CONTACT

:
Coleman Bass
TargetSmart Communications, LLC
Press@TargetSmart.com

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: 11/1/16

TargetSmart/William & Mary Release Florida Poll of Early and Likely Voters
-Clinton Buoyed by Early VoteHillary Clinton’s strength with the early vote in Florida is propelling her to a lead in the key battleground state, according to a new
poll released today by TargetSmart and William & Mary. In the poll, Clinton holds a 48 to 40 percent lead over Donald Trump in
the Sunshine State, a more advantageous position for Clinton than most other publicly available polling has suggested in the last
week or so.
As of the morning of November 1st, 2016, TargetSmart tracks that 3,695,359 people have already cast their votes in Florida.
Leveraging TargetSmart’s proprietary voter file - that is updated daily through the early voting window - this poll reached a
significant number of voters who have already participated. Among those early voters (who were asked which candidate they
had voted for), Clinton outpaces Trump by a 17-point margin, 55 to 38 percent.
Reflective of the trends that have been published in other public polls in recent days, the TargetSmart/William & Mary poll shows
the contest in Florida is very competitive among those who have yet to cast their ballot. Among those non-early voters (who
were asked which candidate they will vote for), Clinton attracts 42 percent of the vote and 43 percent back Donald Trump.
The poll also shows the U.S. Senate race tilting decidedly in Marco Rubio’s direction as Democratic challenger Patrick Murphy
trails Rubio 43 to 49 percent. Unlike Clinton, Murphy only breaks even with early voters, having garnered 48 percent of the vote
among them to Rubio’s 47 percent. And, among non-early voters, Rubio holds a solid lead with 51 percent of the vote to
Murphy’s 39 percent.
Poll Methodology
The TargetSmart/William & Mary Poll was conducted using a blended web/phone data collection approach. As weighted, 530 online interviews were
conducted from October 25-28, 2016 among panelists from six leading online opt-in panel providers who were matched to the TargetSmart voter file.
As weighted, 188 telephone interviews were conducted from October 27-30, 2016 to supplement the online sample, with telephone numbers for
targeted populations being selected at random from the TargetSmart voter file.
The survey reached 311 respondents who voted early in the 2016 general election, either absentee, by mail, or in-person, according to data from the
Florida Secretary of State that was matched back to the TargetSmart voter file. These early vote data were weighted to reflect population parameters
on TargetSmart Partisanship Score, TargetSmart 2016 General Election Turnout Score, age, gender, party registration and media market of the overall
population of early voters in Florida who had participated as of October 31.
The survey reached 407 respondents who had NOT voted early in the 2016 general election, either absentee, by mail, or in-person, according to data
from the Florida Secretary of State that was matched back to the TargetSmart voter file. These non-early vote data were weighted using a two-step
process to yield a likely voter model. First, the non-early vote sample was weighted to reflect population parameters on TargetSmart Partisanship
Score, TargetSmart 2016 General Election Turnout Score, age, gender, party registration and media market of the overall population of all registered
voters in Florida who had NOT participated as of October 31. Then, to derive a likely voter model, a second round of weighting was employed on the
non-early vote sample only, in which weights were assigned to each respondent in proportion to their TargetSmart 2016 General Election Turnout
score, with higher weights being assigned to respondents with a higher likelihood to vote, and lower weights being assigned to respondents with a
lower likelihood to vote.
The TargetSmart 2016 General Election Turnout model is an ensemble method classifier model that was created to predict the likelihood that an
individual will vote in the 2016 general election. In this second round of weighting all early voter respondents were assigned a weight of 1, to reflect the
fact that they have already voted. No margins of sampling error are calculated for this survey, as this statistic is only applicable to fully randomly
sampled surveys, which this survey is not due to its partial reliance on online interviews.
###

About TargetSmart:
TargetSmart is the leading provider of political data that enables campaigns and organizations to successfully communicate with large audiences, and personalize
outreach. Our superior politically-focused, consultative approach combines consumer data, databases, data integration and consulting solutions for personalized
multichannel marketing strategies. TargetSmart leverages over 25 years of experience in data management to deliver high-performance, reliable data products and
solutions.
About William & Mary:
William & Mary is a public university located in Williamsburg, Virginia. Founded by Royal Charter in 1693, it is the second oldest institution of higher education in the
United States. U.S. News and World Report ranks William & Mary sixth among all public universities in the country.

October 25-30, 2016
718 Respondents
311 Respondents who have voted early
407 Respondents have not voted early

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll
Florida Statewide
Frequencies
Are you registered to vote in Florida?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Yes
...............................................................................................................................................................
100
.
Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job Barack Obama is
doing as President?

...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Strongly
...............................................................................................................................................................
approve
31
.Somewhat
approve
...............................................................................................................................................................
23
.Somewhat
disapprove
...............................................................................................................................................................
11
.Strongly
...............................................................................................................................................................
disapprove
34
.(Don't
know/prefer not to answer)
...............................................................................................................................................................
1
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Total
approve
...............................................................................................................................................................
54
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
disapprove
45
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Total
approve - Total disapprove
...............................................................................................................................................................
9
.

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll, Florida Statewide: Frequencies, October 25-30, 2016

In the election for President this November, if the election were held today and the candidates were: Democrat Hillary
Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein -- for whom would you
vote/for whom did you vote?
....................................................................................................................................................................
Early Non
Total
.
Voter
EV
Hillary
Clinton
....................................................................................................................................................................
48
55
42
.Lean
Hillary Clinton
....................................................................................................................................................................
0
0
.Donald
Trump
....................................................................................................................................................................
40
37
42
.Lean
Donald Trump
....................................................................................................................................................................
0
0
0
.Gary
Johnson
....................................................................................................................................................................
3
3
4
.Lean
Gary Johnson
....................................................................................................................................................................
.Jill
Stein
....................................................................................................................................................................
2
3
1
.Lean
Jill Stein
....................................................................................................................................................................
.(Other
candidate)
....................................................................................................................................................................
5
2
8
.Lean
(Other candidate)
....................................................................................................................................................................
.(Would
not vote)
....................................................................................................................................................................
0
1
.Lean
(Would not vote)
....................................................................................................................................................................
.(Undecided)
....................................................................................................................................................................
1
0
1
.
....................................................................................................................................................................
.Total
Hillary Clinton
....................................................................................................................................................................
48
55
42
.Total
....................................................................................................................................................................
Donald Trump
40
38
43
.Total
Gary Johnson
....................................................................................................................................................................
3
3
4
.Total
Jill Stein
....................................................................................................................................................................
2
3
1
.Total
....................................................................................................................................................................
Other Candidate
5
2
8
.Total
Would not vote
....................................................................................................................................................................
0
1
.
....................................................................................................................................................................
.Total
....................................................................................................................................................................
Clinton - Total Trump
7
17
0
.

