CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL

Five Days to Go: The Race Tightens
October 28 – November 1, 2016
Q1. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much, or no
attention so far?

A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Don't know/No answer

** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
74
78
76
70
19
19
17
20
4
2
4
6
3
*
3
3
*
1
*
*

Oct16b
%
69
23
6
2
*

Q2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 election for President this November -- would you say you will
definitely vote, probably vote, probably not vote, or definitely not vote in the election for President?
Definitely vote
Probably vote
Probably not vote
Definitely not vote
Already Voted (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer

75
6
2
2
14
1

77
7
1
1
13
1

73
6
2
2
17
*

74
6
3
3
12
1

85
9
2
2
1
1

Q3/Q4. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for President and
Tim Kaine for Vice President, the Democrats, and Donald Trump for President and Mike Pence for Vice President, the
Republicans, would you vote for Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine or Donald Trump and Mike Pence?
ASK IF DEPENDS/DON’T KNOW: Well as of today, do you lean more toward Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine or more
toward Donald Trump and Mike Pence?

Clinton and Kaine
Trump and Pence
Other (Vol.)
Won't vote (Vol.)
Don't know/ No answer

* LIKELY VOTERS INCLUDING LEANERS *
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
47
8
87
39
44
83
8
46
5
5
1
9
1
1
*
2
4
4
3
4

Oct16b
%
51
40
5
2
3

Q6/Q7. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat,
Donald Trump, the Republican, Gary Johnson, the Libertarian, and Jill Stein, the Green Party candidate, would you vote
for Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Gary Johnson or Jill Stein?
IF DEPENDS OR DON’T KNOW: Well as of today, do you lean more toward Hillary Clinton, or more toward Donald
Trump, or more towards Gary Johnson, or more towards Jill Stein?

Clinton
Trump
Johnson
Stein
Other (Vol.)
Won't vote (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer

* LIKELY VOTERS INCLUDING LEANERS *
%
%
%
%
45
7
83
38
42
81
7
42
5
4
3
8
4
3
3
6
1
1
*
2
1
1
*
1
3
3
4
3

Oct16b
%
47
38
8
3
2
1
2

Q8. Is your mind made up or do you think you might change your mind before the election?

Mind made up
Might change mind
Don't know/No answer

* LIKELY VOTERS WITH CANDIDATE CHOICE *
Total
Clinton Vtrs
Trump Vtrs
%
%
%
92
95
95
8
5
5
*
*
*

Oct16b
%
90
9
1

Q9. Would you describe your support for (Hillary Clinton/Donald Trump/Gary Johnson/Jill Stein) as strongly favoring
(Hillary Clinton/Donald Trump/Gary Johnson/Jill Stein), or do you like (Hillary Clinton/Donald Trump/Gary Johnson/Jill
Stein) but with reservations, or do you support (Hillary Clinton/Donald Trump/Gary Johnson/Jill Stein) because you
dislike the other candidates?

Strongly favor
Like, but with reservations
Dislike other candidates
Don't know/No answer

Total
%
50
25
24
1

Clinton Vtrs
%
53
28
18
1

Trump Vtrs
%
53
24
23
1

Oct16b
%
49
24
26
1

Q10. Thinking about the 2016 presidential election, overall, would you say you are very enthusiastic, somewhat
enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all about voting?
Oct16b
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not enthusiastic at all
Don't know/No answer

49
24
11
15
1

51
26
10
12
1

56
23
20
10
1

43
27
13
16
1

Q11. Regardless of how you intend to vote for President in 2016, who do you expect to finally win the 2016 presidential
election – Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Depends (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer

** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
56
26
85
54
33
62
9
30
2
2
2
2
9
10
5
13

Oct16b
%
63
26
2
9

Q12/Q13. If the 2016 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the
Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?/ In the election for U.S. House of Representatives,
did you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?
IF DEPENDS OR DON’T KNOW: Well as of today, do you lean more toward the Republican candidate or more toward the
Democratic candidate?
Republican
Democratic
Other (vol.)
Won't vote (vol.)
Depends (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

46
49
1
1
*
3

93
3
1
1
2

8
90
1
1
1

42
48
1
2
1
6

45
50
1
1
1
3

Q14. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Donald
Trump yet to have an opinion?

Favorable
Not favorable
Undecided
Haven't heard enough
Don't know/No answer

** REGISTERED VOTERS **
33
66
7
28
56
23
84
57
9
9
7
12
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1

30
59
8
2
1

Q15. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Hillary
Clinton yet to have an opinion?
Favorable
Not favorable
Undecided
Haven't heard enough
Don't know/No answer

35
54
9
2
1

5
90
4
1
1

71
16
10
2
*

24
60
12
3
1

35
52
10
2
1

Q16. If Hillary Clinton is elected President, what best describes your feelings about what she will do in office -- excited,
optimistic, concerned or scared?

