District of Columbia

Development Plan

District Department of Transportation

Prepared By:

Foursquare Integrated Transportation Planning

August 2016

 

 

August 2016

 

Contents 

1

 

Introduction ....................................................................................................................................... 2

 

2

 

Strategic Framework .......................................................................................................................... 3

 

2.1

 

Goals and Objectives ..................................................................................................................... 3

 

2.2

 

Performance Measures ................................................................................................................... 5

 

2.3

 

Monitoring and Evaluation ........................................................................................................... 10

 

2.4

 

Reporting ...................................................................................................................................... 12

 

3

 

Market Study ................................................................................................................................... 13

 

3.1

 

Introduction .................................................................................................................................. 13

 

3.1.1

 

Key Findings .........................................................................................................................................13

 

3.2

 

Terminology and Data Sources .................................................................................................... 15

 

3.2.1

 

Key Terminology ..................................................................................................................................15 

 

3.2.2 

 

Data Sources ........................................................................................................................................15 

 

3.3

 

Users (Membership) ...................................................................................................................... 15

 

3.3.1

 

Demographic Profile and Use ..............................................................................................................16

 

3.3.2 

 

Capital Bikeshare Member Use ............................................................................................................16

 

3.4

 

Trip Characteristics ....................................................................................................................... 17

 

3.5

 

Spatial Analysis ............................................................................................................................. 25

 

3.5.1

 

Methodology .......................................................................................................................................27 

 

3.5.2 

 

High Ridership Propensity Areas .........................................................................................................29 

 

3.5.3

 

High Revenue Propensity Areas ...........................................................................................................31

 

3.5.4

 

Public Health and Welfare Propensity Areas .......................................................................................33

 

3.5.5 

 

High Accessibility Score .......................................................................................................................35 

 

3.6

 

Bikeshare SWOT Analysis ............................................................................................................. 37

 

3.7

 

Conclusion .................................................................................................................................... 46

 

4

 

Program Expansion Plan ................................................................................................................... 47

 

4.1

 

Scenario Planning ......................................................................................................................... 47

 

4.1.1

 

Development of Each Scenario ............................................................................................................48

 

4.1.2 

 

Summary of Analysis Results ................................................................................................................52 

 

4.1.3

 

Key Takeaways .....................................................................................................................................54

 

4.2

 

Recommended Expansion Criteria ............................................................................................... 55

 

 

 

August 2016

 

4.2.1

 

Policy 1: Balance between Station Typologies ....................................................................................55 

 

4.2.2 

 

Policy 2: Ensure Suitable Capacity in the District’s Core Neighborhoods ...........................................56

 

4.2.3

 

Policy 3: Optimize Where Station Dock Expansion Occurs .................................................................58

 

4.2.4

 

Policy 4: Maintain a Minimum Station Density When Possible ............................................................58

 

4.3

 

Recommended System Expansion Plan ....................................................................................... 58

 

4.3.1

 

Methodology for Developing Recommendations ................................................................................59 

 

4.3.2 

 

Overview of Expansion ........................................................................................................................61

 

4.3.3

 

Expansion by Fiscal Year ......................................................................................................................66

 

4.3.4

 

Detailed Maps of Proposed Expansion ................................................................................................72 

 

4.3.5 

 

Expansion Plan Justification .................................................................................................................79 

 

5

 

Financial Plan ................................................................................................................................... 81

 

5.1

 

Assumptions ................................................................................................................................. 81

 

5.1.1

 

Capital Cost Assumptions ....................................................................................................................81

 

5.1.2 

 

Operating Cost Assumptions ...............................................................................................................81

 

5.1.3

 

System Revenue Assumptions .............................................................................................................82 

 

5.2

 

Capital Costs ................................................................................................................................ 84

 

5.3

 

State of Good Repair Costs ......................................................................................................... 85

 

5.4

 

Operating Costs and Ridership .................................................................................................... 86

 

5.5

 

Financial Findings ......................................................................................................................... 88

 

5.5.1

 

Capital Cost .........................................................................................................................................88

 

5.5.2 

 

Operating Costs ...................................................................................................................................89 

 

5.5.3

 

Sponsorships ........................................................................................................................................89 

 

6

 

Next Steps ....................................................................................................................................... 91

 

Appendix A: Screening of Individual Measures ......................................................................................... 92

 

Appendix B: Propensity Mapping Methodology ..................................................................................... 137