TargetSmart Communications LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll, Florida Statewide: Frequencies, October 25-30, 2016

In the election for U.S. Senate this November, if the election were held today and the candidates were: Democrat Patrick
Murphy and Republican Marco Rubio -- for whom would you vote/for whom did you vote?
....................................................................................................................................................................
Early
Non
Total
.
Voter
EV
Patrick
Murphy
....................................................................................................................................................................
43
48
39
.Lean
....................................................................................................................................................................
Patrick Murphy
0
1
.Marco
Rubio
....................................................................................................................................................................
49
47
51
.Lean
Marco Rubio
....................................................................................................................................................................
.(Other
....................................................................................................................................................................
candidate)
7
4
9
.Lean
(Other candidate)
....................................................................................................................................................................
.(Would
not vote)
....................................................................................................................................................................
1
1
.Lean
....................................................................................................................................................................
(Would not vote)
.(Undecided)
....................................................................................................................................................................
0
0
0
.
....................................................................................................................................................................
.Total
....................................................................................................................................................................
Patrick Murphy
43
48
39
.Total
Marco Rubio
....................................................................................................................................................................
49
47
51
.Total
Other Candidate
....................................................................................................................................................................
7
4
9
.Total
....................................................................................................................................................................
Would not vote
1
1
.
....................................................................................................................................................................
.Total
Murphy - Total Rubio
....................................................................................................................................................................
-6
1
-12
.

TargetSmart Communications LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll, Florida Statewide: Frequencies, October 25-30, 2016

Please indicate how confident you are about each of the following -- very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or
not at all confident.
Very
Somewhat Not too
Not at all (Don't Prefer not
confident confident confident confident know) to answer
A. Your vote in the November 2016
election will be counted as you intended.
55
31
9
4
1
0
B. All votes in Florida in the November
2016 election will be counted as the voters
of Florida intended.

45

37

9

6

2

0

A number of people have claimed that this election is rigged. Do you agree or disagree with this claim?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Agree
...............................................................................................................................................................
29
.Disagree
...............................................................................................................................................................
53
.(Don't
know)
...............................................................................................................................................................
18
.(Prefer
not to answer)
...............................................................................................................................................................
0
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Agree
...............................................................................................................................................................
- Disagree
-24
.
(Effective Base: 206)
(ASKED OF THOSE WHO SAY ELECTION IS RIGGED) Do you believe the election is rigged because media and political elites
have manipulated the coverage and the political process, because there will be voter fraud on election day, or both?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Elites
...............................................................................................................................................................
manipulated coverage
19
.Voter
fraud
...............................................................................................................................................................
11
.Both
...............................................................................................................................................................
63
.(Neither)
...............................................................................................................................................................2
.(Don't
know)
...............................................................................................................................................................
5
.(Prefer
...............................................................................................................................................................
not to answer)
.

TargetSmart Communications LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll, Florida Statewide: Frequencies, October 25-30, 2016

As you may know, multiple women have recently said that Donald Trump groped or made inappropriate sexual advances
towards them without their consent. Trump has denied these allegations, calling them lies. Do you believe that Donald
Trump committed these actions or not?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Yes
...............................................................................................................................................................
49
.No
...............................................................................................................................................................
25
.(Don't
...............................................................................................................................................................
know)
26
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Yes
- No
...............................................................................................................................................................
24
.
In deciding your vote for president, have the allegations that Donald Trump groped or made inappropriate sexual advances
towards women made you more or less likely to support Donald Trump for president, or has it made no difference?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Much
more likely
...............................................................................................................................................................
5
.Somewhat
more likely
...............................................................................................................................................................
3
.Somewhat
less likely
...............................................................................................................................................................
10
.Much
less likely
...............................................................................................................................................................
21
.No
difference
...............................................................................................................................................................
61
.(Prefer
not to answer)
...............................................................................................................................................................
1
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Total
more likely
...............................................................................................................................................................
7
.Total
less likely
...............................................................................................................................................................
30
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Total
more likely - Total less likely
...............................................................................................................................................................
-23
.

TargetSmart Communications LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll, Florida Statewide: Frequencies, October 25-30, 2016

Now, I'd like to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes. Generally speaking, you think of yourself as a Democrat, a
Republican, an independent, or something else?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Strong
...............................................................................................................................................................
Democrat
25
.Weak
...............................................................................................................................................................
Democrat
10
.Independent-lean
Democrat
...............................................................................................................................................................
8
.Independent
...............................................................................................................................................................
10
.Independent-lean
...............................................................................................................................................................
Republican
12
.Weak
Republican
...............................................................................................................................................................
14
.Strong
...............................................................................................................................................................
Republican
20
.(Don't
...............................................................................................................................................................
know/Refused)
1
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Democrat
...............................................................................................................................................................
35
.Independent
...............................................................................................................................................................
with Leaners
30
.Republican
...............................................................................................................................................................
34
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Democrat
...............................................................................................................................................................
- Republican
1
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Democrat
and Ind. Lean Dem
...............................................................................................................................................................
43
.Pure
Independent
...............................................................................................................................................................
10
.Republican
...............................................................................................................................................................
and Ind. Lean Repub
46
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Democrat
and Ind. Lean Dem - Republican and Ind. Lean Repub
...............................................................................................................................................................
-3
.
In what year were you born?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.18
- 24
...............................................................................................................................................................
8
.25
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 29
4
.30
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 34
9
.35
- 39
...............................................................................................................................................................
3
.40
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 44
6
.45
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 49
9
.50
- 54
...............................................................................................................................................................
8
.55
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 59
8
.60
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 64
13
.Over
64
...............................................................................................................................................................
32
.(No
...............................................................................................................................................................
answer)
1
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.18
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 49
39
.50
and
over
...............................................................................................................................................................
60
.

