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NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll

November 2016
Texas Questionnaire
Residents: n=1,138 MOE +/- 2.9%
Registered Voters: n=943 MOE +/- 3.2%
Likely Voters: n=679 MOE +/- 3.8%
Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
Screener
<Marist Poll Introduction> Are you 18 years of age or older?
Do you consider your permanent home address to be in Texas?
HH SELECTION LANDLINE FRAME ONLY
GENDER GUESS

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?


LIKELY VOTERS
Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total

November 2016
43
51
5
100

REGISTERED VOTERS

November 2016
46
48
6
100

RESIDENTS

November 2016
49
44
7
100

Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total

Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total
If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support
if the candidates are [including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a
candidate or already voted]:
LIKELY VOTERS
Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats
Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans
Neither
Other
Undecided
Total

November 2016
41
49
4
4
2
100

REGISTERED VOTERS
Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats

November 2016
43

Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans


Neither
Other
Undecided
Total

46
5
3
2
100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Texas Poll November 2016; Page 1

Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support them, or
do you think you might vote differently on Election Day?
LIKELY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Strongly support

November 2016
63

Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total

34
1
2
100

REGISTERED VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE


Strongly support

November 2016
60

Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total

36
2
3
100

If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support
if the candidates are [including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a
candidate or already voted]:
LIKELY VOTERS
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat

November 2016
40

Donald Trump, the Republican


Gary Johnson, the Libertarian
Jill Stein, of the Green Party
Other
Undecided
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat

49
6
2
2
1
100
November 2016
41

Donald Trump, the Republican


Gary Johnson, the Libertarian
Jill Stein, of the Green Party
Other
Undecided
Total

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Texas Poll November 2016; Page 2

45
7
3
3
2
100

Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Hillary


Clinton?
LIKELY VOTERS
Favorable

November 2016
33

Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

63
4
100
REGISTERED VOTERS

Favorable

November 2016
34

Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

61
5
100
RESIDENTS

Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total
Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Donald
Trump?
LIKELY VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

November 2016
38
56
6
100

REGISTERED VOTERS

November 2016
35
59
6
100

RESIDENTS

November 2016
33
61
6
100

Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

November 2016
35
58
6
100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Texas Poll November 2016; Page 3

Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Ted Cruz?


LIKELY VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

November 2016
41
46
12
100

REGISTERED VOTERS

November 2016
40
45
15
100

RESIDENTS

November 2016
38
44
18
100

LIKELY VOTERS

November 2016
46
54
100

REGISTERED VOTERS

November 2016
47
53
100

RESIDENTS

November 2016
49
51
100

Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total
Are you male or female?
Male
Female
Total

Male
Female
Total

Male
Female
Total

Nature of the Sample: NBC News/WSJ/Marist Texas Poll of 1,138 Adults


This survey of 1,138 adults was conducted October 30th through November 1st, 2016 by The Marist Poll
sponsored and funded in partnership with NBC News and The Wall Street Journal . Adults 18 years of age
and older residing in the state of Texas were contacted on landline or mobile numbers and interviewed in
English or Spanish by telephone using live interviewers. Landline telephone numbers were randomly
selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state of Texas from ASDE Survey
Sampler, Inc. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its
population. Respondents in the household were randomly selected by first asking for the youngest male.
This landline sample was combined with respondents reached through random dialing of mobile phone
numbers from Survey Sampling International. Assistance was provided by Luce Research for data
collection. After the interviews were completed, the two samples were combined and balanced to reflect
the 2013 American Community Survey 5-year estimates for age, gender, income, and region, except for
race, which is from the 2010 Census. Results are statistically significant within 2.9 percentage points.
There are 943 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within 3.2
percentage points. There are 679 likely voters defined by a probability turnout model which determines the
likelihood respondents will participate in the 2016 Presidential Election based upon their chance of vote,
interest in the election, and past election participation. The results for this subset are statistically
significant within 3.8 percentage points. The error margin was not adjusted for sample weights and
increases for cross-tabulations.
For nature of the sample and additional tables, please visit The Marist Poll

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Texas Poll November 2016; Page 4