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CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL

A Tight Race for President


September 9-13, 2016
Q1. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much, or no
attention so far?

A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Don't know/No answer

** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
61
67
61
54
26
25
24
30
8
6
9
8
4
1
5
7
1
1
1
*

Jul16e
%
60
26
7
6
*

Q2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 election for President this November -- would you say you will
definitely vote, probably vote, probably not vote, or definitely not vote in the election for President?
Definitely vote
Probably vote
Probably not vote
Definitely not vote
Don't know/No answer

83
11
3
2
1

87
9
3
*
1

83
12
2
2
1

78
13
5
3
1

82
12
2
3
1

Q3. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for President and
Tim Kaine for Vice President, the Democrats, and Donald Trump for President and Mike Pence for Vice President, the
Republicans, would you vote for Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine or Donald Trump and Mike Pence?

Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine


Donald Trump and Mike Pence
Other (vol.)
Won't vote (vol.)
Depends (vol.)
Don't know/No answer
*Among registered voters

**** LIKELY VOTERS ****


44
6
84
37
43
84
8
40
5
3
3
11
2
2
1
3
2
1
2
2
4
4
2
7

Jul16e*
46
39
3
7
2
4

Q4. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for President and
Tim Kaine for Vice President, the Democrats, and Donald Trump for President and Mike Pence for Vice President, the
Republicans, would you vote for Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine or Donald Trump and Mike Pence?
IF DEPENDS OR DONT KNOW: Well as of today, do you lean more toward Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine or more toward
Donald Trump and Mike Pence?
**** LIKELY VOTERS INCLUDING LEANERS****
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine
46
7
87
39
Donald Trump and Mike Pence
44
85
9
42
Other (vol.)
5
4
3
11
Won't vote (vol.)
2
2
1
3
Don't know/No answer
2
2
1
5
*Among registered voters

Jul16e*
%
47
41
3
7
3

Q5. Is your mind made up or do you think you might change your mind before the election?

Mind made up
Might change mind
Don't know/No answer

Total
%
91
8
1

Clinton Vtrs
%
94
6
*

Trump Vtrs
%
92
7
*

Q6. Would you describe your support for (Hillary Clinton/Donald Trump) as strongly favoring (Hillary Clinton/Donald
Trump), or do you like (Hillary Clinton/Donald Trump) but with reservations, or do you support (Hillary Clinton/Donald
Trump) because you dislike the other candidate?
Strongly favor
Like, but with reservations
Dislike other candidate
Don't know/No answer

52
22
25
1

51
24
24
1

53
20
26
2

Q7. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat,
Donald Trump, the Republican, Gary Johnson, the Libertarian, and Jill Stein, the Green Party candidate, would you vote
for Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Gary Johnson or Jill Stein?

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Gary Johnson
Jill Stein
Other (vol.)
Won't vote (vol.)
Depends (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

Total
%
41
41
8
4
1
*
1
3

Rep
%
5
82
8
2
*
1
*
2

Dem
%
81
8
5
3
1
*
*
2

Ind
%
32
36
12
9
1
*
2
8

Q8. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat,
Donald Trump, the Republican, Gary Johnson, the Libertarian, and Jill Stein, the Green Party candidate, would you vote
for Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Gary Johnson or Jill Stein? IF DEPENDS OR DONT KNOW: Well as of today, do you
lean more toward Hillary Clinton, or more toward Donald Trump, or more toward Gary Johnson, or more toward Jill
Stein?

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Gary Johnson
Jill Stein
Other (vol.)
Won't vote (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

**** LIKELY VOTERS INCLUDING LEANERS****


Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
42
5
82
34
42
83
8
39
8
8
6
13
4
2
3
9
1
*
1
2
*
1
*
*
2
1
*
4

Q9. Thinking about the 2016 presidential election, overall, would you say you are very enthusiastic, somewhat
enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all about voting?

Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not enthusiastic at all
Don't know/No answer

** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
36
43
38
28
26
25
26
27
19
15
21
20
17
17
13
23
2
1
2
3

Jul16e
%
38
27
15
19
1

Q10. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Donald
Trump yet to have an opinion?
Favorable
Not favorable
Undecided
Haven't heard enough
Don't know/No answer

33
53
10
3
1

68
19
11
2
1

8
84
6
2
1

27
53
14
5
1

31
52
11
5
1

Q11. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Hillary
Clinton yet to have an opinion?
Favorable
Not favorable
Undecided
Haven't heard enough
Don't know/No answer

35
52
10
1
1

4
91
4
1

69
16
12
2
1

27
54
16
2
1

36
50
11
2
1

Q12. Compared to past presidential campaigns, do you think the campaign this year has been more positive, more
negative, or about the same as past campaigns?
** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
Oct12a
%
%
%
%
%
More positive
6
9
4
6
8
More negative
67
55
78
67
37
About the same
24
34
17
24
52
Don't know/No answer
2
1
2
3
4
Q13. In deciding who you would like to see elected President this year, which one of the following issues will be most
important to you national security and terrorism, the economy and jobs, health care, immigration, or something else?
National security and terrorism
Economy and jobs
Health care
Immigration
Something else (vol.)
All are important (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

29
32
16
8
9
3
3

42
29
10
8
7
2
2

20
33
22
10
9
3
3

24
33
15
7
14
3
4

Q14-Q15 Held for future release


Q16. Do you think Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy, or not?

Honest and trustworthy


Not honest and trustworthy
Don't know/No answer

33
63
4

6
92
2

60
35
5

28
67
5

Jul16e
34
60
6

Q17. Do you think Hillary Clinton has the right kind of temperament and personality to be a good president, or not?
Yes, has
No, does not have
Don't know/No answer

55
44
2

20
77
2

89
10
1

49
47
3

57
39
4

34
63
4

May16a
37
60
3

Q18. Do you think Hillary Clinton shares your values, or not?

Yes
No
Don't know/No answer

40
57
3

6
92
1

76
21
3

Q19. How much do you think Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of Hispanic people -- a lot, some, not
much, or not at all?

A lot
Some
Not much
Not at all
Don't know/No answer

** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
24
6
42
20
33
24
41
34
15
24
8
14
22
39
6
25
6
7
3
8

Q20. If she were elected President, do you think Hillary Clinton could bring about real change in the way things are done
in Washington, or couldn't she do that?

Could
Could not
Don't know/No answer

36
60
5

10
88
2

58
36
6

36
58
6

May16a
%
36
60
3

Q22. Would you be more likely to describe electing Hillary Clinton as president as a safe choice for the country or a risky
choice for the country?
Safe choice
Risky choice
Both/Neither (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

47
51
1
1

11
87
1
1

82
15
1
1

42
54
2
2

Q23. Do you think Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy, or not?

Honest and trustworthy


Not honest and trustworthy
Don't know/No answer

35
60
4

67
29
5

9
87
3

33
61
5

Jul16e
36
59
5

Q24. Do you think Donald Trump has the right kind of temperament and personality to be a good president, or not?
Yes, has
No, does not have
Don't know/No answer

31
64
4

63
32
5

8
91
1

27
67
7

31
66
3

32
63
5

May16a
31
66
3

Q25. Do you think Donald Trump shares your values, or not?

Yes
No
Don't know/No answer

35
62
3

69
27
4

7
91
2

Q26. How much do you think Donald Trump cares about the needs and problems of Hispanic people -- a lot, some, not
much, or not at all?

A lot
Some
Not much
Not at all
Don't know/No answer

** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
15
29
3
13
24
44
7
23
17
11
22
19
40
11
66
40
4
4
2
5

Q27. If he were elected President, do you think Donald Trump could bring about real change in the way things are done
in Washington, or couldn't he do that?