TargetSmart Communications LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll, Florida Statewide: Frequencies, October 25-30, 2016

Sex of respondent
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Male
...............................................................................................................................................................
44
.Female
...............................................................................................................................................................
56
.
What is your race?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.White
...............................................................................................................................................................
67
.Black
...............................................................................................................................................................
10
.Hispanic
...............................................................................................................................................................
16
.Asian/Pacific
Islander
...............................................................................................................................................................
2
.Other
...............................................................................................................................................................2
.(Prefer
...............................................................................................................................................................
not to answer)
3
.
Party Registration From File
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Democrat
...............................................................................................................................................................
39
.Unaffiliated/Other
...............................................................................................................................................................
23
.Republican
...............................................................................................................................................................
38
.

TargetSmart Communications LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com

October 25-30, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll
Voted Status

Total

Not Early
Early Voter
Voter

Florida Statewide

Party ID

Party Registration

Dem

Ind

Rep

Dem

Unaffi
liated /
Other

Rep

4-Way Presidential Vote
Total Answering

(718)

(311)

(407)

(251)

(215)

(244)

(277)

(168)

(273)

Total Hillary Clinton
Total Donald Trump
Total Gary Johnson
Total Jill Stein
Total Other Candidate

48
40
3
2
5

55
38
3
3
2

42
43
4
1
8

90
6
1
3
-

38
40
6
3
11

12
78
4
1
5

81
13
2
2
1

39
39
6
4
11

19
70
4
1
6

(Undecided)

1

0

1

-

2

-

1

2

0

Total Would not vote

0

-

1

0

1

1

1

-

0

Total Clinton - Total Trump

7

17

0

84

-2

-65

69

0

-51

2-Way Presidential Vote
Total Answering

(692)

(293)

(400)

(247)

(202)

(237)

(272)

(158)

(263)

Total Hillary Clinton
Total Donald Trump

51
43

58
40

45
45

92
6

43
44

13
82

84
13

44
43

20
74

(Undecided)

2

2

3

0

5

1

1

5

2

Total Would not vote

4

-

7

1

8

4

2

8

4

Total Clinton - Total Trump

8

18

0

86

-1

-68

71

1

-54

Senate Vote
Total Answering

(718)

(311)

(407)

(251)

(215)

(244)

(277)

(168)

(273)

Total Patrick Murphy
Total Marco Rubio
Total Other Candidate

43
49
7

48
47
4

39
51
9

80
14
5

35
53
11

12
84
5

74
19
6

36
51
11

16
78
5

(Undecided)

0

0

0

0

1

-

0

-

0

Total Would not vote

1

-

1

0

1

-

1

1

-

Total Murphy - Total Rubio

-6

1

-12

66

-18

-72

55

-14

-63

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com

October 25-30, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

Florida Statewide

EV Party Registration

Not EV Party Registration

EV Rep

Not EV
Dem

Not EV
Unaffi
liated /
Other

Not EV Rep

Total

EV Dem

EV Unaffi
liated /
Other

4-Way Presidential Vote
Total Answering

(718)

(125)

(59)

(127)

(152)

(109)

(146)

Total Hillary Clinton
Total Donald Trump
Total Gary Johnson
Total Jill Stein
Total Other Candidate

48
40
3
2
5

90
6
0
3
1

40
43
4
8
4

27
66
4
2

74
18
3
2
2

39
37
6
1
14

12
73
3
1
10

(Undecided)

1

-

-

1

1

2

-

Total Would not vote

0

-

-

-

1

-

1

Total Clinton - Total Trump

7

84

-3

-39

56

2

-60

(692)

(120)

(53)

(120)

(152)

(105)

(143)

Total Hillary Clinton
Total Donald Trump

51
43

94
6

44
48

28
71

77
18

44
41

13
77

(Undecided)

2

-

8

1

2

4

3

Total Would not vote

4

-

-

-

4

11

7

Total Clinton - Total Trump

8

88

-4

-43

59

3

-64

2-Way Presidential Vote
Total Answering

Senate Vote
Total Answering

(718)

(125)

(59)

(127)

(152)

(109)

(146)

Total Patrick Murphy
Total Marco Rubio
Total Other Candidate

43
49
7

83
14
4

42
53
5

17
77
5

67
24
7

33
50
15

15
80
6

(Undecided)

0

-

-

1

1

-

-

Total Would not vote

1

-

-

-

1

2

-

Total Murphy - Total Rubio

-6

69

-11

-60

43

-16

-65

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com

October 25-30, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

Florida Statewide

TargetSmart Partisan Score

Gender

Total

90+

70 - 89.9

30 - 69.9

10 - 29.9

0 - 9.9

Men

Women

4-Way Presidential Vote
Total Answering

(718)

(264)

(62)

(56)

(57)

(279)

(314)

(404)

Total Hillary Clinton
Total Donald Trump
Total Gary Johnson
Total Jill Stein
Total Other Candidate

48
40
3
2
5

82
9
2
3
2

68
21
0
5
5

54
29
2
1
8

21
66
4
3
6

15
71
5
0
8

42
47
6
1
3

52
35
2
3
7

(Undecided)

1

1

1

5

0

-

1

1

Total Would not vote

0

1

-

-

-

0

1

0

Total Clinton - Total Trump

7

73

47

25

-45

-56

-4

16

2-Way Presidential Vote
Total Answering

(692)

(256)

(61)

(55)

(55)

(265)

(306)

(387)

Total Hillary Clinton
Total Donald Trump

51
43

86
10

69
23

56
30

23
70

17
77

45
48

55
39

(Undecided)

2

2

6

7

1

2

2

3

Total Would not vote

4

2

2

7

6

5

4

3

Total Clinton - Total Trump

8

76

46

25

-47

-60

-3

16

Senate Vote
Total Answering

(718)

(264)

(62)

(56)

(57)

(279)

(314)

(404)

Total Patrick Murphy
Total Marco Rubio
Total Other Candidate

43
49
7

76
18
6

56
32
11

42
39
14

25
73
2

13
80
7

39
54
6

46
45
8

(Undecided)

0

0

-

2

-

-

-

1

Total Would not vote

1

1

1

3

-

-

0

1

Total Murphy - Total Rubio

-6

58

24

3

-48

-67

-15

1

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com

October 25-30, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

Florida Statewide

Race

Age

Total

White

Black

Hisp anic

Non White

18 - 34

35 - 49

50 - 64

Over 64

18 - 49

50 and
over

4-Way Presidential Vote
Total Answering

(718)

(482)

(74)

(116)

(218)

