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Arizona

Survey of 2,229 registered likely voters conducted October 29-31.



Toplines

Partisan Registration:
Republican

41%
Democrat

35%
Independent/Other
24%

Sex
Female


53%
Male


47%

Ethnicity
White


72%
Latino


19%
Native American

5%
African American
2%
Other


2%

Age
18-34


16%
35-44


21%
45-54


15%
55-64


23%
65+


25%

County
Maricopa


56%
Pima


16%
Other


28%

If the Election for President Were Held Today and You Had to Make a Choice
Who Would You Vote for?
Clinton


45%
Trump


44%
Johnson


7%
Stein


1%
Write In


3%

How Do You Intend to Vote on Prop 205, the Regulation and Taxation of
Marijuana Act?
Yes


58%
No


42%



How Do You Intend to Vote on Prop 206, the Fair Wages and Healthy Families
Act?
Yes


61%
No


39%

How Do You Intend to Vote?
Already Have

41%
By Mail


29%
In Person Early

6%
On Election Day

24%

Selected Crosstabs: Presidential Race

Partisan Registration

Democrat
Republican
Independent/Other
Hillary Clinton (D) 93%
9%
37%
Donald Trump (R) 3%
84%
36%
Gary Johnson (L)
1%
5%
17%
Jill Stein (G)
2%
0%
2%
Write In
2%
2%
8%

Sex


Male
Female
Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
51%
Donald Trump (R) 49%
40%
Gary Johnson (L)
7%
Jill Stein (G)
1%
Write In
2%

Ethnicity

Hillary Clinton (D)
Donald Trump (R)
Gary Johnson (L)
Jill Stein (G)
Write In

Age

18-34
Clinton
43%
Trump
32%

5%
1%
4%

White
40%
49%
7%
1%
3%
35-44
50%
34%

Latino
65%
22%
7%
1%
5%
45-54
43%
48%

55-64
48%
45%

65+
41%
56%


Johnson
16%
9%
7%
3%
1%
Stein
1%
3%
0%
0%
0%
Write In
8%
4%
2%
4%
2%

County

Maricopa
Pima
Other
Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
53%
35%
Donald Trump (R) 41%
37%
55%
Gary Johnson (L)
7%
5%
6%
Jill Stein (G)
1%
0%
1%
Write In
4%
5%
3%


Methodology: Between October 29-31, Saguaro Strategies conducted 2,229 online
surveys with registered likely voters. The final sample was weighted for age, gender,
partisanship and ethnicity. For results based on this sample, one can say with 95%
confidence that the margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.