Could
Could not
Don't know/No answer

48
48
4

76
19
5

21
75
4

51
45
4

May16a
%
51
47
2

Q28 Held for future release


Q29. Would you be more likely to describe electing Donald Trump as president as a safe choice for the country or a risky
choice for the country?
Safe choice
Risky choice
Both/Neither (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

30
67
1
2

63
35
1
1

6
92
1
1

24
71
2
4

Q30. Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling each of the
following issues Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump? Which candidate would do a better job handling (INSERT ITEM)?
a.

The economy and jobs

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both (vol.)
Neither (vol.)
Don't know/No answer
b.

43
51
1
3
2

8
89
1
1
1

78
18
*
3
1

39
52
1
6
2

Jul16a
41
52
1
5
2

12
83
1
3
1

84
13
2
1

46
43
1
7
3

46
46
*
5
2

Terrorism and national security

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both (vol.)
Neither (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

49
45
1
4
2

Q30. Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling each of the
following issues Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump? Which candidate would do a better job handling (INSERT ITEM)?
c.

Immigration

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both (vol.)
Neither (vol.)
Don't know/No answer
d.

** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
51
17
84
48
43
78
13
42
*
*
1
3
2
1
5
3
2
2
3

Jul16a
%
48
45
*
4
3

Foreign Policy

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both (vol.)
Neither (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

58
36
*
3
2

25
71
3
1

88
8
*
2
2

57
33
1
5
4

Q31-Q52 Held for future release.


Q53. Which comes closest to your view about ILLEGAL immigrants who are living in the U.S.? 1. They should be allowed
to stay in the U.S and eventually apply for citizenship, 2. They should be allowed to stay in the U.S. legally, but not be
allowed to apply for citizenship or 3. They should be required to leave the U.S.

Stay & apply for citizenship


Stay, but not apply for citizenship
Required to leave the U.S.
Don't know/No answer

** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
60
43
79
57
12
13
8
16
22
38
10
21
5
7
2
6

Jul16a
%
60
12
24
4

Q54. Compared to American citizens, how likely do you think ILLEGAL immigrants are to commit crimes -- are illegal
immigrants more likely, less likely, or about as likely to commit crimes as American citizens?
More likely
Less likely
About as likely
Don't know/No answer

25
14
59
2

38
5
55
2

14
22
62
2

23
15
60
2

24
14
59
3

Q55. Do you think Hillary Clinton did anything wrong when she set up a personal email address and server for work
while she was Secretary of State, or not? IF YES, ASK: Do you think Hillary Clintons activities regarding her personal
email address and server were improper but not illegal, or do you think they were illegal?

No, nothing wrong


Yes, improper, but not illegal
Yes, illegal
Don't know/No answer

** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
26
6
45
23
24
12
33
25
45
77
15
46
6
5
6
6

Jul16a
%
24
23
46
7

Q56. Do you think it is necessary for Donald Trump to publicly release his tax returns, or don't you think that is
necessary?
Necessary
Not necessary
Don't know/No answer

59
37
3

39
57
4

78
20
2

58
38
4

Q56a. Do you think Hillary Clinton should release more medical records concerning her health or do you think she has
released enough information already?
Should release more medical records
Has released enough information
Don't know/No answer

45
47
8

54
40
6

39
53
8

43
46
11

*interviews conducted 9/11-9/13/2016

Q56b. Do you think Donald Trump should release more medical records concerning his health or do you think he has
released enough information already?
Should release more medical records
Has released enough information
Don't know/No answer

45
43
11

40
52
8

52
38
10

43
40
17

*interviews conducted 9/11-9/13/2016


Unweighted
1,753

Weighted

Total Respondents
Total Registered Voters

1,433

1,314

Total Likely Voters

1,433

916

Republican Registered Voters


Democratic Registered Voters
Independent Registered Voters

470
516
447

426
484
405

Sample for Q56 and 56b

754