Excited
Optimistic
Concerned
Scared
Don't know/No answer

** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
8
1
19
4
31
6
55
31
24
27
17
28
36
66
9
36
1
*
1
2

Mar16d
%
11
31
21
35
2

Q17. If Donald Trump is elected President, what best describes your feelings about what he will do in office -- excited,
optimistic, concerned or scared?
Excited
Optimistic
Concerned
Scared
Don't know/No answer

13
24
21
40
1

29
42
17
11
1

3
6
22
68
1

9
27
24
38
1

10
20
19
50
1

Q18. In general, has the 2016 presidential campaign made you feel MORE excited or MORE disgusted about American
politics?
Excited
Disgusted
Neither (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer

13
82
3
2

14
81
4
2

13
80
4
2

12
86
2
*

Q19. If you had to choose, which is more important to you in deciding which presidential candidate you will vote for – a
candidate’s position on the issues, or a candidate’s personal qualities?
Issues
Personal qualities
Both (vol.)
Don't know/No answer
Q20.-Q26 RELEASED SEPARATELY

75
15
9
1

75
13
10
2

77
15
7
2

73
18
9
1

Q26. From what you've heard or read, do you approve or disapprove of the health care law that was enacted in 2010?
IF APPROVE, ASK: Do you strongly approve or somewhat approve? IF DISAPPROVE, ASK: Do you somewhat disapprove or
strongly disapprove?

Strongly approve
Somewhat approve
Somewhat disapprove
Strongly disapprove
Don't know/No answer

** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
17
4
33
12
22
6
33
24
15
14
15
17
39
74
13
37
6
2
5
10

Mar16d
%
19
23
12
36
10

Q27. How much confidence do you have that the votes for president will be counted properly this November – a lot,
some, not much, or no confidence at all?

A lot
Some
Not much
No confidence at all
Don't know/No answer

45
29
10
15
1

24
38
15
21
2

67
19
4
10
1

41
33
11
15
*

Oct08e
32
44
14
9
1

Q28. Would you describe the Republican Party today as united or divided?
United
Divided
Don't know/No answer

9
89
2

14
85
1

6
91
3

8
89
3

Jul16c
21
73
6

Q29. Would you describe the Democratic Party today as united or divided?

United
Divided
Don't know/No answer

59
37
4

47
48
5

73
25
2

56
40
5

Jul16e
40
52
8

Q30. Overall, do you think Hillary Clinton’s candidacy has been good for the Democratic Party, bad for the Democratic
Party, or has it not had much of an effect either way?
Good effect
Bad effect
No effect
Don't know/No answer

26
39
33
2

12
60
26
2

46
17
35
2

19
42
37
2

Q31. Overall, do you think Donald Trump’s candidacy has been good for the Republican Party, bad for the Republican
Party, or has it not had much of an effect either way?

Good effect
Bad effect
No effect
Don't know/No answer

** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
22
39
7
23
63
41
83
63
12
16
7
13
2
4
2
1

Q32. In deciding who you would like to see elected President this year, which one of the following issues will be most
important to you – national security and terrorism, the economy and jobs, health care, immigration, or something else?

Economy and jobs
National security and terrorism
Health care
Immigration
Environment (vol.)
Something else (vol.)
All are important (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

38
28
11
7
2
9
3
1

35
36
7
9
*
6
4
1

41
22
16
7
2
8
2
1

38
27
11
6
3
10
3
1

Sep16a
%
32
29
16
8
2
7
3
3

Q33. Do you think Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy, or not?

Honest and trustworthy
Not honest and trustworthy
Don't know/No answer

32
64
4

3
95
1

67
26
7

22
74
4

Oct16b
33
63
4

Q34. Do you think Hillary Clinton is qualified to serve as president, or not?
Yes, is qualified
No, is not qualified
Don't know/No answer

56
44
1

21
78
1

90
10
*

52
47
1

Q35. Do you think Hillary Clinton understands the needs and problems of people like yourself, or not?
Does
Does not
Don't know/No answer

48
51
1

15
84
*

82
17
2

43
57
1

49
49
2

Q36. Do you think Hillary Clinton has the right kind of temperament and personality to be a good president, or not?
Yes, has
No, does not have
Don't know/No answer

58
40
2

25
73
2

90
8
2

55
43
1

58
40
3

Q37. If she were elected President, do you think Hillary Clinton could bring about real change in the way things are done
in Washington, or couldn't she do that?

