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UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015561 Date: 08/15/2016 ‘Mills, Chery! D- eae “iaura@| § DDesei amitabh 26 Subject: FW: Haiti Survey Results ‘Attachments: (Oct 20 Presentation.ppt: Time Series; Crossabs - Total: Crosstebs - Camp pdf: Frequency Qadoc ‘ Laura This is for WIC. Greenberg poling. Its not for public reference or use until we publish key elements. Best. dm From: Sean Dryden ‘Sent: Tuesday, October 26, 2010 3:33 PM ‘Yo: Laszezych, Joanne ‘Subject: Haiti Survey Results Joanne, ‘Thanks again forall your help arranging last week's presentation. Chery raquested that we send electronic copies ofthe presentation, as well as the survey data. So please find attached: Last week's powerpoint which we presented ‘The frequency questionnaire for the September Haiti survey ‘A time-series of our six surveys since 2007 ‘Crosstabs forthe total population in this survey ‘And erosstabs for only camp residents Pease let me know if you have any questions, or need anything else. ‘Thanks, Sean UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015561 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C08015575 Date: 08/15/2016 0102090190 Aaning 2 sequiaydes — 91 ysnBny Jo uoHejuesald JO}SeSIG eB JO OYE OU} Ul seiunyoddo HOMVESEN CEDSCEIORADINOG GREE SEELD UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No, F-2015-16287 Doc No, C0601557S Date: 06/15/2016 ~ UNCLASSIFIED US, Department of State Case No, F-2015-18287 Doc No, C08015575 Date: 08/18/2016 Survey Introduction’ : > in October 2007, USAID commissioned Greenberg Quiniin Rosner to conduct seven public opinion polls over three years. > The following presentation covers results from the sixth poll. > Historical data includes the first three surveys conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner in December 2007, June, 2008, and Décember 2008; ; survey waves conducted by CID-Gallup July 2005 — November 2008. > We surveyed 800 Haitian adults, 18 yearé and older, from August 18 — ‘September 2, 2010 in all ten departments. > We oversampled 400 IDP camp residents in 43 camps. ‘Survey results are subject to a margin of error of: > +/2.8 percent for national results > +h 4.9 percent for camp residents @usaip Pt] ian cn we UNCLASSIFIED US, Department of Stato Casa No, F.2018-16287 Doe No, COS015575 Date: 08/15/2018 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Deparment of State Case No. F-2016-18287 Doc No. CO6015575 Date: 08/15/2018 Key Findings .” Haitian optimism exudes despite lingering effects of the earthquake * International community, particularly USAID, receives strong approval for their rallef efforts . * USAID's image and identification at all-time highs * Lack of Haitian political and governmental leadership strongly impacting image «Housing concerns dominate the South and West, food and jobs concerns. throughout Haiti vs + ‘Improvement in health care, decline in safety *. Increased enthusiasm for election, but unsure if translates to a significantly higher voter turnout * Fear of unfair elections (yote counting, CEP, dnd disqualification of candidates) driving down voter turnout * Enhanced security, intemational observers, and free transportation likely to increase voter turnout QUAD a enema UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of Stale Case No. F-2015-18287 Doc No, CO801SS75 Dale: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED US. Department of State Case No, F-2015-18287 Oce No, C08015575 Daté: 08/18/2016 = ‘Optimism in the wake of a disaster @usarw a UNCLASSIFIED U.S, Department of Siate Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. COB01SS7S Date 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of Stato Case No. F-2016-16287 Doc No, C06018576 Date: 08/15/2018 Significantly improved country mood General spacing, co you ik that jin Haiti are. the Toe! Se ne things going in the right direction, or do you feel things oars Direction ~#- Wrong Direction 20 15 Ste Dec05 un0S De-08 Ano7 DBO n08 ee-08 Jun-08 Dec-08 10 @uysaip fet) cement e UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-18287 Doc No, 606018575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of Site Case No. F-2015-16267 Doc No. CO6015575 Date: 08/15/2016 intry mood relatively strong in glo! ‘Argentina DRA9/10) (e10)" air i. ° Serta Honduras "Romania Salvador (6/10) (10/09) (6/10) (109) ~ ‘PageS! Greenberg Quinian Rosner UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State’ Case No, F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06018575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C08015575 Date: 08/15/2016 Haitians exude optimism despite country conditions Now let me read you a pair of statements. | want you to tell me which choice comes closer to your point of view. ~@1 am optimistic about the future of Haiti. _ 100 wre seus ssaiemnn sso t.am pessimistic about the future of | 84 . 