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Arizona

Survey of 2,385 likely voters conducted October 22-24.


*This survey did not provide an undecided option to give a more realistic standing of
the state of play in Arizona. Some recent surveys have given an undecided number of
15-to-20 percent. At this point in the race, we wanted to test how registered likely
voters will fill out their ballot on Election Day.

Partisan Registration:
Republican

43%
Democrat

37%
Independent/Other
20%

Sex
Female


53%
Male


47%

Age
18-34


17%
35-44


16%
45-54


25%
55-64


18%
65+


24%

County
Maricopa


60%
Pima


17%
Other


23%

If the Election for President Were Held Today and You Had to Make a Choice
Who Would You Vote for?
Clinton


48%
Trump


46%
Johnson


5%
Stein


1%

How Do You Intend to Vote on Prop 205, the Regulation and Taxation of
Marijuana Act?
Yes


54%
No


46%

How Do You Intend to Vote on Prop 206, the Fair Wages and Healthy Families
Act?
Yes


57%
No


43%


How Do You Intend to Vote?
Already Have

24%
By Mail


45%
In Person Early

6%
On Election Day

25%


Methodology: Between October 22-24, Saguaro Strategies conducted 2,385 online
surveys with likely registered voters. The final sample was weighted for age, gender
and partisanship. For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence
that the margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.