(152)

(130)

(201)

(232)

(282)

(432)

Total Hillary Clinton
Total Donald Trump
Total Gary Johnson
Total Jill Stein
Total Other Candidate

48
40
3
2
5

38
51
4
1
6

88
2
4
3
2

59
30
2
3
3

70
19
3
3
4

60
23
5
4
5

49
35
6
3
6

46
45
1
2
6

40
51
3
0
4

55
29
5
4
6

43
48
2
1
5

(Undecided)

1

0

-

1

1

1

-

-

1

1

0

Total Would not vote

0

0

-

2

1

1

1

-

-

1

-

Total Clinton - Total Trump

7

-13

85

30

51

37

15

1

-11

27

-5

2-Way Presidential Vote
Total Answering

(692)

(463)

(71)

(112)

(211)

(143)

(123)

(194)

(228)

(266)

(422)

Total Hillary Clinton
Total Donald Trump

51
43

40
54

96
3

62
31

74
19

66
26

55
38

48
48

42
52

61
32

44
50

(Undecided)

2

2

-

4

3

3

-

3

3

1

3

Total Would not vote

4

4

2

4

4

5

7

2

3

6

3

Total Clinton - Total Trump

8

-14

93

31

54

40

17

0

-11

29

-6

Senate Vote
Total Answering

(718)

(482)

(74)

(116)

(218)

(152)

(130)

(201)

(232)

(282)

(432)

Total Patrick Murphy
Total Marco Rubio
Total Other Candidate

43
49
7

37
57
6

78
11
9

46
44
9

57
32
9

50
43
6

41
48
11

40
52
8

43
51
5

46
45
8

41
52
6

(Undecided)

0

-

1

-

1

-

-

1

-

-

0

Total Would not vote

1

0

-

2

1

2

0

-

1

1

0

Total Murphy - Total Rubio

-6

-21

67

2

25

7

-6

-13

-9

1

-10

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com

October 25-30, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll
Education

Florida Statewide

Gender/Education

Total

Total Coll
Grad

Total Non
Coll

Non Coll
Men

Coll Men

Non Coll
Women

Coll
Women

4-Way Presidential Vote
Total Answering

(718)

(414)

(290)

(130)

(183)

(161)

(231)

Total Hillary Clinton
Total Donald Trump
Total Gary Johnson
Total Jill Stein
Total Other Candidate

48
40
3
2
5

51
38
4
1
5

42
44
2
3
7

32
57
2
1
4

50
39
8
2

51
34
2
4
9

52
37
1
3
6

(Undecided)

1

0

1

1

0

0

1

Total Would not vote

0

-

1

2

-

0

-

Total Clinton - Total Trump

7

13

-2

-25

10

17

16

2-Way Presidential Vote
Total Answering

(692)

(392)

(286)

(129)

(176)

(157)

(216)

Total Hillary Clinton
Total Donald Trump

51
43

55
40

44
47

33
58

54
41

53
38

57
39

(Undecided)

2

1

4

4

1

4

1

Total Would not vote

4

3

5

5

4

5

3

Total Clinton - Total Trump

8

15

-3

-25

13

15

17

Senate Vote
Total Answering

(718)

(414)

(290)

(130)

(183)

(161)

(231)

Total Patrick Murphy
Total Marco Rubio
Total Other Candidate

43
49
7

45
49
6

41
49
9

36
56
6

42
52
6

44
44
11

47
46
5

(Undecided)

0

0

0

-

-

1

1

Total Would not vote

1

0

1

1

-

0

0

Total Murphy - Total Rubio

-6

-4

-9

-20

-11

0

1

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com

October 25-30, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll
Voted Status

Total

Not Early
Early Voter
Voter

Florida Statewide

Party ID

Party Registration

Dem

Ind

Rep

Dem

Unaffi
liated /
Other

Rep

Respondent age
Total Answering

(718)

(311)

(407)

(251)

(215)

(244)

(277)

(168)

(273)

18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64

21
18
28
32

13
13
29
44

27
22
27
23

27
16
30
26

25
18
25
31

11
20
29
40

25
16
30
28

30
24
19
27

12
16
31
40

18 - 49
50 and over

39
60

26
73

49
50

44
56

44
56

31
69

41
58

54
45

28
71

(718)

(311)

(407)

(251)

(215)

(244)

(277)

(168)

(273)

44
56

44
56

43
57

39
61

50
50

45
55

40
60

48
52

44
56

(718)

(311)

(407)

(251)

(215)

(244)

(277)

(168)

(273)

Strong Dem

25

27

23

71

-

-

55

11

3

Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)

10
8
10
12
14
20
1

10
9
7
13
14
19
1

10
7
13
11
14
21
1

29
-

27
34
39
-

41
59
-

22
8
5
4
2
3
1

5
15
26
25
7
8
2

1
4
6
11
30
44
0

2-3-2 Dem
Ind
Rep

35
30
34

37
29
32

33
30
35

100
-

100
-

100

77
16
5

15
67
15

5
21
74

Respondent gender
Total Answering
Male
Female

Party ID
Total Answering

Dem-Rep

1

5

-2

100

-

-100

71

0

-70

3-1-3 Dem
Ind
Rep

43
10
46

47
7
45

40
13
46

100
-

27
34
39

100

85
5
9

31
26
41

8
6
86

Dem-Rep

-3

2

-6

100

-12

-100

76

-10

-77

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com

October 25-30, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

Florida Statewide

EV Party Registration

Not EV Party Registration

EV Rep

Not EV
Dem

Not EV
Unaffi
liated /
Other

Not EV Rep

Total

EV Dem

EV Unaffi
liated /
Other

Respondent age
Total Answering

(718)

(125)

(59)

(127)

(152)

(109)

(146)

18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64

21
18
28
32

15
13
30
42

15
18
26
40

11
10
30
48

33
19
30
17

38
27
15
19

13
22
32
33

18 - 49
50 and over

39
60

28
72

34
66

21
78

51
47

65
34

35
65

(718)

(125)

(59)

(127)

(152)

(109)

(146)

44
56

42
58

40
60

49
51

39
61

53
47

40
60

Respondent gender
Total Answering
Male
Female

Party ID
Total Answering

(718)

(125)

(59)

(127)

(152)

(109)

(146)

Strong Dem
Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)

