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Statistical Distribution

STA2610

Semesters 1 & 2

Department of Statistics

BAR CODE

university

of south africa

Dear students,

This tutorial letter aims to help you prepare for the examination, by giving you the solutions to a

trial examination paper. We will first give you the paper, and follow up by the model solutions. We

suggest that as part of your preparations for the examination, you attempt the exam paper under

examination conditions that is, without referring to the study guide or the text book, and trying to

complete it in the allocated time of 2 hours. This will give you a good idea of which parts of the

material you are struggling with. Remember that you learn much more by attempting to solve the

questions yourself rather than by just reading the solutions!

Here are a couple of more reminders to help you prepare for the examination:

You can access previous semesters examination papers on the modules myUnisa web site

(under Official Study material). We will not provide memos for these papers, however you are

welcome to send your attempts at any of the questions to your lecturers for feedback.

There will be no list of formulas in the examination paper.

You will be given tables of binomial and normal probabilities at the end of the examination

paper. Please see the previous examination papers to see the format of the tables, and

familiarise yourself on how to use them.

Similarly, get familiar with your calculator before the examination.

You should make sure you understand all parts of the study material which form part of the

syllabus. Do not try to guess what will be asked and what not.

Should you have any queries, do contact your lecturer but do not leave it too late!

Your STA2610 lecturers

Question 1

(a) A certain kind of appliance requires repairs on the average once every three years. Assuming

that the times between repairs are exponentially distributed, what is the probability that such

an appliance will work at least five years without requiring repairs?

(b) In the inspection of a fabric produced in continuous rolls, there is, on average, one imperfection per metre. Assuming that the number of imperfections is a random variable having

a Poisson distribution, find the probability that 5 metres of the fabric will have at most two

imperfections.

STA2610/103

Question 2

(a) In southern California, a growing number of individuals pursuing teaching credentials are

choosing paid internships over traditional student teaching programs. A group of eight candidates for three local teaching positions consisted of five who had enrolled in paid internships

and three who enrolled in traditional student teaching programs. All eight candidates appear

to be equally qualified, so three are randomly selected to fill the open positions. Let Y be the

number of internship trained candidates who are hired.

(i) Does Y have a binomial or hypergeometric distribution? Why?

(ii) Find the probability that two or more internship trained candidates are hired.

(iii) What is the mean of Y ?

(b) To verify the accuracy of their accounting entries, a company uses auditors for verification on

a regular basis. The companys employees make erroneous entries 8% of the time. Suppose

that an auditor randomly checks four entries.

(i) Find the probability distribution for Y , the number of errors detected by the auditor.

(ii) Find the probability that the auditor will detect more than one error.

Question 3

Let Y be a random variable with support f1; 2; 3; 4; 5g whose probability function p.y/ is given in the

table below. (One value is omitted.)

y

p .y/

1

0:2

2

0:1

3

0:1

5

0:4

sum

Find

(a) P.Y D 4/:

(b) P.Y is odd/:

(c) P.Y

2jY is odd/:

(d) E.Y /

(e) V .Y /

(f) E .2Y /

Question 4

The density function of Y is given by

f Y .y/ D

Find the density function for U D 3Y

3 2

2y

1 y 1

elsewhere.

Question 5

The joint density function for the random variables X and Y for the area 0 < x < 2; 0 < y < 3 is

f X;Y .x; y/ D

xCy

:

15

(a) Find the joint distribution function FX;Y .x; y/ in the region 0 < x < 2; 0 < y < 3.

(b) Calculate P.X

1; Y

2/:

(d) Find the condition density function f X=Y .xjy/:

STA2610/103

Question 1

(a) Let Y denote the time until the appliance first requires repairs. Then Y has the exponential

distribution with parameter D 3; with density function

1

y

1

f .y/ D e 3 ; y

3

0:

0 1 11

1

5

y

y

1

e 3 dy D @e 3 A dy D e 3 0:18888:

3

P .Y

5/ D

Alternatively we can use the distribution function of the exponential distribution: F .y/ D

5

1 e 3 and therefore

5

P .Y 5/ D 1 f .5/ D e 3 :

(b) The number of imperfections per metre has the Poisson distribution with parameter D 1;

and the number of imperfections per five metres, X; has the Poisson distribution with the

parameter 5 1 D 5: Therefore

P .X D k/ D

5 5k

k!

k D 1; 2; : : :

P .X

2/ D P .X D 0/ C P .X D 1/ C P .X D 2/

D

5 50

0!

5 51

1!

5 52

2!

37

e

2

0:124 65:

Question 2

(a)

(i) The random variable Y follows a hypergeometric distribution, since the population from

which the sample is selected is considered to be finite: the probability of being chosen

on a trial is dependent on the outcome of previous trials. The parameters are N D 8I

n D 3I r D 5 and

r

N r

y

n y

P .Y D y/ D

:

N

n

(ii)

P.Y

5

2

2/ D P.Y D 2/ C P.Y D 3/ D

5!

2!3!

3!

1!2!

