NBC News|SurveyMonkey Second Debate Reaction Poll

Embargoed for release Tuesday, October 11, 2016 at 3:00PM ET
The NBC News|SurveyMonkey Second Debate Reaction Poll was conducted online on October 10, 2016 immediately following the
second presidential debate among a national sample of 3,834 likely voters (+/- 2.5%), 1,149 likely Republican voters (+/-4.7%) and
1,281 likely Democratic voters (+/-4.1%). Complete error estimates can be found in the methodology section below.

TOPLINE RESULTS
Which one of the following issues matters MOST to you right now?

10/10
9/26 - 9/27

Foreign
Policy
6
4

The
environment
9
8

Terrorism
16
18

Immigration
8
7

Health
care
15
13

Jobs and the
Economy
34
36

Education
8
9

No
answer
1

Other
5
5

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?
10/10
9/26 - 9/27

Strongly approve
31
32

Somewhat approve
22
19

Somewhat disapprove
10
12

Strongly disapprove
37
36

No answer
1

In politics today, do you consider yourself a Republican, Democrat, or Independent?
10/10
9/26 - 9/27

Republican
29
31

Democrat
35
36

Independent
35
33

No answer
1
1

As of today, do you lean more to the Republican Party or more to the Democratic Party? [AMONG IND OR DON’T KNOW FOR
PARTY]
10/10
9/26 - 9/27

Republican
Party
35
36

Democratic
Party
31
30

Neither
31
31

No answer
3
3

What are the chances that you will vote in the general election for President in November?

10/10

Already voted
4

Absolutely
certain I will
vote
82

Large chance
I will vote
8

50-50 chance I
will vote

Small chance I
will vote

3

2

I will not vote
1

No answer
1

Did you happen to watch the debate between the candidates for president that was held on Sunday, October 9th or not?
I did not watch the debate
and haven’t followed
coverage in the news

-

-

Yes, I watched the debate

I did not watch the debate but
followed coverage in the news

10/10

69

24

7

9/26 - 9/27

74

18

8

From what you have heard and read, who do you think won or did the best job in the debate? [AMONG THOSE WHO WATCHED
OR FOLLOWED COVERAGE]

Hillary Clinton

Donald Trump

10/10

44

34

Neither of them
21

No answer
1

9/26 - 9/27

52

21

26

1

After Sunday night’s presidential debate, has your opinion of Hillary Clinton changed for the better, worse, or not changed?
[AMONG THOSE WHO WATCHED OR FOLLOWED COVERAGE]

10/10
9/26 - 9/27

Changed for the better
17
26

Changed for the
worse
23
17

Not changed
59
56

No answer
1
1

After Sunday night’s presidential debate, has your opinion of Donald Trump changed for the better, worse, or not changed?
[AMONG THOSE WHO WATCHED OR FOLLOWED COVERAGE]

10/10
9/26 - 9/27

Changed for the better
23
13

Changed for the
worse
29
26

Not changed
48
60

No answer
1
1

If Hillary Clinton is elected president, which best describes your feelings about what she would do in office? [AMONG THOSE
WHO WATCHED OR FOLLOWED COVERAGE]

10/10

Excited
9

Optimistic
34

Concerned
24

Scared
32

No answer
1

If Donald Trump is elected president, which best describes your feelings about what he would do in office? [AMONG THOSE WHO
WATCHED OR FOLLOWED COVERAGE]

10/10

Excited
13

Optimistic
23

Concerned
19

Scared
44

No answer
1

METHODOLOGY
NBC News|SurveyMonkey Second Debate Reaction Poll was conducted online on October 10, 2016 immediately following the debate among a
national sample of 3,834 adults aged 18 and over who are likely to vote. Respondents for this survey were selected from the nearly three million
people who take surveys on the SurveyMonkey platform each day. Data for this week has been weighted for age, race, sex, education, region, and
voter registration status using the Census Bureau and Bureau of Labor Statistic’s Current Population Survey to reflect the demographic composition
of the United States. An additional smoothing parameter for ideology based on previous Election Tracking interviews is included. The smoothing
parameter was derived from aggregated data on ideology by region collected from previous weeks (May 1-June 26) of the Weekly Election Tracking
poll.
Because the sample is based on those who initially self-selected for participation rather than a probability sample, no estimates of sampling error
can be calculated. All surveys may be subject to multiple sources of error, including, but not limited to sampling error, coverage error, and
measurement error.
To assess the variability in the estimates and account for design effects, we create a bootstrap confidence interval to produce an error estimate.
The bootstrap confidence interval for this survey is plus or minus 2.5 percentage point for likely voters.
To calculate the bootstrap confidence interval we use the weighted data to generate 5000 independent samples and calculate the 95% confidence
intervals for the weighted average. When analyzing the survey results and their accuracy, this error estimate should be taken into consideration in
much the same way that analysis of probability polls takes into account the margin of sampling error.
Group
Total LVs

Unweighted N
3,834

Plus or minus
2.5

Republican LVs
Democrat LVs
Independent LVs

1,149
1,281
1,371

4.7
4.1
4.2

Male LVs
Female LVs

1,964
1,870

2.9
3.1

18-29 LVs
30-44 LVs
45-64 LVs
65+ LVs

401
755
1,850
828

7.6
5.3
3.7
5.2

White LVs
Black LVs
Hispanic LVs
Other LVs

3,103
268
195
268

2.8
8.5
11.5
9.1