25
10
8
10
12
14
20
1

63
23
6
2
3
1
1
1

3
4
25
25
31
6
3
3

3
5
4
14
30
44
-

48
21
9
7
4
3
5
2

15
5
10
27
22
8
11
2

4
2
3
8
9
31
44
0

2-3-2 Dem
Ind
Rep

35
30
34

86
11
2

7
82
9

3
23
74

69
21
8

20
59
19

6
20
75

Dem-Rep

1

84

-2

-70

61

1

-69

3-1-3 Dem
Ind
Rep

43
10
46

92
2
5

32
25
40

9
4
87

79
7
13

30
27
41

8
8
84

Dem-Rep

-3

88

-8

-79

66

-11

-76

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com

October 25-30, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

Florida Statewide

TargetSmart Partisan Score

Gender

Total

90+

70 - 89.9

30 - 69.9

10 - 29.9

0 - 9.9

Men

Women

Respondent age
Total Answering

(718)

(264)

(62)

(56)

(57)

(279)

(314)

(404)

18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64

21
18
28
32

28
18
26
27

40
13
32
15

21
18
28
30

18
22
18
43

12
18
31
39

17
17
26
41

25
19
30
26

18 - 49
50 and over

39
60

46
53

53
47

39
59

39
61

30
70

34
66

44
55

(718)

(264)

(62)

(56)

(57)

(279)

(314)

(404)

44
56

40
60

40
60

40
60

46
54

48
52

100
-

100

(718)

(264)

(62)

(56)

(57)

(279)

(314)

(404)

Strong Dem

25

56

31

7

4

2

22

27

Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)

10
8
10
12
14
20
1

19
10
6
3
1
2
2

20
13
17
7
8
4
-

12
13
39
13
5
8
3

1
16
7
44
9
19
-

1
2
8
14
30
43
0

9
7
12
15
14
20
0

11
9
9
9
14
20
2

2-3-2 Dem
Ind
Rep

35
30
34

75
19
4

51
37
12

19
65
13

5
68
28

3
24
73

31
34
35

38
27
33

Dem-Rep

1

72

39

5

-23

-70

-3

4

3-1-3 Dem
Ind
Rep

43
10
46

86
6
6

63
17
19

32
39
26

21
7
72

5
8
87

38
12
49

47
9
43

Dem-Rep

-3

79

44

5

-51

-82

-11

4

Respondent gender
Total Answering
Male
Female

Party ID
Total Answering

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com

October 25-30, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

Florida Statewide

Race

Age

Total

White

Black

Hisp anic

Non White

18 - 34

35 - 49

50 - 64

Over 64

18 - 49

50 and
over

Respondent age
Total Answering

(718)

(482)

(74)

(116)

(218)

(152)

(130)

(201)

(232)

(282)

(432)

18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64

21
18
28
32

12
16
32
39

38
17
25
20

40
23
20
17

40
22
21
16

100
-

100
-

100
-

100

54
46
-

46
54

18 - 49
50 and over

39
60

29
71

55
44

63
37

62
37

100
-

100
-

100

100

100
-

100

(718)

(482)

(74)

(116)

(218)

(152)

(130)

(201)

(232)

(282)

(432)

44
56

47
53

26
74

47
53

38
62

35
65

41
59

40
60

55
45

38
62

48
52

(718)

(482)

(74)

(116)

(218)

(152)

(130)

(201)

(232)

(282)

(432)

Strong Dem

25

16

76

31

45

30

24

25

22

27

23

Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)

10
8
10
12
14
20
1

10
8
10
16
17
24
-

10
5
7
2

11
12
13
3
14
17
-

12
10
11
3
9
10
1

15
16
8
12
9
8
2

7
9
17
4
19
19
-

13
4
9
14
16
19
1

6
6
9
14
13
29
1

12
13
12
9
14
13
1

9
5
9
14
14
24
1

2-3-2 Dem
Ind
Rep

35
30
34

26
33
41

86
12
-

42
27
31

57
24
19

45
36
17

32
30
38

38
27
35

28
29
42

39
34
27

33
28
39

Dem-Rep

1

-15

86

12

38

28

-6

3

-14

12

-6

3-1-3 Dem
Ind
Rep

43
10
46

33
10
57

91
7
-

54
13
33

67
11
21

61
8
29

41
17
42

42
9
48

34
9
56

52
12
35

38
9
52

Dem-Rep

-3

-24

91

21

45

32

-1

-7

-22

17

-15

Respondent gender
Total Answering
Male
Female

Party ID
Total Answering

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com

October 25-30, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll
Education

Florida Statewide

Gender/Education

Total

Total Coll
Grad

Total Non
Coll

Non Coll
Men

Coll Men

Non Coll
Women

Coll
Women

Respondent age
Total Answering

(718)

(414)

(290)

(130)

(183)

(161)

(231)

18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64

21
18
28
32

23
21
26
29

17
14
32
36

13
14
28
45

19
19
24
37

21
14
36
29

27
23
27
22

18 - 49
50 and over

39
60

45
54

31
69

27
73

39
61

35
65

50
49

(718)

(414)

(290)

(130)

(183)

(161)

(231)

44
56

44
56

45
55

100
-

100
-

100

100

(718)

(414)

(290)

(130)

(183)

(161)

(231)

Strong Dem

25

26

23

21

23

25

29

Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)

10
8
10
12
14
20
1

10
9
8
13
15
19
-

11
8
13
10
14
20
1

8
8
16
13
13
22
-

11
7
10
16
15
19
-

13
8
12
7
14
20
1

9
10
7
11
14
19
-

2-3-2 Dem
Ind
Rep

35
30
34

36
30
34

34
31
34

29
36
35

34
33
34

39
27
33

38
28
34

Respondent gender
Total Answering
Male
Female

Party ID
Total Answering

Dem-Rep

1

2

0

-6

0

5

5

3-1-3 Dem
Ind
Rep

43
10
46

45
8
47

42
13
44

36
16
48

40
10
50

47
12
41

48
7
45

Dem-Rep

-3

-2

-2

-12

-10

6

4

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com

October 25-30, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll
Voted Status

Total

Not Early
Early Voter
Voter

Florida Statewide

Party ID

Party Registration

Dem

Ind

Rep

Dem

Unaffi
liated /
Other

Rep

Party Registration
Total Answering
Democrat
Unaffiliated/Other
Republican

(718)

(311)

(407)

(251)

(215)

(244)

(277)

(168)

(273)