83 25 26 4 15 Now May.07 ——Nowo7 May-08 —Nov.08 May-09 —Nov-09 May-10 © USAID . Page6| Greenderg Quinlan Rosner UNCLASSIFIED U.S, Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO601S575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No, F-2015-16287 Doc No. COS015575 Date: 08/15/2016 1st Statement, Much 62 60 | 20 | | | Total O 1st Statement, Somewhat 75 2nd Statement, Much Prospect of a better future than before earthquake Now fet me read you a pair of statements. Tell me which choice comes closer to your point of view: 5S years from now, overall Haiti will be better than it was before the earthquake. oR -—- § years from now, overall Haiti will be worse than it was before the earthquake. (D.2nd Statement, Somewhat ! 60 | i if aed UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO6015575 Date: 08/15/2016 23 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 aivsA® esuodses Buneurwop AWUNWWOD .|eUOeUJ3}U] Jousoy ven Braque |g obeg UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Depariment of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO8015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO6015575 Date: 06/15/2016 Haitian Commune Local Gov. Nationa Page) Gov.” ‘Greenberg Quinian Rosner UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C08018575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C08015575 Date: 08/15/2016 | (GREEXEERS GUILAN ROSWER RESEARCH : cose | US favorability also increases ‘Now, I'd like to rate’ your feelings toivard some people, things, and organizations, with “100” meaning-a VERY FAVORABLE feeling; “0” meaning a VERY UNFAVORABLE feeling; and “50” meaning not particularly favorable or unfavorable: The United States ——Werm col 80 60 . — Dee-07 Jun-08 Dec-08 Jun-09 Dec-09 un-10 = USAID Page 111 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner OY non te ann nce UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06018575 Date: 08/15/2016 ‘ : Bill Clinton’s image improves October 2010 ! ‘Now, I'd like to rate your feelings toward some people, things, and organizations, with “160° meaning @ VERY FAVORABLE feeling; "0" meaning a VERY UNFAVORABLE feeling; and “50" meaning not Particularly favorable or unfavorable: Bill Clinton ——VWam Jun-09 Sep-09 ‘Dec-09 =SUSAID ROM THE AMERICAN FROME cool Jun-10 Sep-10 Page 12| Greenberg Quinian Rosner UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO6015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No, F-2015-16287 Doe No. CO6015675 Date: 08/16/2016 | igreaymscoqunnannommancseenae USAID image at its highest ‘October 2010 ‘Now, I'd like to rate your feelings toward some people, things, and organizations, with “100° meaning VERY FAVORABLE feeling; “0” meaning a VERY UNFAVORABLE feeling; and “50” meaning not ° Particularly favorable or unfavorable: USAID “Warm, 60 52 B= Cool 2025 25 0 28 Dec-07 Jun-08, Dec-08. Jun-09 Dec-09 Jun-10. USAID Page 131 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner OM THE ANERCAN FORE UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C08015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO6015575 Date: 08/15/2016 40 41 20 Dec.07 2=,USAID FROM THE AMERICAN ORE A 119-08 17 Page 14] Greenberg Quinian Rosrier ‘Aug-10 12 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No, C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO6015575 Date: 08/15/2016 Infrastructure/roads/bridges Education/schoois : ‘Helps: create jobs [f Healthcare/hospitals Food/agriculture + Helps the poor Helps with development .Hurricane relief Earthquake reconstruction USAID: ROM Te APUCAN FORE UNCLASSIFIED U.S, Department of State Case No, F-2018-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S, Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C08015575 Date: 08/15/2016 aivsn BHuipes] jou sepes; ueey sausoy ueruinD Brequasg {91 seq UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No, C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 Preval approval at record low ‘Tim going to read you a list of different current or former government leaders and institutions. After each, please tell me how you would rate the job they are doing or did in Haiti: Are they doing or did they do a very good, good, bad, or very bad job? René Garcia Préval as president _ G6 8 