8!

3!5!

3

1

8

3

5

3

3

0

8

3

5!

.1/

3!2!

8!

3!5!

(b)

(i) Y has the Binomial distribution with the following parameters: p D 0:08; q D 1

n D 4; and the probability function is

p .y/ D

n y n

p q

y

(ii)

P.Y > 1/ D p.2/ C p.3/ C p.4/

D

4

0:082 0:924

2

4

0:083 0:924

3

4

0:084 0:924

4

D 0:03442688

or, alternatively,

P.Y > 1/ D 1

D 1

D 1

p.0/

p.1/

4

0:080 0:924

0

0:71639296

4

0:081 0:924

1

0:24918016 D 0:03442688:

Question 3

(a) Since the sum of probabilities has to sum up to 1,

P.Y D 4/: D 1

p.1/

p.2/

p.3/

p.5/ D 0:2:

y

1

2

3

4

5 sum

p.y/ 0:2 0:1 0:1 0:2 0:4 1:0

p D 0:92;

STA2610/103

(b) P.Y is odd/ D p.1/ C p.3/ C p.5/ D 0:2 C 0:1 C 0:4 D 0:2

(c)

P.Y

2jY is odd/ D

p.Y D 1/

0:2

2

D

D

D

p.Y odd/

p.Y odd/

0:7

7

(d)

5

X

E.Y / D

yD1

yp.y/ D 3:5

(e)

E.Y 2 / D

V .Y / D E.Y 2 /

5

X

yD1

y 2 p.y/ D 14:7;

.3:5/2 D 2:45:

(f)

5

X

E.2 / D

2 y p.y/ D 17:6

y

yD1

Question 4

The density function of Y is given by

f Y .y/ D

3 2

2y

1 y<1

elsewhere.

Using the method of distribution functions, we first find the distribution function FU .u/ of U: By

definition,

uC1

FU .u/ D P .U

u/ D P .3Y

u/ D P Y

uC1

3

Z3

f Y .y/ dy:

To set the limits of integration, we note that for the transformation u D 3y 1; when y D

and when y D C1; u D C2. Therefore,

when u <

1; u D

4I

4;

uC1

FU .u/ D

Z3

0dy D 0I

when

2;

uC1

FU .u/ D

Z3

1

3 2

y dy D

2

1 3

y

2

uC1

3

1

1

2

uC1 3

3

1

1

1

. 1/3 D

.u C 1/3 C

2

54

2

when u > 2;

FU .u/ D

Z1

3 2

y dy D 1:

2

That is,

FU .u/ D

8

0;

>

>

>

>

>

<

1

54

>

>

>

>

>

: 1

.u C 1/3 C

1

2

u<

u>2

The density function is found by differentiating the distribution function with respect to the

variable u :

8

0;

u< 4

>

>

>

>

>

< d

d

1

1

1

fU .u/ D

FU .u/ D

D

4 u 2

.u C 1/3 C

.u C 1/2

54

>

du

du

2

18

>

>

>

>

:

0

u>2

Question 5

f X Y .x; y/ D

xCy

;

15

0 < x < 2;

0<y<3

(a) In the region 0 < x < 2, 0 < y < 3 the joint distribution function is given by

FX Y .x; y/ D

y

0

1

uCv

dvdu D

15

15

1

15

1

x 2 y C y2 x ;

30

1 2

1

u y C y2u

2

2

1

uv C v 2

2

1

15

1

du D

15

0

1

uy C y 2 du

2

1 2

1

x y C y2 x

2

2

0 < x < 2;

0 < y < 3:

(b)

P.X

1; Y

2/ D FX Y .1; 2/ D

1

1

1 2

.1 2 C 22 1/ D

6D :

30

30

5

P.X

1; Y

2/ D

1Z 2

0

1

xCy

d xdy D : : : D

15

5

but since the distribution function is already know, rather use it to calculate the probability.

STA2610/103

(c)

f Y .y/ D

and therefore

2

xCy

dx D

.y C 1/ ; 0 < y < 3

15

15

8

0;

>

< R

1

y 2

FY .y/ D

y .y C 2/ ;

.y C 1/ dy D

0

>

15

15

:

1;

Alternatively,

FY .y/ D FX Y .2; y/ D

and FY .y/ D 0 for y

1

.2y C y 2 /;

15

0<y<3

y

0 < y < 3;

0; FY .y/ D 1 for y

3:

(d)

FX jY .x; y/ D

f X Y .x; y/

; f Y .y/ 6D 0:

f Y .y/

Here, f X Y .x; y/ is given, and depending on how you answered (c) you will either already

calculated f Y or can find it by taking the derivative of the marginal distribution function F y.y/:

d

f Y .y/ D

FY .y/ D

dy

( 1

.4 C 4y/;

30

0;

0 < y < 3;

elsewhere

Therefore we get

FX jY .xjy/ D

8

>

>

>

<

1

15 .x C y/

1

30 .4 C 4y/

>

>

>

: 0

xCy

;

2 C 2y

elsewhere

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