39
23
38

40
19
41

37
27
36

85
10
5

21
52
27

6
11
83

100
-

100
-

100

Education
Total Answering

(718)

(311)

(407)

(251)

(215)

(244)

(277)

(168)

(273)

1 - 11th grade
High school graduate
Trade/technical/vocational school
Some college/associates degree
4-year college degree
Post-graduate
(Prefer not to answer)

1
11
4
25
37
21
2

1
13
4
22
33
25
2

2
8
4
27
40
17
2

2
10
2
26
37
22
1

1
14
5
22
34
23
-

1
9
5
26
40
17
2

2
10
3
29
33
21
2

0
18
5
23
32
20
2

1
7
4
22
44
21
2

H.S. or less

12

14

10

11

15

10

12

18

8

Post H.S.
Total College Graduate

29
58

26
58

31
57

28
60

28
58

30
57

32
54

28
52

26
65

Total Non-College

40

40

41

39

42

41

44

47

33

(718)

(311)

(407)

(251)

(215)

(244)

(277)

(168)

(273)

67
10
16
2
2
3

70
10
16
2
1
1

65
10
16
2
3
4

49
25
20
3
2
1

75
4
15
1
4
1

81
15
2
0
2

50
22
19
2
3
4

71
7
13
2
2
4

82
0
15
2
1
0

(718)

(311)

(407)

(251)

(215)

(244)

(277)

(168)

(273)

6
3
8
20
3
22
2
2
23
11
0

10
3
9
20
3
22
1
24
9
0

4
3
7
20
4
23
3
3
22
13
-

2
5
8
31
2
20
1
1
19
11
-

11
2
6
15
2
19
2
1
28
13
0

6
0
8
13
5
28
3
2
23
11
-

2
5
7
30
2
18
1
1
21
13
-

7
2
7
14
3
20
1
2
34
9
1

11
1
9
13
4
28
3
2
18
11
-

Race...
Total Answering
White
Black
Hispanic
Asian/Pacific Islander
Other
(Prefer not to answer)

Media Market...
Total Answering
Ft. Myers-Naples FL
Gainesville FL
Jacksonville FL
Miami-Ft. Lauderdale FL
Mobile AL-Pensacola (Ft. Walton Beach) FL
Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne FL
Panama City FL
Tallahassee FL-Thomasville GA
Tampa-St.Petersburg (Sarasota) FL
West Palm Beach-Fort Pierce FL
Other

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com

October 25-30, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

Florida Statewide

EV Party Registration

Not EV Party Registration

EV Rep

Not EV
Dem

Not EV
Unaffi
liated /
Other

Not EV Rep

Total

EV Dem

EV Unaffi
liated /
Other

(718)

(125)

(59)

(127)

(152)

(109)

(146)

39
23
38

100
-

100
-

100

100
-

100
-

100

Party Registration
Total Answering
Democrat
Unaffiliated/Other
Republican

Education
Total Answering

(718)

(125)

(59)

(127)

(152)

(109)

(146)

1 - 11th grade
High school graduate
Trade/technical/vocational school
Some college/associates degree
4-year college degree
Post-graduate
(Prefer not to answer)

1
11
4
25
37
21
2

14
3
22
32
25
2

26
9
18
20
28
-

1
7
3
23
40
23
3

4
7
2
34
33
18
2

1
13
3
26
39
15
3

1
6
6
21
48
19
0

H.S. or less
Post H.S.
Total College Graduate

12
29
58

14
26
58

26
27
47

8
25
63

10
36
51

14
29
54

7
27
66

Total Non-College

40

40

53

33

47

43

33

(718)

(125)

(59)

(127)

(152)

(109)

(146)

67
10
16
2
2
3

53
21
21
2
2
1

84
9
4
3
-

80
17
2
1
-

47
23
19
2
4
5

63
6
18
2
3
7

84
0
13
1
1
1

Race...
Total Answering
White
Black
Hispanic
Asian/Pacific Islander
Other
(Prefer not to answer)

Media Market...
Total Answering

(718)

(125)

(59)

(127)

(152)

(109)

(146)

Ft. Myers-Naples FL
Gainesville FL
Jacksonville FL
Miami-Ft. Lauderdale FL
Mobile AL-Pensacola (Ft. Walton Beach) FL
Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne FL
Panama City FL

6
3
8
20
3
22
2

3
4
10
32
3
18
-

12
6
7
10
20
-

15
9
12
4
25
2

5
5
28
2
18
2

4
6
16
5
20
2

7
2
9
14
4
29
4

Tallahassee FL-Thomasville GA
Tampa-St.Petersburg (Sarasota) FL
West Palm Beach-Fort Pierce FL
Other

2
23
11
0

18
11
-

38
4
2

23
9
-

2
23
15
-

3
32
12
-

4
14
13
-

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com

October 25-30, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

Florida Statewide

TargetSmart Partisan Score

Gender

Total

90+

70 - 89.9

30 - 69.9

10 - 29.9

0 - 9.9

Men

Women

(718)

(264)

(62)

(56)

(57)

(279)

(314)

(404)

39
23
38

91
8
1

43
55
2

16
76
7

0
62
38

12
88

36
26
39

41
21
38

Party Registration
Total Answering
Democrat
Unaffiliated/Other
Republican

Education
Total Answering

(718)

(264)

(62)

(56)

(57)

(279)

(314)

(404)

1 - 11th grade
High school graduate
Trade/technical/vocational school
Some college/associates degree
4-year college degree
Post-graduate
(Prefer not to answer)

1
11
4
25
37
21
2

2
11
3
25
36
21
3

1
6
2
34
21
33
2

15
2
37
28
15
3

17
7
16
44
16
-

1
9
5
22
42
19
2

1
9
7
24
37
21
0

1
12
2
25
37
20
3

H.S. or less

12

13

7

15

17

10

10

13

Post H.S.
Total College Graduate

29
58

27
57

36
55

39
43

24
60

27
61

31
58

27
57

Total Non-College

40

40

44

54

40

37

41

40

(718)

(264)

(62)

(56)

(57)

(279)

(314)

(404)

67
10
16
2
2
3

46
25
19
2
3
4

55
9
30
2
1
2

79
0
11
5
2
3

81
12
4
3
-

84
0
13
1
0
2

71
6
18
1
2
2

64
14
15
2
2
3

(718)

(264)

(62)

(56)

(57)

(279)

(314)

(404)

