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Long-term data on hourly wind speed from 70 meteorological centres of India Meteorological Department
have been collected. The daily gust wind data have been
processed for annual maximum wind speed (in kmph)
for each site. Using the Gumbel probability paper approach the extreme value quantiles have been derived.
A design basis wind speed for each site for a return
period of 50 years has also been evaluated. The sitespecific changes in the design wind speeds in the contemporary wind zone map for the design of buildings/
structures are highlighted and revision to the map is
suggested.
Keywords: Anemograph stations, buildings and structures, return period, wind speed map.
THE wind speed map included in the IS:875 (Part-3)1,
serves the primary purpose of choosing the appropriate
basic wind velocity for the design of buildings and structures. The recommended basic wind speed in the map
refers to peak gust velocity averaged over 3 s duration, at a
height of 10 m above ground level in a Category-2 terrain
(open terrain with average obstructions on the surface
being small and scattered), with a mean return period of
50 years. It is based1 on the then available up-to-date
wind data till 1982 from 43 anemograph (DPT, Dines
Pressure Tube) stations spread over the country, obtained
from India Meteorological Department (IMD). The currently used design wind speeds are based on their return
period at different locations. At the IMD meteorological
stations, wind velocity is in general measured using the
DPT installations at varying heights of 1030 m. These
records have been used to carry out an extreme value analysis by several meteorologists25 and by committee members responsible for the formulation of wind speed maps.
In an attempt to re-examine the validity of the available
basic wind speeds for different regions, the Structural
Engineering Research Centre (SERC), Chennai, has undertaken reviewing of the basic wind speeds based on the
updated IMD data. However, only 70 out of the total 500
ground observatories of IMD spread out in India have the
hourly wind data, including daily gust winds. SERC pro*For correspondence. (e-mail: ed@cwet.res.in)
CURRENT SCIENCE, VOL. 96, NO. 7, 10 APRIL 2009
REVIEW ARTICLE
Figure 1.
(1)
(2)
REVIEW ARTICLE
Figure 2.
Peak distribution of daily gust wind speeds for one typical year.
Method of moments
those of moments, maximum likelihood method, orderstatistics approach and Gumbels probability paper
approach. For the analysis of design wind speed estimates,
the National Building Code of Canada (NBCC) has
adopted3 the peaks-over threshold (POT), r largest order
statistics approach (r-LOS) and Annual Maximum Gumbel
(AMG) methods. The authors concluded that the (r-LOS)
is preferable over the other two methods and is more versatile since it has lower sampling variability associated
with its extreme quantile (parameter) estimation. In this
CURRENT SCIENCE, VOL. 96, NO. 7, 10 APRIL 2009
REVIEW ARTICLE
the characteristic wind speeds of a given return period
based on poorly fitted extreme value distribution. This
results in large variance in the simulated occurrence of
wind speeds. A method based on the theory of order statistics was developed by Lieblein12, which is based on a
linear function of a set of ordered values such as random
wind speeds (U1, U2, . . . , Ur), that is,
r
L = wiU i ,
(3)
i =1
(4)
or
(5)
L = [aiU i + (biU i ) s p ] ,
(6)
i =1
sp ,
(7)
(8)
In view of eqs (6) and (7), the unbiased minimum variance estimators for ur and r are given as8:
r
ur =
aiU i ,
(9)
i =1
r
1
= biU i ,
r i =1
(10)
REVIEW ARTICLE
Figure 4.
gust wind speed records for all the IMD stations are given
in Table 1. The peaks are not likely to have uniform spacing because of synoptic as well as monsoon wind climates. The arithmetic mean of the gust hourly wind speed
data of IMD and of the peaks is given in Table 1. Their
standard deviations and probable peak values are given in
the columns marked as Extreme, with the assumption of
the threshold peaks being the sum of the mean plus three
times the standard deviations. There is always an ambiguity in this statistical analysis as the predicted extreme
wind speeds include both data from synoptic as well as
monsoon winds, since they span several days of many
years of data. It has been observed in most of the IMD
stations that the difference of extremes predicted using all
the gust wind statistics as well as up-crossing peak order
statistics is marginal.
The total counts of the daily records in individual stations indicate the number of years of data available in the
site. More than ten stations have maximum gust speed
(MGS) data less than 45 years, which are not useful for
design wind prediction.
