CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL The 2016 Election: A Lead for Clinton with One Day to Go November 2-6, 2016
Q1. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much, or no attention so far? ** REGISTERED VOTERS ** Total Rep Dem Ind Oct16e % % % % %
A lot 67 71 71 62 74 Some 22 23 18 26 19 Not much 7 5 8 8 4 No attention so far 2 1 3 3 3 Don't know/No answer 1 * * 1 * Q2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 election for President this November -- would you say you will definitely vote, probably vote, probably not vote, or definitely not vote in the election for President? Definitely vote 66 67 68 64 75 Probably vote 9 8 7 11 6 Probably not vote 3 1 2 4 2 Definitely not vote 1 1 1 2 2 Already Voted (vol.) 21 23 22 18 14 Don't know/No answer 1 1 1 * 1 Q3/Q4. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for President and Tim Kaine for Vice President, the Democrats, and Donald Trump for President and Mike Pence for Vice President, the Republicans, would you vote for Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine or Donald Trump and Mike Pence?
ASK IF DEPENDS/DON’T KNOW:
Well as of today, do you lean more toward Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine or more toward Donald Trump and Mike Pence? **** LIKELY VOTERS **** Clinton and Kaine 47 6 88 41 47 Trump and Pence 43 86 7 42 44 Other 5 5 1 8 5 Won't vote 1 1 1 2 1 Don't know/No answer 4 2 3 7 4
Q6/Q7. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Donald Trump, the Republican, Gary Johnson, the Libertarian, and Jill Stein, the Green Party candidate, would you vote for Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Gary Johnson or Jill Stein?
IF DEPENDS OR DON’T KNOW:
Well as of today, do you lean more toward Hillary Clinton, or more toward Donald Trump, or more towards Gary Johnson, or more towards Jill Stein?
* LIKELY VOTERS INCLUDING LEANERS * Total Rep Dem Ind Oct16e % % % % %
Clinton 45 6 85 38 45 Trump 41 84 6 40 42 Johnson 5 4 2 9 5 Stein 2 1 2 4 4 Other (vol.) 2 2 1 3 1 Won't vote (vol.) 1 1 1 1 1 Don't know/No answer 4 1 3 7 3 Q8. Is your mind made up or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
* LIKELY VOTERS WITH CANDIDATE CHOICE * Total Clinton Vtrs Trump Vtrs % % % Mind made up 95 96 96 92 Might change mind 5 4 4 8 Don't know/No answer * * * * Q9. Would you describe your support for (Hillary Clinton/Donald Trump/Gary Johnson/Jill Stein) as strongly favoring (Hillary Clinton/Donald Trump/Gary Johnson/Jill Stein), or do you like (Hillary Clinton/Donald Trump/Gary Johnson/Jill Stein) but with reservations, or do you support (Hillary Clinton/Donald Trump/Gary Johnson/Jill Stein) because you dislike the other candidates? Strongly favor 50 56 48 50 Like, but with reservations 25 23 27 25 Dislike other candidates 25 20 24 24 Don't know/No answer 1 2 1 1 Q10. Thinking about the 2016 presidential election, overall, would you say you are very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all about voting? ******** LIKELY VOTERS ******** Very enthusiastic 48 53 51 49 Somewhat enthusiastic 25 24 26 24 Not too enthusiastic 11 9 11 11 Not enthusiastic at all 15 12 10 15 Don't know/No answer 1 1 2 1
Q10a. When did you finally decide for whom to vote in the 2016 presidential election? * LIKELY VOTERS WITH CANDIDATE CHOICE * Total Rep Dem Ind % % % %
In the last week 5 6 3 7 In the last two weeks 7 7 5 10 Earlier in October 10 11 7 11 In September 11 11 8 13 Before that 66 65 75 57 Don't know/No answer 1 1 2 1 Q11. Regardless of how you intend to vote for President in 2016, who do you expect to finally win the 2016 presidential election
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Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump? ***** LIKELY VOTERS ***** Total Rep Dem Ind Oct16e % % % % %
Hillary Clinton 55 23 84 54 56 Donald Trump 31 62 7 30 33 Depends (vol.) 2 1 2 2 2 Don't know/No answer 12 14 7 14 9 Q12. As you may know, a number of women have claimed that Donald Trump made unwanted sexual advances against
them at various times over the last thirty years. (Do/Did) Donald Trump’s alleged activities involving unwanted sexual
advances against women make you more likely to vote for Donald Trump, less likely to vote for Donald Trump, or (do/did) they make no real difference in your vote? More likely 2 5 1 1 Less likely 36 15 55 35 No difference 59 78 43 60 Don't know/No answer 2 3 1 3 Q13. As you may know, the FBI says it has learned of additional emails that appear to be relevant to the investigation
into Hillary Clinton’s private email and server while Secretary of State. The FBI is reviewing these emails to determine
whether or not they contain classified information. (Do/did) these actions by the FBI make you more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton, less likely to vote for Hillary Clinton, or (do/did) they make no real difference in your vote?
More likely 5 1 9 3 Less likely 29 53 8 32 No difference 64 43 81 64 Don't know/No answer 2 3 2 2