6
3
8
20
3
22
2
2
23
11
0

2
5
8
31
1
20
1
1
21
11
0

8
28
8
14
25
17
-

15
2
9
34
5
30
4
-

14
6
16
11
2
7
4
33
8
-

9
1
7
11
6
27
3
2
22
12
-

7
3
7
24
2
23
2
22
9
0

5
2
8
16
4
21
2
3
24
13
-

Race...
Total Answering
White
Black
Hispanic
Asian/Pacific Islander
Other
(Prefer not to answer)

Media Market...
Total Answering
Ft. Myers-Naples FL
Gainesville FL
Jacksonville FL
Miami-Ft. Lauderdale FL
Mobile AL-Pensacola (Ft. Walton Beach) FL
Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne FL
Panama City FL
Tallahassee FL-Thomasville GA
Tampa-St.Petersburg (Sarasota) FL
West Palm Beach-Fort Pierce FL
Other

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com

October 25-30, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

Florida Statewide

Race

Age

Total

White

Black

Hisp anic

Non White

18 - 34

35 - 49

50 - 64

Over 64

18 - 49

50 and
over

(718)

(482)

(74)

(116)

(218)

(152)

(130)

(201)

(232)

(282)

(432)

39
23
38

29
25
47

82
17
1

46
19
34

59
19
22

45
33
22

35
31
34

41
16
43

34
19
47

40
32
28

37
18
45

Party Registration
Total Answering
Democrat
Unaffiliated/Other
Republican

Education
Total Answering

(718)

(482)

(74)

(116)

(218)

(152)

(130)

(201)

(232)

(282)

(432)

1 - 11th grade
High school graduate
Trade/technical/vocational school
Some college/associates degree
4-year college degree
Post-graduate
(Prefer not to answer)

1
11
4
25
37
21
2

1
11
4
25
38
22
-

3
16
33
28
19
2

2
7
9
24
36
19
4

2
10
5
25
36
20
3

2
8
1
22
45
19
3

8
5
18
45
23
1

1
8
4
34
34
19
-

2
16
5
23
30
21
4

1
8
3
20
45
21
2

1
12
5
28
32
20
2

H.S. or less

12

12

19

8

12

10

8

8

18

9

13

Post H.S.
Total College Graduate

29
58

28
59

33
47

33
55

30
56

23
64

23
68

38
53

28
51

23
66

33
52

Total Non-College

40

41

52

41

42

33

31

47

45

32

46

(718)

(482)

(74)

(116)

(218)

(152)

(130)

(201)

(232)

(282)

(432)

67
10
16
2
2
3

100
-

100
-

100
-

34
53
7
6
-

39
18
31
5
4
3

61
10
20
4
2
3

76
9
12
1
1
1

82
6
8
0
3

49
14
26
4
3
3

79
8
10
0
1
2

Race...
Total Answering
White
Black
Hispanic
Asian/Pacific Islander
Other
(Prefer not to answer)

Media Market...
Total Answering

(718)

(482)

(74)

(116)

(218)

(152)

(130)

(201)

(232)

(282)

(432)

Ft. Myers-Naples FL
Gainesville FL
Jacksonville FL
Miami-Ft. Lauderdale FL
Mobile AL-Pensacola (Ft. Walton Beach)
FL
Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne FL
Panama City FL

6
3
8
20

9
3
5
9

4
28
23

1
63

1
12
45

4
2
3
27

1
5
10
27

4
4
7
18

12
1
10
13

3
3
6
27

8
2
8
15

3

4

-

3

2

8

3

3

0

6

2

22
2

27
2

17
-

10
-

13
1

12
-

22
2

27
3

25
1

17
1

26
2

Tallahassee FL-Thomasville GA
Tampa-St.Petersburg (Sarasota) FL
West Palm Beach-Fort Pierce FL
Other

2
23
11
0

2
25
13
0

20
7
-

16
7
-

17
9
-

34
9
-

14
15
-

4
17
13
-

1
26
10
0

25
12
-

3
22
11
0

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com

October 25-30, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll
Education

Florida Statewide

Gender/Education

Total

Total Coll
Grad

Total Non
Coll

Non Coll
Men

Coll Men

Non Coll
Women

Coll
Women

(718)

(414)

(290)

(130)

(183)

(161)

(231)

39
23
38

36
21
43

42
27
31

38
28
35

34
25
41

45
26
29

38
18
44

Party Registration
Total Answering
Democrat
Unaffiliated/Other
Republican

Education
Total Answering

(718)

(414)

(290)

(130)

(183)

(161)

(231)

1 - 11th grade
High school graduate
Trade/technical/vocational school
Some college/associates degree
4-year college degree
Post-graduate
(Prefer not to answer)

1
11
4
25
37
21
2

64
36
-

3
26
10
61
-

4
21
17
59
-

63
37
-

3
30
4
63
-

65
35
-

H.S. or less

12

-

29

25

-

33

-

Post H.S.
Total College Graduate

29
58

100

71
-

75
-

100

67
-

100

Total Non-College

40

-

100

100

-

100

-

(718)

(414)

(290)

(130)

(183)

(161)

(231)

67
10
16
2
2
3

69
8
15
3
3
1

67
13
17
0
1
1

70
7
20
1
1
2

73
5
16
2
2
2

66
18
14
2
1

66
11
15
4
3
1

(718)

(414)

(290)

(130)

(183)

(161)

(231)

6
3
8
20
3
22
2
2
23
11
0

7
4
8
22
3
23
3
2
17
12
0

5
1
8
17
4
22
0
1
30
12
-

5
1
8
21
2
22
31
10
-

9
5
6
27
2
24
3
16
8
1

4
2
8
14
4
22
1
2
29
13
-

6
3
9
18
4
22
3
4
18
14
-

Race...
Total Answering
White
Black
Hispanic
Asian/Pacific Islander
Other
(Prefer not to answer)

Media Market...
Total Answering
Ft. Myers-Naples FL
Gainesville FL
Jacksonville FL
Miami-Ft. Lauderdale FL
Mobile AL-Pensacola (Ft. Walton Beach) FL
Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne FL
Panama City FL
Tallahassee FL-Thomasville GA
Tampa-St.Petersburg (Sarasota) FL
West Palm Beach-Fort Pierce FL
Other

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com

October 25-30, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll
Voted Status
Not Early
Early Voter
Voter