Most of the gust wind speed records being from synoptic/monsoon winds, it is likely to be highly variable from
site to site. Based on statistical scatter of gust wind statistics and up-crossing peak wind characteristics, Figure 5
provides part of the scatter of mean gust wind speed (Gmean of 14,098 samples for Madras Minambakkam, from
July 1983 to 2005 shown in Figure 1) vs gust peak (which
is the mean gust plus three times its standard
deviation), peakpeak (which is the mean of 7374 peaks
(indicated typically in Figure 2) plus its standard deviation). There is close to 80% coefficient of determination
of mean of peaks (EP-mean) and peak of peaks in the
measured met-sites in India with the respective G-mean.
REVIEW ARTICLE
Table 1.
Available number
of years of
Total no.
maximum
of records gust wind speed
Wemean
kmph
Westd
kmph
Extreme
kmph
EP-Std
kmph
ExtremeP
kmph
IMD station
Count
Dm
Dstd
Dpeak
Count
Em
Estd
Epeak
HASHIMARA
MADRAS_HARBOUR
TUTICORIN_HP
MANGALORE_HP
AMRITSAR
PALAM_A
NEWDELHI_SAFRJG
CHABUA_A
JAIPUR_SANGANER
LUCKNOW_AMAUSI
BAGHOGRA_A
ALLAHABAD_BAMHRAULI
VARANASI_BABATPUR
GAYA
NEW_KANDLA
AHMEDABAD
BHOPAL_BAIRAGARH
JAMNAGAR_A
BARODA
INDORE
JAMSHEDPUR_PB
JAMSHEDPUR
KALAIKUNDA_A
CALCUTTA
CALCUTTA_DUMDUM
NAGPUR_ONEGAON
RAIPUR
JHARSUGUDA
SAGAR_ISLAND
VERAVAL
BOMBAY_SANTACRUZ
AURANGABAD_CHIKATHA
JAGDALPUR
GOPALPUR
BOMBAY
PUNE
PUNE_ALOHAGAON
BIDAR_A
HYDERABD_A
HAKIMPET_A
VISHAKHAPATNAM_A
VIZG_RSRW
MORMUGAO
YELAHANKA_A
MADRAS
MADRAS_MINAMBAKKAM
MANGALORE_HP_PANBUR
BANGALORE
NAMGALORE_A
TAMBARAM_A
PORT_BLAIR
KODAIKANAL
TIRUCHIRAPALLI_A
COCHIN_NAS
TRIVANDRUM_TIRUAN
TRIVANDRUM_A
TUTICORIN
OZAR
2882
6177
5275
1451
11099
12626
12310
395
11697
7160
2921
863
539
2207
7407
9652
7784
4328
7564
6959
1395
1284
2536
6074
9966
9348
6442
1216
6603
4427
13616
394
3438
3764
12530
13410
4253
3321
9291
4161
6211
3754
12549
1332
761
14098
9875
11319
10969
4844
10253
13183
13261
9418
9908
7976
7761
2825
9
20
15
4
32
35
34
2
38
18
9
3
2
7
22
29
22
15
22
21
4
4
8
18
29
26
22
4
19
16
38
2
11
11
36
38
14
10
28
12
18
13
37
4
3
41
28
32
32
5
29
37
37
29
29
25
23
7
125
150
140
91
190
199
152
72
181
170
102
131
67
120
132
150
125
182
155
136
118
122
142
143
200
132
112
120
163
150
200
52
125
140
103
165
130
137
140
114
196
140
190
124
98
160
110
106
125
104
170
190
167
180
108
92
146
102
31
42
51
38
37
39
35
28
32
39
31
31
25
34
47
35
42
44
35
52
34
36
40
40
34
36
28
37
31
40
36
32
33
43
37
34
46
46
37
44
43
34
35
43
32
38
31
38
41
45
40
40
50
36
29
30
49
42
13
13
14
13
19
15
15
12
15
16
13
14
9
16
15
11
14
13
13
13
18
17
17
16
17
15
13
17
16
12
10
8
13
15
12
10
13
15
13
14
14
13
14
18
10
13
12
10
11
12
17
12
15
12
11
11
13
15
72
81
94
76
94
85
79
65
76
87
70
73
52
83
91
69
83
83
72
91
89
87
91
88
83
81
67
89
79
77
67
56
73
89
74
66
85
90
77
87
85
72
77
96
61
77
67
69
75
79
89
76
95
72
61
64
87
86
1386
3045
2833
761
5921
6792
6457
155
6148
3637
1448
452
277
1163
3989
5019
4158
2209