Could
Could not
Don't know/No answer

** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
35
11
66
26
61
87
31
69
3
2
4
5

Sep16d
%
41
55
4

Q38. Regardless of how you intend to vote, do you think Hillary Clinton would be the kind of president who would be
able to unite the country or wouldn't she be that kind of president?

Would unite the country
Not that kind of president
Don't know/No answer

39
57
3

7
91
2

71
25
4

35
61
4

May08a
48
45
7

Q39. Do you think Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy, or not?

Honest and trustworthy
Not honest and trustworthy
Don't know/No answer

38
58
3

71
25
4

11
86
2

37
60
3

Oct16b
36
60
4

Q40. Do you think Donald Trump is qualified to serve as president, or not?
Yes, is qualified
No, is not qualified
Don't know/No answer

41
57
1

77
22
1

10
88
2

41
57
2

Q41. Do you think Donald Trump understands the needs and problems of people like yourself, or not?
Does
Does not
Don't know/No answer

39
60
1

73
25
2

10
90
*

38
61
1

38
61
2

Q42. Do you think Donald Trump has the right kind of temperament and personality to be a good president, or not?
Yes, has
No, does not have
Don't know/No answer

32
66
2

62
35
3

7
91
2

29
70
2

32
66
2

Q43. If he were elected President, do you think Donald Trump could bring about real change in the way things are done
in Washington, or couldn't he do that?

Could
Could not
Don't know/No answer

** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
50
81
22
50
47
16
74
47
3
3
4
3

Sep16d
%
49
48
3

Q44. Regardless of how you intend to vote, do you think Donald Trump would be the kind of president who would be
able to unite the country or wouldn't he be that kind of president?
Would unite the country
Not that kind of president
Don't know/No answer

33
64
3

65
32
3

6
91
3

30
66
4

Q45. How much do you think Donald Trump respects women – a lot, some, not much, or not at all?

A lot
Some
Not much
Not at all
Don't know/No answer

20
25
15
38
2

38
42
10
7
2

4
12
19
64
1

20
24
16
37
2

Oct16b
15
24
18
40
2

Q46. Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling each of the
following issues – Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump? Which candidate would do a better job handling (INSERT ITEM)?
a.

The economy and jobs

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both (vol.)
Neither (vol.)
Don't know/No answer
b.

45
51
1
1
1

9
87
*
2
2

78
19
2
*
1

44
52
1
2
2

47
49
*
2
1

14
83
*
3
1

84
13
1
1
1

45
50
1
3
1

Sep16a
49
45
1
4
2

Terrorism and national security

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both (vol.)
Neither (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

49
47
*
2
1

Q46. Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling each of the
following issues – Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump? Which candidate would do a better job handling (INSERT ITEM)?
c.

Immigration

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both (vol.)
Neither (vol.)
Don't know/No answer
d.

60
36
*
2
1

25
71
1
2
2

92
7
1
1

60
34
1
4
1

59
36
1
3
3

53
38
1
3
5

20
73
*
2
5

83
8
2
2
5

53
37
1
5
5

51
46
*
2
1

14
82
*
3
1

83
14
*
1
1

51
45
*
2
2

Abortion

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both (vol.)
Neither (vol.)
Don't know/No answer
f.

Oct16b
%
51
44
*
3
2

Foreign Policy

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both (vol.)
Neither (vol.)
Don't know/No answer
e.

** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
50
14
83
49
47
83
15
46
*
1
*
2
3
*
3
1
1
1
1

Healthcare

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both (vol.)
Neither (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

Q47. If Hillary Clinton is elected President, do you think the policies of her administration will favor the rich, favor the
middle class, favor the poor, or will they treat all groups the same?

Rich
Middle class
Poor
Treat all groups the same
Don't know/No answer

37
24
14
22
3

57
8
21
10
3

15
41
9
33
2

43
20
12
22
3

Mar08c
23
29
13
28
7

Q48. If Donald Trump is elected President, do you think the policies of his administration will favor the rich, favor the
middle class, favor the poor, or will they treat all groups the same?

Rich
Middle class
Poor
Treat all groups the same
Don't know/No answer

** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
57
21
88
59
14
24
5
13
1
2
*
2
27
53
6
25
1
1
1
2

Q49. In general, when you find out that someone is supporting Hillary Clinton, do you view that person more favorably,
less favorably, or doesn't it affect your opinion of that person?
More favorably
Less favorably
No effect
Don't know/No answer

14
15
70
1

2
29
68
1

31
4
64
*

6
13
79
2

Q50. In general, when you find out that someone is supporting Donald Trump, do you view that person more favorably,
less favorably, or doesn't it affect your opinion of that person?
More favorably
Less favorably
No effect
Don't know/No answer