caer enn Ses ce Rg pe USAID Page 17] Greenberg Quinlan Rosner UNCLASSIFIED U.S, Department of State Case No. F-2018-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C08015575 Date: 08/15/2016 | GUESS QUIAAN POSNER RESEAROW October 2010 | 5 Sa a RE a nT | Bellerive unable to effectively define himself, approval down I'm going to read you a list of different current or former goverment leaders and institutions, After each, please tell me how you would rate the job they are doing or did in Haiti. Are they doing or did they do a very good, good, bad, or very bad job? Jean-Max Bellerive as prime minister. ~ ~*-Good _ oi Bad 58 40 32 20 8 12 ° Oec-09 Jun-10, =) USAID Page 18] Greenberg Quintan Rosner _ rvetoenan UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06018575. Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No, F-2015-16287 Doc No. C08015575 Date: 08/15/2016 | GREECTERSGUTCAY ROGNED RESEARCH October 2010 | After making gains, parliament job approval plummets _ 'm going to read you a list of different current or former government leaders and institutions, After each, please fell me how you would rate the job they are doing or did in Haiti, Are they doing or did they do a very 900d, good, bad, or very bad job? The Parliament ~®-Good -tBad 80 74 Dec-07 Jun-08 Dec-08 * Jun-09 Dec-09 Jun-10 SS USAI Page 19| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner SES enon Toe arincan One UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No: F-2015-16287 Doc No. C08015575 Date: 08/15/2016 Mayoral approval down, but stronger than 1'm going to read you a list of different current or please tell me how you would rate the job very good, good, bad, or very bad job? Your mayor. USAID FROM THE AMERICAN PORE —®-Good dun-10 National government former government leaders and institutions. After each, they are doing or did in Haiti. Are they doing or did they do a UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO6015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO8015575 Date: 08/15/2016 . twant.the Haitian national government to “be in control of the aid and reconstruction process. 2 1st Statement, Somewhat | want the Haitian national government to be one part, with other countries and. - organizations, of the aid and - reconstruction process. UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No, F-2015-16287 Doc.No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 “UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO6015575 Date: 08/15/2016 mey Burjewoy sousoy uejuin Bioquearg 12z e6ed UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06018575 Date: 08/15/2016 8 4a 8 z 8 oe s g & 3 6 5 i 8 4 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 06/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S: Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 Page 24) Greenbetg Quinlan Rosner UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No, F-2018-16287 Doc No, CO8015575 Date: 06/18/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C08015575 Date: 08/15/2016 ase prevention Education | . : Job assistance _ Crime & security Better energy & electricit * Potable water & other servi USAID YOM TE RAERCAN ORE ‘ing away rubble f Rebuilding government buildings : 40 2 Noncamp Camp. Page 25], Soenberg Quran Roars y UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No, F-2015-16287 Doc No. C060%5575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2018-18287 Doc No, 06015575 Oate: 08/15/2016 40 20 “2 months USAID ROW TE AMEEAN PORE 2to6 ~ months, 6'months to ” ayear 1 year to 2 “years Indefinitely | Don't know Page 26| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No, F:2015-16287 Doc No. CO6015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO6015575 Date: 08/15/2016 Home/area doesn't exist anymore Rent went up Receive needed food aid here Crime and insecurity problems there Lack of power, other services Family, relatives are here Receive needed medical aid here No job opportunities back home: Schools don't exist back home ff Aren't able to gét transportation back ff Medically unable to travel Other & 0 2 40 60 60 USAID age 271 Greene Ginn sna FROM THE AMERICAN PORE UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Depariment of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO6015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06018575 Date: 08/15/2016 “Job Assistance Food Assistance Housing Education Health care/Medica! Supplies Roads & Potable Water and Other Services Better Energy and Electricity Clearing Away Rubble & Crime and Security #P-§ (USAID PRON THE AMERICAN FECA 