4052
3704
730
646
1283
3133
5272
5013
3443
657
3458
2341
7262
117
1764
1999
6649
7116
2210
1557
4845
2146
3198
2079
6542
674
396
7374
4818
5965
5738
1677
5575
6453
6928
4929
5655
4387
4111
1494
24
35
47
35
31
34
30
16
27
33
24
27
21
29
43
31
38
38
31
47
29
30
33
35
29
32
24
32
26
35
33
15
28
39
34
31
41
36
34
39
39
31
31
36
30
33
25
34
37
24
36
33
46
32
27
27
45
37
15
17
16
12
17
14
14
15
14
16
15
13
9
16
15
12
13
16
13
15
16
17
18
16
15
14
12
16
15
14
10
16
13
15
13
11
16
20
13
15
14
12
14
20
9
14
14
12
12
23
16
16
15
13
11
12
13
16
68
85
95
70
82
78
71
60
70
81
68
65
49
76
88
68
78
86
70
92
78
79
87
82
75
74
61
80
73
77
64
64
67
83
72
64
88
96
73
83
79
68
74
95
57
75
66
70
74
92
84
81
92
70
60
63
84
87
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REVIEW ARTICLE
Figure 5.
Figure 7. Gumbels probability plot of IMD data with manual adjustment of repeating data.
Gv(t) = 1 0.59(0.15)1.13ln(t/3600).
(11)
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REVIEW ARTICLE
The values of Gv(3), Gv(60) and Gv(120) were calculated
as 1.49, 1.283 and 1.235 respectively. Hence for wind sustained over 1 min, the wind gust factor was obtained as
Gv(3)/Gv(60) = 1.16. For the case of 2 min sustained record, the factor was Gv(3)/Gv(120) and calculated as
1.21. Thus the corresponding basic wind speeds will be 44
or 46 m/s taking a conservative upper limit of predicted
wind speed of 38 m/s for the station in consideration.
Based on the uncorrected annual maximum gust wind
speeds (from daily values MGS; Figure 6), the predicted
basic wind speeds for the IMD stations are given in Table
2. The revised basic wind speed for the purpose of design
is given with a uniform factor of 1.16, assuming 1 min
sustained wind. Assuming the validity of the factor 1.16
to be applicable for all the stations, the percentage dif-
Figure 8. Gumbels probability plot of IMD data with manual adjustment of repeating data using a threshold wind speed of 50 kmph.
Figure 9. Gumbels probability plot of IMD data with random adjustment of repeating data.
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REVIEW ARTICLE
Table 2.
Design basic wind speed (m/s)/wind zone for various IMD meteorological stations (with all annual maximum wind speeds or values
over threshold)
Prediction with Gumbel using all
annual peak values
Station ID
AHMEDABAD
AMRITSAR
BAGHOGRA(A)
BANGALORE
BARODA
BHOPAL BAIRAGARH
BIDAR (A)
BOMBAY
BOMBAY/SANTACRUZ
CALCUTTA
CALCUTTA/DUM DUM
CHABUA (A)
COCHIN (N.A.S)
GAYA
GOPALPUR
HAKIMPET (A)
HASHIMARA (A)
HYDERABAD (A)
INDORE
JAGDALPUR
JAIPUR/SANGANER
JAMNAGAR (A)
KALAIKUNDA (A)
KODAIKANAL
LUCKNOW/AMAUSI
MADRAS/MINAMBAKKAM
MADRAS HARBOUR
MANGALORE H.P./PANAMBUR
MORMUGAO
NAGPUR/SONEGAON
MANGALORE (A)
NEW DELHI/SAFDJNG
NEW KANDLA
OZAR 2
PALAM (A)
PORT BLAIR
PUNE 2
PUNE (A) LOHAGAON
RAIPUR
SAGAR ISLAND
TAMBARAM (A)
TIRUCHIRAPALLI (A)
TRIVANDRUM (A)
TRIVANDRUM/TIRUVN
TUTICORIN
TUTICORIN H.P.