10
26
63
1

22
7
71
1

2
44
54
*

8
25
66
1

Q51. How much have you heard or read about the recent allegations by a number of women who have claimed that
Donald Trump made unwanted sexual advances against them at various times over the last thirty years – a lot, some, or
not much?
A lot
Some
Not much
Nothing at all (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

58
28
13
*
*

54
31
15
*

66
24
9
*
*

54
30
15
*
*

Q52. From what you've heard or read, do you think the allegations that Donald Trump made unwanted sexual advances
against women are mostly true or mostly not true?
Mostly true
Mostly not true
Don't know/No answer

54
41
5

20
75
5

84
12
4

55
39
6

Q53. From what you've heard or read, do Donald Trump’s alleged activities involving unwanted sexual advances against
women make you more likely to vote for Donald Trump, less likely to vote for Donald Trump, or does it make no real
difference in your vote?

More likely
Less likely
No difference
Don't know/No answer

**** LIKELY VOTERS ****
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
2
4
1
1
39
15
60
39
59
81
39
59
1
1
*
1

Q54. Do you think Hillary Clinton did anything wrong when she set up a personal email address and server for work
while she was Secretary of State, or not? IF YES, ASK: Do you think Hillary Clinton’s activities regarding her personal
email address and server were improper but not illegal, or do you think they were illegal?

No, nothing wrong
Yes, improper, but not illegal
Yes, illegal
Don't know/No answer

** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
19
4
37
15
28
12
40
29
48
82
16
50
5
2
7
6

Oct16b
%
25
28
42
2

Q55. As you may know, the FBI says it has learned of additional emails that appear to be relevant to the investigation
into Hillary Clinton’s private email and server while Secretary of State. The FBI is reviewing these emails to determine
whether or not they contain classified information. How much have you heard or read about this - – a lot, some, or not
much?
A lot
Some
Not much
Nothing at all (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

47
34
18
*
1

52
33
14
*

43
34
22
*
2

47
34
18
*

Q56. Do these actions by the FBI make you more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton, less likely to vote for Hillary Clinton, or
does it make no real difference in your vote?

More likely
Less likely
No difference
Don't know/No answer

**** LIKELY VOTERS ****
5
1
11
3
32
57
8
35
62
41
82
62
*
1
*

Q57. Have you been contacted on behalf of either Presidential candidate over the past couple of weeks whether it was
by a letter, by email, by telephone, or in person by a campaign worker? IF YES, ASK: For which candidate?

Yes, Clinton
Yes, Trump
Yes, Both
No contact
Don't know/No answer

** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
9
2
20
5
11
20
4
9
8
8
7
9
71
69
69
76
1
1
1
1

Q58. In general, how widespread do you think voter fraud is in U.S. elections, such as people voting who are not eligible
to vote? Do you think this happens a lot, sometimes, not much, or not at all?

A lot
Sometimes
Not much
Not at all
Don't know/No answer

23
32
30
13
2

37
42
15
4
2

10
25
42
21
2

24
30
31
13
2

Feb15d
%
28
36
22
9
2

Q59. If the candidate you vote for isn’t declared the winner of the 2016 presidential election, will you probably accept
the official election results as legitimate, or will you probably not accept the official election results as legitimate?
Probably will accept the results
Probably will not accept the results
Depends (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

76
18
4
2

69
21
5
4

83
15
1
1

75
18
4
3

Q60. Thinking about the results of the presidential election this November, how important do you think it is for a losing
candidate to publicly acknowledge the winner as the legitimate president of the country - very important, somewhat
important, not too important, or not at all important?
Very important
Somewhat important
Not too important
Not at all important
Don't know/No answer

56
22
9
11
1

42
26
12
19
2

70
18
7
5
*

55
23
9
11
1

Q61. How concerned are you about a foreign government attempting to influence election and voting systems in the
United States in order to disrupt or alter the 2016 elections – very concerned, somewhat concerned, not very concerned
or not at all concerned?

Very concerned
Somewhat concerned
Not very concerned
Not at all concerned
Don't know/No answer

** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
33
28
41
30
30
31
31
28
19
19
17
22
17
21
10
19
*
*
*
*

Q62. In general, would you say the presidential and vice presidential debates have been very important, somewhat
important, not very important or not important at all in your voting decision for President?
Very important
Somewhat important
Not very important
Not at all important
Don't know/No answer

31
33
16
20
*

Unweighted
1,561

Weighted

Total Respondents
Total Registered Voters

1,333

1,222

440
446
447

384
435
403

Republican Registered Voters
Democratic Registered Voters
Independent Registered Voters
Republican likely voters
Democratic likely voters
Independent likely voters

29
34
17
20
*

34
33
12
20
1

28
33
18
22
*

296
338
293