Total

Florida Statewide

Party ID

Party Registration

Dem

Ind

Rep

Dem

Unaffi
liated /
Other

Rep

TargetSmart Partisan Score
Total Answering
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100

(718)

(311)

(407)

(251)

(215)

(244)

(277)

(168)

(273)

39
6
2
2
2
3
2
3
5
37

36
8
3
2
1
4
2
2
7
36

41
4
2
1
2
2
1
5
4
37

3
1
0
1
1
2
1
5
8
79

31
14
5
4
3
6
4
4
6
23

83
4
3
0
1
1
1
1
2
4

0
3
0
3
7
87

20
14
7
6
7
7
5
9
12
13

89
6
2
0
0
1
0
1

(718)

(311)

(407)

(251)

(215)

(244)

(277)

(168)

(273)

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

0
3
3
5
6
5
9
17
52
0

1
2
2
5
2
7
15
66
0

0
5
4
7
7
6
10
17
42
-

3
2
4
5
5
8
16
58
-

0
5
2
5
8
5
15
21
38
0

2
4
6
5
3
5
14
60
-

0
3
2
4
6
3
7
16
59
0

0
7
4
8
10
11
13
20
25
1

1
4
4
3
2
8
15
63
-

TargetSmart 2016 General Election Turnout Score
Total Answering
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100
Unknown

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com

October 25-30, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

Florida Statewide

EV Party Registration

Not EV Party Registration

EV Rep

Not EV
Dem

Not EV
Unaffi
liated /
Other

Not EV Rep

Total

EV Dem

EV Unaffi
liated /
Other

(718)

(125)

(59)

(127)

(152)

(109)

(146)

39
6
2
2
2
3
2
3
5
37

0
5
0
2
11
82

6
26
6
9
4
8
7
5
14
14

85
7
4
3
2

1
1
3
4
91

28
8
7
5
9
6
3
11
10
12

94
5
1
0
0
1
-

(718)

(125)

(59)

(127)

(152)

(109)

(146)

0
3
3
5
6
5
9
17
52
0

2
3
2
2
15
77
0

1
2
13
7
20
14
43
2

4
3
3
6
17
67
-

0
4
3
7
9
5
10
17
44
-

0
11
6
11
9
13
10
23
16
-

3
4
4
3
3
10
14
60
-

TargetSmart Partisan Score
Total Answering
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100

TargetSmart 2016 General Election Turnout Score
Total Answering
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100
Unknown

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com

October 25-30, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

Florida Statewide

TargetSmart Partisan Score

Gender

Total

90+

70 - 89.9

30 - 69.9

10 - 29.9

0 - 9.9

Men

Women

(718)

(264)

(62)

(56)

(57)

(279)

(314)

(404)

39
6
2
2
2
3
2
3
5
37

100

39
61
-

20
22
35
22
-

70
30
-

100
-

43
6
3
1
2
3
1
3
5
34

36
6
2
2
2
3
2
4
5
39

TargetSmart Partisan Score
Total Answering
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100

TargetSmart 2016 General Election Turnout Score
Total Answering

(718)

(264)

(62)

(56)

(57)

(279)

(314)

(404)

0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9

0

0

-

1

-

-

0

-

20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100
Unknown

3
3
5
6
5
9
17
52
0

3
2
4
7
4
8
15
58
0

9
3
5
7
8
17
20
30
1

3
9
10
12
8
13
24
20
-

8
3
9
10
3
5
20
43
-

2
3
4
3
4
8
15
61
-

5
4
5
6
4
9
14
52
-

2
3
5
6
5
9
19
52
0

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com

October 25-30, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

Florida Statewide

Race

Age

Total

White

Black

Hisp anic

Non White

18 - 34

35 - 49

50 - 64

Over 64

18 - 49

50 and
over

(718)

(482)

(74)

(116)

(218)

(152)

(130)

(201)

(232)

(282)

(432)

39
6
2
2
2
3
2
3
5
37

49
7
3
2
2
4
2
3
4
25

1
0
4
4
91

30
3
3
1
1
1
2
4
12
43

18
3
2
1
1
1
2
4
9
60

21
4
3
1
3
1
2
9
8
48

40
7
2
2
2
1
2
2
5
37

43
3
2
1
1
4
2
3
7
34

47
8
3
2
1
3
1
1
3
31

30
5
3
2
3
1
2
6
6
43

45
6
2
1
1
4
1
2
5
33

TargetSmart Partisan Score
Total Answering
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100

TargetSmart 2016 General Election Turnout Score
Total Answering

(718)

(482)

(74)

(116)

(218)

(152)

(130)

(201)

(232)

(282)

(432)

0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9

0

0

-

0

0

0

-

-

0

0

0

20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100
Unknown

3
3
5
6
5
9
17
52
0

3
3
4
5
4
9
16
58
0

1
1
3
9
6
12
12
56
-

4
5
8
10
5
7
24
36
0

4
3
7
9
6
9
18
44
0

6
8
11
15
12
11
18
19
1

3
2
5
2
7
18
23
40
-

3
3
4
2
2
11
11
64
-

1
2
1
6
0
0
17
72
-

5
5
8
9
10
14
20
28
0

2
2
3
4
1
5
14
68
-

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com

October 25-30, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll
Education

Florida Statewide

Gender/Education

Total

Total Coll
Grad

Total Non
Coll

Non Coll
Men

Coll Men

Non Coll
Women

Coll
Women

(718)

(414)

(290)

(130)

(183)

(161)

(231)

39
6
2
2
2
3
2
3
5
37

41
6
2
1
2
2
2
4
5
36

36
5
3
3
1
4
2
3
6
37

41
8
3
2
1
3
1
3
4
33

44
4
3
1
2
2
1
3
5
35

31
2
3
4
1
5
3
4
7
40

39
8
2
0
2
1
2
4
4
38

TargetSmart Partisan Score
Total Answering
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100

TargetSmart 2016 General Election Turnout Score
Total Answering

(718)

(414)

(290)

(130)

(183)

(161)

(231)

0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9

0

-

0

1

-

-

-

20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100
Unknown

3
3
5
6
5
9
17
52
0

2
3
4
4
4
9
18
56
0

4
3
6
8
5
8
16
48
-

6
2
7
7
3
10
17
47
-

5
5
3
5
5
8
12
57
-

3
4
6
9
7
7
15
49
-

1
1
4
3
3
10
22
55
0

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

targetsmart.com