VERAVAL
VISHAKHAPATNAM (A)
VIZG RSRW
Basic
Wind zone
wind speed
IS:875
IS:875 Vb (m/s) VbR (m/s)
2
4
4
1
3
2
2
3
3
5
5
5
2
2
2
3
4
3
2
2
4
5
5
2
4
5
5
2
2
3
1
4
5
39
4
3
39
2
2
5
5
4
2
2
2
2
5
5
5
39
47
47
33
44
39
39
44
44
50
50
50
39
39
39
44
47
44
39
39
47
50
50
39
47
50
50
39
39
44
33
47
50
52
47
44
36
39
39
50
50
47
39
39
39
39
50
50
50
42
54
42
30
41
49
51
32
39
46
52
43
39
46
59
48
40
47
44
45
46
58
41
54
39
46
40
40
43
34
45
45
45
53
47
31
48
43
52
45
48
33
29
36
39
43
49
49
Wind speed
with
T = 50 yrs
36
47
36
26
36
42
44
28
34
40
45
37
33
39
51
41
34
40
38
39
40
50
36
47
34
40
35
35
37
29
39
39
33
45
40
9
41
37
45
39
41
28
25
31
34
37
42
43
Percentage
difference
IS:875
VbR (m/s)
8
16
11
9
6
26
30
27
11
7
4
10
1
17
33
2
10
20
14
4
8
17
6
15
21
8
3
4
2
2
3
10
12
6
42
22
10
3
10
2
16
25
6
0
14
3
1
43
56
42
34
42
45
52
33
40
48
54
44
56
47
50
41
42
46
46
40
55
41
55
45
53
38
42
49
36
47
46
54
48
36
50
45
53
49
34
30
38
41
45
50
51
Wind speed
with
T = 50 yrs
37
48
36
29
37
39
45
28
35
41
46
38
48
40
43
35
36
39
40
35
47
35
48
39
45
33
36
43
31
40
40
47
41
6
43
39
46
42
29
26
32
35
38
43
44
Percentage
difference
IS:875
10
19
11
4
4
16
33
26
8
5
7
14
44
20
6
8
7
17
2
19
9
4
17
10
5
3
7
12
10
0
8
15
9
28
16
6
3
14
22
4
5
11
0
3
REVIEW ARTICLE
Figure 11.
REVIEW ARTICLE
Figure 12.
Table 3.
Station
AMRITSAR
BHOPAL_BAIRAGARH
BIDAR_A
JAGDALPUR
LUCKNOW_AMAUSI
NEWDELHI_PALAM_A
RAIPUR
Present
wind zone
IS:875
4
2
2
2
4
4
2
Present existing
design wind
speed (m/s)
47
39
39
39
47
47
39
Revised
wind zone
IS:875
5
4
3
3
5
5
3
Suggested
design wind
speed (m/s)
50
47
44
44
50
50
44
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REVIEW ARTICLE
be used by the designer for important structures with subjective insight and choice. In the recent years IMD has
established14 several HWSR (high wind speed recorders)
stations with sonic anemometer and internet protocol,
which will be useful in future, to capture accurately the
gust winds in synoptic as well as pressure systems (cyclone
winds). Several government/private agencies such as
Centre for Wind Energy Technology, Power Grid Corporation of India Limited, and Tata Energy Research Institute are collecting meteorological data for various other
purposes, which may be pooled for more effective and
rational micro-zonation of wind speed map of India.
Conclusion
The wind speed data available in 70 meteorological stations
have been studied for obtaining the basic wind speed.
Based on the scientific analysis of data, certain regions
require upgradation to higher wind zones. A revised basic
wind speed map for the country has been suggested.
1. IS:875 (Part 31987), India standard code of practice for design of
loads (other than earthquakes) for buildings and structures, part 3
(wind loads). Bureau of Indian Standards, New Delhi, 1989.
2. Sharma, M. C., State of the art report on wind zoning in India. In
Proceedings of the INDO-US Workshop on Wind Disaster Mitigation, SERC, Chennai, 1720 December 1985, pp. 4760.
3. Panday, M. D. and An, Y., The analysis of design wind speed estimates specified in the national building code of Canada. Can. J.
Civil Eng., 2007, 34, 513524.
4. Sharma, M. C., Extreme winds for structural designs. In Proceedings of the National Seminar on Tall Reinforced Concrete Chimneys, New Delhi, 2527 April 1985.
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