0 20 40 60° Page 28| Greerbérg Qunlsn Rosner UNCLASSIFIED U.S, Depsitment of State Case No, F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO6015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 Health/Medical __ “Education supplies pase i Northern & Central @-Southern & West 40 so 80 Page 29| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06018575 Date: 08/15/2016 © UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO6015575 Date: 08/15/2018 ene Food Potable water Shelter materials or housing Health/medical ‘supplies Sanitation supplies. Energylelectricity Security/safety Cash for work Education/school-supplies 5 "Roads | USAID ° a FROM THE AMERICAN FEORE € 40 Page 301 OBreenterg Qunian REA UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2018-16287 Doc No. CO6018575 Date: 08/16/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C08015575 Date: 06/15/2016 notably higher fipRECEIVEL Fa We s Food’ & Potable water Shelter materials or housing Health/medical € supplies: ° 20 40 a) 80 =,USAID. . . ~ Page 31] Greenberg Quinian Rosner - (RO ME ARCANE - UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/16/2018 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Deparment of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 __ Potable water & other jf ~services k Food assistarice 0 -20 40 60 so” 460 USAID . - - . . Page 33] Greenberg Quintan Rosner ? UNCLASSIFIED U.S, Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Dele: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Deparment of Staie Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO6015575 Date: 08/15/2018 Significant decrease in those who have enough to eat 5 STE UGIL UIE ~€- Yes, have enough to-eat daily —#- No, do not have enough to eat daily UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No, CO6015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO8015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Departinent of State Caso No, F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO6015575 Dale: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06018575 Date: 08/15/2016 ee ne” Poogjuaijaax3 —o— uovenys a1e9 Yyeay parosduu| JBUSOY UBLEND Brequaerg | gr abeg O1-des UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06018575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No, C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 ge 8 & 3. 8 z Og is 8 >. 18 10 3° |S 5 oO > aX gs. % g @ a g°; 8 ‘aesun 60-980 Jausoy uBUIND Broqueed gf aBey Olune . UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No, C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C08015575 Date: 08/15/2016 “6 0 - _ wVer.safe’ @ Very unsat of. ., SSomewtiat safe “fos ~€ Somewhat unsafe: . Un safe Page 37} Greenberg Quir inlan Rosner, UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No, F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO6018575 Date: 08/15/2016 Proximity to camps | do not determine feelings of safet @Safe mUnsafe 8 Doc No. C08015575 Dats: UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO8015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S, Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 ~ age 291 Greenberg Giunta Rosner UNCLASSIFIED U.S, Department of State Case No, F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO6015875 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S, Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No, C08015575 Date: 08/15/2016 He rel sit ale) SuseNaayd ©] sdweo sayjeuis ur Jeybiy Mayes JEYMOWOS EI ovesun Jeymewog = 2 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C08018575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 i Somewhat better ‘Somewhat worse, F-2015-16267' Doc No. 08018875 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO6015575 Date: 08/15/2016 . 1 o UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO6015575 Date: 08/15/2016 3 fo} ‘A Le | YBiy Ayejnoqied uoniojx3 jeyuods ‘sdwed Ja61e] pue snoeu UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No, F-2015-16287 Doc No, C06018575' Date: 08/15/2016 aivea® = 8 o 3 (a m 3 oa > c Q. o n 3 S a m ® 3 ° S n Jausoy vowing Brequearg | rp abed UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No, 08015875 Date: 08/15/2018 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 Much more.important Much less important Total More | USAID ROM THE AMERICAN PEOMLE Total tess “We Page 45| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of Sate Case No. F-2015-16267 Doc No. COB615575 Date: 69/15/2016" “UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015:16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 _. Ele a3 re as Y non Hs AHSAN ROME ‘ Great dealiSome » @usaiw ctions-will have an impact on reconstruction efforts - LittleyNot : Page 45] Gregnberg Quinlan Rosner ‘ UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No, C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 oo, + Gaabai20i0-| Likelihood to vote increases How likely would you be to vote in the upcoming presidential election, on a scale of 1-10 where 10 means you are absolutely certain to vote and 1 means you are certain not to vote? wt Likely to Vote** 50 40 _ 30 34 fetes . Cm = 20 10 0 Se Dec-09 Jun-10 ** Likely voter is defined as respondents ‘stating their likelihood as beir USAID petite 8-10 on a scale from 1-10. (359 Respondents) S Being Page 47 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner RON THs ANCA ROME UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of Stale Case No. F-2015-16287 DocNo. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. 2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 Targeting non-likely voters 7 * Female (55%) * Younger — 18-24 (28%) West region (47%) Did not vote in 2006 (40%) =)USAID * Page 48| Greenberg Quintan Rosner UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C08015575 Date: 08/15/2016 $a Somewhat free and fai ‘=. Somewhat not free and fair . F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06615575 Date: 08/15/2018 é 4 8 18 | ° * Likely voters . a Not likely to vote = - 7 a ercen’ : > 8 usaib percent). : * BS percent annie UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No, F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO6015575 Date: 08/15/2016. tial elections regardless if! think they are free and fair. vote nthe next preside elections ony i irk hey ate ee and fai. . i ‘ . “ 80 i . i 60 ° 45 20 o ~ 7 me, 7 Likely voters Not likely to vote a... (45 percent) ‘ “(55 percent) UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Départmeni of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 ‘ UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No, C06018575 Date: 08/15/2016 Votes won't be counted CEP is corrupt & - Not all parties allowed to participate Outcome is already determined by elites - ‘There will be violence or intimidation Lack of objective observers § Lack facilities, resources b/c-earthquake No fair‘media coverage of.the‘election Other ff USAID | OM THE AMEUEAN FLOR 3 40 50 Page $1| Greenberg Quinton Rosner UNCLASSIFIED U.S, Department of State Case No. F-2015-18287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No, F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 « _~. _ | CREBNEER G CUTALNRESNER: RAGE ARM . . October 2010 Confidence inCEP continuestodrop Thinking about the Provisional Election Council or CEP, do you have confidence in the CEP to administer fair elections? Would you say you have - a lot of confidence, some confidence, just a little * confidence or no confidence at all in the CEP to administer fair elections? 78 ~®Alotisome confidence te Little/no confidence at all 40 . eS 20 20 0: Jun-09 Dec-09 Jun-10 (USAID Pe S| cuy Roe UNCLASSIFIED U.S, Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06018575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Departmentoof State Case No. F-2015-16287 Dac No. C06018575 Date: 08/15/2016 Non‘likel cE + BSomie confidence. BA litte confidence Not likely to vote : _(55 percenty OF 4) Pege53| Gréenbefg Quinian Rosner UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department cf State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06018875 Date: 08/18/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No, C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 USAID st Statement, Much * 2nd StatementMach u kely Voter _ Not Likely @ 1st Statement, ” 2nd Statement, Somewhat Somewhat" 48. 32 to Vote Page 54'| Greenberg Quinion Rosner UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287' Dac No. C6618875, Date: 08/16/2018 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C08015575 Date: 08/15/2016 int'l -.. Each pol. party proposes their economic recovery plari “linprove se sedurity: transport and observers to increase turnout 1 observers declare they are confident elections will be fair oo ‘Reassured in advance votes wil -Gov't provides free phone # to call if you see any fraud § The -politicat Parties present good candidates to vote for f cal parties allowed to participate in the elections BE Elections allow you to influence aid/reconstruction National ID card not required to. vote’ ROM Te AMERICAN PEGALE =, USAID oe ms : ° ‘Page $5 "crentnp han Rese , - UNCLASSIFIED U.S, Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C08015575 Date: 08/15/2016 International observers increasingly important How important to having fair elections in Haiti are intemational observers ~ very important, somewhat important, just a litle important, or not important at all? - a ~®Very/somewhat inportant te Little/not important 100 : ~ -09 - Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 USAID Page'S6| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO6015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED US. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. 06018575. Date: 08/15/2016 g 3 Obune Jousoy ueunn Biequeaig | 1g aBeg ro UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO$015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO6015575' Date: 08/15/2016 SUONEPUSLULUODOY i i i i UNCLASSIFIED U.S, Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C08015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED. U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 ._ ee emer ee Strategic Recommendations > Opening for big structural changes for the long term > Build local capacity * Raise national government's profile as part of reconstruction efforts * Training programs for Haitian bureaucrats and new government -= Link reconstruction with jobs and economic growth ~ by expanding aid outside camps and replacement Programs a > Take advantage of increased enthusiasm about upcoming elections * Focus on getting national ID cards to target groups — women, 18-25 year olds, the West region ret ar Ps . * Reassure voters about fairness of process: Election monitors, aun against violence on election day, and transportation to polling places - @uysaiw . mest taepwatetien ROW THe ANERCAN PEOMLE UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575. Date: 08/15/2016 © GREENBERG QUINLAN ROSNE! Strategic Recommendations > Maintain and build confidence in USAID in changing environment = Highlight impact on community of reconstruction efforts and work with the new government - = Launch radio program = ‘One minute testimonials * USAID signs at ribbon cutting cerernonies ™ Increase visibility of head of mission = Others? Page 601 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No, C06015575 Date: 08/15/2018 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No, CO6015575 Date: 08/16/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16267 Doc No, C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 soiudeiBoweg Aevins sousoy vEjuInD BiequserD [19 260d UNCLASSIFIED US. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No, C08015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015875 Date: 08/1/2016 Je foo fasion | for | “Percentages based on total respondents of 1275 (800 weighted) : USAID % Page 62| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Ron net Annan ORE UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO6015575 Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 aivsa® (p3jy6tem 098) $224 40 sjrepuodses 1210} UO paseq seBeUEdied, = suoibay 9 Sjuowpedaq ‘ eusoy ueran fiaqve0) | £9866d UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of Stata Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. CO8015575 Date: 08/15/2016 suou Monae 9A HOM UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2075-16287 Doc No. C06015575, Date: 08/16/2016 aivsa@ + (peyybtem 90g) $2z 1 40 Sju@puodsa: /2}0} uO paseg saBejuanted, Panes ee $10}0e J HWOUGSSOIN0g yo Hewuns Jaisoy wenp Srequeein I ¥9 e624 ao . . UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-18287 Doc No. 06018575 Date: 08/15/2016 » UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 co = Ea, aivsn 7 (pery6iem SLL) 00% Jo Sjuepuodsas j2}0} UO paseg sabejuecsed, EOS an gene eel oie “sdwed 10) so1ydesBoweg jo Aewuins seusoy ven Giequee1g | 99 eq UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575' Date: 08/15/2016 UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. C06015575 Date: 08/15/2016 Survey Methodology in Camps * Conducted interviews at 43 camps, from a sample of over 1,200 camps =. Sample stratified by camp size “© Gender quotas based off Department Ouest quota * Soft age quotas based off Department Ouest quota * Starting points randomly selected within camp _ * Walking route and habitat selection methodology s same as main sample USAID ‘ : Page 65{ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner FROM THE AMERKAN ORE UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16287 Doc No. 06018575 Date: 08/15/2016

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