothermal
33%
Oil Based
19%

Source: DOE List of Existing Power Plants, 30 June 2016

Natural Gas
0%

CAPACITY MIX
MINDANAO
FUEL TYPE
Coal
Oil Based
Diesel

Natural Gas
Geothermal
Hydro
Wind
Biomass
Solar
TOTAL

MINDANAO
Capacity (MW)
Percent Share (%)
Installed Dependable Installed Dependable
650
575
23.7
24.8
828
749
30.2
32.3
828

749

0
108
1,061
0
36
59
2,742

0
104
837
0
10
43
2,318

30.2

32.3

0.0
4.0
38.7
0.0
1.3
2.1
100.0

0.0
4.5
36.1
0.0
0.4
1.8
100.0

Dependable Capacity
Biomass
0%

Solar
2%

Coal
25%

Hydro
36%

Oil Based
32%
Geothermal
5%
Source: DOE List of Existing Power Plants, 30 June 2016

REVISITING ENERGY DATA


Establish updated inventory of operating power plants
Determine capacity requirement
Assess operating performance of power plants
Operating manual Desk Audit
Efficiency
Availability factor
Economic Life

DEPARTMENT OF

ENERGY

REVISITING ENERGY DATA


Determine level of contracted capacity by plant
Bilateral Contracts between the DU/EC and GenCo
(PSA/PSC)
Replacement Power comes in during preventive
Maintenance
Ancillary Services Procurement Agreements
between NGCP and Genco (ASPA)
Average capacity related to WESM sales
Dispatch Issues (Scheduled VS Actual)

DEPARTMENT OF

ENERGY

PROMOTE A
LOW
CARBON
FUTURE

ENCOURAGE
INVESTMENT IN
INFRASTRUCTURE
AND FACILITIES

EXPAND
ENERGY
ACCESS

PURSUE
DEVELOPMENT
AND
IMPLEMENTATION
OF LOCAL ENERGY
PLANS

IMPLEMENT &
MONITOR
SECTORAL
ROADMAPS &
ACTION PLANS

ENSURE
ENERGY
SECURITY

FOSTER
STRONGER
INTERNATIONAL
RELATIONS AND
PARTNERSHIPS

STRENGTHEN
CONSUMER
WELFARE AND
PROTECTION

ADVOCATE THE
PASSAGE OF THE
DEPARTMENTS
LEGISLATIVE
AGENDA

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STRATEGIC DIRECTIONS FOR 2016-2030

ENSURE ENERGY SECURITY

Improve reliability, availability and resiliency of energy infrastructure and


facilities
Connect the Mindanao grid with the interconnected Visayas and Luzon Grids
Promote indigenous energy development and utilization
Promote technology innovation through research, development,
demonstration and deployment
Clean, efficient and smart technologies

Climate proof energy infrastructures and facilities


Practice climate change adaptation and disaster readiness/preparedness

14

STRATEGIC DIRECTIONS FOR 2016-2030

EXPAND ENERGY ACCESS TO ENSURE


AFFORDABLE, RELIABLE, SUSTAINABLE
AND MODERN ENERGY FOR ALL

Update and implement the Power Development Plan


and its component plans (Transmission Devt. Plan,
Distribution Devt. Plan, Missionary Electrification Devt
Plan, Household Electrification Devt Plan)
Achieve 100 percent electrification of targeted
households in all the three major islands
Accelerate total privatization of PSALM assets

15

STRATEGIC DIRECTIONS FOR 2016-2030

3 PROMOTE A LOW CARBON FUTURE


Institute fuel mix policy
Triple RE Capacity by 2030 (based on 2010
level)

16

STRATEGIC DIRECTIONS FOR 2016-2030

ENCOURAGE INVESTMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURE


AND FACILITIES

Plan and build an appropriate portfolio of installed and


dependable power capacities for baseload, mid-merit and
peaking requirements.
Build a common carrier LNG receiving and distribution
infrastructure anchored at a future Clean Energy City

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GDP Economic Growth Drivers


2015

10%

2020
9%
30%

31%

59%
61%
All industry

All Commercial

All Agriculture

All Industry

2025

All Commercial

2030
7%

8%

30%

30%
63%

62%

All Industry

All Agriculture

All Commercial

All Agriculture

GDP growth: 2016 = 7%; 2017 to 2030 = 7.5%

All Industry

All Commercial

All Agriculture

LUZON LOAD CURVE MAY 3 2016


12,000
11,000
10,000

Max Demand = 9,726 MW


(3 May 2016)

MW

9,000
8,000

7,000
6,000

Demand

Demand and Required Reserves

5,000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Source: National Grid Corporation of the Philippines

LUZON LOAD DURATION CURVE


12000

11000

MW

10000
9000
8000
7000
6000

5000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
HOURS

Source: National Grid Corporation of the Philippines

LUZON GENERATION PROFILE


2016 THEORETICAL PROFILE

Baseload

8887.04

9,000

78%

Intermediate

1954.16

2,000

17%

Peaking

503.36

500
11,500

4%
100%

2014 PROFILE BASED ON ACTUAL PLANT FACTORS

Baseload
Intermediate
Peaking

5840.49
2457.10
3730.47

Note: Natural Gas included as baseload

5,900
2,500
3,700
12,100

49%
21%
31%
100%

STRATEGIC DIRECTIONS FOR 2016-2030

PURSUE DEVELOPMENT AND


IMPLEMENTATION OF LOCAL ENERGY
PLANS IN SUPPORT OF REGIONAL
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT PLANS

Formulate/update Philippine Energy Plan and Regional


Energy Plans
Mindanao Energy Plan
Visayas Energy Plan
Mindoro Island Power Development Plan
Palawan Island Power Development Plan

22

STRATEGIC DIRECTIONS FOR 2016-2030

IMPLEMENT AND MONITOR SECTORAL ROADMAPS AND


ACTION PLANS

Alternative fuels
Energy Efficiency and Conservation
Resource development (oil, gas and coal)
Renewable Energy
Downstream oil, gas and coal
Power and electrification
ICT for energy (greater access to information by public and other stakeholders)

23

STRATEGIC DIRECTIONS FOR 2016-2030

ADVOCATE THE PASSAGE OF THE


DEPARTMENTS LEGISLATIVE AGENDA

Energy Efficiency and Conservation, Natural Gas, Liquefied Petroleum


Gas (LPG), Energy projects as projects of national significance,
Petroleum Upstream Regulation
Review of existing laws such as EPIRA, Downstream Oil Industry,
Renewable Energy

24

STRATEGIC DIRECTIONS FOR 2016-2030

STRENGTHEN CONSUMER WELFARE AND


PROTECTION THROUGH MULTI-SECTORAL
MULTIMEDIA IEC PROGRAMS

Conduct nationwide IEC campaigns on ways to reduce electricity,


fuel consumption and safe handling and usage of petroleum
products
Promote energy awareness among public school students through
conduct of seminars and field visits

25

STRATEGIC DIRECTIONS FOR 2016-2030

FOSTER STRONGER INTERNATIONAL


RELATIONS AND PARTNERSHIPS

Bilateral and multi-lateral energy cooperation


Facilitate free trade agreements on energy trade and
services
UNs Sustainable Energy for All (SE4All)

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DEPARTMENT OF

ENERGY

END OF PRESENTATION
Energy Insights: The New Administrations
Energy Plan
25 August 2016